Avaliação do Índice de Maturação das Vértebras Cervicais em radiografias cefalométricas laterais, tomadas com diferentes posicionamentos de cabeça

Este trabalho teve como finalidade avaliar a fase de crescimento em uma amostra de 49 pacientes, com idades variando de 9 a 15 anos, observando as vértebras cervicais em radiografias laterais, tomadas na posição natural de cabeça (PNC) e com erros de posicionamento, com inclinações de cabeça de 15o para cima (PNC-Alta) e de 15 o para baixo (PNC-Baixa), visando definir o quão importante isto é na precisão da avaliação da fase de crescimento. O teste kappa ponderado mostrou um grau de concordância substancial entre PNC e PNC-Alta e entre PNC e PNC-Baixa. Já o teste não paramétrico de wilcoxon (p<0,05) mostrou diferença estatisticamente significante entre essas comparações. Desta forma, a PNC demonstrou ser mais confiável na avaliação do Índice de Maturação das Vértebras Cervicais (IMVC), porém as telerradiografias com erro de posicionamento avaliadas não tiveram um grau de discordância que indicasse sua não utilização na clínica para predição de crescimento.(AU)

COMPARAÇÃO DA EFICIÊNCIA OCLUSAL DO TRATAMENTO ORTOPÉDICO COM O REGULADOR DE FUNÇÃO FRÄNKEL-2 E BIONATOR DE BALTERS POR MEIO DO ÍNDICE PAR

O objetivo deste estudo retrospectivo foi comparar a eficiência oclusal do tratamento ortopédico com os aparelhos funcionais Regulador de Função Fränkel-2 e Bionator de Balters em um estágio de desenvolvimento dental diferente e comparar com um grupo controle. A amostra constituiu-se de 45 registros de documentações, pertencentes ao arquivo do programa de pós-graduação em Odontologia, área de concentração Ortodontia, da Universidade Metodista de São Paulo, com má oclusão inicial de Classe II bilateral, divisão 1, sendo 15 pacientes provenientes do grupo tratados com Bionator (grupo 1) com média de idade incial de 8,56 anos e com 80% dos casos em um estágio de desenvolvimento dental-2 (DS 2), 15 pacientes tratados com RF-2 (grupo 2) com média de idade inicial de 10,71 anos e com 80% dos casos em um estágio de desenvolvimento dental-3 (DS 3), e 15 pacientes controle (grupo 3) com media de idade incial de 10,03 anos e com estágio de desenvolvimento dental compatível com os grupos 1 e 2. Os grupos foram divididos em duas fases, de acordo com o período de avaliação: T1:início de tratamento e T2: final de tratamento, totalizando 90 pares de modelos. As avaliações oclusais foram realizadas em modelos de gesso, utilizando o Índice PAR com auxílio da régua PAR e de um paquímetro digital devidamente calibrado. Para comparação entre os três grupos foi utilizado Análise de Variância a um critério e em seguida o Teste de Tukey. A severidade da má oclusão (PAR Inicial) foi semelhante em ambos os grupos, porém, o PAR final apresentou uma diferença estatisticamente significante onde o percentual de redução do índice PAR para o grupo 1 foi de 20,72%, para o grupo 2 foi de 60,06% e no grupo 3 não houve alteração significante do valor do Índice PAR. O presente estudo conclui que o tratamento da má oclusão de Classe II, 1a divisão é mais eficiente quando iniciado no estágio de desenvolvimento dental 3 (DS 3) do que no estágio de desenvolvimento dental 2 (DS2). Além disso, ressalta-se a importância do uso mais prolongado do aparelho ortopédico, já que os pacientes do grupo 2 apresentaram melhores resultados oclusais.(AU)

UMA ANÁLISE DA RELAÇÃO ENTRE VARIÁVEIS MACROECONÔMICAS E O COMPORTAMENTO DAS AÇÕES DE MAIOR LIQUIDEZ DO ÍNDICE IBOVESPA

As ações de maior liquidez do índice IBOVESPA, refletem o comportamento das ações de um modo geral, bem como a relação das variáveis macroeconômicas em seu comportamento e estão entre as mais negociadas no mercado de capitais brasileiro. Desta forma, pode-se entender que há reflexos de fatores que impactam as empresas de maior liquidez que definem o comportamento das variáveis macroeconômicas e que o inverso também é uma verdade, oscilações nos fatores macroeconômicos também afetam as ações de maior liquidez, como IPCA, PIB, SELIC e Taxa de Câmbio. O estudo propõe uma análise da relação existente entre variáveis macroeconômicas e o comportamento das ações de maior liquidez do índice IBOVESPA, corroborando com estudos que buscam entender a influência de fatores macroeconômicos sobre o preço de ações e contribuindo empiricamente com a formação de portfólios de investimento. O trabalho abrangeu o período de 2008 a 2014. Os resultados concluíram que a formação de carteiras, visando a proteção do capital investido, deve conter ativos com correlação negativa em relação às variáveis estudadas, o que torna possível a composição de uma carteira com risco reduzido.

Simulação de desempenho luminoso para salas de aula em Natal-RN

The city of Natal has a significant daylight availability, although it use isn’t systematically explored in schools architecture. In this context, this research aims to determine procedures for the analysis of the daylight performance in school design in Natal-RN. The method of analysis is divided in Visible Sky Factor (VSF), simulating and analyzing the results. The annual variation of the daylight behavior requires the adoption of dynamic simulation as data procedure. The classrooms were modelled in SketchUp, simulated in Daysim program and the results were assessed by means of spreadsheets in Microsoft Excel. The classrooms dimensions are 7.20mx 7.20m, with windows-to-wall-ratio (WWR) of 20%, 40% and 50%, and with different shading devices, such as standard horizontal overhang, sloped overhang, standard horizontal overhang with side view protection, standard horizontal overhang with a dropped edge, standard horizontal overhang with three horizontal louvers, double standard horizontal overhang, double standard horizontal overhang with three horizontal louvers, plus the use of shelf light in half the models with WWR of 40% and 50%. The data was organized in spreadsheets, with two intervals of UDI: between 300lux and 2000 lux and between 300lux and 3000lux. The simulation was performed with the weather file of 2009 to the city of NatalRN. The graphical outputs are illuminance curves, isolines of UDI among 300lux and 2000 lux and tables with index of occurrences of glare and to an UDI among 300lux 3000lux. The best UDI300-2000lux performance was evidenced to: Phase 1 (models with WWR of 20%), Phase 2 (models with WWR of 40% and 50% with light shelf). The best UDI300-3000lux performance was evidenced to: Phase 1 (models with WWR of 20% and 40% with light shelf) and Phase 2 (models with WWR of 40% and 50% with light shelf). The outputs prove that the daylight quality mainly depends on the shading system efficacy to avoid the glare occurrence, which determines the daylight discomfort. The bioclimatic recommendations of big openings with partial shading (with an opening with direct sunlight) resulted in illuminances level higher than the acceptable upper threshold. The improvement of the shading system percentage (from 73% to 91%) in medium-size of openings (WWR 40% and 50%) reduced or eliminate the glare occurrence without compromising the daylight zone depth (7.20m). The passive zone was determined for classrooms with satisfactory daylight performance, it was calculated the daylight zone depth rule-of-thumb with the ratio between daylight zone depth and the height of the window for different size of openings. The ratio ranged from 1.54 to 2.57 for WWR of 20%, 40% and 50% respectively. There was a reduction or elimination of glare in the passive area with light shelf, or with awning window shading.

Uso do índice de pobreza hídrica (WPI) através da análise de componentes principais

To contribute in the performance of policies and strategies formulated by development agencies, indexes have been created in anticipation of expressing the multiple dimensions of water resources in an easily interpretable form. Use of Hydro Poverty Index ( WPI) is spreading worldwide , with the same formed by the combination of sub - indices Resource, access, capacity , use and environment. S ome critics a s to its formation have emerged, a mong them stands out the allo cation of weights of sub - indexes , made by an arbitrary process attributing subjectivity to the selection criteria. By involving statistical analysis, when considering the characteristics of the variables generated by the Principal Component Analysis (PCA), it turns out that it is able to solve this problem. The objective of this study is to compare the results of the original WPI with content generated by Principal Com ponent Analysis (PCA) for the indicati on of the weights of sub - indec es applicable in the Seridó River hydrographic Basin . We conclude that the use of Principal Component Analysis in the allocation of weights of Water Poverty Index has identified the sub - indices Resources, Access and Environment are the most representative for the river basin Seridó , and that this new index, WPI' , presented the most comprehensive ranges of values , allowing more easily identify disparities among municipalities. In addition, t he evaluation of the sub - indec es in the study area has great potential to inform the decision - maker in the management of water resources, the most critical locations and deserve greater investments in the aspects analyzed, as the index itself can not cap ture this information.

Determinaçao das principais proteínas de fase aguda e do índice prognóstico inflamatório nutricional (IPIN) em cachorrodo-mato (Cerdocyon thous - Linnaeus, 1766)

The dog-eating fox (Cerdocyon thous - Linnaeus, 1766) is a medium sized canid widely distributed in South America and occurs in almost all of Brazil. Among the main threats to their conservation are the roadkill mainly caused by habitat loss. The shortage of laboratory bush dogs data affect the veterinary medical care hindering the application of appropriate therapies. This study aimed to evaluate the levels of C-reactive protein, albumin, pre-albumin, ceruloplasmin, haptoglobin and Afla 1 acid glycoprotein and the Prognostic Index Inflammatory Nutritional (IPIN) in this species, thus obtaining a first description of these prognostic markers. They collected 1.5 ml of blood by jugular access 8 of Mato Dogs copies (thous thous) from the Laboratory of collection of Teaching and Research in Wildlife (limpets), Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Federal University of Uberlândia for exams routine. The samples were collected via the jugular vein after physical restraint of animals and trichotomy of the region. After statistical analysis, the values were: albumin: between 2.7 and 3.0 g / dl, alpha 1-acid glycoprotein: between 0.19 and 0.21 g / l, C-reactive protein: between 1.7 and 2 2, prealbumin between 30 and 35 mg / l haptoglobin: between 0.078 and 0.156 and IPIN ≤ 0.006 being considered normal and values ≥ 0.006 considered high. This press description will serve as a basis for studies where animals may be used with specific diseases and, after analysis, compared with the values found in this study and verified the behavior follows the likeness of domestic dogs.

Relação entre a cárie precoce da infância com o índice de Apgar e outros fatores de risco

The aim of this cross-sectional study was to investigate the association of early childhood caries (ECC) with the Apgar score (AS) and other variables related to the child (conditions at birth and medical history) and related to the child and parents and / or guardians and family (demographic, socioeconomic and behavioral). One hundred and twenty healthy children aged between 3-5 years-old treated by Pediatric Dentistry Area of Dentistry College of the Federal University of Uberlandia during 2015 were selected. To obtain qualitative and quantitative variables a questionnaire was applied as an interview to the parents and/or guardians. The 5-minute AS (interest exposure) was obtained through the record in the Child Health Handbook. To assess the prevalence of caries (clinical dependent variable), a single calibrated researcher conducted the clinical examination, according to the criteria of the World Health Organization. Caries experience was measured using the indexes dmft and dmfs. The children were classified into three groups, according to age and dmfs index: no caries (NC), with ECC and with severe early childhood caries (S-ECC). Data were tabulated and submitted to statistical analysis using the SPSS software (IBM, Inc, Chicago, Illinois, USA) 17th version. Three logistics models were carried out having the following classifications: NC and ECC, NC and S-ECC, ECC and S-ECC (p<0.05). The overall ECC prevalence, considering children with ECC and S-ECC, was 55,8% (n= 67). The AS was not a statistically significant variable. The child’s age, weaning age and recent hospitalization were variables associated with the ECC prevalence. The age of brush start and the educational level of the mother were variables associated with the S-ECC prevalence. Considering the ECC and the S-ECC groups, the child's age and the beginning of the use of fluoride toothpaste, recent hospitalization, the educational level of the mother and the father's income were associated with the S-ECC prevalence. Considering the methodology employed and the analysis of results, it was concluded that there was no association between the ECC with the AS in healthy children. However, an association was found of ECC and S-ECC with some variables related to birth and to medical history of the child (recent hospitalization), demographic (child’s age), socioeconomic (educational level of the mother and father's income) and behavioral (age of brush start, weaning age and use of fluoride toothpaste) related to children and to the parents and/or guardians.

Proteína C reactiva, índice de conicidad y factores de riesgo cardiovascular en pacientes con diabetes tipo 2

La Diabetes tipo 2, forma parte del clúster de componentes que integran el Síndrome metabólico, y constituye una enfermedad tremendamente prevalente en el mundo, con disfunciones metabólicas que incrementan la morbimortalidad. Objetivo. Con la finalidad de definir las características de una población amplia de pacientes diabéticos de la Comunidad de Madrid diagnosticados por el Hospital Infanta Leonor de Madrid, su contribución al síndrome metabólico, tipo de tratamiento, años de evolución y riesgo cardiovascular, se procedió a realizar un estudio transversal en una población de 735 diabéticos, seleccionados de una base de datos de 1135 diabéticos del Servicio de Endocrinología del Hospital de los que se disponían de datos sobre edad, género, parámetros antropométricos, glucosa, hemoglobina glicosilada, lípidos, lipoproteínas, consumo de tabaco, alcohol y actividad física. En muchos de ellos también se disponía de marcadores emergentes de afectaciones relacionadas con la diabetes y la enfermedad cardiovascular como PCR-us, microalbuminuria y fibrinógeno. Descripción de la muestra. La selección se realizó garantizando confidencialidad y que todos tuvieran datos de edad, sexo, y de los marcadores clásicos, y de la mayoría de los nuevos marcadores emergentes. Como quiera que contar absolutamente con todos los marcadores en el mismo individuo supondría perder en tal selección un número no despreciable de pacientes, se procedió a respetar la selección de 735 en donde 716 tenía información de la mayoría de los marcadores. A partir de los datos primarios se calcularon los cocientes colesterol/total /HDL-c, LDL-c/HDL-c que informan del riesgo cardiovascular, el cociente molar TG/HDL-c indicativo del tamaño de las LDL, y la relación de triglicérido- glucosa como marcador de resistencia a la insulina y riesgo de síndrome metabólico. Se procedió a calcular el riesgo cardiovascular según los algoritmos del estudio Framingham...

Adaptación del sector turístico al cambio climático en España. La importancia de las acciones a escala local y en empresas turísticas

El 5º Informe del IPCC (Panel Intergubernamental de Cambio Climático, 2014) señala que el turismo será una de las actividades económicas que mayores efectos negativos experimentará en las próximas décadas debido al calentamiento térmico del planeta. En España, el turismo es una fuente principal de ingresos y de creación de puestos de trabajo en su economía. De ahí que sea necesaria la puesta en marcha de medidas de adaptación a la nueva realidad climática que, en nuestro país, va a suponer cambios en el confort climático de los destinos e incremento de extremos atmosféricos. Frente a los planes de adaptación al cambio climático en la actividad turística, elaborados por los gobiernos estatal y regional, que apenas se han desarrollado en España, la escala local muestra interesantes ejemplos de acciones de adaptación al cambio climático, desarrolladas tanto por los municipios (energía, transporte, vivienda, planificación urbanística) como por la propia empresa turística (hoteles, campings, apartamentos). Medidas de ahorro de agua y luz, fomento del transporte público y de las energías limpias, creación de zonas verdes urbanas y adaptación a los extremos atmosféricos destacan como acciones de mitigación del cambio climático en los destinos turísticos principales de nuestro país.

El Cambio Climático en la Estrategia Global de Seguridad de la Unión Europea

El cambio climático es uno de los mayores desafíos de la actualidad. La UE ha abordado el tema de forma claramente insuficiente desde el punto de vista teórico, con unos planteamientos demasiado inmovilistas y hasta conformistas con su propia acción. Pero, al mismo tiempo, ha sido uno de los primeros y principales actores internacionales en actuar y posicionarse claramente en la lucha contra el cambio climático. La Estrategia Global de Seguridad de la UE no aborda adecuadamente ni el cambio climático como prioridad fundamental ni algunas de sus implicaciones en las políticas de los Estados Miembros de la UE.

El Índice Térmico Costero Peruano (ITCP)

El Ecosistema de Afloramiento Peruano (EAP) es una de las zonas marinas con mayor productividad pesquera en el mundo y por su ubicación geográfica, es afectada por procesos físicos remotos, principalmente por la variabilidad climática interanual proveniente del océano Pacifico Ecuatorial, cuya señal dominante es El Niño y la Oscilación Sur (ENOS). Con el fin de evaluar los efectos de ENOS frente al Perú, se desarrolló el Índice Térmico Costero Peruano (ITCP) que representa el 87,7% de la variación total de las anomalías de la temperatura superficial del mar del EAP. Se analizó el periodo 1982-2014, detectándose 12 periodos con condiciones cálidas y 16 con condiciones frías. El ITCP tuvo una tendencia lineal, un componente de bajas frecuencias y un componente de ruido, con 1,5%, 94,5 % y 4 % de contribución a la varianza total, respectivamente. El ITCP presenta ventajas respecto a otros índices climáticos de la costa peruana, porque comprende el área representativa del Ecosistema de Afloramiento Peruano y porque captura la señal del afloramiento costero así como de los efectos térmicos de El Niño y La Niña.

Índice de vulnerabilidad de la población en situación de discapacidad en Medellín

El objetivo de este trabajo es construir un índice de vulnerabilidad para la población de Medellín en situación de discapacidad en el 2008, con el fin de determinar los aspectos que disminuyen las oportunidades de hacer uso de sus activos materiales e inmateriales, deteriorando por ende la calidad de vida de esta población.

Previsão do índice bovespa por meio de redes neurais artificiais: uma análise comparada aos métodos tradicionais de séries de tempo

Forecast is the basis for making strategic, tactical and operational business decisions. In financial economics, several techniques have been used to predict the behavior of assets over the past decades.Thus, there are several methods to assist in the task of time series forecasting, however, conventional modeling techniques such as statistical models and those based on theoretical mathematical models have produced unsatisfactory predictions, increasing the number of studies in more advanced methods of prediction. Among these, the Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) are a relatively new and promising method for predicting business that shows a technique that has caused much interest in the financial environment and has been used successfully in a wide variety of financial modeling systems applications, in many cases proving its superiority over the statistical models ARIMA-GARCH. In this context, this study aimed to examine whether the ANNs are a more appropriate method for predicting the behavior of Indices in Capital Markets than the traditional methods of time series analysis. For this purpose we developed an quantitative study, from financial economic indices, and developed two models of RNA-type feedfoward supervised learning, whose structures consisted of 20 data in the input layer, 90 neurons in one hidden layer and one given as the output layer (Ibovespa). These models used backpropagation, an input activation function based on the tangent sigmoid and a linear output function. Since the aim of analyzing the adherence of the Method of Artificial Neural Networks to carry out predictions of the Ibovespa, we chose to perform this analysis by comparing results between this and Time Series Predictive Model GARCH, developing a GARCH model (1.1).Once applied both methods (ANN and GARCH) we conducted the results' analysis by comparing the results of the forecast with the historical data and by studying the forecast errors by the MSE, RMSE, MAE, Standard Deviation, the Theil's U and forecasting encompassing tests. It was found that the models developed by means of ANNs had lower MSE, RMSE and MAE than the GARCH (1,1) model and Theil U test indicated that the three models have smaller errors than those of a naïve forecast. Although the ANN based on returns have lower precision indicator values than those of ANN based on prices, the forecast encompassing test rejected the hypothesis that this model is better than that, indicating that the ANN models have a similar level of accuracy . It was concluded that for the data series studied the ANN models show a more appropriate Ibovespa forecasting than the traditional models of time series, represented by the GARCH model