Predição em modelos de tempo de falha acelerado com efeito aleatório para avaliação de riscos de falha em poços petrolíferos

We considered prediction techniques based on models of accelerated failure time with random e ects for correlated survival data. Besides the bayesian approach through empirical Bayes estimator, we also discussed about the use of a classical predictor, the Empirical Best Linear Unbiased Predictor (EBLUP). In order to illustrate the use of these predictors, we considered applications on a real data set coming from the oil industry. More speci - cally, the data set involves the mean time between failure of petroleum-well equipments of the Bacia Potiguar. The goal of this study is to predict the risk/probability of failure in order to help a preventive maintenance program. The results show that both methods are suitable to predict future failures, providing good decisions in relation to employment and economy of resources for preventive maintenance.

O ruído da unidade de terapia intensiva neonatal após a implementação de programa educativo

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

Vibration and wear particles analysis in a test stand

Purpose - This paper aims to provide information on wear debris on oil and vibration analysis as predictive maintenance techniques. Design/methodology/ approach - The estate of a reducer is verified by analyzing the vibration and oil conditions of a test rig under some variables. Findings - According to the vibration and oil analysis it was found what was happening in the reducer without disassembling it. Originality/value - This paper gives information about two predictive maintenance techniques with a test rig. © Emerald Group Publishing Limited.

O estudo da influência do ciclo de partidas e paradas no estator de geradores síncronos

Os geradores síncronos se submetem a diferentes situações de paradas para desligamento forçado, desligamento por condições externas, desligamento programado para manutenção corretiva e preventiva. As diferentes variações de temperatura em que se submete o gerador síncrono, precisamente, ao seu estator, afeta o seu isolamento, que não acompanha essas constantes variações, devido ter um coeficiente de dilatação diferente. No presente trabalho busca-se identificar uma tendência de progressão do envelhecimento do isolamento de seus enrolamentos estatóricos em máquinas que sofrem repetitivas partidas e paradas e que ficam com sua reserva de energia desligada por muitas horas. O estudo foi aplicado nos cinco geradores síncronos da usina hidrelétrica de Balbina, pertencente ao grupo Eletrobrás, que apresenta tal problema. Esse estudo vem comprovar os ensaios de análise de descargas parciais dos geradores síncronos realizados periodicamente para diagnosticar problemas nos seus enrolamentos estatóricos que apresentam diferentes magnitudes e confirmar a hipótese de que máquinas que apresentam maiores magnitudes de descargas parciais em seus estatores são as que se submetem maiores quantidades de partidas e paradas e horas com energia de reserva desligada.

Desenvolvimento de um sistema de instrumentação de medição de vibração mecânica em máquina rotativas, em tempo real, embarcado em FPGA

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Otimização de planos de manutenções de componentes de sistemas de distribuição de energia elétrica centrados em confiabilidade

Pós-graduação em Engenharia Elétrica - FEIS

Índices de confiabilidade devido a vegetação e planejamento de podas de árvores em redes de distribuição

Pós-graduação em Engenharia Elétrica - FEIS

Estudo da viabilidade da aplicação de técnicas preditivas na manutenção de reatores batelada

This study aims to analyze the feasibility of using predictive techniques like thermography, vibration analysis, eddy current, liquid penetrant, visual examination and ultrasound in equipment as batch reactors of the type used in a biodiesel production company. This study is based on: analysis of the practices of corrective and preventive maintenance commonly adopted in the company in question, the cost and time spent for such activities and the potential savings and revenue generation that can be after implementation of these techniques on the analysis of maintenance current

Manual de procedimentos técnicos para manutenção preventiva em empilhadeiras na área de prestação de serviços

The service area is in full development in the world, and it is proven the benefits of outsourcing services to large companies, which deliver services and manufacturing experts can focus only on production of their products. In the case of cargo handling is no different, many factories hire specialized companies to reduce fixed costs and factory overhead. And with the intense competition in the market, service providers are increasingly seeking to reduce costs in order to offer services at competitive prices. So if we see a growing need to train its employees to perform services faster and with better quality. In this work, will be a handbook of technical procedures for preventive maintenance, as well as a catalog of parts required to perform the same for Toyota 8 Series forklifts. Will be developed also tools to control and carry out the preventive maintenance of these trucks, such as Check-list and a manual of tools needed for each procedure. The results show that service quality has improved considerably and the cost of wrong parts decreases more than 15%

Telemetria automotiva usando módulo de transmissão Wireless Zigbee

This paper presents a design and construct the system of data acquisition with wireless transmission of some important parameters like motor temperature, motor rotation and velocity of Unesp Racing´s formula car prototype from Universidade Estadual Paulista, Campus Guaratinguetá. This system development presents a contribution for the electrical technical features adding important points in the competition due car´s electric, in addition, enables preventive maintenance and fine adjustment of the car with the data obtained during training and racing

Considerações sobre planejamento de eclusagens na hidrovia Tietê-Paraná

Pós-graduação em Engenharia de Produção - FEB

Tecniche MonteCarlo per l'analisi di sistemi a rete

The assessment of the RAMS (Reliability, Availability, Maintainability and Safety) performances of system generally includes the evaluations of the “Importance” of its components and/or of the basic parameters of the model through the use of the Importance Measures. The analytical equations proposed in this study allow the estimation of the first order Differential Importance Measure on the basis of the Birnbaum measures of components, under the hypothesis of uniform percentage changes of parameters. The aging phenomena are introduced into the model by assuming exponential-linear or Weibull distributions for the failure probabilities. An algorithm based on a combination of MonteCarlo simulation and Cellular Automata is applied in order to evaluate the performance of a networked system, made up of source nodes, user nodes and directed edges subjected to failure and repair. Importance Sampling techniques are used for the estimation of the first and total order Differential Importance Measures through only one simulation of the system “operational life”. All the output variables are computed contemporaneously on the basis of the same sequence of the involved components, event types (failure or repair) and transition times. The failure/repair probabilities are forced to be the same for all components; the transition times are sampled from the unbiased probability distributions or it can be also forced, for instance, by assuring the occurrence of at least a failure within the system operational life. The algorithm allows considering different types of maintenance actions: corrective maintenance that can be performed either immediately upon the component failure or upon finding that the component has failed for hidden failures that are not detected until an inspection; and preventive maintenance, that can be performed upon a fixed interval. It is possible to use a restoration factor to determine the age of the component after a repair or any other maintenance action.

Evaluation of the applicability of FRA for inter-turn fault detection in stator windings

In this paper, the applicability of the FRA technique is discussed as a method for detecting inter-turn faults in stator windings. Firstly, this method is tested in an individual medium-voltage stator coil with satisfactory results. Secondly, the tests are extended to a medium-voltage induction motor stator winding, in which inter-turn faults are performed in every coil end of one phase. Results of the frequency response in case of inter-turn faults are evaluated in both cases for different fault resistance values. The experimental setup is also described for each experiment. The results of the application of this technique to the detection of inter-turn faults justify further research in optimizing this technique for preventive maintenance.

Microinformática en entornos profesionales : instalación, configuración, mantenimiento y reparación

Los sistemas microinformáticos se componen principalmente de hardware y software, con el paso del tiempo el hardware se degrada, se deteriora y en ocasiones se avería. El software evoluciona, requiere un mantenimiento, de actualización y en ocasiones falla teniendo que ser reparado o reinstalado. A nivel hardware se analizan los principales componentes que integran y que son comunes en gran parte estos sistemas, tanto en equipos de sobre mesa como portátiles, independientes del sistema operativo, además de los principales periféricos, también se analizan y recomiendan algunas herramientas necesarias para realizar el montaje, mantenimiento y reparación de estos equipos. Los principales componentes hardware internos son la placa base, memoria RAM, procesador, disco duro, carcasa, fuente de alimentación y tarjeta gráfica. Los periféricos más destacados son el monitor, teclado, ratón, impresora y escáner. Se ha incluido un apartado donde se detallan los distintos tipos de BIOS y los principales parámetros de configuración. Para todos estos componentes, tanto internos como periféricos, se ha realizado un análisis de las características que ofrecen y los detalles en los que se debe prestar especial atención en el momento de seleccionar uno frente a otro. En los casos que existen diferentes tecnologías se ha hecho una comparativa entre ambas, destacando las ventajas y los inconvenientes de unas frente a otras para que sea el usuario final quien decida cual se ajusta mejor a sus necesidades en función de las prestaciones y el coste. Un ejemplo son las impresoras de inyección de tinta frente a las laser o los discos duros mecánicos en comparación con y los discos de estado sólido (SSD). Todos estos componentes están relacionados, interconectados y dependen unos de otros, se ha dedicado un capítulo exclusivamente para estudiar cómo se ensamblan estos componentes, resaltando los principales fallos que se suelen cometer o producir y se han indicado unas serie tareas de mantenimiento preventivo que se pueden realizar para prolongar la vida útil del equipo y evitar averías por mal uso. Los mantenimientos se pueden clasificar como predictivo, perfectivo, adaptativo, preventivo y correctivo. Se ha puesto el foco principalmente en dos tipos de mantenimiento, el preventivo descrito anteriormente y en el correctivo, tanto software como hardware. El mantenimiento correctivo está enfocado al análisis, localización, diagnóstico y reparación de fallos y averías hardware y software. Se describen los principales fallos que se producen en cada componente, cómo se manifiestan o qué síntomas presentan para poder realizar pruebas específicas que diagnostiquen y acoten el fallo. En los casos que es posible la reparación se detallan las instrucciones a seguir, en otro caso se recomienda la sustitución de la pieza o componente. Se ha incluido un apartado dedicado a la virtualización, una tecnología en auge que resulta muy útil para realizar pruebas de software, reduciendo tiempos y costes en las pruebas. Otro aspecto interesante de la virtualización es que se utiliza para montar diferentes servidores virtuales sobre un único servidor físico, lo cual representa un importante ahorro en hardware y costes de mantenimiento, como por ejemplo el consumo eléctrico. A nivel software se realiza un estudio detallado de los principales problemas de seguridad y vulnerabilidades a los que está expuesto un sistema microinformático enumerando y describiendo el comportamiento de los distintos tipos de elementos maliciosos que pueden infectar un equipo, las precauciones que se deben tomar para minimizar los riesgos y las utilidades que se pueden ejecutar para prevenir o limpiar un equipo en caso de infección. Los mantenimientos y asistencias técnicas, en especial las de tipo software, no siempre precisan de la atención presencial de un técnico cualificado, por ello se ha dedicado un capítulo a las herramientas de asistencia remota que se pueden utilizar en este ámbito. Se describen algunas de las más populares y utilizadas en el mercado, su funcionamiento, características y requerimientos. De esta forma el usuario puede ser atendido de una forma rápida, minimizando los tiempos de respuesta y reduciendo los costes. ABSTRACT Microcomputer systems are basically made up of pieces of hardware and software, as time pass, there’s a degradation of the hardware pieces and sometimes failures of them. The software evolves, new versions appears and requires maintenance, upgrades and sometimes also fails having to be repaired or reinstalled. The most important hardware components in a microcomputer system are analyzed in this document for a laptop or a desktop, with independency of the operating system they run. In addition to this, the main peripherals and devices are also analyzed and a recommendation about the most proper tools necessary for maintenance and repair this kind of equipment is given as well. The main internal hardware components are: motherboard, RAM memory, microprocessor, hard drive, housing box, power supply and graphics card. The most important peripherals are: monitor, keyboard, mouse, printer and scanner. A section has been also included where different types of BIOS and main settings are listed with the basic setup parameters in each case. For all these internal components and peripherals, an analysis of their features has been done. Also an indication of the details in which special attention must be payed when choosing more than one at the same time is given. In those cases where different technologies are available, a comparison among them has been done, highlighting the advantages and disadvantages of selecting one or another to guide the end user to decide which one best fits his needs in terms of performance and costs. As an example, the inkjet vs the laser printers technologies has been faced, or also the mechanical hard disks vs the new solid state drives (SSD). All these components are interconnected and are dependent one to each other, a special chapter has been included in order to study how they must be assembled, emphasizing the most often mistakes and faults that can appear during that process, indicating different tasks that can be done as preventive maintenance to enlarge the life of the equipment and to prevent damage because of a wrong use. The different maintenances can be classified as: predictive, perfective, adaptive, preventive and corrective. The main focus is on the preventive maintains, described above, and in the corrective one, in software and hardware. Corrective maintenance is focused on the analysis, localization, diagnosis and repair of hardware and software failures and breakdowns. The most typical failures that can occur are described, also how they can be detected or the specific symptoms of each one in order to apply different technics or specific tests to diagnose and delimit the failure. In those cases where the reparation is possible, instructions to do so are given, otherwise, the replacement of the component is recommended. A complete section about virtualization has also been included. Virtualization is a state of the art technology that is very useful especially for testing software purposes, reducing time and costs during the tests. Another interesting aspect of virtualization is the possibility to have different virtual servers on a single physical server, which represents a significant savings in hardware inversion and maintenance costs, such as electricity consumption. In the software area, a detailed study has been done about security problems and vulnerabilities a microcomputer system is exposed, listing and describing the behavior of different types of malicious elements that can infect a computer, the precautions to be taken to minimize the risks and the tools that can be used to prevent or clean a computer system in case of infection. The software maintenance and technical assistance not always requires the physical presence of a qualified technician to solve the possible problems, that’s why a complete chapter about the remote support tools that can be used to do so has been also included. Some of the most popular ones used in the market are described with their characteristics and requirements. Using this kind of technology, final users can be served quickly, minimizing response times and reducing costs.

Las Redes de Petri Interpretadas en el Diagnóstico de Fallos de Sistemas Híbridos. Aplicación a un Helicóptero no Tripulado

La seguridad y fiabilidad de los procesos industriales son la principal preocupación de los ingenieros encargados de las plantas industriales. Por lo tanto, desde un punto de vista económico, el objetivo principal es reducir el costo del mantenimiento, el tiempo de inactividad y las pérdidas causadas por los fallos. Por otra parte, la seguridad de los operadores, que afecta a los aspectos sociales y económicos, es el factor más relevante a considerar en cualquier sistema Debido a esto, el diagnóstico de fallos se ha convertido en un foco importante de interés para los investigadores de todo el mundo e ingenieros en la industria. Los principales trabajos enfocados en detección de fallos se basan en modelos de los procesos. Existen diferentes técnicas para el modelado de procesos industriales tales como máquinas de estado, árboles de decisión y Redes de Petri (RdP). Por lo tanto, esta tesis se centra en el modelado de procesos utilizando redes de petri interpretadas. Redes de Petri es una herramienta usada en el modelado gráfico y matemático con la habilidad para describir información de los sistemas de una manera concurrente, paralela, asincrona, distribuida y no determinística o estocástica. RdP son también una herramienta de comunicación visual gráfica útil como lo son las cartas de flujo o diagramas de bloques. Adicionalmente, las marcas de las RdP simulan la dinámica y concurrencia de los sistemas. Finalmente, ellas tienen la capacidad de definir ecuaciones de estado específicas, ecuaciones algebraicas y otros modelos que representan el comportamiento común de los sistemas. Entre los diferentes tipos de redes de petri (Interpretadas, Coloreadas, etc.), este trabajo de investigación trata con redes de petri interpretadas principalmente debido a características tales como sincronización, lugares temporizados, aparte de su capacidad para procesamiento de datos. Esta investigación comienza con el proceso para diseñar y construir el modelo y diagnosticador para detectar fallos definitivos, posteriormente, la dinámica temporal fue adicionada para detectar fallos intermitentes. Dos procesos industriales, concretamente un HVAC (Calefacción, Ventilación y Aire Acondicionado) y un Proceso de Envasado de Líquidos fueron usados como banco de pruebas para implementar la herramienta de diagnóstico de fallos (FD) creada. Finalmente, su capacidad de diagnóstico fue ampliada en orden a detectar fallos en sistemas híbridos. Finalmente, un pequeño helicóptero no tripulado fue elegido como ejemplo de sistema donde la seguridad es un desafío, y las técnicas de detección de fallos desarrolladas en esta tesis llevan a ser una herramienta valorada, desde que los accidentes de las aeronaves no tripuladas (UAVs) envuelven un alto costo económico y son la principal razón para introducir restricciones de volar sobre áreas pobladas. Así, este trabajo introduce un proceso sistemático para construir un Diagnosticador de Fallos del sistema mencionado basado en RdR Esta novedosa herramienta es capaz de detectar fallos definitivos e intermitentes. El trabajo realizado es discutido desde un punto de vista teórico y práctico. El procedimiento comienza con la división del sistema en subsistemas para seguido integrar en una RdP diagnosticadora global que es capaz de monitorear el sistema completo y mostrar las variables críticas al operador en orden a determinar la salud del UAV, para de esta manera prevenir accidentes. Un Sistema de Adquisición de Datos (DAQ) ha sido también diseñado para recoger datos durante los vuelos y alimentar la RdP diagnosticadora. Vuelos reales realizados bajo condiciones normales y de fallo han sido requeridos para llevar a cabo la configuración del diagnosticador y verificar su comportamiento. Vale la pena señalar que un alto riesgo fue asumido en la generación de fallos durante los vuelos, a pesar de eso esto permitió recoger datos básicos para desarrollar el diagnóstico de fallos, técnicas de aislamiento, protocolos de mantenimiento, modelos de comportamiento, etc. Finalmente, un resumen de la validación de resultados obtenidos durante las pruebas de vuelo es también incluido. Un extensivo uso de esta herramienta mejorará los protocolos de mantenimiento para UAVs (especialmente helicópteros) y permite establecer recomendaciones en regulaciones. El uso del diagnosticador usando redes de petri es considerado un novedoso enfoque. ABSTRACT Safety and reliability of industrial processes are the main concern of the engineers in charge of industrial plants. Thus, from an economic point of view, the main goal is to reduce the maintenance downtime cost and the losses caused by failures. Moreover, the safety of the operators, which affects to social and economic aspects, is the most relevant factor to consider in any system. Due to this, fault diagnosis has become a relevant focus of interest for worldwide researchers and engineers in the industry. The main works focused on failure detection are based on models of the processes. There are different techniques for modelling industrial processes such as state machines, decision trees and Petri Nets (PN). Thus, this Thesis is focused on modelling processes by using Interpreted Petri Nets. Petri Nets is a tool used in the graphic and mathematical modelling with ability to describe information of the systems in a concurrent, parallel, asynchronous, distributed and not deterministic or stochastic manner. PNs are also useful graphical visual communication tools as flow chart or block diagram. Additionally, the marks of the PN simulate the dynamics and concurrence of the systems. Finally, they are able to define specific state equations, algebraic equations and other models that represent the common behaviour of systems. Among the different types of PN (Interpreted, Coloured, etc.), this research work deals with the interpreted Petri Nets mainly due to features such as synchronization capabilities, timed places, apart from their capability for processing data. This Research begins with the process for designing and building the model and diagnoser to detect permanent faults, subsequently, the temporal dynamic was added for detecting intermittent faults. Two industrial processes, namely HVAC (Heating, Ventilation and Air Condition) and Liquids Packaging Process were used as testbed for implementing the Fault Diagnosis (FD) tool created. Finally, its diagnostic capability was enhanced in order to detect faults in hybrid systems. Finally, a small unmanned helicopter was chosen as example of system where safety is a challenge and fault detection techniques developed in this Thesis turn out to be a valuable tool since UAVs accidents involve high economic cost and are the main reason for setting restrictions to fly over populated areas. Thus, this work introduces a systematic process for building a Fault Diagnoser of the mentioned system based on Petri Nets. This novel tool is able to detect both intermittent and permanent faults. The work carried out is discussed from theoretical and practical point of view. The procedure begins with a division of the system into subsystems for further integration into a global PN diagnoser that is able to monitor the whole system and show critical variables to the operator in order to determine the UAV health, preventing accidents in this manner. A Data Acquisition System (DAQ) has been also designed for collecting data during the flights and feed PN Diagnoser. Real flights carried out under nominal and failure conditions have been required to perform the diagnoser setup and verify its performance. It is worth noting that a high risk was assumed in the generation of faults during the flights, nevertheless this allowed collecting basic data so as to develop fault diagnosis, isolations techniques, maintenance protocols, behaviour models, etc. Finally, a summary of the validation results obtained during real flight tests is also included. An extensive use of this tool will improve preventive maintenance protocols for UAVs (especially helicopters) and allow establishing recommendations in regulations. The use of the diagnoser by using Petri Nets is considered as novel approach.