Application of the Hidden Markov Model for Innovative Projects "Viability" Analysis

This master thesis deals with determining of innovative projects "viability". "Viability" is the probability of innovative project being implemented. Hidden Markov Models are used for evaluation of this factor. The problem of determining parameters of model, which produce given data sequence with the highest probability, are solving in this research. Data about innovative projects contained in reports of Russian programs "UMNIK", "START" and additional data obtained during study are used as input data for determining of model parameters. The Baum-Welch algorithm which is one implementation of expectation-maximization algorithm is used at this research for calculating model parameters. At the end part of the master thesis mathematical basics for practical implementation are given (in particular mathematical description of the algorithm and implementation methods for Markov models).

Philosophical collections : containing an account of such physical, anatomical, chymical, mechanical, astronomical, optical, or other mathematical and philosophical experiments and observations as have lately come to the publishers hands, as also an account of some books of this kind lately published.

Mode of access: Internet.

Mathematics, from the points of view of the mathematician and of the physicist. An address delivered to the Mathematical and Physical Society of University College, London,

Cover title.

Mathematical and physical papers,

Vol III. Elasticity, heat, electro-magnetism; IV. Hydrodynamics and general dynamics; V. Thermodynamics, cosmical and geological physics, molecular and crystalline theory, electrodynamics; VI. Voltaic theory, radioactivity, electrons, navigation and tides, miscellaneous.

Plant analysis: qualitative and quantitative /

Mode of access: Internet.

Recent developments in physical chemistry : 3rd Mexican Meeting on Mathematical and Experimental Physics - México City, México - 10-14 September 2007 /

Mode of access: Internet.

Qualitative and quantitative determination of toxic materials in water supplies /

Mode of access: Internet.

The analysis of fermentation acids; the qualitative and quantitative estimation of formic, acetic, propionic, butyric, and lactic acids in biological material ...

"Use of Duclaux method on various substances" (bibliography): p. 235-236. Bibliography: p. 245-277.

The rise of the new physics; its mathematical and physical theories.

"Formerly titled 'Decline of mechanism.'"

A new mathematical and philosophical dictionary, comprising an explanation of terms and principles of pure and mixed mathematics, and such branches of natural philosophy as are susceptible of mathematical investigation. With historical sketches of the rise, progress and present state of the several departments of these sciences, and an account of the discoveries and writings of the most celebrated authors, both ancient and modern.

Mode of access: Internet.

A catalogue of the entire and valuable mathematical and philosophical library of Alexander Aubert, etc., which will be sold by auction, by Leigh and S. Sotheby, on July 15, 1806 and four following days.

Mode of access: Internet.

A mathematical and philosophical dictionary: containing an explanation of the terms, and an account of the several subjects, comprized under the heads mathematics, astronomy, and philosophy both natural and experimental:

Mode of access: Internet.

Effect of physical soil properties on cotton emergence : prediction and quantitative description / [by D. F. Wanjura].

"Agricultural Research Service ... in cooperation with Arizona and Texas Agricultural Experiment Stations."

The mathematical and philosophical works of the Right Rev. John Wilkins ...

Mode of access: Internet.