A nettó jelenérték maximalizálása erőforrás-korlátos projektekben - egy új harmóniakereső metaheurisztika (A harmony search metaheuristic for the resourceconstrained project scheduling problem with discounted cash flows)

Ebben a tanulmányban a szerző egy új harmóniakereső metaheurisztikát mutat be, amely a minimális időtartamú erőforrás-korlátos ütemezések halmazán a projekt nettó jelenértékét maximalizálja. Az optimális ütemezés elméletileg két egész értékű (nulla-egy típusú) programozási feladat megoldását jelenti, ahol az első lépésben meghatározzuk a minimális időtartamú erőforrás-korlátos ütemezések időtartamát, majd a második lépésben az optimális időtartamot feltételként kezelve megoldjuk a nettó jelenérték maximalizálási problémát minimális időtartamú erőforrás-korlátos ütemezések halmazán. A probléma NP-hard jellege miatt az egzakt megoldás elfogadható idő alatt csak kisméretű projektek esetében képzelhető el. A bemutatandó metaheurisztika a Csébfalvi (2007) által a minimális időtartamú erőforrás-korlátos ütemezések időtartamának meghatározására és a tevékenységek ennek megfelelő ütemezésére kifejlesztett harmóniakereső metaheurisztika továbbfejlesztése, amely az erőforrás-felhasználási konfliktusokat elsőbbségi kapcsolatok beépítésével oldja fel. Az ajánlott metaheurisztika hatékonyságának és életképességének szemléltetésére számítási eredményeket adunk a jól ismert és népszerű PSPLIB tesztkönyvtár J30 részhalmazán futtatva. Az egzakt megoldás generálásához egy korszerű MILP-szoftvert (CPLEX) alkalmaztunk. _______________ This paper presents a harmony search metaheuristic for the resource-constrained project scheduling problem with discounted cash flows. In the proposed approach, a resource-constrained project is characterized by its „best” schedule, where best means a makespan minimal resource constrained schedule for which the net present value (NPV) measure is maximal. Theoretically the optimal schedule searching process is formulated as a twophase mixed integer linear programming (MILP) problem, which can be solved for small-scale projects in reasonable time. The applied metaheuristic is based on the "conflict repairing" version of the "Sounds of Silence" harmony search metaheuristic developed by Csébfalvi (2007) for the resource-constrained project scheduling problem (RCPSP). In order to illustrate the essence and viability of the proposed harmony search metaheuristic, we present computational results for a J30 subset from the well-known and popular PSPLIB. To generate the exact solutions a state-of-the-art MILP solver (CPLEX) was used.

Criação de valor em fusões e aquisições horizontais

O aumento verificado nos últimos anos em fusões e aquisições (F&A) resulta da opção dos gestores para fazer face ao aumento da pressão competitiva e ou à necessidade de crescimento rápido. A literatura sobre os efeitos dos processos de F&A é diversificada e as conclusões são contraditórias. Neste trabalho pretendemos verificar se o processo de F&A se traduz na criação de valor para o acionista da empresa adquirente. Como métrica de avaliação utilizamos o método de análise dos fluxos de caixa atualizados ou o Discounted Cash-Flow (DCF). Para o efeito efetuamos um estudo de caso que vai incidir sobre uma empresa seguradora portuguesa – A Lusitania Companhia de Seguros, S.A. – que recentemente adquiriu, por fusão por incorporação, a Real Seguros, S.A. Efetuamos uma análise de natureza quantitativa através dos dados do relatório e contas e encontramos evidência de que o desempenho diminuiu após a transação.

Satisfaction as a predictor of future performance:a replication

Since the introduction of the Net Promoter concept there has been a vivid and ongoing debate among academics and practitioners about the performance of the Net Promoter Score (NPS) in comparison to other customer metrics, such as customer satisfaction, to predict company growth rates. We report results from a study using data from customers and firms in the Netherlands on the relationship between different satisfaction and loyalty metrics as well as the NPS with sales revenue growth, gross margins and net operating cash flows. We find that all metrics perform equally well in predicting current gross margins and current sales revenue growth and equally poor for predicting future sales growth and gross margins as well as current and future net cash flows. The NPS is neither superior nor inferior to other metrics. Taken together, our study suggests that the predictive capability of customer metrics, such as NPS, for future company growth rates is limited. © 2013 Elsevier B.V.

Private Club Financial Performance

This article reveals the median financial results for the club industry for 2011 using 24 financial ratios. The results are based on the submission of balance sheet and selected income statement numbers from 80 clubs. The ratios are reported as median results for the entire sample as well as the median results for the top and low performing clubs delineated by return on assets. The biggest differences between the two extreme groups of clubs are (1) average collection period, (2) operating cash flows to current liabilities and long-term debt, (3) fines interest earned, (4) fixed charge coverage ratio, (5) food and beverage inventory turnovers, (6) profit margin, (7) return on assets, (8) operating efficiency ratio, (9) labor cost percentage.

Accounting : building business skills [4th Ed.]

"The text is unique in the way it balances a "user" and "preparer" perspective and integrates real financial information to illustrate business decision choices and how decisions are made using accounting information. The pedagogical approach presented in the text has been tried and tested over many years, and provides a constructive framework for students to learn fundamental accounting concepts and processes. Through the use of real company information and financial statements students will quickly appreciate the use of accounting information. The textbook clearly outlines to students how to account for typical business transactions and prepare financial statements - such as a balance sheet, income statement, and statement of cash flows - that communicate the financing, operating, and investing activities of a business. Whether a student is required to study one accounting subject, as part of a wider business degree, or undertake a major study of accounting the text builds a strong conceptual understanding of accounting and will develop skills that can be applied to an accounting and business environment. The integral role of financial statements for decision making is also emphasised in this text and is reinforced throughout by the Decision Toolkit in each chapter. Students are provided with an extensive set of tools necessary to make business decisions based on financial information." -- publisher website

A utilidade da demonstração de fluxos de caixa na ótica dos Técnicos Oficiais de contas

O tema Fluxos de Caixa tem cada vez mais importância nas empresas e no relato financeiro das mesmas. Com a entrada em vigor do Sistema de Normalização Contabilística em 2010, tornou-se obrigatória a apresentação da Demonstração de Fluxos de Caixa nas Demonstrações Financeiras das empresas que adotem o regime geral. Segundo a Norma Contabilística e de Relato Financeiro 2 – Demonstração de Fluxos de Caixa, nos seus parágrafos 7 e 8, a Demonstração de Fluxos de Caixa “deve relatar os fluxos de caixa durante o período classificados por atividades operacionais, de investimento e de financiamento. A classificação por atividades proporciona informação que permite aos utentes determinar o impacto dessas atividades na posição financeira da entidade e nas quantias de caixa e seus equivalentes”. Possibilita a avaliação das empresas, a deteção de sinais de fragilidade e ajuda a decidir qual o melhor caminho a seguir. O objetivo central deste trabalho consiste em evidenciar a importância e utilidade da Demonstração de Fluxos de Caixa para os profissionais de contabilidade e para os utilizadores da informação financeira, na ótica dos Técnicos Oficiais de Contas, e será alcançado através de um questionário a este grupo de profissionais. Os resultados obtidos permitiram-nos aferir que os Técnicos Oficiais de Contas consideram esta Demonstração Financeira importante e atribuem-lhe a utilidade que efetivamente representa, isto é, consideram-na uma peça indispensável para a gestão de tesouraria como para a gestão operacional, financeira ou de investimentos de qualquer empresa. Contudo, na sua opinião, esta Demonstração é ainda pouco valorizada pelos utilizadores da informação financeira.

Reporting cash flow evidence from campanies listed in the Euronext Lisbon

Based on the 2013 and 2014 consolidated statements of cash flows of companies listed in Euronext Lisbon, this Work Project analyses the cash flow disclosures, namely if they are in accordance with International Accounting Standards 7, specifically the format, the choice of classification interests, dividends paid and received and the composition of cash and cash equivalents. Additionally, quality of income ratio is analyzed due to its importance for users of financial statements. The results show evidence of uniformity and consistency in the use of the direct method for reporting operational activities in both years, but there are some differences regarding the disclosure of interests and dividends, paid and received, respectively.

The appraisal of data centres: deconstructing the cash flow

This paper analyses the appraisal of a specialized form of real estate - data centres - that has a unique blend of locational, physical and technological characteristics that differentiate it from conventional real estate assets. Market immaturity, limited trading and a lack of pricing signals enhance levels of appraisal uncertainty and disagreement relative to conventional real estate assets. Given the problems of applying standard discounted cash flow, an approach to appraisal is proposed that uses pricing signals from traded cash flows that are similar to the cash flows generated from data centres. Based upon ‘the law of one price’, it is assumed that two assets that are expected to generate identical cash flows in the future must have the same value now. It is suggested that the expected cash flow of assets should be analysed over the life cycle of the building. Corporate bond yields are used to provide a proxy for the appropriate discount rates for lease income. Since liabilities are quite diverse, a number of proxies are suggested as discount and capitalisation rates including indexed-linked, fixed interest and zero-coupon bonds.

O método das opções reais aplicado na avaliação das oportunidades de investimento no setor de seguros

Esta dissertação tem como objetivo demonstrar a validade do método de análise da avaliação das oportunidades de investimentos que utiliza a Teoria das Opções Reais. De forma a demonstrar a aplicabilidade desta metodologia de avaliação, será exemplificado, com base no modelo das opções reais, uma oportunidade de investimento no setor de seguros. As opções reais fecham a brecha entre as finanças e o planejamento estratégico introduzindo um meio para incorporar o impacto da incerteza implícita nas oportunidades de investimento, e ao mesmo tempo considerando como as ações gerenciais podem limitar as possíveis perdas ou capitalizar os possíveis ganhos nos projetos de investimento. Este processo de avaliação não direciona somente os administradores a focar suas atenções nas diferentes oportunidades e alternativas estratégicas, mas fornece também uma metodologia sistemática para medir a influencia das ações contingentes sobre o próprio risco e valor do projeto. Os métodos tradicionais de avaliação dos investimentos assumem que os administradores adotem um comportamento passivo à implementação dos projetos, considerando somente o valor dos fluxos de caixa esperados dos mesmos. A partir da teoria de precificação das opções financeiras, as opções reais expandem o valor global do projeto incorporando os potenciais ganhos e limitando as possíveis perdas. O modelo de opções reais permite aos administradores alavancar o valor do acionista em um ambiente de negócios dinâmico considerando a possibilidade de uma gestão ótima das opções estratégicas e operacionais existentes. Tipicamente, o ativo subjacente é o valor bruto dos fluxos de caixa esperados do projeto, mas considerando a incerteza, o valor total do projeto deve considerar o valor implícito das opções reais presentes nas oportunidades de investimento. A flexibilidade gerencial, que permite adaptar as decisões futuras as mudanças inesperadas do mercado, representa um fonte crucial de valor agregado em um ambiente dinâmico. Muitas opções reais presentes nos projetos e que interagem entre si, podem ocorrer em paralelo ou seqüencialmente, de maneira que o valor combinado destas opções seja diferente da simples soma algébrica das opções individuais.

Viabilidade econômica para produção de mel em propriedade familiar

Em 2009, o Brasil quebrou o seu recorde de exportação de mel, gerando receita superior a US$ 65 milhões. Entretanto, existe uma lacuna nos aspectos econômicos, para grande parte dos apicultores inseridos nesta cadeia. Desta forma, levantou-se o investimento necessário para a produção de mel, em uma propriedade familiar de Cajuru (SP), com estimativas de investimento e custos de produção baseados no Custo Operacional Total (COT) utilizado pelo Instituto de Economia Agrícola, obtendo-se R$ 97.093,00 como valor total do investimento. Para a análise econômica, avaliando-se a produção de mel originária de flor de laranjeira e silvestre, o custo operacional total foi de R$ 16.400,13, considerando-se que as despesas com insumos perfizeram 70% do Custo Operacional Efetivo (COE) e 26% do COT, obtendo-se índice de lucratividade de 46%. em relação ao ponto de nivelamento, o apicultor precisa produzir 4.659 kg de mel, ou vender ao preço mínimo de R$ 1,93/kg a produção obtida, para cobrir os custos. Constatou-se, com base no fluxo de caixa, TIR de 7,24% e que o investimento inicial retorna em 10 anos, mostrando resultados atrativos para este segmento agropecuário, considerando-se a racionalidade de uso dos fatores de produção, bem como um aumento progressivo na quantidade produzida.

Capital flows to Latin America: fourth quarter 2003

Includes bibliography

Conditional performance evaluation and the relevance of money flows for Australian international equity funds

This paper assesses the importance of fund flows in the performance evaluation of Australian international equity funds. Two concepts of fund flows are considered in the context of a conditional asset pricing model. The first measure is net fund flow relative to fund size and the second is net fund flow relative to sector flows. We find that incorporating a fund flow measure relative to the sector flow results in a reduction of measured perverse market timing. The results indicate that, at the individual fund level, cash flows are relevant in assessing management outcomes.

A cash flow-kimutatás szabályozásainak nemzetközi összehasonlítása és csoportosítása (International comparison and classification of Cash Flow Statement regulations)

Az egyes nemzetek számviteli szabályozásának vizsgálatánál az adott ország sajátosságaiból eredően részben eltérő szabályozások alakultak ki. Az induktív megközelítésű vizsgálatok jellemzően a szabályozási kérdések széles körét fogják át, de csak néhány tényező mentén közelítve. A cash flow-kimutatások témakörénél a legtöbbször csak azt nézték, hogy van-e előírás a kimutatás elkészítésére, de a részletekkel már kevésbé foglalkoztak. Ebből adódóan e területen viszonylag kis különbséget mutattak ki ezek a felmérések. A szerző kutatása szerint a nemzeti cash flow-kimutatások szabályozásának részleteiben eltérések tapasztalhatók, és ezek alapján a nemzetek klaszterelemzéssel hierarchikusan csoportokba rendezhetők. _____ Research has found that as a result of their particularities, different countries have established partly different accounting frameworks. Studies with inductive approaches typically encompass a wide range of regulatory issues, but based on a limited number of factors only. In the case of Statements of Cash Flows, most studies have so far only examined the existence of rules governing the presentation of the statement, without an in-depth analysis of the details. Therefore, these studies only found relatively minor differences in this field. The author’s research shows that many differences exist in the details of national Cash Flow Statement regulations, which makes it possible to classify the countries in groups using the method of hierarchical clustering.

How much is corporate cash-pooling worth? Modelling and simulation

The paper analyzes a special corporate banking product, the so called cash-pool, which gained remarkable popularity in the recent years as firms try to centralize and manage their liquidity more efficiently. The novelty of this paper is the formalization of a valuation model which can serve as a basis for a Monte Carlo simulation to assess the most important benefits of the firms arising from the pooling of their cash holdings. The literature emphasizes several benefits of cash-pooling such as interest rate savings, economy of scale and reduced cash-flow volatility. The presented model focuses on the interest rate savings complemented with a new aspect: the reduced counterparty risk toward the bank. The main conclusion of the analysis is that the value of a cash-pool is higher in case of firms with large, diverse and volatile cash-flows having less access to the capital markets especially if the partner bank is risky and offers a high interest spread. It is also shown that cash-pooling is not the privilege of large multinational firms any more as the initial direct costs can be easily regained within a year even in the case of SMEs.

Relationship between Changes in Cash Flow and Investments in Publicy Traded Restaurant Firms in the United States

This research investigated the relationship between investments in fixed assets and free cash flows of U.S. restaurant firms while controlling for future investment opportunities and financial constraints. It also investigated investment and cash-flow sensitivity in the context of economic conditions. Results suggested that investments in small firms (with higher financial constraints) had relatively weaker sensitivity to cash flows than investments in large firms (with higher sensitivity). Controlling for economic conditions did not significantly change results. While the debate over sensitivity of investments to cash flows remains unresolved, it has not been explored widely in industry contexts, especially in services such as the restaurant industry. In addition to its contribution to this literature, this paper provides implications for cash-flow management in publicly traded restaurant companies.