Dynamical trust and reputation computation model for B2C E-Commerce

Trust is one of the most important factors that influence the successful application of network service environments, such as e-commerce, wireless sensor networks, and online social networks. Computation models associated with trust and reputation have been paid special attention in both computer societies and service science in recent years. In this paper, a dynamical computation model of reputation for B2C e-commerce is proposed. Firstly, conceptions associated with trust and reputation are introduced, and the mathematical formula of trust for B2C e-commerce is given. Then a dynamical computation model of reputation is further proposed based on the conception of trust and the relationship between trust and reputation. In the proposed model, classical varying processes of reputation of B2C e-commerce are discussed. Furthermore, the iterative trust and reputation computation models are formulated via a set of difference equations based on the closed-loop feedback mechanism. Finally, a group of numerical simulation experiments are performed to illustrate the proposed model of trust and reputation. Experimental results show that the proposed model is effective in simulating the dynamical processes of trust and reputation for B2C e-commerce.

Modeling the propagation of peer-to-peer worms

Propagation of Peer-to-Peer (P2P) worms in the Internet is posing a serious challenge to network security research because of P2P worms' increasing complexity and sophistication. Due to the complexity of the problem, no existing work has solved the problem of modeling the propagation of P2P worms, especially when quarantine of peers is enforced. This paper presents a study on modeling the propagation of P2P worms. It also presents our applications of the proposed approach in worm propagation research.

Motivated by our aspiration to invent an easy-to-employ instrument for worm propagation research, the proposed approach models the propagation processes of P2P worms by difference equations of a logic matrix, which are essentially discrete-time deterministic propagation models of P2P worms. To the best of our knowledge, we are the first using a logic matrix in network security research in general and worm propagation modeling in particular.

Our major contributions in this paper are firstly, we propose a novel logic matrix approach to modeling the propagation of P2P worms under three different conditions; secondly, we find the impacts of two different topologies on a P2P worm's attack performance; thirdly, we find the impacts of the network-related characteristics on a P2P worm's attack performance in structured P2P networks; and fourthly, we find the impacts of the two different quarantine tactics on the propagation characteristics of P2P worms in unstructured P2P networks. The approach's ease of employment, which is demonstrated by its applications in our simulation experiments, makes it an attractive instrument to conduct worm propagation research.

Theoretical Dynamics of Experimental Populations of Introduced and Native Blowflies (Diptera: Calliphoridae)

Equilibrium dynamics in experimental populations of Chrysomya megacephala (F.) and C. putoria (Wiedemann), which have recently invaded the Americas, and the native species Cochliomyia macellaria (F.), were investigated using nonlinear difference equations. A theoretical analysis of the mathematical model using bifurcation theory established the combination of demographic parameters responsible for producing shifts in blowfly population dynamics from stable equilibria to bounded cycles and aperiodic behavior. Mathematical modeling shows that the populations of the 2 introduced Chrysomya species will form stable oscillations with numbers fluctuating 3-4 times in successive generations. However, in the native species C. macellaria, the dynamics is characterized by damping oscillations in population size, leading to a stable population level.

A simplified method for determining the high frequency induction motor equivalent electrical circuit parameters to be used in EMI effect

The aim of this paper is to present a simple method for determining the high frequency parameters of a three-phase induction motor to be used in studies involving variable speed drives with PWM three-phase inverters, in which it is necessary to check the effects caused to the motor by the electromagnetic interference, (EMI) in the differential mode, as well as in the common mode. The motor parameters determination is generally performed in adequate laboratories using accurate instruments, such as very expensive RLC bridges. The method proposed here consists in the identification of the motor equivalent electrical circuit parameters in rated frequency and in high frequency through characteristic tests in the laboratory, together with the use of characteristic equations and curves, shown in the references to be mentioned for determining the motor high frequency parasite capacitances and also through system simulations using dedicated software, like Pspice, determining the characteristic waveforms involved in the differential and common mode phenomena, comparing and validating the procedure through published papers [01].

Uso de equações de diferenças na obtenção de filtros para redução de ruído em sinais de voz no domínio wavelet

Pós-graduação em Engenharia Elétrica - FEIS

Estratégias de controle de ordem fracionária aplicadas ao amortecimento de oscilações eletromecânicas em sistemas elétricos de potência

Neste trabalho é proposta uma nova metodologia de projeto de estabilizadores de sistemas de potência baseada em teoria de sistemas de ordem fracionária (ESP-OF). A estratégia é baseada em uma generalização do projeto de compensadores do tipo rede avançoatraso (lead-lag) para o domínio de funções de transferência de ordem fracionária. Uma nova variável de projeto, a qual define a ordem da dinâmica fracionária do controlador, é sintonizada para se obter um compromisso entre um bom desempenho no amortecimento do modo eletromecânico dominante e uma robustez ampliada do ESP-OF. O desempenho do ESP-OF foi avaliado experimentalmente, em um sistema de potência em escala reduzida, localizado no Laboratório de Sistemas de Potência da Universidade Federal do Pará. A referida planta de teste apresenta uma estrutura típica do tipo gerador síncrono conectado a um barramento infinito e exibe um modo dominante de oscilação eletromecânica, de amortecimento extremamente reduzido, cujo valor da frequência natural é em torno de 1,2 Hz. O ESP-OF foi então projetado para ampliar o amortecimento relativo desse modo alvo, para toda a faixa de operação admissível. Para fins de implementação prática, primeiramente foram realizados testes experimentais para a identificação de um modelo nominal da planta, sob a forma de uma função de transferência pulsada, para uso na fase de projeto. O modelo obtido experimentalmente foi então validado e posteriormente utilizado tanto para o projeto do ESP-OF quanto para o projeto de um ESP convencional (utilizado para fins de comparação de desempenho). As leis de controle amortecedor do ESP-OF foram calculadas, convertidas para a forma de equações a diferenças e, subsequentemente, embarcadas em sistema digital baseado em microcontrolador DSPIC. Diversos testes de resposta ao impulso foram realizadas sob diferentes condições operacionais. As respectivas respostas dinâmicas dos sinais de saída da planta (desvio de potencia ativa) e do esforço de controle foram registradas para fins de análise. Os resultados experimentais mostraram que o ESP fracionário apresentou um desemprenho dinâmico e robustez similar em comparação com o desempenho obtido por um ESP convencional, para toda a faixa de operação investigada.

Stieltjes functions and discrete classical orthogonal polynomials

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Modelos de previsão de ocorrência de adultos de diatraea saccharalis (Fabricius, 1794) (Lepidoptera: Crambidae) em cana-de-açúcar (Saccharum spp.)

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

Self-similarities of periodic structures for a discrete model of a two-gene system

We report self-similar properties of periodic structures remarkably organized in the two-parameter space for a two-gene system, described by two-dimensional symmetric map. The map consists of difference equations derived from the chemical reactions for gene expression and regulation. We characterize the system by using Lyapunov exponents and isoperiodic diagrams identifying periodic windows, denominated Arnold tongues and shrimp-shaped structures. Period-adding sequences are observed for both periodic windows. We also identify Fibonacci-type series and Golden ratio for Arnold tongues, and period multiple-of-three windows for shrimps. (C) 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

NONLINEAR TIME SERIES/SYSTEM ANALYSIS (STATE-SPACE, DYNAMICS, INTERVENTION, RESILIENCE, KALMAN)

A discussion of nonlinear dynamics, demonstrated by the familiar automobile, is followed by the development of a systematic method of analysis of a possibly nonlinear time series using difference equations in the general state-space format. This format allows recursive state-dependent parameter estimation after each observation thereby revealing the dynamics inherent in the system in combination with random external perturbations.^ The one-step ahead prediction errors at each time period, transformed to have constant variance, and the estimated parametric sequences provide the information to (1) formally test whether time series observations y(,t) are some linear function of random errors (ELEM)(,s), for some t and s, or whether the series would more appropriately be described by a nonlinear model such as bilinear, exponential, threshold, etc., (2) formally test whether a statistically significant change has occurred in structure/level either historically or as it occurs, (3) forecast nonlinear system with a new and innovative (but very old numerical) technique utilizing rational functions to extrapolate individual parameters as smooth functions of time which are then combined to obtain the forecast of y and (4) suggest a measure of resilience, i.e. how much perturbation a structure/level can tolerate, whether internal or external to the system, and remain statistically unchanged. Although similar to one-step control, this provides a less rigid way to think about changes affecting social systems.^ Applications consisting of the analysis of some familiar and some simulated series demonstrate the procedure. Empirical results suggest that this state-space or modified augmented Kalman filter may provide interesting ways to identify particular kinds of nonlinearities as they occur in structural change via the state trajectory.^ A computational flow-chart detailing computations and software input and output is provided in the body of the text. IBM Advanced BASIC program listings to accomplish most of the analysis are provided in the appendix. ^

Classification of discrete systems on a square lattice

We consider the classification up to a Möbius transformation of real linearizable and integrable partial difference equations with dispersion defined on a square lattice by the multiscale reduction around their harmonic solution. We show that the A1, A2, and A3 linearizability and integrability conditions constrain the number of parameters in the equation, but these conditions are insufficient for a complete characterization of the subclass of multilinear equations on a square lattice.

A modified gambler's ruin model of polyethylene chains in the amorphous region.

Polyethylene chains in the amorphous region between two crystalline lamellae M unit apart are modeled as random walks with one-step memory on a cubic lattice between two absorbing boundaries. These walks avoid the two preceding steps, though they are not true self-avoiding walks. Systems of difference equations are introduced to calculate the statistics of the restricted random walks. They yield that the fraction of loops is (2M - 2)/(2M + 1), the fraction of ties 3/(2M + 1), the average length of loops 2M - 0.5, the average length of ties 2/3M2 + 2/3M - 4/3, the average length of walks equals 3M - 3, the variance of the loop length 16/15M3 + O(M2), the variance of the tie length 28/45M4 + O(M3), and the variance of the walk length 2M3 + O(M2).

The development of a numerical solution to transport equation /

"Prepared for U.S. Army Engineer District, Mobile."

An analysis of some Eulerian methods for one dimensional, inviscid, compressible hydrodynamics,

"Supported in part by the Advanced Research Projects Agency as administered by the Rome Air Development Center under contract no. US AF 30(602) 4144."

The divergence of Stone's factorizations when no parameters are used /

"September 7, 1971."