Predicting bankruptcy of Finnish limited liability companies from historical financial statements

This master’s thesis studies the probability of bankruptcy of Finnish limited liability companies as a part of credit risk assessment. The main idea of this thesis is to build and test bankruptcy prediction models for Finnish limited liability companies that can be utilized in credit decision making. The data used in this thesis consists of historical financial statements from 2112 Finnish limited liability companies, half of which have filed for bankruptcy. A total of four models are developed, two with logistic regression and two with multivariate discriminant analysis (MDA). The time horizon of the models varies from 1 to 2 years prior to the bankruptcy, and 14 different financial variables are used in the model formation. The results show that the prediction accuracy of the models ranges between 81.7% and 88.9%, and the best prediction accuracy is achieved with the one year prior the bankruptcy logistic regression model. However the difference between the best logistic model and the best MDA model is minimal. Overall based on the results of this thesis it can be concluded that predicting bankruptcy is possible to some extent, but naturally the results are not perfect.

The impact of industrial context and institutional factors on innovation and internationalization of Russian companies

Innovation and internationalization nowadays play significant role in formation of the competitive advantage for the companies and it is important to explore these processes deeply and use their potential. Such parameters, as industrial context and institutional factors, are essential parts of the business life and their influence may be crucial for the company’s performance. The Master’s Thesis explores impact of industrial context and institutional factors on innovation and internationalization of Russian companies. This research is quantitative and based on the analysis of the relevant scientific literature and results of the survey, conducted among Russian manufacturing companies. Findings show positive influence of industrial context factor “international threat” and institutional environment factor “lack of resources and the market imperfections” on internationalization of innovative Russian companies.

Innovation Process and Organizational Adoption of Disruptive Innovation: Empirical Evidence from Finnish Bio-Economy Companies.

The thesis aims to build a coherent view and understanding of the innovation process and organizational technology adoption in Finnish bio-economy companies with a focus on innovations of a disruptive nature. Disruptive innovations are exceptional hence in order to create generalizations and a unified view of the subject the perspective is also on less radical innovations. Other interests of the thesis are how ideas are discovered and generated and how the nature of the innovation and size of the company affect the technology adoption and innovation process. The data was collected by interviewing six small and six large Finnish bio-economy companies. The results suggest companies regardless of size consider innovation as a core asset in the competitive markets. Organizations want to be considered innovators and early adopters yet these qualities are limited by certain, mainly resource-based factors. In addition the industry, scalability and Finland’s geographical location when seeking funding provide certain challenges. The innovation process may be considered relatively similar whether the idea or technology stems from an internal or external source suggesting the technology adoption process can in fact be linked to the innovation process theories. Thus the thesis introduces a new theoretical model which based on the results of the study and the theories of technology adoption and innovation process aims on characterizing how ideas and technology from both external and internal sources generate into innovations. The innovation process is in large bio-economy companies most often similar to or a modified version of the stage-gate model, while small companies generally have less structured processes. Nevertheless the more disruptive the innovation, the less it fits in the structured processes. This implies disruptive innovation cannot be put in a certain mould but it is rather processed case-by-case.

Purchasing Process of Industrial Solutions – Added Value, Difficulties and Good Practices

Purpose of this study is to clarify the industrial solutions purchasing process from purchaser companies’ point of view. Also customer’s view on value generating aspects and difficulties in purchases will be discussed as well as different purchas-ing entities where customers have ended up in their solution purchases. Current solution literature is mainly concentrated in supplier views and customer perspec-tive has been left without adequate attention. However, knowledge of the customer and the identification of customer need are at the core of a successful solution business. The focus of this thesis is on Finnish companies’ solution purchases that have been realized during last five years. Industrial solutions in this case are facto-ries or other large industrial plants. Industrial solutions’ purchasing process will be opened all the way from discovering the need until the start-up of the plant. Of in-terest is the customer experience of the success of the acquisition and the pur-chaser’s view on good practices allowing a successful procurement project.

The role of import intermediary companies in the Russian imports from the EU A case study of a Russian industrial company’s point of view on import intermediaries

The literature on agency suggests different implications for the use of export intermediaries. However, only few studies provide a view on import intermediaries. This thesis tries for its part to fill this research gap by studying the import intermediaries in the EU–Russia trade from a Russian industrial company’s point of view. The aim is to describe import intermediation and explain the need for import intermediary companies in the EU–Russia trade. The theoretical framework of this thesis originates from an article by Peng and York (2001), in which they study the performance of export intermediaries. This thesis applies resource-based theory, transaction cost theory and agency cost theory, following the idea of Peng and York. The resource-based theory approach is utilised for describing an ideal import intermediary company, and transaction cost theory provides a basis for understanding the benefits of using the services of import intermediary companies, while agency cost theory is applied in order to understand the risks the Russian industrial company faces when it decides to use the services of import intermediaries. The study is performed in the form of a case interview with a representative of a major Russian metallurgy company. The results of the study suggest that an ideal intermediary has the skills required specifically for the imports process, in order to save time and money of the principal company. The intermediary company helps reducing the amount of time the managers and the staff of the principal company use to make imports possible, thus reducing the salary costs and providing the possibility to concentrate on the company’s core competencies. The benefits of using the services of import intermediary companies are the reduced transaction costs, especially salary costs that are minimised because of the effectiveness and specialisation of import intermediaries. Intermediaries are specialised in the imports process and thus need less time and resources to organise the imports. They also help to reduce the fixed salary costs, because their services can be used only when needed. The risks of being misled by intermediaries are minimised by the competition on the import intermediary market. In case an intermediary attempts fraud, it gets replaced by its rival.

The role of auditors in the Finnish limited liability companies as to solvency test in the context of asset distribution

Suomen osakeyhtiölain mukaan varoja ei saa jakaa, jos jaosta päätettäessä tiedetään tai pitäisi tietää yhtiön olevan maksukyvytön tai jaon aiheuttavan maksukyvyttömyyden. Ongelmallista on, että maksukykyä ei ole selvästi määritelty laissa tai hallituksen esityksessä. Tilintarkastuslain mukaan tilintarkastajan on siten huomautettava, jos maksukykytestiä on rikottu, mutta tilintarkastaja joutuu yleensä määrittelemään tällaiset huomauttamista vaativat tilanteet itse. Maksukykytestistä on kirjoitettu suomalaisessa yhtiöoikeuden ja laskentatoimen kirjallisuudessa melko kattavasti. Kuitenkin tilintarkastajaa koskeva näkökulma on saanut osakseen suhteellisen vähän huomiota. Tästä näkökulmasta on kirjoitettu vain joitakin korkeakoulujen tutkielmia sekä lyhyehköjä ammatillisia seminaariesityksiä. Tämän tutkielman tavoitteena on ollut koota laaja yleiskuva siitä, miten tilintarkastajat itse kokevat asemansa ja tehtävänsä yllä kuvatuissa tilanteessa. Tutkielmassa on käyty läpi aikaisempaa yhtiöoikeuden ja laskentatoimen kirjallisuudessa ja seminaariesityksissä esitettyä aineistoa. Lisäksi tutkielmaa varten tehtiin suomalaisille tilintarkastajille kohdennettu Internet-pohjainen kysely. Tutkielma selkeyttää kuvaa siitä, miten tilintarkastajat toimivat yllä kuvatussa tilanteessa ja miten he ovat sopeuttaneet toimiaan yhteiskunnan institutionaalisen asetelman muututtua. Kirjallisuuden pohjalta tapahtuva teoreettinen analyysi on yhdistetty kyselyyn siitä, miten tilintarkastajat käytännössä toimivat. Tutkimuksen perustana olevaa tietoa on analysoitu pääosin kyselytutkimuksen menetelmin, mutta myös tilastollisen tutkimuksen menetelmiä on käytetty. Tutkielman tuloksena tutkielmassa selvitetään tilintarkastajan tehtäviä maksukykytestin yhteydessä. Tuloksena voidaan myös todeta, että tilintarkastaja ei suorita varojenjaossa tarvittavan maksukyvyn arvioinnin kannalta keskeisiä tarkastustoimenpiteitä ainoastaan tilikauden päättymisen jälkeen. Päinvastoin, tällaisia tarkastustoimenpiteitä suoritetaan enemmän tai vähemmän koko tilintarkastuksen aikana. Lisäksi vaikuttaisi siltä, että tilintarkastajan oma suhtautuminen maksukykytestiin on ainakin jossain määrin merkityksellinen sen kannalta, kuinka paljon tarkastustoimenpiteitä tehdään ja kuinka paljon maksukyvystä ja siihen liittyvistä puutteista raportoidaan yhtiön johdolle.