Intervention Recommendations to Minimize the 30-Day Risk-of-Readmission for Heart Failure

Thesis (Master's)--University of Washington, 2015

Telaprevir or boceprevir based therapy for chronic hepatitis C infection: Development of resistance-associated variants in treatment failure

The use of triple-therapy, pegylated-interferon, ribavirin and either of the first generation hepatitis C virus (HCV) protease inhibitors telaprevir or boceprevir, is the new standard of care for treating genotype 1 chronic HCV. Clinical trials have shown response rates of around 70–80%, but there is limited data from the use of this combination outside this setting. Through an expanded access programme, we treated 59 patients, treatment naïve and experienced, with triple therapy. Baseline factors predicting treatment response or failure during triple therapy phase were identified in 58 patients. Thirty seven (63.8%) of 58 patients had undetectable HCV RNA 12 weeks after the end of treatment. Genotype 1a (p = 0.053), null-response to previous treatment (p = 0.034), the rate of viral load decline after 12 weeks of previous interferon-based treatment (p = 0.033) were all associated with triple-therapy failure. The most common cause of on-treatment failure for telaprevir-based regimens was the development of resistance-associated variants (RAVs) at amino acids 36 and/or 155 of HCV protease (p = 0.027) whereas in boceprevir-based regimens mutations at amino acid 54 were significant (p = 0.015). SVR12 rates approaching 64% were achieved using triple therapy outside the clinical trial setting, in a patient cohort that included cirrhotics.

Embolization for multicompartmental bleeding in patients in hemodynamically unstable condition: prognostic factors and outcome.

PURPOSE: To determine prognostic factors and evaluate outcomes of transcatheter arterial embolization in severely injured patients in hemodynamically unstable condition with multicompartmental bleeding.¦MATERIALS AND METHODS: Between June 2000 and May 2008, 36 consecutive patients treated with transcatheter arterial embolization for major retroperitoneal bleeding associated with at least one additional source of bleeding were retrospectively reviewed. Mean Injury Severity Score (ISS) was 49.4 ± 15.8. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify parameters associated with failure of embolization, need for additional surgery to control bleeding, and fatal outcome at 30 d.¦RESULTS: Embolization was technically successful in 35 of 36 patients (97.2%) and resulted in immediate and sustained (> 24 h) hemodynamic improvement in 29 (80.5%). Additional hemostatic surgery was necessary after embolization in six patients (16.6%). Fifteen patients (41.6%) died within 30 d. Failure to restore hemodynamic stability was correlated with the rate of administration of packed red blood cells (P = .014), rate of administration of fresh frozen plasma (FFP; P = .031), and systolic blood pressure (SBP) immediately before embolization (P = .002). The need for additional surgery was correlated with FFP administration rate before embolization (P = .0002) and hemodynamic success (P = .003). Death was correlated with Glasgow Coma Scale score at admission (P = .001), ISS (P = .014), New Injury Severity Score (P = .016), number of injured sites (P = .012), SBP before embolization (P = .042), need for vasopressive drugs before embolization (P = .037), and hemodynamic success (P = .0004).¦CONCLUSIONS: In patients in hemodynamically unstable condition, transcatheter arterial embolization effectively controls bleeding and improves hemodynamic stability. Immediate survival is related to hemodynamic condition before embolization, and 30-d mortality is mainly related to associated brain trauma.

Subclinical thyroid dysfunction and the risk of heart failure events: an individual participant data analysis from 6 prospective cohorts.

BACKGROUND: American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association guidelines for the diagnosis and management of heart failure recommend investigating exacerbating conditions such as thyroid dysfunction, but without specifying the impact of different thyroid-stimulation hormone (TSH) levels. Limited prospective data exist on the association between subclinical thyroid dysfunction and heart failure events. METHODS AND RESULTS: We performed a pooled analysis of individual participant data using all available prospective cohorts with thyroid function tests and subsequent follow-up of heart failure events. Individual data on 25 390 participants with 216 248 person-years of follow-up were supplied from 6 prospective cohorts in the United States and Europe. Euthyroidism was defined as TSH of 0.45 to 4.49 mIU/L, subclinical hypothyroidism as TSH of 4.5 to 19.9 mIU/L, and subclinical hyperthyroidism as TSH <0.45 mIU/L, the last two with normal free thyroxine levels. Among 25 390 participants, 2068 (8.1%) had subclinical hypothyroidism and 648 (2.6%) had subclinical hyperthyroidism. In age- and sex-adjusted analyses, risks of heart failure events were increased with both higher and lower TSH levels (P for quadratic pattern <0.01); the hazard ratio was 1.01 (95% confidence interval, 0.81-1.26) for TSH of 4.5 to 6.9 mIU/L, 1.65 (95% confidence interval, 0.84-3.23) for TSH of 7.0 to 9.9 mIU/L, 1.86 (95% confidence interval, 1.27-2.72) for TSH of 10.0 to 19.9 mIU/L (P for trend <0.01) and 1.31 (95% confidence interval, 0.88-1.95) for TSH of 0.10 to 0.44 mIU/L and 1.94 (95% confidence interval, 1.01-3.72) for TSH <0.10 mIU/L (P for trend=0.047). Risks remained similar after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors. CONCLUSION: Risks of heart failure events were increased with both higher and lower TSH levels, particularly for TSH ≥10 and <0.10 mIU/L.

Inflammatory markers and incident heart failure risk in older adults: the Health ABC (Health, Aging, and Body Composition) study.

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the association between inflammation and heart failure (HF) risk in older adults. BACKGROUND: Inflammation is associated with HF risk factors and also directly affects myocardial function. METHODS: The association of baseline serum concentrations of interleukin (IL)-6, tumor necrosis factor-alpha, and C-reactive protein (CRP) with incident HF was assessed with Cox models among 2,610 older persons without prevalent HF enrolled in the Health ABC (Health, Aging, and Body Composition) study (age 73.6 +/- 2.9 years; 48.3% men; 59.6% white). RESULTS: During follow-up (median 9.4 years), HF developed in 311 (11.9%) participants. In models controlling for clinical characteristics, ankle-arm index, and incident coronary heart disease, doubling of IL-6, tumor necrosis factor-alpha, and CRP concentrations was associated with 29% (95% confidence interval: 13% to 47%; p < 0.001), 46% (95% confidence interval: 17% to 84%; p = 0.001), and 9% (95% confidence interval: -1% to 24%; p = 0.087) increase in HF risk, respectively. In models including all 3 markers, IL-6, and tumor necrosis factor-alpha, but not CRP, remained significant. These associations were similar across sex and race and persisted in models accounting for death as a competing event. Post-HF ejection fraction was available in 239 (76.8%) cases; inflammatory markers had stronger association with HF with preserved ejection fraction. Repeat IL-6 and CRP determinations at 1-year follow-up did not provide incremental information. Addition of IL-6 to the clinical Health ABC HF model improved model discrimination (C index from 0.717 to 0.734; p = 0.001) and fit (decreased Bayes information criterion by 17.8; p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Inflammatory markers are associated with HF risk among older adults and may improve HF risk stratification.

Subclinical thyroid dysfunction, cardiac function, and the risk of heart failure. The Cardiovascular Health study.

OBJECTIVES: The goal of this study was to determine whether subclinical thyroid dysfunction was associated with incident heart failure (HF) and echocardiogram abnormalities. BACKGROUND: Subclinical hypothyroidism and hyperthyroidism have been associated with cardiac dysfunction. However, long-term data on the risk of HF are limited. METHODS: We studied 3,044 adults>or=65 years of age who initially were free of HF in the Cardiovascular Health Study. We compared adjudicated HF events over a mean 12-year follow-up and changes in cardiac function over the course of 5 years among euthyroid participants, those with subclinical hypothyroidism (subdivided by thyroid-stimulating hormone [TSH] levels: 4.5 to 9.9, >or=10.0 mU/l), and those with subclinical hyperthyroidism. RESULTS: Over the course of 12 years, 736 participants developed HF events. Participants with TSH>or=10.0 mU/l had a greater incidence of HF compared with euthyroid participants (41.7 vs. 22.9 per 1,000 person years, p=0.01; adjusted hazard ratio: 1.88; 95% confidence interval: 1.05 to 3.34). Baseline peak E velocity, which is an echocardiographic measurement of diastolic function associated with incident HF in the CHS cohort, was greater in those patients with TSH>or=10.0 mU/l compared with euthyroid participants (0.80 m/s vs. 0.72 m/s, p=0.002). Over the course of 5 years, left ventricular mass increased among those with TSH>or=10.0 mU/l, but other echocardiographic measurements were unchanged. Those patients with TSH 4.5 to 9.9 mU/l or with subclinical hyperthyroidism had no increase in risk of HF. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with euthyroid older adults, those adults with TSH>or=10.0 mU/l have a moderately increased risk of HF and alterations in cardiac function but not older adults with TSH<10.0 mU/l. Clinical trials should assess whether the risk of HF might be ameliorated by thyroxine replacement in individuals with TSH>or=10.0 mU/l.

Sexual behavior and factors affecting female reproduction in house and field crickets

The objective of this investigation was to clarify the adaptive significance of female sexual behaviours in the house cricket, Acheta domesticus, and the Texas field cricket, Gryllus integer. Experiments were focussed primarily on: nutritional factors affecting female reproductive success; the ontogeny of female sexual behaviours; female mating frequency and progeny production; and the pattern of sperm competition. Reproduction of singly mated female A. domesticus assigned to 3 nutritional regimes was compared . Females fed a vitamin and protein-enriched mouse chow, cannibalistic females, and starved females produced on the average, 513 , 200 and 68 offspring, respectively. Cannibals probably could not obtain the same amounts of essential nutrients as females fed mouse chow. Reabsorption of oocytes was likely the major factor contributing to the decreased reproduction of starved females. In addition, female !. domesticus fed mouse chow, but allowed constant access to males produced 11 times as many offspring than did females fed corn meal. Females fed corn meal probably could not absorb or synthesize enough dietary lipids, thus resulting in poor ovariole growth. Female !. domesticus first mate at an average adult age of 7 days, closely corresponding to when they first exhibit positive phonotaxis. Females mate repeatedly and often consume the externally attached spermatophore. In ~. domesticus, females allowed constant access to males produced significantly more offspring than did single maters. Similarly, doubly mated G. integer females produced more offspring than did single maters. This difference resulted largely from the failure of many single maters to reproduce. Remating by female crickets partly functions in offsetting the possibility of a failed initial mating. Nymph production increased significantly with the time the spermatophore was attached in singly mated ~. domesticus. Spermatophore consumption by the female was not affected by male guarding behaviour, and the interval between mating and eating of the spermatophore may often be shorter than the time required for maximum insemination. Some degree of sperm depletion in singly mated !. domesticus and G. integer may have occurred. The patterns of daily offspring production of singly and multiplymated females suggests that a factor provided by a male during mating stimulates female oviposition and/or egg production. Female crickets also might acquire nutrition from spermatophore consumption, a benefit that is augmented by female multiple mating. The electrophoretic examination of various allozymes in ~. integer did not permit determination of a pattern of sperm competition. However, the possibility of last male sperm predominance is related to male guarding behaviour.

Cerebral edema and acute liver failure : pathophysiological mechanisms and new therapeutic approaches

L’encéphalopathie hépatique (EH) se développe chez les patients atteints d’une maladie du foie et se caractérise par de nombreuses anomalies neuropsychiatriques. L’insuffisance hépatique aiguë (IHA) se caractérise par une perte progressive de l’état de conscience, par une augmentation rapide de l’œdème cérébral et une augmentation de la pression intracrânienne entraînant une herniation cérébrale et la mort. Plusieurs facteurs sont responsables du développement de l’EH mais depuis une centaine d’années, l’hyperammonémie qui peut atteindre des concentrations de l’ordre de plusieurs millimolaires chez les patients atteints d’IHA aux stades de coma est considérée comme un facteur crucial dans la pathogenèse de l’EH. La présente thèse comprend 4 articles suggérant l’implication de nouveaux mécanismes pathogéniques dans le développement de l’EH et de l’œdème cérébral associés à l’IHA et tente d’expliquer l’effet thérapeutique de l’hypothermie et de la minocycline dans la prévention de l’EH et de l’œdème cérébral: 1. L’IHA induite par dévascularisation hépatique chez le rat se caractérise par une augmentation de la production de cytokines pro-inflammatoires cérébrales (IL-6, IL-1, TNF-). Cette observation constitue la première évidence directe que des mécanismes neuro-inflammatoires jouent une rôle dans la pathogenèse de l’EH et de l’œdème cérébral associés à l’IHA (Chapitre 2.1, articles 1 et 2). 2. L’activation de la microglie telle que mesurée par l’expression de marqueurs spécifiques (OX42, OX-6) coïncide avec le développement de l’encéphalopathie (stade coma) et de l’œdème cérébral et s’accompagne d’une production accrue de cytokines pro-inflammatoires cérébrales (Chapitre 2.1, article 1 et 2). 3. Un stress oxydatif/nitrosatif causé par une augmentation de l’expression de l’oxyde nitrique synthétase et une augmentation de la synthèse d’oxyde nitrique cérébral participe à la pathogénèse des complications neurologiques de l’IHA (Chapitre 2.3, articles 3 et 4). 4. Des traitements anti-inflammatoires tels que l’hypothermie et la minocycline peuvent constituer de nouvelles approches thérapeutiques chez les patients atteints d’IHA (Chapitre 2.1, article 1; Chapitre 2.2, article 2). 5. Les effets bénéfiques de l’hypothermie et de la minocycline sur les complications neurologiques de l’IHA expérimentale s’expliquent, en partie, par une diminution du stress oxydatif/nitrosatif (Chapitre 2.3, article 3; Chapitre 2.4, article 4).

Keeping cool in acute liver failure: rationale for the use of mild hypothermia.

Encephalopathy, brain edema and intracranial hypertension are neurological complications responsible for substantial morbidity/mortality in patients with acute liver failure (ALF), where, aside from liver transplantation, there is currently a paucity of effective therapies. Mirroring its cerebro-protective effects in other clinical conditions, the induction of mild hypothermia may provide a potential therapeutic approach to the management of ALF. A solid mechanistic rationale for the use of mild hypothermia is provided by clinical and experimental studies showing its beneficial effects in relation to many of the key factors that determine the development of brain edema and intracranial hypertension in ALF, namely the delivery of ammonia to the brain, the disturbances of brain organic osmolytes and brain extracellular amino acids, cerebro-vascular haemodynamics, brain glucose metabolism, inflammation, subclinical seizure activity and alterations of gene expression. Initial uncontrolled clinical studies of mild hypothermia in patients with ALF suggest that it is an effective, feasible and safe approach. Randomized controlled clinical trials are now needed to adequately assess its efficacy, safety, clinical impact on global outcomes and to provide the guidelines for its use in ALF.

Limited capacity for ammonia removal by brain in chronic liver failure: potential role of nitric oxide.

Chronic liver failure leads to hyperammonemia and consequently increased brain ammonia concentrations, resulting in hepatic encephalopathy. When the liver fails to regulate ammonia concentrations, the brain, devoid of a urea cycle, relies solely on the amidation of glutamate to glutamine through glutamine synthetase, to efficiently clear ammonia. Surprisingly, under hyperammonemic conditions, the brain is not capable of increasing its capacity to remove ammonia, which even decreases in some regions of the brain. This non-induction of glutamine synthetase in astrocytes could result from possible limiting substrates or cofactors for the enzyme, or an indirect effect of ammonia on glutamine synthetase expression. In addition, there is evidence that nitration of the enzyme resulting from exposure to nitric oxide could also be implicated. The present review summarizes these possible factors involved in limiting the increase in capacity of glutamine synthetase in brain, in chronic liver failure.

Brain edema in acute liver failure and chronic liver disease: Similarities and differences.

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is a complex neuropsychiatric syndrome that typically develops as a result of acute liver failure or chronic liver disease. Brain edema is a common feature associated with HE. In acute liver failure, brain edema contributes to an increase in intracranial pressure, which can fatally lead to brain stem herniation. In chronic liver disease, intracranial hypertension is rarely observed, even though brain edema may be present. This discrepancy in the development of intracranial hypertension in acute liver failure versus chronic liver disease suggests that brain edema plays a different role in relation to the onset of HE. Furthermore, the pathophysiological mechanisms involved in the development of brain edema in acute liver failure and chronic liver disease are dissimilar. This review explores the types of brain edema, the cells, and pathogenic factors involved in its development, while emphasizing the differences in acute liver failure versus chronic liver disease. The implications of brain edema developing as a neuropathological consequence of HE, or as a cause of HE, are also discussed.

La investigació sobre l'èxit i el fracàs escolar des la la perspectiva dels factors de risc. Implicacions per a la recerca i la pràctica educatives

La situació problemàtica de la qual partim en aquesta tesi és la constatació de l'existència d'unes dinàmiques escolars negatives -expressades amb males notes reiterades- difícils de modificar, que determinats infants inicien i desenvolupen al llarg de la seva escolarització i que els condueix a una situació de fracàs escolar. Les males notes són el senyal que alerta pares i educadors de la presència de problemes escolars en els alumnes i constitueixen la causa explícita que motiva la cerca de solucions. Sovint es busquen solucions fora de l'escola, la qual cosa suggereix que, malgrat els esforços realitzats, l'escola i el sistema educatiu han tingut dificultats per a ajudar els infants a millorar globalment els seus resultats escolars. D'una banda, l'escola troba dificultats per a identificar el mes aviat possible quins infants seran mes susceptibles de desenvolupar unes dinàmiques escolars negatives que els puguin conduir a una situació de fracàs escolar. D'altra banda, també hi ha dificultats per trobar i aplicar estratègies preventives d'intervenció educativa a l'aula, que resultin adequades per a prevenir el desenvolupament de dinàmiques escolars negatives en alguns infants. Partint de la situació problemàtica descrita, la finalitat de la tesi es obtenir informació teòrica , empírica sobre algunes variables que puguin resultar rellevants per a articular, des de l'aula escolar, intervencions educatives destinades a prevenir el desenvolupament de les dinàmiques escolars negatives. Des de la perspectiva de la prevenció, la rellevància de les variables hauria d'establir-se en funció de la seva utilitat per a: A) Identificar des de l'aula escolar situacions de més perill -de més risc- de desenvolupar aquestes dinàmiques negatives i, consegüentment, arribar a la situació de fracàs escolar . Això implica, per tant, que les variables han de permetre la identificació abans que la situació de fracàs escolar es produeixi . B) Intervenir educativament des de l'escola; per tant, cal que siguin variables sobre les quals l'escola pugui incidir. La modificabilitat de les variables ha de permetre que es puguin emprendre accions educatives, des de la mateixa aula escolar. Variables que resultin suficientment importants de cara a disminuir el perill o evitar el desenvolupament de dinàmiques negatives. Es a dir, que la seva modificació contribueixi a evitar que els infants arribin a la situació de fracàs escolar. Per assolir aquesta finalitat es realitzen un segut de passes en funció de les quals s'ha estructurat la tesi en dues parts: Un marc teòric i un estudi de casos. EI Marc teòric té dos objectius: 1. Definir la situació problemàtica. En el capítol primer del marc teòric de la tesi, s'exposen les dimensions d'aquesta situació problemàtica. La revisió bibliogràfica entorn del tema del fracàs escolar ens ajuda a emmarcar la qüestió de les dinàmiques escolars en el fenomen complex del fracàs i l'èxit escolar, i del rendiment. Aquestes aportacions teòriques juntament amb les aportacions de la recerca educativa en relació a l'estabilitat del rendiment al llarg dels cursos són la base per a definir la situació problemàtica. 2. Delimitar, des d'un punt de vista teòric, algunes variables rellevants per a la prevenció del desenvolupament de dinàmiques escolars negatives, conduents a la situació de fracàs escolar. La primera passa per a dur a terme aquesta delimitació teòrica, que es presenta al segon capítol, ha estat revisar les aportacions de les investigacions sobre variables que incideixen en el rendiment escolar, les quals s'han analitzat en funció de la seva rellevància per a la prevenció. Aquesta revisió ha permès constatar un seguit de problemes de caire terminològic, metodològic i sobre la repercussió d'aquesta recerca en la practica educativa que afecten directament la utilitat de les aportacions d'aquestes investigacions de cara a identificar variables rellevants per a la prevenció. De l'anàlisi dels resultats d'aquestes recerques es desprèn que: a) Hi ha moltes variables associades al rendiment escolar, algunes difícilment modificables mitjançant la intervenció educativa escolar. b) EI fet que una variable estigui associada al rendiment no implica que sigui rellevant per a la prevenció c) S'obté poca informació sobre variables que contribueixin a disminuir la probabilitat de fracàs escolar. En base a aquests resultats es constata que cal buscar una perspectiva d'anàlisi de les variables mes adequades a l'enfocament preventiu, perspectiva que ha d'orientar-se a l'estudi del risc de fracàs escolar. La segona passa que es duu a terme per arribar a una delimitació teòrica de les variables rellevants es l'estudi del concepte de risc i d'altres conceptes relacionats: signe de risc, marcador de risc, factor de risc, factor protector, població en risc, infant en situació de risc, així com la revisió d'estudis i recerques que s'han plantejat en aquesta línia. Aquest treball ha permès: a) Clarificar aquests conceptes i aplicar-los en l'àmbit educatiu, en referència al problema del fracàs escolar, estructurant un marc teòric en funció del qual plantejar una anàlisi de les variables associades al rendiment escolar. b) Concretar un model per a l'anàlisi, des de l'aula escolar, de les variables que incideixen en el risc de fracàs escolar. Aquest model, que es situa en la perspectiva de l'aula escolar i que pren en consideració el paper actiu que els estudiants tenen respecte al seu aprenentatge, consta de tres components: unes variables, les seves relacions i la funció que exerceixen en relació al risc de fracàs escolar. La conclusió a la qual s'arriba es que, des d'un punt de vista teòric, una variable serà rellevant per a articular intervencions educatives preventives des de l'escola si constitueix o bé un factor de risc, o be un factor protector o compensador del risc. La delimitació empírica de variables rellevants per a la prevenció del fracàs escolar -que constitueix l'objectiu de la segona part de la tesi- es duu a terme mitjançant un estudi de casos que es deriva del plantejament teòric elaborat. L'objectiu d'aquest estudi es identificar variables que han pogut constituir factors protectors en joves que es troben en situació de risc per circumstàncies sociofamiliars. Se seleccionen tres noies i dos nois que, malgrat trobar-se en situació de risc, han assolit un cert nivell d'èxit escolar. Basant-nos en el model s'ha recollit informació sobre característiques actitudinals dels estudiants, del seu procés d'autoaprenentatge i de l'ambient d'aprenentatge. S'utilitza un disseny qualitatiu d'estudi de casos, utilitzant entrevistes amb profunditat per a recollir informació, la qual s'analitza mitjançant tècniques d'anàlisi de continguts. L'estudi de cada un dels cinc casos i la seva posterior comparació ha permès identificar algunes variables que poden haver constituït factors protectors del risc de fracàs escolar. Entre elles podem citar 1. La consciència de la pròpia situació complexa i desfavorable que han viscut o estan vivint. 2. Tenir un projecte vital a mig o llarg termini, en el qual els estudis són concebuts com a una via per assolir-lo. 3. Ser autoresponsables dels aprenentatges. 4. Haver identificat models a seguir en altres persones. Del treball realitzat tant des d'una perspectiva teòrica com empírica i les conclusions a les quals s'ha arribat se'n desprenen implicacions per a la practica educativa, per a la recerca i per a la formació professional dels educadors i educadores socials. Pel que fa a les implicacions per a la practica educativa, es proposa el model com a base per a la identificació de situacions de risc i per al disseny d'intervencions educatives amb l'objectiu de prevenir el fracàs escolar. En aquest sentit, i en funció dels resultats obtinguts a l'estudi de casos, es proposen unes línies d'intervenció preventiva en casos de risc similars als que han estat objecte d'estudi, línies que poden prendre en consideració tant els/les mestres com els educadors/es. Pel que fa a les implicacions per a la investigació educativa, es deriven quatre línies de recerca: investigació sobre factors de risc, investigació sobre factors protectors, investigació sobre el potencial preventiu d'intervencions educatives dissenyades en base a factors de risc i factors protectors, l'investigació sobre com potenciar des de diferents àmbits (escola i vida quotidiana) els fadors protectors. Quant a les implicacions per a la formació professional dels educadors/es socials, els resultats de l'estudi de casos com a possibles aspectes a treballar per part dels educadors/es impliquen un treball en el qual aquests professionals han d'haver rebut formació sobre: 1. La relació educativa com a recurs per a la intervenció educativa professional. 2. La necessitat d'un treball coordinat interdisciplinari com a estratègia de treball professional. 3. EI coneixement de programes coherents i estratègies d'intervenció sobre factors protectors. 4. L'elaboració de programes educatius, de manera que els educadors/es puguin adaptar les intervencions a les necessitats educatives dels subjectes. 5. La intervenció educativa en famílies.

Parametric accelerated failure time models with random effects and an application to kidney transplant survival

Accelerated failure time models with a shared random component are described, and are used to evaluate the effect of explanatory factors and different transplant centres on survival times following kidney transplantation. Different combinations of the distribution of the random effects and baseline hazard function are considered and the fit of such models to the transplant data is critically assessed. A mixture model that combines short- and long-term components of a hazard function is then developed, which provides a more flexible model for the hazard function. The model can incorporate different explanatory variables and random effects in each component. The model is straightforward to fit using standard statistical software, and is shown to be a good fit to the transplant data. Copyright (C) 2004 John Wiley Sons, Ltd.

The British state and the Irish rebellion of 1916: an intelligence failure or an failure of response

The teleological narrative that has dominated the handling of intelligence by the British state in the events that led up to the 1916 Irish Rebellion in Dublin has been characterised as a cocktail of incompetence and mendacity. Using new and existing archive material this article argues that both the cabinet in London and key members of the Irish Executive in Dublin were supplied with accurate and timely intelligence by the Admiralty's signals intelligence unit, the Royal Irish Constabulary and the Dublin Metropolitan Police with respect to this event. Far from being a failure of intelligence here is evidence to show that there occurred a failure of response on behalf of key decision-makers. The warnings that were given by intelligence organisations were filtered through the existing policy preferences and assumptions. As a result of these factors accurate evaluations and sound judgement were not exercised by key officials, such as Sir Matthew Nathan, in Dublin Castle.

Environmental factors driving the effectiveness of European agri-environmental measures in mitigating pollinator loss – a meta-analysis

In Europe, agri-environmental schemes (AES) have been introduced in response to concerns about farmland biodiversity declines. Yet, as AES have delivered variable results, a better understanding of what determines their success or failure is urgently needed. Focusing on pollinating insects, we quantitatively reviewed how environmental factors affect the effectiveness of AES. Our results suggest that the ecological contrast in floral resources created by schemes drives the response of pollinators to AES but that this response is moderated by landscape context and farmland type, with more positive responses in croplands (vs. grasslands) located in simple (vs. cleared or complex) landscapes. These findings inform us how to promote pollinators and associated pollination services in species-poor landscapes. They do not, however, present viable strategies to mitigate loss of threatened or endangered species. This indicates that the objectives and design of AES should distinguish more clearly between biodiversity conservation and delivery of ecosystem services.