MASCEM - an electricity market simulator providing coalition support for virtual power players

This paper presents MASCEM - a multi-agent based electricity market simulator. MASCEM uses game theory, machine learning techniques, scenario analysis and optimization techniques to model market agents and to provide them with decision-support. This paper mainly focus on the MASCEM ability to provide the means to model and simulate Virtual Power Players (VPP). VPPs are represented as a coalition of agents, with specific characteristics and goals. The paper details some of the most important aspects considered in VPP formation and in the aggregation of new producers and includes a case study based on real data.

Dgenco market balancing - cost repartition under light regulation markets

In this paper we present a new methodology, based in game theory, to obtain the market balancing between Distribution Generation Companies (DGENCO), in liberalized electricity markets. The new contribution of this methodology is the verification of the participation rate of each agent based in Nucléolo Balancing and in Shapley Value. To validate the results we use the Zaragoza Distribution Network with 42 Bus and 5 DGENCO.

ANN based day-ahead spinning reserve forecast for electricity market simulation

Electricity market players operating in a liberalized environment require adequate decision support tools, allowing them to consider all the business opportunities and take strategic decisions. Ancillary services represent a good negotiation opportunity that must be considered by market players. This paper deals with short-term predication of day-ahead spinning reserve (SR) requirement that helps the ISO to make effective and timely decisions. Based on these forecasted information, market participants can use strategic bidding for day-ahead SR market. The proposed concepts and methodologies are implemented in MASCEM, a multi-agent based electricity market simulator. A case study based on California ISO (CAISO) data is included; the forecasted results are presented and compared with CAISO published forecast.

Ancillary service market simulation

Power systems operation in a liberalized environment requires that market players have access to adequate decision support tool, allowing them to consider all the business opportunities and take strategic decisions. Ancillary services represent a good negotiation opportunity that must be considered by market players. For this, decision support tools must include ancillary market simulation. This paper deals with ancillary services negotiation in electricity markets. The proposed concepts and methodologies are implemented in MASCEM, a multi-agent based electricity market simulator. A test case concerning the dispatch of ancillary services using two different methods (Linear Programming and Genetic Algorithm approaches) is included in the paper.

Auction of financial transmission rights in electricity market environment

An auction model is used to increase the individual profits for market players with products they do not use. A Financial Transmission Rights Auction has the goal of trade transmission rights between Bidders and helps them raise their own profits. The ISO plays a major rule on keep the system in technical limits without interfere on the auctions offers. In some auction models the ISO decide want bids are implemented on the network, always with the objective maximize the individual profits for all bidders in the auction. This paper proposes a methodology for a Financial Transmission Rights Auction and an informatics application. The application receives offers from the purchase and sale side and considers bilateral contracts as Base Case. This goal is maximize the individual profits within the system in their technical limits. The paper includes a case study for the 30 bus IEEE test case.

ANN based day-ahead ancillary services forecast for electricity market simulation

Adequate decision support tools are required by electricity market players operating in a liberalized environment, allowing them to consider all the business opportunities and take strategic decisions. Ancillary services (AS) represent a good negotiation opportunity that must be considered by market players. Based on the ancillary services forecasting, market participants can use strategic bidding for day-ahead ancillary services markets. For this reason, ancillary services market simulation is being included in MASCEM, a multi-agent based electricity market simulator that can be used by market players to test and enhance their bidding strategies. The paper presents the methodology used to undertake ancillary services forecasting, based on an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) approach. ANNs are used to day-ahead prediction of non-spinning reserve (NS), regulation-up (RU), and regulation down (RD). Spinning reserve (SR) is mentioned as past work for comparative analysis. A case study based on California ISO (CAISO) data is included; the forecasted results are presented and compared with CAISO published forecast.

Ancillary services market clearing simulation: a comparison between deterministic and heuristic methods

Electricity market players operating in a liberalized environment requires access to an adequate decision support tool, allowing them to consider all the business opportunities and take strategic decisions. Ancillary services represent a good negotiation opportunity that must be considered by market players. For this, decision support tool must include ancillary market simulation. This paper proposes two different methods (Linear Programming and Genetic Algorithm approaches) for ancillary services dispatch. The methodologies are implemented in MASCEM, a multi-agent based electricity market simulator. A test case based on California Independent System Operator (CAISO) data concerning the dispatch of Regulation Down, Regulation Up, Spinning Reserve and Non-Spinning Reserve services is included in this paper.

Market impact of international sporting and cultural events

We study market reaction to the announcements of the selected country hosting the Summer and Winter Olympic Games, the World Football Cup, the European Football Cup and World and Specialized Exhibitions. We generalize previous results analyzing a large number and different types of mega-events, evaluate the effects for winning and losing countries, investigate the determinants of the observed market reaction and control for the ex ante probability of a country being a successful bidder. Average abnormal returns measured at the announcement date and around the event are not significantly different from zero. Further, we find no evidence supporting that industries, that a priori were more likely to extract direct benefits from the event, observe positive significant effects. Yet, when we control for anticipation, the stock price reactions around the announcements are significant.

Desenvolvimento de uma ferramenta de pré-selecção de recursos para empresas ágeis/virtuais

Mestrado em Engenharia Electrotécnica e de Computadores

Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbon levels in three pelagic fish species from Atlantic Ocean: inter-specific and inter-season comparisons and assessment of potential public health risks

The concentrations of 18 polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) were determined in three commercially valuable fish species (sardine, Sardina pilchardus; chub mackerel, Scomber japonicus; and horse mackerel, Trachurus trachurus) from the Atlantic Ocean. Specimens were collected seasonally during 2007–2009. Only low molecular weight PAHs were detected, namely, naphthalene, acenaphthene, fluorene and phenanthrene. Chub mackerel (1.80–19.90 microg/kg ww) revealed to be significantly more contaminated than horse mackerel (2.73–10.0 microg/kg ww) and sardine (2.29–14.18 microg/kg ww). Inter-specific and inter-season comparisons of PAHs bioaccumulation were statistically assessed. The more relevant statistical correlations were observed between PAH amounts and total fat content (significant positive relationships, p < 0.05), and season (sardine displayed higher amounts in autumn–winter while the mackerel species showed globally the inverse behavior). The health risks by consumption of these species were assessed and shown to present no threat to public health concerning PAH intakes.

Evaluation of 99mTc-Sestamibi as a potential tool to investigate PgP activity in inflammation

Introduction: In the XXI Century ’s Society the scientific investigation process has been growing steadily , and the field of the pharmaceutical research is one of the most enthusiastic and relevant . Here, it is very important to correlate observed functional alterations with possibly modified drug bio distribution patterns . Cancer, inflammation and inf ection are processes that induce many molecular intermediates like cytokines, chemokines and other chemical complexes that can alter the pharmacokinetics of many drugs. One cause of such changes is thought to be the modulator action of these complexes in t he P - Glyco p rotein activity, because they can act like inducers/inhibitors of MDR - 1 expression. This protein results from the expression of MDR - 1 gene, and acts as an ATP energy - dependent efflux pump, with their substrates including many drugs , like antiretrovirals, anticancers, anti - infectives, immunosuppressants, steroids or opioids . Objectives: Because of the lack of methods to provide helpful information in the investigation of in vivo molecular changes in Pgp activity during infection/infl ammation processes, and its value in the explanation of the altered drug pharmacokinetic, this paper want to evaluate the potential utility of 99m Tc - Sestamibi scintigraphy during this kind of health sciences investigation. Although the a im is indeed to create a technique to the in vivo study of Pgp activity, this preliminary Project only reaches the in vitro study phase, assumed as the first step in a n evaluation period for a new tool development. Materials and Methods: For that reason , we are performing in vitro studies of influx and efflux of 99m Tc - Sestamibi ( that is a substrate of Pgp) in hepatocytes cell line (HepG2). We are interested in clarify the cellular behavior of this radiopharmaceutical in Lipopolysaccharide(LPS) stimulated cells ( well known in vitro model of inflammation) to possibly approve this methodology. To validate the results, the Pgp expression will be finally evaluated using Western Blot technique. Results: Up to this moment , we still don’t have the final results, but we have already enough data to let us believe that LPS stimulation induce a downregulation of MDR - 1, and consequently Pgp, which could conduce to a prolonged retention of 99m Tc - Sestamibi in the inflamed cells . Conclusions: If and when this methodology demonstrate the promising results we expect, one will be able to con clude that Nuclear Medicine is an important tool to help evidence based research also on this specific field .

188Re-PEI-MP as potential agent for metabolic radiotherapy

Introduction: 188Re is a promising radionuclide for metabolic therapy because of the emission of high energy beta-particles. The development of watersoluble bone-seeking polymers such as PEI-MP (polyethyleneimine, functionalised with methylphosphonate-groups) that might be labeled with 188Re are recent approaches, with a strong potential for bone cancer treatment. The aim of this study was to evaluate the efficacy of 188Re-PEI-MP, as therapeutic agent for osteosarcoma, through in vitro and in vivo models.

Gestão técnica de edifícios: aplicação em edifício escolar

Esta dissertação, enquadra-se na área da Gestão técnica centralizada ou Building Management Systems (BMS), procura reunir informação relevante acerca desta matéria evidenciando as suas potencialidades e questões técnicas a ter em conta. Este trabalho propõe a implementação de um projecto de BMS numa Escola Secundária da qual foram fornecidos elementos que conduziram ao levantamento de necessidades dos serviços de BMS a implementar. Actualmente, a utilização de sistemas de Gestão Técnica têm sido amplamente utilizados na construção de Edifícios, possuindo uma elevada integração com outros subsistemas. A função da Gestão Técnica é controlar um sistema que lhe seja integrado, esta tecnologia tem sido muito utilizada em Edifícios Comerciais em Portugal. No entanto, os sistemas que são aplicados a outros sistemas integrados podem ter problemas de comunicação, devido á multi-variedade que existe de componentes para esta área. O objectivo deste trabalho é a implementação de um Sistema de Gestão técnica num Edifício escolar, dando ênfase aos serviços e às suas interacções e chamando a atenção para os enormes potenciais em termos de valor acrescentado que é possível retirar destes conceitos. Apresentar noções fundamentais de integração, flexibilidade, adaptabilidade capacidade de oferecer um suporte eficaz à actividade das organizações sediadas no edifício. Para alcançar as informações de pesquisa, para este projecto, o autor irá obter dados de várias fontes. O método de elaboração deste trabalho pode ser classificados em duas partes. Primeira parte, recolha de informação e pesquisa de conhecimento na internet, artigos, livros de referência, cadernos técnicos e teses. Segunda parte, baseado em reflexão, estudo do caso do edifício proposto e alguns conhecimentos prévios.

Estudo técnico relativo à instalação de micro eólicas em edifícios urbanos para microprodução de energia eléctrica

O Planeta Terra tem vindo a ser fustigado pelas alterações climáticas resultado da poluição ambiental provocada pelo Homem. Com o objectivo de minimizar estes efeitos deletérios, os países mais desenvolvidos estabeleceram compromissos relativamente às emissões de gases com efeito de estufa, tendo por base o Protocolo de Kyoto. A iniciativa «Renováveis na Hora» é uma das medidas previstas no plano para a política de energia e alterações climáticas, apresentado em Fevereiro de 2008, pelo Ministério da Economia e da Inovação Português. Actualmente, em Portugal, existe um mercado emergente para a microgeração, que se rege segundo a legislação aplicada recentemente, que estabelece o novo regime jurídico aplicável à produção de energia por intermédio de unidades de microprodução. Esta iniciativa levará à criação de um novo paradigma de exploração e utilização de energia. Deste modo, é fundamental avançar com alguns alertas das condições de exploração. A energia eólica é umas das fontes renováveis em que o rendimento de conversão pode atingir valores interessantes (poderá ser superior a 50%) e em determinadas regiões o seu potencial é bastante bom, nomeadamente em zonas litorais e em zonas montanhosas. Em ambiente urbano é impraticável a instalação de grandes torres eólicas, mas a micro produção baseada em pequenas turbinas eólicas é perfeitamente possível e desejável. O propósito deste trabalho é realizar um estudo de cariz técnico acerca da instalação de um mini parque eólico num edifício urbano, tendo em conta todas as condicionantes (velocidade do vento, obstáculos na zona, altura de montagem, inter-distância entre aerogeradores). Foi realizado um software que irá auxiliar a escolha dos aerogeradores e inversores para o tipo de local onde vai ser instalado o parque eólico.