Essays in environmental economic valuation and decision making in the presence of an environmental disaster

The first essay developed a respondent model of Bayesian updating for a double-bound dichotomous choice (DB-DC) contingent valuation methodology. I demonstrated by way of data simulations that current DB-DC identifications of true willingness-to-pay (WTP) may often fail given this respondent Bayesian updating context. Further simulations demonstrated that a simple extension of current DB-DC identifications derived explicitly from the Bayesian updating behavioral model can correct for much of the WTP bias. Additional results provided caution to viewing respondents as acting strategically toward the second bid. Finally, an empirical application confirmed the simulation outcomes. The second essay applied a hedonic property value model to a unique water quality (WQ) dataset for a year-round, urban, and coastal housing market in South Florida, and found evidence that various WQ measures affect waterfront housing prices in this setting. However, the results indicated that this relationship is not consistent across any of the six particular WQ variables used, and is furthermore dependent upon the specific descriptive statistic employed to represent the WQ measure in the empirical analysis. These results continue to underscore the need to better understand both the WQ measure and its statistical form homebuyers use in making their purchase decision. The third essay addressed a limitation to existing hurricane evacuation modeling aspects by developing a dynamic model of hurricane evacuation behavior. A household's evacuation decision was framed as an optimal stopping problem where every potential evacuation time period prior to the actual hurricane landfall, the household's optimal choice is to either evacuate, or to wait one more time period for a revised hurricane forecast. A hypothetical two-period model of evacuation and a realistic multi-period model of evacuation that incorporates actual forecast and evacuation cost data for my designated Gulf of Mexico region were developed for the dynamic analysis. Results from the multi-period model were calibrated with existing evacuation timing data from a number of hurricanes. Given the calibrated dynamic framework, a number of policy questions that plausibly affect the timing of household evacuations were analyzed, and a deeper understanding of existing empirical outcomes in regard to the timing of the evacuation decision was achieved.

Essays in Environmental Economic Valuation and Decision Making in the Presence of an Environmental Disaster

The first essay developed a respondent model of Bayesian updating for a double-bound dichotomous choice (DB-DC) contingent valuation methodology. I demonstrated by way of data simulations that current DB-DC identifications of true willingness-to-pay (WTP) may often fail given this respondent Bayesian updating context. Further simulations demonstrated that a simple extension of current DB-DC identifications derived explicitly from the Bayesian updating behavioral model can correct for much of the WTP bias. Additional results provided caution to viewing respondents as acting strategically toward the second bid. Finally, an empirical application confirmed the simulation outcomes. The second essay applied a hedonic property value model to a unique water quality (WQ) dataset for a year-round, urban, and coastal housing market in South Florida, and found evidence that various WQ measures affect waterfront housing prices in this setting. However, the results indicated that this relationship is not consistent across any of the six particular WQ variables used, and is furthermore dependent upon the specific descriptive statistic employed to represent the WQ measure in the empirical analysis. These results continue to underscore the need to better understand both the WQ measure and its statistical form homebuyers use in making their purchase decision. The third essay addressed a limitation to existing hurricane evacuation modeling aspects by developing a dynamic model of hurricane evacuation behavior. A household’s evacuation decision was framed as an optimal stopping problem where every potential evacuation time period prior to the actual hurricane landfall, the household’s optimal choice is to either evacuate, or to wait one more time period for a revised hurricane forecast. A hypothetical two-period model of evacuation and a realistic multi-period model of evacuation that incorporates actual forecast and evacuation cost data for my designated Gulf of Mexico region were developed for the dynamic analysis. Results from the multi-period model were calibrated with existing evacuation timing data from a number of hurricanes. Given the calibrated dynamic framework, a number of policy questions that plausibly affect the timing of household evacuations were analyzed, and a deeper understanding of existing empirical outcomes in regard to the timing of the evacuation decision was achieved.

Prickly pear land : transnational networks in settler Australia

The story of prickly pear in Australia is usually told as a tale of triumphant scientific intervention into an environmental disaster. Instead, this unarticle considers it as a transnational network in order to better understand the myriad of elements that made this event so important. Through this methodology emerges the complex nature of prickly pear land that included people, places, ideas, rhetoric and objects that traveled from all over the world into settler Australia.

Experiences of resettled refugees during the 2011 Queensland floods

With projected climatic changes it is expected that refugees and other forced migrants will increasingly spend protracted amounts of time in transit countries or will resettle in locations that experience ecological vulnerability. A submission to the Queensland Floods Commission Inquiry 2011 by MDA reported that the floods displaced about 70 refugee client families and that 30 families had ongoing complex needs at the time of the submission. The findings reported in this chapter are derived from a follow-up of a cohort of men from refugee backgrounds who participated in the 2008–10 SettleMEN project. The chapter provides an insight into the experiences of refugee migrants who experience environmental disaster in a site of settlement

Displaced twice? Talking about resilience with a cohort of men from refugee backgrounds who were affected by the 2011 Queensland floods

What can we learn from people from refugee backgrounds who have been affected by an environmental disaster? This paper presents the first year findings of a study that is investigating the impact of the 2011 Queensland floods on a cohort of men from refugee backgrounds living in Brisbane and the Toowoom- ba–Gatton region of Southeast Queensland. Between 2008 and 2010, the SettleMEN study yielded pre-disaster measures of health and settlement among 233 refugee men. The current 2012−2013 follow-up study offers a rare opportunity to investigate and describe the impact of an environmental disaster on the health and wellbeing of a group of resettled refugee men who were affected by the 2011 Queensland floods. Using a mixed-method approach and a peer interviewer model, this paper reports on the exposure to and impact of the floods on the first 100 respondents who were interviewed between September 2012 and March 2013. Overall, we have found that the floods had a considerable economic and psychosocial impact on this group of men, their families and communities in terms of being forced to evacuate their homes, work disrup- tion, loss of income and personal belongings, and emotional distress. Many of these men reported that their previous refugee experience helped them to cope better during and after the floods, and for some, providing assistance to others during the floods impacted positively on their relationship with their neighbours. These findings challenge the Western deficits model that defines former refugees as traumatised victims. Refugee people’s strengths and capabilities should be taken into consideration when developing disaster response strategies at the neighbourhood and community levels.

Population genetics of the frog-killing fungus Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis

Global amphibian decline by chytridiomycosis is a major environmental disaster that has been attributed to either recent fungal spread or environmental change that promotes disease. Here, we present a population genetic comparison of Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis isolates from an intensively studied region of frog decline, the Sierra Nevada of California. In support of a novel pathogen, we find low diversity, no amphibian-host specificity, little correlation between fungal genotype and geography, local frog extirpation by a single fungal genotype, and evidence of human-assisted fungus migration. In support of endemism, at a local scale, we find some diverse, recombining populations. Therefore neither epidemic spread nor endemism alone explains this particular amphibian decline. Recombination raises the possibility of resistant sporangia and a mechanism for rapid spread as well as persistence that could greatly complicate global control of the pathogen.

Thermally induced evolution of phase transformations in gas hydrate sediment

Thermally induced evolution of phase transformations is a basic physical-chemical process in the dissociation of gas hydrate in sediment (GHS). Heat transfer leads to the weakening of the bed soil and the simultaneous establishment of a time varying stress field accompanied by seepage of fluids and deformation of the soil. As a consequence, ground failure could occur causing engineering damage or/and environmental disaster. This paper presents a simplified analysis of the thermal process by assuming that thermal conduction can be decoupled from the flow and deformation process. It is further assumed that phase transformations take place instantaneously. Analytical and numerical results are given for several examples of simplified geometry. Experiments using Tetra-hydro-furan hydrate sediments were carried out in our laboratory to check the theory. By comparison, the theoretical, numerical and experimental results on the evolution of dissociation fronts and temperature in the sediment are found to be in good agreement.

Newly Automated System For Integrated Assessment Of The Conditions Of Underwater Gas Pipelines

An underwater gas pipeline is the portion of the pipeline that crosses a river beneath its bottom. Underwater gas pipelines are subject to increasing dangers as time goes by. An accident at an underwater gas pipeline can lead to technological and environmental disaster on the scale of an entire region. Therefore, timely troubleshooting of all underwater gas pipelines in order to prevent any potential accidents will remain a pressing task for the industry. The most important aspect of resolving this challenge is the quality of the automated system in question. Now the industry doesn't have any automated system that fully meets the needs of the experts working in the field maintaining underwater gas pipelines. Principle Aim of this Research: This work aims to develop a new system of automated monitoring which would simplify the process of evaluating the technical condition and decision making on planning and preventive maintenance and repair work on the underwater gas pipeline. Objectives: Creation a shared model for a new, automated system via IDEF3; Development of a new database system which would store all information about underwater gas pipelines; Development a new application that works with database servers, and provides an explanation of the results obtained from the server; Calculation of the values MTBF for specified pipelines based on quantitative data obtained from tests of this system. Conclusion: The new, automated system PodvodGazExpert has been developed for timely and qualitative determination of the physical conditions of underwater gas pipeline; The basis of the mathematical analysis of this new, automated system uses principal component analysis method; The process of determining the physical condition of an underwater gas pipeline with this new, automated system increases the MTBF by a factor of 8.18 above the existing system used today in the industry.

Mídia impressa e meio ambiente: um estudo da cobertura da mortandade de peixes no estuário do Rio Potengi, Natal-RN

Environmental issues are becoming increasingly habitual to the media, particularly when calamities are involved. A feature of environmental disasters is that they disclose both environmental crises and the media limitation in reporting them. The research tried to contribute to the subject through the study of press media coverage of a large fish kill along an estuary in the State of Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil, in 2007. Thematic content analysis of newspaper reports identified the predominance of a superficial and denunciative coverage, lacking an educational perspective, and with little contribution to formation of a critical sense in readers. It also has identified the precarious treatment of those scientific concepts that could substantiate the actual causes of mortality of tons of aquatic fauna

Estudo da dinâmica costeira da região da foz do rio Piranhas-Açu para geração de mapas de sensibilidade do litoral ao derramamento de óleo

The study area is located in the northern coast of Rio Grande do Norte State comprising the mouth of Açu-Piranhas river including the cities of Porto do Mangue e Areia Branca. The local geological setting comprises Cretaceous, Tertiary and Quaternary geological units of the Potiguar Basin. One is about a region of high morphologic instability due to action of the rigorous dynamic coastal processes, beyond the intense human activities mainly for the performance of the petroliferous industry, salt farms and tanks of shrimp industry.For the accomplishment of this work Landsat 5 TM and Landsat 7 ETM + from four distinct dates were used as cartographic base, in which one applied techniques of digital processing to elaborate thematic maps of the existing natural resources to support the geologic and geomorphologic characterization and the soil and landuse maps. The strategy applied was the interpretation of multitemporal images from aerial and orbital remote sensors alIied to the terrain truth recognition, integrated through a Geographic Information System. These activities had alIowed the production of Sensitivity Maps of the Coast to Oil Spilling for the area, on the basis of the Coastal Sensibility Index. Taking into account the seasons were created maps to distinct datas: July 2003 represents the winter months that presented a sensibility lower when compared with the month of December 2003. For the summer months greater sensitivity is due to the hydrodynamic data that suggest a lesser capacity of natural cleanness of the oil and its derivatives in spilling case.These outcomes are an important and useful database to support an assessment to a risk situation and to taking decision in the face of an environmental disaster with oil spilling in coastal area, alIowing a complete visualization of the area and identifying all portions in the area with thei environmental units and respective Coastal Sensibility Index.

Geochemical Assessment of a Subtropical Reservoir: A Case Study in Curitiba, Southern Brazil

Suspended particles and dissolved substances in water provide reactive surfaces, influence metabolic activity and contribute to the net sediment deposition. It therefore plays an important part in the ecology and quality of the water mass. The water quality in reservoirs is crucial and it is naturally maintained by flushing and sedimentation, which continuously remove phosphorus from the water. In some reservoirs, however, these removal processes are countered by recycling of ions which could play a key role to start and/or maintain the eutrophic state. The combination of macro-, trace- and microanalysis techniques can be useful to trace pollution sources through a chemical fingerprint, whether be during an acute environmental disaster or a long-term release of pollutants. The water quality and total metal content of reservoir sediments were assessed in a reservoir, situated in the capital of the Parana State, in the South-Eastern part of Brazil. The goal of this paper was to determine the metal presence in the sediment and metal and ionic speciation in the Green River reservoir water. Water and bed sediment samples, collected from various sites during 2008 and 2009, were investigated using XRF, ICP-OES, ICP-MS, XRD and zeta potential measurements. Based on the results, the heavy metal concentration and chemical composition of the suspended matter in the water samples, as well as the sediment's chemical composition will be discussed.

A pesca artesanal da frota de Mosqueiro (Belém - Pará) e o uso do ambiente pela dourada (Brachyplatystoma rousseauxii-Castelnau, 1855)

Dentre os entrepostos pesqueiros artesanais do estuário Amazônico, a ilha de Mosqueiro, localizada ao sul da Baía do Marajó, tem importância na atividade pesqueira do Estado e por estar próximo de um terminal de cargas (Terminal de Miramar), a iminência de um desastre ambiental é constante. Entretanto, não existem informações detalhadas sobre a produção pesqueira nesta área e nem tão pouco do uso que espécies com importância comercial desembarcadas na ilha, como a dourada (Brachyplatystoma rousseauxii), utilizam este ambiente. Com o objetivo de descrever a atividade pesqueira e o uso do ambiente pela dourada, foram acompanhados os desembarques na ponte do Cajueiro (Mosqueiro) no período de dezembro de 2005 a novembro de 2006. Adicionalmente foram realizados cadastros das embarcações pesqueiras utilizando-se fichas especializadas e coletores treinados da própria comunidade. O índice de abundância relativa CPUE kg/viagem) foi utilizado para identificação da concentração das espécies mais importantes e seu período de safra, dinâmica da frota, principais pesqueiros e renda. Quanto à dourada, 30 exemplares foram coletados junto à pesca comercial de Mosqueiro no período de dezembro de 2005 a agosto de 2006. Os exemplares foram pesados e medidos e as gônadas foram retiradas com o objetivo de se avaliar o uso do ambiente para reprodução. Foram cadastradas 128 embarcações pesqueiros sendo os barcos de pequeno porte os mais representativos seguidos das canoas motorizadas. Observaram-se diferenças tecnológicas entre as categorias de embarcações, exceto quanto ao comprimento do barco, produção média mensal e a capacidade da urna. As embarcações de médio porte apresentaram maior número de tripulantes e dias pescando, contudo realizam menor número de viagens por mês em relação às outras categorias. As redes de emalhar são as artes de pesca mais utilizadas na área, sendo as malhas de maior ocorrência as de 50, 60 e 70 mm (entre nós opostos). Os barcos de médio porte possuem os maiores comprimentos de rede em relação às outras categorias. As principais espécies capturadas foram a pescada branca (Plagioscion squamosissimus), a pescada curuca (Plagioscion urinamensis), a dourada (Brachyplatystoma rousseauxii) e a sarda (Pellona spp.). Durante o período de estudo, as embarcações da ponte do Cajueiro atuaram principalmente em pesqueiros próximos a ilha de Mosqueiro durante o período de safra das principais espécies (de maio a dezembro) e se deslocando para a região de Marudá durante a entresafra (janeiro a abril) seguindo, principalmente, os cardumes de dourada. Os períodos de maior abundância relativa foram o primeiro e quarto trimestre para as canoas motorizadas e os barcos de pequeno porte respectivamente. Os pesqueiros de Ponta Fina e Areia do Cotijuba apresentaram as maiores abundâncias relativas anuais com a captura principal de dourada e pescada curuca, respectivamente. A dourada foi regular durante todo o ano com maior abundância em Ponta Fina e em dezembro. A pescada curuca apresentou maior abundância em Areia do Cotijuba e pico ocorrendo no mês de setembro enquanto que a pescada branca apresentou maior abundância em Marudá (98kg/viagem) com pico ocorrendo em setembro. A sarda ocorreu com abundância em Enseada e pico em junho. Na ilha de Mosqueiro foi estimada uma produção de aproximadamente 1.000 toneladas de peixes capturados, gerando uma renda aproximada de R$ 3 milhões para o distrito. Os barcos de pequeno porte contribuíram com 42% da produção total e com 61% da renda. A pescada branca contribuiu com 26% da produção total e a dourada contribuiu com 35% da renda, sendo considerada o recurso mais rentável na ilha. Quanto à dourada, os indivíduos amostrados mediam de 27 a 100 cm de comprimento total, sendo a maior ocorrência de indivíduos ocorrendo na classe de 50 a 60 cm. A proporção sexual foi favorável as fêmeas (1:2,2 macho:fêmea) que foram mais numerosas na maioria das classes de comprimento e em todos os meses, exceto em fevereiro. Á área de mosqueiro não se configura como uma área de reprodução para a espécie, mas caracteriza-se como uma área de berçário e alimentação. No caso de um possível desastre ambiental acarretaria uma perda de aproximadamente 1.000 toneladas de pescado e de uma renda de R$ 3 milhões no setor pesqueiro da ilha de Mosqueiro. Adicionalmente, um impacto ambiental nesta área poderia afetar principalmente a população jovem de dourada causando assim efeitos danosos à longo prazo no que se diz respeito à captura e rentabilidade da área.

Pesca e ictiofauna na área adjacente ao terminal de Vila do Conde - Pará, Brasil

O município de Barcarena – PA está localizado ao sul da Baía de Marajó. Esta região é um importante pólo industrial e apesar da importância da pesca e do perigo de um impacto ambiental, não há nenhum estudo aprofundado sobre a pesca e ictiofauna na região. Com o objetivo de descrever a atividade pesqueira e a ictiofauna na região de Barcarena, os desembarques foram acompanhados no mercado municipal de Barcarena e na Praia do Conde de dezembro de 2005 a novembro de 2006. Adicionalmente foram realizados cadastros das embarcações pesqueiras utilizando-se fichas especializadas e coletores treinados da própria comunidade. O índice de abundância relativa CPUE (kg/viagem) foi utilizado para identificação da concentração das espécies mais importantes e seu período de safra, sazonalidade de ocorrência das embarcações, artes de pesca e principais pesqueiros. Foram cadastradas 74 embarcações pesqueiras, sendo dominantes os barcos de pequeno porte Observaram-se diferenças tecnológicas entre as embarcações dos dois locais de desembarque, exceto quando considerado o comprimento entre as categorias. As embarcações do mercado possuíram maior número de tripulantes, dias pescando e produção média de pescado por mês. As embarcações de Vila do Conde utilizam principalmente espinhel, enquanto que as do mercado utilizam principalmente rede de emalhar. Durante todo o ano de 2006, as embarcações de Vila do Conde atuaram da Ilha do Capim até o furo do Arrozal, enquanto que as embarcações do mercado atuaram de Cutaju a Cotijuba. As embarcações seguiram o padrão de safra das espécies comerciais que foram a dourada (Brachyplatystoma rousseauxii), pescada branca (Plagioscion squamosissimus), filhote (Brachyplatystoma filamentosum) e sarda (Pellona flavipinnis e P. castelnaeana). A CPUE das embarcações do mercado foi de 19 kg/viagem e para as de Vila do Conde foi de 11 kg/viagem. O período de safra vai de outubro a maio na área adjacente ao terminal de Vila do Conde com pico no primeiro trimestre. A rede de emalhar possui CPUE maior que o espinhel. A principal espécie capturada pela rede de emalhar é a pescada branca e pelo espinhel é a dourada. A CPUE das embarcações não motorizadas é menor que das motorizadas. A dourada foi regular e abundante durante todo o ano para toda a área de estudo não apresentando diferença entre as artes de pesca, trimestres e pesqueiros. O filhote ocorreu com abundância de outubro a março com pico em janeiro, capturada principalmente com espinhel e o seu principal pesqueiro foi Cutaju com 55 kg/viagem. A pescada branca foi regular e abundante durante todo o ano. Esta espécie foi capturada principalmente com rede de emalhar, sendo que o pesqueiro com maior CPUE foi Carnapijó. A sarda ocorreu de outubro a maio com pico em outubro, capturada principalmente pelas embarcações de Vila do Conde com rede de emalhar, sendo o principal pesqueiro Estacamento. Estimou-se uma produção de mais de 200 toneladas de peixes capturados em Barcarena gerando R$ 724.431,00 de renda para o município. A dourada participou com 31% da produção total e 46% da renda. O mês de outubro foi o mais produtivo com 23% da produção e 15% da renda e o Barco de Pequeno Porte participou com 37% da produção e 41% da renda.

A proteção dos \"Refugiados Ambientais\" no Direito Internacional

Refugiados ambientais são refugiados não convencionais e são migrantes forçados, interna ou internacionalmente, temporária ou permanentemente, em situação de vulnerabilidade e que se veem obrigados a deixar sua morada habitual por motivos ambientais de início lento ou de início rápido, causados por motivos naturais, antropogênicos ou pela combinação de ambos. Embora não existam reconhecimento e proteção específica para esses migrantes no direito internacional em escala global, alguns instrumentos jurídicos regionais e leis nacionais assim o fazem. Argumenta-se, nesta tese de doutorado, que os refugiados ambientais possuem modos de proteção geral em certas áreas do direito internacional e que as possibilidades atuais e futuras de proteção específica podem ser encontradas nas fontes primárias do direito internacional, indicadas no artigo 38(1) do Estatuto da Corte Internacional de Justiça. Foram identificadas sete vias de proteção dos refugiados ambientais no direito internacional e no direito interno estatal: (i) a via da ação humanitária, (ii) a via da proteção complementar, (iii) a via da legislação nacional, (iv) a via da justiça climática, (v) a via da responsabilidade compartilhada, (vi) a via da judicialização do refúgio ambiental e (vii) a via do tratado internacional. Sugere-se, ainda, o estabelecimento de uma governança migratória-ambiental global baseada nos regimes internacionais e na ação dos atores nos níveis local, nacional, regional e internacional para a execução das formas de proteção e para o atendimento das necessidades dos refugiados ambientais no mundo.

Environmental value, valuation methods, and natural disaster damage assessment

Includes bibliography