The out-of-sample performance of stochastic methods in forecasting age-specific mortality rates /

"July 2008."

Die reichsgesetzliche Arbeiterversicherung (Kranken-, Unfall- und Invalidenversicherung Wer ist versichert? Ansprüche der versicherten. Verfolgung der Ansprüche. Kosten des Verfhrens. Für die versicherten, für Arbeitervertreter, Volksbureaus, Beamte, geistliche,

Mode of access: Internet.

The Supplemental security income program for the aged, blind, and disabled.

Mode of access: Internet.

California employment and payrolls in ... /

At head of title: California. Department of Employment affiliated with [U.S.] Social Security Board ...

Die Arbeiter-versicherung im Auslande.

Each part has special t.-p. and short bibliography.

Social welfare expenditures, 1950-75 /

Cover title.

Disability amendments of 1982 : report together with separate views (to accompany H.R. 6181) (including cost estimate and comparison of the Congressional Budget Office).

"May 26, 1982."

Quantifying the use of the statin antilipemic drugs: Comparisons and contrasts between Nova Scotia, Canada, and Queensland, Australia

Background: jurisdictions are developing public drug insurance systems to improve access to pharmaceuticals, cost-effective prescribing, and patient health and well-being. We compared 2 Jurisdictions with different pharmaceutical policies to determine prescribing patterns for 3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl coenzyme A reductase inhibitors (le, statins). Objective: The aim of this work was to investigate the feasibility of using available prescription admimstrative databases to compare the use of statins in Queensland, Australia, and in Nova Scotia, Canada. Methods: Data from the Nova Scotia Pharmacare Program and the Health Insurance Commission in Australia were used to obtain dispensing data. Utilization was compared for the 5-year period from 1997 through 2001, using the World Health Organization anatomic therapeutic chemical/defined daily dose (DDD) system. Results: In the year 2001, there were 177,000 beneficiaries in the public drug plan in Nova Scotia (62% aged ≥ 65 years old) and 960,000 concession beneficiaries (pensioners and social security recipients, 61% aged ≥ 65 years) in Queensland. These 2 groups were comparable. The overall utilization of statin medications increased steadily in both areas over the study period, from 50 to 205 DDD/1000 beneficiaries per day. Comparison of the 2 growth lines showed no statistically significant differences in overall statin use despite differences in brand availabilities and policies about prescribing. In the year 2001, atorvastatin was the most commonly prescribed statin in both areas, comprising 46% of statin use in Nova Scotia and 51% in Queensland. Mean doses of each statin prescribed were slightly above the DDDs. Expenditure on statins per 1000 beneficiaries and per DDD were similar in each jurisdiction, being slightly higher in Nova Scotia. Conclusions: Despite differences in pharmaceutical reimbursement systems, use of the statins was similar in Nova Scotia and Queensland. The feasibility of the methodology was demonstrated. Future studies, including comparisons of drug utilization for other classes of drugs for which drug policies may be divergent (eg, different pricing structures or prior authorization requirements), or for which less evidence for appropriate use is available, may be useful. © 2005 Excerpta Medica, Inc.

Why many eligible individuals choose not to go on welfare

This article investigates why many eligible for welfare do not participate. We show that on-the-job wage-rising potential is the key factor motivating nonparticipation. Although individuals with very low earnings and little wage-rising potential are typically welfare recipients, those with good wage-rising potential may choose to work, participate in old age, or never participate. Nonparticipation remains the best choice for eligible individuals with large wage-rising potential even if universal old-age social security is available. We will also apply this model to a comprehensive welfare system in Hong Kong.

Health system reform in Mexico 5: Assessing the effect of the 2001-06 Mexican health reform: an interim report card

Since 2001, Mexico has been designing, legislating, and implementing a major health-system reform. A key component was the creation of Seguro Popular, which is intended to expand insurance coverage over 7 years to uninsured people, nearly half the total population at the start of 2001. The reform included five actions: legislation of entitlement per family affiliated which, with full implementation, will increase public spending on health by 0.8-1.0% of gross domestic product; creation of explicit benefits packages; allocation of monies to decentralised state ministries of health in proportion to number of families affiliated; division of federal resources flowing to states into separate funds for personal and non-personal health services; and creation of a fund to protect families against catastrophic health expenditures. Using the WHO health-systems framework, we used a wide range of datasets to assess the effect of this reform on different dimensions of the health system. Key findings include: affiliation is preferentially reaching the poor and the marginalised communities; federal non-social security expenditure in real per-head terms increased by 38% from 2000 to 2005; equity of public-health expenditure across states improved; Seguro Popular affiliates used more inpatient and outpatient services than uninsured people; effective coverage of 11 interventions has improved between 2000 and 2005-06; inequalities in effective coverage across states and wealth deciles has decreased over this period; catastrophic expenditures for Seguro Popular affiliates are lower than for uninsured people even though use of services has increased. We present some lessons for Mexico based on this interim evaluation and explore implications for other countries considering health reforms.

Parametrikus nyugdíjreformok és életciklus-munkakínálat (Parametric pension reforms and life-cycle labour supply)

A társadalombiztosítási nyugdíjrendszer finanszírozása pusztán a demográfiai folyamatok következtében is jelentős terhet ró majd a költségvetésére, amin a különböző parametrikus és paradigmatikus nyugdíjreformok enyhíthetnek. A reformok azonban hosszú távon olyan viselkedési, munkakínálati reakciókat válthatnak ki, amelyek alapvetően változtatják meg a költségvetési hatásokat. Az 1999 és 2009 között Magyarországon megfigyelhető átlagos munka- és nyugdíjkorprofilok bemutatása után arra tettünk kísérletet, hogy mikroökonómiai alapon határozzuk meg néhány alapvető parametrikus nyugdíjreformnak a férfiak életciklus-munkakínálatára gyakorolt hatását. A modell paramétereit a magyar gazdaság 1999 és 2009 közötti jellemzőinek megfelelően kalibráltuk. Eredményeink szerint a helyettesítési ráta csökkentése, a nyugdíjkorhatár emelése és a svájci indexálás árindexálásra cserélése összességében számottevően növeli az egyes képzettségi csoportok munkakínálatát, s a fiatalabb korosztályok javára csoportosítja át az életciklus-munkakínálatot, míg a nyugdíj kiszámításához figyelembe vett évek számának megváltoztatása nem hoz jelentős aggregált hatást, és nem jár a munkakínálat korcsoportok közötti átcsoportosításával. ____ Financing the social-security pension system will weigh heavily on the government budget in developed countries, merely through the projected demographic processes. The burden could be eased by various parametric and paradigmatic pension reforms, but in the long run such reforms may trigger behavioural, labour-supply responses, which may alter the budgetary effects fundamentally. Having described the average work and pension profiles in Hungary between 1999 and 2009, the authors use a microeconomic approach in an attempt to assess the effect of certain parametric pension reforms on the life-cycle labour supply of males. The parameters for the model were calibrated for the characteristics of the Hungarian economy. The results show that decreasing the replacement rate, increasing the retirement age and replacing Swiss indexation of pensions by price indexation cause a considerable increase in the labour supply of all education-level groups, whereas changing the number of years considered in computing pensions does not have a significant aggregate effect. While introducing price indexation increases the labour supply of all cohorts by the same amount, the other reforms reallocate the life-cycle labour supply, mainly towards younger age-groups.

The Affordable Care Act and the Transformation of US Health Care

The neoliberal period was accompanied by a momentous transformation within the US health care system.  As the result of a number of political and historical dynamics, the healthcare law signed by President Barack Obama in 2010 ‑the Affordable Care Act (ACA)‑ drew less on universal models from abroad than it did on earlier conservative healthcare reform proposals. This was in part the result of the influence of powerful corporate healthcare interests. While the ACA expands healthcare coverage, it does so incompletely and unevenly, with persistent uninsurance and disparities in access based on insurance status. Additionally, the law accommodates an overall shift towards a consumerist model of care characterized by high cost sharing at time of use. Finally, the law encourages the further consolidation of the healthcare sector, for instance into units named “Accountable Care Organizations” that closely resemble the health maintenance organizations favored by managed care advocates. The overall effect has been to maintain a fragmented system that is neither equitable nor efficient. A single payer universal system would, in contrast, help transform healthcare into a social right.

Brazilian Social Segurity and Social Work: reflections on the Continuous Cash Benefit Programme

Guaranteed under the Federal Constitution of 1988, Brazilian social security covers rights relating to health, social welfare and social care. The Continuous Cash Benefit Programme (BPC) was approved as part of social care policy and is regulated under the Social Care Act (Ley Orgánica de Asistencia Social) of 1993. This benefit guarantees a minimum monthly income for persons with disabilities and for older adults. Certain requirements must be satisfied in order to obtain the assistance: medical and social assessment of disabled persons, a minimum age of 65 years for older adults, and, in both cases, the value of per capita income for the nuclear family in question, which must be lower than a quarter of the minimum wage. Regulation of the BPC has incorporated advances and setbacks in terms of legislation and implementation. In this framework, this article presents a theoretical reflection, an analysis of the legislation on the matter, and some reflections on the challenges that it poses for social workers.

Na Condição de Prostituta, Que Redes de Suporte Social?

As definições tradicionais de prostituição tendem a enfatizar três aspectos: a existência de uma interacção de tipo sexual, a existência de uma retribuição económica por essa interacção e a existência de indiferença afectiva entre as partes envolvidas, isto é entre cliente e prostituta (Machado & Gonçalves, 2002) O conceito de “rede” tem surgido recentemente nos mais diversos domínios e com inúmeras designações associadas, pelo que pode falar-se de redes em áreas e aplicações tão diversas, pois é usado para “designar uma grande variedade de objectos e de fenómenos”. Os vínculos numa rede primária são, assim, essencialmente de natureza afectiva, não havendo qualquer formalidade na relação. Já as redes secundárias reportam-nos aos membros da nossa rede com os quais estabelecemos relações num contexto formal e com objectivos funcionais (Guadalupe, 2009) Tendo em conta o objecto de estudo, pretende-se com este trabalho de pesquisa, perceber quais as redes de suporte desta população, bem como a eficácia da rede em relação aos vínculos afectivos. Podemos assim apurar que relativamente às redes de suporte primárias estas prostitutas têm mais perto de si os seus companheiros e em seguida os seus filhos, mantendo, 29.4 % uma boa relação com a sua família e uma percentagem igual uma má relação familiar. Relativamente às redes de suporte secundárias, uma parte desta população recorre a politicas sociais activas, implementadas pelo Ministério do Trabalho e da Segurança Social operacionalizadas pela Segurança Social de Coimbra para o apoio social. Ao nível da intervenção social directa, recorrem à Associação Existências para o apoio emocional, psicossocial e de aconselhamento em contexto de gabinete ou em contexto outreach. /

A tomada de decisão nas instituições particulares de solidariedade social

Introdução e objetivo: Atualmente as Instituições Particulares de Solidariedade Social deparam-se com mudanças de caracter social, económico e legislativo, que têm afetado o seu funcionamento e financiamento. Pelo que, impõe-se às suas direções responder às necessidades sociais com maior responsabilidade e eficiência num contexto de maior escassez de recursos. Neste sentido, o presente estudo tem como objetivo compreender o modo como as Instituições Particulares de Solidariedade Social tomam decisões, ao nível do financiamento, para um funcionamento eficiente das mesmas. Metodologia: Optou-se por realizar estudos de caso com uma amostra constituída por quatro Instituições Particulares de Solidariedade Social. A recolha de dados foi feita através de entrevistas semiestruturadas e análise documental. O tratamento de dados foi feito através de análise de conteúdo e com recurso ao software QRS Nvivo versão 10. Resultados: Os principais resultados indicam que: a) as necessidades sociais influenciam decisões de aumento e diminuição da capacidade de respostas das instituições; b) o sistema legal influencia a perpetuação de intervenções de caracter institucional; c) a conjuntura económica influencia a pressão sobre o preço da comparticipação familiar e o aumento da concorrência entre instituições; d) a escassez de recursos constitui-se como denominador comum entre instituições, influenciando decisões de investimento que assumem o financiamento público como um facto consumado; e) as práticas de liderança e gestão desenvolvidas por direções com elementos que têm conhecimentos na área financeira são mais propensas a assumir o risco e a aumentar a complexidade operativa das instituições f) as práticas de envolvimento de stakeholders internos e externos contribuem para a aquisição de apoio na prossecução dos seus objetivos. Conclusão: As tomadas de decisão das instituições com acordos com a segurança social assemelham-se por prevalecer o desenvolvimento de respostas tipificadas, com acordo com a segurança social. Apesar disso, os resultados evidenciam a importância de práticas de liderança e gestão desenvolvidas com a presença de elementos com conhecimentos na área financeira, para o desenvolvimento de respostas tipificadas com rentabilidade económica. Salienta-se ainda que o desenvolvimento de práticas de envolvimento de stakeholders internos e externos, baseados na responsabilização e transparência, promovem o alcance de apoios para assegurar o desenvolvimento das atividades institucionais, com maior incidência na instituição sem acordos com a segurança social, mas que os mesmos não asseguram a sua eficiência económica.