Dynamic artificial neural network for electricity market prices forecast

This paper presents an artificial neural network applied to the forecasting of electricity market prices, with the special feature of being dynamic. The dynamism is verified at two different levels. The first level is characterized as a re-training of the network in every iteration, so that the artificial neural network can able to consider the most recent data at all times, and constantly adapt itself to the most recent happenings. The second level considers the adaptation of the neural network’s execution time depending on the circumstances of its use. The execution time adaptation is performed through the automatic adjustment of the amount of data considered for training the network. This is an advantageous and indispensable feature for this neural network’s integration in ALBidS (Adaptive Learning strategic Bidding System), a multi-agent system that has the purpose of providing decision support to the market negotiating players of MASCEM (Multi-Agent Simulator of Competitive Electricity Markets).

Scheduling distributed energy resources in an isolated grid - an artificial neural network approach

Power Systems (PS), have been affected by substantial penetration of Distributed Generation (DG) and the operation in competitive environments. The future PS will have to deal with large-scale integration of DG and other distributed energy resources (DER), such as storage means, and provide to market agents the means to ensure a flexible and secure operation. Virtual power players (VPP) can aggregate a diversity of players, namely generators and consumers, and a diversity of energy resources, including electricity generation based on several technologies, storage and demand response. This paper proposes an artificial neural network (ANN) based methodology to support VPP resource schedule. The trained network is able to achieve good schedule results requiring modest computational means. A real data test case is presented.

Combining artificial intelligence techniques for the training of power system control centre operators

Control Centre operators are essential to assure a good performance of Power Systems. Operators’ actions are critical in dealing with incidents, especially severe faults, like blackouts. In this paper we present an Intelligent Tutoring approach for training Portuguese Control Centre operators in incident analysis and diagnosis, and service restoration of Power Systems, offering context awareness and an easy integration in the working environment.

Monitorização integrada para sistemas de alimentação distribuídos

Mestrado em Engenharia Electrotécnica e de Computadores

Estudo e análise do impacto do sistema de alimentação de tração elétrica (1x25kV - rede convencional, 2x25kV - rede convencional + alta velocidade) na rede de transmissão

A rede de transporte ferroviária é um meio de transporte seguro, rápido e bastante utilizado pela população. Este facto fez com que os sistemas elétricos de tração tivessem uma grande evolução ao longo dos últimos anos nomeadamente, ao nível da alta velocidade. Por essa razão, é pertinente uma análise cuidada do impacto destes sistemas na rede de transporte. Neste trabalho é efetuado um pequeno resumo sobre os sistemas elétricos de tração desde as subestações até à alimentação das locomotivas. Aborda-se também a rede de transporte que se encontra a montante do sistema de tração que sofre perturbações provocadas pelos sistemas de tração. Por último realizou-se uma análise do impacto do sistema de tração na rede de transporte recorrendo à simulação no MATLABTM/Simulink. Analisou-se um conjunto de grandezas elétricas para diversos cenários, considerando a alimentação da catenária a 1x25 kV e 2x25 kV.

Mixed integer non linear programming and artificial neural network based approach to ancillary services dispatch in competitive electricity markets

Ancillary services represent a good business opportunity that must be considered by market players. This paper presents a new methodology for ancillary services market dispatch. The method considers the bids submitted to the market and includes a market clearing mechanism based on deterministic optimization. An Artificial Neural Network is used for day-ahead prediction of Regulation Down, regulation-up, Spin Reserve and Non-Spin Reserve requirements. Two test cases based on California Independent System Operator data concerning dispatch of Regulation Down, Regulation Up, Spin Reserve and Non-Spin Reserve services are included in this paper to illustrate the application of the proposed method: (1) dispatch considering simple bids; (2) dispatch considering complex bids.

Unidades Ininterruptas de Alimentação (UPS). O que escolher?

As UPS (unidades de alimentação ininterruptas) são sistemas destinados à alimentação de dispositivos elétricos quando existe um corte de energias de rede. As UPS diferenciam-se dos restantes sistemas de emergência na medida em que possibilitam a alimentação instantânea quando ocorre um corte através de baterias e circuitos eletrónicos associados para sistemas de baixa potência ou geradores diesel e sistemas “flywheel*” para sistemas de grande potência. As UPS são normalmente utilizadas para proteger equipamentos que possam conter dados essenciais ou indispensáveis para o funcionamento de um edifício com datacenters, computadores, equipamentos de telecomunicações ou outros equipamentos cuja interrupção de funcionamento possa causar danos irreversíveis em sistemas, dados ou negócios. Para além da capacidade de fornecer energia em caso de interrupção por um período limitado de tempo, as UPS podem corrigir outros eventos de rede como sobretensões, cavas, variações de tensão, ruído, instabilidade de frequência ou distorção harmónica.

Environmental Decision Support: a Distributed Artificial Intelligence Approach

Decision making in any environmental domain is a complex and demanding activity, justifying the development of dedicated decision support systems. Every decision is confronted with a large variety and amount of constraints to satisfy as well as contradictory interests that must be sensibly accommodated. The first stage of a project evaluation is its submission to the relevant group of public (and private) agencies. The individual role of each agency is to verify, within its domain of competence, the fulfilment of the set of applicable regulations. The scope of the involved agencies is wide and ranges from evaluation abilities on the technical or economical domains to evaluation competences on the environmental or social areas. The second project evaluation stage involves the gathering of the recommendations of the individual agencies and their justified merge to produce the final conclusion. The incorporation and accommodation of the consulted agencies opinions is of extreme importance: opinions may not only differ, but can be interdependent, complementary, irreconcilable or, simply, independent. The definition of adequate methodologies to sensibly merge, whenever possible, the existing perspectives while preserving the overall legality of the system, will lead to the making of sound justified decisions. The proposed Environmental Decision Support System models the project evaluation activity and aims to assist developers in the selection of adequate locations for their projects, guaranteeing their compliance with the applicable regulations.

Multiple Linear Regression and Artificial Neural Networks to Predict Time and Efficiency of Soil Vapor Extraction

The prediction of the time and the efficiency of the remediation of contaminated soils using soil vapor extraction remain a difficult challenge to the scientific community and consultants. This work reports the development of multiple linear regression and artificial neural network models to predict the remediation time and efficiency of soil vapor extractions performed in soils contaminated separately with benzene, toluene, ethylbenzene, xylene, trichloroethylene, and perchloroethylene. The results demonstrated that the artificial neural network approach presents better performances when compared with multiple linear regression models. The artificial neural network model allowed an accurate prediction of remediation time and efficiency based on only soil and pollutants characteristics, and consequently allowing a simple and quick previous evaluation of the process viability.

Solar Intensity Forecasting using Artificial Neural Networks and Support Vector Machines

This paper presents several forecasting methodologies based on the application of Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and Support Vector Machines (SVM), directed to the prediction of the solar radiance intensity. The methodologies differ from each other by using different information in the training of the methods, i.e, different environmental complementary fields such as the wind speed, temperature, and humidity. Additionally, different ways of considering the data series information have been considered. Sensitivity testing has been performed on all methodologies in order to achieve the best parameterizations for the proposed approaches. Results show that the SVM approach using the exponential Radial Basis Function (eRBF) is capable of achieving the best forecasting results, and in half execution time of the ANN based approaches.

Dimensionamento do Sistema Híbrido para Alimentação de Energia Elétrica da Escola Rural de Nangade (Cabo Delgado)

Os combustíveis fósseis, como o carvão, o petróleo e o gás, constituem fontes de energia que em breve se esgotarão e que são demasiado caras para serem desperdiçadas pelas centrais elétricas na produção de electricidade. Para além desse facto, existem outros argumentos (sobretudo económicos) que inviabilizam a utilização destas fontes de energia em algumas regiões, abrindo caminho a fontes de energia alternativas (e.g. solar, eólica, biomassa, mini-hídricas, geotérmicas, etc) e preferencialmente com contornos locais. No caso particular de Moçambique, tem-se verificado um interesse crescente por parte do governo e de várias ONGs na promoção do uso de energias alternativas para as zonas onde a energia convencional não chega e não chegará, devido aos custos muito elevados que esse processo acarretaria. Esta dissertação apresenta um estudo aprofundado do dimensionamento dum sistema híbrido de geração de energia elétrica envolvendo gerador FV e grupo eletrogéneo de emergência para a Escola Rural da Nangade, situada no Distrito de Nangade, na Província do Cabo Delgado. São também descritos os diversos componentes e as tecnologias associadas a um sistema deste género, com a inclusão de sistemas inteligentes de controlo de energia com a utilização de inversores bidireccionais (inversores de bateria e carregadores) para sistemas isolados. Os resultados são apresentados de forma a facilitar a aplicação e montagem deste tipo de sistemas in loco. Espera-se que esta dissertação possa servir de base no futuro próximo, para a implementação deste tipo de sistemas para permitir a melhoria da qualidade de ensino através de melhores infraestruturas, democratizando desta forma o acesso à educação para as crianças das zonas rurais das várias províncias de Moçambique. Como as energias renováveis são parte integrante do Sistema Elétrico Nacional, apresenta-se resumidamente, no anexo 17, o “Plano de Desenvolvimento na Área de Energia de Moçambique”.

Análise ao Sistema de Alimentação de Tração Elétrica (1x25 kV - Rede convencional, 2x25 kV –Rede convencional + Alta velocidade)

O transporte ferroviário é um meio de transporte em que o meio de deslocamento ocorre por meio de vias férreas, transportando, entre outros, pessoas e cargas. Este meio de transporte é um dos mais antigos e a sua origem está ligada directamente com a Primeira Revolução Industrial, acontecimento histórico que sucedeu na Europa no final do século XVIII e início do século XIX. Uma rede ferroviária é um sistema único no ponto de vista do uso de tração elétrica assim como no modo que se insere na sociedade por ser um meio de transporte seguro, rápido e bastante utilizado pela população. As redes de alimentação de energia (transporte e distribuição) e a rede de alta velocidade ditaram novas soluções para a alimentação elétrica ferroviária contribuindo para a sua evolução técnica, na segurança e também na compatibilidade eletromagnética no sentido de se estabelecerem critérios de controlo e prevenção dos efeitos indesejáveis provocados pela interferência magnética. O presente trabalho tem por objetivo analisar e estudar tecnicamente como se comportam as redes que alimentam os veículos de tração elétrica desde as subestações até à alimentação das locomotivas. Dada a complexidade da sua análise torna-se necessário o recurso a ferramentas de simulação mais ou menos complexas. No presente trabalho recorreu-se ao MATLABTM, nomeadamente, ao MATLABTM/Simulink. Foram analisadas as principais grandezas elétricas em cenários distintos para os sistemas de alimentação da catenária de 1x25 kV e 2x25 kV.

Artificial antibodies for troponin T by its imprinting on the surface of multiwalled carbon nanotubes: Its use as sensory surfaces

A novel artificial antibody for troponin T (TnT) was synthesized by molecular imprint (MI) on the surface of multiwalled carbon nanotubes (MWCNT). This was done by attaching TnT to the MWCNT surface, and filling the vacant spaces by polymerizing under mild conditions acrylamide (monomer) in N,N′-methylenebisacrylamide (cross-linker) and ammonium persulphate (initiator). After removing the template, the obtained biomaterial was able to rebind TnT and discriminate it among other interfering species. Stereochemical recognition of TnT was confirmed by the non-rebinding ability displayed by non-imprinted (NI) materials, obtained by imprinting without a template. SEM and FTIR analysis confirmed the surface modification of the MWCNT. The ability of this biomaterial to rebind TnT was confirmed by including it as electroactive compound in a PVC/plasticizer mixture coating a wire of silver, gold or titanium. Anionic slopes of 50 mV decade−1 were obtained for the gold wire coated with MI-based membranes dipped in HEPES buffer of pH 7. The limit of detection was 0.16 μg mL−1. Neither the NI-MWCNT nor the MWCNT showed the ability to recognize the template. Good selectivity was observed against creatinine, sucrose, fructose, myoglobin, sodium glutamate, thiamine and urea. The sensor was tested successfully on serum samples. It is expected that this work opens new horizons on the design of new artificial antibodies for complex protein structures.

Biomimetic Sensor Potentiometric System for Doxycycline Antibiotic Using a Molecularly Imprinted Polymer as an Artificial Recognition Element

Molecular imprinting is a useful technique for the preparation of functional materials with molecular recognition properties. A Biomimetic Sensor Potentiometric System was developed for assessment of doxycycline (DOX) antibiotic. The molecularly imprinted polymer (MIP) was synthesized by using doxycycline as a template molecule, methacrylic acid (MAA) and/or acrylamide (AA) as a functional monomer and ethylene glycol dimethacrylat (EGDMA) as a cross-linking agent. The sensing elements were fabricated by the inclusion of DOX imprinted polymers in polyvinyl chloride (PVC) matrix. The sensors showed a high selectivity and a sensitive response to the template in aqueous system. Electrochemical evaluation of these sensors under static (batch) mode of operation reveals near-Nernstian response. MIP/MAA membrane sensor was incorporated in flow-through cells and used as detectors for flow injection analysis (FIA) of DOX. The method has the requisite accuracy, sensitivity and precision to assay DOX in tablets and biological fluids.