Estimativas para a elasticidade-preço da demanda por produtos siderúrgicos no Brasil

Essa dissertação apresenta estimativas para a elasticidade-preço da demanda por aço no Brasil, a partir de dados agregados e desagregados da indústria siderúrgica. Os resultados das estimativas a partir do painel com dados desagregados sugerem que existe um viés de agregação nas estimativas já realizadas a partir de dados agregados, e esse viés subestimaria a elasticidade-preço do setor siderúrgico. Com a finalidade de comparar as relações entre as elasticidades-preços de curto e longo prazo foram estimados painéis heterogêneos dinâmicos, através de estimadores Mean Group (MG) e Pooled Mean Group (PMG). É importante ressaltar que, de acordo com o conhecimento do autor, este é o primeiro estudo a usar estimação em painel para estimação da elasticidade-preço da demanda por produtos siderúrgicos no Brasil, dessa forma, controlando a estimativa pela heterogeneidade entre os tipos de aço.

Bolsa família ou desempenho da economia? : determinantes da reeleição de Lula em 2006

Este artigo investiga os determinantes da mudança no padrão da votação nas eleições presidenciais de 2006, em particular o papel do programa Bolsa Família e do desempenho da economia na migração da base eleitoral de Lula para as regiões menos desenvolvidas. Do ponto de vista metodológico, inovase ao considerar adequadamente o problema gerado pela agregação de decisões individuais tipicamente não-lineares. Quanto aos resultados, ao contrário de Carraro et alli (2009) e outros autores, encontra-se que o impacto do programa Bolsa Família é bastante superior ao do desempenho econômico. No entanto, nenhum dos dois fatores foi capaz de explicar satisfatoriamente toda a extensão da mudança observada em 2006. Nesse sentido, ganha grande apelo a explicação apresentada em Zucco (2008), de que Lula, ao ser o candidato do governo, naturalmente teria desempenho superior em municípios menos desenvolvidos, mais dependentes do Estado.

Estimando a demanda domiciliar por telefones fixos com dados agregados brasileiros

Este artigo usa dados agregados brasileiros para estimar a demanda domiciliar por telefones fixos. Com relação à literatura prévia sobre o tema, podem ser ressaltados três avanços metodológicos: (i) o caráter não-linear da escolha individual é preservado no modelo agregado; (ii) a agregação é feita de modo a considerar o viés gerado pela heterogeneidade entre os indivíduos dentro das regiões; (iii) é usada uma matriz de covariância robusta à presença de dependência espacial [Driscoll & Kraay (1998)]. Percebe-se que a consideração do viés de agregação altera significativamente os resultados. Além disso, simulações construídas a partir das estimativas encontradas indicam que a redução da assinatura básica em 50% aumentaria em apenas 3,3% os domicílios brasileiros com telefone fixo. Este impacto modesto é provavelmente resultado do comportamento dos domicílios de baixa renda. Em grande parte destes domicílios, existe somente um tipo de telefone, móvel ou fixo. Nesse caso, mesmo com uma redução significativa da assinatura do telefone fixo, boa parte deles ainda deve optar pelo telefone móvel, na medida em que este último, além de garantir mobilidade, tende a comprometer uma parcela menor da renda mensal.

Agregação e viés em medidas de diversidade: uma abordagem computacional intensiva

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

Speaker identification using higher order spectral phase features and their effectiveness vis-a-vis Mel-Cepstral features

The effectiveness of higher-order spectral (HOS) phase features in speaker recognition is investigated by comparison with Mel Cepstral features on the same speech data. HOS phase features retain phase information from the Fourier spectrum unlikeMel–frequency Cepstral coefficients (MFCC). Gaussian mixture models are constructed from Mel– Cepstral features and HOS features, respectively, for the same data from various speakers in the Switchboard telephone Speech Corpus. Feature clusters, model parameters and classification performance are analyzed. HOS phase features on their own provide a correct identification rate of about 97% on the chosen subset of the corpus. This is the same level of accuracy as provided by MFCCs. Cluster plots and model parameters are compared to show that HOS phase features can provide complementary information to better discriminate between speakers.

Characterisation of Ni carbonate-bearing minerals by UV-Vis-NIR spectroscopy

Four nickel carbonate-bearing minerals from Australia have been investigated to study the effect of Ni for Mg substitution. The spectra of nullaginite, zaratite, widgiemoolthalite and takovite show three main features in the range of 26,720–25,855 cm−1 (ν1-band), 15,230–14,740 cm−1 (ν2-band) and 9,200–9,145 cm−1 (ν3-band) which are characteristic of divalent nickel in six-fold coordination. The Crystal Field Stabilization Energy (CFSE) of Ni2+ in the four carbonates is calculated from the observed 3A2g(3F) → 3T2g(3F) transition. CFSE is dependent on mineralogy, crystallinity and chemical composition (Al/Mg-content). The splitting of the ν1- and ν3-bands and non-Gaussian shape of ν3-band in the minerals are the effects of Ni-site distortion from regular octahedral. The effect of structural cation substitutions (Mg2+, Ni2+, Fe2+ and trivalent cations, Al3+, Fe3+) in the carbonate minerals is noticed on band shifts. Thus, electronic bands in the UV–Vis–NIR spectra and the overtones and combination bands of OH and carbonate ion in NIR show shifts to higher wavenumbers, particularly for widgiemoolthalite and takovite.

Formation of polypyrrole and polythiophene within Cu2+- and H+-mordenite hosts studied by EPR and UV-VIS spectroscopy

The reactions of pyrrole and thiophene monomers in copper-exchanged mordenite have been investigated using EPR and UV–VIS absorption spectroscopy. The EPR spectra show a decrease in the intensity of the Cu2+ signal and the appearance of a radical signal due to the formation of oxidatively coupled oligomeric and/or polymeric species in the zeolite host. The reaction ceases when ca. 50% of the copper has reacted and differences in the form of the residual Cu2+ signal between the thiophene and pyrrole reactions suggest a greater degree of penetration of the reaction into the zeolite host for pyrrole, in agreement with previous XPS measurements. The EPR signal intensities show that the average length of the polymer chain that is associated with each radical centre is 15–20 and 5–7 monomer units for polypyrrole and polythiophene, respectively. The widths of the EPR signals suggest that these are at least partly due to small oligomers. The UV–VIS absorption spectra of the thiophene system show bands in three main regions: 2.8–3.0 eV (A), 2.3 eV (B) and 1.6–1.9 eV (D, E, F). Bands A and D–F occur in regions which have previously been observed for small oligomers, 4–6 monomer units in length. Band B is assigned to longer chain polythiophene molecules. We therefore conclude that the reaction between thiophene and copper-loaded mordenite produces a mixture of short oligomers together with some long chain polythiophene. The UV–VIS spectra of the pyrrole system show bands in the regions 3.6 eV (A), 2.7–3.0 eV (B, C) and 1.5–1.9 eV (D, F). Assignments of these bands are less certain than for the thiophene case because of the lack of literature data on the spectra of pyrrole oligomers.

Spontaneous generation of optical activity in urea inclusion compounds vis-a-vis current theories

A novel test of recent theories of the origin of optical activity has been designed based on the inclusion of certain alkyl 2-methylhexanoates into urea channels.

Electrochemical phase formation (ECPF): Nucleation growth vis-a-vis adsorption models

The nucleataon growth model of electrochemical phase formation is analysed for the hnear potential sweep input Apart from deducing diagnostic criteria and method~ of estimating model parameters, the predictions of the nucleation growth model are compared and contrasted with those of a sample adsorption model A dastlnCtlOn is made possible between adsorption and phase transition, which seems useful for understanding the nature of ECPF phenomena, especially underpotentlal deposition (UPD).

Potential of VIS-NIR Spectroscopy to predict perceived ‘muddy’ taint in australian farmed barramundi

Sensory analysis of food involves the measurement, interpretation and understanding of human responses to the properties of food perceived by the senses such as sight, smell, and taste (Cozzolino et al. 2005). It is important to have a quantitative means for assessing sensory properties in a reasonable way, to enable the food industry to rapidly respond to the changing demands of both consumers and the market. Aroma and flavour are among the most important properties for the consumer, and numerous studies have been performed in attempts to find correlations between sensory qualities and objective instrumental measurements. Rapid instrumental methods such as near infrared spectroscopy (NIR) might be advantageous to predict quality of different foods and agricultural products due to the speed of analysis, minimum sample preparation and low cost. The advantages of such technologies is not only to assess chemical structures but also to build an spectrum, characteristic of the sample, which behaves as a “finger print” of the sample.

Exploring the potential of VIS-NIR spectroscopy to predict sensory properties of foods

Sensory analysis of food involves the measurement, interpretation and understanding of human responses to the properties of food perceived by the senses such as sight, smell, and taste (Cozzolino et al. 2005). It is important to have a quantitative means for assessing sensory properties in a reasonable way, to enable the food industry to rapidly respond to the changing demands of both consumers and the market. Aroma and flavour are among the most important properties for the consumer and numerous studies have been performed in attempts to find correlations between sensory qualities and objective instrumental measurements. Rapid, non-destructive instrumental methods such as near infrared spectroscopy (NIR) might be advantageous to predict quality of food and agricultural products due to the speed of analysis, minimum sample preparation and low cost. The advantages of such technologies are not only to assess chemical structures but also to build a spectrum, characteristic of the sample, which behaves as a “finger print”.