29 resultados para Anchoring heuristic

em Doria (National Library of Finland DSpace Services) - National Library of Finland, Finland


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The behavioural finance literature expects systematic and significant deviations from efficiency to persist in securities markets due to behavioural and cognitive biases of investors. These behavioural models attempt to explain the coexistence of intermediate-term momentum and long-term reversals in stock returns based on the systematic violations of rational behaviour of investors. The study investigates the anchoring bias of investors and the profitability of the 52-week momentum strategy (GH henceforward). The relatively highly volatile OMX Helsinki stock exchange is a suitable market for examining the momentum effect, since international investors tend to realise their positions first from the furthest security markets by the time of market turbulence. Empirical data is collected from Thomson Reuters Datastream and the OMX Nordic website. The objective of the study is to provide a throughout research by formulating a self-financing GH momentum portfolio. First, the seasonality of the strategy is examined by taking the January effect into account and researching abnormal returns in long-term. The results indicate that the GH strategy is subject to significantly negative revenues in January, but the strategy is not prone to reversals in long-term. Then the predictive proxies of momentum returns are investigated in terms of acquisition prices and 52-week high statistics as anchors. The results show that the acquisition prices do not have explanatory power over the GH strategy’s abnormal returns. Finally, the efficacy of the GH strategy is examined after taking transaction costs into account, finding that the robust abnormal returns remain statistically significant despite the transaction costs. As a conclusion, the relative distance between a stock’s current price and its 52-week high statistic explains the profits of momentum investing to a high degree. The results indicate that intermediateterm momentum and long-term reversals are separate phenomena. This presents a challenge to current behavioural theories, which model these aspects of stock returns as subsequent components of how securities markets respond to relevant information.

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Adrenoceptors (ARs), G-protein coupled receptors (GPCRs) at the plasma membrane, respond to endogenous catecholamines noradrenaline and adrenaline. These receptors mediate several important physiological functions being especially important in the cardiovascular system and in the regulation of smooth muscle contraction. Impairments in the function of these receptors can thus lead to severe diseases and disorders such as to cardiovascular diseases and benign prostatic hyperplasia. The Eastern green mamba (Dendroaspis angusticeps) venom has been shown to contain toxins that can antagonize the functions of GPCRs. The most well-known are muscarinic toxins (MTs) targeting muscarinic acetylcholine receptors (mAChRs) with high affinity and selectivity. However, some reports have indicated that these toxins might also act on the α1- and α2-ARs which can be divided into various subtypes; the α1-ARs to α1A-, α1B- and α1D-ARs and α2-ARs to α2A-, α2B- and α2C-ARs. In this thesis, the interaction of four common MTs (MT1, MT3, MT7 and MTα) with the adrenoceptors was characterized. It was also evaluated whether these toxins could be anchored to the plasma membrane via glycosylphosphatidylinositol (GPI) tail. Results of this thesis reveal that muscarinic toxins are targeting several α-adrenoceptor subtypes in addition to their previously identified target receptors, mAChRs. MTα was found to interact with high affinity and selectivity with the α2B-AR whereas MT7 confirmed its selectivity for the M1 mAChR. Unlike MTα and MT7, MT1 and MT3 have a broad range of target receptors among the α-ARs. All the MTs characterized were found to behave as non-competitive antagonists of receptor action. The interaction between MTα and the α2B-AR was studied more closely and it was observed that the second extracellular loop of the receptor functions as a structural entity enabling toxin binding. The binding of MTα to the α2B-AR appears to be rather complex and probably involves dimerized receptor. Anchoring MTs to the plasma membrane did not interfere with their pharmacological profile; all the GPI-anchored toxins created retained their ability to block their target receptors. This thesis shows that muscarinic toxins are able to target several subtypes of α-ARs and mAChRs. These toxins offer thus a possibility to create new subtype specific ligands for the α-AR subtypes. Membrane anchored MTs on the other hand could be used to block α-AR and mAChR actions in disease conditions such as in hypertension and in gastrointestinal and urinary bladder disorders in a cell-specific manner and to study the physiological functions of ARs and mAChRs in vivo in model organisms.

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Kontekstitietoisuuden katsotaan voivan parantaa sovellusten ja palvelujen käytettävyyttä matkapuhelimissa. Kontekstitietoisuuden tekniikoita voidaan käyttää myös peleissä, joko siksi, että ne mahdollistavat uudenlaisia pelejä, tai siksi, että peleillä voidaan havainnollistaa ja testata eri tekniikoiden toimintaa. Diplomityössä esitellään prototyyppi monen pelaajan kontekstitietoisesta mobiilipelistä, jossa pelivälineinä käytetään kamerapuhelimella luettavia tavallisia viivakoodeja. Viivakoodit on yhdistetty palvelimella sijaitsevan pelimaailman kohteisiin, joiden omistuksesta pelaajat kilpailevat. Peliä on tarkoitus arvioida myöhemmin pelattavuuden ja idean kiinnostavuuden kannalta. Prototyypin toinen tehtävä on havainnollistaa Multi-User Publishing Environment (MUPE) -sovellusalustan tukea kontekstitietoisuudelle. Työ kuvaa pelin suunnittelun, toteutuksen ja arvioinnin alkaen varhaisimmista ideoista ja päättyen osittaiseen prototyyppiin. Prototyypissä on toteutettu osa pelilogiikasta ja käyttöliittymästä, mutta sitä ei ole integroitu kontekstitietoa kerääviin sensoreihin. Pelin suunnittelussa käytettiin apuna heuristista arviointia ja kahta fokusryhmähaastattelua.

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The markets of biomass for energy are developing rapidly and becoming more international. A remarkable increase in the use of biomass for energy needs parallel and positive development in several areas, and there will be plenty of challenges to overcome. The main objective of the study was to clarify the alternative future scenarios for the international biomass market until the year 2020, and based on the scenario process, to identify underlying steps needed towards the vital working and sustainable biomass market for energy purposes. Two scenario processes were conducted for this study. The first was carried out with a group of Finnish experts and thesecond involved an international group. A heuristic, semi-structured approach, including the use of preliminary questionnaires as well as manual and computerised group support systems (GSS), was applied in the scenario processes.The scenario processes reinforced the picture of the future of international biomass and bioenergy markets as a complex and multi-layer subject. The scenarios estimated that the biomass market will develop and grow rapidly as well as diversify in the future. The results of the scenario process also opened up new discussion and provided new information and collective views of experts for the purposes of policy makers. An overall view resulting from this scenario analysis are the enormous opportunities relating to the utilisation of biomass as a resource for global energy use in the coming decades. The scenario analysis shows the key issues in the field: global economic growth including the growing need for energy, environmental forces in the global evolution, possibilities of technological development to solve global problems, capabilities of the international community to find solutions for global issues and the complex interdependencies of all these driving forces. The results of the scenario processes provide a starting point for further research analysing the technological and commercial aspects related the scenarios and foreseeing the scales and directions of biomass streams.

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The driving forces of technology and globalization continuously transform the business landscape in a way which undermines the existing strategies and innovations of organizations. The challenge for organizations is to establish such conditions where they are able to create new knowledge for innovative business ideas in interaction between other organizations and individuals. Innovation processes continuously need new external stimulations and seek new ideas, new information and knowledge locating more and more outside traditional organizational boundaries. In several studies, the early phases of the innovation process have been considered as the most critical ones. During these phases, the innovation process can emerge or conclude. External knowledge acquirement and utilization are noticed to be important at this stage of the innovation process giving information about the development of future markets and needs for new innovative businessideas. To make it possible, new methods and approaches to manage proactive knowledge creation and sharing activities are needed. In this study, knowledge creation and sharing in the early phases of the innovation process has been studied, and the understanding of knowledge management in the innovation process in an open and collaborative context advanced. Furthermore, the innovation management methods in this study are combined in a novel way to establish an open innovation process and tested in real-life cases. For these purposes two complementary and sequentially applied group work methods - the heuristic scenario method and the idea generation process - are examined by focusing the research on the support of the open knowledge creation and sharing process. The research objective of this thesis concerns two doctrines: the innovation management including the knowledge management, and the futures research concerning the scenario paradigm. This thesis also applies the group decision support system (GDSS) in the idea generation process to utilize the converged knowledge during the scenario process.

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The evaluation of investments in advanced technology is one of the most important decision making tasks. The importance is even more pronounced considering the huge budget concerning the strategic, economic and analytic justification in order to shorten design and development time. Choosing the most appropriate technology requires an accurate and reliable system that can lead the decision makers to obtain such a complicated task. Currently, several Information and Communication Technologies (ICTs) manufacturers that design global products are seeking local firms to act as their sales and services representatives (called distributors) to the end user. At the same time, the end user or customer is also searching for the best possible deal for their investment in ICT's projects. Therefore, the objective of this research is to present a holistic decision support system to assist the decision maker in Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) - working either as individual decision makers or in a group - in the evaluation of the investment to become an ICT's distributor or an ICT's end user. The model is composed of the Delphi/MAH (Maximising Agreement Heuristic) Analysis, a well-known quantitative method in Group Support System (GSS), which is applied to gather the average ranking data from amongst Decision Makers (DMs). After that the Analytic Network Process (ANP) analysis is brought in to analyse holistically: it performs quantitative and qualitative analysis simultaneously. The illustrative data are obtained from industrial entrepreneurs by using the Group Support System (GSS) laboratory facilities at Lappeenranta University of Technology, Finland and in Thailand. The result of the research, which is currently implemented in Thailand, can provide benefits to the industry in the evaluation of becoming an ICT's distributor or an ICT's end user, particularly in the assessment of the Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) programme. After the model is put to test with an in-depth collaboration with industrial entrepreneurs in Finland and Thailand, the sensitivity analysis is also performed to validate the robustness of the model. The contribution of this research is in developing a new approach and the Delphi/MAH software to obtain an analysis of the value of becoming an ERP distributor or end user that is flexible and applicable to entrepreneurs, who are looking for the most appropriate investment to become an ERP distributor or end user. The main advantage of this research over others is that the model can deliver the value of becoming an ERP distributor or end user in a single number which makes it easier for DMs to choose the most appropriate ERP vendor. The associated advantage is that the model can include qualitative data as well as quantitative data, as the results from using quantitative data alone can be misleading and inadequate. There is a need to utilise quantitative and qualitative analysis together, as can be seen from the case studies.

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Työn tavoitteena oli tehostaa asiakaslähtöistä kombipatatuotantoa moduloimalla tuotevalikoimaa. Työ tehtiin Hackman Metos Oy:lle Keravalla, liittyen Innovative Cooking-osaston tuotannon tehostamishankkeeseen. Työssä lähdettiin liikkeelle tutustuen yrityksen nykyisiin tuotteisiin sekä tuotantoon. Perehtymisen jälkeen etsittiin sopivia modulointimenetelmiä, joilla työn tavoitteena oleva perusmoduulien määrittäminen pystyttäisiin toteuttamaan. Modulointimenetelmien vertailu ja modulointityökalun valinta perustui kirjallisuuteen ja kirjallisuudessa esitettyihin tuloksiin. Valittuja modulointimenetelmiä vertailtiin keskenään ja niistä pyrittiin valitsemaan parhaiten soveltuva vaihtoehto. Työn monipuolisen tarkastelun vuoksi päädyttiin etenemään käyttäen kahta menetelmää, MFD-menetelmää sekä moduuliheuristiikkaa. Nämä menetelmät täydensivät hyvin toisiaan suurien moduulijakojen tekemistä silmällä pitäen. Diplomityön tuloksena syntyi moduloinnille ratkaisuehdotus, jossa on esitetty jako perusmoduuleihin sekä ratkaisut tuotannon tehostamiseen. Lisäksi on paneuduttu tarkastelemaan kokoonpanon pullonkaulakohtia ja niiden toimivuuden kehittämistä.

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WDM (Wavelength-Division Multiplexing) optiset verkot on tällä hetkellä suosituin tapa isojen määrän tietojen siirtämiseen. Jokaiselle liittymälle määrätään reitin ja aallonpituus joka linkin varten. Tarvittavan reitin ja aallon pituuden löytäminen kutsutaan RWA-ongelmaksi. Tämän työn kuvaa mahdollisia kustannuksen mallein ratkaisuja RWA-ongelmaan. Olemassa on paljon erilaisia optimoinnin tavoitteita. Edellä mainittuja kustannuksen malleja perustuu näillä tavoitteilla. Kustannuksen malleja antavat tehokkaita ratkaisuja ja algoritmeja. The multicommodity malli on käsitelty tässä työssä perusteena RV/A-kustannuksen mallille. Myöskin OB käsitelty heuristisia menetelmiä RWA-ongelman ratkaisuun. Työn loppuosassa käsitellään toteutuksia muutamalle mallille ja erilaisia mahdollisuuksia kustannuksen mallein parantamiseen.

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Työn tavoitteena oli kehittää teräspalkkirakenteiden palosuunnittelua ja palosuojauksen toteutusta öljynjalostamolla käytettävien kantavien teräspalkkirakenteiden osalta. Lisäksi tavoitteena oli luoda suunnitteluohjeen runko palomitoituksen toteuttamiseksi Neste Engineering Oy:ssä. Ongelmakohtia työssä olivat rakenteiden kapasiteettien tarkka määritys, toimivien toteutusratkaisujen etsiminen, sekä öljynjalostamolla mitoituspalona käytettävän hiilivetypalon SFS-ENV-1992-1-2 käyttö yleisemmin mitoituspalona käytettävän standardipalo ISO-834 sijaan. Työssä perehdyttiin kirjallisuuden perusteella eri palosuojausmenetelmiin. Tarkemman jatkotutkimuksen kohteeksi otettiin jo käytössä hyväksi havaittu teräsputkipalkkien sisäpuoleinen betonitäyttö. Menetelmässä teräsputkipalkin oletetaan kantavan kuormat normaalitilassa ja sisällä olevan raudoitetun betonin palossa. Palkkirakenteiden kapasiteettimitoitus määritettiin laskennallisesti poikkileikkauksille. Mitoitus perustuu palkissa tapahtuvien sisäisten venymien ja puristumien tarkasteluun, sekä poikkileikkauksen tarkan lämpötilajakauman huomioimiseen. Raudoitustankojen ankkurointia palkki-pilari-liitoksessa kehitettiin valmistuksen kannalta yksioikoisemmaksi ja helpommin toteutettavaksi. Palkkien raudoituksiin suunniteltiin kierremuhvijatkoksella toteutettava ankkurointimenetelmä, jolla palkkien raudoitustangot saadaan ankkuroitua täydestä kapasiteetistaan tapauskohtaisesti pilarin vastakkaisella puolella olevaan palkkiin tai ankkurointikappaleella pilariin. Teräsputkipilarin betonivalun vaihtoehtoisiin menetelmiin tutustuttiin. Pilarin alapäähän asennettavan venttiilin läpi tapahtuva täyttö helpottaa betonointityövaihetta. Tutkimuksen tuloksena luotiin suunnitteluohjeen runko, jonka pohjalta voidaan tehdä lopullinen ohje. Myös työn tuloksena saatu laskentaohjelma palkkien momentti-kapasiteetin ja pilarin nurjahduskuorman laskemiseksi helpottaa suunnittelua. Raudoituksen ankkurointiin ja betonointiin esitettyjen menetelmien toimivuus on syytä kokeilla käytännössä ja tehdä jatkokehitys näistä saatavien kokemusten pohjalta.