Multi-model climate change projections for India under representative concentration pathways

Climate projections for the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) are made using the newly developed representative concentration pathways (RCPs) under the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project 5 (CMIP5). This article provides multi-model and multi-scenario temperature and precipitation projections for India for the period 1860-2099 based on the new climate data. We find that CMIP5 ensemble mean climate is closer to observed climate than any individual model. The key findings of this study are: (i) under the business-as-usual (between RCP6.0 and RCP8.5) scenario, mean warming in India is likely to be in the range 1.7-2 degrees C by 2030s and 3.3-4.8 degrees C by 2080s relative to pre-industrial times; (ii) all-India precipitation under the business-as-usual scenario is projected to increase from 4% to 5% by 2030s and from 6% to 14% towards the end of the century (2080s) compared to the 1961-1990 baseline; (iii) while precipitation projections are generally less reliable than temperature projections, model agreement in precipitation projections increases from RCP2.6 to RCP8.5, and from short-to long-term projections, indicating that long-term precipitation projections are generally more robust than their short-term counterparts and (iv) there is a consistent positive trend in frequency of extreme precipitation days (e.g. > 40 mm/day) for decades 2060s and beyond. These new climate projections should be used in future assessment of impact of climate change and adaptation planning. There is need to consider not just the mean climate projections, but also the more important extreme projections in impact studies and as well in adaptation planning.

Time-Optimal Convergence to a Rectilinear Path in the Presence of Wind

This paper considers the problem of determining the time-optimal path of a fixed-wing Miniature Air Vehicle (MAV), in the presence of wind. The MAV, which is subject to a bounded turn rate, is required to eventually converge to a straight line starting from a known initial position and orientation. Earlier work in the literature uses Pontryagin's Minimum Principle (PMP) to solve this problem only for the no-wind case. In contrast, the present work uses a geometric approach to solve the problem completely in the presence of wind. In addition, it also shows how PMP can be used to partially solve the problem. Using a 6-DOF model of a MAV the generated optimal path is tracked by an autopilot consisting of proportional-integral-derivative (PID) controllers. The simulation results show the path generation and tracking for cases with steady and time-varying wind. Some issues on real-time path planning are also addressed.

A DYNAMO MODEL OF MAGNETIC ACTIVITY IN SOLAR-LIKE STARS WITH DIFFERENT ROTATIONAL VELOCITIES

We attempt to provide a quantitative theoretical explanation for the observations that Ca II H/K emission and X-ray emission from solar-like stars increase with decreasing Rossby number (i.e., with faster rotation). Assuming that these emissions are caused by magnetic cycles similar to the sunspot cycle, we construct flux transport dynamo models of 1M(circle dot) stars rotating with different rotation periods. We first compute the differential rotation and the meridional circulation inside these stars from a mean-field hydrodynamics model. Then these are substituted in our dynamo code to produce periodic solutions. We find that the dimensionless amplitude f(m) of the toroidal flux through the star increases with decreasing rotation period. The observational data can be matched if we assume the emissions to go as the power 3-4 of f(m). Assuming that the Babcock-Leighton mechanism saturates with increasing rotation, we can provide an explanation for the observed saturation of emission at low Rossby numbers. The main failure of our model is that it predicts an increase of the magnetic cycle period with increasing rotation rate, which is the opposite of what is found observationally. Much of our calculations are based on the assumption that the magnetic buoyancy makes the magnetic flux tubes rise radially from the bottom of the convection zone. Taking into account the fact that the Coriolis force diverts the magnetic flux tubes to rise parallel to the rotation axis in rapidly rotating stars, the results do not change qualitatively.

Hydroxyapatite-titanium bulk composites for bone tissue engineering applications

The research work on bulk hydroxyapatite (HA)-based composites are driven by the need to develop biomaterials with better mechanical properties without compromising its bioactivity and biocompatibility properties. Despite several years of research, the mechanical properties of the HA-based composites still need to be enhanced to match the properties of natural cortical bone. In this regard, the scope of this review on the HA-based bulk biomaterials is limited to the processing and the mechanical as well as biocompatibility properties for bone tissue engineering applications of a model system that is hydroxyapatite-titanium (HA-Ti) bulk composites. It will be discussed in this review how HA-Ti based bulk composites can be processed to have better fracture toughness and strength without compromising biocompatibility. The advantages of the functionally gradient materials to integrate the mechanical and biocompatibility properties is a promising approach in hard tissue engineering and has been emphasized here in reference to the limited literature reports. On the biomaterials fabrication aspect, the recent results are discussed to demonstrate that advanced manufacturing techniques, like spark plasma sintering can be adopted as a processing route to restrict the sintering reactions, while enhancing the mechanical properties. Various toughening mechanisms related to careful tailoring of microstructure are discussed. The in vitro cytocompatibilty, cell fate processes as well as in vivo biocompatibility results are also reviewed and the use of flow cytometry to quantify in vitro cell fate processes is being emphasized. (C) 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

Heterostructure composites of rGO/GeO2/PANI with enhanced performance for Li ion battery anode material

A novel solvothermal method has been used for the synthesis of porous ellipsoidal GeO2 particles with oleic acid and oleylamine as solvent and co-surfactant, respectively and its performance has been studied as an anode material for Li ion battery applications. The presence of highly hydrophobic oleic acid and oleylamine on the surface of the as synthesized sample imparts a detrimental effect on its performance. Although removal of the capping agents with glacial acetic acid improves the performance to some extent, a drastic enhancement in both the specific capacity and cycling stability is observed when the nanoparticles are wrapped with rGO/PANI composites at low temperature. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

球面聚心气相爆轰波传播过程的数值研究

应用频散可控耗散格式对球面聚心气相爆轰波的传播过程进行了数值模拟研究．通过跟踪波阵面上压力和温度变化，分析这些参数在爆轰波传播过程中的演变规律，及其与几何尺度和初始条件之间的依赖关系．研究结果表明，仅在远场波面压力的变化近似只依赖于r／R，对称中心附近则需要考虑初始半径R的影响；波面压力与初始压力的变化呈线性关系；汇聚过程中温度升高比压力慢得多．

守恒积分与奇性场的定解方程

本文利用守恒积分,对HRR奇性场的角分布函数作了进一步的探讨。证明了角分布函数满足两个函数方程。并由此导出几种新的定解方程。对于平面应变及平面应力的情况分别给出函数方程与定解方程的具体公式。最后针对若干典型情况,给出了不同定解方程的精确的数值计算结果,验证了在一般情况下不同定解方程的等价性。

弹塑性有限元的一些解法比较

<正> 1.弹塑性有限元分析的基本公式根据von Mises 屈服准则和Prandtl-Reuss塑性流动律,可以导出弹塑性阶段的应力增量-全应变增量之间的本构关系:{dσ}=[D_(eP)]{dε} (1)其中{dσ}为应力增量列阵,{dε}为应变增量列阵,[D_(eP)]为弹塑性系数矩阵,它的表达式为:其中(?)为有效应力,[D_e]为弹性系数矩阵,H=(?)/((?)~p)为有效应力和有效塑性应变曲线的斜率.增量形式的平衡方程为:[K]{△u}={△P} (3)其中[K]为总体刚度矩阵,{△u}为位移增量列阵,{△P}为外载荷增量列阵.2.几种解法方程(3)是非线性的.对于一般问题,精确求解比较困难.目前,一般都用近似法来求解.下面介绍几种解法.

杜仲抗真菌蛋白晶体生长的原子力显微成像研究——快速生长与晶面生长速率

杜仲抗真菌蛋白(Eucommiaantifungalprotein,EAFP)的单晶体具有在几小时内就可长大的快速生长特性.用原子力显微成像(atomicforcemicroscope,AFM)技术,原位实时观测了EAFP单斜晶体生长过程中的｛10 0｝表面形貌动态变化,并分别在不同的过饱和度下测量了其生长速率.结果表明,EAFP晶体生长的速率与蛋白质溶液的过饱和度相关,在过饱和度高时(σ =1 78)晶面生长极快;在中等过饱和度(σ =1 5)下,其晶面台阶的生长速率沿b,c方向分别为 12nm/s和 2 4 2nm/s,比溶菌酶生长速率(6～ 7nm/s)快很多;在蛋白质浓度很低的情况下,其生长速率仍与其他蛋白质相当.EAFP晶体快速生长可能与该分子尺寸较小,内部结构紧凑,分子骨架呈刚性和分子表面性质等其固有特性密切相关.沉淀剂浓度对EAFP晶体生长也有影响.过饱和度很低时,提高沉淀剂浓度会干扰晶体生长.

Does rating shopping exist in spanish securitization issues?

[EN] Debt issue credit ratings can lead to conflicts of interest as the issuer itself is entrusted with contracting and compensating the rating agency. Into the bargain, the credit rating agency may be involved in designing the issues that the same agency subsequently rates. Credit rating agencies thus could have incentives to rate issues advantageously. Given the economic importance of this issue, in this paper we have proposed to analyze this phenomenon, known as rating shopping in academic literature, for Spanish market securitization issues for the period of time comprehensive from January 1993 to December 2011. In sum 3,665 published ratings are been analysed, for an issued nominal amount of 791,090 million Euros. The results show an association between the credit rating agency contracted and the mean rating awarded. Significant differences are observed in the ratings associated to the contracting manager (or special purpose vehicle SPV- manager firm), to the number of ratings or to the type of collateral. Furthermore, a pattern compatible with rating shopping was observed for some types of collateral: abnormally high market shares associated with certain agencies awarding unusually generous ratings. However, this phenomenon is not seen to be widespread on the rating market associated to Spanish securitization issues.

Fatores prognósticos e de efetividade do tratamento da hepatite C crônica

A hepatite C é uma doença recentemente reconhecida cujo tratamento é de eficácia aquém da desejável. O objetivo deste estudo é conhecer os fatores prognósticos de resposta virológica sustentada (RVS) e de efetividade do tratamento da hepatite C crônica e propor um modelo teórico que contenha as principais relações identificadas. A prevalência do HCV no Brasil é estimada entre 0,94% a 1,89%, com tendência a aumentar. Há populações especificamente sob maior risco como detentos, usuários de drogas e renais crônicos em diálise. Devido ao seu caráter crônico e progressivo estima-se que as complicações relacionadas aumentem nas próximas décadas caso não haja tratamento efetivo. O tratamento é caro, com efeitos colaterais importantes e promove RVS apenas em uma parcela dos indivíduos, mesmo sob condições ideais. São descritos como fatores prognósticos para RVS: genótipo, carga viral pré-tratamento, cinética viral, transaminases, estágio de fibrose, sexo, idade, peso, raça, esteatose e aderência ao tratamento. Dispensado de acordo com critérios do Ministério da Saúde, o tratamento utiliza interferon peguilado para o genótipo 1 e interferon convencional para os genótipos 2 e 3, associado à ribavirina. Associados a RVS, além do custo, outros fatores concorrem para a efetividade do tratamento: diagnóstico precoce dos casos, implementação de pólos de aplicação, qualidade e disponibilidade da medicação, critérios e interrupção precoce através da cinética viral, redução da necessidade de re-tratamento e de transplante hepático. Para aumentar a efetividade do tratamento concluímos ser necessário melhor rastreamento dos casos de infecção pelo VHC, disseminação de pólos de aplicação dos medicamentos e viabilizar exames para cinética viral.