991 resultados para Multiple decisions
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Mushroom picking has become a widespread autumn recreational activity in the Central Pyrenees and other regions of Spain. Predictive models that relate mushroom production or fungal species richness with forest stand and site characteristics are not available. This study used mushroom production data from 24 Scots pine plots over 3 years to develop a predictive model that could facilitate forest management decisions when comparing silvicultural options in terms of mushroom production. Mixed modelling was used to model the dependence of mushroom production on stand and site factors. The results showed that productions were greatest when stand basal area was approximately 20 m2 ha-1. Increasing elevation and northern aspect increased total mushroom production as well as the production of edible and marketed mushrooms. Increasing slope decreased productions. Marketed Lactarius spp., the most important group collected in the region, showed similar relationships. The annual variation in mushroom production correlated with autumn rainfall. Mushroom species richness was highest when the total production was highest.
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In cases of ligature strangulation, the importance of distinguishing self-inflicted death from homicide is crucial. This entails objective scene investigation, autopsy and anamnesis in order to elucidate the manner of death correctly. The authors report a case of unplanned complex suicide by means of self-strangulation and multiple sharp force injury. The use of more than one suicide method, consecutively--termed unplanned complex suicide--gives this case particular significance. A brief discussion on this uncommon method of suicide is presented, particularly relevant to the attending forensic physician. In addition, a short overview of the entity of complex suicide is given.
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This article introduces a new interface for T-Coffee, a consistency-based multiple sequence alignment program. This interface provides an easy and intuitive access to the most popular functionality of the package. These include the default T-Coffee mode for protein and nucleic acid sequences, the M-Coffee mode that allows combining the output of any other aligners, and template-based modes of T-Coffee that deliver high accuracy alignments while using structural or homology derived templates. These three available template modes are Expresso for the alignment of protein with a known 3D-Structure, R-Coffee to align RNA sequences with conserved secondary structures and PSI-Coffee to accurately align distantly related sequences using homology extension. The new server benefits from recent improvements of the T-Coffee algorithm and can align up to 150 sequences as long as 10 000 residues and is available from both http://www.tcoffee.org and its main mirror http://tcoffee.crg.cat.
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BACKGROUND: GNbAC1 is an immunoglobulin (IgG4) humanised monoclonal antibody against multiple sclerosis-associated retrovirus (MSRV)-Env, a protein of endogenous retroviral origin, expressed in multiple sclerosis (MS) lesions, which is pro-inflammatory and inhibits oligodendrocyte precursor cell differentiation. OBJECTIVE: This is a randomised, double-blind placebo-controlled dose-escalation study followed by a six-month open-label phase to test GNbAC1 in MS patients. The primary objective was to assess GNbAC1 safety in MS patients, and the other objectives were pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic assessments. METHODS: Ten MS patients were randomised into two cohorts to receive a single intravenous infusion of GNbAC1/placebo at doses of 2 or 6 mg/kg. Then all patients received five infusions of GNbAC1 at 2 or 6 mg/kg at four-week intervals in an open-label setting. Safety, brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), pharmacokinetics, immunogenicity, cytokines and MSRV RNA expression were studied. RESULTS: All patients completed the study. GNbAC1 was well tolerated in all patients. GNbAC1 pharmacokinetics is dose-linear with mean elimination half-life of 27-37 d. Anti-GNbAC1 antibodies were not detected. Cytokine analysis did not indicate an adverse effect. MSRV-transcripts showed a decline after the start of treatment. Nine patients had stable brain lesions at MRI. CONCLUSION: The safety, pharmacokinetic profile, and pharmacodynamic responses to GNbAC1 are favourable in MS patients over a six-month treatment period.
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Geophysical tomography captures the spatial distribution of the underlying geophysical property at a relatively high resolution, but the tomographic images tend to be blurred representations of reality and generally fail to reproduce sharp interfaces. Such models may cause significant bias when taken as a basis for predictive flow and transport modeling and are unsuitable for uncertainty assessment. We present a methodology in which tomograms are used to condition multiple-point statistics (MPS) simulations. A large set of geologically reasonable facies realizations and their corresponding synthetically calculated cross-hole radar tomograms are used as a training image. The training image is scanned with a direct sampling algorithm for patterns in the conditioning tomogram, while accounting for the spatially varying resolution of the tomograms. In a post-processing step, only those conditional simulations that predicted the radar traveltimes within the expected data error levels are accepted. The methodology is demonstrated on a two-facies example featuring channels and an aquifer analog of alluvial sedimentary structures with five facies. For both cases, MPS simulations exhibit the sharp interfaces and the geological patterns found in the training image. Compared to unconditioned MPS simulations, the uncertainty in transport predictions is markedly decreased for simulations conditioned to tomograms. As an improvement to other approaches relying on classical smoothness-constrained geophysical tomography, the proposed method allows for: (1) reproduction of sharp interfaces, (2) incorporation of realistic geological constraints and (3) generation of multiple realizations that enables uncertainty assessment.
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BACKGROUND: Recent neuroimaging studies suggest that value-based decision-making may rely on mechanisms of evidence accumulation. However no studies have explicitly investigated the time when single decisions are taken based on such an accumulation process. NEW METHOD: Here, we outline a novel electroencephalography (EEG) decoding technique which is based on accumulating the probability of appearance of prototypical voltage topographies and can be used for predicting subjects' decisions. We use this approach for studying the time-course of single decisions, during a task where subjects were asked to compare reward vs. loss points for accepting or rejecting offers. RESULTS: We show that based on this new method, we can accurately decode decisions for the majority of the subjects. The typical time-period for accurate decoding was modulated by task difficulty on a trial-by-trial basis. Typical latencies of when decisions are made were detected at ∼500ms for 'easy' vs. ∼700ms for 'hard' decisions, well before subjects' response (∼340ms). Importantly, this decision time correlated with the drift rates of a diffusion model, evaluated independently at the behavioral level. COMPARISON WITH EXISTING METHOD(S): We compare the performance of our algorithm with logistic regression and support vector machine and show that we obtain significant results for a higher number of subjects than with these two approaches. We also carry out analyses at the average event-related potential level, for comparison with previous studies on decision-making. CONCLUSIONS: We present a novel approach for studying the timing of value-based decision-making, by accumulating patterns of topographic EEG activity at single-trial level.
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Uusien paperikoneiden kysyntä on vähentynyt ja jälkimarkkinointipalveluiden, kuten huoltojen ja varaosamyyntien, merkittävyys paperikoneliiketoiminnassa on kasvanut entisestään viime aikoina. Uudentyyppisiä palveluja kilpailuedun lisäämiseksi kehitellään jatkuvasti. Esimerkki tällaisesta palvelusta on sopimusperusteinen varastointipalvelu, jossa osat ovat myyjän varastossa kunnes asiakas ottaa ne käyttöön. Diplomityön tavoite on rakentaa malli varastoinnin kustannuslaskentaan ja laskea sen avulla varastointipalvelun kustannukset. Perinteinen toimitusketju monine varastoineen ei nykykäsityksen mukaan ole enää kustannustehokas. Yhä useammat yritykset kaupan ja teollisuuden aloilla ovat ryhtyneet soveltamaan VMI (Vendor Managed Inventory) teoriaa toimitusketjuissaan. Varastot ovat tällöin keskitettyjä, tiedonkulku toimitusketjun portaiden välillä on nopeaa ja kysyntään pystytään vastaamaan lyhyemmällä viiveellä sen ennakoitavuuden paranemisen takia. Työn tuloksena on toimintolaskentaan pohjautuva kustannuslaskentamalli, jota voidaan hyödyntää myös hinnoittelupäätöksiä tehtäessä. Työssä esitellään mallin soveltaminen eri tapauksiin ja ehdotetaan jatkotoimenpiteitä.
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In der heutigen Welt sind die Reputation und das Image eines Landes als wichtige Faktoren für den wirtschaftlichen und politischen Erfolg angesehen. Jedoch ist die Pflege der Marke eines Landes komplex und führt zu zwei Positionen, die sich potentiell widersprechen: Einerseits kann ein positives Erscheinungsbild eines Landes durch aktive Massnahmen gefördert werden. Andererseits ist es schwierig, das Bild eines Landes abzugrenzen und es ist mit Klischees behaftet. Dieser Beitrag analysiert die Auswirkungen von zwei grösseren Krisen auf das Image der Schweiz in den Vereinigten Staaten: die Krise um die nachrichtenlosen Vermögen aus der Zeit des 2. Weltkriegs im Jahr 2000 sowie die Krise um die UBS und das Bankgeheimnis im Jahr 2009. Die Studie zeigt, dass das Erscheinungsbild der Schweiz unberührt blieb, obwohl ein beachtlicher Teil der Bevölkerung und der Meinungsführer von beiden Krisen wusste. Dies stützt die Hypothese, dass das Image eines Landes eine hohe Beständigkeit aufweist. In today's world, country's reputation and image have become key issues, widely believed to be success factors both economically and politically. Nevertheless, managing a country's brand is complex and leads to two positions that are potentially contradictory: On the one hand, a country's image can be influenced either by promotional activities. On the other hand, a country's image is a construct that is very difficult to delimit and is highly stereotyped. This contribution study the impact of two major crises on the image of Switzerland in the United States: the unclaimed wartime deposits crisis in 2000 and the UBS and banking secrecy crisis in 2009. It shows that despite the fact that a substantial proportion of the public and of opinion leaders was aware of both crises, the image of Switzerland was unaffected, which tends to support the hypothesis of strong stability of a country's image.
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Emerging as an important correlate of neurological dysfunction in Multiple Sclerosis (MS), extended focal and diffuse gray matter abnormalities have been found and linked to clinical manifestations such as seizures, fatigue and cognitive dysfunction. To investigate possible underlying mechanisms we analyzed the molecular alterations in histopathological normal appearing cortical gray matter (NAGM) in MS. By performing a differential gene expression analysis of NAGM of control and MS cases we identified reduced transcription of astrocyte specific genes involved in the astrocyte-neuron lactate shuttle (ANLS) and the glutamate-glutamine cycle (GGC). Additional quantitative immunohistochemical analysis demonstrating a CX43 loss in MS NAGM confirmed a crucial involvement of astrocytes and emphasizes their importance in MS pathogenesis. Concurrently, a Toll-like/IL-1β signaling expression signature was detected in MS NAGM, indicating that immune-related signaling might be responsible for the downregulation of ANLS and GGC gene expression in MS NAGM. Indeed, challenging astrocytes with immune stimuli such as IL-1β and LPS reduced their ANLS and GGC gene expression in vitro. The detected upregulation of IL1B in MS NAGM suggests inflammasome priming. For this reason, astrocyte cultures were treated with ATP and ATP/LPS as for inflammasome activation. This treatment led to a reduction of ANLS and GGC gene expression in a comparable manner. To investigate potential sources for ANLS and GGC downregulation in MS NAGM, we first performed an adjuvant-driven stimulation of the peripheral immune system in C57Bl/6 mice in vivo. This led to similar gene expression changes in spinal cord demonstrating that peripheral immune signals might be one source for astrocytic gene expression changes in the brain. IL1B upregulation in MS NAGM itself points to a possible endogenous signaling process leading to ANLS and GGC downregulation. This is supported by our findings that, among others, MS NAGM astrocytes express inflammasome components and that astrocytes are capable to release Il-1β in-vitro. Altogether, our data suggests that immune signaling of immune- and/or central nervous system origin drives alterations in astrocytic ANLS and GGC gene regulation in the MS NAGM. Such a mechanism might underlie cortical brain dysfunctions frequently encountered in MS patients.
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Social reciprocity may explain certain emerging psychological processes, which are likely to be founded on dyadic relations. Although some indices and statistics have been proposed to measure and make statistical decisions regarding social reciprocity in groups, these were generally developed to identify association patterns rather than to quantify the discrepancies between what each individual addresses to his/her partners and what is received from them in return. Additionally, social researchers are not only interested in measuring groups at the global level, since dyadic and individual measurements are also necessary for a proper description of social interactions. This study is concerned with a new statistic for measuring social reciprocity at the global level and with decomposing it in order to identify those dyads and individuals which account for a significant part of asymmetry in social interactions. In addition to a set of indices some exact analytical results are derived and a way of making statistical decisions is proposed.
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La sclérose en plaques (SEP) est une maladie démyélinisante du système nerveux central (SNC) provoquant des pertes motrices, sensitives et cognitives. La SEP se déclare chez le jeune adulte ayant des prédispositions génétiques, mais semble induite, par des facteurs environnementaux. La SEP touche principalement les femmes et sa prévalence dans les zones à haut risque, tel que la Suisse, est de 0.1%. Bien que son étiologie exacte reste méconnue, nous savons que la maladie est médiée par des lymphocytes T autoréactifs périphériques, qui infiltrent le SNC où ils activent d'autres cellules immunitaires ainsi que les cellules du SNC elles-mêmes, créant un foyer inflammatoire, qui va attaquer et finir par tuer les oligodendrocytes et les neurones. Les épisodes inflammatoires sont entrecoupés par des phases de rémission associées à une guérison partielle des lésions. Cette première phase de la maladie, comprenant des épisodes inflammatoires et de rémissions est appelé SEP récurrente-rémittente (SEP-RR) et touche 90% des patients. Elle évolue, dans deux-tiers des cas, vers une SEP secondaire progressive (SEP-SP), qui est caractérisée par une progression constante de la maladie, associée à une réduction de l'inflammation mais une augmentation de la neurodégénérescence. Les patients souffrants de SEP primaire progressive (SEP-PP) développent directement les symptômes de la phase progressive de la maladie. Les thérapies disponibles ont considérablement amélioré l'évolution de la maladie des patients SEP-RR, en agissant sur une diminution de la réponse immunitaire et donc de l'inflammation. Cependant, ces traitements sont inefficaces chez les patients SEP-SP et SEP-PP, n'agissant pas sur la neurodégénérescence. IL-22, une cytokine sécrétée notoirement par les cellules Th17, a été associée à la SEP en contribuant à la perméabilisation de la barrière hémato-encéphalique et à l'inflammation du SNC, qui sont des étapes clés de la pathogenèse de la maladie. En outre, le gène codant pour un inhibiteur puissant d'IL- 22, 'IL-22 binding protein' (IL-22BP), a été démontré comme un facteur de risque de la SEP. Ces indices nous ont poussés à nous intéresser de plus près au rôle de l'IL-22 dans la SEP. Nous avons pu montrer qu'IL-22 et IL-22BP étaient augmentées dans le sang des patients SEP par rapport à des sujets sains. Nous avons trouvé qu'IL-22 cible spécifiquement les astrocytes dans le SNC et que son récepteur est particulièrement exprimé dans les lésions des patient SEP. Contre toute attente, nous avons pu montrer que l'IL-22 semble soutenir la survie des astrocytes. Cette découverte, suggérant qu'IL-22 serait protecteur pour le SNC et pour la SEP, confirme de récentes publications et ouvre la voie à de potentielles applications thérapeutiques. En parallèle, dans le but de mieux comprendre l'immunopathogenèse de la SEP, nous avons développé les techniques de culture de cellules souches pluripotentes induites (iPSC). Nos iPSC sont dérivées du sang des donneurs et acquièrent toutes les propriétés des cellules souches embryonnaires après induction. Les iPSC peuvent ensuite être différenciées en différents types de cellules, dont les cellules du SNC. Nous avons ainsi pu obtenir avec succès des neurones, dérivés de cellules du sang, en passant par le stade des iPSC. La prochaine étape consiste à générer des cultures d'astrocytes et d'oligodendrocytes et ainsi obtenir les principales cellules du SNC, le but étant de former de véritables 'cerveaux-en-culture'. Cet outil semble particulièrement adapté à l'étude de l'activité de diverses molécules sur les cellules du SNC, comme par exemple l'IL-22 et d'autres molécules ayant un potentiel intérêt thérapeutique au niveau du SNC. Le but ultime étant de développer des co-cultures de cellules du SNC avec des cellules immunitaires autologues, de patients SEP et de sujets sains, afin de mettre en évidence l'attaque des cellules du SNC par des leucocytes autoréactifs. Ce projet prospectif a permis d'accroître nos connaissance sur des aspects immunitaires de la SEP et à pour but de mieux comprendre l'immunopathogenèse de la SEP afin d'élaborer de nouvelles stratégies thérapeutiques. -- La sclérose en plaques est une maladie auto-inflammatoire du système nerveux central conduisant à la destruction de la myéline, indispensable à la conduction nerveuse, et finalement à la mort des neurones eux-mêmes. Cela a pour conséquence des pertes motrices, sensorielles et cognitives, qui ont tendance à s'aggraver au fil de la maladie. Elle se déclare chez le jeune adulte, entre l'âge de 20 et 40 ans, et prédomine chez la femme. En Suisse, environ une personne sur l'OOO est atteinte de sclérose en plaques. Les causes exactes de cette maladie, qui incluent des facteurs génétiques et environnementaux, sont encore mal connues. Des traitements de plus en plus efficaces ont été développés ces dernières années et ont permis de drastiquement améliorer l'évolution de la maladie chez les patients atteints de sclérose en plaques. Cependant, ces traitements ne sont efficaces que sur certaines catégories de patients et peuvent engendrer de lourds effets secondaires. Ces thérapies agissent presque exclusivement sur les cellules du système immunitaire en les désactivant partiellement, mais pas sur les cellules nerveuses, qui sont pourtant celles qui conditionnent le devenir du patient. Le développement de médicaments protégeant ou permettant la régénération des cellules du système nerveux central est donc primordial. L'étude de l'interleukine-22 nous a permis de montrer que cette cytokine ('hormone' du système immunitaire) pouvait cibler spécifiquement les astrocytes, des cellules gliales qui jouent un rôle central dans le maintien de l'équilibre du système nerveux central. Nos recherches ont montré que cette interleukine-22 permettrait une meilleure survie des astrocytes durant la phase aiguë de la maladie et aurait aussi des propriétés neuroprotectrices. En parallèle, nous sommes en train de développer un nouveau modèle in vitro d'étude de la sclérose en plaques grâce à la technologie des cellules souches pluripotentes induites. Ces cellules souches sont induites à partir de cellules du sang du donneur et acquièrent toutes les caractéristiques des cellules souches embryonnaires présentes dans un organisme en formation. Ainsi, ces cellules souches pluripotentes ont, par exemple, la capacité de se différencier en cellules du système nerveux central. Nous avons pu, de cette manière, obtenir des neurones. Le but ultime serait de pouvoir reconstituer une ébauche de cerveau in vitro, en cultivant ensemble différents types de cellules du système nerveux central, afin d'y réaliser des expériences avec des cellules immunitaires du même donneur. Ces travaux ont pour but d'améliorer notre compréhension de la pathogenèse de la sclérose en plaques et de permettre le développement de nouvelles stratégies thérapeutiques. --Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a demyelinating disease of the central nervous system leading to cognitive, sensitive and motor disabilities. MS occurs in genetically predisposed young adults with probable environmental triggers. MS affects predominantly women and its prevalence in high risk area such as Switzerland is 0.1%. Though its exact aetiology remains undetermined, we know that autoreactive T cells from de periphery are reactivated and recruited into the central nervous system (CNS) were they further activate other immune cells and resident cells, creating inflammatory foci, where oligodendrocytes and neurons are insulted and, eventually, killed. Inflammatory episodes, called relapses, are interspersed with remission phases where partial recovery of the lesions occurs. This first phase of the disease, occurring in 90% of the patients, is called relapsing-remitting MS (RR-MS) and is leading, in two-third of the cases, to secondary-progressive MS (SP-MS), where there is a continuous steady progression of the disease, associated with reduced inflammation but increased neurodegeneration. Primary-progressive MS (PP-MS) patients experience directly this progressive phase of the disease. Whereas disease modifying therapies have dramatically ameliorated the disease course of RR-MS patients by dampening immunity and, in turn, inflammation, treatments of SP-MS and PP-MS patients, who suffer primarily from the neurodegenerative aspect of the disease, are still inexistent. IL-22, a pro-inflammatory Th17 cell cytokine, has been associated with MS by participating to blood-brain barrier infiltration and CNS inflammation, which are crucial steps in MS pathogenesis. In addition, the gene coding for IL-22 binding protein (IL-22BP), which is a potent secreted IL-22 inhibitor, has been associated with MS risk. These findings call for further investigation on the role of IL-22 in MS. We detected increased IL-22 and IL-22BP in the blood of MS patients as compared to healthy controls. Acting exclusively on cells of nonhematopoietic origin, we found that IL-22 targets specifically astrocytes in the CNS and that its receptor is highly expressed in the lesion of MS patients. Unexpectedly, we found that IL-22 seems to promote survival of astrocytes. This finding, suggesting that IL-22 might be protective for the CNS in the context of MS, is consistent with recent publications and might open putative therapeutic applications at the CNS level. In parallel, with the aim of better understanding the immunopathogenesis of MS, we developed induced pluripotent stem cell (iPSC) techniques. IPSC are derived from blood cells of the donors and bear embryonic stem cell properties. IPSC can be differentiated into various cell types including CNS cells. We successfully obtained neurons derived from the donor blood cells, through iPSC. We further aim at developing astrocytes and oligodendrocytes cultures to recreate a 'brain-in-a-dish'. This would be a powerful tool to test the activity of various compounds on CNS cells, including IL-22 and other putative neuroprotective drugs. Ultimately, the goal is to develop co-cultures of CNS cells with autologous immune cells of MS patients as well as healthy controls to try to expose evidence of CNS cells targeted by autoreactive leukocytes. This prospective project has increased our knowledge of immune aspects of MS and further aims at better understanding the immunopathology of MS in order to pave the way to the elaboration of new therapeutic strategies.