1000 resultados para Control de modelos predictivos


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OBJECTIVE To analyze spatial changes in the risk of AIDS and the relationship between AIDS incidence and socioeconomic variables in the state of Rondonia, Amazon region. METHODS A spatial, population case-control study in Rondonia, Brazil, based on 1,780 cases reported to the Epidemiological Surveillance System and controls based on demographic data from 1987 to 2006. The cases were grouped into five consecutive four-year periods. A generalized additive model was adjusted to the data; the dependent variable was the status of the individuals (case or control), and the independent variables were a bi-dimensional spline of the geographic coordinates and some municipality-level socioeconomic variables. The observed values of the Moran’s I test were compared to a reference distribution of values generated under conditions of spatial randomness. RESULTS AIDS risk shows a marked spatial and temporal pattern. The disease incidence is related to socioeconomic variables at the municipal level in Rondônia, such as urbanization and human capital. The highest incidence rates of AIDS are in municipalities along the BR-364 highway and calculations of the Moran’s I test show positive spatial correlation associated with proximity of the municipality to the highway in the third and fourth periods (p = 0.05). CONCLUSIONS Incidence of the disease is higher in municipalities of greater economic wealth and urbanization, and in those municipalities bisected by Rondônia’s main roads. The rapid development associated with the opening up of once remote regions may be accompanied by an increase in these risks to health.

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Esta dissertação tem por fim o estudo de algoritmos que permitem efectuar uma visita guiada a um modelo volumétrico. A visita guiada permite ao utilizador observar todas as partes relevantes do modelo. Assim, expõe-se como seleccionar de forma automática as posições que melhor permitem observar as partes relevantes. Dadas essas posições, mostra-se como criar um percurso que passe por todas elas. O esforço exigido ao utilizador, durante a visita guiada, face à metodologia aplicada, é o mínimo possível, como se este estivesse numa plataforma móvel e alguém empurrasse essa plataforma. Liberto de todas as preocupações associadas à sua deslocação, o utilizador poderá concentrar-se apenas na observação do modelo. É também abordado o caso particular da visita guiada a um modelo representativo de um museu de pintura. As técnicas estudadas são implementadas, tendo sido criado um protótipo que permite efectuar uma visita guiada ao museu. Nessa visita guiada, as peças expostas, que são as partes relevantes do museu, são visualizadas da melhor forma possível, ou seja, de maneira a que sua dimensão e o contexto em que estão inseridas sejam perceptíveis para o utilizador.

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This paper studies fractional variable structure controllers. Two cases are considered namely, the sliding reference model and the control action, that are generalized from integer into fractional orders. The test bed consists in a mechanical manipulator and the effect of the fractional approach upon the system performance is evaluated. The results show that fractional dynamics, both in the switching surface and the control law are important design algorithms in variable structure controllers.

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Dragonflies show unique and superior flight performances than most of other insect species and birds. They are equipped with two pairs of independently controlled wings granting an unmatchable flying performance and robustness. In this paper, it is presented an adaptive scheme controlling a nonlinear model inspired in a dragonfly-like robot. It is proposed a hybrid adaptive (HA) law for adjusting the parameters analyzing the tracking error. At the current stage of the project it is considered essential the development of computational simulation models based in the dynamics to test whether strategies or algorithms of control, parts of the system (such as different wing configurations, tail) as well as the complete system. The performance analysis proves the superiority of the HA law over the direct adaptive (DA) method in terms of faster and improved tracking and parameter convergence.

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Mestrado em Contabilidade e Análise Financeira

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Network control systems (NCSs) are spatially distributed systems in which the communication between sensors, actuators and controllers occurs through a shared band-limited digital communication network. However, the use of a shared communication network, in contrast to using several dedicated independent connections, introduces new challenges which are even more acute in large scale and dense networked control systems. In this paper we investigate a recently introduced technique of gathering information from a dense sensor network to be used in networked control applications. Obtaining efficiently an approximate interpolation of the sensed data is exploited as offering a good tradeoff between accuracy in the measurement of the input signals and the delay to the actuation. These are important aspects to take into account for the quality of control. We introduce a variation to the state-of-the-art algorithms which we prove to perform relatively better because it takes into account the changes over time of the input signal within the process of obtaining an approximate interpolation.

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Replication is a proven concept for increasing the availability of distributed systems. However, actively replicating every software component in distributed embedded systems may not be a feasible approach. Not only the available resources are often limited, but also the imposed overhead could significantly degrade the system's performance. The paper proposes heuristics to dynamically determine which components to replicate based on their significance to the system as a whole, its consequent number of passive replicas, and where to place those replicas in the network. The results show that the proposed heuristics achieve a reasonably higher system's availability than static offline decisions when lower replication ratios are imposed due to resource or cost limitations. The paper introduces a novel approach to coordinate the activation of passive replicas in interdependent distributed environments. The proposed distributed coordination model reduces the complexity of the needed interactions among nodes and is faster to converge to a globally acceptable solution than a traditional centralised approach.

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O artigo faz uma breve sistematização dos modelos de atenção em saúde, enfatiza o papel do inquérito populacional como instrumento de gestão e analisa o caso específico da Pesquisa Nacional de Saúde Bucal (SBBrasil 2010), ressaltando a sua contribuição no processo de consolidação de modelos de atenção compatíveis com os princípios do Sistema Único de Saúde. Ainda que no plano legal o Sistema Único de Saúde corresponda a um modelo de atenção em saúde, no plano concreto das políticas públicas e das ações, o sistema dá origem a um modelo que resulta não de textos jurídicos nem de formulações teóricas, mas da práxis dos agentes envolvidos. Considerando que a gestão do cotidiano em saúde é um espaço privilegiado e prioritário para a produção e consolidação dos modelos de atenção à saúde, é necessário estimular e apoiar o desenvolvimento de competências técnicas e operacionais diferentes daquelas necessárias à gerência dos cuidados relacionados às demandas individuais.

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Replication is a proven concept for increasing the availability of distributed systems. However, actively replicating every software component in distributed embedded systems may not be a feasible approach. Not only the available resources are often limited, but also the imposed overhead could significantly degrade the system’s performance. This paper proposes heuristics to dynamically determine which components to replicate based on their significance to the system as a whole, its consequent number of passive replicas, and where to place those replicas in the network. The activation of passive replicas is coordinated through a fast convergence protocol that reduces the complexity of the needed interactions among nodes until a new collective global service solution is determined.

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The availability of small inexpensive sensor elements enables the employment of large wired or wireless sensor networks for feeding control systems. Unfortunately, the need to transmit a large number of sensor measurements over a network negatively affects the timing parameters of the control loop. This paper presents a solution to this problem by representing sensor measurements with an approximate representation-an interpolation of sensor measurements as a function of space coordinates. A priority-based medium access control (MAC) protocol is used to select the sensor messages with high information content. Thus, the information from a large number of sensor measurements is conveyed within a few messages. This approach greatly reduces the time for obtaining a snapshot of the environment state and therefore supports the real-time requirements of feedback control loops.

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The objective of every wind energy producer is to reduce operational costs associated to the production as a way to increase profits. One other issue that must be looked carefully is the equipment maintenance. Increase the availability of wind turbines by reducing the downtime associated to failures is a good strategy to achieve the main goal of increase profits. As a way to help in the definition of the best maintenance strategies, condition monitoring systems (CMS) have an important role to play. Informatics tools to make the condition monitoring of the wind turbines were developed and are now being installed as a way to help producers reducing the operational costs. There are a lot of developed systems to do the monitoring of a wind turbine or the whole wind park, in this paper will be made an overview of the most important systems.

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The virtual enterprise paradigm seems a fit response to face market instability and the volatile nature of business opportunities increasing enterprise’s interest in similar forms of networked organisations. The dynamic environment of a virtual enterprise requires that partners in the consortium own reconfigurable shop floors. This paper presents new approaches to shop floor control that meet the requirements of the new industrial paradigms and argues on work re-organization at shop floor level.

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OBJETIVO Comparar os modelos colaborativo e tradicional na assistência ao parto e nascimento. MÉTODOS Estudo transversal realizado com 655 primíparas em quatro hospitais do sistema único de saúde em Belo Horizonte, MG, em 2011 (333 mulheres do modelo colaborativo e 322 do modelo tradicional, incluindo aquelas com trabalho de parto induzido e prematuro). Os dados foram coletados em entrevistas e levantamento de prontuários. Foram aplicados os testes Qui-quadrado para comparação e regressão logística múltipla para determinar associação entre o modelo e os desfechos analisados. RESULTADOS Houve diferenças significativas entre os modelos em relação ao nível de escolaridade e trabalho remunerado. No modelo colaborativo houve menor utilização da ocitocina (50,2% no modelo colaborativo versus 65,5% no modelo tradicional; p < 0,001), da ruptura artificial das membranas (54,3% no modelo colaborativo versus 65,9% no modelo tradicional; p = 0,012) e da taxa de episiotomia (16,1% no modelo colaborativo versus 85,2% no modelo tradicional; p < 0,001), e maior utilização de métodos não farmacológicos para alívio da dor (85,0% no modelo colaborativo versus 78,9% no modelo tradicional; p = 0,042). A associação entre o modelo colaborativo e a redução no uso da ocitocina, da ruptura artificial das membranas e da episiotomia manteve-se após o ajuste para fatores de confundimento. O modelo assistencial não esteve associado a complicações neonatais ou maternas nem à utilização de analgesia de condução. CONCLUSÕES Os resultados sugerem que o modelo colaborativo poderá reduzir as intervenções na assistência ao trabalho de parto e parto com resultados perinatais semelhantes.