Taloudellisen ohjauksen kehittäminen projektiliiketoimintaa harjoittavassa yrityksessä, tapaustutkimus

Tämän Pro Gadu –tutkielman keskeisimpänä tavoitteena oli tutkia millaisista osa-alueista projektiliiketoiminnan taloudellisen ohjauksen kokonaisuus muodostuu ja miten näitä voidaan kehittää. Tutkimus on toteutettu tapaustutkimuksena, jossa hyödynnetään kvalitatiivisia tutkimusmenetelmiä, kuten haastatteluita, joista saatuja vastauksia käytetään kohdeyrityksen taloudellisen ohjauksen kehittämisen pohdinnassa. Haastatteluvastausten perusteella pyrittiin löytämään poikkeavuuksia olemassa olevan tutkimukseen sekä kirjallisuuteen linkittäen. Haastateltavina toimi konsernin eri tahojen edustajia, jonka seurauksena tutkimukselle saatiin lievän vastakkain asettelun seurauksena huomattavaa lisäarvoa. Tutkimustulokset osoittavat, että taloudellisen ohjauksen kehittämisen osa-alueet ovat hyvin monimuotoisia ja yksittäisen yrityksen kohdalla yleistyksiä on vaikeaa tehdä. Kohdeyrityksen tapauksessa myyntivaiheen suunnitteluvaiheen prosessien, hankintojen hallinnan sekä jälkilaskelmien kehittämisen nähtiin olevan taloudellisen ohjauksen kannalta tärkeimmät elementit.

Vertaileva tutkimus suomalaisten päivittäistavara kaupan alan yritysten likviditeetin hallinnasta vuosina 2009 - 2013

Tämän Pro gradu -tutkielman aiheena on tutkia suomalaisten päivittäistavarakaupan alan yritysten likviditeetin hallintaa vuosina 2009 - 2013. Tutkielmassa tutkitaan, millä tavalla suomalaisten päivittäistavarakaupan alan yritysten käyttöpääoman hallinta on muuttunut rajatulla ajanjaksolla. Lisäksi työssä tutkitaan millä tavoin valikoitujen yritysten kannattavuus, maksuvalmius ja vakavaraisuus ovat muuttuneet vuosina 2009 - 2013. Tutkimuksessa tarkastellaan myös, miten suomalainen päivittäistavarakauppa on kehittynyt tarkasteluajanjaksolla. Tutkimus on rajattu koskemaan neljää suurinta suomalaista päivittäistavarakaupan, pois lukien Lild Suomi Ky taloudellisten tietojen puuttumisen takia, alan ryhmittymää käyttäen kriteerinä vuoden 2013 päivittäistavaramyyntiä sekä markkinaosuuksia. Edellä mainittujen kriteerien perusteella tutkimukseen valikoitui seuraavat ryhmittymät: S-ryhmä, K-ryhmä, Suomen Lähikauppa Oy sekä Stockmann Oyj Abp.Teoriapohjaan tutkimuksessa käytetään aikaisempaa kirjallisuutta ja julkaistuja akateemisia tutkimuksia toimitusketjun ja sen hallinnasta, sekä käyttöpääomasta ja sen hallinnasta. Valikoitujen yritysten tilinpäätöstiedot on koottu Virre -tietokannasta ja toimiala tiedot tilastokeskuksen ohjelmalla PC -Axis 2008. Tutkimuksessa havaittiin käyttöpääomaprosentin ja quick ratio - tunnusluvun välillä pieniä yhtymäkohtia. Kun käyttöpääomaprosentti pienenee, quick ratio -tunnusluku paranee. Käyttöpääomaprosentin muutoksilla oli negatiivinen korrelaatio koko pääoman tuottoprosenttiin sekä liikevoittoprosenttiin. Tutkimuksen kohdeyritykset ovat pystyneet pitämään käyttöpääomaprosentin erilaisilla tehostamistoiminnoilla hyvin tasaisena tiukasta taloustilanteesta huolimatta.

Feasibility of the use of recycled nutrients in fast growing pulpwood production

The application of pulp and paper mill (PPM) sludge in agriculture and forestry has been acknowledged as soil amendments and a plant nutrient source. The main objectives of this study were to evaluate the total cost of the use of recycled nutrients from PPM sludge in fast growing pulpwood production, and the financial profitability of fast growing pulpwood production with the use of these recycled nutrients. The investment and production costs of fast growing pulpwood plantation were directly acquired from a previous research, while the other data was compiled through different studies. The total cost of the use of PPM sludge was evaluated based on assumed factors. Discounted cash flow method was used to evaluate the financial profitability, using NPV and IRR as indicators. The results of estimated sludge nutrient contents were 16.2 g N, 2.9 g P, and 2.4 g K kg-1 of dry sludge. The sludge application rate was estimated at 1.36 Mg/ha in the first year. The total cost of the use of PPM sludge involved transport and spreading cost of US$49.15/dry ton. The fertilization cost applied in the financial model was designed in 3 different options and their results were as follows: option (1) was taken directly from the reference research (US$97/ha); option (2) was the use of sludge alone (US$66.75/ha); and option (3) was the use of sludge and TSP fertilizer (US$83.80/ha). The average NPV without discounting was US$248,180 while the IRRs ranged between approximately 3-4% with an average of 3.63%. Although option (2) and (3) contributed to higher IRRs compared to option (1), this increase was still not significant as the IRR was not sensitive to the total fertilization cost. The advantages are that this practice can be performed at a lower cost and the application rate can be still increased if necessary. It is better for forest plantations compared to agriculture and consequently supports reforestation program. In addition, it can be similarly applied in wood biomass production. A disadvantage is that the IRRs were not very favorable compared to the criterion of 11%. The sludge high in C:N ratio can cause nitrogen immobilization, and regulatory concerns may restrict and complicate the use of sludge landspreading and contribute to additional costs and processes.

Study of the advancement of innovations in communications industry. Case study: Russian Post Company

This study attempted to provide a project based on the already tested and successful results of foreign business which can help to contain the final price of innovation on desired levels. The research will attempt to dig out most of available information related to aforementioned definitions and thus completing theoretical background. Next author will explain used methodology and the process of evidence collection. After that the study will show the analysis of collected data in order to obtain results which are going to be compared with stated objectives in the final part. The conclusion of the research and proposed possibilities for additional work will be given in the last part. For this study author has chosen the qualitative model because it performs very well for analysis of small scale of data. The case study method was used because it gave author an opportunity to make an in-depth analysis of the collected information about particular organization so it became possible to analyze system's details in comparison. The results have been early considered valid and applicable to other studies. As the result thesis has proposed undertakings which reflect researches aimed on solving problems with provision of services and development of communications. In addition thesis has proposed formulation of database of postal service for Russian Post when (by request) customer possess an account where he or she can access postal services via PC or info table in postal office and order delivery of postal products which will be given private identification code. Project's payoff period has been calculated as well.

Fuzzy real option analysis in patent related decision making and patent valuation

The shift towards a knowledge-based economy has inevitably prompted the evolution of patent exploitation. Nowadays, patent is more than just a prevention tool for a company to block its competitors from developing rival technologies, but lies at the very heart of its strategy for value creation and is therefore strategically exploited for economic pro t and competitive advantage. Along with the evolution of patent exploitation, the demand for reliable and systematic patent valuation has also reached an unprecedented level. However, most of the quantitative approaches in use to assess patent could arguably fall into four categories and they are based solely on the conventional discounted cash flow analysis, whose usability and reliability in the context of patent valuation are greatly limited by five practical issues: the market illiquidity, the poor data availability, discriminatory cash-flow estimations, and its incapability to account for changing risk and managerial flexibility. This dissertation attempts to overcome these impeding barriers by rationalizing the use of two techniques, namely fuzzy set theory (aiming at the first three issues) and real option analysis (aiming at the last two). It commences with an investigation into the nature of the uncertainties inherent in patent cash flow estimation and claims that two levels of uncertainties must be properly accounted for. Further investigation reveals that both levels of uncertainties fall under the categorization of subjective uncertainty, which differs from objective uncertainty originating from inherent randomness in that uncertainties labelled as subjective are highly related to the behavioural aspects of decision making and are usually witnessed whenever human judgement, evaluation or reasoning is crucial to the system under consideration and there exists a lack of complete knowledge on its variables. Having clarified their nature, the application of fuzzy set theory in modelling patent-related uncertain quantities is effortlessly justified. The application of real option analysis to patent valuation is prompted by the fact that both patent application process and the subsequent patent exploitation (or commercialization) are subject to a wide range of decisions at multiple successive stages. In other words, both patent applicants and patentees are faced with a large variety of courses of action as to how their patent applications and granted patents can be managed. Since they have the right to run their projects actively, this flexibility has value and thus must be properly accounted for. Accordingly, an explicit identification of the types of managerial flexibility inherent in patent-related decision making problems and in patent valuation, and a discussion on how they could be interpreted in terms of real options are provided in this dissertation. Additionally, the use of the proposed techniques in practical applications is demonstrated by three fuzzy real option analysis based models. In particular, the pay-of method and the extended fuzzy Black-Scholes model are employed to investigate the profitability of a patent application project for a new process for the preparation of a gypsum-fibre composite and to justify the subsequent patent commercialization decision, respectively; a fuzzy binomial model is designed to reveal the economic potential of a patent licensing opportunity.

Determinants of capital expenditures: Evidence from oil and mining sectors in Russia

This master’s thesis investigates the significant macroeconomic and firm level determinants of CAPEX in Russian oil and mining sectors. It also studies the Russian oil and mining sectors, its development, characteristics and current situation. The panel data methodology was implemented to identify the determinants of CAPEX in Russian oil and mining sectors and to test derived hypotheses. The core sample consists of annual financial data of 45 publicly listed Russian oil and mining sector companies. The timeframe of the thesis research is a six year period from 2007 to 2013. The findings of the master’s thesis have shown that Gross Sales, Return On Assets, Free Cash Flow and Long Term Debt are firm level performance variables along with Russian GDP, Export, Urals and the Reserve Fund are macroeconomic variables that determine the magnitude of new capital expenditures reported by publicly listed Russian oil and mining sector companies. These results are not controversial to the previous research paper, indeed they confirm them. Furthermore, the findings from the emerging countries, such as Malaysia, India and Portugal, are analogous to Russia. The empirical research is edifying and novel. Findings from this master’s thesis are highly valuable for the scientific community, especially, for researchers who investigate the determinant of CAPEX in developing countries. Moreover, the results can be utilized as a cogent argument, when companies and investors are doing strategic decisions, considering the Russian oil and mining sectors.

Käyttöpääoman hallintakeinot yritystoiminnan parantamiseen

Tämän kandidaatintyön tavoitteena on tutkia käyttöpääoman hallintakeinoja, joita yritykset voivat käyttää liiketoimintansa parantamiseen. Kandidaatintyö on tehty kirjallisuustyönä, jossa tutkittiin tieteellisiä artikkeleita, kirjoja ja muita julkaisuja. Tutkimuksen tuloksena voidaan sanoa, että yrityksessä käytetty keino riippuu paljon yrityksen koosta, toimialasta ja rahoituksen suuruudesta. Tutkimus ei kerro suoraan mikä on yritykselle paras keino, vaan se ehdottaa mahdollisia vaihtoehtoja joihin yrityksen kannattaa keskittyä. Tärkeimmät tutkimuksessa löydetyt keinot ovat factoring, reverse factoring, käteisalennus, alihankkija -sopimukset, ennakkomaksut sekä perintätoimien tehostaminen. Johtopäätöksenä käyttöpääoman hallintakeinoista on yritykselle paljon hyötyä ja keinojen avulla yritys pystyy esimerkiksi nopeuttamaan käyttöpääoman eri erien kiertonopeutta sekä vähentämään sidotun pääoman määrää. Tutkimuksen perusteella hallintakeinoja ei voida asettaa keskinäiseen paremmuusjärjestykseen, mutta ne voidaan jakaa yrityksen rajapinnan mukaan kolmeen osa-alueeseen: suhteisiin ja ulospäin suuntautuviin keinoihin, sisäisiin keinoihin sekä ulkopuolisen rahoituksen keinoihin.

IAS 36 -tilinpäätösstandardin mukainen liikearvon arvonalentumistestaus ja sen tuomat haasteet tilintarkastukselle

Tämän tutkimuksen tavoitteena oli selvittää millaisia haasteita IAS 36 Omaisuuserien arvon alentuminen -tilinpäätösstandardi luo tilintarkastajille. Huomiota kiinnitettiin erityisesti tilintarkastajan näkökulmaan arvonalentumistestauksen osa-alueista ja niissä esiintyvistä haasteista. Myös yritysten kohtaamia haasteita arvonalentumistestauksen laatimisessa käytiin läpi tutkimuksessa käyttäen hyödyksi IFRS-asiantuntijan näkökulmaa. Liikearvon arvonalentumistestauksen tuomia muutoksia liikearvon tilinpäätöskäsittelyyn verrattiin aiemmin käytössä olleisiin suunnitelman mukaisiin poistoihin. Tutkimusmenetelmä oli laadullinen ja empiirinen aineisto kerättiin neljän KHT-tilintarkastajan ja kahden IFRS-asiantuntijan haastatteluista. Haastattelut analysoitiin teemoittelemalla litteroitu haastatteluaineisto. Tutkimuksen tulokset viittaavat siihen, että tilintarkastajien kohtaamat haasteet nähdään liittyvän ensisijaisesti arvionvaraisiin tulevaisuuden rahavirtojen ennusteiden tarkastamiseen sekä monimutkaisen arvonalentumistestauksen osa-alueiden hallitsemiseen. Arvonalentumistestauksen nähdään lisäävän tilintarkastajan työmäärää sekä tilintarkastusriskiä.

Verkostoskenaarioiden arviointi sähkön jakeluverkkotoiminnan valvontamenetelmien kannalta

Tämän työn tavoitteena oli selvittää sähkön jakeluverkkotoiminnan valvontamenetelmien muutoksien vaikutuksia Loiste Sähköverkko Oy:n talouteen neljännellä ja viidennellä valvontajaksolla. Tarkastelua varten tehtiin talousmalli, joka mallintaa verkkoyhtiön taloutta vuoteen 2040 asti. Talousmallissa mallinnettiin kaikkien kannustimien vaikutus paitsi innovaatio- ja toimitusvarmuuskannustimien vaikutus. Talousmallinnuksen perusperiaate oli, että mitä ei pystytä kattamaan siirtotuloilla, rahoitetaan vieraalla pääomalla, kun kassavirran minimitaso ja investointitaso ovat valittu. Talousmallilla tarkasteltiin neljää erilaista verkostoskenaariota. Tarkasteltavat verkostoskenaariot olivat kehittämissuunnitelman mukainen skenaario, nopeutettu kehittämissuunnitelman mukainen skenaario, kaapelointipainotteinen skenaario ja kunnossapitopainotteinen skenaario. Verkon arvon kehittyminen verkostoskenaarioissa mallinnettiin Loiste Sähköverkko Oy:n investointimallilla ja kuvattiin talousmallinnusta varten jälleenhankinta-arvon, nykykäyttöarvon, investointien ja tasapoistojen kehittymisellä vuoteen 2029 asti. Työn tulosten perusteella kehittämissuunnitelman mukaisessa skenaariossa vieraan pääoman määrä pysyy kohtuullisena ja mahdollistaa kohtuullisen kassavirran tarkastelujakson lopussa. Nopeutetussa kehittämissuunnitelman mukaisessa skenaariossa ja kaapelointipainotteisissa skenaariossa vieraan pääoman määrä kasvaa merkittävästi, mikä voi lisätä liiketaloudellisia riskejä, mutta toisaalta mahdollistavat korkeamman kassavirran tarkastelujakson lopussa. Kunnossapitopainotteisessa skenaariossa vieraan pääoman määrä on matala, mutta kassavirta myös pysyy matalana tarkastelujakson loppuun asti.

Liquidity levels of Finnish SME’s from 2007 to 2013 and a closer analysis of the IC sector

TAVOITTEET: Tämän tutkielman tarkoitus on tarkastella eri toimialojen likviditeettitasoja vuosien 2007 ja 2013 välillä. Se tarkastelee myös kassanhallinnan ja likviditeetin kirjallisuutta, erilaisia likviditeettiä kuvaavia tunnuslukuja sekä asioita, joilla on vaikutusta likviditeettiin. Tämän lisäksi se tutkii informaatio ja kommunikaatio sektoria tarkemmin. DATA: Data on kerätty Orbis tietokannasta. Toimialakohtaiset keskiarvot on laskettu joko kappaleen 2 esittämillä kaavoilla tai noudettu suoraan tietokannasta. Hajonta kuvaajat on tehty Excelillä ja korrelaatio matriisi ja regressioanalyysit SAS EG:llä. TULOKSET: Tämä tutkimus esittää toimialakohtaiset keskiarvot liquidity ratiosta, solvency ratiosta sekä gearingista, kuten monista muista likviditeettiä kuvaavista tai siihen vaikuttavista tunnusluvuista. Tutkimus osoittaa, että keskimäärin likviditeetti ja maksuvalmius ovat säilyneet melko samana, mutta toimialakohtaiset muutokset ovat voimakkaita. IC sektorilla likviditeettiin vaikuttaa katetuotto, työntekijöiden määrä, liikevaihto, taseen määrä sekä maksuaika.

Tukkuliikkeen varastoarvon alentaminen ja sen vaikutukset käyttöpääomaan

This master’s thesis considers wholesale company’s inventory value reduction and its effects to the operative working capital. The aim is to reduce inventory value by Enterprise Resource Planning System SAP in a controlled manner and without reducing the service level. This thesis contains a theory chapter of inventory management, operative working capital and benefits of ERP sys-tems in inventory management. These theory chapters are applied to practice, and the result is a lower inventory value in the case company. This releases more operative working capital to other more profitable subjects. With more accurate sales forecasts and by using SAP in the supply chain management average stock value can be reduced by 700 k€ which, in turn, reduces Cash Conversion Cycle by 7 days.

Foreign exchange exposure management in a fuel procurement company operating in the commodity markets

Fluctuating commodity prices, foreign exchange rates and interest rates are causing changes in cash flows, market value and the companies’ profit. Most of the commodities are quoted in US dollar. Companies with non-dollar accounting face a double risk in the form of the commodity price risk and foreign exchange risk. The objective of this Master’s thesis is to find out how companies under commodity should manage foreign exchange exposure. The theoretical literature is based on foreign exchange risk, commodity risk and foreign exchange exposure management. The empirical research is done by using constructive modelling of a case company in the oil industry. The exposure is model with foreign exchange net cash flow and net working capital. First, the factors affecting foreign exchange exposure in case company are analyzed, then a model of foreign exchange exposure is created. Finally, the models are compared and the most suitable method is defined. According to the literature, foreign exchange exposure is the foreign exchange net cash flow. However, the results of the study show that foreign exchange risk can be managed also with net working capital. When the purchases, sales and storage are under foreign exchange risk, the best way to manage foreign exchange exposure is with combined net cash flow and net working capital method. The foreign exchange risk policy of the company defines the appropriate way to manage foreign exchange risk.

The role of management accounting systems and venture capital investors for start-up firms

The role of star-up firms in economy and the importance of venture capital investors for the growth of start-up firms have been highlighted in recent years. The growth challenges of start-up firms consist of fast changing environment, the availability of venture capital funding and the development of firm management in the growth phase. A growing number of studies have focused on management accounting systems and venture capital in start-up and growth firm context. In this thesis the role of management accounting systems and venture capital investors is considered in the growth phase of firm development. The theoretical objective of this thesis is to construct a theoretical framework in order to describe the importance of management accounting systems and venture capital investors in start-up firms. The practice orientated objective of this thesis is to study the application of management accounting systems and management accounting based information in start-up firms in high-technology industry as well as the impact of venture capital for management accounting system design. In addition, the growth challenges of start-up firms are studied in order to understand the context in which management accounting systems are used. The research approach of theoretical part is conceptual as the theoretical framework is constructed by combining literature on firm growth, management accounting and venture finance in order to analyse the phenomenon. The action-orientated research approach is appropriate for analysing and describing of the studied phenomenon through empirical evidence. The empirical evidence was collected through interviews with three experts in start-up firm accelerator centers, four representatives of start-up firms and one venture capital investor. The results indicate that the growth challenges of stat-up firms are not related to the development of management accounting systems. Managers of start-up firms expressed a positive attitude towards management accounting systems that improve efficiency of operations. In start-up firms flexible and adjustable management accounting practices, such as budgets, cash flow calculations and future-orientated analysis tools, are applied that support planning and coordination of operations. The results indicate that venture capital investors affect the provision and the quality of management accounting information during the investment process. In addition, venture capital investors enhance the use of management accounting information for internal coordination in start-up firms. By applying the theoretical framework in the analysis, it can be stated that by acting as support function management accounting systems facilitate start-up firms development.

Public-private partnership investments in dry ports – Russian logistics markets and risks

The investments have always been considered as an essential backbone and so-called ‘locomotive’ for the competitive economies. However, in various countries, the state has been put under tight budget constraints for the investments in capital intensive projects. In response to this situation, the cooperation between public and private sector has grown based on public-private mechanism. The promotion of favorable arrangement for collaboration between public and private sectors for the provision of policies, services, and infrastructure in Russia can help to address the problems of dry ports development that neither municipalities nor the private sector can solve alone. Especially, the stimulation of public-private collaboration is significant under the exposure to externalities that affect the magnitude of the risks during all phases of project realization. In these circumstances, the risk in the projects also is becoming increasingly a part of joint research and risk management practice, which is viewed as a key approach, aiming to take active actions on existing global and specific factors of uncertainties. Meanwhile, a relatively little progress has been made on the inclusion of the resilience aspects into the planning process of a dry ports construction that would instruct the capacity planner, on how to mitigate the occurrence of disruptions that may lead to million dollars of losses due to the deviation of the future cash flows from the expected financial flows on the project. The current experience shows that the existing methodological base is developed fragmentary within separate steps of supply chain risk management (SCRM) processes: risk identification, risk evaluation, risk mitigation, risk monitoring and control phases. The lack of the systematic approach hinders the solution of the problem of risk management processes of dry port implementation. Therefore, management of various risks during the investments phases of dry port projects still presents a considerable challenge from the practical and theoretical points of view. In this regard, the given research became a logical continuation of fundamental research, existing in the financial models and theories (e.g., capital asset pricing model and real option theory), as well as provided a complementation for the portfolio theory. The goal of the current study is in the design of methods and models for the facilitation of dry port implementation through the mechanism of public-private partnership on the national market that implies the necessity to mitigate, first and foremost, the shortage of the investments and consequences of risks. The problem of the research was formulated on the ground of the identified contradictions. They rose as a continuation of the trade-off between the opportunities that the investors can gain from the development of terminal business in Russia (i.e. dry port implementation) and risks. As a rule, the higher the investment risk, the greater should be their expected return. However, investors have a different tolerance for the risks. That is why it would be advisable to find an optimum investment. In the given study, the optimum relates to the search for the efficient portfolio, which can provide satisfaction to the investor, depending on its degree of risk aversion. There are many theories and methods in finance, concerning investment choices. Nevertheless, the appropriateness and effectiveness of particular methods should be considered with the allowance of the specifics of the investment projects. For example, the investments in dry ports imply not only the lump sum of financial inflows, but also the long-term payback periods. As a result, capital intensity and longevity of their construction determine the necessity from investors to ensure the return on investment (profitability), along with the rapid return on investment (liquidity), without precluding the fact that the stochastic nature of the project environment is hardly described by the formula-based approach. The current theoretical base for the economic appraisals of the dry port projects more often perceives net present value (NPV) as a technique superior to other decision-making criteria. For example, the portfolio theory, which considers different risk preference of an investor and structures of utility, defines net present value as a better criterion of project appraisal than discounted payback period (DPP). Meanwhile, in business practice, the DPP is more popular. Knowing that the NPV is based on the assumptions of certainty of project life, it cannot be an accurate appraisal approach alone to determine whether or not the project should be accepted for the approval in the environment that is not without of uncertainties. In order to reflect the period or the project’s useful life that is exposed to risks due to changes in political, operational, and financial factors, the second capital budgeting criterion – discounted payback period is profoundly important, particularly for the Russian environment. Those statements represent contradictions that exist in the theory and practice of the applied science. Therefore, it would be desirable to relax the assumptions of portfolio theory and regard DPP as not fewer relevant appraisal approach for the assessment of the investment and risk measure. At the same time, the rationality of the use of both project performance criteria depends on the methods and models, with the help of which these appraisal approaches are calculated in feasibility studies. The deterministic methods cannot ensure the required precision of the results, while the stochastic models guarantee the sufficient level of the accuracy and reliability of the obtained results, providing that the risks are properly identified, evaluated, and mitigated. Otherwise, the project performance indicators may not be confirmed during the phase of project realization. For instance, the economic and political instability can result in the undoing of hard-earned gains, leading to the need for the attraction of the additional finances for the project. The sources of the alternative investments, as well as supportive mitigation strategies, can be studied during the initial phases of project development. During this period, the effectiveness of the investments undertakings can also be improved by the inclusion of the various investors, e.g. Russian Railways’ enterprises and other private companies in the dry port projects. However, the evaluation of the effectiveness of the participation of different investors in the project lack the methods and models that would permit doing the particular feasibility study, foreseeing the quantitative characteristics of risks and their mitigation strategies, which can meet the tolerance of the investors to the risks. For this reason, the research proposes a combination of Monte Carlo method, discounted cash flow technique, the theory of real options, and portfolio theory via a system dynamics simulation approach. The use of this methodology allows for comprehensive risk management process of dry port development to cover all aspects of risk identification, risk evaluation, risk mitigation, risk monitoring, and control phases. A designed system dynamics model can be recommended for the decision-makers on the dry port projects that are financed via a public-private partnership. It permits investors to make a decision appraisal based on random variables of net present value and discounted payback period, depending on different risks factors, e.g. revenue risks, land acquisition risks, traffic volume risks, construction hazards, and political risks. In this case, the statistical mean is used for the explication of the expected value of the DPP and NPV; the standard deviation is proposed as a characteristic of risks, while the elasticity coefficient is applied for rating of risks. Additionally, the risk of failure of project investments and guaranteed recoupment of capital investment can be considered with the help of the model. On the whole, the application of these modern methods of simulation creates preconditions for the controlling of the process of dry port development, i.e. making managerial changes and identifying the most stable parameters that contribute to the optimal alternative scenarios of the project realization in the uncertain environment. System dynamics model allows analyzing the interactions in the most complex mechanism of risk management process of the dry ports development and making proposals for the improvement of the effectiveness of the investments via an estimation of different risk management strategies. For the comparison and ranking of these alternatives in their order of preference to the investor, the proposed indicators of the efficiency of the investments, concerning the NPV, DPP, and coefficient of variation, can be used. Thus, rational investors, who averse to taking increased risks unless they are compensated by the commensurate increase in the expected utility of a risky prospect of dry port development, can be guided by the deduced marginal utility of investments. It is computed on the ground of the results from the system dynamics model. In conclusion, the outlined theoretical and practical implications for the management of risks, which are the key characteristics of public-private partnerships, can help analysts and planning managers in budget decision-making, substantially alleviating the effect from various risks and avoiding unnecessary cost overruns in dry port projects.