Applications of Treatment Effects Models and Semiparametric Estimation

This thesis is composed of an introductory chapter and four applications each of them constituting an own chapter. The common element underlying each of the chapters is the econometric methodology. The applications rely mostly on the leading econometric techniques related to estimation of causal effects. The first chapter introduces the econometric techniques that are employed in the remaining chapters. Chapter 2 studies the effects of shocking news on student performance. It exploits the fact that the school shooting in Kauhajoki in 2008 coincided with the matriculation examination period of that fall. It shows that the performance of men declined due to the news of the school shooting. For women the similar pattern remains unobserved. Chapter 3 studies the effects of minimum wage on employment by employing the original Card and Krueger (1994; CK) and Neumark and Wascher (2000; NW) data together with the changes-in-changes (CIC) estimator. As the main result it shows that the employment effect of an increase in the minimum wage is positive for small fast-food restaurants and negative for big fast-food restaurants. Therefore, it shows that the controversial positive employment effect reported by CK is overturned for big fast-food restaurants and that the NW data are shown, in contrast to their original results, to provide support for the positive employment effect. Chapter 4 employs the state-specific U.S. data (collected by Cohen and Einav [2003; CE]) on traffic fatalities to re-evaluate the effects of seat belt laws on the traffic fatalities by using the CIC estimator. It confirms the CE results that on the average an implementation of a mandatory seat belt law results in an increase in the seat belt usage rate and a decrease in the total fatality rate. In contrast to CE, it also finds evidence on compensating-behavior theory, which is observed especially in the states by the border of the U.S. Chapter 5 studies the life cycle consumption in Finland, with the special interest laid on the baby boomers and the older households. It shows that the baby boomers smooth their consumption over the life cycle more than other generations. It also shows that the old households smoothed their life cycle consumption more as a result of the recession in the 1990s, compared to young households.

Vastasyntyneen varsan sepsis osa II - Infektion diagnosoiminen, aiheuttajamikrobit ja mikrobilääkeresistenssi

Sepsis eli infektion aiheuttama yleistynyt tulehdusreaktio on merkittävä kuolleisuuden aiheuttaja vastasyntyneillä varsoilla. Kirjallisuuskatsauksessa on käsitelty sepsiksen patofysiologiaa ja kliinisiä oireita vastasyntyneillä varsoilla sekä sepsikselle altistavia tekijöitä. Vastasyntyneen varsan sepsiksen diagnosoimisessa kliinisten oireiden arvioinnilla on keskeinen merkitys sairauden varhaisessa tunnistamisessa ja hoidon aloittamisessa. Sairauden nopean etenemisen ja veriviljelytulosten hitaan valmistumisen vuoksi antibioottihoito joudutaan aloittamaan jo ennen viljelytulosten valmistumista. Veriviljelyllä on kuitenkin tärkeä merkitys sepsisdiagnoosin ja valitun antibioottihoidon varmistamisessa. Sairaalakohtaisten veriviljelynäytetulosten seuranta mahdollistaa ensisijaisen mikrobilääkkeen valinnan aiemmin eristettyjen aiheuttajamikrobien esiintyvyyden ja mikrobilääkeherkkyyksien perusteella. Yleisimpiä vastasyntyneen varsan sepsiksen aiheuttajia ovat kirjallisuuden mukaan suolistoperäiset gram-negatiiviset bakteerit. Escherichia colin osuus vastasyntyneiltä varsoilta otetuista veriviljelynäytteistä eristetyistä bakteerikannoista on vaihdellut eri tutkimuksissa 18,7 - 50,0 %. Pohjois-Amerikassa tehdyissä tutkimuksissa varsojen veriviljelynäytteistä eristettyjen E.coli -kantojen herkkyys yleisesti käytetylle trimetopriimi-sulfadiatsiinille on ollut huono (57–71 %). Penisilliinin ja gentamisiinin yhdistelmälle enterobakteerien herkkyyden on raportoitu olevan hyvä. Suomessa tilanteen on arvioitu olevan parempi. Tutkimuksessa kartoitettiin retrospektiivisesti veriviljelyn käyttöä varsojen sepsiksen diagnostiikassa, sepsiksen aiheuttajamikrobien esiintymistä ja mikrobilääkkeiden käyttöä Yliopistollisessa eläinsairaalassa (YES) vuosina 2004–2006. Tutkimusaineisto koostuu yhteensä 90 korkeintaan 10 päivän ikäisenä YES:aan tuodun varsan potilastiedoista. Sairaalaan saapuneista varsoista 30 % oli otettu veriviljelynäyte. Veriviljelynäytteistä positiivisia oli 62,5 %. 60 % positiivisista näytteistä kasvoi vähintään kahta bakteerilajia. Yleisin aiheuttajabakteeri oli Escherichia coli (23,1 %). Yksi eristetyistä E.coli -kannoista oli resistentti ampisilliinille, gentamisiinille ja trimetopriimi-sulfadiatsiinille. Aineiston pienen koon vuoksi tutkimus ei kuitenkaan anna luotettavaa kuvaa eristettyjen aiheuttajamikrobien mikrobilääkeherkkyydestä laajemmin. Sekakasvujen osuus oli suuri ja tyypillisten veriviljelynäytteitä kontaminoivien bakteerilajien (Streptococcus viridans sp., Micrococcus sp., koagulaasinegatiiviset stafylokokit) osuus oli yli 30 % eristetyistä bakteerikannoista. Tämä viittaa ongelmiin veriviljelynäytteenottotekniikassa riittävän aseptiikan saavuttamien osalta. Koagulaasinegatiiviset stafylokokit voivat myös aiheuttaa sepsiksen, mutta niiden merkitys vastasyntyneiden varsojen sepsiksen aiheuttajina on epäselvä.

Studies of the Human Transcriptome

Gene expression is one of the most critical factors influencing the phenotype of a cell. As a result of several technological advances, measuring gene expression levels has become one of the most common molecular biological measurements to study the behaviour of cells. The scientific community has produced enormous and constantly increasing collection of gene expression data from various human cells both from healthy and pathological conditions. However, while each of these studies is informative and enlighting in its own context and research setup, diverging methods and terminologies make it very challenging to integrate existing gene expression data to a more comprehensive view of human transcriptome function. On the other hand, bioinformatic science advances only through data integration and synthesis. The aim of this study was to develop biological and mathematical methods to overcome these challenges and to construct an integrated database of human transcriptome as well as to demonstrate its usage. Methods developed in this study can be divided in two distinct parts. First, the biological and medical annotation of the existing gene expression measurements needed to be encoded by systematic vocabularies. There was no single existing biomedical ontology or vocabulary suitable for this purpose. Thus, new annotation terminology was developed as a part of this work. Second part was to develop mathematical methods correcting the noise and systematic differences/errors in the data caused by various array generations. Additionally, there was a need to develop suitable computational methods for sample collection and archiving, unique sample identification, database structures, data retrieval and visualization. Bioinformatic methods were developed to analyze gene expression levels and putative functional associations of human genes by using the integrated gene expression data. Also a method to interpret individual gene expression profiles across all the healthy and pathological tissues of the reference database was developed. As a result of this work 9783 human gene expression samples measured by Affymetrix microarrays were integrated to form a unique human transcriptome resource GeneSapiens. This makes it possible to analyse expression levels of 17330 genes across 175 types of healthy and pathological human tissues. Application of this resource to interpret individual gene expression measurements allowed identification of tissue of origin with 92.0% accuracy among 44 healthy tissue types. Systematic analysis of transcriptional activity levels of 459 kinase genes was performed across 44 healthy and 55 pathological tissue types and a genome wide analysis of kinase gene co-expression networks was done. This analysis revealed biologically and medically interesting data on putative kinase gene functions in health and disease. Finally, we developed a method for alignment of gene expression profiles (AGEP) to perform analysis for individual patient samples to pinpoint gene- and pathway-specific changes in the test sample in relation to the reference transcriptome database. We also showed how large-scale gene expression data resources can be used to quantitatively characterize changes in the transcriptomic program of differentiating stem cells. Taken together, these studies indicate the power of systematic bioinformatic analyses to infer biological and medical insights from existing published datasets as well as to facilitate the interpretation of new molecular profiling data from individual patients.

Perinatal mortality and maternal health in rural China

Background and context Since the economic reforms of 1978, China has been acclaimed as a remarkable economy, achieving 9% annual growth per head for more than 25 years. However, China's health sector has not fared well. The population health gains slowed down and health disparities increased. In the field of health and health care, significant progress in maternal care has been achieved. However, there still remain important disparities between the urban and rural areas and among the rural areas in terms of economic development. The excess female infant deaths and the rapidly increasing sex ratio at birth in the last decade aroused serious concerns among policy makers and scholars. Decentralization of the government administration and health sector reform impacts maternal care. Many studies using census data have been conducted to explore the determinants of a high sex ratio at birth, but no agreement has been so far reached on the possible contributing factors. No study using family planning system data has been conducted to explore perinatal mortality and sex ratio at birth and only few studies have examined the impact of the decentralization of government and health sector reforms on the provision and organization of maternal care in rural China. Objectives The general objective of this study was to investigate the state of perinatal health and maternal care and their determinants in rural China under the historic context of major socioeconomic reforms and the one child family planning policy. The specific objectives of the study included: 1) to study pregnancy outcomes and perinatal health and their correlates in a rural Chinese county; 2) to examine the issue of sex ratio at birth and its determinants in a rural Chinese county; 3) to explore the patterns of provision, utilization, and content of maternal care in a rural Chinese county; 4) to investigate the changes in the use of maternal care in China from 1991 to 2003. Materials and Methods This study is based on a project for evaluating the prenatal care programme in Dingyuan county in 1999-2003, Anhui province, China and a nationwide household health survey to describe the changes in maternal care utilization. The approaches used included a retrospective cohort study, cross sectional interview surveys, informant interviews, observations and the use of statistical data. The data sources included the following: 1) A cohort of pregnant women followed from pregnancy up to 7 days after birth in 20 townships in the study county, collecting information on pregnancy outcomes using family planning records; 2) A questionnaire interview survey given to women who gave birth between 2001 and 2003; 3) Various statistical and informant surveys data collected from the study county; 4) Three national household health interview survey data sets (1993-2003) were utilized, and reanalyzed to described the changes in maternity care utilization. Relative risks (RR) and their confidence intervals (CI) were calculated for comparison between parity, approval status, infant sex and township groups. The chi-square test was used to analyse the disparity of use of maternal care between and within urban and rural areas and its trend across the years in China. Logistic regression was used to analyse the factors associated with hospital delivery in rural areas. Results There were 3697 pregnancies in the study cohort, resulting in 3092 live births in a total population of 299463 in the 20 study townships during 1999-2000. The average age at pregnancy in the cohort was 25.9 years. Of the women, 61% were childless, 38% already had one child and 0.3% had two children before the current pregnancy. About 90% of approved pregnancies ended in a live birth while 73% of the unapproved ones were aborted. The perinatal mortality rate was 69 per thousand births. If the 30 induced abortions in which the gestational age was more than 28 weeks had been counted as perinatal deaths, the perinatal mortality rate would have been as high as 78 per thousand. The perinatal mortality rate was negatively associated with the wealth of the township. Approximately two thirds of the perinatal deaths occurred in the early neonatal period. Both the still birth rate and the early neonatal death rate increased with parity. The risk of a stillbirth in a second pregnancy was almost four times that for a first pregnancy, while the risk of early neonatal deaths doubled. The early neonatal mortality rate was twice as high for female as for male infants. The sex difference in the early neonatal mortality rate was mainly attributable to mortality in second births. The male early neonatal mortality rate was not affected by parity, while the female early neonatal mortality rate increased dramatically with parity: it was about six times higher for second births than for first births. About 82% early neonatal deaths happened within 24 hours after birth, and during that time, girls were almost three times more likely to die than boys. The death rate of females on the day of birth increased much more sharply with parity than that of males. The total sex ratio at birth of 3697 registered pregnancies was 152 males to 100 females, with 118 and 287 in first and second pregnancies, respectively. Among unapproved pregnancies, there were almost 5 live-born boys for each girl. Most prenatal and delivery care was to be taken care of in township hospitals. At the village level, there were small private clinics. There was no limitation period for the provision of prenatal and postnatal care by private practitioners. They were not permitted to provide delivery care by the county health bureau, but as some 12% of all births occurred either at home or at private clinics; some village health workers might have been involved. The county level hospitals served as the referral centers for the township hospitals in the county. However, there was no formal regulation or guideline on how the referral system should work. Whether or not a woman was referred to a higher level hospital depended on the individual midwife's professional judgment and on the clients' compliance. The county health bureau had little power over township hospitals, because township hospitals had in the decentralization process become directly accountable to the township government. In the township and county hospitals only 10-20% of the recurrent costs were funded by local government (the township hospital was funded by the township government and the county hospital was funded by the county government) and the hospitals collected user fees to balance their budgets. Also the staff salaries depended on fee incomes by the hospital. The hospitals could define the user charges themselves. Prenatal care consultations were however free in most township hospitals. None of the midwives made postnatal home visits, because of low profit of these services. The three national household health survey data showed that the proportion of women receiving their first prenatal visit within 12 weeks increased greatly from the early to middle 1990s in all areas except for large cities. The increase was much larger in the rural areas, reducing the urban-rural difference from more than 4 times to about 1.4 times. The proportion of women that received antenatal care visits meeting the Ministry of Health s standard (at least 5 times) in the rural areas increased sharply from 12% in 1991-1993 to 36% in 2001-2003. In rural areas, the proportion increase was much faster in less developed areas than in developed areas. The hospital delivery rate increased slightly from 90% to 94% in urban areas while the proportion increased from 27% to 69% in rural areas. The fastest change was found to be in type 4 rural areas, where the utilization even quadrupled. The overall difference between rural and urban areas was substantially narrowed over the period. Multiple logistic regression analysis shows that time periods, residency in rural or urban areas, income levels, age group, education levels, delivery history, occupation, health insurance and distance from the nearest health care facilities were significantly associated with hospital delivery rates. Conclusions 1. Perinatal mortality in this study was much higher than that for urban areas as well as any reported rate from specific studies in rural areas of China. Previous studies in which calculations of infant mortality were not based on epidemiological surveys have been shown to underestimate the rates by more than 50%. 2. Routine statistics collected by the Chinese family planning system proved to be a reliable data source for studying perinatal health, including still births, neonatal deaths, sex ratio at birth and among newborns. National Household Health Survey data proved to be a useful and reliable data source for studying population health and health services. Prior to this research there were few studies in these areas available to international audiences. 3.Though perinatal mortality rate was negatively associated with the level of township economic development, the excess female early neonatal mortality rate contributed much more to high perinatal mortality rate than economic factors. This was likely a result of the role of the family planning policy and the traditional preferences for sons, which leads to lethal neglect of female newborns and high perinatal mortality. 4. The selective abortions of female foetuses were likely to contribute most to the high sex ratio at birth. The underreporting of female births seemed to have played a secondary role. The higher early neonatal mortality rate in second-born as compared to first-born children, particularly in females, may indicate that neglect or poorer care of female newborn infants also contributes to the high sex ratio at birth or among newborns. Existing family planning policy proved not to effectively control the steadily increased birth sex ratio. 5. The rural-urban gap in service utilization was on average significantly narrowed in terms of maternal healthcare in China from 1991 to 2003. This demonstrates that significant achievements in reducing inequities can be made through a combination of socio-economic development and targeted investments in improving health services, including infrastructure, staff capacities, and subsidies to reduce the costs of service utilization for the poorest. However, the huge gap which persisted among cities of different size and within different types of rural areas indicated the need for further efforts to support the poorest areas. 6. Hospital delivery care in the study county was better accepted by women because most of women think delivery care was very important while prenatal and postnatal care were not. Hospital delivery care was more systematically provided and promoted than prenatal and postnatal care by township hospital in the study area. The reliance of hospital staff income on user fees gave the hospitals an incentive to put more emphasis on revenue generating activities such as delivery care instead of prenatal and postnatal care, since delivery care generated much profits than prenatal and postnatal care . Recommendations 1. It is essential for the central government to re-assess and modify existing family planning policies. In order to keep national sex balance, the existing practice of one couple one child in urban areas and at-least-one-son a couple in rural areas should be gradually changed to a two-children-a-couple policy throughout the country. The government should establish a favourable social security policy for couples, especially for rural couples who have only daughters, with particular emphasis on their pension and medical care insurance, combined with an educational campaign for equal rights for boys and girls in society. 2. There is currently no routine vital-statistics registration system in rural China. Using the findings of this study, the central government could set up a routine vital-statistics registration system using family planning routine work records, which could be used by policy makers and researchers. 3. It is possible for the central and provincial government to invest more in the less developed and poor rural areas to increase the access of pregnant women in these areas to maternal care services. Central government together with local government should gradually provide free maternal care including prenatal and postnatal as well as delivery care to the women in poor and less developed rural areas. 4. Future research could be done to explore if county and the township level health care sector and the family planning system could be merged to increase the effectiveness and efficiency of maternal and child care. 5. Future research could be done to explore the relative contribution of maternal care, economic development and family planning policy on perinatal and child health using prospective cohort studies and community based randomized trials. Key words: perinatal health, perinatal mortality, stillbirth, neonatal death, sex selective abortion, sex ratio at birth, family planning, son preference, maternal care, prenatal care, postnatal care, equity, China

Change detection and controlling forest information using multi-temporal Landsat TM imagery.

A method was developed for relative radiometric calibration of single multitemporal Landsat TM image, several multitemporal images covering each others, and several multitemporal images covering different geographic locations. The radiometricly calibrated difference images were used for detecting rapid changes on forest stands. The nonparametric Kernel method was applied for change detection. The accuracy of the change detection was estimated by inspecting the image analysis results in field. The change classification was applied for controlling the quality of the continuously updated forest stand information. The aim was to ensure that all the manmade changes and any forest damages were correctly updated including the attribute and stand delineation information. The image analysis results were compared with the registered treatments and the stand information base. The stands with discrepancies between these two information sources were recommended to be field inspected.

Viiniarvostelujen vaikutus viinin kuluttajan ostopäätökseen

Tutkimuksen tavoitteena oli tutkia, millaisia vaikutuksia sanoma- ja aikakausilehdissä julkaistuilla viiniarvosteluilla on kyseisten arvosteltujen viinien myyntiin. Voidaanko siis suhdetoiminnan avulla viinikriitikoiden kautta vaikuttaa kuluttajan ostokäyttäytymiseen? Tutkimuskysymystä lähestyttiin tarkastelemalla ensin kuluttajan ostokäyttäytymistä ja ostoprosessin eri vaiheita. Samalla käytiin läpi myös kuluttajan sitoutumista ja tuotteen oston yhteydessä ilmeneviä riskejä. Sen jälkeen perehdyttiin suhdetoimintaan, jonka avulla pyritään vaikuttamaan siihen, mitä yrityksestä ja sen tuotteista kirjoitetaan medioissa. Empiirisessä osassa tehtiin tilastollinen tutkimus, jossa tutkittiin, onko eri sanoma- ja aikakausilehtien viiniarvosteluilla vaikutusta arvostellun viinin myyntiin. Lisäksi tutkittiin, löytyykö arvosteluista yhteisiä tekijöitä, jotka ovat vaikuttaneet myynnin muutokseen. Aineisto kerättiin kahden suomalaisen viinien maahantuonti- ja markkinointiyrityksen viineistä kirjoitetuista arvosteluista ja näiden kyseisten arvosteltujen viinien myyntiluvuista. Arvosteluja kerättiin helmikuun 18. päivän ja lokakuun 19. päivän 2010 väliseltä ajalta. Yhteensä hyväksyttyjä arvosteluja kertyi 90 kappaletta. Tutkimuksen analysointiin käytettiin regressioanalyysiä. Tämän tutkimusten tulosten mukaan viiniarvosteluilla näyttäisi olevan vaikutusta viinien myyntiin eli kuluttajien ostopäätökseen. Teoriaosioon peilaten tämä oli odotettavissa, sillä myös aikaisemmat tutkimukset ovat osoittaneet mielipidejohtajien ja viinikriitikoiden positiivisen vaikutuksen kuluttajiin. Kuluttajat kokevat viinin ostopäätöksen yhteydessä riskiä, jota he pyrkivät välttämään viiniarvostelujen avulla. Tuloksien mukaan myös arvostelun julkaisseella sanoma- tai aikakausilehdellä on vaikutusta kuluttajan ostopäätökseen.

Mechanism-based inhibition of CYP2C8 by gemfibrozil in humans : characterisation of time and dose relationships

Drug-drug interactions may cause serious, even fatal clinical consequences. Therefore, it is important to examine the interaction potential of new chemical entities early in drug development. Mechanism-based inhibition is a pharmacokinetic interaction type, which causes irreversible loss of enzyme activity and can therefore lead to unusually profound and long-lasting consequences. The in vitro in vivo extrapolation (IVIVE) of drug-drug interactions caused by mechanism-based inhibition is challenging. Consequently, many of these interactions have remained unrecognised for many years. The concomitant use of the fibrate-class lipid-lowering agent gemfibrozil increases the concentrations of some drugs and their effects markedly. Even fatal cases of rhabdomyolysis occurred in patients administering gemfibrozil and cerivastatin concomitantly. One of the main mechanisms behind this effect is the mechanism-based inhibition of the cytochrome P450 (CYP) 2C8 enzyme by a glucuronide metabolite of gemfibrozil leading to increased cerivastatin concentrations. Although the clinical use of gemfibrozil has clearly decreased during recent years, gemfibrozil is still needed in some special cases. To enable safe use of gemfibrozil concomitantly with other drugs, information concerning the time and dose relationships of CYP2C8 inhibition by gemfibrozil should be known. This work was carried out as four in vivo clinical drug-drug interaction studies to examine the time and dose relationships of the mechanism-based inhibitory effect of gemfibrozil on CYP2C8. The oral antidiabetic drug repaglinide was used as a probe drug for measuring CYP2C8 activity in healthy volunteers. In this work, mechanism-based inhibition of the CYP2C8 enzyme by gemfibrozil was found to occur rapidly in humans. The inhibitory effect developed to its maximum already when repaglinide was given 1-3 h after gemfibrozil intake. In addition, the inhibition was shown to abate slowly. A full recovery of CYP2C8 activity, as measured by repaglinide metabolism, was achieved 96 h after cessation of gemfibrozil treatment. The dose-dependency of the mechanism-based inhibition of CYP2C8 by gemfibrozil was shown for the first time in this work. CYP2C8 activity was halved by a single 30 mg dose of gemfibrozil or by twice daily administration of less than 30 mg of gemfibrozil. Furthermore, CYP2C8 activity was decreased over 90% by a single dose of 900 mg gemfibrozil or twice daily dosing of approximately 100 mg gemfibrozil. In addition, with the application of physiological models to the data obtained in the dose-dependency studies, the major role of mechanism-based inhibition of CYP2C8 in the interaction between gemfibrozil and repaglinide was confirmed. The results of this work enhance the proper use of gemfibrozil and the safety of patients. The information related to time-dependency of CYP2C8 inhibition by gemfibrozil may also give new insights in order to improve the IVIVE of the drug-drug interactions of new chemical entities. The information obtained by this work may be utilised also in the design of clinical drug-drug interaction studies in the future.

Biomarkers in acute respiratory failure

Acute respiratory failure (ARF) is the most common type of organ failure leading to the need for intensive care. It is often secondary to acute lung injury (ALI) and its more severe form, acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). ARF, and especially ALI and ARDS, cause increased morbidity, and mortality rates remain high (up to 40%). These disorders are characterised by inflammatory reaction and tissue damage. In some cases, inflammation continues and leads to an overwhelming repair process with ongoing fibrosis, accompanied by organ dysfunction and eventually a loss of function. Measuring the magnitude of the inflammation, and the repair process, would theoretically offer information concerning outcome. Early identification of patients whose disease process is likely to proceed unfavourably, would help clinicians to optimise their treatment. The aim of this study was to evaluate the epidemiology of ARF, its treatment, and outcome in Finland, with special interest in biomarkers, and their value in the prediction of mortality. Altogether, 958 adult patients treated with ventilatory support were prospectively included in this study during an eight week period in 2007 in 25 intensive care units. Plasma aminoterminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-pro-BNP) was assessed in 602 patients, and plasma cell-free DNA in 580 patients, to evaluate their prognostic value in ARF. Markers of collagen metabolism were studied in longitudinal serum samples in 68 patients in order to evaluate their evolution in ARF and the association to multiple organ dysfunction (MOD). Ventilatory support was used in 39% of all ICU patients. The estimated incidence of ARF was 149.5/100 000 per year. Median tidal volumes used were higher than recommended. Overall mortality at 90 days was 31%. Plasma NT-pro-BNP and cell-free DNA were highly increased in the majority of patients. Both markers were independent predictors of 90-day mortality, but their discriminative power was at most moderate when used separately. The mortality was highest in those patients, in whom both biomarkers were over their separate cut-off values. Thus, combined use of these biomarkers may increase their clinical value in the mortality prediction. The markers of collagen metabolism changed significantly over time in surviving patients. None of these markers did associate with MOD in these patients.

Resistance of Norway spruce (Picea abies) to root and butt rot (Heterobasidion parviporum) in peatland and mineral soil

Root and butt rot is the most harmful fungal disease affecting Norway spruce in southern Finland. In approximately 90 % of cases the causal agent is Heterobasidion parviporum. Root and butt rot infections have not been reported in Finnish peatlands. However, the increase in logging operations in peatlands means there is a risk that the fungus will eventually spread to these areas. The aim of this study was to find out the impact of growing site on the resistance of Norway spruce to Heterobasidion parviporum infections. This was investigated by artificially inoculating H. parviporum to spruce trees in pristine mire, drained peatland and mineral soil and comparing the defence reactions. Additionally, the effect of genotype on resistance was studied by comparing the responses of spruce clones representing different geographic origins. The roots and stems of the trees to be sampled were wounded and inoculated with wood dowels pre-colonised by H. parviporum hyphae. The resulting necrosis around the point of inoculation was observed. It was presumed that increased length of necrosis indicates high susceptibility of the tree to the disease. The relationship between growth rate and host resistance was also studied. The results indicated that growing site does not have a statistically significant effect on host resistance. The average length of necrosis around the point of inoculation was 35 mm in pristine mire, 37 mm in drained peatland and 40 mm in mineral soil. It was observed that growth rate does not affect resistance, but that the genotype of the tree does have an effect. The most resistant spruce clone was the one with Russian origin. The results suggest that the spruce stands in peatlands are not more resistant to root and butt rot infections than those in mineral soil. These findings should be taken into consideration when logging peatland forests.