Modelo de um observatório municipal do desporto no concelho de Setúbal

A presente dissertação tem como objetivo geral apresentar uma proposta de um modelo de observatório municipal do desporto na administração local, nomeadamente no concelho de Setúbal. Podem ser verificados alguns estudos sobre a temática dos observatórios no sector do desporto (Leite, 2013; Gaspar 2014). Em plena sociedade de informação, as organizações têm de gerir grandes fluxos de dados. Têm de ter capacidade de adaptação à realidade, mas acima de tudo, uma atitude pró-ativa no sentido de anteciparem novos cenários. Segundo Albornoz e Herschmann (2006), os observatórios costumam recolher, registar, acompanhar, interpretar dados, produzir indicadores estatísticos, criar metodologias para codificar, classificar e categorizar informações, estabelecendo conexões entre pessoas que trabalham em áreas similares, bem como monitorizar e analisar tendências. É exigido à administração local, serviços de qualidade e de transparência na adoção das suas politicas desportivas e a existência de um instrumento de recolha de informação, estruturado com base num modelo de análise que permita conhecer, analisar e compreender o estado de um dado contexto desportivo em tempo real, irá permitir a criação de uma base de dados contendo informação atualizada e confiável. Neste contexto, os sistemas de informação, quando desenvolvidos e aplicados, vão permitir a recolha de informação fundamental sobre o comportamento interno da organização (Claudino, 2005). A presente pesquisa representa uma investigação descritiva, tratando-se de um estudo de caso a aplicar na Câmara Municipal de Setúbal. Em termos da recolha de dados, foram utilizadas fontes primárias, com base numa análise documental. Os resultados deste estudo, permitem apresentar uma primeira abordagem de estrutura e processos de funcionamento de um modelo de observatório municipal do desporto com aplicação prática, tendo sido estabelecidos sete categorias de análise fundamentais: i) Atividades Desportivas; ii) Instalações Desportivas, iii) Associativismo; iv) Recursos Humanos; v) Sector Privado; vi) Consumo Desportivo; vii) Divisão Desporto. As estratégias das políticas públicas desportivas adotadas, o planeamento desportivo ou o acesso ao apoio financeiro, exigem que estejam disponíveis um conjunto de informações rigorosas e fidedignas sobre o desempenho, a evolução e as tendências do sector a nível local pelo que a estrutura de um observatório do desporto, irá permitir de uma forma eficiente, eficaz e participativa que se desenvolvam e projetem as políticas desportivas locais que melhor se ajustem à sua realidade. Acreditamos que a existência de um observatório municipal do desporto acrescenta benefícios para os municípios. As mudanças e os desafios económicos colocados hoje, obrigam a novas dinâmicas competitivas.

Proposta metodológica de criação de um observatório municipal de desporto, na administração pública local

Introdução e Objectivos: As organizações necessitam de dados para tomar decisões, necessitam de elementos que sirvam de base à resolução de problemas ou à formulação de um juízo. Necessitam de um índice, de uma informação objectiva, disponível para qualquer indivíduo a manipular de acordo com o tipo de análise que pretende efectuar. Temos cada vez mais de nos preocupar em estar devidamente informados e estabelecer as relações mais vantajosas para a nossa organização e para o mercado onde actuamos. Irá implicar a utilização de distintos modelos de análise e instrumentos de recolha de dados, de forma a criar uma base de informação útil aos vários organismos (municipais e nacionais), que projectam as políticas desportivas a desenvolver a nível local e nacional. Com a presente investigação, pretendemos propor um Modelo de Observatório do Desporto e das Actividades Complementares associado a um Sistema de Informação Desportivo, que permita ao poder local (Autarquias), proceder ao levantamento, sempre que necessário, das evoluções concelhias do mercado desportivo, para que de uma forma sustentada, criem e desenvolvam políticas desportivas locais que melhor se ajustem à sua realidade e que sirvam de base à criação da Conta Satélite do Desporto. Material e Métodos: O modelo será testado no concelho de Odivelas, inserido na estrutura da CM Odivelas, sendo necessário a inquirição dos clubes do concelho (apenas os clubes com actividade desportiva activa), numa 1ª fase, e numa 2ª fase, as empresas que lhe dão suporte. Os presidentes e directores de ambas as organizações serão os alvos da aplicação do questionário informático e/ou questionário em suporte papel, de acordo com as realidades e características de cada clube e empresa. Os dados recolhidos serão tratados tratados através do software da aplicação informática que foi criada especificamente para o efeito e que permitirá a exportação de dados para outros suportes informáticos. A própria aplicação irá permitir a construção e apresentação de relatórios de acordo com os requisitos solicitados. Resultados: O objectivo geral do estudo foi alcansado com a construção de um Modelo de Observatório Municipal do Desporto, baseado numa proposta de Sector do Desporto e de Conta Satélite do Desporto, tendo por base o estudo de caso na Câmara Municipal de Odivelas. Os objectivos específicos prenderam-se com a construção de instrumentos de recolha de dados para: - identificar os serviços desportivos e de complemento desportivo prestados no concelho de Odivelas; - identificar as organizações que prestam serviços desportivos e de Proposta Metodológica de Criação de um Observatório Municipal de Desporto, na Administração Pública Local complemento ao desporto; Os dados recolhidos terão de ser cruzados com a informação já existente, mas que se encontra dispersa pelas várias estruturas da CMO, de forma a permitir realizar o “levantamento” dos valores económicos gerados pelas actividades desportivas dos clubes, colectividades e empresas prestadoras de serviços e identificar as lacunas de serviços necessários aos clubes e colectividades não existentes no concelho.

A Percepção da População Local Sobre os Impactos Económicos do Turismo na Ilha de São Vicente

A actividade turística só faz sentido, e torna-se viável, quando se proporciona uma experiência qualitativa aos principais agentes envolvidos, isto é, quando haja a optimização da experiência turística, a conservação ambiental e cultural e a inclusão social, pela participação activa das comunidades locais. Assim, esta monografia debruça-se sobre a análise de um desses pilares, mais concretamente, a população local, e como tal, objectiva-se analisar a sua percepção sobre os impactos económicos do turismo no desenvolvimento da ilha de São Vicente. Contudo, para dar uma resposta coerente à problemática deste estudo, que é identificar os impactos económicos do turismo percebido pelos residentes, recorreu-se à uma abordagem económica do turismo, tendo em conta as nomenclaturas desenvolvidas no âmbito da Conta Satélite do Turismo. Na avaliação dos impactos, fez-se a aplicação de um inquérito por questionário, dirigido aos residentes das zonas de Norte Baía, Ribeira de Calhau, São Pedro e o Centro da Cidade. Definiu-se uma amostra representativa de 200 indivíduos, analisando a relação entre o turismo e um conjunto de variáveis económicas tais como o emprego, o rendimento, as receitas governamentais, as infra-estruturas, a sazonalidade, os investimentos, e a inflação. Pelos resultados obtidos, concluiu-se que o turismo contribui positivamente para aumentar o emprego, o rendimento, melhorar a qualidade de vida, o aparecimento de novas empresas, o aumento do Produto Interno Bruto e ainda contribui para o desenvolvimento económico da ilha. Contudo, os resultados permitiram concluir que a ilha não depende, do ponto de vista económico, exclusivamente do turismo. Touristic activity only makes sense and becomes profitable when it brings a qualitative experience to the parties involved, i.e. when it results in an improvement of the touristic experience, with an environmental and cultural protection and social inclusion, through the active participation of the local communities, we developed this monograph based on the analysis of the people´s perception about the economic impact of the tourism in the development of São Vicente island. However, in order to have a coherent answer to the issues this document is concerned with, i.e to identify the economic impact of the tourism on people´s live, we went through an economic approach of the tourism, taking in consideration the nomenclature developed in the sphere of Tourism Satellite Account. For the evaluation of the impact we resorted to an enquiry to the residents of Norte Baía, Ribeira de Calhau, São Pedro, and Mindelo. A representative sample of 200 individuals has been defined, to analyze the relationship between the tourism itself and several economic targets, such as: employment, profits, infrastructure, season, investment, inflation. According to the analysis we concluded that the tourism has positively contributed to the uprising of new enterprise, to the increasing of the gross domestic product, to rise up the employment rate, to increase family´s incomes and consequently a better life quality and also to the economic development of São Vicente Island. Nevertheless we also concluded that economically São Vicente does not depend only on the tourism incomes.

The Role of the Ocean Economy in the National Income Accounts of Indonesia

This paper presents the role of the Ocean Economy in the National Income Accounts of Indonesia including the concept and methodology used to estimate the contribution of this ecosystem to Indonesian value added. Currently, the national income account of Indonesia only recognizes the fishery sector. Fishery activities have been considered as one of the sub-sectors of agricultural sector together with sub-sectors of farm food crops, plantation or non-food crops, forestry, and livestock. There are some drawbacks in the concept of national income accounts, since it follows the UN system of national accounts (SNA) that recognize only economic sectors or activities which produce the value added, while it does not recognize the ecosystems such as lakes and river ecosystems, forests as well as terrestrial and ocean ecosystems as production sectors. The present concept of the SNA produces an undervaluation of forest and ocean sectors, which in turn may direct the policy makers to have a tendency to deplete the forestry and fishery resources in order to increase the contribution of those two sectors to the national income accounts. Otherwise, the two sectors will be allocated small national budget for their operations. Therefore the paper concludes that a new concept of national income accounts based on ecosystem products and services to be developed, as a satellite account to the national income account is needed. Furthermore the new concept of national income account for the ocean economy should adopt the UN System of Environmental and Economic Accounts, which takes into account the extractive and non-extractive products as environmental and biological services in to the ocean income account. The new concept of ocean accounting based on both extractive and non-extractive products instead of only based on the extractive one which have market values may guarantee the sustainability of the ocean in particular and will be good for the whole economy of the country in generally. Hence the national income accounts of the ocean economy will show how the blue economy or the ocean economy really function as one of the important sectors for the whole economy of the country.

Sea-fishing as a sport: being an account of the various kinds of sea fish, how, when, and where to catch them in their various seasons and localities.

Mode of access: Internet.

Determination of testosterone misuse in sport, an international comparative study

Introduction: Urinary steroid profiling is used in doping controls to detect testosterone abuse. A testosterone over epitestosterone (T/E) ratio exceeding 4.0 is considered as suspicious of testosterone administration, irrespectively of individual heterogeneous factors such as the athlete's ethnicity. A deletion polymorphism in the UGT2B17 gene was demonstrated to account for a significant part of the inter-individual variability in the T/E between Caucasians and Asians. However, the anti-doping strategy includes the determination of carbon isotope ratio on androgen metabolites which has been demonstrated to be reliable for the direct detection of testosterone misuse. Herein, we examined the profiles and the variability in the 13C/12Cratios of urinary steroids in a widely heterogeneous cohort of professional soccer players residing in different world countries (Argentina, Italy, Japan, South-Africa, Switzerland and Uganda). Aim: The determination of threshold values based on genotype information and diet specific of the ethnicity is expected to enhance significantly the detection of testosterone misuse. Methods: The steroid profile of 57 Africans, 32 Asians, 50 Caucasians and 32 Hispanics was determined by gas chromatography-mass spectrometry. The carbon isotope ratio of selected androgens in urine specimens were determined by means of gas chromatography/combustion/isotope ratio mass spectrometry (GC-C-IRMS). Results: Significant differences have been observed between all ethnic groups. After estimation of the prevalence of the UGT2B17 deletion/deletion genotype (African:22%; Asian:81%; Caucasian:10%; Hispanic:7%), ethnicspecific thresholds were developed for a specificity of 99% for the T/E (African:5.6; Asian:3.8; Caucasian:5.7; Hispanic:5.8). Italian and Swiss populations recorded an enrichment in 13C of the urinary steroids with respect to the other groups, thereby supporting consumption of a relatively larger proportion of C3 plants in their diet. Noteworthy, detection criteria based on the difference in the carbon isotope ratio of androsterone and pregnanediol for each population were well below the established threshold value for positive cases. Conclusion: These profiling results demonstrate that a unique and nonspecific threshold to evidence testosterone misuse is not fit for purpose. In addition, the carbon isotopic ratio from these different diet groups highlight the importance to adapt the criteria for increasing the sensitivity in the detection of exogenous testosterone. In conclusion, it may be emphasized that combining the use of isotope ratio mass spectrometry including refined interpretation criteria for positivity and the subject-based profiling of steroids will most probably improve the efficiency of the confirmatory test.

The determinants of sport participation in Switzerland

This paper aims at investigating the socio-cultural factors that affect leisure-time sport participation in Switzerland. Data drawn from 8 waves of the Swiss Household Panel is used to evaluate a probit model with random effects, that takes into account the socioeconomic and demographic characteristics of the respondents. In line with existing literature, findings from the multivariate analysis show inequalities in sport involvement in Switzerland. These are significantly related to age, income, education, citizenship and cultural aspects. Appropriate and targeted policies promoting participation in sports among the community can be found on the basis of the critical modifiers in the model and their impact.

Improvement of walking speed prediction by accelerometry and altimetry, validated by satellite positioning.

Activity monitors based on accelerometry are used to predict the speed and energy cost of walking at 0% slope, but not at other inclinations. Parallel measurements of body accelerations and altitude variation were studied to determine whether walking speed prediction could be improved. Fourteen subjects walked twice along a 1.3 km circuit with substantial slope variations (-17% to +17%). The parameters recorded were body acceleration using a uni-axial accelerometer, altitude variation using differential barometry, and walking speed using satellite positioning (DGPS). Linear regressions were calculated between acceleration and walking speed, and between acceleration/altitude and walking speed. These predictive models, calculated using the data from the first circuit run, were used to predict speed during the second circuit. Finally the predicted velocity was compared with the measured one. The result was that acceleration alone failed to predict speed (mean r = 0.4). Adding altitude variation improved the prediction (mean r = 0.7). With regard to the altitude/acceleration-speed relationship, substantial inter-individual variation was found. It is concluded that accelerometry, combined with altitude measurement, can assess position variations of humans provided inter-individual variation is taken into account. It is also confirmed that DGPS can be used for outdoor walking speed measurements, opening up new perspectives in the field of biomechanics.

The Concept of Betterness and Sport Competitions

It is common that people disagree on a question which athlete or team was the best in a particular sport competition. This thesis attempts to clarify these disputes by analysing the concept of betterness in the context of sport competitions. Betterness can be interpersonal, intrapersonal or a combination of the two. I focus on interpersonal betterness, that is, on superiority. For example, interpersonal betterness may be contested in a football match between the national teams of Germany and Argentina. My aim is to provide a philosophical account of interpersonal betterness. The account has two functions: descriptive and normative. It describes the shapes and forms in which superiority is instantiated in sport competitions. It also provides a consistent and accurate way to discuss superiority. The thesis consists of two parts. In the first part, I introduce, elaborate and illustrate my account, which in turn consists of three elements: (1) relations of superiority, (2) standards for the relations of superiority and (3) types of competition. I also discuss my account’s relevance to issues of sport ethics through the example of gender equity and women’s ski jumping. I conclude that this account will not end the disputes over which team or athlete was better in a particular competition. Instead, it provides tools for a more consistent discussion of the disputed issues. The second part of the thesis includes five reprinted original articles. The account presented in the first part is based on these publications.

An improved algorithm for generating global window brightness temperatures from multiple satellite infrared imagery

An improved algorithm for the generation of gridded window brightness temperatures is presented. The primary data source is the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project, level B3 data, covering the period from July 1983 to the present. The algorithm rakes window brightness, temperatures from multiple satellites, both geostationary and polar orbiting, which have already been navigated and normalized radiometrically to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer, and generates 3-hourly global images on a 0.5 degrees by 0.5 degrees latitude-longitude grid. The gridding uses a hierarchical scheme based on spherical kernel estimators. As part of the gridding procedure, the geostationary data are corrected for limb effects using a simple empirical correction to the radiances, from which the corrected temperatures are computed. This is in addition to the application of satellite zenith angle weighting to downweight limb pixels in preference to nearer-nadir pixels. The polar orbiter data are windowed on the target time with temporal weighting to account for the noncontemporaneous nature of the data. Large regions of missing data are interpolated from adjacent processed images using a form of motion compensated interpolation based on the estimation of motion vectors using an hierarchical block matching scheme. Examples are shown of the various stages in the process. Also shown are examples of the usefulness of this type of data in GCM validation.

Stochastic modelling of rainfall from satellite data

Satellite-based rainfall monitoring is widely used for climatological studies because of its full global coverage but it is also of great importance for operational purposes especially in areas such as Africa where there is a lack of ground-based rainfall data. Satellite rainfall estimates have enormous potential benefits as input to hydrological and agricultural models because of their real time availability, low cost and full spatial coverage. One issue that needs to be addressed is the uncertainty on these estimates. This is particularly important in assessing the likely errors on the output from non-linear models (rainfall-runoff or crop yield) which make use of the rainfall estimates, aggregated over an area, as input. Correct assessment of the uncertainty on the rainfall is non-trivial as it must take account of • the difference in spatial support of the satellite information and independent data used for calibration • uncertainties on the independent calibration data • the non-Gaussian distribution of rainfall amount • the spatial intermittency of rainfall • the spatial correlation of the rainfall field This paper describes a method for estimating the uncertainty on satellite-based rainfall values taking account of these factors. The method involves firstly a stochastic calibration which completely describes the probability of rainfall occurrence and the pdf of rainfall amount for a given satellite value, and secondly the generation of ensemble of rainfall fields based on the stochastic calibration but with the correct spatial correlation structure within each ensemble member. This is achieved by the use of geostatistical sequential simulation. The ensemble generated in this way may be used to estimate uncertainty at larger spatial scales. A case study of daily rainfall monitoring in the Gambia, west Africa for the purpose of crop yield forecasting is presented to illustrate the method.

Excess open solar magnetic flux from satellite data: 1. Analysis of the third perihelion Ulysses pass

We use the third perihelion pass by the Ulysses spacecraft to illustrate and investigate the “flux excess” effect, whereby open solar flux estimates from spacecraft increase with increasing heliocentric distance. We analyze the potential effects of small-scale structure in the heliospheric field (giving fluctuations in the radial component on timescales smaller than 1 h) and kinematic time-of-flight effects of longitudinal structure in the solar wind flow. We show that the flux excess is explained by neither very small-scale structure (timescales < 1 h) nor by the kinematic “bunching effect” on spacecraft sampling. The observed flux excesses is, however, well explained by the kinematic effect of larger-scale (>1 day) solar wind speed variations on the frozen-in heliospheric field. We show that averaging over an interval T (that is long enough to eliminate structure originating in the heliosphere yet small enough to avoid cancelling opposite polarity radial field that originates from genuine sector structure in the coronal source field) is only an approximately valid way of allowing for these effects and does not adequately explain or account for differences between the streamer belt and the polar coronal holes.

Validation of ACE-FTS satellite data in the upper troposphere/lower stratosphere (UTLS) using non-coincident measurements

CO, O3, and H2O data in the upper troposphere/lower stratosphere (UTLS) measured by the Atmospheric Chemistry Experiment Fourier Transform Spectrometer(ACE-FTS) on Canada’s SCISAT-1 satellite are validated using aircraft and ozonesonde measurements. In the UTLS, validation of chemical trace gas measurements is a challenging task due to small-scale variability in the tracer fields, strong gradients of the tracers across the tropopause, and scarcity of measurements suitable for validation purposes. Validation based on coincidences therefore suffers from geophysical noise. Two alternative methods for the validation of satellite data are introduced, which avoid the usual need for coincident measurements: tracer-tracer correlations, and vertical tracer profiles relative to tropopause height. Both are increasingly being used for model validation as they strongly suppress geophysical variability and thereby provide an “instantaneous climatology”. This allows comparison of measurements between non-coincident data sets which yields information about the precision and a statistically meaningful error-assessment of the ACE-FTS satellite data in the UTLS. By defining a trade-off factor, we show that the measurement errors can be reduced by including more measurements obtained over a wider longitude range into the comparison, despite the increased geophysical variability. Applying the methods then yields the following upper bounds to the relative differences in the mean found between the ACE-FTS and SPURT aircraft measurements in the upper troposphere (UT) and lower stratosphere (LS), respectively: for CO ±9% and ±12%, for H2O ±30% and ±18%, and for O3 ±25% and ±19%. The relative differences for O3 can be narrowed down by using a larger dataset obtained from ozonesondes, yielding a high bias in the ACEFTS measurements of 18% in the UT and relative differences of ±8% for measurements in the LS. When taking into account the smearing effect of the vertically limited spacing between measurements of the ACE-FTS instrument, the relative differences decrease by 5–15% around the tropopause, suggesting a vertical resolution of the ACE-FTS in the UTLS of around 1 km. The ACE-FTS hence offers unprecedented precision and vertical resolution for a satellite instrument, which will allow a new global perspective on UTLS tracer distributions.

Global estimate of aerosol direct radiative forcing from satellite measurements

Atmospheric aerosols cause scattering and absorption of incoming solar radiation. Additional anthropogenic aerosols released into the atmosphere thus exert a direct radiative forcing on the climate system1. The degree of present-day aerosol forcing is estimated from global models that incorporate a representation of the aerosol cycles1–3. Although the models are compared and validated against observations, these estimates remain uncertain. Previous satellite measurements of the direct effect of aerosols contained limited information about aerosol type, and were confined to oceans only4,5. Here we use state-of-the-art satellitebased measurements of aerosols6–8 and surface wind speed9 to estimate the clear-sky direct radiative forcing for 2002, incorporating measurements over land and ocean. We use a Monte Carlo approach to account for uncertainties in aerosol measurements and in the algorithm used. Probability density functions obtained for the direct radiative forcing at the top of the atmosphere give a clear-sky, global, annual average of 21.9Wm22 with standard deviation, 60.3Wm22. These results suggest that present-day direct radiative forcing is stronger than present model estimates, implying future atmospheric warming greater than is presently predicted, as aerosol emissions continue to decline10.