22 resultados para alternative modeling approaches
Resumo:
Situado en el límite entre Ingeniería, Informática y Biología, la mecánica computacional de las neuronas aparece como un nuevo campo interdisciplinar que potencialmente puede ser capaz de abordar problemas clínicos desde una perspectiva diferente. Este campo es multiescala por naturaleza, yendo desde la nanoescala (como, por ejemplo, los dímeros de tubulina) a la macroescala (como, por ejemplo, el tejido cerebral), y tiene como objetivo abordar problemas que son complejos, y algunas veces imposibles, de estudiar con medios experimentales. La modelización computacional ha sido ampliamente empleada en aplicaciones Neurocientíficas tan diversas como el crecimiento neuronal o la propagación de los potenciales de acción compuestos. Sin embargo, en la mayoría de los enfoques de modelización hechos hasta ahora, la interacción entre la célula y el medio/estímulo que la rodea ha sido muy poco explorada. A pesar de la tremenda importancia de esa relación en algunos desafíos médicos—como, por ejemplo, lesiones traumáticas en el cerebro, cáncer, la enfermedad del Alzheimer—un puente que relacione las propiedades electrofisiológicas-químicas y mecánicas desde la escala molecular al nivel celular todavía no existe. Con ese objetivo, esta investigación propone un marco computacional multiescala particularizado para dos escenarios respresentativos: el crecimiento del axón y el acomplamiento electrofisiológicomecánico de las neuritas. En el primer caso, se explora la relación entre los constituyentes moleculares del axón durante su crecimiento y sus propiedades mecánicas resultantes, mientras que en el último, un estímulo mecánico provoca deficiencias funcionales a nivel celular como consecuencia de sus alteraciones electrofisiológicas-químicas. La modelización computacional empleada en este trabajo es el método de las diferencias finitas, y es implementada en un nuevo programa llamado Neurite. Aunque el método de los elementos finitos es también explorado en parte de esta investigación, el método de las diferencias finitas tiene la flexibilidad y versatilidad necesaria para implementar mode los biológicos, así como la simplicidad matemática para extenderlos a simulaciones a gran escala con un coste computacional bajo. Centrándose primero en el efecto de las propiedades electrofisiológicas-químicas sobre las propiedades mecánicas, una versión adaptada de Neurite es desarrollada para simular la polimerización de los microtúbulos en el crecimiento del axón y proporcionar las propiedades mecánicas como función de la ocupación de los microtúbulos. Después de calibrar el modelo de crecimiento del axón frente a resultados experimentales disponibles en la literatura, las características mecánicas pueden ser evaluadas durante la simulación. Las propiedades mecánicas del axón muestran variaciones dramáticas en la punta de éste, donde el cono de crecimiento soporta las señales químicas y mecánicas. Bansándose en el conocimiento ganado con el modelo de diferencias finitas, y con el objetivo de ir de 1D a 3D, este esquema preliminar pero de una naturaleza innovadora allana el camino a futuros estudios con el método de los elementos finitos. Centrándose finalmente en el efecto de las propiedades mecánicas sobre las propiedades electrofisiológicas- químicas, Neurite es empleado para relacionar las cargas mecánicas macroscópicas con las deformaciones y velocidades de deformación a escala microscópica, y simular la propagación de la señal eléctrica en las neuritas bajo carga mecánica. Las simulaciones fueron calibradas con resultados experimentales publicados en la literatura, proporcionando, por tanto, un modelo capaz de predecir las alteraciones de las funciones electrofisiológicas neuronales bajo cargas externas dañinas, y uniendo lesiones mecánicas con las correspondientes deficiencias funcionales. Para abordar simulaciones a gran escala, aunque otras arquitecturas avanzadas basadas en muchos núcleos integrados (MICs) fueron consideradas, los solvers explícito e implícito se implementaron en unidades de procesamiento central (CPU) y unidades de procesamiento gráfico (GPUs). Estudios de escalabilidad fueron llevados acabo para ambas implementaciones mostrando resultados prometedores para casos de simulaciones extremadamente grandes con GPUs. Esta tesis abre la vía para futuros modelos mecánicos con el objetivo de unir las propiedades electrofisiológicas-químicas con las propiedades mecánicas. El objetivo general es mejorar el conocimiento de las comunidades médicas y de bioingeniería sobre la mecánica de las neuronas y las deficiencias funcionales que aparecen de los daños producidos por traumatismos mecánicos, como lesiones traumáticas en el cerebro, o enfermedades neurodegenerativas como la enfermedad del Alzheimer. ABSTRACT Sitting at the interface between Engineering, Computer Science and Biology, Computational Neuron Mechanics appears as a new interdisciplinary field potentially able to tackle clinical problems from a new perspective. This field is multiscale by nature, ranging from the nanoscale (e.g., tubulin dimers) to the macroscale (e.g., brain tissue), and aims at tackling problems that are complex, and sometime impossible, to study through experimental means. Computational modeling has been widely used in different Neuroscience applications as diverse as neuronal growth or compound action potential propagation. However, in the majority of the modeling approaches done in this field to date, the interactions between the cell and its surrounding media/stimulus have been rarely explored. Despite of the tremendous importance of such relationship in several medical challenges—e.g., traumatic brain injury (TBI), cancer, Alzheimer’s disease (AD)—a bridge between electrophysiological-chemical and mechanical properties of neurons from the molecular scale to the cell level is still lacking. To this end, this research proposes a multiscale computational framework particularized for two representative scenarios: axon growth and electrophysiological-mechanical coupling of neurites. In the former case, the relation between the molecular constituents of the axon during its growth and its resulting mechanical properties is explored, whereas in the latter, a mechanical stimulus provokes functional deficits at cell level as a consequence of its electrophysiological-chemical alterations. The computational modeling approach chosen in this work is the finite difference method (FDM), and was implemented in a new program called Neurite. Although the finite element method (FEM) is also explored as part of this research, the FDM provides the necessary flexibility and versatility to implement biological models, as well as the mathematical simplicity to extend them to large scale simulations with a low computational cost. Focusing first on the effect of electrophysiological-chemical properties on the mechanical proper ties, an adaptation of Neurite was developed to simulate microtubule polymerization in axonal growth and provide the axon mechanical properties as a function of microtubule occupancy. After calibrating the axon growth model against experimental results available in the literature, the mechanical characteristics can be tracked during the simulation. The axon mechanical properties show dramatic variations at the tip of the axon, where the growth cone supports the chemical and mechanical signaling. Based on the knowledge gained from the FDM scheme, and in order to go from 1D to 3D, this preliminary yet novel scheme paves the road for future studies with FEM. Focusing then on the effect of mechanical properties on the electrophysiological-chemical properties, Neurite was used to relate macroscopic mechanical loading to microscopic strains and strain rates, and simulate the electrical signal propagation along neurites under mechanical loading. The simulations were calibrated against experimental results published in the literature, thus providing a model able to predict the alteration of neuronal electrophysiological function under external damaging load, and linking mechanical injuries to subsequent acute functional deficits. To undertake large scale simulations, although other state-of-the-art architectures based on many integrated cores (MICs) were considered, the explicit and implicit solvers were implemented for central processing units (CPUs) and graphics processing units (GPUs). Scalability studies were done for both implementations showing promising results for extremely large scale simulations with GPUs. This thesis opens the avenue for future mechanical modeling approaches aimed at linking electrophysiological- chemical properties to mechanical properties. Its overarching goal is to enhance the bioengineering and medical communities knowledge on neuronal mechanics and functional deficits arising from damages produced by direct mechanical insults, such as TBI, or neurodegenerative evolving illness, such as AD.
Resumo:
Transportation infrastructure is known to affect the value of real estate property by virtue of changes in accessibility. The impact of transportation facilities is highly localized as well, and it is possible that spillover effects result from the capitalization of accessibility. The objective of this study was to review the theoretical background related to spatial hedonic models and the opportunities that they provided to evaluate the effect of new transportation infrastructure. An empirical case study is presented: the Madrid Metro Line 12, known as Metrosur, in the region of Madrid, Spain. The effect of proximity to metro stations on housing prices was evaluated. The analysis took into account a host of variables, including structure, location, and neighborhood and made use of three modeling approaches: linear regression estimation with ordinary least squares, spatial error, and spatial lag. The results indicated that better accessibility to Metrosur stations had a positive impact on real estate values and that the effect was marked in cases in which a house was for sale. The results also showed the presence of submarkets, which were well defined by geographic boundaries, and transport fares, which implied that the economic benefits differed across municipalities.
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In this paper fault detection and isolation (FDI) schemes are applied in the context of the surveillance of emerging faults in an electrical circuit. The FDI problem is studied on a noisy nonlinear circuit, where both abrupt and incipient faults in the voltage source are considered. A rigorous analysis of fault detectability precedes the application of the fault detection (FD) scheme; then, the fault isolation (FI) phase is accomplished with two alternative FI approaches, proposed as new extensions of that FD approach. Numerical simulations illustrate the applicability of the mentioned schemes.
Resumo:
Neuronal growth is a complex process involving many intra- and extracellular mechanisms which are collaborating conjointly to participate to the development of the nervous system. More particularly, the early neocortical development involves the creation of a multilayered structure constituted by neuronal growth (driven by axonal or dendritic guidance cues) as well as cell migration. The underlying mechanisms of such structural lamination not only implies important biochemical changes at the intracellular level through axonal microtubule (de)polymerization and growth cone advance, but also through the directly dependent stress/stretch coupling mechanisms driving them. Efforts have recently focused on modeling approaches aimed at accounting for the effect of mechanical tension or compression on the axonal growth and subsequent soma migration. However, the reciprocal influence of the biochemical structural evolution on the mechanical properties has been mostly disregarded. We thus propose a new model aimed at providing the spatially dependent mechanical properties of the axon during its growth. Our in-house finite difference solver Neurite is used to describe the guanosine triphosphate (GTP) transport through the axon, its dephosphorylation in guanosine diphosphate (GDP), and thus the microtubules polymerization. The model is calibrated against experimental results and the tensile and bending mechanical stiffnesses are ultimately inferred from the spatially dependent microtubule occupancy. Such additional information is believed to be of drastic relevance in the growth cone vicinity, where biomechanical mechanisms are driving axonal growth and pathfinding. More specifically, the confirmation of a lower stiffness in the distal axon ultimately participates in explaining the controversy associated to the tensile role of the growth cone.
Resumo:
The present paper describes the advancement and evaluation of air quality-related impacts with the Atmospheric Evaluation and Research Integrated system for Spain (AERIS). In its current version, AERIS is able to provide estimates on the impacts of air quality over human health (PM2.5 and O3), crops and vegetation (O3). The modules that allow quantifying the before mentioned impacts were modeled by applying different approaches (mostly for the European context) present in scientific literature to the conditions of the Iberian Peninsula. This application was supported by reliable data sources, as well as by the good predictive capacity of AERIS for ambient concentrations. For validation purposes, the estimates of AERIS for impacts on human health (change in the statistical life expectancy-PM2.5) and vegetation (loss of wheat crops-O3) were compared against results from the SERCA project and GAINS estimates for two emission scenarios. In general, good results evidenced by reasonable correlation coefficients were obtained, therefore confirming the adequateness of the followed modeling approaches and the quality of AERIS predictions.
Resumo:
The left ventricular (LV) summit is the most common site of idiopathic epicardial LV arrhythmias and frequently represents a diagnostic and a therapeutic challenge.1 We present a case of sustained monomorphic ventricular tachycardia (SMVT) originating at the LV summit that underwent failed cryosurgical epicardial ablation and was successfully treated with the aid of merged hemodynamic and contrast-enhanced MRI (CE-MRI).
Resumo:
Getting a lower energy cost has always been a challenge for concentrated photovoltaic. The FK concentrator enhances the performance (efficiency, acceptance angle and manufacturing tolerances) of the conventional CPV system based on a Fresnel primary stage and a secondary lens, while keeping its simplicity and potentially low‐cost manufacturing. At the same time F‐XTP (Fresnel lens+reflective prism), at the first glance has better cost potential but significantly higher sensitivity to manufacturing errors. This work presents comparison of these two approaches applied to two main technologies of Fresnel lens production (PMMA and Silicone on Glass) and effect of standard deformations that occur under real operation conditions
Resumo:
The aim of this thesis is to study the mechanisms of instability that occur in swept wings when the angle of attack increases. For this, a simplified model for the a simplified model for the non-orthogonal swept leading edge boundary layer has been used as well as different numerical techniques in order to solve the linear stability problem that describes the behavior of perturbations superposed upon this base flow. Two different approaches, matrix-free and matrix forming methods, have been validated using direct numerical simulations with spectral resolution. In this way, flow instability in the non-orthogonal swept attachment-line boundary layer is addressed in a linear analysis framework via the solution of the pertinent global (Bi-Global) PDE-based eigenvalue problem. Subsequently, a simple extension of the extended G¨ortler-H¨ammerlin ODEbased polynomial model proposed by Theofilis, Fedorov, Obrist & Dallmann (2003) for orthogonal flow, which includes previous models as particular cases and recovers global instability analysis results, is presented for non-orthogonal flow. Direct numerical simulations have been used to verify the stability results and unravel the limits of validity of the basic flow model analyzed. The effect of the angle of attack, AoA, on the critical conditions of the non-orthogonal problem has been documented; an increase of the angle of attack, from AoA = 0 (orthogonal flow) up to values close to _/2 which make the assumptions under which the basic flow is derived questionable, is found to systematically destabilize the flow. The critical conditions of non-orthogonal flows at 0 _ AoA _ _/2 are shown to be recoverable from those of orthogonal flow, via a simple analytical transformation involving AoA. These results can help to understand the mechanisms of destabilization that occurs in the attachment line of wings at finite angles of attack. Studies taking into account variations of the pressure field in the basic flow or the extension to compressible flows are issues that remain open. El objetivo de esta tesis es estudiar los mecanismos de la inestabilidad que se producen en ciertos dispositivos aerodinámicos cuando se aumenta el ángulo de ataque. Para ello se ha utilizado un modelo simplificado del flujo de base, así como diferentes técnicas numéricas, con el fin de resolver el problema de estabilidad lineal asociado que describe el comportamiento de las perturbaciones. Estos métodos; sin y con formación de matriz, se han validado utilizando simulaciones numéricas directas con resolución espectral. De esta manera, la inestabilidad del flujo de capa límite laminar oblicuo entorno a la línea de estancamiento se aborda en un marco de análisis lineal por medio del método Bi-Global de resolución del problema de valores propios en derivadas parciales. Posteriormente se propone una extensión simple para el flujo no-ortogonal del modelo polinomial de ecuaciones diferenciales ordinarias, G¨ortler-H¨ammerlin extendido, propuesto por Theofilis et al. (2003) para el flujo ortogonal, que incluye los modelos previos como casos particulares y recupera los resultados del analisis global de estabilidad lineal. Se han realizado simulaciones directas con el fin de verificar los resultados del análisis de estabilidad así como para investigar los límites de validez del modelo de flujo base utilizado. En este trabajo se ha documentado el efecto del ángulo de ataque AoA en las condiciones críticas del problema no ortogonal obteniendo que el incremento del ángulo de ataque, de AoA = 0 (flujo ortogonal) hasta valores próximos a _/2, en el cual las hipótesis sobre las que se basa el flujo base dejan de ser válidas, tiende sistemáticamente a desestabilizar el flujo. Las condiciones críticas del caso no ortogonal 0 _ AoA _ _/2 pueden recuperarse a partir del caso ortogonal mediante el uso de una transformación analítica simple que implica el ángulo de ataque AoA. Estos resultados pueden ayudar a comprender los mecanismos de desestabilización que se producen en el borde de ataque de las alas de los aviones a ángulos de ataque finitos. Como tareas pendientes quedaría realizar estudios que tengan en cuenta variaciones del campo de presión en el flujo base así como la extensión de éste al caso de flujos compresibles.
Resumo:
We propose a new method for ranking alternatives in multicriteria decision-making problems when there is imprecision concerning the alternative performances, component utility functions and weights. We assume decision maker?s preferences are represented by an additive multiattribute utility function, in which weights can be modeled by independent normal variables, fuzzy numbers, value intervals or by an ordinal relation. The approaches are based on dominance measures or exploring the weight space in order to describe which ratings would make each alternative the preferred one. On the one hand, the approaches based on dominance measures compute the minimum utility difference among pairs of alternatives. Then, they compute a measure by which to rank the alternatives. On the other hand, the approaches based on exploring the weight space compute confidence factors describing the reliability of the analysis. These methods are compared using Monte Carlo simulation.
Resumo:
Laser processing has been the tool of choice last years to develop improved concepts in contact formation for high efficiency crystalline silicon (c-Si) solar cells. New concepts based on standard laser fired contacts (LFC) or advanced laser doping (LD) techniques are optimal solutions for both the front and back contacts of a number of structures with growing interest in the c-Si PV industry. Nowadays, substantial efforts are underway to optimize these processes in order to be applied industrially in high efficiency concepts. However a critical issue in these devices is that, most of them, demand a very low thermal input during the fabrication sequence and a minimal damage of the structure during the laser irradiation process. Keeping these two objectives in mind, in this work we discuss the possibility of using laser-based processes to contact the rear side of silicon heterojunction (SHJ) solar cells in an approach fully compatible with the low temperature processing associated to these devices. First we discuss the possibility of using standard LFC techniques in the fabrication of SHJ cells on p-type substrates, studying in detail the effect of the laser wavelength on the contact quality. Secondly, we present an alternative strategy bearing in mind that a real challenge in the rear contact formation is to reduce the damage induced by the laser irradiation. This new approach is based on local laser doping techniques previously developed by our groups, to contact the rear side of p-type c-Si solar cells by means of laser processing before rear metallization of dielectric stacks containing Al2O3. In this work we demonstrate the possibility of using this new approach in SHJ cells with a distinct advantage over other standard LFC techniques.
Resumo:
La concentración fotovoltaica (CPV) es una de las formas más prometedoras de reducir el coste de la energía proveniente del sol. Esto es posible gracias a células solares de alta eficiencia y a una significativa reducción del tamaño de la misma, que está fabricada con costosos materiales semiconductores. Ambos aspectos están íntimamente ligados ya que las altas eficiencias solamente son posibles con materiales y tecnologías de célula caros, lo que forzosamente conlleva una reducción del tamaño de la célula si se quiere lograr un sistema rentable. La reducción en el tamaño de las células requiere que la luz proveniente del sol ha de ser redirigida (es decir, concentrada) hacia la posición de la célula. Esto se logra colocando un concentrador óptico encima de la célula. Estos concentradores para CPV están formados por diferentes elementos ópticos fabricados en materiales baratos, con el fin de reducir los costes de producción. El marco óptimo para el diseño de concentradores es la óptica anidólica u óptica nonimaging. La óptica nonimaging fue desarrollada por primera vez en la década de los años sesenta y ha ido evolucionando significativamente desde entonces. El objetivo de los diseños nonimaging es la transferencia eficiente de energía entre la fuente y el receptor (sol y célula respectivamente, en el caso de la CPV), sin tener en cuenta la formación de imagen. Los sistemas nonimaging suelen ser simples, están compuestos de un menor número de superficies que los sistemas formadores de imagen y son más tolerantes a errores de fabricación. Esto hace de los sistemas nonimaging una herramienta fundamental, no sólo en el diseño de concentradores fotovoltaicos, sino también en el diseño de otras aplicaciones como iluminación, proyección y comunicaciones inalámbricas ópticas. Los concentradores ópticos nonimaging son adecuados para aplicaciones CPV porque el objetivo no es la reproducción de una imagen exacta del sol (como sería el caso de las ópticas formadoras de imagen), sino simplemente la colección de su energía sobre la célula solar. Los concentradores para CPV pueden presentar muy diferentes arquitecturas y elementos ópticos, dando lugar a una gran variedad de posibles diseños. El primer elemento óptico que es atravesado por la luz del sol se llama Elemento Óptico Primario (POE en su nomenclatura anglosajona) y es el elemento más determinante a la hora de definir la forma y las propiedades del concentrador. El POE puede ser refractivo (lente) o reflexivo (espejo). Esta tesis se centra en los sistemas CPV que presentan lentes de Fresnel como POE, que son lentes refractivas delgadas y de bajo coste de producción que son capaces de concentrar la luz solar. El capítulo 1 expone una breve introducción a la óptica geométrica y no formadora de imagen (nonimaging), explicando sus fundamentos y conceptos básicos. Tras ello, la integración Köhler es presentada en detalle, explicando sus principios, válidos tanto para aplicaciones CPV como para iluminación. Una introducción a los conceptos fundamentales de CPV también ha sido incluida en este capítulo, donde se analizan las propiedades de las células solares multiunión y de los concentradores ópticos empleados en los sistemas CPV. El capítulo se cierra con una descripción de las tecnologías existentes empleadas para la fabricación de elementos ópticos que componen los concentradores. El capítulo 2 se centra principalmente en el diseño y desarrollo de los tres concentradores ópticos avanzados Fresnel Köhler que se presentan en esta tesis: Fresnel-Köhler (FK), Fresnel-Köhler curvo (DFK) y Fresnel-Köhler con cavidad (CFK). Todos ellos llevan a cabo integración Köhler y presentan una lente de Fresnel como su elemento óptico primario. Cada uno de estos concentradores CPV presenta sus propias propiedades y su propio procedimiento de diseño. Además, presentan todas las características que todo concentrador ha de tener: elevado factor de concentración, alta tolerancia de fabricación, alta eficiencia óptica, irradiancia uniforme sobre la superficie de la célula y bajo coste de producción. Los concentradores FK y DFK presentan una configuración de cuatro sectores para lograr la integración Köhler. Esto quiere decir que POE y SOE se dividen en cuatro sectores simétricos cada uno, y cada sector del POE trabaja conjuntamente con su correspondiente sector de SOE. La principal diferencia entre los dos concentradores es que el POE del FK es una lente de Fresnel plana, mientras que una lente curva de Fresnel es empleada como POE del DFK. El concentrador CFK incluye una cavidad de confinamiento externo integrada, que es un elemento óptico capaz de recuperar los rayos reflejados por la superficie de la célula con el fin de ser reabsorbidos por la misma. Por tanto, se aumenta la absorción de la luz, lo que implica un aumento en la eficiencia del módulo. Además, este capítulo también explica un método de diseño alternativo para los elementos faceteados, especialmente adecuado para las lentes curvas como el POE del DFK. El capítulo 3 se centra en la caracterización y medidas experimentales de los concentradores ópticos presentados en el capítulo 2, y describe sus procedimientos. Estos procedimientos son en general aplicables a cualquier concentrador basado en una lente de Fresnel, e incluyen tres tipos principales de medidas experimentales: eficiencia eléctrica, ángulo de aceptancia y uniformidad de la irradiancia en el plano de la célula. Los resultados que se muestran a lo largo de este capítulo validarán a través de medidas a sol real las características avanzadas que presentan los concentradores Köhler, y que se demuestran en el capítulo 2 mediante simulaciones de rayos. Cada concentrador (FK, DFK y CFK) está diseñado y optimizado teniendo en cuenta condiciones de operación realistas. Su rendimiento se modela de forma exhaustiva mediante el trazado de rayos en combinación con modelos distribuidos para la célula. La tolerancia es un asunto crítico de cara al proceso de fabricación, y ha de ser máxima para obtener sistemas de producción en masa rentables. Concentradores con tolerancias limitadas generan bajadas significativas de eficiencia a nivel de array, causadas por el desajuste de corrientes entre los diferentes módulos (principalmente debido a errores de alineación en la fabricación). En este sentido, la sección 3.5 presenta dos métodos matemáticos que estiman estas pérdidas por desajuste a nivel de array mediante un análisis de sus curvas I-V, y por tanto siendo innecesarias las medidas a nivel de mono-módulo. El capítulo 3 también describe la caracterización indoor de los elementos ópticos que componen los concentradores, es decir, de las lentes de Fresnel que actúan como POE y de los secundarios free-form. El objetivo de esta caracterización es el de evaluar los adecuados perfiles de las superficies y las transmisiones ópticas de los diferentes elementos analizados, y así hacer que el rendimiento del módulo sea el esperado. Esta tesis la cierra el capítulo 4, en el que la integración Köhler se presenta como una buena alternativa para obtener distribuciones uniformes en aplicaciones de iluminación de estado sólido (iluminación con LED), siendo particularmente eficaz cuando se requiere adicionalmente una buena mezcla de colores. En este capítulo esto se muestra a través del ejemplo particular de un concentrador DFK, el cual se ha utilizado para aplicaciones CPV en los capítulos anteriores. Otra alternativa para lograr mezclas cromáticas apropiadas está basada en un método ya conocido (deflexiones anómalas), y también se ha utilizado aquí para diseñar una lente TIR aplanética delgada. Esta lente cumple la conservación de étendue, asegurando así que no hay bloqueo ni dilución de luz simultáneamente. Ambos enfoques presentan claras ventajas sobre las técnicas clásicas empleadas en iluminación para obtener distribuciones de iluminación uniforme: difusores y mezcla caleidoscópica mediante guías de luz. ABSTRACT Concentrating Photovoltaics (CPV) is one of the most promising ways of reducing the cost of energy collected from the sun. This is possible thanks to both, very high-efficiency solar cells and a large decrease in the size of cells, which are made of costly semiconductor materials. Both issues are closely linked since high efficiency values are only possible with expensive cell materials and technologies, implying a compulsory area reduction if cost-effectiveness is desired. The reduction in the cell size requires that light coming from the sun must be redirected (i.e. concentrated) towards the cell position. This is achieved by placing an optical concentrator system on top of the cell. These CPV concentrators consist of different optical elements manufactured on cheap materials in order to maintain low production costs. The optimal framework for the design of concentrators is nonimaging optics. Nonimaging optics was first developed in the 60s decade and has been largely developed ever since. The aim of nonimaging devices is the efficient transfer of light power between the source and the receiver (sun and cell respectively in the case of CPV), disregarding image formation. Nonimaging systems are usually simple, comprised of fewer surfaces than imaging systems and are more tolerant to manufacturing errors. This renders nonimaging optics a fundamental tool, not only in the design of photovoltaic concentrators, but also in the design of other applications as illumination, projection and wireless optical communications. Nonimaging optical concentrators are well suited for CPV applications because the goal is not the reproduction of an exact image of the sun (as imaging optics would provide), but simply the collection of its energy on the solar cell. Concentrators for CPV may present very different architectures and optical elements, resulting in a vast variety of possible designs. The first optical element that sunlight goes through is called the Primary Optical Element (POE) and is the most determinant element in order to define the shape and properties of the whole concentrator. The POE can be either refractive (lens) or reflective (mirror). This thesis focuses on CPV systems based on Fresnel lenses as POE, which are thin and inexpensive refractive lenses able to concentrate sunlight. Chapter 1 exposes a short introduction to geometrical and nonimaging optics, explaining their fundamentals and basic concepts. Then, the Köhler integration is presented in detail, explaining its principles, valid for both applications: CPV and illumination. An introduction to CPV fundamental concepts is also included in this chapter, analyzing the properties of multijunction solar cells and optical concentrators employed in CPV systems. The chapter is closed with a description of the existing technologies employed for the manufacture of optical elements composing the concentrator. Chapter 2 is mainly devoted to the design and development of the three advanced Fresnel Köhler optical concentrators presented in this thesis work: Fresnel-Köhler (FK), Dome-shaped Fresnel-Köhler (DFK) and Cavity Fresnel-Köhler (CFK). They all perform Köhler integration and comprise a Fresnel lens as their Primary Optical Element. Each one of these CPV concentrators presents its own characteristics, properties and its own design procedure. Their performances include all the key issues in a concentrator: high concentration factor, large tolerances, high optical efficiency, uniform irradiance on the cell surface and low production cost. The FK and DFK concentrators present a 4-fold configuration in order to perform the Köhler integration. This means that POE and SOE are divided into four symmetric sectors each one, working each POE sector with its corresponding SOE sector by pairs. The main difference between both concentrators is that the POE of the FK is a flat Fresnel lens, while a dome-shaped (curved) Fresnel lens performs as the DFK’s POE. The CFK concentrator includes an integrated external confinement cavity, which is an optical element able to recover rays reflected by the cell surface in order to be re-absorbed by the cell. It increases the light absorption, entailing an increase in the efficiency of the module. Additionally, an alternative design method for faceted elements will also be explained, especially suitable for dome-shaped lenses as the POE of the DFK. Chapter 3 focuses on the characterization and experimental measurements of the optical concentrators presented in Chapter 2, describing their procedures. These procedures are in general applicable to any Fresnel-based concentrator as well and include three main types of experimental measurements: electrical efficiency, acceptance angle and irradiance uniformity at the solar cell plane. The results shown along this chapter will validate through outdoor measurements under real sun operation the advanced characteristics presented by the Köhler concentrators, which are demonstrated in Chapter 2 through raytrace simulation: high optical efficiency, large acceptance angle, insensitivity to manufacturing tolerances and very good irradiance uniformity on the cell surface. Each concentrator (FK, DFK and CFK) is designed and optimized looking at realistic performance characteristics. Their performances are modeled exhaustively using ray tracing combined with cell modeling, taking into account the major relevant factors. The tolerance is a critical issue when coming to the manufacturing process in order to obtain cost-effective mass-production systems. Concentrators with tight tolerances result in significant efficiency drops at array level caused by current mismatch among different modules (mainly due to manufacturing alignment errors). In this sense, Section 3.5 presents two mathematical methods that estimate these mismatch losses for a given array just by analyzing its full-array I-V curve, hence being unnecessary any single mono-module measurement. Chapter 3 also describes the indoor characterization of the optical elements composing the concentrators, i.e. the Fresnel lenses acting as POEs and the free-form SOEs. The aim of this characterization is to assess the proper surface profiles and optical transmissions of the different elements analyzed, so they will allow for the expected module performance. This thesis is closed by Chapter 4, in which Köhler integration is presented as a good approach to obtain uniform distributions in Solid State Lighting applications (i.e. illumination with LEDs), being particularly effective when dealing with color mixing requirements. This chapter shows it through the particular example of a DFK concentrator, which has been used for CPV applications in the previous chapters. An alternative known method for color mixing purposes (anomalous deflections) has also been used to design a thin aplanatic TIR lens. This lens fulfills conservation of étendue, thus ensuring no light blocking and no light dilution at the same time. Both approaches present clear advantages over the classical techniques employed in lighting to obtain uniform illumination distributions: diffusers and kaleidoscopic lightpipe mixing.
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RESUMEN El apoyo a la selección de especies a la restauración de la vegetación en España en los últimos 40 años se ha basado fundamentalmente en modelos de distribución de especies, también llamados modelos de nicho ecológico, que estiman la probabilidad de presencia de las especies en función de las condiciones del medio físico (clima, suelo, etc.). Con esta tesis se ha intentado contribuir a la mejora de la capacidad predictiva de los modelos introduciendo algunas propuestas metodológicas adaptadas a los datos disponibles actualmente en España y enfocadas al uso de los modelos en la selección de especies. No siempre se dispone de datos a una resolución espacial adecuada para la escala de los proyectos de restauración de la vegetación. Sin embrago es habitual contar con datos de baja resolución espacial para casi todas las especies vegetales presentes en España. Se propone un método de recalibración que actualiza un modelo de regresión logística de baja resolución espacial con una nueva muestra de alta resolución espacial. El método permite obtener predicciones de calidad aceptable con muestras relativamente pequeñas (25 presencias de la especie) frente a las muestras mucho mayores (más de 100 presencias) que requería una estrategia de modelización convencional que no usara el modelo previo. La selección del método estadístico puede influir decisivamente en la capacidad predictiva de los modelos y por esa razón la comparación de métodos ha recibido mucha atención en la última década. Los estudios previos consideraban a la regresión logística como un método inferior a técnicas más modernas como las de máxima entropía. Los resultados de la tesis demuestran que esa diferencia observada se debe a que los modelos de máxima entropía incluyen técnicas de regularización y la versión de la regresión logística usada en las comparaciones no. Una vez incorporada la regularización a la regresión logística usando penalización, las diferencias en cuanto a capacidad predictiva desaparecen. La regresión logística penalizada es, por tanto, una alternativa más para el ajuste de modelos de distribución de especies y está a la altura de los métodos modernos con mejor capacidad predictiva como los de máxima entropía. A menudo, los modelos de distribución de especies no incluyen variables relativas al suelo debido a que no es habitual que se disponga de mediciones directas de sus propiedades físicas o químicas. La incorporación de datos de baja resolución espacial proveniente de mapas de suelo nacionales o continentales podría ser una alternativa. Los resultados de esta tesis sugieren que los modelos de distribución de especies de alta resolución espacial mejoran de forma ligera pero estadísticamente significativa su capacidad predictiva cuando se incorporan variables relativas al suelo procedente de mapas de baja resolución espacial. La validación es una de las etapas fundamentales del desarrollo de cualquier modelo empírico como los modelos de distribución de especies. Lo habitual es validar los modelos evaluando su capacidad predictiva especie a especie, es decir, comparando en un conjunto de localidades la presencia o ausencia observada de la especie con las predicciones del modelo. Este tipo de evaluación no responde a una cuestión clave en la restauración de la vegetación ¿cuales son las n especies más idóneas para el lugar a restaurar? Se ha propuesto un método de evaluación de modelos adaptado a esta cuestión que consiste en estimar la capacidad de un conjunto de modelos para discriminar entre las especies presentes y ausentes de un lugar concreto. El método se ha aplicado con éxito a la validación de 188 modelos de distribución de especies leñosas orientados a la selección de especies para la restauración de la vegetación en España. Las mejoras metodológicas propuestas permiten mejorar la capacidad predictiva de los modelos de distribución de especies aplicados a la selección de especies en la restauración de la vegetación y también permiten ampliar el número de especies para las que se puede contar con un modelo que apoye la toma de decisiones. SUMMARY During the last 40 years, decision support tools for plant species selection in ecological restoration in Spain have been based on species distribution models (also called ecological niche models), that estimate the probability of occurrence of the species as a function of environmental predictors (e.g., climate, soil). In this Thesis some methodological improvements are proposed to contribute to a better predictive performance of such models, given the current data available in Spain and focusing in the application of the models to selection of species for ecological restoration. Fine grained species distribution data are required to train models to be used at the scale of the ecological restoration projects, but this kind of data are not always available for every species. On the other hand, coarse grained data are available for almost every species in Spain. A recalibration method is proposed that updates a coarse grained logistic regression model using a new fine grained updating sample. The method allows obtaining acceptable predictive performance with reasonably small updating sample (25 occurrences of the species), in contrast with the much larger samples (more than 100 occurrences) required for a conventional modeling approach that discards the coarse grained data. The choice of the statistical method may have a dramatic effect on model performance, therefore comparisons of methods have received much interest in the last decade. Previous studies have shown a poorer performance of the logistic regression compared to novel methods like maximum entropy models. The results of this Thesis show that the observed difference is caused by the fact that maximum entropy models include regularization techniques and the versions of logistic regression compared do not. Once regularization has been added to the logistic regression using a penalization procedure, the differences in model performance disappear. Therefore, penalized logistic regression may be considered one of the best performing methods to model species distributions. Usually, species distribution models do not consider soil related predictors because direct measurements of the chemical or physical properties are often lacking. The inclusion of coarse grained soil data from national or continental soil maps could be a reasonable alternative. The results of this Thesis suggest that the performance of the models slightly increase after including soil predictors form coarse grained soil maps. Model validation is a key stage of the development of empirical models, such as species distribution models. The usual way of validating is based on the evaluation of model performance for each species separately, i.e., comparing observed species presences or absence to predicted probabilities in a set of sites. This kind of evaluation is not informative for a common question in ecological restoration projects: which n species are the most suitable for the environment of the site to be restored? A method has been proposed to address this question that estimates the ability of a set of models to discriminate among present and absent species in a evaluation site. The method has been successfully applied to the validation of 188 species distribution models used to support decisions on species selection for ecological restoration in Spain. The proposed methodological approaches improve the predictive performance of the predictive models applied to species selection in ecological restoration and increase the number of species for which a model that supports decisions can be fitted.
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Along the recent years, several moving object detection strategies by non-parametric background-foreground modeling have been proposed. To combine both models and to obtain the probability of a pixel to belong to the foreground, these strategies make use of Bayesian classifiers. However, these classifiers do not allow to take advantage of additional prior information at different pixels. So, we propose a novel and efficient alternative Bayesian classifier that is suitable for this kind of strategies and that allows the use of whatever prior information. Additionally, we present an effective method to dynamically estimate prior probability from the result of a particle filter-based tracking strategy.
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At present, all methods in Evolutionary Computation are bioinspired by the fundamental principles of neo-Darwinism, as well as by a vertical gene transfer. Virus transduction is one of the key mechanisms of horizontal gene propagation in microorganisms (e.g. bacteria). In the present paper, we model and simulate a transduction operator, exploring the possible role and usefulness of transduction in a genetic algorithm. The genetic algorithm including transduction has been named PETRI (abbreviation of Promoting Evolution Through Reiterated Infection). Our results showed how PETRI approaches higher fitness values as transduction probability comes close to 100%. The conclusion is that transduction improves the performance of a genetic algorithm, assuming a population divided among several sub-populations or ?bacterial colonies?.
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Sustaining irrigated agriculture to meet food production needs while maintaining aquatic ecosystems is at the heart of many policy debates in various parts of the world, especially in arid and semi-arid areas. Researchers and practitioners are increasingly calling for integrated approaches, and policy-makers are progressively supporting the inclusion of ecological and social aspects in water management programs. This paper contributes to this policy debate by providing an integrated economic-hydrologic modeling framework that captures the socio-economic and environmental effects of various policy initiatives and climate variability. This modeling integration includes a risk-based economic optimization model and a hydrologic water management simulation model that have been specified for the Middle Guadiana basin, a vulnerable drought-prone agro-ecological area with highly regulated river systems in southwest Spain. Namely, two key water policy interventions were investigated: the implementation of minimum environmental flows (supported by the European Water Framework Directive, EU WFD), and a reduction in the legal amount of water delivered for irrigation (planned measure included in the new Guadiana River Basin Management Plan, GRBMP, still under discussion). Results indicate that current patterns of excessive water use for irrigation in the basin may put environmental flow demands at risk, jeopardizing the WFD s goal of restoring the ?good ecological status? of water bodies by 2015. Conflicts between environmental and agricultural water uses will be stressed during prolonged dry episodes, and particularly in summer low-flow periods, when there is an important increase of crop irrigation water requirements. Securing minimum stream flows would entail a substantial reduction in irrigation water use for rice cultivation, which might affect the profitability and economic viability of small rice-growing farms located upstream in the river. The new GRBMP could contribute to balance competing water demands in the basin and to increase economic water productivity, but might not be sufficient to ensure the provision of environmental flows as required by the WFD. A thoroughly revision of the basin s water use concession system for irrigation seems to be needed in order to bring the GRBMP in line with the WFD objectives. Furthermore, the study illustrates that social, economic, institutional, and technological factors, in addition to bio-physical conditions, are important issues to be considered for designing and developing water management strategies. The research initiative presented in this paper demonstrates that hydro-economic models can explicitly integrate all these issues, constituting a valuable tool that could assist policy makers for implementing sustainable irrigation policies.