964 resultados para predictive ability testing
Resumo:
This study performed a aecondvy dau analysis of information collected during the Youth Leisure Study (YLS). The purpose of this study was to examine the potential moderating influences of gender and general self-efTicacy on the relationships aoKXig sensation-seeking and various forms of substance use in adolescents. Specifically, the predictive ability of sensation seeking on five adolescents substance use outcomes (alcohol, tobacco, and marijuana use; binge drinking; and number of times drunk) was examined. Moderated hierarchical multiple regression (MHMR) analyses were used to examine the relationships among study variables. The results for this study indicate that the relationships among sensation-seeking and forms of adolescent substance use are more complex than literature suggests. Main effect relationships were found consistently for sensation-seeking and general self-efficacy with each of the outcome variables. Results for gender were not consistent across the substance use outcomes. Gender was a significant predictor for marijuana use only. The moderating effects of general self-efficacy (GSE) on the sensation-seekingsubstance use relationship were inconsistent. While no significant interactions were found for tobacco or alcohol use outcomes, GSE was found to moderate the relationship between sensation-seeking and marijuana use indicating that feelings of high general selfefficacy act as a buffer or guard against marijuana use. A consistent pattern was found among the alcohol use variables (alcohol use. binge drinking, and number of times drunk). Gender was found to moderate each of these variables indicating that higher levels of sensation seeking are more predictive of higher levels of adolescent alcohol use in males only. Implications of this study on the field of education, are discussed further, and suggestions for future research are presented.
Resumo:
This study compared the relative effectiveness of two computerized remedial reading programs in improving the reading word recognition, rate, and comprehension of adolescent readers demonstrating significant and longstanding reading difficulties. One of the programs involved was Autoskill Component Reading Subskills Program, which provides instruction in isolated letters, syllables, and words, to a point of rapid automatic responding. This program also incorporates reading disability subtypes in its approach. The second program, Read It Again. Sam, delivers a repeated reading strategy. The study also examined the feasibility of using peer tutors in association with these two programs. Grade 9 students at a secondary vocational school who satisfied specific criteria with respect to cognitive and reading ability participated. Eighteen students were randomly assigned to three matched groups, based on prior screening on a battery of reading achievement tests. Two I I groups received training with one of the computer programs; the third group acted as a control and received the remedial reading program offered within the regular classroom. The groups met daily with a trained tutor for approximately 35 minutes, and were required to accumulate twenty hours of instruction. At the conclusion of the program, the pretest battery was repeated. No significant differences were found in the treatment effects of the two computer groups. Each of the two treatment groups was able to effect significantly improved reading word recognition and rate, relative to the control group. Comprehension gains were modest. The treatment groups demonstrated a significant gain, relative to the control group, on one of the three comprehension measures; only trends toward a gain were noted on the remaining two measures. The tutoring partnership appeared to be a viable alternative for the teacher seeking to provide individualized computerized remedial programs for adolescent unskilled readers. Both programs took advantage of computer technology in providing individualized drill and practice, instant feedback, and ongoing recordkeeping. With limited cautions, each of these programs was considered effective and practical for use with adolescent unskilled readers.
Resumo:
The gene,nil purpose (If this thesis was to examine certain variables considered to be associated with reading readiness in kindergarten children Twenty-four children from a parent-funded parochial school i.n 5t Catharines. Ontaj-io were exanlined in this study, The children.'s reading readiness level, measured by the Test of Ea1'1y Reading Ability (JERA:) and by teacher"s ratings was correlated with various cognitive variables, These variables consisted (If a rough index of intelligence as measured by the Peabody Picture Vocabulary Test - Revised CPPVT-Rl Form M, mean len.gth of utterance (MUn, the sum of relative,. subordinate and coordinate clauses, the !wmber of core statements children make when telling stories and a memory test. All but the memory test related to at least one measure of reading readiness, Although the memory test did not correlate significantly with reading readiness, the children appeaj~ed to be sensitive to the stimulus set size in terms of their study time, In addition. interi'uption in the interval between studying the stimuli and the ,reca1i test had a negathre effect on pe.rfornlance and set size had a substantial effect 011 recognition performance, The educational implications of these correlates of reading readiness are discussed as weH as the implications for future research.
Resumo:
This study examined the effectiveness of context on the acquisition of new vocabulary for good and poor readers. Twentyeight Grade Three children, fourteen good readers and fourteen poor readers, took part in a word-learning task within three conditions: (1) strong sentence context, (2) weak sentence context, and (3) list condition. The primary hypothesis was that poor readers would show less learning in the list condition than good readers and that there would be no difference in the amount of learning in the sentence conditions. Results revealed that: (a) Words are read faster in sentence contexts than in 1 ist contexts; (b) more learning or greater improvement in performance occurs in list contexts and weak sentence contexts as opposed to strong sentence contexts; and (c) that most of these differences can be attributed to the build-up of meaning in sentences. Results indicated that good and poor readers learned more about words in all three condi tions. More learning and greater performance occurred in the list condition as opposed to the two sentence conditions for both subject groups. However, the poor readers learned significantly more about words in both the list condition and the weak sentence condition than the good readers.
Resumo:
This study examined the effectiveness of motor-encoding activities on memory and performance of students in a Grade One reading program. There were two experiments in the study. Experiment 1 replicated a study by Eli Saltz and David Dixon (1982). The effect of motoric enactment (Le., pretend play) of sentences on memory for the sentences was investigated. Forty Grade One students performed a "memory-for-sentences" technique, devised by Saltz and Dixon. Only the experimental group used motoric enactment of the sentences. Although quantitative findings revealed no significant difference between the mean scores of the experimental group versus the control group, aspects of the experimental design could have affected the results. It was suggested that Saltz and Dixon's study could be replicated again, with more attention given to variables such as population size, nature of the test sentences, subjects' previous educational experience and conditions related to the testing environment. The second experiment was an application of Saltz and Dixon's theory that motoric imagery should facilitate memory for sentences. The intent was to apply this theory to Grade One students' ability to remember words from their reading program. An experimental gym program was developed using kinesthetic activities to reinforce the skills of the classroom reading program. The same subject group was used in Experiment 2. It was hypothesized that the subjects who experienced the experimental gym program would show greater signs of progress in reading ability, as evidenced by their scores on Form G of the Woodcock Reading Mastery Test--Revised. The data from the WRM--R were analyzed with a 3-way split-plot analysis of variance in which group (experimental vs. control) and sex were the between subjects variables and test-time (pre-test vs. post-test) was the within-subjects variable. Findings revealed the following: (a) both groups made substantial gains over time on the visual-auditory learning sub-test and the triple action of group x sex x time also was significant; (b) children in the experimental and control groups performed similarly on both the pre- and post-test of the letter identification test; (c) time was the only significant effect on subjects' performance on the word identification task; (d) work attack scores showed marked improvement in performance over time for both the experimenta+ and control groups; (e) passage comprehension scores indicated an improvement in performance for both groups over time. Similar to Experiment 1, it is suggested that several modifications in the experimental design could produce significant results. These factors are addressed with suggestions for further research in the area of active learning; more specifically, the effect of motor-encoding activities on memory and academic performance of children.
Resumo:
A class of twenty-two grade one children was tested to determine their reading levels using the Stanford Diagnostic Reading Achievement Test. Based on these results and teacher input the students were paired according to reading ability. The students ages ranged from six years four months to seven years four months at the commencement of the study. Eleven children were assigned to the language experience group and their partners became the text group. Each member of the language experience group generated a list of eight to be learned words. The treatment consisted of exposing the student to a given word three times per session for ten sessions, over a period of five days. The dependent variables consisted of word identification speed, word identification accuracy, and word recognition accuracy. Each member of the text group followed the same procedure using his/her partner's list of words. Upon completion of this training, the entire process was repeated with members of the text group from the first part becoming members of the language experience group and vice versa. The results suggest that generally speaking language experience words are identified faster than text words but that there is no difference in the rate at which these words are learned. Language experience words may be identified faster because the auditory-semantic information is more readily available in them than in text words. The rate of learning in both types of words, however, may be dictated by the orthography of the to be learned word.
Resumo:
The present study investigates the usefulness of a multi-method approach to the measurement of reading motivation and achievement. A sample of 127 elementary and middle-school children aged 10 to 14 responded to measures of motivation, attributions, and achievement both longitudinally and in a challenging reading context. Novel measures of motivation and attributions were constructed, validated, and utilized to examine the relationship between ~ motivation, attributions, and achievement over a one-year period (Study I). The impact of classroom contexts and instructional practices was also explored through a study of the influence of topic interest and challenge on motivation, attributions, and persistence (Study II), as well as through interviews with children regarding motivation and reading in the classroom (Study III). Creation and validation of novel measures of motivation and attributions supported the use of a self-report measure of motivation in situation-specific contexts, and confirmed a three-factor structure of attributions for reading performance in both hypothetical and situation-specific contexts. A one-year follow up study of children's motivation and reading achievement demonstrated declines in all components of motivation beginning at age 10 through 12, and particularly strong decreases in motivation with the transition to middle school. Past perceived competence for reading predicted current achievement after controlling for past achievement, and showed the strongest relationships with reading-related skills in both elementary and middle school. Motivation and attributions were strongly related, and children with higher motivation Fulmer III displayed more adaptive attributions for reading success and failure. In the context of a developmentally inappropriate challenging reading task, children's motivation for reading, especially in terms of perceived competence, was threatened. However, interest in the story buffered some ofthe negative impacts of challenge, sustaining children's motivation, adaptive attributions, and reading persistence. Finally, children's responses during interviews outlined several emotions, perceptions, and aspects of reading tasks and contexts that influence reading motivation and achievement. Findings revealed that children with comparable motivation and achievement profiles respond in a similar way to particular reading situations, such as excessive challenge, but also that motivation is dynamic and individualistic and can change over time and across contexts. Overall, the present study outlines the importance of motivation and adaptive attributions for reading success, and the necessity of integrating various methodologies to study the dynamic construct of achievement motivation.
Resumo:
We assess the predictive ability of three VPIN metrics on the basis of two highly volatile market events of China, and examine the association between VPIN and toxic-induced volatility through conditional probability analysis and multiple regression. We examine the dynamic relationship on VPIN and high-frequency liquidity using Vector Auto-Regression models, Granger Causality tests, and impulse response analysis. Our results suggest that Bulk Volume VPIN has the best risk-warning effect among major VPIN metrics. VPIN has a positive association with market volatility induced by toxic information flow. Most importantly, we document a positive feedback effect between VPIN and high-frequency liquidity, where a negative liquidity shock boosts up VPIN, which, in turn, leads to further liquidity drain. Our study provides empirical evidence that reflects an intrinsic game between informed traders and market makers when facing toxic information in the high-frequency trading world.
Resumo:
Contexte: Bien que plusieurs algorithmes pharmacogénétiques de prédiction de doses de warfarine aient été publiés, peu d’études ont comparé la validité de ces algorithmes en pratique clinique réelle. Objectif: Évaluer trois algorithmes pharmacogénomiques dans une population de patients qui initient un traitement à la warfarine et qui souffrent de fibrillation auriculaire ou de problèmes de valves cardiaques. Analyser la performance des algorithmes de Gage et al., de Michaud et al. ainsi que de l’IWPC quant à la prédiction de la dose de warfarine permettant d’atteindre l’INR thérapeutique. Méthodes: Un devis de cohorte rétrospectif fut utilisé afin d’évaluer la validité des algorithmes chez 605 patients ayant débuté une thérapie de warfarine à l’Institut de Cardiologie de Montréal. Le coefficient de corrélation de Pearson ainsi que l’erreur absolue moyenne ont été utilisés pour évaluer la précision des algorithmes. L’exactitude clinique des prédictions de doses fut évaluée en calculant le nombre de patients pour qui la dose prédite était sous-estimée, idéalement estimée ou surestimée. Enfin, la régression linéaire multiple a été utilisée pour évaluer la validité d’un modèle de prédiction de doses de warfarine obtenu en ajoutant de nouvelles covariables. Résultats : L’algorithme de Gage a obtenu la proportion de variation expliquée la plus élevée (R2 ajusté = 44 %) ainsi que la plus faible erreur absolue moyenne (MAE = 1.41 ± 0.06). De plus, la comparaison des proportions de patients ayant une dose prédite à moins de 20 % de la dose observée a confirmé que l’algorithme de Gage était également le plus performant. Conclusion : Le modèle publié par Gage en 2008 est l’algorithme pharmacogénétique le plus exact dans notre population pour prédire des doses thérapeutiques de warfarine.
Resumo:
L’étude cherche à provoquer la convergence des regards sur des enjeux méthodologiques fondamentaux, soit les enjeux de mesure, de décision et d’impact inhérents à toute démarche de sélection académique. À cet effet, elle explorera la capacité de prédiction de certaines variables non cognitives envers la compétence de professionnalisme observée chez les étudiants du doctorat professionnel de premier cycle en pharmacie. La sélection des candidats au sein des programmes académiques en santé repose en grande partie sur une évaluation de la capacité cognitive des étudiants. Tenant compte du virage compétence pris par la majorité des programmes en santé, la pertinence et la validité des critères traditionnels de sélection sont remises en question. La présente étude propose de valider l’utilisation des échelles de mesure de la personnalité, des valeurs et de l’autodétermination pour guider l’optimalité et l’équité des décisions de sélection. Les enjeux de mesure de ces variables seront abordés principalement par la modélisation dichotomique et polytomique de Rasch. L’application de la méthode des strates permettra, par la suite, de répondre aux enjeux de décision en procédant à une différenciation et un classement des étudiants. Puis, les enjeux d’impact seront, à leur tour, explorés par le modèle de régression par classes latentes. L’étude démontre notamment que le recours à la modélisation a permis une différenciation précise des étudiants. Cependant, la violation de certaines conditions d’application des modèles et la faible différenciation établie entre les étudiants sur la base des critères de professionnalisme, rendent l’évaluation de la capacité de prédiction de la personnalité, des valeurs et de l’autodétermination hasardeuse. À cet effet, les modèles identifiés par les analyses de régression par classes latentes s’avèrent peu concluants. Les classes latentes ainsi identifiées ne présentent pas de distinctions marquées et utiles à la sélection. Bien que les diverses procédures de modélisation proposées présentent des avantages intéressants pour une utilisation en contexte de sélection académique, des recherches additionnelles sur la qualité des critères de professionnalisme et sur la qualité des échelles de mesure des variables non cognitives demeurent nécessaires.
Resumo:
Introducción: La enfermedad coronaria es la principal causa de muerte en Colombia y el mundo en personas mayores de 45 años (1, 2). Con la variación en los perfiles epidemiológicos se espera que aumente su prevalencia y costo, disminuyendo la mortalidad. En el estudio diagnóstico de enfermedad coronaria, se realizan múltiples pruebas paraclínicas, dentro de estas, el ecocardiograma es muy utilizado y sus recomendaciones de uso se basan en estudios de hace más de 10 años (3). Metodología: Se realizó un estudio de prueba diagnóstica para determinar las características operativas del ecocardiograma transtorácico para el diagnóstico de enfermedad coronaria frente al cateterismo cardiaco en pacientes con dolor torácico. Resultados: Se analizaron 290 pacientes con una edad promedio de 67 años y 68% hombres; el 74.1% tenía hipertensión arterial y el 24.5% de diabetes mellitus. En el 61% de los pacientes se evidenció enfermedad coronaria por angiografía. La sensibilidad del ecocardiograma transtorácico para enfermedad coronaria fue del 70%, especificidad del 55%, valor predictivo negativo del 54% y valor predictivo positivo del 71%; con una efectividad del 65% y una capacidad predictora del 60.6% (p=0.02). Discusión: La anatomía coronaria fue similar a la descrita previamente, siendo las lesiones multivaso presente en un 41% y la lesión de un vaso fue del 22% (4, 5). Teniendo en cuenta la sensibilidad del 70% y especificidad del 55%, la facilidad de acceso, características no invasivas y el bajo costo; nos permiten recomendar utilizarlo como guía diagnóstica en el contexto del dolor torácico en el servicio de urgencias.
Resumo:
Introducción: con las recientes tendencias de estilo de vida, no está claro qué factores son los contribuyentes más importantes en niños escolares para desarrollar sobrepeso- obesidad. Objetivo. Evaluar el impacto de los factores prenatales, perinatales y ambientales sobre el desarrollo de sobrepeso y obesidad en niños de 5 a 10 años en una población bogotana. Materiales y métodos: se realizó un estudio de casos y controles no pareado, empleando una encuesta a 528 niños, en quienes se identificaron los factores de riesgo. Se utilizó la prueba chi-cuadrado para evaluar las diferencia entre los niños normales y con sobrepeso-obesidad. Se realizó un modelo de regresión logística para evaluar los factores relevantes. Se determinaron los (OR) y sus intervalos de confianza (IC) del 95%. Resultados: se obtuvo una muestra de 528 niños. Se encontró que existen diferencias significativas en la ingesta calórica (p<0,001). El sobrepeso materno pregestacional fue de 23,2% en las madres de los casos y 16,5% en los controles (p<0,001). No hubo diferencias estadísticamente significativas con otros factores. La regresión logística arrojó datos significativos en dieta hipercalórica p =0,002 (OR =5,27; IC 95% 1,79-1,54) y el peso materno p =0,005 (OR =1,03, IC 95% 1,01-1,05). Se realizó una curva ROC para el cálculo de la capacidad predictiva del modelo y el área bajo la curva es de 0.64 (IC 95% 0.59-0.69). Conclusiones: se identificó como factores de riesgo para el desarrollo de sobrepeso-obesidad infantil en niños escolares, una dieta hipercalórica y sobrepeso materno pregestacional.
Resumo:
INTRODUCCION La hipotensión arterial por anestesia raquídea en embarazadas llevadas a cesárea es frecuente y deletérea para la madre y el feto, sin que a la fecha exista una herramienta clínicamente útil para predecirla. La variabilidad de la frecuencia cardiaca es una medida que estima la actividad del sistema nervioso autónomo y algunos estudio iniciales indican una posible utilidad como herramienta predictiva de hipotensión arterial en esta población. METODOLOGIA Se realizó un estudio observacional descriptivo para examinar el comportamiento de la variabilidad de la frecuencia cardiaca, medida como razón de Baja frecuencia/Alta frecuencia, con un punto de corte de 2.5 tomada con un reloj POLAR RS800CX, en una población de pacientes con embarazo a término llevadas a cesárea, en un hospital de tercer nivel en Bogotá- Colombia entre Febrero y Abril del 2015. RESULTADOS El estudio incluyó 82 pacientes. Se determinó que la razón Baja frecuencia/Alta frecuencia mayor a 2,5 era poco frecuente en nuestra población (15.85%), y su asociación no fue significativa. DISCUSION El presente estudio demostró que la asociación entre la presencia de hipotensión y un índice Baja frecuencia/Alta frecuencia con punto de corte de 2.5 no es significativo para nuestra población de mujeres con embarazo a término llevadas a cesárea con anestesia espinal. Según los resultados se sugieres un punto de corte de 1.6 como punto de partida para la realización de nuevos estudios que permitan validar este valor.
Resumo:
Este texto presenta un estudio científico y jurídico sobre la genética y el derecho penal, con el objeto de realizar un pequeño aporte para la superación de la polarización política y moral de los debates sobre la genética y el derecho, que sólo ha conducido a una desafortunada paralización de la regulación sobre el tema que aumenta los riesgos para la salud humana y el equilibrio de los ecosistemas. Ante una problemática tan compleja, el derecho moderno no plantea una solución unitaria, sino una metodología a través de la cual cada sociedad democráticamente pueda adoptar sus propias decisiones frente a la salvaguarda de su patrimonio genético.