Classificação e previsão de cardiotocogramas usando algoritmos baseados em redes neuronais

Mestrado em Computação e Instrumentação Médica

Gestão da cadeia de abastecimento de bens de consumo baseada em modelos de previsão lineares

Dissertação apresentada ao Instituto Politécnico do Porto para obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Logística

Performance of state space and ARIMA models for consumer retail sales forecasting

Forecasting future sales is one of the most important issues that is beyond all strategic and planning decisions in effective operations of retail businesses. For profitable retail businesses, accurate demand forecasting is crucial in organizing and planning production, purchasing, transportation and labor force. Retail sales series belong to a special type of time series that typically contain trend and seasonal patterns, presenting challenges in developing effective forecasting models. This work compares the forecasting performance of state space models and ARIMA models. The forecasting performance is demonstrated through a case study of retail sales of five different categories of women footwear: Boots, Booties, Flats, Sandals and Shoes. On both methodologies the model with the minimum value of Akaike's Information Criteria for the in-sample period was selected from all admissible models for further evaluation in the out-of-sample. Both one-step and multiple-step forecasts were produced. The results show that when an automatic algorithm the overall out-of-sample forecasting performance of state space and ARIMA models evaluated via RMSE, MAE and MAPE is quite similar on both one-step and multi-step forecasts. We also conclude that state space and ARIMA produce coverage probabilities that are close to the nominal rates for both one-step and multi-step forecasts.

Ancillary services dispatch using linear programming and genetic algorithm approaches

Electricity market players operating in a liberalized environment requires access to an adequate decision support tool, allowing them to consider all the business opportunities and take strategic decisions. Ancillary services represent a good negotiation opportunity that must be considered by market players. For this, decision support tools must include ancillary market simulation. This paper proposes two different methods (Linear Programming and Genetic Algorithm approaches) for ancillary services dispatch. The methodologies are implemented in MASCEM, a multi-agent based electricity market simulator. A test case concerning the dispatch of Regulation Down, Regulation Up, Spinning Reserve and Non-Spinning Reserve services is included in this paper.

Supporting real-time distributed computer-controlled systems with multi-hop P-NET networks

Fieldbus communication networks aim to interconnect sensors, actuators and controllers within process control applications. Therefore, they constitute the foundation upon which real-time distributed computer-controlled systems can be implemented. P-NET is a fieldbus communication standard, which uses a virtual token-passing medium-access-control mechanism. In this paper pre-run-time schedulability conditions for supporting real-time traffic with P-NET networks are established. Essentially, formulae to evaluate the upper bound of the end-to-end communication delay in P-NET messages are provided. Using this upper bound, a feasibility test is then provided to check the timing requirements for accessing remote process variables. This paper also shows how P-NET network segmentation can significantly reduce the end-to-end communication delays for messages with stringent timing requirements.

Métodos de penalidade exacta para resolução de problemas de optimização não linear

In this work we present a classification of some of the existing Penalty Methods (denominated the Exact Penalty Methods) and describe some of its limitations and estimated. With these methods we can solve problems of optimization with continuous, discrete and mixing constrains, without requiring continuity, differentiability or convexity. The boarding consists of transforming the original problem, in a sequence of problems without constrains, derivate of the initial, making possible its resolution for the methods known for this type of problems. Thus, the Penalty Methods can be used as the first step for the resolution of constrained problems for methods typically used in by unconstrained problems. The work finishes discussing a new class of Penalty Methods, for nonlinear optimization, that adjust the penalty parameter dynamically.

Visualizing non-linear control system performance by means of multidimensional scaling

This paper addresses the use of multidimensional scaling in the evaluation of controller performance. Several nonlinear systems are analyzed based on the closed loop time response under the action of a reference step input signal. Three alternative performance indices, based on the time response, Fourier analysis, and mutual information, are tested. The numerical experiments demonstrate the feasibility of the proposed methodology and motivate its extension for other performance measures and new classes of nonlinearities.

Gestão de multi-projeto no processo de desenvolvimento de produto

No âmbito da unidade curricular Dissertação/Projeto/Estágio do 2º ano do Mestrado em Engenharia mecânica – Ramo Gestão Industrial do Instituto Superior de Engenharia do Porto, o presente trabalho de dissertação foi enquadrado num projeto de desenvolvimento de ferramentas de apoio à gestão de projetos. O projeto foi desenvolvido no Instituto de Engenharia Mecânica e Gestão Industrial (INEGI) na unidade de Desenvolvimento de Produto e Sistemas (DPS). A realização deste projeto teve como objetivo o desenvolvimento e adequação de ferramentas de apoio à gestão de multi-projeto no processo de desenvolvimento de produto na organização em estudo – o INEGI – DPS. A gestão de projetos tem hoje uma grande importância nos resultados das empresas essencialmente em virtude da necessidade de estas competirem num mundo em grande mudança com concorrentes ferozes, em que a capacidade de responder às mudanças a tempo e de uma forma integrada se torna cada vez mais importante. A atividade levada a cabo pela DPS impõe a necessidade de uma gestão de projetos mais eficaz e eficiente suportada numa gestão de informação centralizada. O presente projeto de investigação teve, numa primeira fase, uma adaptação à organização em estudo. De seguida, foi conduzida uma revisão da literatura com o objetivo de se obter a fundamentação teórica necessária ao desenvolvimento de ferramentas com base nas metodologias lean. Prosseguiu com o levantamento da situação inicial da organização e com a identificação dos problemas existentes na gestão de projetos. Incluiu também uma revisão e análise das ferramentas existentes na unidade em estudo. Este conhecimento permitiu delinear uma visão para guiar o desenvolvimento das ferramentas. Após a definição da visão foi, então, realizado o desenvolvimento das ferramentas de auxílio à gestão multi-projeto na organização. A concretização deste trabalho resultou no desenvolvimento de três ferramentas de auxílio à gestão multi-projeto na unidade. Estas ferramentas tornam o processo de gestão de projetos mais simples e fácil de assimilar, requerendo apenas alguns inputs por parte dos colaboradores. Estas ferramentas estão apoiadas nos pilares do lean, e deste modo estão vocacionadas para reduzir o desperdício, promover a melhoria contínua, aumentar o desempenho global dos vários atores nos projetos de modo a entregar mais valor e qualidade superior com menores custos. Acima de tudo, valorizar o trabalho dos colaboradores, tornando-os mais eficientes, eficazes, motivados e comprometidos com a organização.

Multi-elemental analysis of ready-to-eat “baby leaf” vegetables using microwave digestion and high-resolution continuum source atomic absorption spectrometry

The mineral content (phosphorous (P), potassium (K), sodium (Na), calcium (Ca), magnesium (Mg), iron (Fe), manganese (Mn), zinc (Zn) and copper (Cu)) of eight ready-to-eat baby leaf vegetables was determined. The samples were subjected to microwave-assisted digestion and the minerals were quantified by High-Resolution Continuum Source Atomic Absorption Spectrometry (HR-CS-AAS) with flame and electrothermal atomisation. The methods were optimised and validated producing low LOQs, good repeatability and linearity, and recoveries, ranging from 91% to 110% for the minerals analysed. Phosphorous was determined by a standard colorimetric method. The accuracy of the method was checked by analysing a certified reference material; results were in agreement with the quantified value. The samples had a high content of potassium and calcium, but the principal mineral was iron. The mineral content was stable during storage and baby leaf vegetables could represent a good source of minerals in a balanced diet. A linear discriminant analysis was performed to compare the mineral profile obtained and showed, as expected, that the mineral content was similar between samples from the same family. The Linear Discriminant Analysis was able to discriminate different samples based on their mineral profile.

A Random Access Protocol incorporating Multi-Packet Reception, Retransmission Diversity and Successive Interference Cancellation

8th International Workshop on Multiple Access Communications (MACOM2015), Helsinki, Finland.

A Multi-DAG Model for Real-Time Parallel Applications with Conditional Execution

The 30th ACM/SIGAPP Symposium On Applied Computing (SAC 2015). 13 to 17, Apr, 2015, Embedded Systems. Salamanca, Spain.

Energy analysis of Multi-legged Locomotion Systems

4th International Conference on Climbing and Walking Robots - From Biology to Industrial Applications

Simulation Environment for Multi-Robot Cooperative 3D Target Perception

4th International Conference, SIMPAR 2014, Bergamo, Italy, October 20-23, 2014

Multi-criteria optimisation approach to increase the delivered power in radial distribution networks

This study proposes a new methodology to increase the power delivered to any load point in a radial distribution network, through the identification of new investments in order to improve the repair time. This research work is innovative and consists in proposing a full optimisation model based on mixed-integer non-linear programming considering the Pareto front technique. The goal is to achieve a reduction in repair times of the distribution networks components, while minimising the costs of that reduction as well as non-supplied energy costs. The optimisation model considers the distribution network technical constraints, the substation transformer taps, and it is able to choose the capacitor banks size. A case study based on a 33-bus distribution network is presented in order to illustrate in detail the application of the proposed methodology.

Spatio-temporal alignment of pedobarographic image sequences

O documento em anexo encontra-se na versão post-print (versão corrigida pelo editor).