Linear vs. log-linear unit-root specification: an application of mis-specification encompassing

The objective of this paper is to apply the mis-specification (M-S) encompassing perspective to the problem of choosing between linear and log-linear unit-root models. A simple M-S encompassing test, based on an auxiliary regression stemming from the conditional second moment, is proposed and its empirical size and power are investigated using Monte Carlo simulations. It is shown that by focusing on the conditional process the sampling distributions of the relevant statistics are well behaved under both the null and alternative hypotheses. The proposed M-S encompassing test is illustrated using US total disposable income quarterly data.

Can portmanteau nonlinearity tests serve as general mis-specification tests?

A number of recent papers have employed the BDS test as a general test for mis-specification for linear and nonlinear models. We show that for a particular class of conditionally heteroscedastic models, the BDS test is unable to detect a common mis-specification. Our results also demonstrate that specific rather than portmanteau diagnostics are required to detect neglected asymmetry in volatility. However for both classes of tests reasonable power is only obtained using very large sample sizes.

The effect of (mis-specified) GARCH filters on the finite sample distribution of the BDS test

This paper considers the effect of using a GARCH filter on the properties of the BDS test statistic as well as a number of other issues relating to the application of the test. It is found that, for certain values of the user-adjustable parameters, the finite sample distribution of the test is far-removed from asymptotic normality. In particular, when data generated from some completely different model class are filtered through a GARCH model, the frequency of rejection of iid falls, often substantially. The implication of this result is that it might be inappropriate to use non-rejection of iid of the standardised residuals of a GARCH model as evidence that the GARCH model ‘fits’ the data.

The psychology of containment: mis/representing emotional and behavioural difficulties in Australian schools

The number of students in special schools has increased at a rapid rate in some Australian states, due in part to increased enrolment under the categories of emotional disturbance (ED) and behaviour disorder (BD). Nonetheless, diagnostic distinctions between ED and BD are unclear. Moreover, despite international findings that students with particular backgrounds are over-represented in special schools, little is known about the backgrounds of students entering such settings in Australia. This study examined the government school enrolment data from New South Wales, the most populous of the Australian states. Linear and quadratic trends were used to describe the numbers and ages of students enrolled in special schools in the ED and BD categories. Changes between 1997 and 2007 were observed. Results showed an over-representation of boys that increased across the decade and a different pattern across age for boys and girls. Consistent with international findings, these results indicate that trends in special school placements are unrelated to disability prevalence in the population. Rather, it is suggested that schools act to preserve time and resources for others by removing their more challenging students: most typically, boys.

Late persistence of the Acheulian in southern Britain in an MIS 8 interstadial: evidence from Harnham, Wiltshire

This paper presents evidence of the discovery of a new Middle Pleistocene site in central southern England, with undisturbed evidence of hominin occupation well-dated to an interstadial towards the end of Marine Isotope Stage 8, c. 250,000 BP. The site consists of a preserved remnant of a river terrace and its alluvial floodplain overlain by chalk-rich bankside deposits, all abutting a Chalk bedrock riverbank. It preserves an area of occupation with activity focused on the riverbank, complemented by occasional activity on a palaeo-landsurface developed on the surface of the alluvial floodplain. Lithic technology at the site consists almost entirely of handaxe manufacture, allowing attribution to an Acheulian industrial tradition. Mammalian and other palaeo-environmental remains are present and associated with the occupation horizons, including large mammal bones showing signs of hominin interference. Dating was based on OSL determinations on the sediments and amino acid racemisation of molluscan remains, supported by biostratigraphic indications. Besides being a rare instance of an undisturbed Palaeolithic palaeo-landscape covering several hectares, the site contributes to wider Quaternary research concerns over the ability of Middle Pleistocene hominins to tolerate colder climatic episodes in higher latitudes, and over settlement history and changing lithic industrial traditions of northwest Europe in relation to climate change and British peninsularity. It is suggested that the Harnham evidence may represent an insular population that had persisted in southern Britain since MIS 10/9, which became locally extinct during the glacial maximum 8.2 marking the end of MIS 8.

Un sistema par el desarollo de la capacitación de la Policia Civil del Estado do Rio de Janeiro

Esta disertación es producto de una pesquisa participativa, y su objetivo es describir el Sistema de Capacitación que se realiza en la Academia de la Policia Civil deI Estado de Rio de Janeiro, para los dectetives de tercera classe. EI processo retratado incluye el análisis de la historia de la Institución hasta la propuesta para la elaboración y recomendaciónes de un Sistema de Capacitación para el tercer milenio com el fin de formar un dectetive voltado para la prestación de servicio a la comunidad.

Estudo de adulteração em méis brasileiros através de razão isotópica do carbono

Neste trabalho, objetivou-se analisar isotopicamente méis comercializados nas regiões Sul e Sudeste do Brasil, para a detecção de fraude. Foram colhidas amostras comerciais com registro no Serviço de Inspeção Federal, Estadual ou Municipal. As amostras foram submetidas à combustão no Analisador Elementar EA 1108 CHN e analisadas no espectrômetro de massas de razão isotópica DELTA-S (Finningan Mat). Os valores isotópicos (δ13C) dos méis in natura foram comparados aos de suas respectivas proteínas (padrão interno). Foram consideradas adulteradas as amostras cuja diferença entre o valor isotópico da proteína e do mel foi igual ou inferior a -1 . As amostras consideradas adulteradas pela análise isotópica foram submetidas a testes químicos qualitativos que não foram capazes de indicar adulteração para algumas delas. Das 61 amostras analisadas, 18,0% encontram-se adulteradas, sendo 11,5% na Região Sudeste e 6,5% na Região Sul. Ao contrário dos testes químicos, a análise isotópica mostrou-se eficaz em identificar e quantificar a adulteração de méis comerciais.

Qualidade dos méis produzidos por Melipona fasciculata Smith da região do cerrado maranhense

The honey of Melipona fasciculata is few known in terms of composition, and therefore generally associated with the characteristics of the honey of Apis mellifera. This study contributes to the knowledge of the physico-chemical characteristics of honey of M. fasciculata of the municipalities of Barra do Corda, Jenipapo dos Vieiras, Fernando Falcão, Carolina and Riachão, in cerrado region from Maranhão. The parameters studied were: moisture, pH, acidity, reducing sugars, apparent sucrose, hydroxymethylfurfural, diastase activity, insoluble solids, ash and color. Some of the observed patterns may conform to the established for A. mellifera, but others must be accompanied by a specific legislation.

Analgesia pós-operatória para crianças com menos de 1 ano: análise retrospectiva

JUSTIFICATIVA E OBJETIVOS: A dor pós-operatória continua sendo uma das principais complicações pós-operatórias e motivo de desconforto, principalmente em crianças. O objetivo deste estudo foi avaliar o uso de analgésicos desde o término da cirurgia até a alta da sala de recuperação pós-anestésica (SRPA), como medida terapêutica ou profilática, para crianças com menos de 1 ano de idade. MÉTODO: Utilizando o banco de dados do Departamento de Anestesiologia, foi realizada análise retrospectiva, envolvendo o período de janeiro de 2000 a abril de 2001, das anestesias de crianças menores que 1 ano de idade submetidas a procedimentos cirúrgicos diversos, avaliando aspectos relacionados à analgesia pós-operatória. RESULTADOS: No período do estudo, foram anestesiadas 402 crianças menores que 1 ano, sendo que 194 (48,2%) não receberam analgésicos e 208 (51,8%) receberam. Com relação ao uso ou não de analgésicos, foi observado o que se segue: Sem analgésicos: (1) Idade: até 1 mês, 68/99; entre 1 e 6 meses, 53/126; entre 6 meses e 1 ano, 73/177. (2) Peso: 6,7 ± 3,1 kg (3). Sexo: masculino, 106/240; feminino, 88/162. (4) Estado físico ASA: ASA I, 69/187; ASA II, 56/113; ASA III, 46/79; ASA IV, 23/23. (5) Anestesia peridural sacral: 3/4. (6) Tempo de anestesia: 106 ± 32 minutos. (7) Encaminhamento para unidade de terapia intensiva (UTI): 93/119. Uso de analgésicos: (1) Idade: até 1 mês, 31/99; entre 1 e 6 meses, 73/126; entre 6 meses e 1 ano, 104/177. (2) Peso: 9 ± 2,3 kg. (3) Sexo: masculino, 134/240; feminino, 74/162. (4) Estado físico ASA: ASA I, 118/187; ASA II, 57/113; ASA III, 33/79; ASA IV, 0/23. (5) Anestesia peridural sacral: 1/4. (6) Tempo de anestesia: 130 ± 38 minutos. (7) Encaminhamento para UTI: 26/119. Os fármacos empregados para promover analgesia foram: dipirona (60,6%), dipirona + tramadol (25,5%), dipirona + nalbufina (5,3%), tramadol (3,8%), nalbufina (3,8%), meperidina (0,5%) e fentanil (0,5%). CONCLUSÕES: Utilizar analgésicos em crianças desde o término da cirurgia até a alta da SRPA não foi habitual, principalmente nas crianças menores e mais graves e em procedimentos cirúrgicos mais rápidos. O uso de dipirona, isoladamente, ou a associação dipirona/tramadol, foram as drogas analgésicas mais freqüentemente empregadas.

Análisis de "best practices" en capacitación en empresas líderes en Argentina

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