881 resultados para micro-epidemic
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Estas linhas se constituem em políticas que pretendem promover o desenvolvimento econômico e social através da geração de trabalho e renda. Este artigo tem como objetivo analisar se as linhas de crédito públicas - Proger e BNDES/Finame - foram acessadas pelas microempresas no município de Chapecó (SC), suas dificuldades e perspectivas. Caracteriza-se como um estudo exploratório descritivo, com abordagem qualitativa. Do universo investigado constatou-se um baixo índice de acesso, existindo mais dificuldades do que perspectivas concretas de que essas linhas se constituam em políticas de inclusão social que promovam o desenvolvimento para o município e região. A ausência de informações dos públicos-alvo a serem beneficiados por essas políticas mostra a necessidade de reformular as diretrizes de exigência necessárias para o acesso ao crédito.
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First-generation progeny of field-collected Psorophora ferox, Aedes scapularis, and Aedes serratus from the Rocio encephalitis epidemic zone in S.Paulo State, Brazil, were tested for vector competency in the laboratory. Psorophora ferox and Ae. scapularis are susceptible to per os infection with Rocio virus and can transmit the virus by bite following a suitable incubation period. Oral ID50S for the two species (10(4.1) and 10(4.3) Vero cell plaque forming units, respectively) did not differ significantly. Infection rates in Ae. serratus never exceeded 36%, and, consequently, an ID50 could not be calculated for this species. It is unlikely that Ae. serratus is an epidemiologically important vector of Rocio virus. The utility of an in vitro feeding technique for demonstrating virus transmission by infected mosquitoes and difficulties encountered in working with uncolonized progeny of field-collected mosquitoes are discussed.
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The interplay of seasonality, the system's nonlinearities and intrinsic stochasticity, is studied for a seasonally forced susceptible-exposed-infective-recovered stochastic model. The model is explored in the parameter region that corresponds to childhood infectious diseases such as measles. The power spectrum of the stochastic fluctuations around the attractors of the deterministic system that describes the model in the thermodynamic limit is computed analytically and validated by stochastic simulations for large system sizes. Size effects are studied through additional simulations. Other effects such as switching between coexisting attractors induced by stochasticity often mentioned in the literature as playing an important role in the dynamics of childhood infectious diseases are also investigated. The main conclusion is that stochastic amplification, rather than these effects, is the key ingredient to understand the observed incidence patterns.
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Renewable based power generation has significantly increased over the last years. However, this process has evolved separately from electricity markets, leading to an inadequacy of the present market models to cope with huge quantities of renewable energy resources, and to take full advantage of the presently existing and the increasing envisaged renewable based and distributed energy resources. This paper proposes the modelling of electricity markets at several levels (continental, regional and micro), taking into account the specific characteristics of the players and resources involved in each level and ensuring that the proposed models accommodate adequate business models able to support the contribution of all the resources in the system, from the largest to the smaller ones. The proposed market models are integrated in MASCEM (Multi- Agent Simulator of Competitive Electricity Markets), using the multi agent approach advantages for overcoming the current inadequacy and significant limitations of the presently existing electricity market simulators to deal with the complex electricity market models that must be adopted.
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In the energy management of the isolated operation of small power system, the economic scheduling of the generation units is a crucial problem. Applying right timing can maximize the performance of the supply. The optimal operation of a wind turbine, a solar unit, a fuel cell and a storage battery is searched by a mixed-integer linear programming implemented in General Algebraic Modeling Systems (GAMS). A Virtual Power Producer (VPP) can optimal operate the generation units, assured the good functioning of equipment, including the maintenance, operation cost and the generation measurement and control. A central control at system allows a VPP to manage the optimal generation and their load control. The application of methodology to a real case study in Budapest Tech, demonstrates the effectiveness of this method to solve the optimal isolated dispatch of the DC micro-grid renewable energy park. The problem has been converged in 0.09 s and 30 iterations.
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Purpose: The most recent Varian® micro multileaf collimator(MLC), the High Definition (HD120) MLC, was modeled using the BEAMNRCMonte Carlo code. This model was incorporated into a Varian medical linear accelerator, for a 6 MV beam, in static and dynamic mode. The model was validated by comparing simulated profiles with measurements. Methods: The Varian® Trilogy® (2300C/D) accelerator model was accurately implemented using the state-of-the-art Monte Carlo simulation program BEAMNRC and validated against off-axis and depth dose profiles measured using ionization chambers, by adjusting the energy and the full width at half maximum (FWHM) of the initial electron beam. The HD120 MLC was modeled by developing a new BEAMNRC component module (CM), designated HDMLC, adapting the available DYNVMLC CM and incorporating the specific characteristics of this new micro MLC. The leaf dimensions were provided by the manufacturer. The geometry was visualized by tracing particles through the CM and recording their position when a leaf boundary is crossed. The leaf material density and abutting air gap between leaves were adjusted in order to obtain a good agreement between the simulated leakage profiles and EBT2 film measurements performed in a solid water phantom. To validate the HDMLC implementation, additional MLC static patterns were also simulated and compared to additional measurements. Furthermore, the ability to simulate dynamic MLC fields was implemented in the HDMLC CM. The simulation results of these fields were compared with EBT2 film measurements performed in a solid water phantom. Results: Overall, the discrepancies, with and without MLC, between the opened field simulations and the measurements using ionization chambers in a water phantom, for the off-axis profiles are below 2% and in depth-dose profiles are below 2% after the maximum dose depth and below 4% in the build-up region. On the conditions of these simulations, this tungsten-based MLC has a density of 18.7 g cm− 3 and an overall leakage of about 1.1 ± 0.03%. The discrepancies between the film measured and simulated closed and blocked fields are below 2% and 8%, respectively. Other measurements were performed for alternated leaf patterns and the agreement is satisfactory (to within 4%). The dynamic mode for this MLC was implemented and the discrepancies between film measurements and simulations are within 4%. Conclusions: The Varian® Trilogy® (2300 C/D) linear accelerator including the HD120 MLC was successfully modeled and simulated using the Monte CarloBEAMNRC code by developing an independent CM, the HDMLC CM, either in static and dynamic modes.
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Mestrado em Engenharia Electrotécnica e de Computadores
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O Planeta Terra tem vindo a ser fustigado pelas alterações climáticas resultado da poluição ambiental provocada pelo Homem. Com o objectivo de minimizar estes efeitos deletérios, os países mais desenvolvidos estabeleceram compromissos relativamente às emissões de gases com efeito de estufa, tendo por base o Protocolo de Kyoto. A iniciativa «Renováveis na Hora» é uma das medidas previstas no plano para a política de energia e alterações climáticas, apresentado em Fevereiro de 2008, pelo Ministério da Economia e da Inovação Português. Actualmente, em Portugal, existe um mercado emergente para a microgeração, que se rege segundo a legislação aplicada recentemente, que estabelece o novo regime jurídico aplicável à produção de energia por intermédio de unidades de microprodução. Esta iniciativa levará à criação de um novo paradigma de exploração e utilização de energia. Deste modo, é fundamental avançar com alguns alertas das condições de exploração. A energia eólica é umas das fontes renováveis em que o rendimento de conversão pode atingir valores interessantes (poderá ser superior a 50%) e em determinadas regiões o seu potencial é bastante bom, nomeadamente em zonas litorais e em zonas montanhosas. Em ambiente urbano é impraticável a instalação de grandes torres eólicas, mas a micro produção baseada em pequenas turbinas eólicas é perfeitamente possível e desejável. O propósito deste trabalho é realizar um estudo de cariz técnico acerca da instalação de um mini parque eólico num edifício urbano, tendo em conta todas as condicionantes (velocidade do vento, obstáculos na zona, altura de montagem, inter-distância entre aerogeradores). Foi realizado um software que irá auxiliar a escolha dos aerogeradores e inversores para o tipo de local onde vai ser instalado o parque eólico.
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Helically twisted fibers can be produced by electrospinning liquid-crystalline cellulose solutions. Fiber topographies are studied by atomic force microscopy, scanning electron microscopy (see figure) and polarized optical microscopy. The fibers have a nearly universal pitch-to-diameter ratio and comprise both right- and left-handed helices.
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Micro- and nano-patterned materials are of great importance for the design of new nanoscale electronic, optical and mechanical devices, ranging from sensors to displays. A prospective system that can support a designed functionality is elastomeric polyurethane thin films with nano- or micromodulated surface structures ("wrinkles"). These wrinkles can be induced on different lengthscales by mechanically stretching the films, without the need for any sophisticated lithographic techniques. In the present article we focus on the experimental control of the wrinkling process. A simple model for wrinkle formation is also discussed, and some preliminary results reported. Hierarchical assembly of these tunable structures paves the way for the development of a new class of materials with a wide range of applications, from electronics to biomedicine.
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A celulose é o polímero renovável mais abundante do mundo. É conhecido pela sua excelente biocompatibilidade, propriedades térmicas e mecânicas. A celulose assim como os polipéptideos e o ADN, pertence a uma família de moléculas orgânicas que dão origem à formação de fases líquidas cristalinas (LCs) colestéricas. A Passiflora Edulis, tal como outras plantas trepadeiras, possui longas e flexíveis gavinhas que permitem à planta encontrar um suporte para se fixar. As gavinhas podem assumir a forma de espirais ou de hélices consoante sejam sustentadas por apenas uma ou por ambas as extremidades. As hélices apresentam muitas vezes duas porções helicoidais, uma esquerda e outra direita, separadas por um segmento recto denominado perversão. Este comportamento é consequência da curvatura intrínseca das gavinhas produzidas pela planta trepadeira. O mesmo comportamento pode ser observado em micro e nanofibras celulósicas fabricadas a partir de soluções líquido-cristalinas, numa escala três a quatro ordens de grandeza inferior à das gavinhas. Este facto sugere que o modelo físico utilizado tenha invariância de escala. Neste trabalho é feito o estudo de fibras e jactos que imitam as estruturas helicoidais apresentadas pelas gavinhas das plantas trepadeiras. As fibras e jactos são produzidos a partir de soluções líquidas cristalinas celulósicas. De modo a determinar as características morfológicas e estruturais, que contribuem para a curvatura das fibras, foram utilizadas técnicas de imagem por ressonância magnética (MRI), microscopia óptica com luz polarisada (MOP), microscopia electrónica de varrimento (SEM) e microscopia de força atómica (AFM) . A variação da forma das estruturas helicoidais com a temperatura parece ser relevante para o fabrico de membranas não tecidas para aplicação em sensores termo-mecânicos.
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The tribological response of multilayer micro/nanocrystalline diamond coatings grown by the hot filament CVD technique is investigated. These multigrade systems were tailored to comprise a starting microcrystalline diamond (MCD) layer with high adhesion to a silicon nitride (Si3N4) ceramic substrate, and a top nanocrystalline diamond (NCD) layer with reduced surface roughness. Tribological tests were carried out with a reciprocating sliding configuration without lubrication. Such composite coatings exhibit a superior critical load before delamination (130–200 N), when compared to the mono- (60–100 N) and bilayer coatings (110 N), considering ∼10 µm thick films. Regarding the friction behaviour, a short-lived initial high friction coefficient was followed by low friction regimes (friction coefficients between 0.02 and 0.09) as a result of the polished surfaces tailored by the tribological solicitation. Very mild to mild wear regimes (wear coefficient values between 4.1×10−8 and 7.7×10−7 mm3 N−1 m−1) governed the wear performance of the self-mated multilayer coatings when subjected to high-load short-term tests (60–200 N; 2 h; 86 m) and medium-load endurance tests (60 N; 16 h; 691 m).
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Micro-generation is the small scale production of heat and/or electricity from a low carbon source and can be a powerful driver for carbon reduction, behavior change, security of supply and economic value. The energy conversion technologies can include photovoltaic panels, micro combined heat and power, micro wind, heat pumps, solar thermal systems, fuel cells and micro hydro schemes. In this paper, a small research of the availability of the conversion apparatus and the prices for the micro wind turbines and photovoltaic systems is made and a comparison between these two technologies is performed in terms of the availability of the resource and costs. An analysis of the new legal framework published in Portugal is done to realize if the incentives to individualspsila investment in sustainable and local energy production is worth for their point of view. An economic evaluation for these alternatives, accounting with the governmentpsilas incentives should lead, in most cases, into attractive return rates for the investment. Apart from the attractiveness of the investment there are though other aspects that should be taken into account and those are the benefits that these choices have to us all. The idea is that micro-generation will not only make a significant direct contribution to carbon reduction targets, it will also trigger a multiplier effect in behavior change by engaging hearts and minds, and providing more efficient use of energy by householders. The diversified profile of power generation by micro-generators, both in terms of location and timing, should reduce the impact of intermittency or plant failures with significant gains for security of supply.
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OBJECTIVE To analyze spatial changes in the risk of AIDS and the relationship between AIDS incidence and socioeconomic variables in the state of Rondonia, Amazon region. METHODS A spatial, population case-control study in Rondonia, Brazil, based on 1,780 cases reported to the Epidemiological Surveillance System and controls based on demographic data from 1987 to 2006. The cases were grouped into five consecutive four-year periods. A generalized additive model was adjusted to the data; the dependent variable was the status of the individuals (case or control), and the independent variables were a bi-dimensional spline of the geographic coordinates and some municipality-level socioeconomic variables. The observed values of the Moran’s I test were compared to a reference distribution of values generated under conditions of spatial randomness. RESULTS AIDS risk shows a marked spatial and temporal pattern. The disease incidence is related to socioeconomic variables at the municipal level in Rondônia, such as urbanization and human capital. The highest incidence rates of AIDS are in municipalities along the BR-364 highway and calculations of the Moran’s I test show positive spatial correlation associated with proximity of the municipality to the highway in the third and fourth periods (p = 0.05). CONCLUSIONS Incidence of the disease is higher in municipalities of greater economic wealth and urbanization, and in those municipalities bisected by Rondônia’s main roads. The rapid development associated with the opening up of once remote regions may be accompanied by an increase in these risks to health.
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Mestrado em Fiscalidade