356 resultados para Speculation.


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Dissertação de Natureza Científica para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Engenharia Civil na Área de Especialização de Edificações

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A política de ordenamento do território tem um papel indispensável na promoção da qualidade dos espaços urbanos e da complementaridade entre os diferentes usos do solo. Contudo, a prossecução destes objetivos tem encontrado vários obstáculos. Esta investigação entende como principal obstáculo o impacto que a especulação imobiliária e o respetivo ciclo de expansão-depressão têm no crescimento dos centros urbanos. O método do “estudo de caso” é aplicado ao município do Entroncamento, onde são evidentes os impactos territoriais resultantes do ciclo imobiliário: (i) excesso de loteamentos com execução residual; (ii) PMOT expansionistas e desfasados da realidade económico-demográfica; e (iii) fragmentação do tecido urbano provocado pelo crescimento em extensão da cidade, com aumento dos custos de manutenção dos equipamentos e infraestruturas. Os impactos referidos são comprovados através do “método da avaliação”, utilizado para averiguar a execução das áreas urbanizáveis projetadas pelos PMOT com apoio complementar de informação obtida junto da CME. A abordagem centrada na escala local é antecedida de uma explicação teórica acerca da formação do ciclo de expansão/depressão, a uma escala macro, onde se percebe a influência da especulação imobiliária na origem da recente crise económico-financeira no mundo ocidental. Por último, são defendidas soluções alternativas, que reforcem o poder de regulação do mercado imobiliário, e consequentemente, contribuam para a minimização dos impactos territoriais analisados. A principal solução é a reformulação do imposto sobre a propriedade (escala macro), com o intuito de centrar a tributação no valor do solo, ao invés do valor da construção. Esta medida desincentiva a retenção especulativa do solo, pelo que beneficia a reabilitação urbana das áreas consolidadas e a respetiva colmatação. Ao mesmo tempo, é uma ferramenta fundamental para alcançar os objetivos do ordenamento do território, pois cria as condições necessárias para planear por antecipação o desenvolvimento futuro dos territórios.

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Evidence concerning the presence or absence of common neuronglia lineages in the postnatal mammalian central nervous system is still a matter of speculation. We address this problem using optic nerve explants, which show an extremely long survival in culture. Morphological, immunocytochemical and immunochemical methods were applied. The results obtained from in vitro tissue were compared with optic nerves (ONs) and whole-brain samples from animals of different ages. Newborn rat ONs represented the starting material of our tissue culture; they are composed of unmyelinated axons, astrocytes and progenitor cells but devoid of neuronal cell bodies. At this age, Western blots of ONs were positively stained by neurofilament and synapsin I specific antibodies. These bands increased in intensity during postnatal in situ development. In explant cultures, the glia cells reach a stage of functional differentiation and they maintain, together with undifferentiated cells, a complex histotypic organization. After 6 days in vitro, neurofilaments and synapsin I could not be detected on immunoblots, indicating that 1) axonal degeneration was completed, and 2) neuronal somata were absent at the time. Surprisingly, after about 4-5 weeks in culture, a new cell type appeared, which showed characteristics typical of neurons. After 406 days in vitro, neurofilaments and synapsin I were unequivocally detectable on Western blots. Furthermore, both immunocytochemical staining and light and electron microscopic examinations corroborated the presence of this earlier-observed cell type. These in vitro results clearly show the high developmental plasticity of ON progenitor cells, even late in development. The existence of a common neuron-glia precursor, which never gives rise to neurons in situ, is suggested.

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Thy-1 is an abundant neuronal glycoprotein of poorly defined function. We recently provided evidence indicating that Thy-1 clusters a beta3-containing integrin in astrocytes to induce tyrosine phosphorylation, RhoA activation and the formation of focal adhesions and stress fibers. To date, the alpha subunit partner of beta3 integrin in DI TNC1 astrocytes is unknown. Similarly, the ability of neuronal, membrane-bound Thy-1 to trigger astrocyte signaling via integrin engagement remains speculation. Here, evidence that alphav forms an alphavbeta3 heterodimer in DI TNC1 astrocytes was obtained. In neuron-astrocyte association assays, the presence of either anti-alphav or anti-beta3 integrin antibodies reduced cell-cell interaction demonstrating the requirement of both integrin subunits for this association. Moreover, anti-Thy-1 antibodies blocked stimulation of astrocytes by neurons but not the binding of these two cell types. Thus, neuron-astrocyte association involved binding between molecular components in addition to the Thy-1-integrin; however, the signaling events leading to focal adhesion formation in astrocytes depended exclusively on the latter interaction. Additionally, wild-type (RLD) but not mutated (RLE) Thy-1 was shown to directly interact with alphavbeta3 integrin by Surface Plasmon Resonance analysis. This interaction was promoted by divalent cations and was species-independent. Together, these results demonstrate that the alphavbeta3 integrin heterodimer interacts directly with Thy-1 present on neuronal cells to stimulate astrocytes.

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Value chain collaboration has been a prevailing topic for research, and there is a constantly growing interest in developing collaborative models for improved efficiency in logistics. One area of collaboration is demand information management, which enables improved visibility and decrease of inventories in the value chain. Outsourcing of non-core competencies has changed the nature of collaboration from intra-enterprise to cross-enterprise activity, and this together with increasing competition in the globalizing markets have created a need for methods and tools for collaborative work. The retailer part in the value chain of consumer packaged goods (CPG) has been studied relatively widely, proven models have been defined, and there exist several best practice collaboration cases. The information and communications technology has developed rapidly, offering efficient solutions and applications to exchange information between value chain partners. However, the majority of CPG industry still works with traditional business models and practices. This concerns especially companies operating in the upstream of the CPG value chain. Demand information for consumer packaged goods originates at retailers' counters, based on consumers' buying decisions. As this information does not get transferred along the value chain towards the upstream parties, each player needs to optimize their part, causing safety margins for inventories and speculation in purchasing decisions. The safety margins increase with each player, resulting in a phenomenon known as the bullwhip effect. The further the company is from the original demand information source, the more distorted the information is. This thesis concentrates on the upstream parts of the value chain of consumer packaged goods, and more precisely the packaging value chain. Packaging is becoming a part of the product with informative and interactive features, and therefore is not just a cost item needed to protect the product. The upstream part of the CPG value chain is distinctive, as the product changes after each involved party, and therefore the original demand information from the retailers cannot be utilized as such – even if it were transferred seamlessly. The objective of this thesis is to examine the main drivers for collaboration, and barriers causing the moderate adaptation level of collaborative models. Another objective is to define a collaborative demand information management model and test it in a pilot business situation in order to see if the barriers can be eliminated. The empirical part of this thesis contains three parts, all related to the research objective, but involving different target groups, viewpoints and research approaches. The study shows evidence that the main barriers for collaboration are very similar to the barriers in the lower part of the same value chain; lack of trust, lack of business case and lack of senior management commitment. Eliminating one of them – the lack of business case – is not enough to eliminate the two other barriers, as the operational model in this thesis shows. The uncertainty of the future, fear of losing an independent position in purchasing decision making and lack of commitment remain strong enough barriers to prevent the implementation of the proposed collaborative business model. The study proposes a new way of defining the value chain processes: it divides the contracting and planning process into two processes, one managing the commercial parts and the other managing the quantity and specification related issues. This model can reduce the resistance to collaboration, as the commercial part of the contracting process would remain the same as in the traditional model. The quantity/specification-related issues would be managed by the parties with the best capabilities and resources, as well as access to the original demand information. The parties in between would be involved in the planning process as well, as their impact for the next party upstream is significant. The study also highlights the future challenges for companies operating in the CPG value chain. The markets are becoming global, with toughening competition. Also, the technology development will most likely continue with a speed exceeding the adaptation capabilities of the industry. Value chains are also becoming increasingly dynamic, which means shorter and more agile business relationships, and at the same time the predictability of consumer demand is getting more difficult due to shorter product life cycles and trends. These changes will certainly have an effect on companies' operational models, but it is very difficult to estimate when and how the proven methods will gain wide enough adaptation to become standards.

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Contient : « La ressource de la Monarchie chrestienne promise estre faicte par Magesté royalle par le moyen de Noblesse et Bon Conseil, » en prose et en vers, en l'honneur de Charles VIII, par RAVIGNEAU (?). « La prenostication du roy Charles huytiesme de ce nom, compillée par l'une des sibiles et confermé par le saint homme. Karolus filius Ludovici... Nagairez moy estant en certaine speculation... — ... Sans espargner la faulce gent payenne » ; « Rondeau double fait pour le Roy le jour de l'Assumpcion Nostre Dame dernierement passée. « A ce bon jour de vostre Assumpcion... » ; « Epitaphe du roy Loys [XIe],... faicte de cinq en cinq versetz... « Cy gist le Roy en son temps incogneu... » ; « Ce sont les vers dorez et enseignemens pour les jeunes princes et seigneurs. « Par cinq pointz doit de droit estre batu... » ; « Hommage fait à Nostre Dame par maistre Piérre DE NESSON. « Ma doulce nourrice pucelle... » ; « Ballade faicte pour la venue du duc d'Albanie en Escoce, translatée d'escoçois en françoys selon la lettre. « Prince excellent, du pris imperial... » ; « Le Curial de maistre Alain CHARRETIER. Tu me admonestes et exortes... — ... à Dieu te commandz par cest escript, qui te doint sa grace. Amen » ; « L'oraison que font à Dieu les Turcs, Mores et autres qui tiennent la loy de Mahommet » ; « « La maniere comment ung crestien se fait turcq » ; « Double des lettres du roy des Rommains envoyées aux Suysses, translatées de italien en françois » ; Lettre de « Robert conte de Gayace » au roi de France sur « la mort de Galeace Marie [Sforza], duc de Milan » (Tours, 18 nov. 1477) ; « Espistre de la semblance et ymaige de nostre seigneur Jhesucrist du temps d'Octovien Auguste Cesar, empereur de Rome, escrite aux senateurs de Rome par ung nommé Lentule... » ; « La forme de la sentence donnée contre Jhesucrist de Nazareth par Pylate » ; Bref du pape Léon X à « Loyse dame d'Angolesme, » à l'occasion de l'avènement au trône de François Ier (11 déc. 1515)

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This study was an investigation of individual and organizational factors, as perceived by front-line vocational service workers from Adult Rehabilitation Centres (ARC Industries) for mentally retarded adults. The specific variables which were measured included role conflict/role ambiguity (role factors), internal/external locus of control (individual differences), job satisfaction with work and supervision (job attitudes) and participation in deci~ion making (organizational factor). The exploration of these constructs was conducted by means of self-report questionnaires which were completed by sixty-nine out of a total of ninety front-line employees. The surveys were distributed in booklet form to nine distinct rehabilitation facilities from St. Catharines, West Lincoln, Greater Niagara, Port Colborne, WeIland, Fort Erie, Hamilton, Guelph and Brantford. The survey data was evaluated by the statisti.cal Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS) which used the Pearson Product Moment Correlation procedure and a compar~son of means test. A comparison of correlation coefficients test was also conducted. This statistical procedure was calculated mathematically. The results obtained from the statistical evaluation confirmed the prediction that self-reported measures of participation in decision making and satisfaction (work and supervision) would be negatively correlated with role conflict and role ambiguity. As well, the speculation that perceived satisfaction (work and supervision) would be positively correlated with participation in decision making was empirically supported. Internal and external locus of control did not contribute to a significant difference in r~sponses to role perceptions (conflict and ambiguity) , satisfaction (work and supervision) or the correlational relationship between participation in decision making and satisfaction (work and supervision). Overall, the findings from this study substantiated the importance of examining employee perceptions in the workplace and the interrelationships among individual and organizational variables. This research was considered a contribution to the general area of occupational stress and to the study of individuals in work organizations.

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Transcript: New York Jan. 14. 1813. My dear uncle, I had nearly concluded to have made my [jaunt?] earlier than I had mentioned in my last letter to you, for Swartout had intended to have written by me to Father & yourself; having [Louisa?] concluded not so soon to depart he sends me his letters which I forward in mail, I shall hope to have letters from home soon, it is a great pleasure to hear from any of you. I said last week in Hollands letter mentioning [bladeworth?] account, I have explained to him. It is a mistake about me agreeing to pay Mr. [Dening?] [their?] account. Caroline mentions to me your jaunt to [Sophia?], but I regret our friend there should be unpleasantly situated. I have not yet seen Col. Willett but will see him as mentioned. I have neglected to go there for some time which has been remiss in me. We have nothing new I believe unless it be that Armstrong & Jones of Philadelphia have been nominated as Secretarys of War & the Navy & [cer?] this in all probability may be appointed. There may be room for speculation, but perhaps it is not probable that Canada will be ceded to American Valor in the year 1813. There is a Bill before congress by which it may be made penal to enter on board American vessels, either British subjects or naturalized Americans, which it is presoomed by many will [spon?] the accommodation of Peace – may be yes may be no – the proof of the pudding is in the eating of it. I imagine pacification is not so near at hand although it is much to be desired. Whatever might be for the honor & prosperity of the Country I would strenuously advocate, aloof from partial & party considerations. We have not a word as yet what the Council at Albany may be thinking of as yet. I suppose these things will come in time, perhaps untimely to many. I desire for the present not to be found among the untimely. I am your sincerely, with love to all. John Adams Smith

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Background: Research indicates a steady increase in marijuana use and that it is concurrent with tobacco. There is speculation this concurrency reaches beyond use, to where policies aimed at reducing one may result in the reduction of the other. Purpose: To investigate the association between tobacco control policies and marijuana use among young adult undergraduates. Methods: A stratified sample of Ontario universities resulted in a sample of 4,966 participants. Results: Campuses with a moderately strong policy was found to be significantly associated with decreased marijuana use compared to campuses with a weak tobacco control policy. (OR=0.52, 95% CI: 0.36-0.76). Conclusions: The findings show tobacco control strategies are related to decreased odds of marijuana use among Ontario undergraduates. These findings are important to both policy makers and researchers interested in health strategies pertaining to marijuana and tobacco use and/or how health policies aimed at reducing one risk behaviour can affect another.

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Peu importe la discipline qui l’appréhende, de la médecine humorale à la psychanalyse aujourd’hui, de l’histoire de l’art à la philosophie, la mélancolie se définit par un manque. S’il ne succombe pas à l’apathie, le mélancolique s’efforcera de pallier cette insuffisance par ses activités intellectuelles et artistiques : la mélancolie est carence et génie. La mélancolie travaille : elle compose avec l’absence. De quel ordre est ce manque ? Dans les écrits savants et les œuvres visuelles, la mélancolie a l’image en défaut : un souvenir ou une représentation juste, idéale. La mélancolie ne donne rien à voir sinon ce rapport à l’image, ce travail de mise en ordre et de mise en œuvre que l’on résume sous les noms « intellection » et « création ». La mélancolie est formaliste : elle cherche un modèle, une représentation, un nom, la forme d’une narration. Peu d’œuvres se prêtent à l’étude du génie de la mélancolie comme celle de Roland Barthes (1915-1980). Critique, ce corpus questionne la mélancolie de la forme et du sens. Écrite, cette œuvre donne à lire une figure de la mélancolie qui diffère selon ce qui lui manque. Toujours, la mélancolie compose avec l’absence de l’image. Cache de l’écriture, la photographie a été utilisée comme image du réel et du souvenir. L’image photographique participe d’une quête théorique en même temps qu’elle donne forme à la mélancolie de l’écriture. Avec la photographie, la mélancolie apparaît à la ville (L’empire des signes), au miroir (Roland Barthes par Roland Barthes), en amour (Fragments d’un discours amoureux) et au tombeau (La chambre claire). En figurant ce qui échappe à la littérature, la photographie ordonne autour d’elle une narration mélancolique. Ainsi la fragmentation, la collection, la spécularisation, l’investigation et la formalisation, sont autant d’opérations qui caractérisent la poétique narrative mise en place dans l’œuvre de Roland Barthes. Dans ces opérations, nous voyons également un modèle de la mélancolie du processus de création.

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This thesis is concerned with the interaction between literature and abstract thought. More specifically, it studies the epistemological charge of the literary, the type of knowledge that is carried by elements proper to fictional narratives into different disciplines. By concentrating on two different theoretical methods, the creation of thought experiments and the framing of possible worlds, methods which were elaborated and are still used today in spheres as varied as modal logics, analytic philosophy and physics, and by following their reinsertion within literary theory, the research develops the theory that both thought experiments and possible worlds are in fact short narrative stories that inform knowledge through literary means. By using two novels, Abbott’s Flatland and Vonnegut’s The Sirens of Titan, that describe extra-dimensional existence in radically different ways, respectively as a phenomenologically unknowable space and as an outward perspective on time, it becomes clear that literature is constitutive of the way in which worlds, fictive, real or otherwise, are constructed and understood. Thus dimensions, established through extensional analogies as either experimental knowledge or modal possibility for a given world, generate new directions for thought, which can then take part in the inductive/deductive process of scientia. By contrasting the dimensions of narrative with the way that dimensions were historically constituted, the research also establishes that the literary opens up an infinite potential of abstract space-time domains, defined by their specific rules and limits, and that these different experimental folds are themselves partaking in a dimensional process responsible for new forms of understanding. Over against science fiction literary theories of speculation that posit an equation between the fictive and the real, this thesis examines the complex structure of many overlapping possibilities that can organise themselves around larger compossible wholes, thus offering a theory of reading that is both non-mimetic and non-causal. It consequently examines the a dynamic process whereby literature is always reconceived through possibilities actualised by reading while never defining how the reader will ultimately understand the overarching structure. In this context, the thesis argues that a causal story can be construed out of any one interaction with a given narrative—underscoring, for example, the divinatory strength of a particular vision of the future—even as this narrative represents only a fraction of the potential knowledge of any particular literary text. Ultimately, the study concludes by tracing out how novel comprehensions of the literary, framed by the material conditions of their own space and time, endlessly renew themselves through multiple interactions, generating analogies and speculations that facilitate the creation of new knowledge.

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Le discours sur l’innovation oriente la recherche scientifique médicale publique vers un développement technologique et économique à court terme. À ce titre, la médecine régénératrice est une thérapie innovatrice marquée par une logique d’accumulation spéculative qui porte à la fois sur les cellules humaines et sur la façon de mener la recherche. Or, une réorganisation de la recherche scientifique liée à une nouvelle conception économique de la science et de la technologie ainsi qu’un rôle différent attribué à l’État constituent le cadre institutionnel contemporain qui émerge à la fin des années 1970. Le changement induit par cette idée d’innovation et sur lequel s’attarde ce mémoire porte non pas sur l’usage ou la destination de la science, mais sur l’extension du raisonnement économique. Celui-ci ne survient pas à l’étape du développement, après que la recherche ait été effectuée en vertu du modèle de la « Big Science ». Au contraire, il remonte du marché pour s’installer très tôt au stade de la compréhension des mécanismes biologiques et dans un espace qui relève de la propriété collective : le laboratoire public. Le passage du caractère « exogène » à « endogène » de la recherche scientifique publique vis-à-vis de l’économie est au cœur d’une discussion sur l’hégémonie de la logique de marché.

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Suite à la crise financière globale de 2008, ainsi qu’aux différents facteurs qui y ont mené, il est étonnant qu’une alternative éthique et juste pour une finance lucrative et stable n’existe toujours pas (ou du moins, demeure oubliée). Ayant décidé de contribuer au domaine pluri-centenaire du Droit Commercial de la Chari’a, nous avons été surpris par la découverte d’une problématique à l’origine de cette thèse. En France, nous avons suivi des débats doctrinaux intéressants dont les conclusions se rapprochent de la perception générale Occidentale quand à la nature de la finance Islamique, que ce soit au niveau de la finance basée sur le Droit de la Chari’a ou encore les exigences de sa pleine introduction dans le système juridique français de l’époque. Cet intérêt initial dans la finance islamique a ensuite mené à un intérêt dans la question des avantages d’éthique et de justice du Droit Commercial de la Chari’a dans son ensemble, qui est au coeur de cette thèse. Dans le monde moderne du commerce et de la finance d’aujourd’hui, les transactions sont marquées par une prise de risque excessive et un esprit de spéculation qui s’apparente aux jeux de hasard, et menant à des pertes colossales. Pire encore, ces pertes sont ensuite transférées à la collectivité. Par conséquent, y at-il des préceptes, des principes ou des règles éthiques et juridiques qui peuvent fournir une certaine forme de sécurité et de protection dans les marchés financiers d'aujourd'hui? Est-ce réalisable? Cette thèse soutient que la richesse de la jurisprudence islamique ainsi que ses règles dont les avantages n’ont pas encore été pleinement saisis et régénérés en réponse aux nouveaux défis d’aujourd'hui, peuvent encore fournir continuellement des solutions, et réformer des produits financiers de façon à refléter des principes de justice et d'équité. Dans ce processus, un éclairage nouveau sera apporté à certains sujets déjà connus dans le cadre de la contribution prévue de cette thèse, mais ne sera pas le principal objectif de la thèse.

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One of the most prominent industrial applications of heat transfer science and engineering has been electronics thermal control. Driven by the relentless increase in spatial density of microelectronic devices, integrated circuit chip powers have risen by a factor of 100 over the past twenty years, with a somewhat smaller increase in heat flux. The traditional approaches using natural convection and forced-air cooling are becoming less viable as power levels increase. This paper provides a high-level overview of the thermal management problem from the perspective of a practitioner, as well as speculation on the prospects for electronics thermal engineering in years to come.

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In computer graphics, global illumination algorithms take into account not only the light that comes directly from the sources, but also the light interreflections. This kind of algorithms produce very realistic images, but at a high computational cost, especially when dealing with complex environments. Parallel computation has been successfully applied to such algorithms in order to make it possible to compute highly-realistic images in a reasonable time. We introduce here a speculation-based parallel solution for a global illumination algorithm in the context of radiosity, in which we have taken advantage of the hierarchical nature of such an algorithm