Management zones using fuzzy clustering based on spatial-temporal variability of soil and corn yield

Clustering soil and crop data can be used as a basis for the definition of management zones because the data are grouped into clusters based on the similar interaction of these variables. Therefore, the objective of this study was to identify management zones using fuzzy c-means clustering analysis based on the spatial and temporal variability of soil attributes and corn yield. The study site (18 by 250-m in size) was located in Jaboticabal, São Paulo/Brazil. Corn yield was measured in one hundred 4.5 by 10-m cells along four parallel transects (25 observations per transect) over five growing seasons between 2001 and 2010. Soil chemical and physical attributes were measured. SAS procedure MIXED was used to identify which variable(s) most influenced the spatial variability of corn yield over the five study years. Basis saturation (BS) was the variable that better related to corn yield, thus, semivariograms models were fitted for BS and corn yield and then, data values were krigged. Management Zone Analyst software was used to carry out the fuzzy c-means clustering algorithm. The optimum number of management zones can change over time, as well as the degree of agreement between the BS and corn yield management zone maps. Thus, it is very important take into account the temporal variability of crop yield and soil attributes to delineate management zones accurately.

Low-flow estimates in regions of extrapolation of the regionalization equations: a new concept

ABSTRACT Knowledge of natural water availability, which is characterized by low flows, is essential for planning and management of water resources. One of the most widely used hydrological techniques to determine streamflow is regionalization, but the extrapolation of regionalization equations beyond the limits of sample data is not recommended. This paper proposes a new method for reducing overestimation errors associated with the extrapolation of regionalization equations for low flows. The method is based on the use of a threshold value for the maximum specific low flow discharge estimated at the gauging sites that are used in the regionalization. When a specific low flow, which has been estimated using the regionalization equation, exceeds the threshold value, the low flow can be obtained by multiplying the drainage area by the threshold value. This restriction imposes a physical limit to the low flow, which reduces the error of overestimating flows in regions of extrapolation. A case study was done in the Urucuia river basin, in Brazil, and the results showed the regionalization equation to perform positively in reducing the risk of extrapolation.

Externally excited synchronous machine: Testing the automation concept

This bachelor’s thesis is a part of the research project realized in the summer 2011 in Lappeenranta University of Technology. The goal of the project was to develop an automation concept for controlling the externally excited synchronous motor. Thesis concentrates on the testing planning and testing the system. Testing plan was made for three sectors: For the PLC program testing, for the communication testing and for the whole system testing. PLC program was tested with white box and destructive methods. Communication testing was done by switching maximum com-munication speed and checked if communication was reliable. Whole system testing included among other things speed and torque controlling. The system was tested with exploratory testing also. This enabled more reliable and broader testing than with systematical testing only.

Automation concept for an electrically excited synchronous motor: Setup and requirements specification

This bachelor’s thesis is a part of the research project realized in the summer 2011 in Lappeenranta University of Technology. The goal of the project was to create an automation concept for controlling an electrically excited synchronous motor. This thesis concentrates on the setup and requirements specification part of the concept. The setup consists of ABB AC500 as the PLC master device, DCS800 as an exciter and ACS800 as a frequency converter. The ACS800 frequency converter uses permanent magnet synchronous machine software to control the stator’s magnetic field, the DC drive handles the excitation and the AC500 PLC master controls the communication and functionality of the system. The requirements specification briefly explains the general over-view of the concept, the use and functionality of the PLC program and the requirements needed for the whole concept and the PLC program to work as intended.

Stretching a service concept brand

Brands have become one of the most valuable assets for organizations, which is why organizations want to benefit from them in whole scale. However, service concept brands are still little researched. The purpose of this research is to study how brand stretching and co-branding strategies can help a service concept brand to attain wider target market. More specifically, this research aims to contribute the methods and their risks and benefits to different customer levels of a group fitness brand. This study is a qualitative single case analysis embedded with multiple units of analysis. The data used in this study was gathered by nine theme interviews. The interviewees are from one of the customer levels of the service concept provided by the case organization. The interviews are made in different geographical areas in Finland. The results of the study will clarify and illustrate the differences and similarities between the theoretical framework and practise. Several differences between traditional brand stretching and co-branding strategies and those that are possible to employ by a service concept brand were found. The answers of the interviewees were slightly different depending on their role in the organization and their experience from the branch. However, they proved that not all brand stretching or co-branding strategies are applicable in the group fitness brand. Nevertheless, also several similarities that benefit the group fitness brand were found.

Variação temporal do tratamento cirúrgico do câncer de mama em um hospital universitário na região Centro-Oeste do Brasil

OBJETIVO: avaliar os tipos de tratamentos cirúrgicos para o câncer de mama executados pelo Programa de Mastologia do Hospital das Clinicas da Universidade Federal de Goiás (HC-UFG). MÉTODOS: estudo de coorte transversal no histórico de operações mamárias realizadas no HC-UFG, no período de janeiro de 2002 a dezembro de 2009. Foram avaliados através do boletim cirúrgico: o tempo e o porte cirúrgicos; o cirurgião responsável, o tipo de operação; o diagnóstico, e o tipo de anestesia. Através dos prontuários foram analisados: o laudo anatomopatológico do tumor, o comprometimento linfonodal, o tamanho do tumor primário, o estadiamento e a realização de terapias neoadjuvantes. Foram excluídas as operações realizadas para a retirada de tumores benignos da mama. A variação temporal foi analisada pela regressão de Poisson, considerando a mudança percentual anual (MPA). RESULTADOS: foram realizadas 403 operações de câncer de mama no período estudado, com uma média de 50,38 operações por ano. O tipo histológico mais frequente foi o carcinoma ductal invasor (72,6%). A média de idade das pacientes foi 52 anos, e 29% encontravam-se com doença nos estádios III e IV. A tendência temporal mostrou que houve aumento significativo do tamanho do tumor (p<0,01), dos estadios clínicos III e IV (p=0,01), e de quimioterapia neoadjuvante (p=0,02). Observou-se aumento de mastectomias (MPA=9 casos/ano, p=0,04). Não houve aumento dos casos de tratamentos com conservação mamária, nem de reconstruções imediatas. CONCLUSÃO: nos últimos anos, no HC-UFG, tem ocorrido aumento do número de mastectomias em decorrência do aumento de casos de câncer de mama locorregional avançado.

Simulation and optimization tools in paper machine concept design

The last decade has shown that the global paper industry needs new processes and products in order to reassert its position in the industry. As the paper markets in Western Europe and North America have stabilized, the competition has tightened. Along with the development of more cost-effective processes and products, new process design methods are also required to break the old molds and create new ideas. This thesis discusses the development of a process design methodology based on simulation and optimization methods. A bi-level optimization problem and a solution procedure for it are formulated and illustrated. Computational models and simulation are used to illustrate the phenomena inside a real process and mathematical optimization is exploited to find out the best process structures and control principles for the process. Dynamic process models are used inside the bi-level optimization problem, which is assumed to be dynamic and multiobjective due to the nature of papermaking processes. The numerical experiments show that the bi-level optimization approach is useful for different kinds of problems related to process design and optimization. Here, the design methodology is applied to a constrained process area of a papermaking line. However, the same methodology is applicable to all types of industrial processes, e.g., the design of biorefiners, because the methodology is totally generalized and can be easily modified.

Evolução temporal dos estádios do câncer de mama ao diagnóstico em um registro de base populacional no Brasil central

OBJETIVO: Analisar a mudança temporal do estádio clínico do câncer de mama ao diagnóstico em mulheres residentes em Goiânia entre 1989 e 2003. MÉTODOS: estudo retrospectivo, utilizando-se a base de dados do Registro de Câncer de Base Populacional de Goiânia. As variáveis estudadas foram: idade, diagnóstico histológico, localização do tumor, tipo histológico e estádio clínico da doença. O período estudado foi dividido em três quinquênios: de 1989 a 1993, de 1994 a 1998 e de 1999 a 2003. Utilizou-se o teste Z para comparação das frequências da extensão ao diagnóstico por quinquênio. RESULTADOS: foram identificados 3.204 casos de câncer de mama. A média de idade foi de 56 anos (dp±16 anos). Quanto ao estádio da doença, evidenciou-se que 45,6% dos casos eram localizados na mama, com aumento de 19,2% entre o primeiro e o terceiro quinquênio (p<0,001; IC95%=0,14-0,23) e 10,2% de casos eram metastáticos, Entretanto, foi observada uma redução de 17,7% para os casos metastáticos no mesmo período (p<0,001; IC95%=0,14-0,21). A taxa de casos in situ entre 1989 e 1993 foi de 0,2%, aumentando para 6,2% em 1999-2003 (p<0,001; IC95%=4,9-7,4). CONCLUSÃO: observou-se um aumento dos casos de carcinoma in situ e de carcinomas invasores localizados somente na mama em detrimento de uma redução dos casos com metástases linfonodais e à distância.

Tendência temporal da via de parto de acordo com a fonte de financiamento

OBJETIVO:Analisar a tendência temporal das taxas das vias de parto de acordo com a fonte de financiamento.MÉTODOS:Trata-se de um estudo ecológico de séries temporais de análise das taxas das vias de parto de acordo com a fonte de financiamento, no município de Maringá, Paraná, de 2002 a 2012. Para coleta de dados foram utilizadas as informações disponíveis no Sistema de Informações sobre Nascidos Vivos e no Sistema de Informações Hospitalares do Sistema Único de Saúde (SUS). Para todas as taxas das vias de parto foram calculadas as médias móveis, para suavizar as oscilações aleatórias da série, feitos diagramas de dispersão entre os coeficientes e os anos de estudo, e a partir da relação funcional observada foram estimados modelos de regressão polinomial, com nível de significância de p<0,05.RESULTADOS:No decorrer dos 11 anos do estudo ocorreram 48.220 nascimentos. Desses, 77,1% foram parto cesáreo e apenas 22,9% parto vaginal. Os partos financiados pelo SUS totalizaram 22.366 procedimentos e desses, 54,6% foram cesáreas. A análise da tendência foi significativa para todos os modelos de regressão, evidenciando tendência ascendente para parto cesáreo e decrescente para parto vaginal nos dois tipos de financiamento. Observa-se que as taxas de cesárea não SUS foram sempre superiores a 90,0% e mais frequentes do que as cesáreas SUS, mesmo com o aumento de 36,0% dessas ao longo do período estudado.CONCLUSÃO:Pela análise de tendência, as cesáreas continuarão aumentando nos dois financiamentos de saúde se não forem implantadas novas ações e estratégias de redução envolvendo as características socioculturais, demográficas e obstétrica das mulheres, a formação e a atuação profissional na obstetrícia e a estrutura adequada dos serviços de saúde para atendimento ao parto vaginal.

Evolução temporal da prevalência de anemia em adolescentes grávidas de uma maternidade pública do Rio de Janeiro

OBJETIVO: Descrever a evolução temporal da prevalência de anemia em adolescentes grávidas atendidas em uma maternidade pública do município do Rio de Janeiro no período de 2004 a 2013. MÉTODOS: Trata-se de um estudo analítico transversal retrospectivo com 628 gestantes/puérperas adolescentes, distribuídas em 3 grupos distintos: Grupo A (2004 a 2006), Grupo B (2007 a 2010) e Grupo C (2013). Informações relativas às características antropométricas, clínicas, sociodemográficas, obstétricas e da assistência pré-natal das adolescentes foram obtidas dos prontuários das gestantes. A concentração de hemoglobina (Hb) <11 g/dL foi considerada como anemia. A análise dos dados foi realizada por meio dos testes do χ2, t de Student e ANOVA, e o post hoc adotado foi o Tukey. RESULTADOS: A prevalência de anemia gestacional ao longo dos anos foi de 43% (GA=138), 36% (GB=80) e 47,1% (GC=40), e no período de 2004 a 2013 foi de 41,1% (n=258). A ocorrência de gestantes anêmicas aumentou com a evolução da gravidez; contudo, no 3º trimestre foi observada uma redução da prevalência de anemia no GB (29,3%) em relação ao GA (38,7%; p=0,04). Os fatores associados à anemia foram número de consultas de pré-natal e da assistência nutricional pré-natal, local de moradia, estado nutricional nos períodos pré-gestacional e gestacional. CONCLUSÃO: Os resultados sugerem que a prevalência de anemia em adolescentes grávidas atendidas na referida maternidade foi alta. Não foi verificada redução da anemia ao longo do período estudado, e na gênese da anemia nessa população outros fatores estão associados, além da própria deficiência de ferro.

A new concept in prophylaxis and therapy: paramunization by poxvirus inducers

The so-called primitive, innate or paraspecific immune system is the phylogenetically older part of the complex immune system. It enables the organism to immediately attack various foreign substances, infectious pathogens, toxins and transformed cells of the organism itself. ,,Paramunity" is defined as an optimal regulated and activated, antigen-nonspecific defence, acquired through continuous active and succesful confrontation with endogenous and exogenous noxes or by means of ,,paramunization" with so called ,,paramunity inducers". Paramunity inducers based on different pox virus species (e.g. Baypamun®, Duphapind®, Conpind) have turned out to be effective and safe when applied with human beings as well as with animals. Pox virus inducers activate phagocytosis and NK-cells in addition to regulation of various cytokines, notably interferon a and g, IL 1, 2, CSF and TNF which comprise the network of the complex paraspecific immune system. The results of experimental work as well as practical use in veterinary medicine have shown that paramunization by pox inducers goes far beyond the common understanding of so-called ,,immuno-therapy". They are ,,bioregulators", because they have 1. a regulatory effect on a disturbed immune system in the sense of an optimal homoeostasis, and 2. simultaneously a regulatory effect between the immune, nervous, circulatory and hormone system. Therefore, the use of paramunization by pox inducers opens a new way of prophylaxis and therapy, not only with regard to infections, but also with regard to different other indications.

The Application of Enterprise Architecture Approach to Military Concept Development–Case Study

Abstract—Concept development and experimentation (CD&E) plays an important role in driving strategic transformation in the military community. Defence architecture frameworks, such as the NATO architecture framework, are considered excellent means to support CD&E. There is not much empirical evidence, however, to indicate how enterprise architectures (EA) are applied in the military community or particularly in military CD&E. Consequently, this paper describes and discusses empirical application of the EA approach in CD&E. The research method in the paper is a case study. Situational method engineering (SiME) is used as a framework to adapt the EA approach to the case project of the paper. The findings of the paper suggest that the EA is applicable to CD&E work, although all aspects of the original concept could not be expressed in the EA model of the case project. The results also show that the SiME method can support in applying the EA framework to the CD&E in the case project.

Situational awareness concept in a multinational collaboration environment : challenges in the information sharing framework

Technological capabilities are built to support different types of collaboration, and this gives the justification to widely observe, how activity environments are influenced by technology. Technology as an enabler can be addressed from different perspectives, other than merely technological. Dynamic, evolving environment is at the same time interesting but also challenging. As a multinational collaboration environment, the maritime surveillance is an good example of time critical and evolving environment, where technological solutions enable new ways of collaboration. Justification for the inspiration to use maritime environment as the baseline for understanding the challenges in creating and maintaining adequate level of situational awareness, derives from the complexity of the collaboration and information sharing environment elements, needed to be taken into account, when analyzing criticalities related to decision making. Situational awareness is an important element supporting decision making, and challenges related to it can also be observed in the maritime environment. This dissertation describes the structures and factors involved in this complex setting, found from the case studies that should be taken into account when trying to understand, how these elements affect the activities. This dissertation focuses on the gray area that is between a life threatening situation and normal everyday activities. From the multinational experimentation series case studies, MNE5 and MNE6 it was possible to observe situations that were not life threatening for the participants themselves, but not also basic every day activities. These case studies provided a unique possibility to see situations, where gaining of situational awareness and decision making are challenged with time critical crisis situations. Unfortunately organizations do not normally take the benefit from the everyday work to prepare themselves for possible emerging crisis situations. This dissertation focuses on creating a conceptual model and a concept that supports organizations – also outside the maritime community – to improve their ability to support gaining of situational awareness from the individual training level, all the way to changes in organizational structures in aiming for better support for decision making from the individual level to the highest decision making level. Quick changes and unpredictability are reality in organizations and organizations do not have the possibility to control all the factors that affect their functioning. Since we cannot be prepared for everything, and predict every crisis, individual activities inside teams and as a part of organizations, need to be supported with guidance, tools and training in order to support acting in challenging situations. In fact the ideology of the conceptual model created, lies especially in the aim of not controlling everything in beforehand, but supporting organizations with concrete procedures to help individuals to react in different, unpredictable situations, instead of focusing on traditional risk prevention and management. Technological capabilities are not automatically solutions for functional challenges; this is why it is justified to broaden the problem area observation from the technological perspective. This dissertation demonstrates that it is possible to support collaboration in a multinational environment with technological solutions, but it requires the recognition of technological limitations and accepting the possible restrictions related to technological innovations. Technology should not be considered value per se, the value of technology should be defined according to the support of activities, including strategic and operational environment evaluation, identification of organizational elements, and taking into account also the social factors and their challenges. Then we are one step closer to providing technological solutions that support the actual activities by taking into account the variables of the activity environment in question. The multidisciplinary view to approach the information sharing and collaboration framework, is derived especially from the complexity of decision making and building of situational awareness, since they are not build or created in vacuity, but in the organizational framework by the people doing it with the technological capabilities, enabled by the organizational structures. Introduced case studies were related to maritime environment, but according to the research results, it is valid to argue, that based on the lessons learned it is possible to create and further develop conceptual model and to create a general concept to support a wider range of organizations in their attempt to gain better level of situational awareness (SA) and to support decision making. To proof the versatile usage of the developed concept, I have introduced the case study findings to the health care environment and reflected the identified elements from the trauma center to the created concept. The main contribution to complete this adventure is the presented situational awareness concept created in the respect to NATO concept structure. This has been done to tackle the challenge of collaboration by focusing on situational awareness in the information sharing context by providing a theoretical ground and understanding, of how these issues should be approached, and how these elements can be generalized and used to support activities in other environments as well. This dissertation research has been a several year evolving process reflecting and affecting presented case studies and this learning experience from the case studies has also affected the goals and research questions of this dissertation. This venture has been written from a retro perspective according to ideology of process modeling and design rationale to present to the reader how this entire journey took place and what where the critical milestones that affected the end result, conceptual model. Support in a challenging information sharing framework can be provided with the right type of combination of tools, procedures and individual effort. This dissertation will provide insights to those with a new approach to war technology for the organizations to gain a better level of awareness and to improve the capabilities in decision making. This dissertation will present, from the war technology starting point, a new approach and possibility for the organizations to create a better level of awareness and support for decision making with the right combination of tools, procedures and individual effort.

Análise de detecção de cluster na caracterização espaço-temporal da tuberculose bovina no estado da Bahia

A tuberculose bovina (BTB) é uma enfermidade causada pela infecção pelo Mycobacterium bovis que acomete o homem e diversas espécies de mamíferos. A BTB tem grande importância por causar prejuízos econômicos nas regiões infectadas e por seu impacto na saúde pública. Foi realizado inquérito epidemiológico no Estado da Bahia, entre 2008 e 2010, com o objetivo de estimar a prevalência e conhecer a distribuição espaço temporal da enfermidade. O Estado foi estratificado em quatro regiões, cada uma com características epidemiológicas e demográficas homogêneas representativas de formas de produção pecuária. Um total de 18.810 cabeças com idade superior a 2 anos foi amostrado em 1350 propriedades. O teste cervical comparativo foi aplicado em cada animal selecionado, sendo considerados positivos os animais reagentes positivos ou duas vezes inconclusivos. Latitude e Longitude foram tomadas para cada propriedade amostrada com o auxilio do aparelho de Global Positioning System (GPS). O teste de Cuzick-and-Edwards e a análise de rastreio espacial (spatial scan statistic) foram utilizados para identificar qualquer agrupamento espacial de BTB. A prevalência de rebanho na Bahia, indicando a proporção de propriedades foco, foi de 1,6% (IC 95%: 1,0% - 2,69% por região). Nenhuma evidência significativa (P<0.05) de aglomeração espacial ou clustering foi detectada, possivelmente devido à baixa prevalência da doença. Estes resultados sugerem que a BTB tem baixa prevalência no estado da Bahia e que, nestas condições epidemiológicas, os focos encontrados não podem ser explicados por fatores espacialmente estruturados.