Aplicação dos Sistemas de Informação Geográfica nas Energias Renováveis: o Potencial da Energia Solar na Ilha de São Vicente – Cabo Verde

A presente dissertação, tem como foco principal a aplicação dos Sistemas de Informação Geográfica (SIG) ao estudo das energias renováveis, tendo como caso avaliar o potencial solar na ilha de São Vicente do arquipélago de Cabo Verde. A energia do sol é a principal fonte de energia renovável, e está disponível em quase todas as regiões do planeta. Quantificar o potencial energético solar de um lugar ou região é indispensável, para avaliar as potencialidades de produção de energia fotovoltaica. Outro fator importante prende-se com ordenamento territorial associado à exploração desses recursos energéticos, pelo que devem ser avaliadas as condições técnicas, ambientais e económicas, quando se pretende instalar parques para a produção de energia fotovoltaica. Assim, neste trabalho foram aplicadas as ferramentas SIG, para quantificar a radiação solar mensal e anual da ilha de São Vicente, arquipélago de Cabo Verde, através do modelo Solar Analyst. Numa segunda fase, aplicou-se a técnica de análise multicritério em combinação com os SIGs para definir as áreas mais favoráveis para a instalação de parques de produção de energia elétrica a partir da energia solar. Para o cálculo da radiação solar na ilha de São de Vicente, utilizou-se o modelo digital de terreno (MDT) e a latitude da ilha como parâmetros de entrada ao modelo. Para a análise multicritério definiram-se um conjunto de critérios que devem ser considerados na implementação de parques solares, nomeadamente, a disponibilidade de radiação solar existente na área, a distância à rede de transporte de energia elétrica e à rede viária, o declive do terreno, o uso e ocupação do solo e a proximidade às linhas de água. Para auxiliar na atribuição dos pesos aos critérios utilizados na análise aplicou-se a método Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). As áreas resultantes do processo da análise multicritério, foram confrontadas com a Carta de Condicionantes do esquema regional de ordenamento da ilha de São Vicente, aferindo a conformidade das propostas e reajustes subsequentes, de modo a obter os resultados finais.

Essays on the measurement of school efficiency

Measuring school efficiency is a challenging task. First, a performance measurement technique has to be selected. Within Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA), one such technique, alternative models have been developed in order to deal with environmental variables. The majority of these models lead to diverging results. Second, the choice of input and output variables to be included in the efficiency analysis is often dictated by data availability. The choice of the variables remains an issue even when data is available. As a result, the choice of technique, model and variables is probably, and ultimately, a political judgement. Multi-criteria decision analysis methods can help the decision makers to select the most suitable model. The number of selection criteria should remain parsimonious and not be oriented towards the results of the models in order to avoid opportunistic behaviour. The selection criteria should also be backed by the literature or by an expert group. Once the most suitable model is identified, the principle of permanence of methods should be applied in order to avoid a change of practices over time. Within DEA, the two-stage model developed by Ray (1991) is the most convincing model which allows for an environmental adjustment. In this model, an efficiency analysis is conducted with DEA followed by an econometric analysis to explain the efficiency scores. An environmental variable of particular interest, tested in this thesis, consists of the fact that operations are held, for certain schools, on multiple sites. Results show that the fact of being located on more than one site has a negative influence on efficiency. A likely way to solve this negative influence would consist of improving the use of ICT in school management and teaching. Planning new schools should also consider the advantages of being located on a unique site, which allows reaching a critical size in terms of pupils and teachers. The fact that underprivileged pupils perform worse than privileged pupils has been public knowledge since Coleman et al. (1966). As a result, underprivileged pupils have a negative influence on school efficiency. This is confirmed by this thesis for the first time in Switzerland. Several countries have developed priority education policies in order to compensate for the negative impact of disadvantaged socioeconomic status on school performance. These policies have failed. As a result, other actions need to be taken. In order to define these actions, one has to identify the social-class differences which explain why disadvantaged children underperform. Childrearing and literary practices, health characteristics, housing stability and economic security influence pupil achievement. Rather than allocating more resources to schools, policymakers should therefore focus on related social policies. For instance, they could define pre-school, family, health, housing and benefits policies in order to improve the conditions for disadvantaged children.

Transitoreitin valintaan vaikuttavat tekijät autotoimialalla: AHP:n soveltaminen

Tämän työn tavoitteena on selvittää transitoreitin valintaan vaikuttavat tekijät sekä Suomen reitin kilpailutekijät verrattuna Baltian maiden, Saksan-Puolan ja Venäjän omiensatamien reitteihin. Lisäksi tavoitteena on testata analyyttista hierarkiaprosessia (AHP) transitoreitin valintaan. Työssä hyödynnetään Suomessa, Venäjällä ja Baltian maissa logistiikkayritysten, ministeriöiden ja viranomaisten kanssa tehtyjä asiantuntijahaastatteluja. Lisäksi suurimmille autotoimialan yrityksille toteutetaan kysely transitoreitin valintaan vaikuttavista tekijöistä. Työssä muodostetaan hierarkia reitin valintaan vaikuttavista tekijöistä. Lisäksi lasketaan analyyttisen hierarkiaprosessin mukaiset painotukset reitin valintaan vaikuttaville tekijöille ja eri reittien kilpailukykyerään autotoimialan vastaajan tapauksessa.

TRAKET - Transitoketjujen kilpailukyky

Tämä tutkimus on osa TRAKET-hanketta, jossa keskitytään Luoteis-Venäjälle vievien transitoreittien kilpailukyvyn selvittämiseen. Tässä tutkimusraportissa käsitellään transitoliikenteen reittien valintaan liittyviä päätöksentekokriteereitä ja verrataan niitä keskenään. Tutkimuksessa selvitetään transitoreitin valintaan vaikuttavat tekijät auto-, arvoelektroniikka- ja kosmetiikkatoimialoilla. Raportissa analysoidaan Suomen transitoreitin kilpailutekijät ja verrataan niitä vaihtoehtoisiin Baltian maiden, Saksan¿Puolan ja Venäjän omien satamien reitteihin.

Project Success through Effective Decisions: Case Studies on Project Goal Setting, Success Evaluation and Managerial Decision Making

The objective of the thesis is to structure and model the factors that contribute to and can be used in evaluating project success. The purpose of this thesis is to enhance the understanding of three research topics. The goal setting process, success evaluation and decision-making process are studied in the context of a project, business unitand its business environment. To achieve the objective three research questionsare posed. These are 1) how to set measurable project goals, 2) how to evaluateproject success and 3) how to affect project success with managerial decisions.The main theoretical contribution comes from deriving a synthesis of these research topics which have mostly been discussed apart from each other in prior research. The research strategy of the study has features from at least the constructive, nomothetical, and decision-oriented research approaches. This strategy guides the theoretical and empirical part of the study. Relevant concepts and a framework are composed on the basis of the prior research contributions within the problem area. A literature review is used to derive constructs of factors withinthe framework. They are related to project goal setting, success evaluation, and decision making. On the basis of this, the case study method is applied to complement the framework. The empirical data includes one product development program, three construction projects, as well as one organization development, hardware/software, and marketing project in their contexts. In two of the case studiesthe analytic hierarchy process is used to formulate a hierarchical model that returns a numerical evaluation of the degree of project success. It has its origin in the solution idea which in turn has its foundation in the notion of projectsuccess. The achieved results are condensed in the form of a process model thatintegrates project goal setting, success evaluation and decision making. The process of project goal setting is analysed as a part of an open system that includes a project, the business unit and its competitive environment. Four main constructs of factors are suggested. First, the project characteristics and requirements are clarified. The second and the third construct comprise the components of client/market segment attractiveness and sources of competitive advantage. Together they determine the competitive position of a business unit. Fourth, the relevant goals and the situation of a business unit are clarified to stress their contribution to the project goals. Empirical evidence is gained on the exploitation of increased knowledge and on the reaction to changes in the business environment during a project to ensure project success. The relevance of a successful project to a company or a business unit tends to increase the higher the reference level of project goals is set. However, normal performance or sometimes performance below this normal level is intentionally accepted. Success measures make project success quantifiable. There are result-oriented, process-oriented and resource-oriented success measures. The study also links result measurements to enablers that portray the key processes. The success measures can be classified into success domains determining the areas on which success is assessed. Empiricalevidence is gained on six success domains: strategy, project implementation, product, stakeholder relationships, learning situation and company functions. However, some project goals, like safety, can be assessed using success measures that belong to two success domains. For example a safety index is used for assessing occupational safety during a project, which is related to project implementation. Product safety requirements, in turn, are connected to the product characteristics and thus to the product-related success domain. Strategic success measures can be used to weave the project phases together. Empirical evidence on their static nature is gained. In order-oriented projects the project phases are oftencontractually divided into different suppliers or contractors. A project from the supplier's perspective can represent only a part of the ¿whole project¿ viewed from the client's perspective. Therefore static success measures are mostly used within the contractually agreed project scope and duration. Proof is also acquired on the dynamic use of operational success measures. They help to focus on the key issues during each project phase. Furthermore, it is shown that the original success domains and success measures, their weights and target values can change dynamically. New success measures can replace the old ones to correspond better with the emphasis of the particular project phase. This adjustment concentrates on the key decision milestones. As a conclusion, the study suggests a combination of static and dynamic success measures. Their linkage to an incentive system can make the project management proactive, enable fast feedback and enhancethe motivation of the personnel. It is argued that the sequence of effective decisions is closely linked to the dynamic control of project success. According to the used definition, effective decisions aim at adequate decision quality and decision implementation. The findings support that project managers construct and use a chain of key decision milestones to evaluate and affect success during aproject. These milestones can be seen as a part of the business processes. Different managers prioritise the key decision milestones to a varying degree. Divergent managerial perspectives, power, responsibilities and involvement during a project offer some explanation for this. Finally, the study introduces the use ofHard Gate and Soft Gate decision milestones. The managers may use the former milestones to provide decision support on result measurements and ad hoc critical conditions. In the latter milestones they may make intermediate success evaluation also on the basis of other types of success measures, like process and resource measures.

Data Envelopment Analysis and non-discretionary inputs : How to select the most suitable model using multi-criteria decision analysis

Within Data Envelopment Analysis, several alternative models allow for an environmental adjustment. The majority of them deliver divergent results. Decision makers face the difficult task of selecting the most suitable model. This study is performed to overcome this difficulty. By doing so, it fills a research gap. First, a two-step web-based survey is conducted. It aims (1) to identify the selection criteria, (2) to prioritize and weight the selection criteria with respect to the goal of selecting the most suitable model and (3) to collect the preferences about which model is preferable to fulfil each selection criterion. Second, Analytic Hierarchy Process is used to quantify the preferences expressed in the survey. Results show that the understandability, the applicability and the acceptability of the alternative models are valid selection criteria. The selection of the most suitable model depends on the preferences of the decision makers with regards to these criteria.

Tehdasalueiden liikenneturvallisuutta kehittävä malli

Työn tavoitteena oli antaa tietoa tehdasalueiden turvallisuuteen vaikuttavista tekijöistä ja luoda malli tehdasalueen liikenteen turvallisuuden parantamiseen päätöksenteon tukivälineitä apuna käyttäen. Työ sai alkunsa todellisen turvallisuutta parantavan investoinnin analysointi-tarpeesta. Aluksi työssä perehdytään yleisesti tehdasalueiden turvallisuuteen tarkastelemalla työturvallisuuden, riskienhallinnan ja turvallisuusjohtamisen asemaa, mittaamista ja taloudellisia vaikutuksia yrityksen toiminnalle. Yleiskatsaus tehdasalueiden turvallisuuteen antaa kuvan, millaiseen toimintaympäristöön turvallisuutta parantavaa mallia ollaan kehittämässä. Malli koostuu viidestä vaiheesta, joita voidaan käyttää kokonaisuutena tai toisistaan erillään. Ensin selvitään tutkittavan alueen kulkuväylät ja liikenne sekä mallinnetaan se. Tämän jälkeen kartoitetaan ongelmakohdat ja etsitään sopivia vaihtoehtoja niiden turvallisuuden parantamiseksi. Vaihtoehtoja analysoidaan SWOT-menetelmän avulla. Turvallisuutta parantavien investointien arvioimiseen esitetään muutamia mittareita, joita voidaan käyttää hankintojen arvioimiseen. Viimeisessä vaiheessa tutustutaan päätöksenteon tukisysteemeihin ja esitetään tietokoneavusteinen päätöksentekomenetelmä AHP. Käytännön soveltaminen on esitetty esimerkein mallin eri vaiheiden yhteydessä.Malli on tarkoitettu suunnittelijoiden, johdon ja työsuojelun työkaluksi, jonka avulla voidaan parantaa tehdasympäristön liikenteen tehokkuutta ja turvallisuutta sekä tutustuttaa käyttäjä päätöksentekomenetelmiin.

Priorization of Customer Needs for Paperboard Trays

The objectives of the study were to introduce current issues of chilled and frozen food packaging, priorize certain customer needs and review brand owners’ opinions and ways of actions. Packaging industry and packaged food markets were reviewed. Interviews of food industry brand owners are used as data sources. Analytic hierarchy process was used to prioritize the customer needs. Food packaging, special features of ready meals, chilled and frozen food packaging, packaging industry and packaged food markets in Europe are approached using literature and market reviews and forecasts. In empirical part the customer needs of paperboard trays are prioritized. The most important features for brand owners are related in product safety and environmental issues. Paperboard trays have benefits compared to its competing packaging solutions. Paperboard is recyclable, from renewable source and it has good printability. Emerging issues of packaging technology are biodegradable package, elderly friendly features such as easiness of opening and re-closing possibility, brand protection and tamper evident solutions.

Asiakasarvoa korostavan liikkeenjohdon konsulttiyrityksen kasvumahdollisuudet

Tämän diplomityön tavoitteena on selvittää asiakasarvoa luovat kasvumahdollisuudet eräälle suomalaiselle liikkeenjohdon konsulttiyritykselle. Yrityksen kasvun tulee tapahtua pitkällä aikavälillä kannattavasti ja tukea sen toimintaa sekä liiketoiminnallisia tavoitteita. Työn teoreettiset aihealueet käsittelevät liikkeenjohdon konsultoinnin toimialaa, arvon luomista ja menestymisen edellytyksiä, asiakaspohjaa ja yhteistyömahdollisuuksia sekä kasvun johtamista. Työn empiirisessä osassa näitä aihealueita tutkittiin yrityksestä saatavien havaintojen, asiakaskyselyn sekä osakashaastattelujen avulla. Asiakasarvoa luovien kasvuvaihtoehtojen määrittämisessä käytettiin apuna analyyttistä hierarkiaprosessia. Tutkimuksen keskeisimmät havainnot olivat, että konsultointipalveluiden asiakasarvoa eniten luovat tekijät tärkeysjärjestyksessä ovat lopputuloksen laatu, ihmisten sitouttaminen kehitykseen, toimialaosaaminen, asenne, uudet näkökulmat ja osaaminen sekä hinta. Kohdeyritykselle tutkittiin viittä kasvuvaihtoehtoa ja niiden asiakasarvon tuottamiskykyä. Suositeltavat kasvuvaihtoehdot kohdeyritykselle tärkeysjärjestyksessä ovat asiakaspohjan säilyttäminen, uusien asiakkaiden hankkiminen sekä verkostojen ja allianssien hyödyntäminen.

Searching for consensus in ahp-group decision making. A bayesian perspective

This paper sets out to identify the initial positions of the different decisionmakers who intervene in a group decision making process with a reducednumber of actors, and to establish possible consensus paths between theseactors. As a methodological support, it employs one of the most widely-knownmulticriteria decision techniques, namely, the Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP). Assuming that the judgements elicited by the decision makers follow theso-called multiplicative model (Crawford and Williams, 1985; Altuzarra et al.,1997; Laininen and Hämäläinen, 2003) with log-normal errors and unknownvariance, a Bayesian approach is used in the estimation of the relative prioritiesof the alternatives being compared. These priorities, estimated by way of themedian of the posterior distribution and normalised in a distributive manner(priorities add up to one), are a clear example of compositional data that will beused in the search for consensus between the actors involved in the resolution ofthe problem through the use of Multidimensional Scaling tools

Group preference structures in AHP–group decision making

This paper presents a procedure that allows us to determine the preference structures(PS) associated to each of the different groups of actors that can be identified in a groupdecision making problem with a large number of individuals. To that end, it makesuse of the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) (Saaty, 1980) as the technique to solvediscrete multicriteria decision making problems. This technique permits the resolutionof multicriteria, multienvironment and multiactor problems in which subjective aspectsand uncertainty have been incorporated into the model, constructing ratio scales correspondingto the priorities relative to the elements being compared, normalised in adistributive manner (wi = 1). On the basis of the individuals’ priorities we identifydifferent clusters for the decision makers and, for each of these, the associated preferencestructure using, to that end, tools analogous to those of Multidimensional Scaling.The resulting PS will be employed to extract knowledge for the subsequent negotiationprocesses and, should it be necessary, to determine the relative importance of thealternatives being compared using anyone of the existing procedures

Defining the location factors of new manufacturing site in chemical industry

The objective of this thesis is to examine the factors that have an impact on the location decision of new manufacturing site and to create the relative order of importance of these factors by analytic hierarchy process (AHP). The decision making process especially related to the location selection and the measurement of the location factors are also examined. In theoretical part the character of decision making process and the relevant methods are introduced. Based on the previous studies of other researchers, the location factors are examined and the main research method, analytic hierarchy process, is also introduced. The empirical part of the study mainly follows the phases of decision making process and is emphasized on the main stages of analytic hierarchy process; building the hierarchy, defining the priorities and analyzing the results. The hierarchy is constructed from seven main criteria which all have several sub criteria. The evaluation of the hierarchy is implemented at the group decision making –laboratory and there can be seen significant differences between the importance of criteria. The final stage in the study is to create the appropriate measurement scales to the chosen criteria.

Päätöksenteon tukeminen kaivosalan yrityksen toiminnanohjausjärjestelmäratkaisun valinnassa

Diplomityön tavoitteena oli tutkia kohdeyrityksen toiminnanohjaukseen sovellettujen tietojärjestelmien nykytilaa ja pyrkiä tunnistamaan siinä vaikuttavia, kehittämistä vaativia kohteita. Nykytilan kartoituksen perusteella työssä oli määrä laatia vertailu liiketoiminnan ohjaamiseen soveltuvien vaihtoehtoisten järjestelmäratkaisuiden välillä. Perusteellisen selvitystyön ja vaihtoehtojen vertailun avulla pyrittiin tuottamaan päätöksentekoa helpottavaa materiaalia kohdeyrityksen toiminnanohjausjärjestelmäratkaisun valinnan tueksi. Keskeisimpinä menetelminä tutkimuksessa hyödynnettiin asiakaskeskeistä toiminnanohjausjärjestelmän käyttöönottomenetelmää C-CEI:tä sekä analyyttistä hierarkiaprosessia AHP:tä. Tutkimuksen perusteella havaittiin, että onnistunut tietojärjestelmäratkaisun valinta edellyttää perusteellista liiketoiminnan nykytilan selvitystä. Yritysten on myös tärkeää tiedostaa, että tällaisiin monikriteerisiin ja hankaliin päätöksentekotilanteisiin on olemassa useita erilaisia päätöksenteon tukimenetelmiä, joiden avulla päätöksenteon ongelmaa kyetään selkeyttämään ja siten helpottamaan ratkaisun löytämistä.

Modulointia ohjaavien tekijöiden valinta asiakkaiden, tuotekehityksen ja valmistuksen vaatimusten perusteella

Modular drivers cover the entire product life cycle and when the most important modular drivers are known, it is possible to focus on the most essential areas in modularization. Modular drivers are helpful while planning modularization, selecting modules to manufacture and evaluating the success of the modularization. When the modules are formed based on the modular drivers it is also possible to develop production processes according to the requirements of a certain module. The objective of the Master’s Thesis was to organize the modular drivers based on the weightings in order to make the modularization process easier. The phases to find the most important module drivers were formed based on the existing literature and background material from the company. During the Master’s Thesis project the weights of the modular drivers were determined according to the requirements of customers, product development and manufacturing. The requirements were established by a questionnaire and the weights for the requirements were selected in an interview using the Analytic Hierarchy Process. The modular drivers were compared pairwise by the view point of the requirements of certain group. When the results of the three groups were integrated, the weights of the modular drivers were found and it was possible to select the most important drivers.

Estimating the most important criteria for hatching eggs as function of broiler breeders age

This research aimed to compare two female broiler breeder ages during the incubation period regarding management using the Analytic Hierarchy Process method (AHP). This method is characterized by the possibility of analyzing a multicriteria problem and assists a decision making. This study was carried out on a commercial hatchery located in São Paulo, Brazil. Two ages of broiler breeder (42 and 56 weeks) were compared relative to production rate. Production index data were the same in both ages and were submitted to multicriteria decision analysis using the AHP method. The results indicate that broiler breeders of 42 weeks presented better performance than those of 56 week-old. The setter phase (incubation) is more critical than the hatcher. The AHP method was efficient for this analysis and can serve as a methodological basis for future studies to improve the hatchability of broilers eggs.