May increasing incidence of breast cancer be related to overdiagnosis? : a population-based study

Background: Breast cancer is the first cause of cancer in women in Switzerland. While breast cancer mortality has sharply decreased in the two last decades in Switzerland, the incidence of breast cancer has increased during the same period. Various reasons for this increase have been hypothesized, such as the increase in the prevalence of obesity, the use of postmenauposal hormone replacement therapy, or a later age for having a first child. Overdiagnosis secondary to screening and any other forms of early detection procedures could be also involved. Analyses of breast cancer by stage can help evaluate if overdiagnosis could have contributed to the increase in the incidence of breast cancer. Methods: We used data from the Valais cancer registry at the Observatoire valaisan de la santé (www.ovs.ch). This population based registry collects data on all new (incident) cases of cancer diagnosed in women living in one canton of Switzerland, Valais. Cancers are coded according to the International Classification of Diseases for Oncology (ICD-O-3) and the stages are coded according to the TNM classification. Information on breast cancer stage (in situ: 0; invasive: I, II, III, IV) was available for all cases recorded between 1993 and 2011 (N=4246). Standardized rates of breast cancer were computed (direct standardization on European population).

Escalating incidence of eosinophilic esophagitis in Canton of Vaud, Switzerland, 1993-2013: a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Eosinophilic esophagitis (EoE) is a chronic, inflammatory disease of the esophagus with a rapidly increasing incidence. However, population-based epidemiologic data on EoE are rare and limited to regions with less than 200 000 inhabitants. We evaluated the incidence and prevalence of EoE over time in Canton of Vaud, Switzerland. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Canton of Vaud lies in the French-speaking, Western part of Switzerland. As of December 2013, it had a population of 743 317 inhabitants. We contacted all pathology institutes (n = 6) in this canton to identify patients that have been diagnosed with esophageal eosinophilia between 1993 and 2013. We then performed a chart review in all adult and pediatric gastroenterology practices to identify patients with EoE. RESULTS: Of 263 patients with esophageal eosinophilia, a total of 179 fulfilled the diagnostic criteria for EoE. Median diagnostic delay was 4 (IQR 1-9) years. No patient was diagnosed with EoE prior to 2003. Incidence of EoE increased from 0.16/100 000 inhabitants in 2004 to 6.3/100 000 inhabitants in 2013 (P < 0.001). The cumulative EoE prevalence in 2013 was 24.1/100 000. The incidence in males was 2.8 times higher (95% CI 2.01-3.88, P < 0.001) when compared to that in females. The annual EoE incidence was 10.6 times higher (95%-CI 7.61-14.87, P < 0.001) in the period from 2010 to 2013 when compared to that in the period from 1993 to 2009. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence and cumulative prevalence of EoE in Canton of Vaud, Switzerland, has rapidly increased in the past 10 years.

Incidence of outer retinal tubulation in ranibizumab-treated age-related macular degeneration.

PURPOSE: To investigate the incidence of outer retinal tubulation (ORT) in ranibizumab-treated neovascular age-related macular degeneration patients. METHODS: We included 480 consecutive patients (546 eyes) with neovascular age-related macular degeneration, who were treated with variable-dosing intravitreal ranibizumab, evaluated with spectral domain optical coherence tomography, and followed-up for a minimum period of 6 months. Optical coherence tomographies were evaluated for the first appearance of ORT, precursor signs, and type of underlying lesion. Visual acuity was also recorded. RESULTS: Outer retinal tubulation was observed in 30% of eyes during a mean follow-up period of 26.7 months (SD, 13.5). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis revealed that the ORT incidence (2.5, 17.5, 28.4, and 41.6% at baseline, after 1, 2, and 4 years, respectively) continuously increased, despite visually effective anti-vascular endothelial growth factor treatment. Outer retinal tubulation was associated with a poorer functional benefit. Lower baseline visual acuity was associated with a higher risk of developing ORT. CONCLUSION: Incidence of ORT continuously increases despite visually optimal anti-vascular endothelial growth factor treatment of age-related macular degeneration. Outer retinal tubulation might be considered a prognostic factor for functional outcome and is relevant to avoid overtreatment.

Iron metabolism and incidence of metabolic syndrome.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Whether iron metabolism affects metabolic syndrome (METS) is debated. We assessed the association between several markers of iron metabolism and incidence of METS. METHODS AND RESULTS: Data from 3271 participants (1870 women, 51.3 ± 10.4 years), free of METS at baseline and followed for 5.5 years. The association of serum iron, ferritin and transferrin with incident METS was assessed separately by gender. Incidence of METS was 22.6% in men and 16.5% in women (p < 0.001). After multivariate adjustment, a positive association was found between transferrin and incident METS in men: odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval for the fourth relative to the first quartile 1.55 (1.04-2.31), p for trend = 0.03, while no association was found for iron OR = 0.81 (0.53-1.24), p for trend = 0.33 and ferritin OR = 1.30 (0.88-1.92), p for trend = 0.018. In women, a negative association was found between iron and incident METS: OR for the fourth relative to the first quartile 0.51 (0.33-0.80), p for trend<0.03; the association between transferrin and incident METS was borderline significant: OR = 1.45 (0.97-2.17), p for trend = 0.07 and no association was found for ferritin: OR = 1.11 (0.76-1.63), p for trend = 0.58. CONCLUSION: Transferrin, not ferritin, is independently associated with an increased risk of incident METS; the protective effect of iron in women should be further explored.

CRTC2 polymorphism as a risk factor for the incidence of metabolic syndrome in patients with solid organ transplantation.

NlmCategory="UNASSIGNED">Metabolic syndrome after transplantation is a major concern following solid organ transplantation (SOT). The CREB-regulated transcription co-activator 2 (CRTC2) regulates glucose metabolism. The effect of CRTC2 polymorphisms on new-onset diabetes after transplantation (NODAT) was investigated in a discovery sample of SOT recipients (n1=197). Positive results were tested for replication in two samples from the Swiss Transplant Cohort Study (STCS, n2=1294 and n3=759). Obesity and other metabolic traits were also tested. Associations with metabolic traits in population-based samples (n4=46'186, n5=123'865, n6>100,000) were finally analyzed. In the discovery sample, CRTC2 rs8450-AA genotype was associated with NODAT, fasting blood glucose and body mass index (Pcorrected<0.05). CRTC2 rs8450-AA genotype was associated with NODAT in the second STCS replication sample (odd ratio (OR)=2.01, P=0.04). In the combined STCS replication samples, the effect of rs8450-AA genotype on NODAT was observed in patients having received SOT from a deceased donor and treated with tacrolimus (n=395, OR=2.08, P=0.02) and in non-kidney transplant recipients (OR=2.09, P=0.02). Moreover, rs8450-AA genotype was associated with overweight or obesity (n=1215, OR=1.56, P=0.02), new-onset hyperlipidemia (n=1007, OR=1.76, P=0.007), and lower high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (n=1214, β=-0.08, P=0.001). In the population-based samples, a proxy of rs8450G>A was significantly associated with several metabolic abnormalities. CRTC2 rs8450G>A appears to have an important role in the high prevalence of metabolic traits observed in patients with SOT. A weak association with metabolic traits was also observed in the population-based samples.The Pharmacogenomics Journal advance online publication, 8 December 2015; doi:10.1038/tpj.2015.82.

Smoking cessation and the incidence of pre-diabetes and type 2 diabetes: a cohort study.

AIMS: Smoking cessation has been suggested to increase the short-term risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). This study aimed at assessing the association between smoking cessation and incidence of T2DM and impaired fasting glucose (IFG). METHODS: Data from participants in the CoLaus study, Switzerland, aged 35-75 at baseline and followed for 5.5years were used. Participants were classified as smokers, recent (≤5years), long-term (>5years) quitters, and non-smokers at baseline. Outcomes were IFG (fasting serum glucose (FSG) 5.6-6.99mmol/l) and T2DM (FSG ≥7.0mmol/l and/or treatment) at follow up. RESULTS: 3,166 participants (63% women) had normal baseline FSG, of whom 26.7% were smokers, 6.5% recent quitters, and 23.5% long-term quitters. During follow-up 1,311 participants (41.4%) developed IFG (33.6% women, 54.7% men) and 47 (1.5%) developed T2DM (1.1% women, 2.1% men). Former smokers did not have statistically significant increased odds of IFG compared with smokers after adjustment for age, education, physical activity, hypercholesterolemia, hypertension and alcohol intake, with OR of 1.29 [95% confidence interval 0.94-1.76] for recent quitters and 1.03 [0.84-1.27] for long-term quitters. Former smokers did not have significant increased odds of T2DM compared with smokers with multivariable-adjusted OR of 1.53 [0.58-4.00] for recent quitters and 0.64 [0.27-1.48] for long-term quitters. Adjustment for body-mass index and waist circumference attenuated the association between recent quitting and IFG (OR 1.07 [0.78-1.48]) and T2DM (OR 1.28 [0.48-3.40]. CONCLUSION: In this middle-aged population, smoking cessation was not associated with an increased risk of IFG or T2DM.

Smoking cessation and the incidence of pre-diabetes and type 2 diabetes : a cohort study

Le tabagisme est associé à un risque augmenté de développer un diabète de type 2. Arrêter de fumer devrait donc diminuer le risqué de diabète. Seulement, les études concernant le risque métabolique à l'arrêt du tabac sont discordantes. Par ailleurs, les effets métaboliques du tabac et de l'arrêt du tabac diffèrent probablement selon le sexe, avec notamment un effet différent du tabac sur la santé des femmes, et une prise pondérale plus importante à l'arrêt que chez les hommes. Notre étude vise à évaluer le risque métabolique à l'arrêt du tabac, chez les femmes et les homes séparément. Nous avons utilisé les données de l'étude de cohorte prospective CoLaus, qui évalue différents facteurs de risque cardiovasculaire chez des sujets choisis de manière aléatoire, dans la population Lausannoise entre 35 et 75 ans, suivis sur 5.5 ans en moyenne. Parmi ceux avec une glycémie à jeun normale au départ, nous avons divisé les participants en quatre groupes selon leur statut tabagique : non fumeurs, personnes ayant arrêté de fumer depuis plus de 5 ans, celles ayant arrêté depuis moins de 5 ans, et fumeurs actifs. Nous avons mesuré les incidences de glycémie à jeun altérée (5.6-6.99 mmol/l) et de diabète (glycémie à jeun ≥ 7 mmol/l et/ou traitement pour le diabète) durant le période de suivi, stratifiées par sexe. Puis le risque d'incidence de glycémie altérée et de diabète a été calculé avec trois niveaux d'ajustement pour les facteurs confondants pour un risque métabolique. Nous avons inclus 3166 participants, dont 63% de femmes. Au total, 26.3% étaient fumeurs, 6.5% ex-fumeurs depuis moins de 5 ans et 23.5% ex-fumeurs depuis plus de 5 ans. Durant le suivi, 1311 (41.4%) personnes ont développé une glycémie à jeun altérée (33.6% des femmes, 54.7% des homes), et 47 (1.5%) ont développé un diabète (1.1% des femmes, 2.1% des hommes). Les personnes ayant arrêté de fumer n'avait pas de risque significativement plus élevé de développer une glycémie à jeun altérée ou un diabète que les fumeurs, après ajustement pour l'âge, l'éducation, l'hypercholestérolémie, la prise d'alcool, l'activité physique, la prise de poids, le BMI initial et le BMI d'arrivée dans les différents modèles d'ajustement. L'analyse de l'interaction du sexe avec ces résultats est également négative. Les analyses de sensibilité ont montré que l'exclusion des personnes ayant changé de statut tabagique durant le suivi ne changeait pas ces résultats. Nous avons refait les analyses en incluant les participants ayant une glycémie altérée au début du suivi, mais le risque d'incidence de diabète n'est pas plus élevé chez les ex-fumeurs que chez les fumeurs non plus dans cette population. Sur demande d'un reviewer, nous avons également refait les analyses avec la glycémie en continue (valeurs de base et valeurs à 5.5 ans), et la glycémie moyenne n'était pas différente par groupe de tabagisme. En conclusion, dans cette population européenne d'âge moyen, avec une prévalence basse d'obésité et une prise de poids modérée durant le suivi, nous n'avons pas trouvé de risque significativement plus élevé de développer un diabète en arrêtant de fumer, et ce pour les deux sexes. L'arrêt du tabac doit donc être encouragé chez toutes les fumeuses et tous les fumeurs.

Disseminated M. avium complex infection in the Swiss HIV Cohort Study: declining incidence, improved prognosis and discontinuation of maintenance therapy.

Introduction of potent antiretroviral combination therapy (ART) has reduced overall morbidity and mortality amongst HIV-infected adults. Some prophylactic regimes against opportunistic infections can be discontinued in patients under successful ART. (1) The influence of the availability of ART on incidence and mortality of disseminated M. avium Complex infection (MAC). (2) The safety of discontinuation of maintenance therapy against MAC in patients on ART. The Swiss HIV-Cohort Study, a prospective multicentre study of HIV-infected adults. Patients with a nadir CD4 count below 50 cells/mm3 were considered at risk for MAC and contributed to total follow-up time for calculating the incidence. Survival analysis was performed by using Kaplan Meier and Cox proportional hazards methods. Safety of discontinuation of maintenance therapy was evaluated by review of the medical notes. 398 patients were diagnosed with MAC from 1990 to 1999. 350 had a previous CD4 count below 50 cells/mm3. A total of 3208 patients had a nadir CD4 count of less than 50 cells/mm3 during the study period and contributed to a total follow-up of 6004 person-years. The incidence over the whole study period was 5.8 events per 100 person-years. In the time period of available ART the incidence of MAC was significantly reduced (1.4 versus 8.8 events per 100 person-years, p < 0.001). Being diagnosed after 1995 was the most powerful predictor of better survival (adjusted hazard ratio for death: 0.27; p < 0.001). None of 24 patients discontinuing maintenance therapy while on ART experienced recurrence of MAC during a total follow-up of 56.6 person-years (upper 95% confidence limit 5.3 per 100 person-years). Introducing ART has markedly reduced the risk of MAC for HIV-infected individuals with a history of very low CD4 counts. Survival after diagnosis of MAC has improved after ART became available. In patients responding to ART, discontinuation of maintenance therapy against M. avium may be safe.

Unusual spread of a penicillin-susceptible methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus clone in a geographic area of low incidence.

We describe the unusual spread of a penicillin-susceptible methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) clone in hospitals in western Switzerland, where the incidence of MRSA is usually low. During a 2-year period, this clone had been responsible for several outbreaks and had been isolated from &gt;156 persons in 21 institutions. Molecular typing by pulsed-field gel electrophoresis (PFGE) demonstrated that all of these isolates belonged to the same clone. In 1 of the outbreaks, involving 30 cases, the clone was responsible for at least 17 secondary cases. In contrast, during the period of the latter outbreak, 9 other patients harboring different MRSA strains, as assessed by PFGE, were hospitalized in the same wards, but no secondary cases occurred. These observations suggest that this clone, compared with other MRSA strains, had some intrinsic factor(s) that contributed to its ability to disseminate and could thus be considered epidemic.

Persistence of a Gastrocutaneous Fistula after gastrostomy removal in children: Incidence and predictive factors

Background/Purpose: The aims of this study were to determine the incidence of persistent gastrocutaneous fistulas (GCF) after gastrostomy removal and to identify associated risk factors. Methods: This retrospective study included 75 children from the Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Vaudois, Lausanne, Switzerland who had a gastrostomy performed between 1988 and 2010. The records of the children were reviewed for sex, age at the time of gastrostomy removal, underlying disease, type of gastrostomy placement and length of use, and then analyzed in order to find a correlation between the GCF and these parameters. Results: The gastrostomy orifice did not close spontaneously within the first month in 33 of the patients (44%), and 15 subsequently underwent surgical closure. The mean duration of gastrostomy use was significantly longer in children who developed a persistent GCF (30 vs. 19 months, P = 0.03). The other parameters studied did not show any significant association with the persistence of a GCF. Conclusions: The only predictive factor determining the persistence of a GCF was found to be the timespan between the placement and removal of the gastrostomy appliance. Elective surgical closure of the gastrostomy orifice should be considered after 1 month of persistent GCF.

High constant incidence rates of second primary cancers of the head and neck: a pooled analysis of 13 cancer registries.

Scanty data are available on the incidence (i.e., the absolute risk) of second cancers of the head and neck (HN) and its pattern with age. We investigated this issue using data from a multicentric study of 13 population-based cancer registries from Europe, Canada, Australia and Singapore for the years 1943-2000. A total of 99,257 patients had a first primary HN cancer (15,985 tongue, 22,378 mouth, 20,758 pharyngeal, and 40,190 laryngeal cancer), contributing to 489,855 person-years of follow-up. A total of 1,294 of the patients (1.3%) were diagnosed with second HN cancers (342 tongue, 345 mouth, 418 pharynx and 189 larynx). Male incidence rates of first HN cancer steeply increased from 0.68/100,000 at age 30-34 to 46.2/100,000 at age 70-74, and leveled off at older age; female incidence increased from 0.50/100,000 at age 30-34 to 16.5/100,000 at age 80-84. However, age-specific incidence of second HN cancers after a first HN cancer in men was around 200-300/100,000 between age 40-44 and age 70-74 and tended to decline at subsequent ages (150/100,000 at age 80-84); in women, incidence of second HN cancers was around 200-300/100,000 between age 45-49 and 80-84. The patterns of age-specific incidence were consistent for different subsites of second HN cancer and sexes; moreover, they were similar for age-specific incidence of first primary HN cancer in patients who subsequently developed a second HN cancer. The incidence of second HN cancers does not increase with age, but remains constant, or if anything, decreases with advancing age.

Mandibular osteoradionecrosis in squamous cell carcinoma of the oral cavity and oropharynx: incidence and risk factors.

Objective. Mandibular osteoradionecrosis (ORN) is a serious complication of radiotherapy (RT) in head and neck cancer patients. The aim of this study was to analyze the incidence of and risk factors for mandibular ORN in squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) of the oral cavity and oropharynx.Study Design. Case series with chart review.Setting. University tertiary care center for head and neck oncology.Subjects and Methods. Seventy-three patients treated for stage I to IV SCC of the oral cavity and oropharynx between 2000 and 2007, with a minimum follow-up of 2 years, were included in the study. Treatment modalities included both RT with curative intent and adjuvant RT following tumor surgery. The log-rank test and Cox model were used for univariate and multivariate analyses.Results. The incidence of mandibular ORN was 40% at 5 years. Using univariate analysis, the following risk factors were identified: oral cavity tumors (P < .01), bone invasion (P < .02), any surgery prior to RT (P < .04), and bone surgery (P < .0001). By multivariate analysis, mandibular surgery proved to be the most important risk factor and the only one reaching statistical significance (P < .0002).Conclusion. Mandibular ORN is a frequent long-term complication of RT for oral cavity and oropharynx cancers. Mandibular surgery before irradiation is the only independent risk factor. These aspects must be considered when planning treatment for these tumors.

Incidence and clinical characteristics of herpes zoster after lung transplantation.

BACKGROUND: Solid-organ transplant recipients are at high risk for the development of herpes zoster. Epidemiologic data in lung transplant recipients are lacking. We determined the incidence and clinical characteristics of herpes zoster, and the risk factors for developing herpes zoster, after lung transplantation. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed all adult (&gt;18 years old) lung transplants performed at our institution between January 2001 and December 2005. Clinical characteristics of herpes zoster and potential risk factors associated with herpes zoster were assessed. RESULTS: Two hundred thirty-nine lung transplant recipients were included in the analysis. Median time of follow-up was 722 days (range 18 to 1,943 days). Thirty-five episodes of herpes zoster occurred in 29 patients, with a calculated incidence of 55.1 cases per 1,000 person-years of follow-up. The cumulative probability of herpes zoster was 5.8% at 1 year, 18.1% at 3 years and 20.2% at 5 years post-transplant. Only 2 of the 35 (5.7%) patients had disseminated cutaneous infection and none had visceral involvement. Recurrence of herpes zoster was seen in 13.8% of patients. Post-herpetic neuralgia was detected in 20% of cases. Anti-viral prophylaxis, primarily for cytomegalovirus (CMV), was protective against herpes zoster. No significant epidemiologic risk factors associated with herpes zoster could be identified. CONCLUSIONS: Herpes zoster is a common complication after lung transplantation with a peak incidence at between 1 and 4 years post-transplant. Preventive strategies would be beneficial for this population.

Incidence and outcomes of respiratory viral infections in lung transplant recipients: a prospective study.

BACKGROUND: The incidence and outcomes of respiratory viral infections in lung transplant recipients (LTR) are not well defined. The objective of this prospective study conducted from June 2008 to March 2011 was to characterise the incidence and outcomes of viral respiratory infections in LTR. METHODS: Patients were seen in three contexts: study-specific screenings covering all seasons; routine post-transplantation follow-up; and emergency visits. Nasopharyngeal specimens were collected systematically and bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) was performed when clinically indicated. All specimens underwent testing with a wide panel of molecular assays targeting respiratory viruses. RESULTS: One hundred and twelve LTR had 903 encounters: 570 (63%) were screening visits, 124 (14%) were routine post-transplantation follow-up and 209 (23%) were emergency visits. Respiratory viruses were identified in 174 encounters, 34 of these via BAL. The incidence of infection was 0.83 per patient-year (95% CI 0.45 to 1.52). The viral infection rates upon screening, routine and emergency visits were 14%, 15% and 34%, respectively (p<0.001). Picornavirus was identified most frequently in nasopharyngeal (85/140; 60.7%) and BAL specimens (20/34; 59%). Asymptomatic viral carriage, mainly of picornaviruses, was found at 10% of screening visits. Infections were associated with transient lung function loss and high calcineurin inhibitor blood levels. The hospitalisation rate was 50% (95% CI 30% to 70.9%) for influenza and parainfluenza and 16.9% (95% CI 11.2% to 23.9%) for other viruses. Acute rejection was not associated with viral infection (OR 0.4, 95% CI 0.1 to 1.3). CONCLUSIONS: There is a high incidence of viral infection in LTR; asymptomatic carriage is rare. Viral infections contribute significantly to this population's respiratory symptomatology. No temporal association was observed between infection and acute rejection.