Die anfangsstrecke der Heiligen Strasse in Delphi ...

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Die composition der polygnotischen Gemälde in der Lesche zu Delphi : eine in der Königlichen Akademie der Wissenschaften zu Berlin Gelesene Abhandlung /

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Integrating group Delphi, fuzzy logic and expert systems for marketing strategy development:the hybridisation and its effectiveness

A hybrid approach for integrating group Delphi, fuzzy logic and expert systems for developing marketing strategies is proposed in this paper. Within this approach, the group Delphi method is employed to help groups of managers undertake SWOT analysis. Fuzzy logic is applied to fuzzify the results of SWOT analysis. Expert systems are utilised to formulate marketing strategies based upon the fuzzified strategic inputs. In addition, guidelines are also provided to help users link the hybrid approach with managerial judgement and intuition. The effectiveness of the hybrid approach has been validated with MBA and MA marketing students. It is concluded that the hybrid approach is more effective in terms of decision confidence, group consensus, helping to understand strategic factors, helping strategic thinking, and coupling analysis with judgement, etc.

Developments and prospects of freight railway transport in Northern Germany:a Delphi survey

Despite the fact that Germany has a well expanded traffic infrastructure, it confronts a strong growth in freight volumes and it is very likely that in the forthcoming years will not be able to reasonably cope with the increasing demand. The aim of this paper is to explore the developments of the transport sector, railways in particular, in North Germany. More specific, the paper explores whether the railway network could contribute to improved traffic development in North Germany and also whether or not the existing logistics practices are effective enough to cope with the traffic problems in the region. The research based on the Delphi technique, collected, analysed and summarised the opinions of a group of experts in the aforementioned issues. Results indicate that railways could represent the solution to the forecasted growing freight volumes in the next years. In spite of continuous efforts undertaken by the politics and the economy, the existing logistics and freight traffic concepts are not sufficient, financing is too scarce, while emerging issues like sustainability, environment protection and working conditions are taken into little consideration. Copyright © 2014 Inderscience Enterprises Ltd.

The PHAR-QA project: competency framework for pharmacy practice—first steps, the results of the European Network Delphi round 1

PHAR-QA, funded by the European Commission, is producing a framework of competences for pharmacy practice. The framework is in line with the EU directive on sectoral professions and takes into account the diversity of the pharmacy profession and the on-going changes in healthcare systems (with an increasingly important role for pharmacists), and in the pharmaceutical industry. PHAR-QA is asking academia, students and practicing pharmacists to rank competences required for practice. The results show that competences in the areas of drug interactions, need for drug treatment and provision of information and service were ranked highest whereas those in the areas of ability to design and conduct research and development and production of medicines were ranked lower. For the latter two categories, industrial pharmacists ranked them higher than did the other five groups

A Delphi study to explore the adoption of servitization in UK companies

This paper explores and rationalises the process of servitization adoption across manufacturing firms. A Delphi research methodology has been applied to capture evidence and opinion from 33 senior executives, in 28 different sized organisations, from a cross section of British industry. The findings focus on five areas: (1) servitization and advanced services, (2) transformation: stimulus, drivers and organisational change, (3) impact on the customer and manufacturer, (4) enablers and inhibitors and (5) potential for business and the economy. Six findings are presented and collectively these contribute to our understanding of the broader change management processes that transform manufacturers to compete through advanced services.

Recreational Foodservice management: A Delphi study of needed competencies

The purpose of this study was to identify the needed competencies of a Recreational Foodservice manager. A three round Delphi method of iteration was used. Delphi is a research method that utilizes iterating rounds to elicit the opinion of a panel of experts regarding a specific subject.^ A nominating committee of 22 industry leaders was consulted to establish a panel of 40 management experts, of which 35 (87.5%) completed all three rounds of the Delphi study.^ Round One of the study identified 17 specific job functions of a Recreational Foodservice manager. The researcher prepared an instrument detailing 60 competencies derived from an analysis of Round One results and distributed it as a Round Two instrument requesting the panel opinion regarding the relative importance of each listed competency on a five point Likert scale.^ The results of Round Two were tabulated and analyzed to ascertain areas of consensus. A Round Three instrument was prepared advising panelists of all areas of consensus, their dissenting opinions, if any, and a request for a revised opinion.^ A final report was prepared listing the 60 competencies and the panel opinion that eight were of highest priority, 29 of above average priority, and 23 of average priority. No item received two other available ratings, below average priority and lowest priority.^ The implications of these findings suggest necessary areas of curriculum development and industry management development to implement professionalism for Recreational Foodservice managers. ^

Estudio Delphi sobre la cooperativización de los servicios sociales En el territorio histórico de Gipuzkoa

En el presente artículo se muestran los principales resultados obtenidos del estudio Delphi realizado a cargos políticos y técnicos del Departamento de Política Social de la Diputación Foral de Gipuzkoa, sobre la posibilidad de cooperativizar la provisión de los servicios sociales en este territorio histórico. Para ello, el artículo se ha estructurado de dos partes diferenciadas. Una primera desarrolla el marco teórico que sirve de inspiración para el trabajo empírico, donde se apuntan las principales propuestas teóricas que inciden en la dimensión colectiva de la participación ciudadana en la gestión de los servicios públicos. Entre los distintos modelos, se han destacado aquellos que priorizan la participación ciudadana a través de entidades de economía social y solidaria. La segunda parte se dedica al relato de los resultados de la investigación de campo. Para ello, primero se exponen las notas metodológicas que dan cuenta del proceso de preparación del análisis Delphi, para acto seguido sintetizar los principales resultados obtenidos en este estudio. Este trabajo se cierra con un apartado de conclusiones y líneas futuras de trabajo.

PIPc study: development of indicators of potentially inappropriate prescribing in children (PIPc) in primary care using a modified Delphi technique

Objective There is limited evidence regarding the quality of prescribing for children in primary care. Several prescribing criteria (indicators) have been developed to assess the appropriateness of prescribing in older and middle-aged adults but few are relevant to children. The objective of this study was to develop a set of prescribing indicators that can be applied to prescribing or dispensing data sets to determine the prevalence of potentially inappropriate prescribing in children (PIPc) in primary care settings.


Design Two-round modified Delphi consensus method.


Setting Irish and UK general practice.


Participants A project steering group consisting of academic and clinical general practitioners (GPs) and pharmacists was formed to develop a list of indicators from literature review and clinical expertise. 15 experts consisting of GPs, pharmacists and paediatricians from the Republic of Ireland and the UK formed the Delphi panel.


Results 47 indicators were reviewed by the project steering group and 16 were presented to the Delphi panel. In the first round of this exercise, consensus was achieved on nine of these indicators. Of the remaining seven indicators, two were removed following review of expert panel comments and discussion of the project steering group. The second round of the Delphi process focused on the remaining five indicators, which were amended based on first round feedback. Three indicators were accepted following the second round of the Delphi process and the remaining two indicators were removed. The final list consisted of 12 indicators categorised by respiratory system (n=6), gastrointestinal system (n=2), neurological system (n=2) and dermatological system (n=2).


Conclusions The PIPc indicators are a set of prescribing criteria developed for use in children in primary care in the absence of clinical information. The utility of these criteria will be tested in further studies using prescribing databases.

Efeitos do processo de acreditação nas práticas profissionais dos assistentes sociais em contexto hospitalar: perspectiva de um painel Delphi

A acreditação de um hospital revela-se um instrumento de extrema importância na melhoria da qualidade dos cuidados de saúde. Subjacente a este processo, estão inerentes alterações ao nível organizacional e individual. Este artigo tem como objetivo, identificar os efeitos do processo de acreditação nas práticas profissionais dos assistentes sociais em contexto hospitalar. Neste sentido, realizou-se um painel de peritos, com recurso à técnica Delphi, no qual participaram 12 peritos multidisciplinares e internacionais, tendo sido conseguida obtenção de consenso em três rondas. Dos resultados obtidos emergiram consensos que permite considerar cinco dimensões de ação relevantes face aos efeitos da acreditação nas práticas profissionais dos assistentes sociais, quanto: 1) especificidades da prática; 2) interação de equipas; 3) eficácia profissional; 4) avaliação e monitorização; 5) ganhos em saúde. São dimensões que correspondem a mudanças e que sugerem uma linha de ação que é influenciada, e determinada pelo processo de acreditação no desenvolvimento de uma cultura de melhoria contínua da qualidade da actividade do Serviço Social e do agir profissional. Os resultados obtidos evidenciam que um processo de acreditação tem efeitos diretos e positivos nas práticas dos assistentes sociais.

El síndrome de burnout en deportistas: estudio piloto sobre la percepción del psicólogo deportivo a través del método Delphi

El objetivo principal de este trabajo es realizar un estudio preliminar sobre la percepción que tienen los psicólogos del deporte del síndrome de burnout en deportistas. Para ello, se ha llevado a cabo un estudio utilizando la técnica Delphi en una muestra de 23 expertos en Psicología del Deporte con amplia experiencia en entrenamiento psicológico con deportistas. Se les envió de forma sucesiva tres cuestionarios semiestructurados por correo electrónico sobre el burnout en deportistas, en los que se les preguntaba por diversos aspectos del síndrome como síntomas, consecuencias, relación estrés-burnout, y estrategias o técnicas de intervención psicológicas, elaborándose el segundo y el tercer cuestionario a partir del análisis de la información de las respuestas dadas en los anteriores. Los resultados muestran que la gran mayoría de los expertos plantea el estrés junto con la pérdida de control en la vida del deportista como factores directamente relacionados con el síndrome de burnout, y el 100% considera que el autoconcepto deportivo y extradeportivo es una variable que incide en el burnout. Las consecuencias fisiológicas del burnout en deportistas referidas por los expertos son tensión, fatiga e irritabilidad no acordes con el momento deportivo, dificultad para experimentar emociones positivas como ilusión, expectativas positivas, energía, etc., y tendencia a que desapareciese el entusiasmo en el deporte. Las estrategias de intervención psicológica de elección referidas por los expertos incluyen control emocional, mejora de la autoestima y autoconcepto, establecimiento de objetivos, intervención centrada en necesidades, apoyo social, organización y gestión del tiempo, reestructuración cognitiva, control del estrés, resolución de problemas, y facilitación de actividades alternativas satisfactorias.