Modelo de um observatório municipal do desporto no concelho de Setúbal

A presente dissertação tem como objetivo geral apresentar uma proposta de um modelo de observatório municipal do desporto na administração local, nomeadamente no concelho de Setúbal. Podem ser verificados alguns estudos sobre a temática dos observatórios no sector do desporto (Leite, 2013; Gaspar 2014). Em plena sociedade de informação, as organizações têm de gerir grandes fluxos de dados. Têm de ter capacidade de adaptação à realidade, mas acima de tudo, uma atitude pró-ativa no sentido de anteciparem novos cenários. Segundo Albornoz e Herschmann (2006), os observatórios costumam recolher, registar, acompanhar, interpretar dados, produzir indicadores estatísticos, criar metodologias para codificar, classificar e categorizar informações, estabelecendo conexões entre pessoas que trabalham em áreas similares, bem como monitorizar e analisar tendências. É exigido à administração local, serviços de qualidade e de transparência na adoção das suas politicas desportivas e a existência de um instrumento de recolha de informação, estruturado com base num modelo de análise que permita conhecer, analisar e compreender o estado de um dado contexto desportivo em tempo real, irá permitir a criação de uma base de dados contendo informação atualizada e confiável. Neste contexto, os sistemas de informação, quando desenvolvidos e aplicados, vão permitir a recolha de informação fundamental sobre o comportamento interno da organização (Claudino, 2005). A presente pesquisa representa uma investigação descritiva, tratando-se de um estudo de caso a aplicar na Câmara Municipal de Setúbal. Em termos da recolha de dados, foram utilizadas fontes primárias, com base numa análise documental. Os resultados deste estudo, permitem apresentar uma primeira abordagem de estrutura e processos de funcionamento de um modelo de observatório municipal do desporto com aplicação prática, tendo sido estabelecidos sete categorias de análise fundamentais: i) Atividades Desportivas; ii) Instalações Desportivas, iii) Associativismo; iv) Recursos Humanos; v) Sector Privado; vi) Consumo Desportivo; vii) Divisão Desporto. As estratégias das políticas públicas desportivas adotadas, o planeamento desportivo ou o acesso ao apoio financeiro, exigem que estejam disponíveis um conjunto de informações rigorosas e fidedignas sobre o desempenho, a evolução e as tendências do sector a nível local pelo que a estrutura de um observatório do desporto, irá permitir de uma forma eficiente, eficaz e participativa que se desenvolvam e projetem as políticas desportivas locais que melhor se ajustem à sua realidade. Acreditamos que a existência de um observatório municipal do desporto acrescenta benefícios para os municípios. As mudanças e os desafios económicos colocados hoje, obrigam a novas dinâmicas competitivas.

Proposta metodológica de criação de um observatório municipal de desporto, na administração pública local

Introdução e Objectivos: As organizações necessitam de dados para tomar decisões, necessitam de elementos que sirvam de base à resolução de problemas ou à formulação de um juízo. Necessitam de um índice, de uma informação objectiva, disponível para qualquer indivíduo a manipular de acordo com o tipo de análise que pretende efectuar. Temos cada vez mais de nos preocupar em estar devidamente informados e estabelecer as relações mais vantajosas para a nossa organização e para o mercado onde actuamos. Irá implicar a utilização de distintos modelos de análise e instrumentos de recolha de dados, de forma a criar uma base de informação útil aos vários organismos (municipais e nacionais), que projectam as políticas desportivas a desenvolver a nível local e nacional. Com a presente investigação, pretendemos propor um Modelo de Observatório do Desporto e das Actividades Complementares associado a um Sistema de Informação Desportivo, que permita ao poder local (Autarquias), proceder ao levantamento, sempre que necessário, das evoluções concelhias do mercado desportivo, para que de uma forma sustentada, criem e desenvolvam políticas desportivas locais que melhor se ajustem à sua realidade e que sirvam de base à criação da Conta Satélite do Desporto. Material e Métodos: O modelo será testado no concelho de Odivelas, inserido na estrutura da CM Odivelas, sendo necessário a inquirição dos clubes do concelho (apenas os clubes com actividade desportiva activa), numa 1ª fase, e numa 2ª fase, as empresas que lhe dão suporte. Os presidentes e directores de ambas as organizações serão os alvos da aplicação do questionário informático e/ou questionário em suporte papel, de acordo com as realidades e características de cada clube e empresa. Os dados recolhidos serão tratados tratados através do software da aplicação informática que foi criada especificamente para o efeito e que permitirá a exportação de dados para outros suportes informáticos. A própria aplicação irá permitir a construção e apresentação de relatórios de acordo com os requisitos solicitados. Resultados: O objectivo geral do estudo foi alcansado com a construção de um Modelo de Observatório Municipal do Desporto, baseado numa proposta de Sector do Desporto e de Conta Satélite do Desporto, tendo por base o estudo de caso na Câmara Municipal de Odivelas. Os objectivos específicos prenderam-se com a construção de instrumentos de recolha de dados para: - identificar os serviços desportivos e de complemento desportivo prestados no concelho de Odivelas; - identificar as organizações que prestam serviços desportivos e de Proposta Metodológica de Criação de um Observatório Municipal de Desporto, na Administração Pública Local complemento ao desporto; Os dados recolhidos terão de ser cruzados com a informação já existente, mas que se encontra dispersa pelas várias estruturas da CMO, de forma a permitir realizar o “levantamento” dos valores económicos gerados pelas actividades desportivas dos clubes, colectividades e empresas prestadoras de serviços e identificar as lacunas de serviços necessários aos clubes e colectividades não existentes no concelho.

The Role of the Ocean Economy in the National Income Accounts of Indonesia

This paper presents the role of the Ocean Economy in the National Income Accounts of Indonesia including the concept and methodology used to estimate the contribution of this ecosystem to Indonesian value added. Currently, the national income account of Indonesia only recognizes the fishery sector. Fishery activities have been considered as one of the sub-sectors of agricultural sector together with sub-sectors of farm food crops, plantation or non-food crops, forestry, and livestock. There are some drawbacks in the concept of national income accounts, since it follows the UN system of national accounts (SNA) that recognize only economic sectors or activities which produce the value added, while it does not recognize the ecosystems such as lakes and river ecosystems, forests as well as terrestrial and ocean ecosystems as production sectors. The present concept of the SNA produces an undervaluation of forest and ocean sectors, which in turn may direct the policy makers to have a tendency to deplete the forestry and fishery resources in order to increase the contribution of those two sectors to the national income accounts. Otherwise, the two sectors will be allocated small national budget for their operations. Therefore the paper concludes that a new concept of national income accounts based on ecosystem products and services to be developed, as a satellite account to the national income account is needed. Furthermore the new concept of national income account for the ocean economy should adopt the UN System of Environmental and Economic Accounts, which takes into account the extractive and non-extractive products as environmental and biological services in to the ocean income account. The new concept of ocean accounting based on both extractive and non-extractive products instead of only based on the extractive one which have market values may guarantee the sustainability of the ocean in particular and will be good for the whole economy of the country in generally. Hence the national income accounts of the ocean economy will show how the blue economy or the ocean economy really function as one of the important sectors for the whole economy of the country.

Sea-fishing as a sport: being an account of the various kinds of sea fish, how, when, and where to catch them in their various seasons and localities.

Mode of access: Internet.

Impact of temperature on childhood pneumonia estimated from satellite remote sensing

The effect of temperature on childhood pneumonia in subtropical regions is largely unknown so far. This study examined the impact of temperature on childhood pneumonia in Brisbane, Australia. A quasi-Poisson generalized linear model combined with a distributed lag non linear model was used to quantify the main effect of temperature on emergency department visits (EDVs) for childhood pneumonia in Brisbane from 2001 to 2010. The model residuals were checked to identify added effects due to heat waves or cold spells. Both high and low temperatures were associated with an increase in EDVs for childhood pneumonia. Children aged 2–5 years, and female children were particularly vulnerable to the impacts of heat and cold, and Indigenous children were sensitive to heat. Heat waves and cold spells had significant added effects on childhood pneumonia, and the magnitude of these effects increased with intensity and duration. There were changes over time in both the main and added effects of temperature on childhood pneumonia. Children, especially those female and Indigenous, should be particularly protected from extreme temperatures. Future development of early warning systems should take the change over time in the impact of temperature on children’s health into account.

Assessment of the temperature effect on childhood diarrhea using satellite imagery

A quasi-Poisson generalized linear model combined with a distributed lag non-linear model was used to quantify the main effect of temperature on emergency department visits (EDVs) for childhood diarrhea in Brisbane from 2001 to 2010. Residual of the model was checked to examine whether there was an added effect due to heat waves. The change over time in temperature-diarrhea relation was also assessed. Both low and high temperatures had significant impact on childhood diarrhea. Heat waves had an added effect on childhood diarrhea, and this effect increased with intensity and duration of heat waves. There was a decreasing trend in the main effect of heat on childhood diarrhea in Brisbane across the study period. Brisbane children appeared to have gradually adapted to mild heat, but they are still very sensitive to persistent extreme heat. Development of future heat alert systems should take the change in temperature-diarrhea relation over time into account.

The influence of injury cause, contact-sport participation, and personal knowledge on expectation of outcome from mild traumatic brain injury

Objective: This study investigated the influence of injury cause, contact-sport participation, and prior knowledge of mild traumatic brain injury (mTBI) on injury beliefs and chronic symptom expectations of mTBI. Method: A total of 185 non-contact-sport players (non-CSPs) and 59 contact-sport players (CSPs) with no history of mTBI were randomly allocated to one of two conditions in which they read either a vignette depicting a sport-related mTBI (mTBIsport) or a motor-vehicle-accident-related mTBI (mTBIMVA). The vignettes were otherwise standardized to convey the same injury parameters (e.g., duration of loss of consciousness). After reading a vignette, participants reported their injury beliefs (i.e., perceptions of injury undesirability, chronicity, and consequences) and their expectations of chronic postconcussion syndrome (PCS) and posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) symptoms. Results: Non-CSPs held significantly more negative beliefs and expected greater PTSD symptomatology and greater PCS affective symptomatology from an mTBIMVA vignette thann mTBIsport vignette, but this difference was not found for CSPs. Unlike CSPs, non-CSPs who personally knew someone who had sustained an mTBI expected significantly less PCS symptomatology than those who did not. Despite these different results for non-CSPs and CSPs, overall, contact-sport participation did not significantly affect injury beliefs and symptom expectations from an mTBIsport. Conclusions: Expectations of persistent problems after an mTBI are influenced by factors such as injury cause even when injury parameters are held constant. Personal knowledge of mTBI, but not contact sport participation, may account for some variability in mTBI beliefs and expectations. These factors require consideration when assessing mTBI outcome.

Crossing lines: Sport history, transformative narratives, and Aboriginal Australia

In this collaborative article, we seek to unsettle the dominance of Western, reconstructionist accounts of Indigenous Australian sport history through reflections on our past research in the Queensland Aboriginal community of Cherbourg. That research focussed on a statue of legendary 1930s cricketer, Eddie Gilbert, and on sport exhibitions in Cherbourg's Ration Shed Museum. Here, we are less concerned with unveiling the ‘true’ account of Australian Aboriginal sporting history, or even a ‘true’ Indigenous representation of events. Rather, we are interested in analysing various perspectives in order to generate a more inclusive and complete account of Aboriginal sport history and the narrative implications of these for Indigenous and non-Indigenous Australia. Central to this endeavour is the positioning of Indigenous knowledge and understanding at the centre of history-making. The article is in two sections: reflections on our past work from the perspectives of the researchers themselves and an Aboriginal academic colleague, followed by a discussion of how those experiences and reflections will inform our pending project on the 1950s and 1960s Cherbourg marching girls teams.

Satellite-derived direct radiative effect of aerosols dependent on cloud cover

Aerosols from biomass burning can alter the radiative balance of the Earth by reflecting and absorbing solar radiation(1). Whether aerosols exert a net cooling or a net warming effect will depend on the aerosol type and the albedo of the underlying surface(2). Here, we use a satellite-based approach to quantify the direct, top-of-atmosphere radiative effect of aerosol layers advected over the partly cloudy boundary layer of the southeastern Atlantic Ocean during July-October of 2006 and 2007. We show that the warming effect of aerosols increases with underlying cloud coverage. This relationship is nearly linear, making it possible to define a critical cloud fraction at which the aerosols switch from exerting a net cooling to a net warming effect. For this region and time period, the critical cloud fraction is about 0.4, and is strongly sensitive to the amount of solar radiation the aerosols absorb and the albedo of the underlying clouds. We estimate that the regional-mean warming effect of aerosols is three times higher when large-scale spatial covariation between cloud cover and aerosols is taken into account. These results demonstrate the importance of cloud prediction for the accurate quantification of aerosol direct effects.

Burnt area mapping in insular Southeast Asia using medium resolution satellite imagery

Burnt area mapping in humid tropical insular Southeast Asia using medium resolution (250-500m) satellite imagery is characterized by persisting cloud cover, wide range of land cover types, vast amount of wetland areas and highly varying fire regimes. The objective of this study was to deepen understanding of three major aspects affecting the implementation and limits of medium resolution burnt area mapping in insular Southeast Asia: 1) fire-induced spectral changes, 2) most suitable multitemporal compositing methods and 3) burn scars patterns and size distribution. The results revealed a high variation in fire-induced spectral changes depending on the pre-fire greenness of burnt area. It was concluded that this variation needs to be taken into account in change detection based burnt area mapping algorithms in order to maximize the potential of medium resolution satellite data. Minimum near infrared (MODIS band 2, 0.86μm) compositing method was found to be the most suitable for burnt area mapping purposes using Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data. In general, medium resolution burnt area mapping was found to be usable in the wetlands of insular Southeast Asia, whereas in other areas the usability was seriously jeopardized by the small size of burn scars. The suitability of medium resolution data for burnt area mapping in wetlands is important since recently Southeast Asian wetlands have become a major point of interest in many fields of science due to yearly occurring wild fires that not only degrade these unique ecosystems but also create regional haze problem and release globally significant amounts of carbon into the atmosphere due to burning peat. Finally, super-resolution MODIS images were tested but the test failed to improve the detection of small scars. Therefore, super-resolution technique was not considered to be applicable to regional level burnt area mapping in insular Southeast Asia.

The relation between content providers and distributors: Lessons from the regulation of television distribution in the United Kingdom

Using the United Kingdom (UK) as a case study, this article analyses the growing commercial and regulatory significance of broadcaster-distributor relations within the contemporary television industry. The first part of the article argues that despite important changes in broadcast delivery technology, more recently shaped by the growth of the Internet, and the associated growth of options of receiving television content, the traditional delivery platforms (digital terrestrial, satellite and cable) remain by far the preferred choice for viewers in Britain. At the same time, public service broadcasters continue to be the biggest investors in domestic original non-sport content and account for over half of all television viewing. The strength of PSBs in content and their growing reliance on commercial proprietary subscription platforms (cable and satellite) and gradually on the Internet presents challenges in the nexus between broadcasters and distributors. The article focuses on the debate over retransmission fees between PSBs and Sky, and on the question of whether Sky should be required to offer some of its premium content to rival pay-TV platforms. These two examples highlight the impact regulatory intervention can have on the balance of power between broadcasters and distributors. The article concludes that such debates concerning the commercial relations between content providers and distributors will remain pivotal and become more heated given that similar issues are raised in the Internet environment.

The determinants of sport participation in Switzerland

This paper aims at investigating the socio-cultural factors that affect leisure-time sport participation in Switzerland. Data drawn from 8 waves of the Swiss Household Panel is used to evaluate a probit model with random effects, that takes into account the socioeconomic and demographic characteristics of the respondents. In line with existing literature, findings from the multivariate analysis show inequalities in sport involvement in Switzerland. These are significantly related to age, income, education, citizenship and cultural aspects. Appropriate and targeted policies promoting participation in sports among the community can be found on the basis of the critical modifiers in the model and their impact.

An improved algorithm for generating global window brightness temperatures from multiple satellite infrared imagery

An improved algorithm for the generation of gridded window brightness temperatures is presented. The primary data source is the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project, level B3 data, covering the period from July 1983 to the present. The algorithm rakes window brightness, temperatures from multiple satellites, both geostationary and polar orbiting, which have already been navigated and normalized radiometrically to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer, and generates 3-hourly global images on a 0.5 degrees by 0.5 degrees latitude-longitude grid. The gridding uses a hierarchical scheme based on spherical kernel estimators. As part of the gridding procedure, the geostationary data are corrected for limb effects using a simple empirical correction to the radiances, from which the corrected temperatures are computed. This is in addition to the application of satellite zenith angle weighting to downweight limb pixels in preference to nearer-nadir pixels. The polar orbiter data are windowed on the target time with temporal weighting to account for the noncontemporaneous nature of the data. Large regions of missing data are interpolated from adjacent processed images using a form of motion compensated interpolation based on the estimation of motion vectors using an hierarchical block matching scheme. Examples are shown of the various stages in the process. Also shown are examples of the usefulness of this type of data in GCM validation.

Stochastic modelling of rainfall from satellite data

Satellite-based rainfall monitoring is widely used for climatological studies because of its full global coverage but it is also of great importance for operational purposes especially in areas such as Africa where there is a lack of ground-based rainfall data. Satellite rainfall estimates have enormous potential benefits as input to hydrological and agricultural models because of their real time availability, low cost and full spatial coverage. One issue that needs to be addressed is the uncertainty on these estimates. This is particularly important in assessing the likely errors on the output from non-linear models (rainfall-runoff or crop yield) which make use of the rainfall estimates, aggregated over an area, as input. Correct assessment of the uncertainty on the rainfall is non-trivial as it must take account of • the difference in spatial support of the satellite information and independent data used for calibration • uncertainties on the independent calibration data • the non-Gaussian distribution of rainfall amount • the spatial intermittency of rainfall • the spatial correlation of the rainfall field This paper describes a method for estimating the uncertainty on satellite-based rainfall values taking account of these factors. The method involves firstly a stochastic calibration which completely describes the probability of rainfall occurrence and the pdf of rainfall amount for a given satellite value, and secondly the generation of ensemble of rainfall fields based on the stochastic calibration but with the correct spatial correlation structure within each ensemble member. This is achieved by the use of geostatistical sequential simulation. The ensemble generated in this way may be used to estimate uncertainty at larger spatial scales. A case study of daily rainfall monitoring in the Gambia, west Africa for the purpose of crop yield forecasting is presented to illustrate the method.