975 resultados para Urban dynamics


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Urbanisation is a dynamic complex phenomenon involving large scale changes in the land uses at local levels. Analyses of changes in land uses in urban environments provide a historical perspective of land use and give an opportunity to assess the spatial patterns, correlation, trends, rate and impacts of the change, which would help in better regional planning and good governance of the region. Main objective of this research is to quantify the urban dynamics using temporal remote sensing data with the help of well-established landscape metrics. Bangalore being one of the rapidly urbanising landscapes in India has been chosen for this investigation. Complex process of urban sprawl was modelled using spatio temporal analysis. Land use analyses show 584% growth in built-up area during the last four decades with the decline of vegetation by 66% and water bodies by 74%. Analyses of the temporal data reveals an increase in urban built up area of 342.83% (during 1973-1992), 129.56% (during 1992-1999), 106.7% (1999-2002), 114.51% (2002-2006) and 126.19% from 2006 to 2010. The Study area was divided into four zones and each zone is further divided into 17 concentric circles of 1 km incrementing radius to understand the patterns and extent of the urbanisation at local levels. The urban density gradient illustrates radial pattern of urbanisation for the period 1973-2010. Bangalore grew radially from 1973 to 2010 indicating that the urbanisation is intensifying from the central core and has reached the periphery of the Greater Bangalore. Shannon's entropy, alpha and beta population densities were computed to understand the level of urbanisation at local levels. Shannon's entropy values of recent time confirms dispersed haphazard urban growth in the city, particularly in the outskirts of the city. This also illustrates the extent of influence of drivers of urbanisation in various directions. Landscape metrics provided in depth knowledge about the sprawl. Principal component analysis helped in prioritizing the metrics for detailed analyses. The results clearly indicates that whole landscape is aggregating to a large patch in 2010 as compared to earlier years which was dominated by several small patches. The large scale conversion of small patches to large single patch can be seen from 2006 to 2010. In the year 2010 patches are maximally aggregated indicating that the city is becoming more compact and more urbanised in recent years. Bangalore was the most sought after destination for its climatic condition and the availability of various facilities (land availability, economy, political factors) compared to other cities. The growth into a single urban patch can be attributed to rapid urbanisation coupled with the industrialisation. Monitoring of growth through landscape metrics helps to maintain and manage the natural resources. (C) 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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When dealing with spatio-temporal simulations of load growth inside a service zone, one of the most important problems faced by a Distribution Utility is how to represent the different relationships among different areas. A new load in a certain part of the city could modify the load growth in other parts of the city, even outside of its radius of influence. These interactions are called Urban Dynamics. This work aims to discuss how to implement Urban Dynamics considerations into the spatial electric load forecasting simulations using multi-agent simulations. To explain the approach, three examples are introduced, including the effect of an attraction load, the effect of a repulsive load, and the effect of several attraction/repulsive loads at the same time when considering the natural load growth. © 2012 IEEE.

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This article presents the methodological conceptualization and the main results of a System Dynamics model, which main objective is to support the housing policies in the city of Envigado -- The used methodology developed a scenario-based model to emulate the approximate evolution of the housing demand and supply for the city, using a scenario of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and a housing authorization strategy as input -- Diverse results were obtained, for instance it was found that due to the soil availability, the housing supply reaches the saturation point between 2040 and 2046 -- Finally this article could be considered as an example of how academic tools such as System Dynamics can be used by decisions makers in the government

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As planners work to create more sustainable and liveable urban environments, a priority is to transition away from prioritising the automobile and towards enhancing the pedestrian experience. Thus, this research explores the experience of pedestrian accessibility in inner-urban higher-density Brisbane in Australia, drawing on findings from semi-structured in-depth interviews with 24 residents and over 100 hours of public place observations in three case-study neighbourhoods. The interviews took place in residents homes and explored their experience of higher density living and their neighbourhood, whilst observations were recorded through a combination of methods including photographs, sketch maps, recordings and field journals. Observation locations included retail and commercial space, roads, parkland and open space, with multiple observations at each location. A thematic analysis identified common themes in both interviews and the observations, with this paper focusing on residents’ lived experience in urban built environments. This analysis revealed that pedestrian accessibility is linked to access to local amenities and direct routes, aesthetics, sense of community, ownership of space and safety. In particular, observations revealed how pedestrian accessibility and route-taking works with, against or in spite of the design features of urban environments, as well as the importance of the social use of the built environment. Residents spoke about although walking quick and preferred for local amenities, the decision to walk was moderated by factors such as time of day and perceived safety. Measures to ensure and improve the pedestrian accessibility of urban areas needs to take into account the propensity for people to prefer and improvise direct routes (often to the detriment of traffic safety considerations), the importance of ongoing maintenance and upgrading of walking infrastructure and the importance of aesthetically pleasing and safe walking environments. By combining interviews and observations, this research highlights the current dominance of the automobile culture in Brisbane and the layers of meaning, experiences and complexity hidden within the pedestrian experience.

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This study of inner suburban residents' associations in Melbourne in the 1960s and 1970s examines the role of social activism in shaping Australia's urban dynamics. It argues that the focus on gentrification as an all-embracing explanatory concept in urban studies in Australia and elsewhere has detracted attention from the importance of structural change especially the de-industrialisation of the inner suburbs and the influence of urban activists and residents' associations in this period. The article concludes that insufficient analysis of social and economic change and the limited recognition of the importance of diverse communities continue to limit inclusive policy responses to urban reconstruction in Australia.

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Rapid urbanisation in India has posed serious challenges to the decision makers in regional planning involving plethora of issues including provision of basic amenities (like electricity, water, sanitation, transport, etc.). Urban planning entails an understanding of landscape and urban dynamics with causal factors. Identifying, delineating and mapping landscapes on temporal scale provide an opportunity to monitor the changes, which is important for natural resource management and sustainable planning activities. Multi-source, multi-sensor, multi-temporal, multi-frequency or multi-polarization remote sensing data with efficient classification algorithms and pattern recognition techniques aid in capturing these dynamics. This paper analyses the landscape dynamics of Greater Bangalore by: (i) characterisation of direct impervious surface, (ii) computation of forest fragmentation indices and (iii) modeling to quantify and categorise urban changes. Linear unmixing is used for solving the mixed pixel problem of coarse resolution super spectral MODIS data for impervious surface characterisation. Fragmentation indices were used to classify forests – interior, perforated, edge, transitional, patch and undetermined. Based on this, urban growth model was developed to determine the type of urban growth – Infill, Expansion and Outlying growth. This helped in visualising urban growth poles and consequence of earlier policy decisions that can help in evolving strategies for effective land use policies.

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A pesquisa tem por objetivo investigar um dos impactos do processo de desenvolvimento da indústria do petróleo em Macaé-RJ, sobre a dinâmica urbana no município, especialmente no deslocamento pendular da população na vila serrana de Córrego do Ouro. O desenvolvimento macaense é considerado a partir da sua influência sobre a dinâmica populacional, sobretudo no que se refere à sua mobilidade espacial. A análise é sustentada por uma base teórica que articula o processo de urbanização no Brasil contemporâneo e as possibilidades de interação entre os territórios urbano e rural, às características da mobilidade pendular da população, sobretudo em espaços não-metropolitanos. A pesquisa é apresentada a partir de trabalho de campo realizado e da confrontação de seus resultados com dados do IBGE e do Programa Macaé Cidadão. Por fim, a dissertação considera a formação de vetores de expansão urbana na sede macaense, como meio de reforçar o argumento da formação de um eixo periférico nos núcleos urbanos serranos que margeiam a RJ-162, exemplificados pelo estudo da pendularidade da população na vila de Córrego do Ouro.

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O fenômeno da segunda residência tem implicações espaciais que interferem na produção e consumo do espaço geográfico. A segunda habitação, vista à luz da prática do lazer e do turismo, atividades cada vez mais praticadas na sociedade contemporânea, implica em interesses, articulações e conflitos no espaço urbano litorâneo. O objetivo do trabalho é caracterizar a segunda residência como indutora do processo de urbanização, na contemporaneidade, no município de Itapema, no litoral norte de Santa Catarina. A segunda residência se caracteriza como um alojamento turístico ou particular usado temporariamente com objetivo de lazer e uso do tempo livre. Assim percebe-se o caráter da propriedade, da finalidade, da temporalidade e do vínculo referente ao domicílio e ao lugar como critérios para determinar uma segunda residência. As particularidades do litoral de Santa Catarina atraíram habitações de segunda residência para atividades de lazer e veraneio, desde a década de 1920. A cidade de Itapema seguiu esta tendência de ocupação. A burguesia industrial de cidades do Vale do Itajaí passou a manter sua residência de veraneio, identificada como segunda residência. Neste contexto, o questionamento central é como o fenômeno da segunda residência contribuiu para o processo de urbanização e a produção do espaço em Itapema? Segundo dados dos Censos Demográficos do IBGE, no ano de 1991 havia 6.408 residências de uso ocasional em Itapema. No ano 2000 este número saltou para 11.142 residências. E finalmente em 2010 chegamos à marca de 13.547 domicílios particulares usados como segunda residência. Em vinte anos houve um aumento de 111 % no número de residências particulares de uso ocasional no município de Itapema. Isto evidencia o caráter de intensa urbanização ligado a segunda residência que tem como padrão a verticalização e o adensamento urbano nos bairros Centro e Meia Praia. A alteração da dinâmica urbana no município de Itapema está diretamente relacionada à urbanização pela segunda residência que, articulada e promovida pelos agentes imobiliários associados ao Estado, aumentou a oferta de empregos e serviços na cidade. Isso levou a um aumento gradativo da população residente nas últimas décadas (ano 2000: 25.869 hab.; ano 2010: 45.797 hab.). As temporadas de verão continuam alterando significativamente o ritmo da cidade. Contudo, a partir da década de 2000 a cidade concentra atividades de comércio e serviços ao longo de todo ano. Assim, há intensa pressão sobre a infraestrutura urbana e a legislação que regula o crescimento da cidade

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Thèse réalisée dans le cadre d'une cotutelle avec l'Université Paul Cézanne Aix-Marseille III

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Desde la inauguración del Portal Suba de TransMilenio, han sido evidentes los cambios físico-espaciales en el sector donde fue implementado, materializándose en nuevos proyectos residenciales de alta densidad, centros comerciales, supermercados de grandes superficies, espacios públicos, y vías locales y principales, en un sector que antes de la aparición del portal se caracterizaba principalmente por ser una zona agro-industrial dedicada al cultivo de flores. No obstante, tales intervenciones parecen estar desarticuladas entre si. Por ejemplo, el centro comercial y el supermercado siguen un patrón de construcción cerrada, sin interacción abierta con el espacio público exterior y sin establecer otro tipo de dinámicas urbanas. Por otra parte, puede decirse que gracias a la implementación del portal, la estructura ecológica principal ha sufrido un deterioro importante siendo observable en la disminución significativa de zonas verdes así como en el descuido de los humedales localizados en esta localidad. Por lo tanto, es importante hacer hincapié en la relación sistemas de transporte – desarrollo urbano en tanto que son agentes transformadores del entorno, generadores de desarrollo y bienestar social, y catalizadores de espacios públicos mejor diseñados y más amables, de ser bien planificados y ejecutados, ya que, caso contrario, podrían acarrear efectos contraproducentes en cuanto a la articulación física de la ciudad, accesibilidad, segregación social y el impacto negativo sobre el medio ambiente.

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Este documento describe la problemática actual en el área de urgencia en las instituciones de la salud, enumerando los problemas más recurrentes que afectan a los distintos grupos de interés y que han generado una búsqueda por parte de la administración de nuevas estrategias para alcanzar sus objetivos. A partir de esto se realiza un acercamiento bibliográfico del funcionamiento del Triage y de los estudios realizados usando la simulación en las estancias hospitalarias, profundizando en la metodología de Dinámica de Sistemas, como una herramienta efectiva para la toma de decisiones.

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This research presents a study investigating the correlation between the environmental-physycal charcateristics of cities and the formation of its micro-climates. The study was conducted in the central area of Fortaleza characterized as a stable and consolidated area, where the city originated and currently faces serious problems in its urban dynamics. The points of measurements were determined by the elaboration and analysis of topography maps, height of buildings, land use, type of surface coating and vegetation, following the methodology of Katzschner (1997). A zoning map was then determined, according to common morphological characteristics of the 12 measurement points, which were based on a set of Romero s (2001) bioclimatic criteria. Air measurements, temperature, humidity, intensity and direction of winds were made in transect form in two different circuits in the study area, with six points of data collection in each area, in three different times: 6:00 am, 1:00pm and 7:00pm, during two periods of the year: August 2008 and March 2009. The results verified the influence of different environmental-physical types in the behavior of the climatic variables that were collected. A verticalização tão condenada em algumas situações se bem equilibrada e controlada pode reduzir as temperaturas do ar através do sombreamento dos espaços urbanos e possibilidade de maior permeabilidade a ventilação natural. The highest average air temperature and lower humidity were recorded at the point I at all times. This situation may have been in result of the high density, poor vegetation and extended paving of the ground. According to the results, it s clear the positive influence vegetation has on easing air temperature. Another indicator observed that areas with a greater variation in building heights tend to present decreased average air temperature. High rise structure, planned in accordance to urban air quality parameters, can reduce air temperatures by the shading of urban spaces and the possibility of greater penetration of natural ventilation