Urban growth dilemmas and solutions in China: Looking forward to 2030

China’s urbanization and industrialization are occupying farmland in large amounts, which is strongly driven by land finance regime. This is due to the intensified regional/local competition for manufacturing investment opportunities that push local governments to expropriate farmland at low prices while lease land at high market value to property developers. The additional revenue obtained in this way, termed financial increment in land values, can drive local economic growth, and provide associated infrastructure and other public services. At the same time, however, a floating population of large numbers of inadequately compensated land-lost farmers, although unable to become citizens, have to migrate into the urban areas for work, causing overheated employment and housing markets, with rocketing unaffordable housing prices. This, together with various micro factors relating to the party/state’s promotion/evaluation system play an essential role leading to some serious economic, environment and social consequences, e.g., on migrant welfare, the displacement of peasants and the loss of land resources that requires immediate attention. Our question is: whether such type of urbanization is sustainable? What are the mechanisms behind such a phenomenal urbanization process? From the perspective of institutionalism, this paper aims to investigate the institutional background of the urban growth dilemma and solutions in urban China and to introduce further an inter-regional game theoretical framework to indicate why the present urbanization pattern is unsustainable. Looking forward to 2030, paradigm policy changes are made from the triple consideration of floating population, social security and urban environmental pressures. This involves: (1) changing land increment based finance regime into land stock finance system; (2) the citizenization of migrant workers with affordable housing, and; (3) creating a more enlightened local government officer appraisal system to better take into account societal issues such as welfare and beyond.

Climate change and agriculture: theory and application of mitigation policies

Agriculture’s contribution to climate change is controversial as it is a significant source of greenhouse gases but also a sink of carbon. Hence its economic and technological potential to mitigate climate change have been argued to be noteworthy. However, social profitability of emission mitigation is a result from factors among emission reductions such as surface water quality impact or profit from production. Consequently, to value comprehensive results of agricultural climate emission mitigation practices, these co-effects to environment and economics should be taken into account. The objective of this thesis was to develop an integrated economic and ecological model to analyse the social welfare of crop cultivation in Finland on distinctive cultivation technologies, conventional tillage and conservation tillage (no-till). Further, we ask whether it would be privately or socially profitable to allocate some of barley cultivation for alternative land use, such as green set-aside or afforestation, when production costs, GHG’s and water quality impacts are taken into account. In the theoretical framework we depict the optimal input use and land allocation choices in terms of environmental impacts and profit from production and derive the optimal tax and payment policies for climate and water quality friendly land allocation. The empirical application of the model uses Finnish data about production cost and profit structure and environmental impacts. According to our results, given emission mitigation practices are not self-evidently beneficial for farmers or society. On the contrary, in some cases alternative land allocation could even reduce social welfare, profiting conventional crop cultivation. This is the case regarding mineral soils such as clay and silt soils. On organic agricultural soils, climate mitigation practices, in this case afforestation and green fallow give more promising results, decreasing climate emissions and nutrient runoff to water systems. No-till technology does not seem to profit climate mitigation although it does decrease other environmental impacts. Nevertheless, the data behind climate emission mitigation practices impact to production and climate is limited and partly contradictory. More specific experiment studies on interaction of emission mitigation practices and environment would be needed. Further study would be important. Particularly area specific production and environmental factors and also food security and safety and socio-economic impacts should be taken into account.

Luonnonhoitopellot maatalousympäristön luonnon monimuotoisuuden edistämisessä

Luonnonhoitopellot lisättiin uutena vapaaehtoisena toimenpiteenä maatalouden ympäristötukeen vuonna 2009. Luonnonhoitopeltoihin kuuluvat monivuotiset nurmipellot sekä niitty-, riista- ja maisemakasveilla kylvetyt pellot. Toimenpiteen avulla pyritään suojelemaan ja lisäämään maatalousympäristön luonnon monimuotoisuutta sekä muun muassa vähentämään maatalouden ravinnehuuhtoumia. Vuonna 2010 luonnonhoitopeltoja oli yli seitsemän prosenttia Suomen viljelyalasta. Luonnonhoitopeltojen ympäristövaikutusten arvioiminen ja toimenpiteen kehittäminen on tärkeää, jotta toimenpiteeseen käytettävät varat eivät valu hukkaan. Tämän tutkimuksen tavoitteena oli selvittää, millainen merkitys luonnonhoitopelloilla on maatalousympäristön monimuotoisuuden kannalta; millaiset luonnonhoitopellot ovat monimuotoisuuden kannalta arvokkaimpia; ja kuinka toimenpidettä kannattaa kehittää. Kysymyksiin pyrittiin vastaamaan tutkimalla putkilokasvilajistoa, -lajirikkautta ja kasvillisuuden rakennetta erilaisilla luonnonhoitopelloilla, sekä vertaamalla luonnonhoitopeltojen kasvillisuutta pientareiden ja niittyjen kasvillisuuteen. Maastotyö luonnonhoitopelloilla tehtiin kesällä 2010 Uudenmaan ja Pohjois-Pohjanmaan ELY-keskusalueilla. Lisäksi tutkimuslohkoista kerättiin tietoja viljelijäkyselyn kautta. Niittypellot osoittautuivat tutkimuksessa lajirikkaimmaksi luonnonhoitopeltotyypiksi, mikä selittynee lähinnä sillä, että ne kylvetään heikosti kilpailukykyisellä siemenseoksella. Nurmi- ja niittypelloilla lohkon viljavuus korreloi negatiivisesti lajirikkauden kanssa. Lajikoostumukseltaan kaikki luonnonhoitopellot eroavat toisistaan sekä maatalousympäristön puoliluonnontilaisista elinympäristöistä, ja lisäävät siten monimuotoisuutta maisematasolla. Luonnonhoitopeltojen lajisto ei ole kuitenkaan suojelun kannalta erityisen arvokasta. Toimenpiteen maatalousympäristöä rikastuttavaa vaikutusta vähentää, että tällä hetkellä valtaosa luonnonhoitopelloista on monivuotisia nurmipeltoja. Luonnonhoitopeltojen siemenseoksia kehittämällä, perustamis- ja hoitomenetelmiä tutkimalla ja neuvontaan panostamalla voidaan lisätä luonnonhoitopeltojen arvoa niin luonnon, viljelijän kuin yhteiskunnankin kannalta.

Carmel River Lagoon Enhancement Project: Water Quality and Aquatic Wildlife Monitoring, 2005-6

In summer and fall 2004, the California Department of Parks and Recreation (DPR) initiated the Carmel River Lagoon Enhancement Project. The project involved excavation of a dry remnant Arm of the lagoon and adjacent disused farmland to form a significant new lagoon volume. The intention was to provide habitat, in particular, for two Federally threatened species: the California Red-Legged Frog, and the Steelhead Trout (South Central-Coastal California Evolutionary Significant Unit). DPR contracted with the Foundation of California State University Monterey Bay (Central Coast Watershed Studies Team, Watershed Institute) to monitor water quality and aquatic invertebrates in association with the enhancement, and to attempt to monitor steelhead using novel video techniques. The monitoring objective was to assess whether the enhancement was successful in providing habitat with good water quality, adequate invertebrate food for steelhead, and ultimately the presence of steelhead. (Document contains 102 pages)

Implications of using On-Farm Flood Flow Capture to recharge groundwater and mitigate flood risks along the Kings River, CA

Two large hydrologic issues face the Kings Basin, severe and chronic overdraft of about 0.16M ac-ft annually, and flood risks along the Kings River and the downstream San Joaquin River. Since 1983, these floods have caused over $1B in damage in today’s dollars. Capturing flood flows of sufficient volume could help address these two pressing issues which are relevant to many regions of the Central Valley and will only be exacerbated with climate change. However, the Kings River has high variability associated with flow magnitudes which suggests that standard engineering approaches and acquisition of sufficient acreage through purchase and easements to capture and recharge flood waters would not be cost effective. An alternative approach investigated in this study, termed On-Farm Flood Flow Capture, involved leveraging large areas of private farmland to capture flood flows for both direct and in lieu recharge. This study investigated the technical and logistical feasibility of best management practices (BMPs) associated with On-Farm Flood Flow Capture. The investigation was conducted near Helm, CA, about 20 miles west of Fresno, CA. The experimental design identified a coordinated plan to determine infiltration rates for different soil series and different crops; develop a water budget for water applied throughout the program and estimate direct and in lieu recharge; provide a preliminary assessment of potential water quality impacts; assess logistical issues associated with implementation; and provide an economic summary of the program. At check locations, we measured average infiltration rates of 4.2 in/d for all fields and noted that infiltration rates decreased asymptotically over time to about 2 – 2.5 in/d. Rates did not differ significantly between the different crops and soils tested, but were found to be about an order of magnitude higher in one field. At a 2.5 in/d infiltration rate, 100 acres are required to infiltrate 10 CFS of captured flood flows. Water quality of applied flood flows from the Kings River had concentrations of COC (constituents of concern; i.e. nitrate, electrical conductivity or EC, phosphate, ammonium, total dissolved solids or TDS) one order of magnitude or more lower than for pumped groundwater at Terranova Ranch and similarly for a broader survey of regional groundwater. Applied flood flows flushed the root zone and upper vadose zone of nitrate and salts, leading to much lower EC and nitrate concentrations to a depth of 8 feet when compared to fields in which more limited flood flows were applied or for which drip irrigation with groundwater was the sole water source. In demonstrating this technology on the farm, approximately 3,100 ac-ft was diverted, primarily from April through mid-July, with about 70% towards in lieu and 30% towards direct recharge. Substantial flood flow volumes were applied to alfalfa, wine grapes and pistachio fields. A subset of those fields, primarily wine grapes and pistachios, were used primarily to demonstrate direct recharge. For those fields about 50 – 75% of water applied was calculated going to direct recharge. Data from the check studies suggests more flood flows could have been applied and infiltrated, effectively driving up the amount of water towards direct recharge. Costs to capture flood flows for in lieu and direct recharge for this project were low compared to recharge costs for other nearby systems and in comparison to irrigating with groundwater. Moreover, the potentially high flood capture capacity of this project suggests significant flood avoidance costs savings to downstream communities along the Kings and San Joaquin Rivers. Our analyses for Terranova Ranch suggest that allocating 25% or more flood flow water towards in lieu recharge and the rest toward direct recharge will result in an economically sustainable recharge approach paid through savings from reduced groundwater pumping. Two important issues need further consideration. First, these practices are likely to leach legacy salts and nitrates from the unsaturated zone into groundwater. We develop a conceptual model of EC movement through the unsaturated zone and estimated through mass balance calculations that approximately 10 kilograms per square meter of salts will be flushed into the groundwater through displacing 12 cubic meters per square meter of unsaturated zone pore water. This flux would increase groundwater salinity but an equivalent amount of water added subsequently is predicted as needed to return to current groundwater salinity levels. All subsequent flood flow capture and recharge is expected to further decrease groundwater salinity levels. Second, the project identified important farm-scale logistical issues including irrigator training; developing cropping plans to integrate farming and recharge activities; upgrading conveyance; and quantifying results. Regional logistical issues also exist related to conveyance, integration with agricultural management, economics, required acreage and Operation and Maintenance (O&M).

常绿阔叶林恢复生态学研究初报

生物多样性的维持、监测、保育与恢复是生物多样性科学的核心研究内容( DIVERSITAS)。作为世界上典型的植被类型，常绿阔叶林以其丰富的生物多样性而倍受世人关注。我国的常绿阔叶林是全球分布面积最大，发育最为典型的常绿阔叶林，其分布区多为农业区，与长江流域的生态安全密切相关：伴随着人们的生产活动，生境的岛屿化与破碎化问题越来越突出，常绿阔叶林的合理保育问题和生态恢复问题已成为大家关注的焦点。本研究“常绿阔叶林恢复生态学研究初报”正是在这种背景下开展的，主要实验研究工作与结果如下： 1．系统综述了生态系统退化程度的诊断指标体系、途径与方法，绘制了生态系 统退化程度的概念模型，为恢复生态学研究和生态恢复实践提供参考。 2．固定样地的建立：为深入开展生物多样性与恢复生态学研究，本研究建立了一系列固定样地（常绿阔叶林固定样地、常绿落叶阔叶林固定样地、退化生态系统恢复与重建实验样地等），这些样地的建立为进一步深化研究奠定了坚实基础。 3．种群大小级结构特征：对栲树Castanopsis fargesii和油茶Camellia oleifera种 群大小级结构特征研究表明，栲树种群大小级结构（高度级和胸围级）呈弱双峰型分布，油茶种群大小级结构呈倒“J”型分布。对树木大小级划分标 准的比较研究表明划分标准的选择应基于研究目的和物种性质。作者认为应深入研究干扰特别是生境的岛屿化与破碎化对常绿阔叶林稳定性的影响。 4．种子扩散与种群维持：种子扩散是种群维持的一个关键阶段，而建群种的维持机制可在一定程度上反映群落的维持机理。对都江堰常绿阔叶林固定样地的主要建群种栲树种子扩散的研究表明，种子雨密度、种子在地上保留密度以及种子丢失状况是个动态过程，种子雨在2001年持续了约3个月的时间，种子年产量达到每平方米73.37个正常种子;研究发现栲树种子下落后能在地上保留一段相当长的时间（捕食者饱和现象“predator satiation"），这为种子萌发提供了更多的时间和机会，从而使得栲树种群能通过大年(the mast year)的高种子产量与捕食者饱和现象顺利完成自然更新;捕食者饱和现象有助于解释栲树的优势种群地位和稳定机制，以及对整个生态系统稳定性的贡献;作者提出了一个描述栲树种子扩散命运的概念模型，该模型表明种子雨与种子丢失的不同阶段是在不同程度上以不同方式贡献于栲树的自然更新。总之，栲树自然更新伴随着一个复杂的种子扩散过程。 5．光因子调控与生态恢复：光是影响植物生长的一个重要生态因子。研究了三种不同遮荫处理（100% PAR、40% PAR和22% PAR）对青冈Cyclobalanopsis glauca幼苗在亚热带弃耕地上的影响作用，两年的研究结果显示：青冈幼苗 可以在弃耕地上正常生长：两种遮荫处理(40% PAR和22% PAR)对青冈的萌芽和幼苗生长有正效应，并且22% PAR遮荫处理有明显的促进作用;本研究也说明了植物在不同的遮荫处理作用下有不同的生长策略。关于在生态恢复中如何利用光因素对植物生长的影响以及遮荫的复合效应问题值得深入研究。 6．种间关系与生态恢复：杂草竞争是植被恢复中的一个重要问题。对两种常绿阔叶树种（青冈和石栎Lithocarpus glaber）在不同坡位（坡上位、中位、下位）和有无地上杂草竞争的情况下的对比研究表明：不同物种在不同坡位，其幼苗生长对杂草竞争的反应是不同的;在坡上位和下位，除草处理能显著地提高青冈幼苗的田间保存率、苗高、基径和冠幅的生长，而在中位，除草处理的效果不显著;但是对于石栎来说，除草处理仅能显著地提高坡中位幼苗基径的生长量;研究说明了（地上）杂草竞争对植物生长的影响（程度）因物种而异，因而除草处理并不是对所有常绿阔叶树种的幼苗生长有促进作用，杂草竞争也不是一切常绿阔叶树种在弃耕地上建立与定居的障碍因子。作者建议在生态恢复实践中应根据具体情况选择除草与否，关于杂草竞争／除草在植被恢复中的作用值得进一步研究。

塔里木河下游植被和景观格局变化及其驱动力分析

利用RS和GIS手段相结合的方法研究了塔里木河下游的植被和景观变化，并分析了由于历史时期塔里木河水流量的变化而导致的地下水位变化、环境因子和人类活动对植被及景观格局的影响。 对环境因子与植被覆盖变化关系的分析结果发现： ⑴在1987年至2004年占研究区总面积26％的景观发生变化；而植被和水体的变化最大；植被的变化中荒漠化和转化为农田是其主要的变化类型。1987年至2004年，仅有占总面积39％的植被没有发生变化，而发生荒漠化和盐碱化的植被仅有少数能够恢复。 ⑵在选取的环境因子中，植被缀块的起始NDVI和植被缀块距河道的距离对植被变化的影响最大，其次为海拔、坡度、缀块形状和缀块距离居民点的距离；而坡向和缀块面积与植被变化的关系较小。发生荒漠化的植被缀块距离河道较远且自身的NDVI较低，表明这些植被缀块的变化主要是受到水资源的限制；而转化为农田的植被缀块自身的NDVI较高且距河道较近，表明人类的开垦活动主要在植被生长较好的地区进行。研究期间内能够保持的植被距河道较近且NDVI较低，这与能够保留的植被主要是较稀疏的胡杨林有关。 ⑶植被缀块距河道的距离在1987年至1999年间与植被的变化显著相关，而在1999年至2004年相关不显著，这表明影响植被变化的影响环境因子随时间变化。 ⑷虽然所选取的环境因子对植被变化的解释力偏低，但在某些时间段对植被变化的解释力可以达到40％。如果增加环境因子，使用梯度分析的方法可以较好的解释环境及其它因子对植被变化的影响。 对地下水位变化对植被及景观时空格局变化的研究结果发现： ⑴在地下水水位剧烈下降的1986年至1999年，植被面积减少30％，距离河道最近的区域减少最多，植被占总面积的比例和植被的减少随距离河道距离的增加而减小；平均NDVI降低；荒漠面积增加4.8％，年均增加1338公顷；盐碱地面积增加。由于生态应急输水工程的实施，1999年至2004年期间沿塔里木河道地下水位回升，植被面积增加48％，距离河道最近的区域面积增加最明显，植被面积增加的增幅随距离河道距离的增加而减小；荒漠面积减少8.3％，年均减少6280公顷；平均NDVI升高；荒漠面积减少；盐碱地面积在某些区段增加，某些区段减少。 ⑵1986年至1999年胡杨林、柽柳灌丛和盐生草甸缀块密度增加，植被趋于破碎化；总体上胡杨林、柽柳灌丛和盐生草甸的缀块形状变得规则，而盐生草甸在某些区段趋于不规则；景观的聚集度在河道左侧增加而右侧减小；景观多样性和均匀性均下降。1999年至2004年，总体上胡杨林、柽柳灌丛和盐生草甸的缀块密度减小，植被趋于整合；胡杨林、柽柳灌丛和盐生草甸缀块形状变得不规则，但盐生草甸在某些区段变得相对规则；景观聚集度指数变化没有明显的规律；景观多样性和均匀性均增加。 ⑶除植被占总面积的比例在沿河道由上段到中断到下段方向上呈现减少的趋势，其它植被及景观特性在沿河道纵向上变化规律不明显；而在沿河道垂直方向上，植被及景观特性的变化表现出与距离河道的距离相关，表明该地区的植被及景观特性是受到地下水控制的。 ⑷在塔里木河实施的生态应急输水工程对当地植被的恢复起到了一定的作用，但主要局限在沿河道附近的区域。对于干旱区植物的保护，合理使用径流水资源，保证水资源的供应畅通是更好和更长远的发展策略。 对人类活动对景观的影响的研究发现： ⑴1987年至1999年，农田面积增加4240公顷，年均增加353公顷；植被面积减少4884公顷，年均减少407公顷。1999年至2004年，农田面积增加4568公顷，年均增加913公顷；植被面积减少8487公顷，年均减少1697公顷，远大于农田面积的增加。 ⑵农田平均缀块面积和农田最大缀块面积从1987年至1999年至2004年增加；聚集度指数在1987年至1999年降低，而1999年至2004年升高。最大植被缀块面积、平均形状指数和聚集指数从1987年至1999年至2004年均下降；其它植被及农田景观指数在1987年至1999年和1999年至2004年间变化不一致。在距河道1km的范围内，农田缀块数、农田面积、最大农田缀块面积、平均缀块面积、平均形状指数以及聚集度指数在从1987年至1999年至2004年一直升高；距河道1km范围内的景观多样性和均匀度指数和平均形状指数在1987年至1999年至2004年增加，而聚集度指数和最大缀块指数在1987年至1999年至2004年一直减小。 ⑶研究结果表明人类活动-主要是开垦农田-导致了当地植被面积的减少，并导致植被破碎化。受到径流来水量减少的影响，人类开垦活动正在逐渐向距离河道近的区域转移，并导致植被向退化的方向发展，河道附近的区域是塔里木河下游植被分布的主要区域，这对该地区植被的维持和保护非常不利。 在塔里木河下游，地下水位的下降和人类活动都导致植被趋于退化，人工输水虽然能够恢复植被，但其效应主要集中在河道附近的地区，对于该生态关键地区植被的保护，合理的使用水资源并适当的进行人类活动才是植被及生态保护的根本。

The stripe-backed weasel Mustela strigidorsa: taxonomy, ecology, distribution and status

1. The stripe-backed weasel Mustela strigidorsa is one of the rarest and least-known mustelids in the world. Its phylogenetic relationships with other Mustela species remain controversial, though several unique morphological features distinguish it from congeners. 2. It probably lives mainly in evergreen forests in hills and mountains, but has also been recorded from plains forest, dense scrub, secondary forest, grassland and farmland. Known sites range in altitude from 90 m to 2500 m. Data are insufficient to distinguish between habitat and altitudes which support populations, and those where only dispersing animals may occur. 3. It has been confirmed from many localities in north-east India, north and central Myanmar, south China, north Thailand, north and central Laos, and north and central Vietnam. Given the limited survey effort, the number of recent records shows that the species is not as rare as hitherto believed. Neither specific nor urgent conservation needs are apparent.

Habitat use by wintering Ruddy Shelduck at Lashihai Lake, Lijiang, China

Habitat use by wintering Ruddy Shelduck (Tadorna ferruginea) in Lijiang Lashihai Lake of southwest China was studied from 1 November 1999 to 29 April 2000. We divided habitats into five types-deep water, shallow water, mudflat, grassland and farmland. Shallow water and grassland, with rich food and easily accessible water, were preferred by wintering Ruddy Shelducks, Farmland was preferred in mid-winter but avoided in early winter and late winter. Even in mid-winter, the feeding Ruddy Shelduck on farmland were not equally distributed in fields and preferred wet fields (just irrigated) and avoided dry fields. In dry fields, the distances to water sources had great impact on the feeding distribution. Mudflats were only selected in later winter, coinciding with the growth of water-weeds. Deep-water areas were always avoided. Prohibition of human disturbance and retaining shallow water areas and grassland are important measures to mitigate conflict between Ruddy Sheldruck and local people.

Foraging habitats and utilization distributions of Black-necked Cranes wintering at the Napahai Wetland, China

One of the most endangered populations of Black-necked Cranes (Grus nigricollis), the central population, is declining due to habitat loss and degradation, but little is known about their space use patterns and habitat preferences. We examined the space use and habitat preferences of Black-necked Cranes during the winter of 2007-2008 at the Napahai wetland in northwest Yunnan, China, where approximately 300 Black-necked Cranes (>90% of the total central population) spent the winter. Euclidean distance analysis was employed to determine the habitat preferences of Black-necked Cranes, and a local nearest-neighbor, convex-hull construction method was used to examine space use. Our results indicate that Black-necked Cranes preferred shallow marsh and wet meadow habitats and avoided farmland and dry grassland. Core-use areas (50% isopleths) and total-use areas (100% isopleths) accounted for only 1.2% and 28.2% of the study area, respectively. We recommend that habitat protection efforts focus on shallow marsh and wet meadow habitats to maintain preferred foraging sites. Core-use areas, such as the primary foraging areas of Black-necked Cranes, should be designated as part of the core zone of the nature reserve. Monthly shifts in the core-use areas of the cranes also indicate that the reserve should be large enough to permit changes in space use. In addition to preserving habitat, government officials should also take measures to decrease human activity in areas used by foraging Black-necked Cranes.

施肥对黄土旱塬区黑垆土土壤肥力及硝态氮累积的影响

本文以长期定位试验为依托,研究了黄土高原旱塬区黑垆土大田对比试验和长期定位施肥对土壤肥力及硝态氮累积和淋溶的影响。结果表明:长期施用有机肥能够明显增加土壤养分,氮磷和有机肥配施效果显著;和1984年土壤养分状况相比,大田对比试验土壤有机质增加了27.1%,全氮和全磷提高了84.2%和34.8%,有效氮、有效磷和速效钾增加了46.9%、540.0%和10.2%,养分水平与长期定位试验中氮磷配施相近。长期定位试验中氮磷配施或与有机肥配施能够有效地减少土壤剖面中硝酸盐的累积和淋溶,氮肥单施硝态氮累积量最大,为1006.4kg/hm2,大田对比试验土壤硝态氮总累积量较长期定位试验中施用氮肥处理的总累积量少。

退耕还林(草)工程对吴起县农村经济发展的驱动力分析

以陕西省吴起县为例,在实地调查的基础上,通过对退耕还林(草)工程实施后农村就业结构变化、基本农田种植结构及种植方式的改变、后续产业的发展与农民收入和农村经济进行相关性分析及灰色关联度分析,结果表明:非农行业就业人数占总人数的比例、农业中间物质消耗以及作为后续产业代表的肉类产量四个驱动因素对农村经济总收入提高的相对贡献率分别为:33.64%,32.17%,34.19%。对农民年收入提高的相对贡献率分别达到了33.30%,33.24%,33.46%。退耕还林(草)工程对农村经济的发展起到了巨大的驱动作用。

农地承载力影响因素及拓展途径分析

在分析农地承载力内涵的基础上,指出农地资源承载力的影响因素众多,概括为自然环境因素和社会经济因素;农地承载力是动态变化的,改变农地所处的条件和影响因素可以拓展其承载力;从系统耦合,开放条件,农地制度,农地结构方面探讨农地承载力的拓展途径。

云雾山不同草地群落土壤活性有机碳分布特征

为探讨黄土高原草地植被演替过程活性有机碳的变化规律,揭示草地退耕后的分布特征,在云雾山草原区采集不同草地群落土壤,采用高锰酸钾氧化法对0~100 cm土层活性有机碳进行分析。结果表明:不同草地群落土壤活性有机碳含量均高于坡耕地,活性有机碳含量大小顺序为:长芒草(Stipa bungeanaTrin.)群落>大针茅(Sti-pa grandisP.Smirn.)群落>铁杆蒿(Artemisia gmeliniiWeb.ex Stechm.)群落>百里香(Thymus mongolicusRonn.)群落>退耕草地>坡耕地,且群落间差异达极显著水平(P<0.01);在恢复初期(坡耕地-退耕草地-百里香)活性有机碳含量增加较多,恢复到长芒草群落活性有机碳含量达到最大值,趋于稳定;活性有机碳的密度与含量表现出相同的变化规律,并随着土层的加深而呈现减小趋势。相关性分析表明,活性有机碳含量与土壤总有机碳含量呈极显著线性正相关关系(r=0.9742),土壤活性有机碳比总有机碳更能反映草地植被恢复初期土壤有机碳库的变化。

米脂县农地承载力系统动力学分析

在综合分析米脂县农地承载力系统结构、关系的基础上,以1998年为起始年建立系统动力学模型,根据米脂县社会经济发展现状及未来规划,设定了3种不同的方案和3种营养标准,模拟了米脂县2008-2028年农地人口承载力趋势,通过各方案比较,得出了较优的方案,最后提出了提高该地区农地承载力的政策建议。