Estado actual del sector estratégico textil-confecciones e identificación de los escenarios de desarrollo alternativos

El desarrollo del presente trabajo constituye, la aplicación del modelo del Análisis Estructural de los Sectores Estratégicos y la identificación de los escenarios de desarrollo alternativos para las empresas del Sector Textil-Confecciones de Bogota, en donde se describe el estado actual de las empresas en aspectos macroeconómicos y macroeconómicos; a continuación, se identifican los estados actuales, logros, alcances, y trazabilidad del sector. Dicha investigación se efectuó en dos etapas: la primera, corresponde al desarrollo del AESE, está compuesto por cuatro fases: en la primera, se evalúan los estados financieros de las empresas y las variables estratégicas para determinar el grado de convergencia estratégica dentro del sector; en la segunda, se lleva a cabo el levantamiento del panorama competitivo para identificar los espacios de mercado no atendidos que representan oportunidad de crecimiento. En la tercera, se realiza un diagnóstico de las Fuerzas del Mercado y en la última fase se realiza el Estudio de Competidores; en la segunda etapa de la investigación se realizo el análisis prospectivo, está compuesto por tres pasos: en el primero, a partir del desarrollo del AESE, se extrajeron las variables claves del sector y su nivel de impacto interno y externo; en el segundo, se determina la influencia que ejercen los actores presentes en el sector y por ultimo mediante una visión gerencial que contempla aspectos sociales, políticos , económicos y tecnológicos se proyectan futuros escenarios cada uno con probabilidad de ocurrencia.

Análisis estratégico del sector automotriz en Colombia

Esta investigación se desarrolló con el fin de conocer de conocer detalladamente el comportamiento del sector automotriz de Colombia en los últimos años, haciendo énfasis en el segmento de vehículos de gama media del mercado, los cuales son los más comprados en volumen por los colombianos. El estudio se realizó en un periodo comprendido entre 2.006 y 2.011 para tener identificación y valoración real del sector hasta la situación actual, donde se evaluaron las ensambladoras presentes en el país que pertenecen a la división o clasificación arancelaria dada por Código Industrial Internacional Uniforme - CIIU. El trabajo se fundamenta en la metodología del Análisis Estructural de Sectores Estratégicos por medio del cual es necesario desarrollar un examen histórico del comportamiento del sector en los últimos años con el cual se presenta el desarrollo en términos económicos, ventas, estado de hacinamiento, manchas blancas, principales participantes del mercado, TLC´s y demás rubros que caracterizan el segmento. De igual manera, el trabajo de investigación refleja una vista general de las estrategias utilizadas por las principales marcas del estudio, evaluando como estas son imitadas o no por sus competidores, y de igual manera, determinar que hace a una empresa ser líder en el mercado no tan solo tomando el ámbito económico como pilar.

Estudio estratégico sectorial aplicado en una empresa social del estado en la ciudad de Bogotá

El estudio sectorial aplicado a una Empresa Social del Estado (E.S.E) en la ciudad de Bogotá, se desarrolló a través de la aplicación de la metodología de análisis estructural de sectores estratégicos a fin de determinar el grado de hacinamiento en el que se encuentra, ubicar las oportunidades que aún no han explotado, conocer el nivel de atractividad del sector e identificar el comportamiento de los competidores para finalmente caracterizar el sector estratégico en términos de los elementos que determinan su comportamiento. Como resultado de las pruebas se evidenciaron cuatro elementos determinantes del comportamiento del sector, ausencia de barreras de entrada propias, existencia de supuestos que limitan la toma de decisiones, existencia de convergencia estratégica y erosión de la estrategia y de la productividad. Estos hallazgos permitieron al equipo de investigación realizar aportes con el fin de generar reflexión estratégica a la E.S.E, ampliar el panorama e implementar innovación conceptual hacia comportamientos diferenciadores que busquen mejorar la cadena de valor.

Technological convergence: a strategic perspective

The information and communication technologies (ICT) sectors are in a process of technological convergence. Determinant factors in this process are the liberalisation of the telecommunications markets and technological change. Many firms are engaged in a process of mergers and alliances to position themselves in this new framework. Technological and demand uncertainties are very important. Our objective in this paper is to study the economic determinants of the strategies of the firms. With this aim, we review some key technological and demand aspects. We shed some light on the strategic motivations of the firms by establishing a parallel with the evolution of the retailing sector

Essays on bounded rationality: Individual decision and strategic interaction

Economics is a social science which, therefore, focuses on people and on the decisions they make, be it in an individual context, or in group situations. It studies human choices, in face of needs to be fulfilled, and a limited amount of resources to fulfill them. For a long time, there was a convergence between the normative and positive views of human behavior, in that the ideal and predicted decisions of agents in economic models were entangled in one single concept. That is, it was assumed that the best that could be done in each situation was exactly the choice that would prevail. Or, at least, that the facts that economics needed to explain could be understood in the light of models in which individual agents act as if they are able to make ideal decisions. However, in the last decades, the complexity of the environment in which economic decisions are made and the limits on the ability of agents to deal with it have been recognized, and incorporated into models of decision making in what came to be known as the bounded rationality paradigm. This was triggered by the incapacity of the unboundedly rationality paradigm to explain observed phenomena and behavior. This thesis contributes to the literature in three different ways. Chapter 1 is a survey on bounded rationality, which gathers and organizes the contributions to the field since Simon (1955) first recognized the necessity to account for the limits on human rationality. The focus of the survey is on theoretical work rather than the experimental literature which presents evidence of actual behavior that differs from what classic rationality predicts. The general framework is as follows. Given a set of exogenous variables, the economic agent needs to choose an element from the choice set that is avail- able to him, in order to optimize the expected value of an objective function (assuming his preferences are representable by such a function). If this problem is too complex for the agent to deal with, one or more of its elements is simplified. Each bounded rationality theory is categorized according to the most relevant element it simplifes. Chapter 2 proposes a novel theory of bounded rationality. Much in the same fashion as Conlisk (1980) and Gabaix (2014), we assume that thinking is costly in the sense that agents have to pay a cost for performing mental operations. In our model, if they choose not to think, such cost is avoided, but they are left with a single alternative, labeled the default choice. We exemplify the idea with a very simple model of consumer choice and identify the concept of isofin curves, i.e., sets of default choices which generate the same utility net of thinking cost. Then, we apply the idea to a linear symmetric Cournot duopoly, in which the default choice can be interpreted as the most natural quantity to be produced in the market. We find that, as the thinking cost increases, the number of firms thinking in equilibrium decreases. More interestingly, for intermediate levels of thinking cost, an equilibrium in which one of the firms chooses the default quantity and the other best responds to it exists, generating asymmetric choices in a symmetric model. Our model is able to explain well-known regularities identified in the Cournot experimental literature, such as the adoption of different strategies by players (Huck et al. , 1999), the inter temporal rigidity of choices (Bosch-Dom enech & Vriend, 2003) and the dispersion of quantities in the context of di cult decision making (Bosch-Dom enech & Vriend, 2003). Chapter 3 applies a model of bounded rationality in a game-theoretic set- ting to the well-known turnout paradox in large elections, pivotal probabilities vanish very quickly and no one should vote, in sharp contrast with the ob- served high levels of turnout. Inspired by the concept of rhizomatic thinking, introduced by Bravo-Furtado & Côrte-Real (2009a), we assume that each per- son is self-delusional in the sense that, when making a decision, she believes that a fraction of the people who support the same party decides alike, even if no communication is established between them. This kind of belief simplifies the decision of the agent, as it reduces the number of players he believes to be playing against { it is thus a bounded rationality approach. Studying a two-party first-past-the-post election with a continuum of self-delusional agents, we show that the turnout rate is positive in all the possible equilibria, and that it can be as high as 100%. The game displays multiple equilibria, at least one of which entails a victory of the bigger party. The smaller one may also win, provided its relative size is not too small; more self-delusional voters in the minority party decreases this threshold size. Our model is able to explain some empirical facts, such as the possibility that a close election leads to low turnout (Geys, 2006), a lower margin of victory when turnout is higher (Geys, 2006) and high turnout rates favoring the minority (Bernhagen & Marsh, 1997).

La convergence de la sécurité informatique et la protection des données à caractère personnel : vers une nouvelle approche juridique

Le développement exponentiel des réseaux informatiques a largement contribué à augmenter le volume des renseignements personnels disponibles et à remplacer les méthodes désuètes de collecte des renseignements par des méthodes plus rapides et plus efficaces. La vie privée et le contrôle sur les informations personnelles, tels que nous les connaissions il y a quelques décennies, sont des notions difficilement compatibles avec la société ouverte et commerciale comme la nôtre. Face à cette nouvelle réalité menaçante pour les droits et libertés de l’homme, il est essentiel de donner un cadre technique et légal stable qui garantisse une protection adéquate de ces données personnelles. Pour rester dans le marché ou bénéficier de la confiance des individus, les entreprises et les gouvernements doivent posséder une infrastructure de sécurité efficace. Cette nouvelle donne a tendance à devenir plus qu’une règle de compétitivité, elle se transforme en une authentique obligation légale de protéger les données à caractère personnel par des mesures de sécurité adéquates et suffisantes. Ce mémoire aborde justement ces deux points, soit l’étude du développement d’une obligation légale de sécurité et l’encadrement juridique de la mise en place d’un programme de sécurisation des données personnelles par des mesures de sécurités qui respectent les standards minimaux imposés par les textes législatifs nationaux et internationaux.

Strategic Insurance: The Future of the Belgian Armed Forces. IES Policy Brief Issue 2014/04/May 2014

Summary. Belgium is on the cusp of its next defence reform. While the security landscape throughout Europe’s neighbourhood and beyond deteriorates, the armed forces face numerous challenges. Most importantly, the next defence plan needs to recalibrate the force structure in function of political ambitions and budgetary realities. This Policy Brief argues that Belgium must embrace a nimble but broad-spectrum force. Any future structure must encompass agile land forces as well as a modern combat air force, without neglecting the need to safeguard a sizeable navy and invest in cyber capabilities. European cooperation should be pursued wherever possible while recognising that this necessitates budgetary convergence. For Belgium this means the investment budget needs to grow significantly in order to acquire interoperable but self-owned assets. Such a choice can be justified on the recognition that defence is not just about expeditionary operations, but also economic stimulus, intergenerational solidarity and strategic insurance: maintaining the ability to respond to whatever the future may bring.

Strategic HRM through the cultural looking glass:mapping the cognition of British and Indian managers

This study examines the issues of `integration' of human resource management (HRM) into the corporate strategy, `devolvement' of HRM to line managers and the perceived influence of national culture on HRM in a cross-national comparative context. In order to achieve this, the cognition of personnel specialists from a matched sample of 48 Indian and British firms in the manufacturing sector using the `Visual Cards Sorting' and `CMAP2' methodologies are analyzed. The findings show that even where there is an apparent convergence of strategy — e.g., the desire of both Indian and British personnel managers to increase integration between HRM and business strategy, and to increase the level of devolvement to line managers, the two sets of specialists clearly follow a different logic of action, which is subject to a different set of cross-cultural influences. The implications of pursuing apparently similar HRM solutions in different cross-national contexts are considered. The analysis shows that HRM strategies, when considered in a cross-national context, vary a lot. Different logic leads to the adoption of similar HR strategies, and similar strategies in turn are perceived as producing different outcomes. This variance centres around the existence and perceived influence of several contextual variables such as industrial relations systems, operation of labour markets, and changes in business systems. Specific cross-cultural influences, along with different aspects of competitive business environment associated with the generic HR strategies of integration and devolvement in the two countries are highlighted. This research contributes to the fields of cross-cultural management research, international HRM and managerial and organizational cognition. It also has important messages for policy makers.

Constructing institutional change: emergence, contestation and convergence of business models in the field of Java application servers

How are innovative new business models established if organizations constantly compare themselves against existing criteria and expectations? The objective is to address this question from the perspective of innovators and their ability to redefine established expectations and evaluation criteria. The research questions ask whether there are discernible patterns of discursive action through which innovators theorize institutional change and what role such theorizations play for mobilizing support and realizing change projects. These questions are investigated through a case study on a critical area of enterprise computing software, Java application servers. In the present case, business practices and models were already well established among incumbents with critical market areas allocated to few dominant firms. Fringe players started experimenting with a new business approach of selling services around freely available opensource application servers. While most new players struggled, one new entrant succeeded in leading incumbents to adopt and compete on the new model. The case demonstrates that innovative and substantially new models and practices are established in organizational fields when innovators are able to refine expectations and evaluation criteria within an organisational field. The study addresses the theoretical paradox of embedded agency. Actors who are embedded in prevailing institutional logics and structures find it hard to perceive potentially disruptive opportunities that fall outside existing ways of doing things. Changing prevailing institutional logics and structures requires strategic and institutional work aimed at overcoming barriers to innovation. The study addresses this problem through the lens of (new) institutional theory. This discourse methodology traces the process through which innovators were able to establish a new social and business model in the field.