Modelo conceitual de gestão de produção baseado na gestão do conhecimento: um estudo no ambiente operário da indústria automotiva

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Critical points on growth curves in autoregressive and mixed models

Adjusting autoregressive and mixed models to growth data fits discontinuous functions, which makes it difficult to determine critical points. In this study we propose a new approach to determine the critical stability point of cattle growth using a first-order autoregressive model and a mixed model with random asymptote, using the deterministic portion of the models. Three functions were compared: logistic, Gompertz, and Richards. The Richards autoregressive model yielded the best fit, but the critical growth values were adjusted very early, and for this purpose the Gompertz model was more appropriate.

Modelo para definição do kit de horas de montagem de aviões

This work was done a study to develop a model for definition of hours assembling planes, that were able to meet both the most complete plane, i.e. with the highest number of mounts but also that do not generate an idleness on the line when a plane less complex passing on the Assembly line. The proposed model has great advantages over the current model that the company has been using, as for example: leftover hand-to-hand for assembling airplanes only 10% than the current model raises and an expense to pay the human resource/time of only 6.7% compared with the current model at the company

Antitumor activity of irradiated riboflavin on human renal carcinoma cell line 786-O

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

Genome-wide scan for visceral leishmaniasis in mixed-breed dogs identifies candidate genes involved in T helper cells and macrophage signaling

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

Machine vision and planning applied on assembby line of multiple products

This article describes the use of Artificial Intelligence (IA) techniques applied in cells of a manufacturing system. Machine Vision was used to identify pieces and their positions of two different products to be assembled in the same productive line. This information is given as input for an IA planner embedded in the manufacturing system. Therefore, initial and final states are sent automatically to the planner capable to generate assembly plans for a robotic cell, in real time.

Abastecimento de materiais numa linha de montagem final multiproduto

Pós-graduação em Engenharia de Produção - FEG

Two extensions for the ALWABP: Parallel stations and collaborative approach

In this article, we introduce two new variants of the Assembly Line Worker Assignment and Balancing Problem (ALWABP) that allow parallelization of and collaboration between heterogeneous workers. These new approaches suppose an additional level of complexity in the Line Design and Assignment process, but also higher flexibility; which may be particularly useful in practical situations where the aim is to progressively integrate slow or limited workers in conventional assembly lines. We present linear models and heuristic procedures for these two new problems. Computational results show the efficiency of the proposed approaches and the efficacy of the studied layouts in different situations. (C) 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Cholesky Residuals for Assessing Normal Errors in a Linear Model with Correlated Outcomes: Technical Report

Despite the widespread popularity of linear models for correlated outcomes (e.g. linear mixed models and time series models), distribution diagnostic methodology remains relatively underdeveloped in this context. In this paper we present an easy-to-implement approach that lends itself to graphical displays of model fit. Our approach involves multiplying the estimated margional residual vector by the Cholesky decomposition of the inverse of the estimated margional variance matrix. The resulting "rotated" residuals are used to construct an empirical cumulative distribution function and pointwise standard errors. The theoretical framework, including conditions and asymptotic properties, involves technical details that are motivated by Lange and Ryan (1989), Pierce (1982), and Randles (1982). Our method appears to work well in a variety of circumstances, including models having independent units of sampling (clustered data) and models for which all observations are correlated (e.g., a single time series). Our methods can produce satisfactory results even for models that do not satisfy all of the technical conditions stated in our theory.

FAST ADAPTIVE PENALIZED SPLINES

This paper proposes a numerically simple routine for locally adaptive smoothing. The locally heterogeneous regression function is modelled as a penalized spline with a smoothly varying smoothing parameter modelled as another penalized spline. This is being formulated as hierarchical mixed model, with spline coe±cients following a normal distribution, which by itself has a smooth structure over the variances. The modelling exercise is in line with Baladandayuthapani, Mallick & Carroll (2005) or Crainiceanu, Ruppert & Carroll (2006). But in contrast to these papers Laplace's method is used for estimation based on the marginal likelihood. This is numerically simple and fast and provides satisfactory results quickly. We also extend the idea to spatial smoothing and smoothing in the presence of non normal response.

A silviculture-oriented spatio-temporal model for germination in Pinus pinea L. in the Spanish Northern Plateau based on a direct seeding experiment

Natural regeneration in Pinus pinea stands commonly fails throughout the Spanish Northern Plateau under current intensive regeneration treatments. As a result, extensive direct seeding is commonly conducted to guarantee regeneration occurrence. In a period of rationalization of the resources devoted to forest management, this kind of techniques may become unaffordable. Given that the climatic and stand factors driving germination remain unknown, tools are required to understand the process and temper the use of direct seeding. In this study, the spatio-temporal pattern of germination of P. pinea was modelled with those purposes. The resulting findings will allow us to (1) determine the main ecological variables involved in germination in the species and (2) infer adequate silvicultural alternatives. The modelling approach focuses on covariates which are readily available to forest managers. A two-step nonlinear mixed model was fitted to predict germination occurrence and abundance in P. pinea under varying climatic, environmental and stand conditions, based on a germination data set covering a 5-year period. The results obtained reveal that the process is primarily driven by climate variables. Favourable conditions for germination commonly occur in fall although the optimum window is often narrow and may not occur at all in some years. At spatial level, it would appear that germination is facilitated by high stand densities, suggesting that current felling intensity should be reduced. In accordance with other studies on P. pinea dispersal, it seems that denser stands during the regeneration period will reduce the present dependence on direct seeding.

Desarrollo de un sistema basado en el conocimiento para la definición de líneas de montaje aeronáuticas en la fase conceptual : Aplicación a una aeroestructura aeronáutica

La presente Tesis persigue la definición y el desarrollo de un sistema basado en el conocimiento que permita la generación de modelos de líneas de montaje durante la fase conceptual de definición de una aeroestructura aeronáutica. Para ello, se propone la definición de un modelo formal del proceso en concurrencia asociado al diseño de líneas de montaje en la fase conceptual, y de un modelo de la estructura de datos básica para soportar dicho proceso. Ambos modelos sirven de base para el desarrollo de una aplicación de prueba de concepto en el entorno del sistema comercial CAX-PLM CATIA v5. Los modelos de línea generados integran las tres estructuras básicas definidas en el modelo propuesto: producto, procesos y recursos. Los modelos generados son estructuras “de montaje”, basadas en estructuras de producto “de fabricación” a su vez derivadas de estructuras “de diseño”. Cada modelo generado se evalúa en términos de cuatro estimaciones básicas: dimensiones máximas del nodo producto, distancia de transporte y medio a utilizar, tiempo total de ejecución y coste total. La generación de modelos de línea de montaje se realiza en concurrencia con la función diseño de producto, teniendo por tanto la oportunidad de influir en la misma e incluir requerimientos de fabricación y montaje al producto en las primeras fases de su ciclo de vida, lo que proporciona una clara ventaja competitiva. El desarrollo propuesto en esta Tesis permite sentar las bases para realizar desarrollos con objeto de asistir a los diseñadores durante la fase conceptual de generación de diseños de líneas de montaje. La aplicación prototipo desarrollada demuestra la viabilidad de la propuesta conceptual que se realiza en la Tesis. ABSTRACT The current thesis proposes the definition and development of a knowledge-based system to generate aircraft components assembly line models during the conceptual phase of the product life cycle. With this objective, the definition of a formal activity model to represent the design of assembly lines during the conceptual phase is proposed; such model considers the concurrence with the product design process. Associated to the activity model, a data structure model is defined to support such process. Both models are the basis for the development of a proof of concept application within the environment of the commercial CAX-PLM system CATIA v5. The generated assembly line models integrate the three basic structures defined in the proposed model: product, processes and resources. The generated models are “As Prepared” structures based on “As Planned” structures derived from “As Designed” structures. Each generated model is evaluated in terms of four basic estimates: maximum dimensions of the product node, transport distance and transport mean to be used, total execution time and total cost. The assembly line models generation is made in concurrence with the product design function. Therefore, it provides the opportunity to influence on it and allows including manufacturing and assembly requirements early in the product life cycle, which gives a clear competitive advantage. The development proposed in this Thesis allows setting the foundation to carry out further developments with the aim of assisting designers during the conceptual phase of the assembly line design process. The developed prototype application shows the feasibility of the conceptual proposal presented in the Thesis.

Proposal for the Conceptual Design of Aeronautical Final Assembly Lines Based on the Industrial Digital Mock-Up Concept

The design of a Final Assembly Line (FAL) is carry out in the product industrialization activity. The phase dealing with the definition of conceptual solutions is characterized by depending heavily on the personnel experience and being time-consuming. To enhance such process, it is proposed a development of a knowledge based software application to assist designers in the definition of scenarios and to generate conceptual FAL alternatives. Both the scenario and the generated FAL solution are part of the industrialization digital mock-up (IDMU). A commercial software application used in the aircraft programmes and supporting the IDMU concepts of: Product, Process and Resource; was selected to implement a software prototype. This communication presents the adopted methodological approach and the architecture of the developed application.

Mixed models for short-run forecasting of electricity prices: Application for the Spanish market

Short-run forecasting of electricity prices has become necessary for power generation unit schedule, since it is the basis of every profit maximization strategy. In this article a new and very easy method to compute accurate forecasts for electricity prices using mixed models is proposed. The main idea is to develop an efficient tool for one-step-ahead forecasting in the future, combining several prediction methods for which forecasting performance has been checked and compared for a span of several years. Also as a novelty, the 24 hourly time series has been modelled separately, instead of the complete time series of the prices. This allows one to take advantage of the homogeneity of these 24 time series. The purpose of this paper is to select the model that leads to smaller prediction errors and to obtain the appropriate length of time to use for forecasting. These results have been obtained by means of a computational experiment. A mixed model which combines the advantages of the two new models discussed is proposed. Some numerical results for the Spanish market are shown, but this new methodology can be applied to other electricity markets as well