The portuguese insurance industry: basis for strategic process decision

Nowadays, the Portuguese insurance industry operates in a market with a much more aggressive structure than a few decades ago. Markets and the economy have become globalised since the last decade of the 20th century. Market forces have gradually shifted – power is now mainly on the demand side. In order to meet the new requirements, the insurance industry must develop a strong strategic ability to respond to constant changes of the new international economic order.One of the basic aspects of this strategic development will focus on the ability to predict the future. We introduce the subject by briefly describing the sector, its organisational structure in the Portuguese market, and challenges arising from the development of the European Union. We then analyse the economic and financial structure of the sector. From this point of view, we aim at the possibility of designing models that could explain the demand for insurance, claims and technical reserves evolution. Such models, (even if based on the past), would resolve, at least partly, one of the greatest difficulties experienced by insurance companies when estimating the budget. Thus, we examine the existence of variables that explain the previous points, which are capable of forming a basis for designing models that are simple but efficient, and can be used for strategic planning.

Risk Aversion in a Mixed-Integer Nonlinear Approach to Support Decision-Making for a Hydro Power Producer

In this paper, a mixed-integer nonlinear approach is proposed to support decision-making for a hydro power producer, considering a head-dependent hydro chain. The aim is to maximize the profit of the hydro power producer from selling energy into the electric market. As a new contribution to earlier studies, a risk aversion criterion is taken into account, as well as head-dependency. The volatility of the expected profit is limited through the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR). The proposed approach has been applied successfully to solve a case study based on one of the main Portuguese cascaded hydro systems.

Increasing availability through maintainability growth using partial Multi Criteria Decision Making (pMCDM)

In the last decades considerations about equipments' availability became an important issue, as well as its dependence on components characteristics such as reliability and maintainability. This is particularly of outstanding importance if one is dealing with high risk industrial equipments, where these factors play an important and fundamental role in risk management when safety or huge economic values are in discussion. As availability is a function of reliability, maintainability, and maintenance support activities, the main goal is to improve one or more of these factors. This paper intends to show how maintainability can influence availability and present a methodology to select the most important attributes for maintainability using a partial Multi Criteria Decision Making (pMCDM). Improvements in maintainability can be analyzed assuming it as a probability related with a restore probability density function [g(t)].

A hybrid approach to multi-agent decision-making

In the aftermath of a large-scale disaster, agents' decisions derive from self-interested (e.g. survival), common-good (e.g. victims' rescue) and teamwork (e.g. fire extinction) motivations. However, current decision-theoretic models are either purely individual or purely collective and find it difficult to deal with motivational attitudes; on the other hand, mental-state based models find it difficult to deal with uncertainty. We propose a hybrid, CvI-JI, approach that combines: i) collective 'versus' individual (CvI) decisions, founded on the Markov decision process (MDP) quantitative evaluation of joint-actions, and ii)joint-intentions (JI) formulation of teamwork, founded on the belief-desire-intention (BDI) architecture of general mental-state based reasoning. The CvI-JI evaluation explores the performance's improvement

O conselho geral: um desafio estratégico à autonomia

Nos últimos vinte e cinco anos o tema da autonomia e da administração e gestão escolar tem ocupado um lugar relevante na agenda política dos sucessivos Governos da República e na preocupação dos diferentes parceiros educativos. Rara tem sido a maioria política que resiste a dar o seu contributo sobre esta matéria, com o objetivo sempre confesso de outorgar maior autonomia às escolas. No enquadramento teórico da nossa investigação começamos por abordar a emergência do conceito de autonomia, nas suas diferentes dimensões e nos seus distintos significados. Não esquecemos também a analise das questões relacionadas com a problemática, cada vez mais atual da regulação múltipla. Analisamos de seguida a evolução da legislação portuguesa, operada a partir da publicação da Lei de Bases do Sistema Educativo com especial destaque às propostas de configuração dos órgãos de Direção e de Gestão das escolas e das competências atribuídas a cada um deles produzido pela CRSE e pelos decretos-leis 43/89, 172/91, 115-A/98 e 75/2008. A investigação empírica teve como objeto de análise dois agrupamentos localizados em concelhos distintos da Área Metropolitana de Lisboa, e procurou determinar se o conselho geral de cada uma dessas unidades orgânicas, assume na totalidade as competências que lhe são conferidas pelo quadro legislativo em vigor, e nessa medida como se articula com os outros órgãos da direção no processo de tomada de decisão. Simultaneamente fizemos o contraponto com a imagem que os intervenientes na gestão intermédia de cada um dos agrupamentos construíram sobre o seu conselho geral e das relações de poder que se estabelecem no interior de cada uma das organizações. Para corresponder aos pressupostos da nossa investigação entrevistaram-se os diretores e os presidentes dos conselhos gerais e facultámos questionários aos docentes que desempenhavam cargos nos dois agrupamentos. Concluímos, em função do que pudemos analisar, que embora o conselho geral veja o seu papel na organização da escola formalmente reconhecido não consegue desempenhar na totalidade as funções que lhe são incumbidas, já que defronta o poder real do diretor e o poder oculto do conselho pedagógico, encontrando dificuldades em libertar-se do reino das sombras.

Choosing best components for an amputee: a methodology for the best decision-making

The harmony between the stump and the prosthesis is critical to allow it to fulfill its function enabling an efficient gait. A well fitted socket, with an efficient and comfortable suspension, allows the amputee to continue their daily living activities, maintaining the stump functional, making this correlation between socket and suspension very important in the functionality of the prosthesis, mobility and overall satisfaction with the device. Of our knowledge, the quantitative correlation between all of these factors as not yet been assessed. Aim of study: Verify and confirm the process of decision-making for four different trans-tibial prostheses with suspension systems: Hypobaric(A), PIN(B), Classic Suction(C) and Vacuum Active –VASS(D) according data provided by gait efficiency (mlO2/kg/m) imagiology (pistonning) and amputee perception.

Coding mode decision algorithm for binary descriptor coding

In visual sensor networks, local feature descriptors can be computed at the sensing nodes, which work collaboratively on the data obtained to make an efficient visual analysis. In fact, with a minimal amount of computational effort, the detection and extraction of local features, such as binary descriptors, can provide a reliable and compact image representation. In this paper, it is proposed to extract and code binary descriptors to meet the energy and bandwidth constraints at each sensing node. The major contribution is a binary descriptor coding technique that exploits the correlation using two different coding modes: Intra, which exploits the correlation between the elements that compose a descriptor; and Inter, which exploits the correlation between descriptors of the same image. The experimental results show bitrate savings up to 35% without any impact in the performance efficiency of the image retrieval task. © 2014 EURASIP.

The role of teaching decision analysis for sustainability in engeneering schools

This paper addresses the role that decision analysis plays in helping engineers to gain a greater understanding of the problems they face. The need of structured decision analysis is highlighted as well as the use of multiple criteria decision analysis to tackle sustainability issues with emphasis in the use of MACBETH approach. Some insights from a Portuguese Summer Course on engineering for sustainable development are presented namely the students 'and teacher perceptions about the module of decision analysis for sustainability.

Implementação de um sistema de gestão municipal com recurso a sistemas de informação geográfica

Dissertação para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Engenharia Civil na Área de Especialização em Vias de Comunicação e Transportes