Primer Foro de la Comunidad de Estados Latinoamericanos y Caribeños (CELAC) y China: explorando espacios de cooperación en comercio e inversión

Prólogo de Alicia Bárcena

Revista de la CEPAL no.56

Democracia y desarrollo / Femando H. Cardoso. -- ¿Es posible crecer con equidad? / Joseph Ramos. -- Estabilidad y estructura: Interacciones en el crecimiento económico / José María Fanelli y Roberto Frenkel. -- Reforma a los sistemas de pensiones en América Latina / Andras Vthoff. -- Tendencias económicas en China: significado para el comercio con América Latina y el Caribe / Mikio Kuwayama. -- El Intercambio económico entre América Latina y las economías dinámicas dé Asia / Ronald Sprout. -- La relación económica entre la América Latina y la Unión Europea / Roberto Smith Perera. -- Nuevas Implicaciones de las reglas de origen / Eduardo Gitli. -- Globalización y reestructuración energética en América Latina / Femando Sánchez Albavera. -- El caleidoscopio de la competitividad / Geraldo Mailer. -- La privatización de los servicios públicos del agua / Miguel Solones. -- ¿Cuánto se puede gastar en educación? / Guillermo Labarca. -- Mujeres y migrantes: desigualdades en el mercado laboral de Santiago de Chile / Ivonne Szasz.

O paradoxo nas relações comerciais Brasil e China no período 2000-2010

Pós-graduação em Ciências Sociais - FFC

América Latina y el Caribe y China: hacia una nueva era de cooperación económica

Prólogo de Alicia Bárcena

Globalización, integración y comercio inclusivo en América Latina. Textos seleccionados 2010-2014

En el actual contexto de globalización económica, el tema de la inserción internacional de la región cobra una renovada importancia. La presente publicación, la segunda de la colección “Páginas Selectas de la CEPAL”, contiene extractos de documentos publicados desde 2010 y que abordan diversos aspectos de dicha temática. Entre éstos se destacan la participación regional en las cadenas mundiales y regionales de valor, la irrupción de China como un socio comercial crecientemente influyente, los logros y desafíos pendientes del proceso de integración regional en su vertiente económica y comercial, y las posibles implicancias para América Latina y el Caribe de las negociaciones comerciales megarregionales actualmente en curso. Como trasfondo de todos los textos seleccionados se encuentra el vínculo entre la participación regional en el comercio internacional y el logro de un crecimiento inclusivo. Este último se entiende como un crecimiento capaz de contribuir a la reducción de la heterogeneidad estructural mediante un aumento del empleo, la productividad y el ingreso, mejorando el bienestar de la mayoría y reduciendo la desigualdad

El comercio Sur-Sur y Sur-Norte: ¿cuál contribuye más al desarrollo de Asia y América del Sur? Ideas a partir de la estimación de elasticidades-ingreso de la demanda de importaciones

La experiencia de la crisis económica mundial indujo a los países en desarrollo a intensificar la diversificación de las fuentes de crecimiento buscando modelos alternativos de desenvolvimiento económico. La expansión del comercio Sur-Sur se fue afianzando en esta búsqueda. Pero ¿cuán prometedora es esta estrategia? Procurando dar respuesta, aquí se documenta la evolución del comercio Sur-Sur, ofreciendo algunas consideraciones teóricas. Luego se realiza un análisis econométrico para estimar las elasticidades-ingreso de la demanda de importaciones en las relaciones comerciales bilaterales entre países en desarrollo de Asia y América del Sur y dos mercados clave del Norte. Al aplicar un modelo ardl, el análisis produce variados resultados sobre si el comercio Sur-Sur presenta mayores elasticidades-ingreso que el Sur-Norte, revelándose que el primero puede ser una fuente alternativa de crecimiento, especialmente si persisten las diferencias en el aumento de las importaciones y el ingreso entre el Norte y el Sur.

Análise do perfil ambiental do comércio entre a China e Países Latino-americanos

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Comércio internacional e desenvolvimento econômico: relações bilaterais Brasil-China, no período 2000-2011

Atualmente a China é um ator essencial do cenário econômico mundial, sendo também um grande demandante de matérias primas para manter seu acelerado crescimento, resultando assim em importante e estratégico para a região latinoamericana, sobretudo, por ser um grande comprador. Por sua importância econômica, estratégica e demográfica a China se destaca em relação à maioria dos países do mundo sendo não apenas um ator chave, responsável por grandes mudanças ocorridas no nível e estrutura da demanda mundial, mas também importante fonte de recursos financeiros para manter os equilíbrios internacionais. Através da discussão das relações de comércio entre Brasil e China buscamos analisar os principais resultados em termos econômicos e sociais, principalmente a atuação do Brasil enquanto ator global dado sua importância crescente na dinâmica mundial. A intenção desta pesquisa é entender as dimensões da relação com o país asiático, a partir do posicionamento do Brasil como um dos principais parceiros comerciais de China, sobretudo como exportador de produtos primários. Em termos de exportações realizadas por setores desde o Brasil para a China existe uma grande concentração nos recursos naturais de matérias primas, particularmente os minérios, alimentos, e combustíveis; trata-se de um pequeno hall de produtos com baixo nível de processamento

China e a Ásia Central: petróleo, segurança e os Estados Unidos

In the last two decades, the United States have substantially increased their presence in Central Asia. Therefore their presence left China in an uncomfortable position, as China seeks to build a stable and peaceful environment in its near abroad, having under its influence all the countries of Central Asia. One of the ways used by the Chinese government to get closer to the countries of this region is through the oil. Being so, the Chinese oil companies buy rights of exploitation of oil and gas reserves in Central Asia and through this establishes and deepens friendly ties with these countries. This practice became known as oil diplomacy. This new tool of the Chinese government has a double effect: it increases the projection of the Chinese power and dilutes the American influence in the region. In other words, it displeases the United States, and in turn tries to be even more present in Central Asia. The main goal to be worked in this study is how the oil diplomacy increases Chinese influence in Central Asia and dilutes American power in the region. It also aims to explain how the United States uses its presence in Central Asia and on sea lines of communication used to transport oil to contain the Chinese expansion

Towards an uncertain future? The strengthening of Japan's autonomy in Asia-Pacific

Recently, Japan has been increasing tensions with China regarding the Pinnacle Senkaku/Diaoyu islands. Due to the Chinese military development, Japan has been working on its political and military strengthening in Asia. This essay presents two possible scenarios for Japan.

Parceria Brasil - China: a questão do petróleo

Pós-graduação em Relações Internacionais (UNESP - UNICAMP - PUC-SP) - FFC

Modeling the Potential Geographic Distribution of Black Pepper (Piper nigrum) in Asia Using GIS Tools

Known as the "king of spices", black pepper (Piper nigrum), a perennial crop of the tropics, is economically the most important and the most widely used spice crop in the world. To understand its suitable bioclimatic distribution, maximum entropy based on ecological niche modeling was used to model the bioclimatic niches of the species in its Asian range. Based on known occurrences, bioclimatic areas with higher probabilities are mainly located in the eastern and western coasts of the Indian Peninsula, the east of Sumatra Island, some areas in the Malay Archipelago, and the southeast coastal areas of China. Some undocumented places were also predicted as suitable areas. According to the jackknife procedure, the minimum temperature of the coldest month, the mean monthly temperature range, and the precipitation of the wettest month were identified as highly effective factors in the distribution of black pepper and could possibly account for the crop's distribution pattern. Such climatic requirements inhibited this species from dispersing and gaining a larger geographical range.

Mapping H5N1 highly pathogenic avian influenza risk in Southeast Asia

The highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H5N1 virus that emerged in southern China in the mid-1990s has in recent years evolved into the first HPAI panzootic. In many countries where the virus was detected, the virus was successfully controlled, whereas other countries face periodic reoccurrence despite significant control efforts. A central question is to understand the factors favoring the continuing reoccurrence of the virus. The abundance of domestic ducks, in particular free-grazing ducks feeding in intensive rice cropping areas, has been identified as one such risk factor based on separate studies carried out in Thailand and Vietnam. In addition, recent extensive progress was made in the spatial prediction of rice cropping intensity obtained through satellite imagery processing. This article analyses the statistical association between the recorded HPAI H5N1 virus presence and a set of five key environmental variables comprising elevation, human population, chicken numbers, duck numbers, and rice cropping intensity for three synchronous epidemic waves in Thailand and Vietnam. A consistent pattern emerges suggesting risk to be associated with duck abundance, human population, and rice cropping intensity in contrast to a relatively low association with chicken numbers. A statistical risk model based on the second epidemic wave data in Thailand is found to maintain its predictive power when extrapolated to Vietnam, which supports its application to other countries with similar agro-ecological conditions such as Laos or Cambodia. The model’s potential application to mapping HPAI H5N1 disease risk in Indonesia is discussed.