25 resultados para Cramer-Von Mises Statistics

em Helda - Digital Repository of University of Helsinki


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Da hatte das Pferd die Nüstern voll. Gebrauch und Funktion von Phraseologie im Kinderbuch. Untersuchungen zu Erich Kästner und anderen Autoren. [Da hatte das Pferd die Nüstern voll. Fraseologian käyttö ja tehtävä lastenkirjallisuudessa. Tutkimuksia Erich Kästnerin ja muiden kirjailijoiden tuotannossa.] Usein oletetaan, että idiomit ovat lapsille vaikeita ymmärtää, koska niiden merkitystä ei voi kokonaisuudessaan johtaa rakenteeseen kuuluvien yksittäisten sanojen merkityksestä. Silti lastenkirjallisuudessa idiomeja käytetään paljon ja monessa eri tehtävässä. Tässä tutkimuksessa tarkistetaan fraseologian (idiomien ja sanalaskujen) käytön koko skaala saksankielisessä lastenkirjallisuudessa Erich Kästnerin (1899-1976) klassikoista tähän päivään asti. Kolmen eri korpuksen avulla (905 idiomiesimerkkiä kuudesta Kästnerin lastenkirjasta, 333 idiomia kahdesta Kästnerin aikuisromaanista ja 580 esimerkkiä kuudesta eri kirjailijoiden kirjoittamasta lastenkirjasta) pyritään vastamaan mm. seuraaviin kysymyksiin: Kuinka paljon ja minkälaisia idiomeja teksteissä käytetään? Miten idiomit sijoitetaan teksteihin, minkälaisia suhteita kontekstiin rakentuu? Millaisia eroavaisuuksia idiomien käytössä on havaittavissa ensinnäkin saman kirjailijan (Kästnerin) lastenkirjojen ja aikuisille tarkoitettujen kirjojen välillä sekä toisaalta eri kirjailijoiden kirjoittamien lastenkirjojen välillä? Tutkimuksesta käy ilmi, että idiomien käyttö vaihtelee lastenkirjallisuudessa ensisijaisesti kirjailijoittain, joka näkyy erilaisten ’fraseologisten profiilien’ esiintyminä. Parafraasien käyttö (idiomin rinnalle asetetaan synonyyminen ei-idiomaattinen ilmaisu) on varsin yleistä kaikissa tutkituissa lastenkirjoissa. Kästnerin lastenkirjoissa parafraasin käyttö on selvästi yleisempää kuin aikuisromaaneissa. Näyttää siltä, että lastenkirjallisuudessa siis tietoisesti tai tiedostumatta otetaan huomioon lasten rajoitettu fraseologinen kompetenssi.

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Tämän pro gradu -tutkielman tarkoituksena on edistää ja kehittää saksalaisen liedmusiikin suomennosten tutkimusta. Tutkimusaineistona on käytetty kymmentä laulua Franz Schubertin säveltämästä laulusarjasta Winterreise (1827), joka pohjautuu Wilhelm Müllerin runoihin, ja Kyllikki Solanterän suomennoksia (1960) kyseisistä lauluista. Lähtökohtana oli lähtökielinen teksti, johon suomennosta verrattiin. Hypoteesina oli, että tavulukujen merkitys liedmusiikin kääntämisessä on suurempi kuin muiden lingvististen tai semanttisten ominaisuuksien, koska musiikki ja nuotit asettavat tiukat rajat käännökselle, eikä kääntäjä voi muuttaa kappaleen musiikillista rakennetta. Sanatarkan käännöksen sijaan kääntäjän tulee pyrkiä säilyttämään kappaleen semanttinen sisältö ja tunnelma riimejä unohtamatta. Aluksi kerrotaan taustatietoja säveltäjästä, sanoittajasta, teoksesta, liedmusiikista ja kääntäjästä. Teoriaosiossa kartoitetaan, mihin kategorioihin liedtekstien kääntäminen voidaan luokitella kuuluvaksi. Analyysi pohjautuu Wittbrodtin luokitteluun (1995). Teoriaosiossa käsitellään myös ekvivalenssia, adekvaattisuutta, näennäiskäännöksiä, tyyliä, uskollisuutta alkuperäisteokselle, vapaan kääntämisen rajoja ja käännösvirheitä tutkittavasta materiaalista valikoitujen esimerkkien pohjalta. Esimerkkejä edeltää aina teoriaosuus. Varsinainen vertailuosio, jossa vertaillaan lähtö- ja kohdetekstejä, on jaettu kuuteen osioon: säe- ja säkeistöluvut, sanaluvut, tavuluvut, kirjaimien poisjättö, suorat ja epäsuorat kysymykset sekä kappaleiden nimet. Sana- ja tavulukujen eroavaisuuksista esitetään myös taulukot. Sana- ja tavulukujen kohdalla pohditaan, mistä erot johtuvat. Kaiken kaikkiaan pohditaan myös, ovatko käännösratkaisut onnistuneita, ja miten kääntäjä on niihin päätynyt. Laulettavuutta käsittelevässä osiossa esitetään ensin aikaisempia pohdintoja ja tutkimustuloksia kyseisestä aiheesta. Lopuksi teen Mannilan Blueprint-metodin (2005) mukaiset testit. Metriikkatestin teen esimerkinomaisesti yhdelle säkeistölle ja musikaalisen testin teen kaikille kymmenelle laululle. Musikaalisessa testissä analysoidaan tarkemmin lähtökielisiä säkeitä ja niiden suomenkielisiä vastineita, joiden tavuluvut eroavat toisistaan. Loppupäätelmiä edeltävässä luvussa esitetään vielä suomalaisen lauluntekijän ajatuksia sanoittamisesta. Hypoteesi tavuluvuista osoittautui oikeaksi. 146 säkeestä vain viidessä eivät lähtö- ja kohdetekstin tavuluvut olleet identtiset, mikä todistaa sen, että kääntäjä pyrkii säilyttämään kappaleen rytmin. Kääntäjä on myös säilyttänyt kappaleiden riimit, mikä vaikuttaa osaltaan rytmin säilymiseen. Sanalukujen kohdalla taas vain 16 säkeellä oli identtiset sanaluvut, mikä kertoo siitä, että niitä tärkeämpää on säilyttää kappaleen semanttinen sisältö ja tunnelma. Käännösten voidaan katsoa kuuluvan useaan kategoriaan. Kappaleiden käännökset ovat suurimmalta osin ekvivalentteja, mutta osittain ne voidaan luokitella näennäiskäännöksiksi. Tyyli ei ole säilynyt virheettömänä aivan jokaisessa käännöksessä, mutta yhtään kääntäjän puutteellisesta kieli- tai kääntämistaidosta johtuvaa käännösvirhettä kappaleissa ei ole. Suomentaja ei ole tuottanut yhtään täydellisen sanatarkkaa käännöstä, vaikka leksikaalinen ero on osittain vain hiuksenhieno. Tämä osoittaa sen, että vapaan kääntämisen aste on liedmusiikin suomennoksissa suhteellisen korkea. Kaiken kaikkiaan Solanterän käännöksiä voi pitää suhteellisen onnistuneina.

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Pro gradu -tutkielmani käsittelee kääntämistä vieraan kielen opetuksessa nykyään sekä kääntämisen ja käännöstieteen mahdollisuuksia vieraan kielen opetuksen kehittämiseen. Aihe on mielenkiintoinen, sillä siitä ei juurikaan ole tutkimusta, sekä se on myös yhteiskunnallisesti merkittävä. Ennen kaikkea työn on tarkoitus toimia keskustelunavauksen tälle aihepiirille. Materiaalina on käytetty lukion saksan kielen oppimateriaaleja Weitere Wege (A1-kieli), Neue Adresse (B2-kieli) ja Kurz und gut (B3-kieli) sekä saksan ylioppilastutkintoja vuosilta 1998-2005 (sekä pitkä että lyhyt saksa), jotka yhdessä edustavat tämän hetkistä lukion saksan kielen opetusta. Koska lukion oppimateriaalit ja ylioppilastutkinnot eivät ainakaan päällisin puolin eroa eri vieraiden kielten välillä toisistaan, koskevat päätelmät kattavasti koko lukion vieraan kielten opetusta. Materiaalia ja vieraan kielten opetusta tutkitaan tässä työssä pääasiallisesti tehtävien kautta. Oppimateriaalin tehtävät on kategorisoitu yhdeksään tehtävätyyppiin, joista 'kääntäminen' on yksi. Muut tehtävätyypit ovat 'ääneenlukeminen ja ääntäminen', 'maantuntemus ja kulttuuri', 'luetunymmärätäminen', 'kuullunymmärtäminen', 'tekstintuottaminen', 'suulliset harjoitukset', 'sanasto' sekä 'kielioppi ja rakenne'. Ylioppilastutkinnoissa esiintyvät tehtävätyypit 'luetunymmärätäminen', 'kuullunymmärtäminen', 'tekstintuottaminen' sekä 'kielioppi ja rakenne', eikä käännöstehtäviä ole tutkituissa kokeissa lainkaan. Oppimateriaalin ja ylioppilastutkinnon tehtäviin liittyen esitetään kvantitatiivisia tuloksia sekä anlysoidaan niiden kautta vieraan kielen opetuksen nykytilaa. Pääasiallinen analyysi keskittyy käännöstehtävien kvalitatiiviseen tutkimiseen, joilloin voidaan todeta, että nämä tehtävät edustavat oikeastaan merkkien kääntämistä, eivät merkityksen kääntämistä. Nämä käännöstehtävät ovat sisällöiltään luetun ymmärtämisen, tekstintuottamisen, sanaston sekä kieliopin ja rakenteen tehtäviä, eikä niillä ole mitään tekemistä kääntämisen kanssa nykypäivän käännöstieteellisessä merkityksessä. Siten kääntäminen käännösmielessä voisi tarjota vieraan kielen opetukselle uuden oppimismetodin, jossa ennen kaikkea kulttuurien välisen viestinnän aspektit olisivat huomioitu. Kääntämiseen liittyvistä osataidoista, mm. tutkimis- ja analyysitaidoista, voisi olla etua kielten opetukselle tulevaisuudessa.

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In this study I consider what kind of perspective on the mind body problem is taken and can be taken by a philosophical position called non-reductive physicalism. Many positions fall under this label. The form of non-reductive physicalism which I discuss is in essential respects the position taken by Donald Davidson (1917-2003) and Georg Henrik von Wright (1916-2003). I defend their positions and discuss the unrecognized similarities between their views. Non-reductive physicalism combines two theses: (a) Everything that exists is physical; (b) Mental phenomena cannot be reduced to the states of the brain. This means that according to non-reductive physicalism the mental aspect of humans (be it a soul, mind, or spirit) is an irreducible part of the human condition. Also Davidson and von Wright claim that, in some important sense, the mental aspect of a human being does not reduce to the physical aspect, that there is a gap between these aspects that cannot be closed. I claim that their arguments for this conclusion are convincing. I also argue that whereas von Wright and Davidson give interesting arguments for the irreducibility of the mental, their physicalism is unwarranted. These philosophers do not give good reasons for believing that reality is thoroughly physical. Notwithstanding the materialistic consensus in the contemporary philosophy of mind the ontology of mind is still an uncharted territory where real breakthroughs are not to be expected until a radically new ontological position is developed. The third main claim of this work is that the problem of mental causation cannot be solved from the Davidsonian - von Wrightian perspective. The problem of mental causation is the problem of how mental phenomena like beliefs can cause physical movements of the body. As I see it, the essential point of non-reductive physicalism - the irreducibility of the mental - and the problem of mental causation are closely related. If mental phenomena do not reduce to causally effective states of the brain, then what justifies the belief that mental phenomena have causal powers? If mental causes do not reduce to physical causes, then how to tell when - or whether - the mental causes in terms of which human actions are explained are actually effective? I argue that this - how to decide when mental causes really are effective - is the real problem of mental causation. The motivation to explore and defend a non-reductive position stems from the belief that reductive physicalism leads to serious ethical problems. My claim is that Davidson's and von Wright's ultimate reason to defend a non-reductive view comes back to their belief that a reductive understanding of human nature would be a narrow and possibly harmful perspective. The final conclusion of my thesis is that von Wright's and Davidson's positions provide a starting point from which the current scientistic philosophy of mind can be critically further explored in the future.

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This dissertation explores the role of the German minister to Helsinki, Wipert von Blücher (1883-1963), within the German-Finnish relations of the late 1930s and the Second World War. Blücher was a key figure – and certainly one of the constants – within German Finland policy and the complex international diplomacy surrounding Finland. Despite representing Hitler’s Germany, he was not a National Socialist in the narrower sense of the term, but a conservative civil servant in the Wilhelmine tradition of the German foreign service. Along with a significant number of career diplomats, Blücher attempted to restrict National Socialist influence on the exercise of German foreign policy, whilst successfully negotiating a modus vivendi with the new regime. The study of his political biography in the Third Reich hence provides a highly representative example of how the traditional élites of Germany were caught in an cycle of conformity and, albeit tacit, opposition. Above all, however, the biographical study of Blücher and his behaviour offers an hitherto unexplored approach to the history of the German-Finnish relations. His unusually long tenure in Helsinki covered the period leading up to the so-called Winter War, which left Blücher severely distraught by Berlin’s effectively pro-Soviet neutrality and brought him close to resigning his post. It further extended to the German-Finnish rapprochement of 1940/41 and the military cooperation of both countries from mid-1941 to 1944. Throughout, Blücher developed a diverse and ambitious set of policy schemes, largely rooted in the tradition of Wilhelmine foreign policy. In their moderation and commonsensical realism, his designs – indeed his entire conception of foreign policy – clashed with the foreign political and ideological premises of the National Socialist regime. In its theoretical grounding, the analysis of Blücher’s political schemes is built on the concept of alternative policy and indebted to A.J.P. Taylor’s definition of dissent in foreign policy. It furthermore rests upon the assumption, introduced by Wolfgang Michalka, that National Socialist foreign policy was dominated by a plurality of rival conceptions, players, and institutions competing for Hitler’s favour (‘Konzeptionen-Pluralismus’). Although primarily a study in the history of international relations, my research has substantially benefited from more recent developments within cultural history, particularly research on nobility and élites, and the renewed focus on autobiography and conceptions of the self. On an abstract level, the thesis touches upon some of the basic components of German politics, political culture, and foreign policy in the first half of the 20th century: national belonging and conflicting loyalties, self-perception and representation, élites and their management of power, the modern history of German conservatism, the nature and practice of diplomacy, and, finally, the intricate relationship between the ethics of the professional civil service and absolute moral principles. Against this backdrop, the examination of Blücher’s role both within Finnish politics and the foreign policy of the Third Reich highlights the biographical dimension of the German-Finnish relationships, while fathoming the determinants of individual human agency in the process.

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The von Hippel-lindau (VHL) disease is a dominantly inherited neoplastic disorder which predisposes patients to multiple tumours including capillary haemangioblastomas (CHBs), pheochromocytomas (PCCs), renal cell carcinomas (RCCs). CHBs are the most common manifestations of VHL disease, occurring sporadically or as a manifestation of VHL disease. Inactivation of the VHL gene at 3p25-26 is believed to cause both familial and sporadic VHL-associated tumours and germ-line mutation of the VHL gene have been detected in 100% of the CHBs studied. However, a limited number of sporadic CHBs, PCCs display VHL inactivation. Other molecular alterations involved in tumourigenesis of sporadic CHBs, PCCs remain largely unknown. The purpose of the present work was to search for genetic alterations, or other mechanisms of inactivation, in addition to the VHL gene, that may be important in the development of VHL-associated tumours. Though less satisfactory than cure, prevention and early detection are the most promising and feasible means reducing cancer morbidity and mortality. This work is based on the view that increasing knowledge about the molecular events underlying tumour development will eventually aid in early detection and lead to improved treatment. We evaluated a large set of VHL-associated patients, searched for a clinical and radiologic signs of the disease. We succesfully performed a germ-line mutation analysis and characterised three patient groups, VHL, suspect VHL and sporadic, a germ-line mutation analysis revealed a 50% mutation rate only in the VHL groups, no sporadic or suspect cases displayed any mutation. We also utilized comparative genomic hybridization (CGH) to screen for DNA copy number changes in both sporadic and VHL-associated CHB. Our analysis revealed (27%) DNA copy number losses. The most common finding was loss of chromosomal arm 6q, seen in (23%) cases, No differences were noted between VHL-associated and sporadic tumours. Furthermore a loss of heterozygosity (LOH) study on chromosome 3p and 6q was done with the purpose to determine allele losses not observable by CGH, and to uncover the location of putative tumour suppressor genes important in CHB and PCC tumourigenesis. We identified loss of chromosome 6q and a minimal deleted area at 6q23-24 in CHBs. We also showed LOH at 6q23-24 in PCCs and identified the ZAC1 (6q24-25) as a candidate gene, ZAC1 is a maternally imprinted tumour suppressor gene with anti proliferative properties. To study further the role of ZAC inactivation in CHBs, we investigated LOH, promoter hypermethylation and expression status of the ZAC1 gene in mainly sporadic CHBs. Our LOH analysis revealed that the majority of the tumours with allele loss. The gene promoter methylation analysis similarly detected predominance of the methylated ZAC sequence in almost all tumours. Immunohistochemistry exhibited a strongly reduced expression of ZAC in stromal cells of all CHBs studied. Our current results indicate that the absence of the unmethylated, ZAC1 promoter sequence was highly concurrent with LOH for the ZAC1 region or 6q loss. This observation together with lack of ZAC expression, points to preferential loss of the non imprinted, expressed ZAC allele in CHB, in summary, our series of studies reveal a new chromosomal region 6q, emphasizes the importance of ZAC1 gene in the development of CHB and PCC, particularly in non-VHL associated cases.

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The efforts of combining quantum theory with general relativity have been great and marked by several successes. One field where progress has lately been made is the study of noncommutative quantum field theories that arise as a low energy limit in certain string theories. The idea of noncommutativity comes naturally when combining these two extremes and has profound implications on results widely accepted in traditional, commutative, theories. In this work I review the status of one of the most important connections in physics, the spin-statistics relation. The relation is deeply ingrained in our reality in that it gives us the structure for the periodic table and is of crucial importance for the stability of all matter. The dramatic effects of noncommutativity of space-time coordinates, mainly the loss of Lorentz invariance, call the spin-statistics relation into question. The spin-statistics theorem is first presented in its traditional setting, giving a clarifying proof starting from minimal requirements. Next the notion of noncommutativity is introduced and its implications studied. The discussion is essentially based on twisted Poincaré symmetry, the space-time symmetry of noncommutative quantum field theory. The controversial issue of microcausality in noncommutative quantum field theory is settled by showing for the first time that the light wedge microcausality condition is compatible with the twisted Poincaré symmetry. The spin-statistics relation is considered both from the point of view of braided statistics, and in the traditional Lagrangian formulation of Pauli, with the conclusion that Pauli's age-old theorem stands even this test so dramatic for the whole structure of space-time.

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This thesis presents novel modelling applications for environmental geospatial data using remote sensing, GIS and statistical modelling techniques. The studied themes can be classified into four main themes: (i) to develop advanced geospatial databases. Paper (I) demonstrates the creation of a geospatial database for the Glanville fritillary butterfly (Melitaea cinxia) in the Åland Islands, south-western Finland; (ii) to analyse species diversity and distribution using GIS techniques. Paper (II) presents a diversity and geographical distribution analysis for Scopulini moths at a world-wide scale; (iii) to study spatiotemporal forest cover change. Paper (III) presents a study of exotic and indigenous tree cover change detection in Taita Hills Kenya using airborne imagery and GIS analysis techniques; (iv) to explore predictive modelling techniques using geospatial data. In Paper (IV) human population occurrence and abundance in the Taita Hills highlands was predicted using the generalized additive modelling (GAM) technique. Paper (V) presents techniques to enhance fire prediction and burned area estimation at a regional scale in East Caprivi Namibia. Paper (VI) compares eight state-of-the-art predictive modelling methods to improve fire prediction, burned area estimation and fire risk mapping in East Caprivi Namibia. The results in Paper (I) showed that geospatial data can be managed effectively using advanced relational database management systems. Metapopulation data for Melitaea cinxia butterfly was successfully combined with GPS-delimited habitat patch information and climatic data. Using the geospatial database, spatial analyses were successfully conducted at habitat patch level or at more coarse analysis scales. Moreover, this study showed it appears evident that at a large-scale spatially correlated weather conditions are one of the primary causes of spatially correlated changes in Melitaea cinxia population sizes. In Paper (II) spatiotemporal characteristics of Socupulini moths description, diversity and distribution were analysed at a world-wide scale and for the first time GIS techniques were used for Scopulini moth geographical distribution analysis. This study revealed that Scopulini moths have a cosmopolitan distribution. The majority of the species have been described from the low latitudes, sub-Saharan Africa being the hot spot of species diversity. However, the taxonomical effort has been uneven among biogeographical regions. Paper III showed that forest cover change can be analysed in great detail using modern airborne imagery techniques and historical aerial photographs. However, when spatiotemporal forest cover change is studied care has to be taken in co-registration and image interpretation when historical black and white aerial photography is used. In Paper (IV) human population distribution and abundance could be modelled with fairly good results using geospatial predictors and non-Gaussian predictive modelling techniques. Moreover, land cover layer is not necessary needed as a predictor because first and second-order image texture measurements derived from satellite imagery had more power to explain the variation in dwelling unit occurrence and abundance. Paper V showed that generalized linear model (GLM) is a suitable technique for fire occurrence prediction and for burned area estimation. GLM based burned area estimations were found to be more superior than the existing MODIS burned area product (MCD45A1). However, spatial autocorrelation of fires has to be taken into account when using the GLM technique for fire occurrence prediction. Paper VI showed that novel statistical predictive modelling techniques can be used to improve fire prediction, burned area estimation and fire risk mapping at a regional scale. However, some noticeable variation between different predictive modelling techniques for fire occurrence prediction and burned area estimation existed.

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The aim of this study was twofold- Firstly, to determine the composition of the type IV collagen which are the major components of the basement membrane (BM), in the synovial lining of the rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patient and in the BM in the labial salivary gland of the Sjögrens syndrome (SS) patient. Secondly, this thesis aimed to investigate the role of the BM component laminin α4 and laminin α5 in the migration of neutrophils from the blood vessels thorough the synovial lining layer into synovial fluid and the presence of vWF in the microvasculature of labial salivary gland in SS. Our studies showed that certain α chains type IV collagen are low in RA compared to control synovial linings, while laminin α5 exhibited a pattern of low expression regions at the synovial lining interface towards the joint cavity and fluid. Also, high numbers of macrophage-like lining cells containing MMP-9 were found in the lining. MMP-9 was also found in the synovial fluid. Collagen α1/2 (IV) mRNA was found to be present in high amount compared to the other α(IV) chains and also showed intense labelling in immunohistochemical staining in normal and SS patients. In healthy glands α5(IV) and α6(IV) chains were found to be continuous around ducts but discontinuous around acini. The α5(IV) and α6(IV) mRNAs were present in LSG explants and HSG cell line, while in SS these chains seemed to be absent or appear only in patches around the ductal BM and tended to be absent around acini in immunohistochemical staining, indicating that their synthesis and/or degradation seemed to be locally regulated around acinar cells. The provisional matrix component vWF serves as a marker of vascular damage. Microvasculature in SS showed signs of focal damage which in turn might impair arteriolar feeding, capillary transudation and venular drainage of blood. However, capillary density was not decreased but rather increased, perhaps as a result of angiogenesis compensatory to microvascular damage. Microvascular involvement of LSG may contribute to the pathogenesis of this syndrome. This twofold approach allows us to understand the intricate relation between the ECM components and the immunopathological changes that occur during the pathogenesis of these inflammatory rheumatic disease processes. Also notably this study highlights the importance of maintaining a healthy ECM to prevent the progression or possibly allow reversal of the disease to a considerable level. Furthermore, it can be speculated that a healthy BM could quarantine the inflamed region or in case of cancer cells barricade the movement of malignant cells thereby preventing further spread to the surrounding areas. This understanding can be further applied to design appropriate drugs which act specifically to maintain a proper BM/BM like intercellular matrix composition.

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The trade of the financial analyst is currently a much-debated issue in today’s media. As a large part of the investment analysis is conducted under the broker firms’ regime, the incentives of the financial analyst and the investor do not always align. The broker firm’s commercial incentives may be to maximise its commission from securities trading and underwriting fees. The purpose of this thesis is to extend our understanding of the work of a financial analyst, the incentives he faces and how these affect his actions. The first essay investigates how the economic significance of the coverage of a particular firm impacts the analysts’ accuracy of estimation. The hypothesis is that analysts put more effort in analysing firms with a relatively higher trading volume, as these firms usually yield higher commissions. The second essay investigates how analysts interpret new financial statement information. The essay shows that analysts underreact or overreact to prior reported earnings, depending on the short-term pattern in reported earnings. The third essay investigates the possible investment value in Finnish stock recommendations, issued by sell side analysts. It is established that consensus recommendations issued on Finnish stocks contain investment value. Further, the investment value in consensus recommendations improves significantly through the exclusion of recommendations issued by banks. The fourth essay investigates investors’ behaviour prior to financial analysts’ earnings forecast revisions. Lately, the financial press have reported cases were financial analysts warn their preferred clients of possible earnings forecast revisions. However, in the light of the empirical results, it appears that the problem of analysts leaking information to some selected customers does not appear systematically on the Finnish stock market.

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Inspired by the recent debate in the financial press, we set out to investigate if financial analysts warn their preferred customers of possible earnings forecast revisions. The issue is explored by monitoring investors’ trading behavior during the weeks prior to analyst earnings forecast revisions, using the unique official stock transactions data set from Finland. In summary, we do not find evidence of large investors systematically being warned of earnings forecast revisions. However, the results indicate that the very largest investors show trading behavior partly consistent with being informed of future earnings forecast revisions.