Development and evaluation of a geographic information system based method to estimate flooding susceptibility in an area of Broward County, Florida

The objective of this study was to develop a GIS-based multi-class index overlay model to determine areas susceptible to inland flooding during extreme precipitation events in Broward County, Florida. Data layers used in the method include Airborne Laser Terrain Mapper (ALTM) elevation data, excess precipitation depth determined through performing a Soil Conservation Service (SCS) Curve Number (CN) analysis, and the slope of the terrain. The method includes a calibration procedure that uses "weights and scores" criteria obtained from Hurricane Irene (1999) records, a reported 100-year precipitation event, Doppler radar data and documented flooding locations. Results are displayed in maps of Eastern Broward County depicting types of flooding scenarios for a 100-year, 24-hour storm based on the soil saturation conditions. As expected the results of the multi-class index overlay analysis showed that an increase for the potential of inland flooding could be expected when a higher antecedent moisture condition is experienced. The proposed method proves to have some potential as a predictive tool for flooding susceptibility based on a relatively simple approach.

A simulation-based decision support system for evaluating operating policies in an emergency room facility

Increased pressure to control costs and increased competition has prompted health care managers to look for tools to effectively operate their institutions. This research sought a framework for the development of a Simulation-Based Decision Support System (SB-DSS) to evaluate operating policies. A prototype of this SB-DSS was developed. It incorporates a simulation model that uses real or simulated data. ER decisions have been categorized and, for each one, an implementation plan has been devised. Several issues of integrating heterogeneous tools have been addressed. The prototype revealed that simulation can truly be used in this environment in a timely fashion because the simulation model has been complemented with a series of decision-making routines. These routines use a hierarchical approach to organize the various scenarios under which the model may run and to partially reconfigure the ARENA model at run time. Hence, the SB-DSS tailors its responses to each node in the hierarchy.

A simulation-based heuristic for fleet assignment

Integer programming, simulation, and rules of thumb have been integrated to develop a simulation-based heuristic for short-term assignment of fleet in the car rental industry. It generates a plan for car movements, and a set of booking limits to produce high revenue for a given planning horizon. Three different scenarios were used to validate the heuristic. The heuristic's mean revenue was significant higher than the historical ones, in all three scenarios. Time to run the heuristic for each experiment was within the time limits of three hours set for the decision making process even though it is not fully automated. These findings demonstrated that the heuristic provides better plans (plans that yield higher profit) for the dynamic allocation of fleet than the historical decision processes. Another contribution of this effort is the integration of IP and rules of thumb to search for better performance under stochastic conditions.

Simulation-based education : Understanding the sociocultural complexity of a surgical training “Boot Camp”

Acknowledgements We acknowledge, with thanks the contributions, of the following people who co-designed Boot Camp: Angus JM Watson (Highland Surgical Research Unit, NHSH & UoS), Morag E Hogg (NHSH Raigmore Hospital) and Ailsa Armstrong (NHSH). We also thank Angus JM Watson and Morag E Hogg for helping with the preparation of the funding application which supported this work. Funding Our thanks to the Clinical Skills Managed Educational Network (CSMEN) of Scotland for funding this research.

Simulation-based mentalizing generates a ‘proxy’ self-reference effect in memory

Peer reviewed

The credibility of simulation-based environments : user judgments of verisimilitude

Mémoire numérisé par la Direction des bibliothèques de l'Université de Montréal.

The credibility of simulation-based environments : user judgments of verisimilitude

Mémoire numérisé par la Direction des bibliothèques de l'Université de Montréal.

A Proposed Framework for Simulation Based Learning of Inheritance

Different types of serious games have been used in elucidating computer science areas such as computer games, mobile games, Lego-based games, virtual worlds and webbased games. Different evaluation techniques have been conducted like questionnaires, interviews, discussions and tests. Simulation have been widely used in computer science as a motivational and interactive learning tool. This paper aims to evaluate the possibility of successful implementation of simulation in computer programming modules. A framework is proposed to measure the impact of serious games on enhancing students understanding of key computer science concepts. Experiments will be held on the EEECS of Queen’s University Belfast students to test the framework and attain results.

Sustainability Enhancement of a Turbine Vane Manufacturing Cell through Digital Simulation based Design

Modern manufacturing systems should satisfy emerging needs related to sustainable development. The design of sustainable manufacturing systems can be valuably supported by simulation, traditionally employed mainly for time and cost reduction. In this paper, a multi-purpose digital simulation approach is proposed to deal with sustainable manufacturing systems design through Discrete Event Simulation (DES) and 3D digital human modelling. DES models integrated with data on power consumption of the manufacturing equipment are utilized to simulate different scenarios with the aim to improve productivity as well as energy efficiency, avoiding resource and energy waste. 3D simulation based on digital human modelling is employed to assess human factors issues related to ergonomics and safety of manufacturing systems. The approach is implemented for the sustainability enhancement of a real manufacturing cell of the aerospace industry, automated by robotic deburring. Alternative scenarios are proposed and simulated, obtaining a significant improvement in terms of energy efficiency (−87%) for the new deburring cell, and a reduction of energy consumption around −69% for the coordinate measuring machine, with high potential annual energy cost savings and increased energy efficiency. Moreover, the simulation-based ergonomic assessment of human operator postures allows 25% improvement of the workcell ergonomic index.

Simulation-based mentalizing generates a ‘proxy’ self-reference effect in memory

The self-reference effect (SRE) in memory is thought to depend on specialized mechanisms that enhance memory for self-relevant information. We investigated whether these mechanisms can be engaged “by proxy” when we simulate other people, by asking participants to interact with two virtual partners: one similar and one dissimilar to self. Participants viewed pairs of objects and picked one for themselves, for their similar partner, or their dissimilar partner. A surprise memory test followed that required participants to identify which object of each pair was chosen, and for whom. Finally, participants were shown both partners’ object pairs again, and asked to indicate their personal preference. Four key findings were observed. Overlap between participants’ own choice and those made for their partner was significantly higher for the similar than the dissimilar partner, revealing participants’ use of their own preferences to simulate the similar partner. Recollection of chosen objects was significantly higher for self than for both partners and, critically, was significantly higher for similar than dissimilar partners. Source confusion between self and the similar partner was also higher. These findings suggest that self-reference by proxy enhances memory for non-self-relevant material, and we consider the theoretical implications for functional interpretation of the SRE.

Airframe sound simulation based on staggered-grid higher order schemes and finite volume CFD methods

Abstract not available

A machine learning based method to detect genomic imbalances exploiting X chromosome exome reads

Whole Exome Sequencing (WES) is rapidly becoming the first-tier test in clinics, both thanks to its declining costs and the development of new platforms that help clinicians in the analysis and interpretation of SNV and InDels. However, we still know very little on how CNV detection could increase WES diagnostic yield. A plethora of exome CNV callers have been published over the years, all showing good performances towards specific CNV classes and sizes, suggesting that the combination of multiple tools is needed to obtain an overall good detection performance. Here we present TrainX, a ML-based method for calling heterozygous CNVs in WES data using EXCAVATOR2 Normalized Read Counts. We select males and females’ non pseudo-autosomal chromosome X alignments to construct our dataset and train our model, make predictions on autosomes target regions and use HMM to call CNVs. We compared TrainX against a set of CNV tools differing for the detection method (GATK4 gCNV, ExomeDepth, DECoN, CNVkit and EXCAVATOR2) and found that our algorithm outperformed them in terms of stability, as we identified both deletions and duplications with good scores (0.87 and 0.82 F1-scores respectively) and for sizes reaching the minimum resolution of 2 target regions. We also evaluated the method robustness using a set of WES and SNP array data (n=251), part of the Italian cohort of Epi25 collaborative, and were able to retrieve all clinical CNVs previously identified by the SNP array. TrainX showed good accuracy in detecting heterozygous CNVs of different sizes, making it a promising tool to use in a diagnostic setting.

On bounds for network revenue management

The Network Revenue Management problem can be formulated as a stochastic dynamic programming problem (DP or the\optimal" solution V *) whose exact solution is computationally intractable. Consequently, a number of heuristics have been proposed in the literature, the most popular of which are the deterministic linear programming (DLP) model, and a simulation based method, the randomized linear programming (RLP) model. Both methods give upper bounds on the optimal solution value (DLP and PHLP respectively). These bounds are used to provide control values that can be used in practice to make accept/deny decisions for booking requests. Recently Adelman [1] and Topaloglu [18] have proposed alternate upper bounds, the affine relaxation (AR) bound and the Lagrangian relaxation (LR) bound respectively, and showed that their bounds are tighter than the DLP bound. Tight bounds are of great interest as it appears from empirical studies and practical experience that models that give tighter bounds also lead to better controls (better in the sense that they lead to more revenue). In this paper we give tightened versions of three bounds, calling themsAR (strong Affine Relaxation), sLR (strong Lagrangian Relaxation) and sPHLP (strong Perfect Hindsight LP), and show relations between them. Speciffically, we show that the sPHLP bound is tighter than sLR bound and sAR bound is tighter than the LR bound. The techniques for deriving the sLR and sPHLP bounds can potentially be applied to other instances of weakly-coupled dynamic programming.

Utilization of a Time Domain Simulator in the Technical and Economic Analysis of a Wind Turbine Electric Drive Train

The amount of installed wind power has been growing exponentially during the past ten years. As wind turbines have become a significant source of electrical energy, the interactions between the turbines and the electric power network need to be studied more thoroughly than before. Especially, the behavior of the turbines in fault situations is of prime importance; simply disconnecting all wind turbines from the network during a voltage drop is no longer acceptable, since this would contribute to a total network collapse. These requirements have been a contributor to the increased role of simulations in the study and design of the electric drive train of a wind turbine. When planning a wind power investment, the selection of the site and the turbine are crucial for the economic feasibility of the installation. Economic feasibility, on the other hand, is the factor that determines whether or not investment in wind power will continue, contributing to green electricity production and reduction of emissions. In the selection of the installation site and the turbine (siting and site matching), the properties of the electric drive train of the planned turbine have so far been generally not been taken into account. Additionally, although the loss minimization of some of the individual components of the drive train has been studied, the drive train as a whole has received less attention. Furthermore, as a wind turbine will typically operate at a power level lower than the nominal most of the time, efficiency analysis in the nominal operating point is not sufficient. This doctoral dissertation attempts to combine the two aforementioned areas of interest by studying the applicability of time domain simulations in the analysis of the economicfeasibility of a wind turbine. The utilization of a general-purpose time domain simulator, otherwise applied to the study of network interactions and control systems, in the economic analysis of the wind energy conversion system is studied. The main benefits of the simulation-based method over traditional methods based on analytic calculation of losses include the ability to reuse and recombine existing models, the ability to analyze interactions between the components and subsystems in the electric drive train (something which is impossible when considering different subsystems as independent blocks, as is commonly done in theanalytical calculation of efficiencies), the ability to analyze in a rather straightforward manner the effect of selections other than physical components, for example control algorithms, and the ability to verify assumptions of the effects of a particular design change on the efficiency of the whole system. Based on the work, it can be concluded that differences between two configurations can be seen in the economic performance with only minor modifications to the simulation models used in the network interaction and control method study. This eliminates the need ofdeveloping analytic expressions for losses and enables the study of the system as a whole instead of modeling it as series connection of independent blocks with no lossinterdependencies. Three example cases (site matching, component selection, control principle selection) are provided to illustrate the usage of the approach and analyze its performance.

Algorithmes d’apprentissage profonds supervisés et non-supervisés: applications et résultats théoriques

La liste des domaines touchés par l’apprentissage machine s’allonge rapidement. Au fur et à mesure que la quantité de données disponibles augmente, le développement d’algorithmes d’apprentissage de plus en plus puissants est crucial. Ce mémoire est constitué de trois parties: d’abord un survol des concepts de bases de l’apprentissage automatique et les détails nécessaires pour l’entraînement de réseaux de neurones, modèles qui se livrent bien à des architectures profondes. Ensuite, le premier article présente une application de l’apprentissage machine aux jeux vidéos, puis une méthode de mesure performance pour ceux-ci en tant que politique de décision. Finalement, le deuxième article présente des résultats théoriques concernant l’entraînement d’architectures profondes nonsupervisées. Les jeux vidéos sont un domaine particulièrement fertile pour l’apprentissage automatique: il estf facile d’accumuler d’importantes quantités de données, et les applications ne manquent pas. La formation d’équipes selon un critère donné est une tˆache commune pour les jeux en lignes. Le premier article compare différents algorithmes d’apprentissage à des réseaux de neurones profonds appliqués à la prédiction de la balance d’un match. Ensuite nous présentons une méthode par simulation pour évaluer les modèles ainsi obtenus utilisés dans le cadre d’une politique de décision en ligne. Dans un deuxième temps nous présentons une nouvelleméthode pour entraîner des modèles génératifs. Des résultats théoriques nous indiquent qu’il est possible d’entraîner par rétropropagation des modèles non-supervisés pouvant générer des échantillons qui suivent la distribution des données. Ceci est un résultat pertinent dans le cadre de la récente littérature scientifique investiguant les propriétés des autoencodeurs comme modèles génératifs. Ces résultats sont supportés avec des expériences qualitatives préliminaires ainsi que quelques résultats quantitatifs.