Ancillary services market clearing simulation: a comparison between deterministic and heuristic methods

Electricity market players operating in a liberalized environment requires access to an adequate decision support tool, allowing them to consider all the business opportunities and take strategic decisions. Ancillary services represent a good negotiation opportunity that must be considered by market players. For this, decision support tool must include ancillary market simulation. This paper proposes two different methods (Linear Programming and Genetic Algorithm approaches) for ancillary services dispatch. The methodologies are implemented in MASCEM, a multi-agent based electricity market simulator. A test case based on California Independent System Operator (CAISO) data concerning the dispatch of Regulation Down, Regulation Up, Spinning Reserve and Non-Spinning Reserve services is included in this paper.

Application of different heuristic classes in memory-based and stimulus-based decisions

This paper studies the drivers of heuristic application in different decision types. The study compares differences in frequencies of heuristic classes' such as recognition, one-reason choice and trade-off applied in, respectively, memory-based and stimulus-based choices as well as in high and low involvement decisions. The study has been conducted online among 205 participants from 28 countries.

Caracterización genética de la cepa Sinorhizobium meliloti 3DOh13 y evaluación de la capacidad fijadora de nitrógeno en alfalfa. Genetic characterization of the strain Sinorhizobium meliloti 3DOh13 and assessment of the capacity to fix nitrogen in alfalfa.

La provincia de Córdoba participa con aproximadamente el 23 por ciento del área total sembrada anualmente con alfalfa en nuestro país y, en los últimos años, se ha incrementado levemente, en contraste con las provincias de Buenos Aires, Santa Fe y Entre Ríos, donde ha decrecido. La inoculación de este cultivo con cepas del género Sinorhizobium ha permitido mejorar su rendimiento en los suelos de la región semiárida. La utilización para la siembra de semillas preinoculadas con microorganismos de origen extranjero, cuya eficiencia y adaptación a las condiciones locales no siempre se conocen, y con escasa capacidad de competencia ante las cepas naturalizadas, trae como consecuencia un bajo establecimiento de la nodulación y por consiguiente una escasa reposición del nitrógeno removido del suelo. Aún cuando la inoculación está relativamente difundida, en la actualidad no se ha determinado la proporción relativa de nitrógeno fijado por las cepas introducidas respecto de las nativas o naturalizadas, ni la competencia que se genera en el suelo por la ocupación de los sitios potenciales para la formación de nódulos. Nuestra hipótesis de trabajo es: "la inoculación con cepas de Sinorhizobium meliloti debidamente caracterizadas y eficientes en la fijación del nitrógeno atmosférico mejorará el rendimiento de alfalfa en la región centro-sur de Córdoba". Los objetivos de este estudio son caracterizar fenotípica y genotípica el aislamiento Sinorhizobium meliloti 3DOh13 y evaluar su eficiencia simbiótica en el cultivo de alfalfa, mediante ensayos de infectividad, eficiencia y competencia con cepas nativas. La evaluación de la infectividad de la cepa comprende estudios de cinética de la nodulación, número total de nódulos y ubicación de los mismos en experiencias donde las plantas crecen en condiciones de invernáculo sobre un soporte de tierra:arena:perlita (2:1:1). Se realizarán ensayos de competitividad, coinoculando semillas con la cepa DOh13 y otras nativas, en bolsas plásticas con medio mineral en los que se desafiarán los distintos aislamientos. Se inoculan las plantas con sólo dos aislamientos y los nódulos de la raíz principal serán extraídos a fin de aislar los microorganismos ocupantes, los que serán diferenciados por marca de resistencia a antibioticos. La eficiencia en la fijación de nitrógeno será cuantificada por las técnicas de reducción del acetileno en el nódulo y, en caso de ser necesario, se usará el método de Kjeldahl (N total) para la raíz, tejido aéreo o planta entera. La caracterización genotípica de S. meliloti 3DOh13 incluirá métodos de fingerprint de ADN por técnicas de PCR y secuenciamiento del ADNr 16S. Esta investigación permitirá obtener información precisa sobre la respuesta de alfalfa a la inoculación con la cepa de referencia. El producto que se espera obtener es un nuevo inoculante, formulado con una cepa efectiva en la fijación de nitrógeno, debidamente caracterizada y con probada capacidad de adaptación a los suelos de la región

Recognition judgments and the performance of the recognition heuristic depend on the size of the reference class

In a series of three experiments, participants made inferences about which one of a pair of two objects scored higher on a criterion. The first experiment was designed to contrast the prediction of Probabilistic Mental Model theory (Gigerenzer, Hoffrage, & Kleinbölting, 1991) concerning sampling procedure with the hard-easy effect. The experiment failed to support the theory's prediction that a particular pair of randomly sampled item sets would differ in percentage correct; but the observation that German participants performed practically as well on comparisons between U.S. cities (many of which they did not even recognize) than on comparisons between German cities (about which they knew much more) ultimately led to the formulation of the recognition heuristic. Experiment 2 was a second, this time successful, attempt to unconfound item difficulty and sampling procedure. In Experiment 3, participants' knowledge and recognition of each city was elicited, and how often this could be used to make an inference was manipulated. Choices were consistent with the recognition heuristic in about 80% of the cases when it discriminated and people had no additional knowledge about the recognized city (and in about 90% when they had such knowledge). The frequency with which the heuristic could be used affected the percentage correct, mean confidence, and overconfidence as predicted. The size of the reference class, which was also manipulated, modified these effects in meaningful and theoretically important ways.

Optimised search heuristic combining valid inequalities and tabu search

This paper presents an Optimised Search Heuristic that combines a tabu search method with the verification of violated valid inequalities. The solution delivered by the tabu search is partially destroyed by a randomised greedy procedure, and then the valid inequalities are used to guide the reconstruction of a complete solution. An application of the new method to the Job-Shop Scheduling problem is presented.

Cumulative dominance and heuristic performance in binary multi-attribute choice

Several studies have reported high performance of simple decision heuristics multi-attribute decision making. In this paper, we focus on situations where attributes are binary and analyze the performance of Deterministic-Elimination-By-Aspects (DEBA) and similar decision heuristics. We consider non-increasing weights and two probabilistic models for the attribute values: one where attribute values are independent Bernoulli randomvariables; the other one where they are binary random variables with inter-attribute positive correlations. Using these models, we show that good performance of DEBA is explained by the presence of cumulative as opposed to simple dominance. We therefore introduce the concepts of cumulative dominance compliance and fully cumulative dominance compliance and show that DEBA satisfies those properties. We derive a lower bound with which cumulative dominance compliant heuristics will choose a best alternative and show that, even with many attributes, this is not small. We also derive an upper bound for the expected loss of fully cumulative compliance heuristics and show that this is moderateeven when the number of attributes is large. Both bounds are independent of the values ofthe weights.

Restless bandits, linear programming relaxations and a primal-dual index heuristic

We develop a mathematical programming approach for the classicalPSPACE - hard restless bandit problem in stochastic optimization.We introduce a hierarchy of n (where n is the number of bandits)increasingly stronger linear programming relaxations, the lastof which is exact and corresponds to the (exponential size)formulation of the problem as a Markov decision chain, while theother relaxations provide bounds and are efficiently computed. Wealso propose a priority-index heuristic scheduling policy fromthe solution to the first-order relaxation, where the indices aredefined in terms of optimal dual variables. In this way wepropose a policy and a suboptimality guarantee. We report resultsof computational experiments that suggest that the proposedheuristic policy is nearly optimal. Moreover, the second-orderrelaxation is found to provide strong bounds on the optimalvalue.

On heuristic and linear models of judgment: Mapping the demand for knowledge

Research on judgment and decision making presents a confusing picture of human abilities. For example, much research has emphasized the dysfunctional aspects of judgmental heuristics, and yet, other findings suggest that these can be highly effective. A further line of research has modeled judgment as resulting from as if linear models. This paper illuminates the distinctions in these approaches by providing a common analytical framework based on the central theoretical premise that understanding human performance requires specifying how characteristics of the decision rules people use interact with the demands of the tasks they face. Our work synthesizes the analytical tools of lens model research with novel methodology developed to specify the effectiveness of heuristics in different environments and allows direct comparisons between the different approaches. We illustrate with both theoretical analyses and simulations. We further link our results to the empirical literature by a meta-analysis of lens model studies and estimate both human andheuristic performance in the same tasks. Our results highlight the trade-off betweenlinear models and heuristics. Whereas the former are cognitively demanding, the latterare simple to use. However, they require knowledge and thus maps of when andwhich heuristic to employ.

A comparison of one- and two-compartment neighbourhoods in heuristic search with spatial forest management goals

Abstract

Testing website usability in Spanish-Speaking Academia through heuristic evaluation and cognitive walkthroughs

Although usability evaluations have been focused on assessing different contexts of use, no proper specifications have been addressed towards the particular environment of academic websites in the Spanish-speaking context of use. Considering that this context involves hundreds of millions of potential users, the AIPO Association is running the UsabAIPO Project. The ultimate goal is to promote an adequate translation of international standards, methods and ideal values related to usability in order to adapt them to diverse Spanish-related contexts of use. This article presents the main statistical results coming from the Second and Third Stages of the UsabAIPO Project, where the UsabAIPO Heuristic method (based on Heuristic Evaluation techniques) and seven Cognitive Walkthroughs were performed over 69 university websites. The planning and execution of the UsabAIPO Heuristic method and the Cognitive Walkthroughs, the definition of two usability metrics, as well as the outline of the UsabAIPO Heuristic Management System prototype are also sketched.

Vulnerability as a heuristic for interdisciplinary research: Assessing the thematic and methodological structure of empirical life-course studies

Changes in human lives are studied in psychology, sociology, and adjacent fields as outcomes of developmental processes, institutional regulations and policies, culturally and normatively structured life courses, or empirical accounts. However, such studies have used a wide range of complementary, but often divergent, concepts. This review has two aims. First, we report on the structure that has emerged from scientific life course research by focusing on abstracts from longitudinal and life course studies beginning with the year 2000. Second, we provide a sense of the disciplinary diversity of the field and assess the value of the concept of 'vulnerability' as a heuristic tool for studying human lives. Applying correspondence analysis to 10,632 scientific abstracts, we find a disciplinary divide between psychology and sociology, and observe indications of both similarities of-and differences between-studies, driven at least partly by the data and methods employed. We also find that vulnerability takes a central position in this scientific field, which leads us to suggest several reasons to see value in pursuing theory development for longitudinal and life course studies in this direction.