Crabeater seals (Lobodon carcinophaga) in the Weddell Sea during DRE1998 campaign

The crabeater seal (Lobodon carcinophaga) is the most abundant Antarctic seal and inhabits the circumpolar pack ice zone of the Southern Ocean. Until now, information on important environmental factors affecting its distribution as well as on foraging behaviour is limited. In austral summer 1998, 12 crabeater seals of both sexes and different age classes were equipped with satellitelinked dive recorders at Drescher Inlet (72.85°S, 19.26°E), eastern Weddell Sea. To identify suitable habitat conditions within the Weddell Sea, a maximum entropy (Maxent) modelling approach was implemented. The model revealed that the eastern and southern Weddell Sea is especially suitable for crabeater seals. Distance to the continental shelf break and sea ice concentration were the two most important parameters in modelling species distribution throughout the study period. Model predictions demonstrated that crabeater seals showed a dynamic response to their seasonally changing environment emphasized by the favoured sea ice conditions. Crabeater seals utilized ice-free waters substantially, which is potentially explained by the comparatively low sea ice cover of the Weddell Sea during summer 1998. Diving behaviour was characterized by short (>90 % = 0-4 min) and shallow (>90 % = 0-51 m) dives. This pattern reflects the typical summer and autumn foraging behaviour of crabeater seals. Both the distribution and foraging behaviour corresponded well with the life history of the Antarctic krill (Euphausia superba), the preferred prey of crabeater seals. In general, predicted suitable habitat conditions were congruent with probable habitats of krill, which emphasizes the strong dependence on their primary prey.

Bases metodológicas para un sistema de apoyo a la selección de especies en la restauración de la vegetación

RESUMEN El apoyo a la selección de especies a la restauración de la vegetación en España en los últimos 40 años se ha basado fundamentalmente en modelos de distribución de especies, también llamados modelos de nicho ecológico, que estiman la probabilidad de presencia de las especies en función de las condiciones del medio físico (clima, suelo, etc.). Con esta tesis se ha intentado contribuir a la mejora de la capacidad predictiva de los modelos introduciendo algunas propuestas metodológicas adaptadas a los datos disponibles actualmente en España y enfocadas al uso de los modelos en la selección de especies. No siempre se dispone de datos a una resolución espacial adecuada para la escala de los proyectos de restauración de la vegetación. Sin embrago es habitual contar con datos de baja resolución espacial para casi todas las especies vegetales presentes en España. Se propone un método de recalibración que actualiza un modelo de regresión logística de baja resolución espacial con una nueva muestra de alta resolución espacial. El método permite obtener predicciones de calidad aceptable con muestras relativamente pequeñas (25 presencias de la especie) frente a las muestras mucho mayores (más de 100 presencias) que requería una estrategia de modelización convencional que no usara el modelo previo. La selección del método estadístico puede influir decisivamente en la capacidad predictiva de los modelos y por esa razón la comparación de métodos ha recibido mucha atención en la última década. Los estudios previos consideraban a la regresión logística como un método inferior a técnicas más modernas como las de máxima entropía. Los resultados de la tesis demuestran que esa diferencia observada se debe a que los modelos de máxima entropía incluyen técnicas de regularización y la versión de la regresión logística usada en las comparaciones no. Una vez incorporada la regularización a la regresión logística usando penalización, las diferencias en cuanto a capacidad predictiva desaparecen. La regresión logística penalizada es, por tanto, una alternativa más para el ajuste de modelos de distribución de especies y está a la altura de los métodos modernos con mejor capacidad predictiva como los de máxima entropía. A menudo, los modelos de distribución de especies no incluyen variables relativas al suelo debido a que no es habitual que se disponga de mediciones directas de sus propiedades físicas o químicas. La incorporación de datos de baja resolución espacial proveniente de mapas de suelo nacionales o continentales podría ser una alternativa. Los resultados de esta tesis sugieren que los modelos de distribución de especies de alta resolución espacial mejoran de forma ligera pero estadísticamente significativa su capacidad predictiva cuando se incorporan variables relativas al suelo procedente de mapas de baja resolución espacial. La validación es una de las etapas fundamentales del desarrollo de cualquier modelo empírico como los modelos de distribución de especies. Lo habitual es validar los modelos evaluando su capacidad predictiva especie a especie, es decir, comparando en un conjunto de localidades la presencia o ausencia observada de la especie con las predicciones del modelo. Este tipo de evaluación no responde a una cuestión clave en la restauración de la vegetación ¿cuales son las n especies más idóneas para el lugar a restaurar? Se ha propuesto un método de evaluación de modelos adaptado a esta cuestión que consiste en estimar la capacidad de un conjunto de modelos para discriminar entre las especies presentes y ausentes de un lugar concreto. El método se ha aplicado con éxito a la validación de 188 modelos de distribución de especies leñosas orientados a la selección de especies para la restauración de la vegetación en España. Las mejoras metodológicas propuestas permiten mejorar la capacidad predictiva de los modelos de distribución de especies aplicados a la selección de especies en la restauración de la vegetación y también permiten ampliar el número de especies para las que se puede contar con un modelo que apoye la toma de decisiones. SUMMARY During the last 40 years, decision support tools for plant species selection in ecological restoration in Spain have been based on species distribution models (also called ecological niche models), that estimate the probability of occurrence of the species as a function of environmental predictors (e.g., climate, soil). In this Thesis some methodological improvements are proposed to contribute to a better predictive performance of such models, given the current data available in Spain and focusing in the application of the models to selection of species for ecological restoration. Fine grained species distribution data are required to train models to be used at the scale of the ecological restoration projects, but this kind of data are not always available for every species. On the other hand, coarse grained data are available for almost every species in Spain. A recalibration method is proposed that updates a coarse grained logistic regression model using a new fine grained updating sample. The method allows obtaining acceptable predictive performance with reasonably small updating sample (25 occurrences of the species), in contrast with the much larger samples (more than 100 occurrences) required for a conventional modeling approach that discards the coarse grained data. The choice of the statistical method may have a dramatic effect on model performance, therefore comparisons of methods have received much interest in the last decade. Previous studies have shown a poorer performance of the logistic regression compared to novel methods like maximum entropy models. The results of this Thesis show that the observed difference is caused by the fact that maximum entropy models include regularization techniques and the versions of logistic regression compared do not. Once regularization has been added to the logistic regression using a penalization procedure, the differences in model performance disappear. Therefore, penalized logistic regression may be considered one of the best performing methods to model species distributions. Usually, species distribution models do not consider soil related predictors because direct measurements of the chemical or physical properties are often lacking. The inclusion of coarse grained soil data from national or continental soil maps could be a reasonable alternative. The results of this Thesis suggest that the performance of the models slightly increase after including soil predictors form coarse grained soil maps. Model validation is a key stage of the development of empirical models, such as species distribution models. The usual way of validating is based on the evaluation of model performance for each species separately, i.e., comparing observed species presences or absence to predicted probabilities in a set of sites. This kind of evaluation is not informative for a common question in ecological restoration projects: which n species are the most suitable for the environment of the site to be restored? A method has been proposed to address this question that estimates the ability of a set of models to discriminate among present and absent species in a evaluation site. The method has been successfully applied to the validation of 188 species distribution models used to support decisions on species selection for ecological restoration in Spain. The proposed methodological approaches improve the predictive performance of the predictive models applied to species selection in ecological restoration and increase the number of species for which a model that supports decisions can be fitted.

UAS See-and-Avoid Strategy using a Fuzzy Logic Controller Optimized by Cross-Entropy in Scaling Factors and Membership Functions

This work aims to develop a novel Cross-Entropy (CE) optimization-based fuzzy controller for Unmanned Aerial Monocular Vision-IMU System (UAMVIS) to solve the seeand- avoid problem using its accurate autonomous localization information. The function of this fuzzy controller is regulating the heading of this system to avoid the obstacle, e.g. wall. In the Matlab Simulink-based training stages, the Scaling Factor (SF) is adjusted according to the specified task firstly, and then the Membership Function (MF) is tuned based on the optimized Scaling Factor to further improve the collison avoidance performance. After obtained the optimal SF and MF, 64% of rules has been reduced (from 125 rules to 45 rules), and a large number of real flight tests with a quadcopter have been done. The experimental results show that this approach precisely navigates the system to avoid the obstacle. To our best knowledge, this is the first work to present the optimized fuzzy controller for UAMVIS using Cross-Entropy method in Scaling Factors and Membership Functions optimization.

Analysis of Meshfree Methods for Lagrangian Fluid-Structure Interaction

In this dissertation a new numerical method for solving Fluid-Structure Interaction (FSI) problems in a Lagrangian framework is developed, where solids of different constitutive laws can suffer very large deformations and fluids are considered to be newtonian and incompressible. For that, we first introduce a meshless discretization based on local maximum-entropy interpolants. This allows to discretize a spatial domain with no need of tessellation, avoiding the mesh limitations. Later, the Stokes flow problem is studied. The Galerkin meshless method based on a max-ent scheme for this problem suffers from instabilities, and therefore stabilization techniques are discussed and analyzed. An unconditionally stable method is finally formulated based on a Douglas-Wang stabilization. Then, a Langrangian expression for fluid mechanics is derived. This allows us to establish a common framework for fluid and solid domains, such that interaction can be naturally accounted. The resulting equations are also in the need of stabilization, what is corrected with an analogous technique as for the Stokes problem. The fully Lagrangian framework for fluid/solid interaction is completed with simple point-to-point and point-to-surface contact algorithms. The method is finally validated, and some numerical examples show the potential scope of applications.

UAS See-and-Avoid Strategy using a Fuzzy Logic Controller Optimized by Cross-Entropy in Scaling Factors and Membership Functions.

This work aims to develop a novel Cross-Entropy (CE) optimization-based fuzzy controller for Unmanned Aerial Monocular Vision-IMU System (UAMVIS) to solve the seeand-avoid problem using its accurate autonomous localization information. The function of this fuzzy controller is regulating the heading of this system to avoid the obstacle, e.g. wall. In the Matlab Simulink-based training stages, the Scaling Factor (SF) is adjusted according to the specified task firstly, and then the Membership Function (MF) is tuned based on the optimized Scaling Factor to further improve the collison avoidance performance. After obtained the optimal SF and MF, 64% of rules has been reduced (from 125 rules to 45 rules), and a large number of real flight tests with a quadcopter have been done. The experimental results show that this approach precisely navigates the system to avoid the obstacle. To our best knowledge, this is the first work to present the optimized fuzzy controller for UAMVIS using Cross-Entropy method in Scaling Factors and Membership Functions optimization.

Study of the interface Pt(111)/ [Emmim][NTf2] using laser-induced temperature jump experiments

The interface between a Pt(111) electrode and a room temperature ionic liquid, 1-ethyl-2,3-dimethylimidazolium bis(trifluoromethylsulfonyl)imide, was investigated with the laser-induced temperature jump method. In this technique, the temperature of the interface is suddenly increased by applying short laser pulses. The change of the electrode potential caused by the thermal perturbation is measured under coulostatic conditions during the subsequent temperature relaxation. This change is mainly related to the reorganization of the solvent components near the electrode surface. The sign of the potential transient depends on the potential of the experiment. At high potential values, positive transients indicate a higher density of anions than cations close the surface, contributing negatively to the potential of the electrode. Decreasing the applied potential to sufficiently low values, the transient becomes negative, meaning that the density of cations becomes then higher at the surface of the electrode. The potential dependence of the interfacial response shows a marked hysteresis depending on the direction in which the applied potential is changed.

Ages and diatom temperature values of DSDP sites in the western Pacific Ocean

Maximum entropy spectral analyses and a fitting test to find the best suitable curve for the modified time series based on the non-linear least squares method for Td (diatom temperature) values were performed for the Quaternary portion of the DSDP Sites 579 and 580 in the western North Pacific. The sampling interval averages 13.7 kyr in the Brunhes Chron (0-780 ka) and 16.5 kyr in the later portion of the Matuyama Chron (780-1800 ka) at Site 580, but increases to 17.3 kyr and 23.2 kyr, respectively, at Site 579. Among dominant cycles during the Brunhes Chron, there are 411.5 kyr and 126.0 kyr at Site 579, and 467.0 kyr and 136.7 kyr at Site 580 correspond to 413 kyr and 95 to 124 kyr of the orbital eccentricity. Minor cycles of 41.2 kyr at Site 579 and 41.7 kyr at Site 580 are near to 41 kyr of the obliquity (tilt). During the Matuyama Chron at Site 580, cycles of 49.7 kyr and 43.6 kyr are dominant. The surface-water temperature estimated from diatoms at the western North Pacific DSDP Sites 579 and 580 shows correlation with the fundamental Earth's orbital parameters during Quaternary time.

The transform likelihood ratio method for rare event simulation with heavy tails

We present a novel method, called the transform likelihood ratio (TLR) method, for estimation of rare event probabilities with heavy-tailed distributions. Via a simple transformation ( change of variables) technique the TLR method reduces the original rare event probability estimation with heavy tail distributions to an equivalent one with light tail distributions. Once this transformation has been established we estimate the rare event probability via importance sampling, using the classical exponential change of measure or the standard likelihood ratio change of measure. In the latter case the importance sampling distribution is chosen from the same parametric family as the transformed distribution. We estimate the optimal parameter vector of the importance sampling distribution using the cross-entropy method. We prove the polynomial complexity of the TLR method for certain heavy-tailed models and demonstrate numerically its high efficiency for various heavy-tailed models previously thought to be intractable. We also show that the TLR method can be viewed as a universal tool in the sense that not only it provides a unified view for heavy-tailed simulation but also can be efficiently used in simulation with light-tailed distributions. We present extensive simulation results which support the efficiency of the TLR method.

A fuzzy approach to texture segmentation

The texture segmentation techniques are diversified by the existence of several approaches. In this paper, we propose fuzzy features for the segmentation of texture image. For this purpose, a membership function is constructed to represent the effect of the neighboring pixels on the current pixel in a window. Using these membership function values, we find a feature by weighted average method for the current pixel. This is repeated for all pixels in the window treating each time one pixel as the current pixel. Using these fuzzy based features, we derive three descriptors such as maximum, entropy, and energy for each window. To segment the texture image, the modified mountain clustering that is unsupervised and fuzzy c-means clustering have been used. The performance of the proposed features is compared with that of fractal features.

On Supra-Bayesian Weighted Combination of Available Data Determined by Kerridge Inaccuracy and Entropy

2010 Mathematics Subject Classification: 94A17.

Mapped cetacean habitat suitability and richness in the Azores, links to ArcGIS files

Marine spatial planning and ecological research call for high-resolution species distribution data. However, those data are still not available for most marine large vertebrates. The dynamic nature of oceanographic processes and the wide-ranging behavior of many marine vertebrates create further difficulties, as distribution data must incorporate both the spatial and temporal dimensions. Cetaceans play an essential role in structuring and maintaining marine ecosystems and face increasing threats from human activities. The Azores holds a high diversity of cetaceans but the information about spatial and temporal patterns of distribution for this marine megafauna group in the region is still very limited. To tackle this issue, we created monthly predictive cetacean distribution maps for spring and summer months, using data collected by the Azores Fisheries Observer Programme between 2004 and 2009. We then combined the individual predictive maps to obtain species richness maps for the same period. Our results reflect a great heterogeneity in distribution among species and within species among different months. This heterogeneity reflects a contrasting influence of oceanographic processes on the distribution of cetacean species. However, some persistent areas of increased species richness could also be identified from our results. We argue that policies aimed at effectively protecting cetaceans and their habitats must include the principle of dynamic ocean management coupled with other area-based management such as marine spatial planning.

Design concept evaluation based on rough number and information entropy theory

Concept evaluation at the early phase of product development plays a crucial role in new product development. It determines the direction of the subsequent design activities. However, the evaluation information at this stage mainly comes from experts' judgments, which is subjective and imprecise. How to manage the subjectivity to reduce the evaluation bias is a big challenge in design concept evaluation. This paper proposes a comprehensive evaluation method which combines information entropy theory and rough number. Rough number is first presented to aggregate individual judgments and priorities and to manipulate the vagueness under a group decision-making environment. A rough number based information entropy method is proposed to determine the relative weights of evaluation criteria. The composite performance values based on rough number are then calculated to rank the candidate design concepts. The results from a practical case study on the concept evaluation of an industrial robot design show that the integrated evaluation model can effectively strengthen the objectivity across the decision-making processes.

Learning and Exploiting Camera Geometry for Computer Vision

This work explores the use of statistical methods in describing and estimating camera poses, as well as the information feedback loop between camera pose and object detection. Surging development in robotics and computer vision has pushed the need for algorithms that infer, understand, and utilize information about the position and orientation of the sensor platforms when observing and/or interacting with their environment.

The first contribution of this thesis is the development of a set of statistical tools for representing and estimating the uncertainty in object poses. A distribution for representing the joint uncertainty over multiple object positions and orientations is described, called the mirrored normal-Bingham distribution. This distribution generalizes both the normal distribution in Euclidean space, and the Bingham distribution on the unit hypersphere. It is shown to inherit many of the convenient properties of these special cases: it is the maximum-entropy distribution with fixed second moment, and there is a generalized Laplace approximation whose result is the mirrored normal-Bingham distribution. This distribution and approximation method are demonstrated by deriving the analytical approximation to the wrapped-normal distribution. Further, it is shown how these tools can be used to represent the uncertainty in the result of a bundle adjustment problem.

Another application of these methods is illustrated as part of a novel camera pose estimation algorithm based on object detections. The autocalibration task is formulated as a bundle adjustment problem using prior distributions over the 3D points to enforce the objects' structure and their relationship with the scene geometry. This framework is very flexible and enables the use of off-the-shelf computational tools to solve specialized autocalibration problems. Its performance is evaluated using a pedestrian detector to provide head and foot location observations, and it proves much faster and potentially more accurate than existing methods.

Finally, the information feedback loop between object detection and camera pose estimation is closed by utilizing camera pose information to improve object detection in scenarios with significant perspective warping. Methods are presented that allow the inverse perspective mapping traditionally applied to images to be applied instead to features computed from those images. For the special case of HOG-like features, which are used by many modern object detection systems, these methods are shown to provide substantial performance benefits over unadapted detectors while achieving real-time frame rates, orders of magnitude faster than comparable image warping methods.

The statistical tools and algorithms presented here are especially promising for mobile cameras, providing the ability to autocalibrate and adapt to the camera pose in real time. In addition, these methods have wide-ranging potential applications in diverse areas of computer vision, robotics, and imaging.

On Provable Algorithms for Determination of Continuous Protein Interdomain Motions from Residual Dipolar Couplings

Dynamics of biomolecules over various spatial and time scales are essential for biological functions such as molecular recognition, catalysis and signaling. However, reconstruction of biomolecular dynamics from experimental observables requires the determination of a conformational probability distribution. Unfortunately, these distributions cannot be fully constrained by the limited information from experiments, making the problem an ill-posed one in the terminology of Hadamard. The ill-posed nature of the problem comes from the fact that it has no unique solution. Multiple or even an infinite number of solutions may exist. To avoid the ill-posed nature, the problem needs to be regularized by making assumptions, which inevitably introduce biases into the result.

Here, I present two continuous probability density function approaches to solve an important inverse problem called the RDC trigonometric moment problem. By focusing on interdomain orientations we reduced the problem to determination of a distribution on the 3D rotational space from residual dipolar couplings (RDCs). We derived an analytical equation that relates alignment tensors of adjacent domains, which serves as the foundation of the two methods. In the first approach, the ill-posed nature of the problem was avoided by introducing a continuous distribution model, which enjoys a smoothness assumption. To find the optimal solution for the distribution, we also designed an efficient branch-and-bound algorithm that exploits the mathematical structure of the analytical solutions. The algorithm is guaranteed to find the distribution that best satisfies the analytical relationship. We observed good performance of the method when tested under various levels of experimental noise and when applied to two protein systems. The second approach avoids the use of any model by employing maximum entropy principles. This 'model-free' approach delivers the least biased result which presents our state of knowledge. In this approach, the solution is an exponential function of Lagrange multipliers. To determine the multipliers, a convex objective function is constructed. Consequently, the maximum entropy solution can be found easily by gradient descent methods. Both algorithms can be applied to biomolecular RDC data in general, including data from RNA and DNA molecules.

The invasion risk in the Pacific Northwest of two closely related grass species in the Genus Cortaderia

Thesis (Master's)--University of Washington, 2016-08