The determinants of IMF fiscal conditionalities: economics or politics?

Conditionalites, measures that a borrowing country should adopt to obtain loans from the IMF, are pervasive in IMF programs. This paper estimates the effects of political and economic factors on the number of conditionalities and on the fiscal adjustment requested by the IMF. As found in the literature, political proximity of the borrowing country to the Fund’s major shareholders has an important effect on the number of conditions in an agreement. However, the fiscal adjusment requested by the IMF is strongly affected by the size of a country’s fiscal deficit but not by political proximity. We also find a very small correlation between the number of conditions and the fiscal adjustment requested by the IMF

Programa Bolsa Família e as Condicionalidades de Saúde: percepções de beneficiários do município do Rio de Janeiro

Esta dissertação tem como objeto de estudo a política de combate à pobreza brasileira o Programa Bolsa Família e adota como estratégia para discussão do tema uma postura qualitativa. O PBF é uma política de transferência condicionada de renda que se insere no cenário internacional, em um momento de expansão da utilização da renda mínima, e no contexto nacional, no movimento de reformulação nas políticas de combate à pobreza brasileiras. Como principais características desta política se destacam a unificação de programas anteriores, a focalização como princípio, a abrangência nacional, e a contrapartida como via de acesso a direitos sociais básicos. O objetivo do estudo reside em discutir criticamente o Programa Bolsa Família do Governo Federal, buscando identificar algumas das possibilidades e contradições nele existentes, a partir das percepções de seus beneficiários freqüentadores de unidades de saúde do município do Rio de Janeiro, sobre o PBF e suas condicionalidades de saúde. Para tal, foram realizadas entrevistas semi-estruturadas com estes beneficiários, além de observação participante nas unidades de saúde onde foi realizada a construção do material da pesquisa. Os dois principais eixos de análise giraram em torno das representações sociais dos entrevistados sobre o programa em si e suas condicionalidades de saúde. Levantamos como principais categorias teóricas/analíticas para trabalhar o material da pesquisa: a contradição, o consenso e as representações sociais. Já a partir da análise do material, elencamos como categorias de conteúdo a ajuda enquanto dimensão do benefício, a organização dos serviços de saúde e a relação construída com as condicionalidades. Foi percebido diante de vários elementos do programa que um dos pontos frágeis desta política reside na concretização da dimensão estruturante prevista por ela. Identifica-se que é preciso reestruturar modelos de construção das propostas se a provisão de políticas de cunho estruturante é um objetivo mais amplo desta política de transferência de renda.

Sistemas de Avaliação Profissional no âmbito da Contratualização da Gestão na Atenção Primária à Saúde

O objeto desse estudo foi a análise dos processos de avaliação de desempenho e contratualização da gestão para profissionais de saúde na Atenção Primária à Saúde. Para tanto, após revisão de literatura nacional e internacional optou-se por um estudo de caso em Portugal, com a finalidade de conhecer a trajetória da reforma da atenção primária no país, sua estrutura organizacional e as ferramentas de gestão utilizadas para avaliação de desempenho nas Unidades de Saúde Familiar (USF). Esse estudo possibilitou o aprofundamento das discussões sobre os processos que vem sendo instituídos para atenção primária no Brasil, como o programa nacional de melhoria do acesso e qualidade na atenção básica (PMAQ- AB). Desta forma, os objetivos do estudo foram: analisar o contexto geral e as condicionalidades de implantação do sistema de avaliação profissional na APS, identificar os fatores facilitadores e limitantes da gestão, identificar as ferramentas de monitoramento e a percepção dos dirigentes sobre o processo. Trata-se de estudo com abordagem qualitativa, de natureza descritiva, com investigação narrativa, bibliográfica e documental. A pesquisa de campo em Portugal foi realizada através de entrevistas com aplicação de questionário semi-estruturado aos diretores executivos, coordenadores de USF, representantes do conselho clínico e unidade de apoio à gestão nos Agrupamentos de Centros de Saúde (ACES) selecionados. Como resultados, o trabalho aponta que uma nova estrutura de coordenação das unidades de saúde com a descentralização dos serviços, requerendo maior autonomia por parte dos gestores e profissionais de saúde, com enfoque no planejamento estratégico, aliados ao fortalecimento da capacidade de gestão dos dirigentes e regulamentação de um sistema de avaliação, tem contribuído para fortalecer o gerenciamento na APS. Aponta-se como fatores positivos do sistema de avaliação profissional, a redução na despesa pública com a utilização da gestão por objetivos, introdução da governança clínica, o trabalho em equipe, e uma maior responsabilização e motivação dos profissionais. Conclui-se que as experiências com sistemas de avaliação profissional e contratualização na APS apresentam um conjunto de recomendações que poderão beneficiar a evolução da reforma e melhoria do PMAQ no Brasil, considerando-se ainda sua fase inicial.

Water privatisation

The article examines the expansion of private water companies since 1989 the withdrawal from developing countries from 2003 onwards, and the economic impact of privatisation. The analysis is set in the context of the historical development of water services in the north and the south, showing that the role of private water companies since the start of the 20th century has been historically limited and exceptional. The impact of water privatisation is considered in relation to the issues of investment, prices, and efficiency, drawing on empirical evidence from the north and developing countries in Asia, Africa and Latin America. Particular attention is given to France and the UK, where private water companies, for different reasons, are most established. The evidence from both north and south shows systematic underinvestment, monopoly pricing, regulatory gaming, and no significant efficiency differences between public and private sector operators. In conclusion, the article identifies institutional policies including fiscal constraints and lending conditionalities as key drivers of privatisation, and questions whether these can sustain privatisation in the water sector where historical experience indicates it is an inappropriate solution.

Fiscal adjustment, conditionality and politics in IMF programs

A common feature in programs of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is the use of conditionalities, macroeconomic and structural measures that a requesting country should adopt to obtain an assistance package. The objective of this work is to conduct an empirical analysis of the economic and political determinants of such conditionalities. In particular, our main contribution consists in the development of a new measure of conditionality, fiscal adjustment, and its comparison with the most used in the literature, the number of conditions. We choose fiscal adjustment because it is an adequate proxy for program austerity, since its implementation carries economic and political costs. In the empirical exercise, we use data from 184 programs in the period of 1999 and 2012, and estimate how our two measures of conditionalities respond to the economic and political factors. Our results suggest that they are quite different. The main determinant of the number of conditions is the political proximity of the borrowing country to the Fund’s major shareholders, the members of G5. On the other hand, the main determinant of fiscal adjustment is the size of the government fiscal deficit. Finally, we did not find correlation between the size of fiscal adjustment and the number of conditions. These results suggest that the analysis of the content of IMF programs should take into account the different measures of agreed conditionality.

On impatience, education, returns, and inequality

In this paper we investiga te the impact of initial wealth anel impatience heterogeneities, as wcll as differential access to financia! markets on povcrty anel inequality, anel cvaluate some mechanisms that could be used to alleviate situations in which these two issues are alarming. To address our qucstion we develop a dynamic stochastic general cquilibrium modo! of educational anel savings choicc with heterogeneous agents, where individuais differ in their initial wealth anel in their discount factor. We find that, in the long run, more patient households tend to be wealthier anel more educated. However, our baseline model is not able to give as much skewness to our income distribution as it is rcquircd. We then propose a novel returns structure based on empírica! observation of heterogeneous returns to different portfolios. This modification solves our previous problem, evidencing the importance of the changes made in explaining the existing levels of inequality. Finally, we introducc two kinds of cash transfers programs- one in which receiving thc benefit is conditional on educating the household's youngster (CCTS) anel one frec of conditionalities (CTS) - in order to evaluate the impact of these programs on the variables of concern1 Wc fine! that both policies have similar qualitativo rcsults. Quantitatively, howcvcr, the CCTS outperforms its unconclitional version in all fielcls analyzecl, revealing itself to be a preferable policy.

O novo federalismo social e o Rio: desenho de programas complementares de transferência de renda condicionada

Brazilian public policy entered in the so-called new social federalism through its conditional cash transfers. States and municipalities can operate together through the nationwide platform of the Bolsa Familia Program (BFP), complementing federal actions with local innovations. The state and the city of Rio de Janeiro have created programs named, respectively, Renda Melhor (RM) and Família Carioca (FC). These programs make use of the operational structure of the BFP, which facilitates locating beneficiaries, issuing cards, synchronizing payment dates and access passwords and introducing new conditionalities. The payment system of the two programs complements the estimated permanent household income up to the poverty line established, giving more to those who have less. Similar income complementation system was subsequently adopted in the BFP and the Chilean Ingreso Ético Familiar, which also follow the principle of estimation of income used in the FC and in the RM. Instead of using the declared income, the value of the Rio cash transfers are set using the extensive collection of information obtained from the Single Registry of Social Programs (Cadastro Único): physical configuration of housing, access to public services, education and work conditions for all family members, presence of vulnerable groups, disabilities, pregnant or lactating women, children and benefits from other official transfers such as the BFP. With this multitude of assets and limitations, the permanent income of each individual is estimated. The basic benefit is defined by the poverty gap and priority is given to the poorest. These subnational programs use international benchmarks as a neutral ground between different government levels and mandates. Their poverty line is the highest of the first millennium goal of the United Nations (UN): US$ 2 per person per day adjusted for the cost of living. The other poverty line of the UN, US$ 1.25, was implicitly adopted as the national extreme poverty line in 2011. The exchange of methodologies between federal entities has happened both ways. The FC began with the 575,000 individuals living in the city of Rio de Janeiro who were on the payroll of the BFP. Its system of impact evaluation benefited from bi-monthly standardized examinations. In the educational conditionalities, the two programs reward students' progress, a potential advantage for those who most need to advance. The municipal program requires greater school attendance than that of the BFP and the presence of students’ parents at the bimonthly meetings held on Saturdays. Students must achieve a grade of 8 or improve at least 20% in each exam to receive a bi-monthly premium of R$50. In early childhood, priority is given to the poor children in the program Single Administrative Register (CadÚnico) to enroll in kindergarten, preschools and complementary activities. The state program reaches more than one million people with a payment system similar to the municipal one. Moreover, it innovates in that it transfers awards given to high school students to savings accounts. The prize increases and is paid to the student, who can withdraw up to 30% annually. The total can reach R$3,800 per low-income student. The State and the city rewarded already education professionals according to student performance, now completing the chain of demand incentives on poor students and their parents. Increased performance is higher among beneficiaries and the presence of their guardians at meetings is twice compared to non beneficiaries; The Houston program, also focuses on aligning the incentives to teachers, parents and students. In general, the plan is to explore strategic complementarities, where the whole is greater than the sum of its parts. The objective is to stimulate, through targets and incentives, synergies between social actors (teachers, parents, students), between areas (education, assistance, work) and different levels of government. The cited programs sum their efforts and divide labor so as to multiply interactions and make a difference in the lives of the poor.

Desenvolvimento e políticas públicas: uma avaliação do PRONAF nos assentamentos de reforma agrária do Rio Grande do Norte

The research DEVELOPMENT AND PUBLIC POLICY: AN EVALUATION OF PRONAF IN THE SETTLEMENTS AGRARIAN REFORM OF RIO GRANDE DO NORTE aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of the National Program for Strengthening Family enhancerelement od development in rural settlements od Rio Grande do Norte. The methodological approach consisted of the completion of desk research and literature on development issues, policies, and rural credit and field research through semi- structured interviews with managers and technicians who work with the program and conducting focus with farmers settles who accessed the PRONAF the period from 2000 to 2006. The survey results confirm the central hypothesis of this work, that acces to PRONAF A is not causing efetivations relevant in the lives of farm workers settlers in Rio Grande do Norte. In the setllements where efetivations these occur, they are short of what the program intends to carry out and rely on a set of conditionalities that are beyond the operational frameworks of the same. Such questions point to the need to revise the program in order to estabilish adjustments that in practice the approach of the proposed objectives. For this purpose it is necessary to invest in factor that contribute to the program has a positive effect not only to increase income, but to contribute to the autonomy of the resettled farmers, expanding its capabilities and increased the power of choise with respect to life who wish to take

Mapa dos programas sociais: transferência de renda e dinâmicas sociais no Rio Grande do Norte (2000-2007)

The question of evaluating the fight against poverty in a given society is very complex task, considering the range of factors that permeate, such as education, culture and economy itself. Come hence the relevance of the theme and its constant presence in discussions on the fruits of public policies, institutional structure and economic development which are the guiding elements of this work, and noted that seeks to highlight the social demographics and most important, the most significant trends and issues pertaining to her. The assessment was initially made in all the municipalities of Rio Grande do Norte doing a verticalilzação to the municipalities Caicó, Pau dos Ferros, Ipueira and Taboleiro Grande. Highlighting the role of a social policy through government programs, such as the Bolsa Familia Program (PBF), which creates the possibility of changes in the socio demographic profile given the importance that the action of this public policy has in shaping the regional economic reality As well as social programs and actions of the government here reported that generate mobility of people and new social demands, such as rural retirements, the benefit of continuing provision (BPC), the Program for the Eradication of Child Labor (PETI) that put on the market of population living on the margins of various forms of consumption. Accordingly, the socio economic profile of the state shows a significant improvement in their social indicators, vital education and redistribution of income, due to the significant improvement in life expectancy in the fall of school drop-out rate and the drop in indicators of Proportion Poor and destitute of the state. Where the fall in the proportion of poor and indigent is strongly associated with an increase in income, from social programs. With this transfer and redistribution of income can be gauged that occurs a strengthening of local economies and an engagement of families with the conditionalities of social programs and PETI Bolsa Familia. Our research concludes that simply raising the rents caused by transfers, presents relevant impacts on the education of young people in beneficiary families. There is no doubt that the programs of transfer income, no facing the social field, representing a mechanism to decrease the most perverse ills of poverty, social and economic inequality that is hungry. For a significant portion of the Brazilian population living below the poverty line, programs for the transfer of income are expressed directly in improving the material conditions of life and indirectly in improving self-esteem of women and all family members receiving encouraging yet the integration family. Experiments have shown that improvements in health and nutrition can be obtained through the implementation of adequate social policies like the programs of transfer income, while social inclusion and economic does not become full

Open regionalism in Asia Pacific and Latin America: a survey of the literature

Includes bibliography

The evolution of structural adjustment and stabilization policy in Jamaica

Includes bibliography

Conditional cash transfer programmes: the recent experience in Latin America and the Caribbean

Includes Bibliography

A presença chinesa nos estados falidos africanos: um olhar sobre o investimento em áreas de conflito

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Financiamento do ensino superior: a captação de recursos externos como instrumento de diferenciação na UFPA

Ao longo de muitos anos os recursos orçamentários destinados às instituições federais de ensino no Brasil vêm se tornando cada vez mais insuficientes para a manutenção e o desenvolvimento do ensino. Diante desse cenário nacional, as IFES foram estimuladas pelo Governo de FHC a buscarem fontes alternativas de recursos em outras empresas públicas e privadas visando amenizar as crises financeiras por estas enfrentadas. Seguindo o que preceitua a Teoria Contingencial, as organizações tiveram que se adaptar aos ambientes externos buscando diversos mecanismos de captação de recursos, sobretudo por meio dos órgãos de fomento, a UFPA se insere nesse cenário. Neste estudo analisa-se o financiamento empreendido na UFPA, no período de 2005 a 2010. Referimo-nos aos recursos advindos do Tesouro/Ministério da Educação (MEC), como também os recursos oriundos de outras fontes adquiridos por meio de captação externa mediante a contribuição de outros órgãos federais e ou empresas privadas. Este trabalho pesquisou os aspectos da contabilidade pública, especificamente financiamento das IFES, com o foco nas verbas de outros custeios e capital (OCC) da UFPA, excluído o grupo de despesa de pessoal. Para esta análise, foi adotada uma abordagem qualitativa, caracterizada como uma pesquisa descritiva, realizada mediante análise de documentos oficiais envolvendo as formas de financiamento na UFPA. Portanto, foram analisadas as condicionalidades financeiras executadas no período supramencionado e que envolveram o processo de financiamento dos programas de ensino, pesquisa e extensão, e buscou-se compreender as aplicações dos recursos resultantes desse processo de financiamento externo como instrumento de diferenciação na UFPA. Deste total de financiamento, 77% representam os Recursos Externos, sendo que a FADESP, gerencia valores bastante consideráveis dentro do cenário de financiamento dos recursos captados, cujos valores vêm colaborando para o cumprimento da missão da UFPA, demonstrando com isso, que eles se relacionam e complementam os recursos advindos do Tesouro/MEC. A captação de recursos na UFPA é bastante expressiva, porém concentrada na área da pesquisa científica, que embora apresente reflexos positivos na UFPA contribuindo para a pesquisa, extensão e graduação, torna-as dependentes de tais recursos. Sendo assim, será necessário constituir uma nova forma de compor as receitas da universidade, captar recursos diretamente na sociedade, diversificando as fontes para que se proporcione suporte econômico à instituição, evitando-se com isso que a universidade vivencie sucateamento gradual de sua infraestrutura e obsolescência de equipamentos, comprometimento de suas ações e, em consequência, sua sustentabilidade não apenas financeira, mas também a econômica, não ficando assim dependente de uma fonte exclusiva de provimento de recursos.

O Programa Bolsa Família: contexto, propostas e seus resultados sobre a educação nos municípios brasileiros entre 2010 e 2012

Pós-graduação em Economia - FCLAR