996 resultados para estadística actuarial


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Purpose: To analyse prospectively the long-term results of Gamma Knife surgery (GKS) in patients with trigeminal neuralgia secondary to megadolichobasilar artery (MBA). Methods: Between December 1992 and November 2010, 33 consecutive patients presenting with ITN secondary to MBA were operated by GKS and followed prospectively in Timone University Hospital. The follow up is at least of 1 year in 29 patients. The median age was 74.90 years (range 51 to 90). The GKS typically was performed using MR and CT imaging guidance and a single 4 mm isocenter. The median of the prescription dose (at the 100%) was 90 Gy (range 80 to 90). The target was placed on the cisternal portion of the Vth nerve. Clinical and dosimetric parameters were analyzed. GKS was the first surgical procedure in 23 patients (79.31%). Results: The median follow- up period was 46.12 months (range 12.95 to 157.93). All the 29 patients (100%) were initially pain free in a median time of 13.5 days (range 0 to 240). The probability of remaining pain free at 0.5, 1, 2 years was 93.1%, 79.3% and 75.7% respectively, reaching at this time the flat part of the curve. Seven patients (24.13%) experienced a recurrence with a median delay of 10.75 months (range 3.77 to 12.62). The actuarial rate of recurrence was not higher than in our population with essential TN although atypical pain was associated with a much higher risk of recurrence (HR= 6.92, p= 0.0117). The hypoesthesia actuarial rates at 0.5 years was 4.3% and at 1 year reach 13% and remains stable till 12 years with a median delay of onset of 7 (5, 12) months. Female patients had a statistically much lower probability of developing a facial numbness (p of 0.03). No patient reported a bothersome hypoesthesia. Conclusion: Retrogaserian, high dose GKS, turned out to be very safe with only 13.04% hypoesthesia, which was never disabling (0%), while achieving high quality pain control. The majority of the patients demonstrated a prolonged effect of radiosurgery in absence of any trigeminal nerve disturbance.

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Customer satisfaction and retention are key issues for organizations in today’s competitive market place. As such, much research and revenue has been invested in developing accurate ways of assessing consumer satisfaction at both the macro (national) and micro (organizational) level, facilitating comparisons in performance both within and between industries. Since the instigation of the national customer satisfaction indices (CSI), partial least squares (PLS) has been used to estimate the CSI models in preference to structural equation models (SEM) because they do not rely on strict assumptions about the data. However, this choice was based upon some misconceptions about the use of SEM’s and does not take into consideration more recent advances in SEM, including estimation methods that are robust to non-normality and missing data. In this paper, both SEM and PLS approaches were compared by evaluating perceptions of the Isle of Man Post Office Products and Customer service using a CSI format. The new robust SEM procedures were found to be advantageous over PLS. Product quality was found to be the only driver of customer satisfaction, while image and satisfaction were the only predictors of loyalty, thus arguing for the specificity of postal services

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durante el autotrasplante se produce modificación del sistema inmunitario. Este “reset” se ha estudiado en enfermedades autoinmunes, no en alérgicas. El objetivo es evaluar si se pierde la sensibilización alérgica. Estudio prospectivo observacional, se incluyeron 28 pacientes, evaluados por historia clínica, IgE total, ISAC, IgE específica, antes y después del autotrasplante. Seis resultaron alérgicos pre autotrasplante, 83% la IgE específica y la sintomatología desaparecieron. Al comparar IgE total pre autotrasplante de alérgicos y no alérgicos, hubieron diferencias significativas (p=0.013). Parece haber pérdida de respuesta alérgica, tanto “in vivo” como “in vitro”. Serán necesarios estudios más amplios con más potencia estadística.

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Aquesta anàlisi es proposa conèixer la naturalesa interna del canvi en el suport a la independència de Catalunya. L’evolució d’aquesta actitud política no ha restat inalterable en les dues darreres dècades i en aquesta recerca volem saber si la edat dels individus, el canvi generacional o el període en què es prenen les observacions tenen la capacitat d’explicar aquestes oscil•lacions i en quina mesura. Immediatament comprovarem que per comprendre bé aquesta actitud hem de tenir en compte una segona que la literatura especialitzada no dubta en relacionar: la identificació nacional subjectiva. Amb aquest objectiu es realitzaran unes aproximacions descriptives i exploratòries i una contrastació estadística a partir de models de regressió multinivell per conèixer com afecten l’edat, la generació i el període al suport a la independència de Catalunya i a la identificació nacional subjectiva.

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It has been shown that the accuracy of mammographic abnormality detection methods is strongly dependent on the breast tissue characteristics, where a dense breast drastically reduces detection sensitivity. In addition, breast tissue density is widely accepted to be an important risk indicator for the development of breast cancer. Here, we describe the development of an automatic breast tissue classification methodology, which can be summarized in a number of distinct steps: 1) the segmentation of the breast area into fatty versus dense mammographic tissue; 2) the extraction of morphological and texture features from the segmented breast areas; and 3) the use of a Bayesian combination of a number of classifiers. The evaluation, based on a large number of cases from two different mammographic data sets, shows a strong correlation ( and 0.67 for the two data sets) between automatic and expert-based Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System mammographic density assessment

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Model predictiu basat en xarxes bayesianes que permet identificar els pacients amb major risc d'ingrés a un hospital segons una sèrie d'atributs de dades demogràfiques i clíniques.

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From November 1992 to December 1997, 25 patients (inoperable or refusing cystectomy) were included in a prospective study to assess the feasibility, tolerance, and curative potential of accelerated radiotherapy (RT) and concomitant cisplatin. Median age was 74 years (range 49-86). Stage distribution was as follows: 1 T1, 10 T2, 8 T3, and 6 T4. Two patients had clinically positive pelvic nodes. The goal was to deliver a total dose of 40 Gy to the whole pelvis and bladder in 4 weeks using a concomitant boost of 20 Gy to the tumor or to the whole bladder during the third and fourth weeks (total dose 60 Gy), with daily cisplatin (6 mg/m(2)) before RT for patients with creatinine clearance > 50 ml/min. All but one patient completed the RT protocol. Daily cisplatin was successfully delivered in 18 patients. One patient presented with grade III ototoxicity. Diarrhea was scored grade III in two and grade IV in two patients. Acute urinary toxicity was scored grade III in one patient. Posttreatment late effects included bladder grade II and grade III in two patients and one patient, respectively; large bowel grade III in one; urethral grade III in one; and femoral head radionecrosis in one. Four-year overall and disease-specific survival rates were 23% and 35%, respectively. The latter was 60% for patients with T2 tumors. The 4-year actuarial locoregional control rate for all patients was 61%. In summary, accelerated RT and concomitant cisplatin is feasible with acceptable tolerance even in relatively old patients. Although outcome was better for patients with low-stage tumors, local control and survival rates appeared similar to those of standard RT schedules for a similar patient population.

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Aims and background. In 2002, a survey including 1759 patients treated from 1980 to 1998 established a "benchmark" Italian data source for prostate cancer radiotherapy. This report updates the previous one. Methods. Data on clinical management and outcomes of 3001 patients treated in 15 centers from 1999 through 2003 were analyzed and compared with those of the previous survey. Results. Significant differences in clinical management (-10% had abdominal ma-gnetic resonance imaging; +26% received ≥70 Gy, +48% conformal radiotherapy, -20% pelvic radiotherapy) and in G3-4 toxicity rates (-3.8%) were recorded. Actuarial 5-year overall, disease-specific, clinical relapse-free, and biochemical relapse-free survival rates were 88%, 96%, 96% and 88%, respectively. At multivariate analysis, D'Amico risk categories significantly impacted on all the outcomes; higher radiotherapy doses were significantly related with better overall survival rates, and a similar trend was evident for disease-specific and biochemical relapse-free survival; cumulative probability of 5-year late G1-4 toxicity was 24.8% and was significantly related to higher radiotherapy doses (P <0.001). Conclusions. The changing patterns of practice described seem related to an improvement in efficacy and safety of radiotherapy for prostate cancer. However, the impact of the new radiotherapy techniques should be prospectively evaluated.

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El projecte es basa en la selecció d'una nova eina per gestionar les cues, per millorar l'atenció i el servei als clients en les nostres botigues, així com obtenir informació estadística imprescindible per a l'estudi de cada botiga en concret.

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Topological indices have been applied to build QSAR models for a set of 20 antimalarial cyclic peroxy cetals. In order to evaluate the reliability of the proposed linear models leave-n-out and Internal Test Sets (ITS) approaches have been considered. The proposed procedure resulted in a robust and consensued prediction equation and here it is shown why it is superior to the employed standard cross-validation algorithms involving multilinear regression models

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Black-box optimization problems (BBOP) are de ned as those optimization problems in which the objective function does not have an algebraic expression, but it is the output of a system (usually a computer program). This paper is focussed on BBOPs that arise in the eld of insurance, and more speci cally in reinsurance problems. In this area, the complexity of the models and assumptions considered to de ne the reinsurance rules and conditions produces hard black-box optimization problems, that must be solved in order to obtain the optimal output of the reinsurance. The application of traditional optimization approaches is not possible in BBOP, so new computational paradigms must be applied to solve these problems. In this paper we show the performance of two evolutionary-based techniques (Evolutionary Programming and Particle Swarm Optimization). We provide an analysis in three BBOP in reinsurance, where the evolutionary-based approaches exhibit an excellent behaviour, nding the optimal solution within a fraction of the computational cost used by inspection or enumeration methods.

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Este estudio aporta datos sobre el tiempo objetivo que tarda el sistema penal juvenil en dar respuesta a las conductas presuntamente delictivas de los jóvenes que llegan al sistema. El interés por contar y analizar este tiempo de respuesta del sistema penal juvenil se basa en dos justificaciones: la primera es conocer la incidencia que tiene el paso del tiempo en la eficiencia del sistema, eficiencia que se suele asociar al hecho que se resuelvan los casos con rapidez. El segundo motivo tiene que ver con la eficacia de la pena o de la respuesta que el infractor pueda recibir. Desde el ámbito penal y criminológico diversos autores, citados en la investigación, señalan que una respuesta más rápida hace la pena más eficaz. La investigación ha estudiado 8.059 procedimientos abiertos en Catalunya el año 2008 a jóvenes infractores y da datos respecto la duración según algunas variables (referidas a las características de los jóvenes, los hechos delictivos, el tipo de resolución, el territorio que la ha gestionado, los casos en los que se ha realizado una mediación y reparación de menores, etc.). En los casos que ha sido posible, también se ha realizado una comparación entre el año de estudio (2008) y un año de control (2005), para conocer cuales han sido estas diferencias. Es la primera investigación que se publica en Catalunya sobre el total de tiempo que tarda la justicia penal en dar respuesta a una infracción presuntamente cometida por un menor.

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Linear response functions are implemented for a vibrational configuration interaction state allowing accurate analytical calculations of pure vibrational contributions to dynamical polarizabilities. Sample calculations are presented for the pure vibrational contributions to the polarizabilities of water and formaldehyde. We discuss the convergence of the results with respect to various details of the vibrational wave function description as well as the potential and property surfaces. We also analyze the frequency dependence of the linear response function and the effect of accounting phenomenologically for the finite lifetime of the excited vibrational states. Finally, we compare the analytical response approach to a sum-over-states approach

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The performance of the SAOP potential for the calculation of NMR chemical shifts was evaluated. SAOP results show considerable improvement with respect to previous potentials, like VWN or BP86, at least for the carbon, nitrogen, oxygen, and fluorine chemical shifts. Furthermore, a few NMR calculations carried out on third period atoms (S, P, and Cl) improved when using the SAOP potential

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A variational approach for reliably calculating vibrational linear and nonlinear optical properties of molecules with large electrical and/or mechanical anharmonicity is introduced. This approach utilizes a self-consistent solution of the vibrational Schrödinger equation for the complete field-dependent potential-energy surface and, then, adds higher-level vibrational correlation corrections as desired. An initial application is made to static properties for three molecules of widely varying anharmonicity using the lowest-level vibrational correlation treatment (i.e., vibrational Møller-Plesset perturbation theory). Our results indicate when the conventional Bishop-Kirtman perturbation method can be expected to break down and when high-level vibrational correlation methods are likely to be required. Future improvements and extensions are discussed