Generation and interconnection capacity expansion in cross-border electricity markets : the need for policy coordination

Electricity is a strategic service in modern societies. Thus, it is extremely important for governments to be able to guarantee an affordable and reliable supply, which depends to a great extent on an adequate expansion of the generation and transmission capacities. Cross- border integration of electricity markets creates new challenges for the regulators, since the evolution of the market is now influenced by the characteristics and policies of neighbouring countries. There is still no agreement on why and how regions should integrate their electricity markets. The aim of this thesis is to improve the understanding of integrated electricity markets and how their behaviour depends on the prevailing characteristics of the national markets and the policies implemented in each country. We developed a simulation model to analyse under what circumstances integration is desirable. This model is used to study three cases of interconnection between two countries. Several policies regarding interconnection expansion and operation, combined with different generation capacity adequacy mechanisms, are evaluated. The thesis is composed of three papers. The first paper presents a detailed description of the model and an analysis of the case of Colombia and Ecuador. It shows that market coupling can bring important benefits, but the relative size of the countries can lead to import dependency issues in the smaller country. The second paper compares the case of Colombia and Ecuador with the case of Great Britain and France. These countries are significantly different in terms of electricity sources, hydro- storage capacity, complementarity and demand growth. We show that complementarity is essential in order to obtain benefits from integration, while higher demand growth and hydro- storage capacity can lead to counterintuitive outcomes, thus complicating policy design. In the third paper, an extended version of the model presented in the first paper is used to analyse the case of Finland and its interconnection with Russia. Different trading arrangements are considered. We conclude that unless interconnection capacity is expanded, the current trading arrangement, where a single trader owns the transmission rights and limits the flow during peak hours, is beneficial for Finland. In case of interconnection expansion, market coupling would be preferable. We also show that the costs of maintaining a strategic reserve in Finland are justified in order to limit import dependency, while still reaping the benefits of interconnection. In general, we conclude that electricity market integration can bring benefits if the right policies are implemented. However, a large interconnection capacity is only desirable if the countries exhibit significant complementarity and trust each other. The outcomes of policies aimed at guaranteeing security of supply at a national level can be quite counterintuitive due to the interactions between neighbouring countries and their effects on interconnection and generation investments. Thus, it is important for regulators to understand these interactions and coordinate their decisions in order to take advantage of the interconnection without putting security of supply at risk. But it must be taken into account that even when integration brings benefits to the region, some market participants lose and might try to hinder the integration process. -- Dans les sociétés modernes, l'électricité est un service stratégique. Il est donc extrêmement important pour les gouvernements de pouvoir garantir la sécurité d'approvisionnement à des prix abordables. Ceci dépend en grande mesure d'une expansion adéquate des capacités de génération et de transmission. L'intégration des marchés électriques pose des nouveaux défis pour les régulateurs, puisque l'évolution du marché est maintenant influencée par les caractéristiques et les politiques des pays voisins. Il n'est pas encore claire pourquoi ni comment les marches électriques devraient s'intégrer. L'objectif de cette thèse est d'améliorer la compréhension des marchés intégrés d'électricité et de leur comportement en fonction des caractéristiques et politiques de chaque pays. Un modèle de simulation est proposé pour étudier les conditions dans lesquelles l'intégration est désirable. Ce modèle est utilisé pour étudier trois cas d'interconnexion entre deux pays. Plusieurs politiques concernant l'expansion et l'opération de l'interconnexion, combinées avec différents mécanismes de rémunération de la capacité, sont évalués. Cette thèse est compose de trois articles. Le premier présente une description détaillée du modèle et une analyse du cas de la Colombie et de l'Equateur. Il montre que le couplage de marchés peut amener des bénéfices importants ; cependant, la différence de taille entre pays peut créer des soucis de dépendance aux importations pour le pays le plus petit. Le second papier compare le cas de la Colombie et l'Equateur avec le cas de la Grande Bretagne et de la France. Ces pays sont très différents en termes de ressources, taille des réservoirs d'accumulation pour l'hydro, complémentarité et croissance de la demande. Nos résultats montrent que la complémentarité joue un rôle essentiel dans l'obtention des bénéfices potentiels de l'intégration, alors qu'un taux élevé de croissance de la demande, ainsi qu'une grande capacité de stockage, mènent à des résultats contre-intuitifs, ce qui complique les décisions des régulateurs. Dans le troisième article, une extension du modèle présenté dans le premier article est utilisée pour analyser le cas de la Finlande et de la Russie. Différentes règles pour les échanges internationaux d'électricité sont considérées. Nos résultats indiquent qu'à un faible niveau d'interconnexion, la situation actuelle, où un marchand unique possède les droits de transmission et limite le flux pendant les heures de pointe, est bénéfique pour la Finlande. Cependant, en cas d'expansion de la capacité d'interconnexion, «market coupling» est préférable. préférable. Dans tous les cas, la Finlande a intérêt à garder une réserve stratégique, car même si cette politique entraine des coûts, elle lui permet de profiter des avantages de l'intégration tout en limitant ca dépendance envers les importations. En général, nous concluons que si les politiques adéquates sont implémentées, l'intégration des marchés électriques peut amener des bénéfices. Cependant, une grande capacité d'interconnexion n'est désirable que si les pays ont une complémentarité importante et il existe une confiance mutuelle. Les résultats des politiques qui cherchent à préserver la sécurité d'approvisionnement au niveau national peuvent être très contre-intuitifs, étant données les interactions entre les pays voisins et leurs effets sur les investissements en génération et en interconnexion. Il est donc très important pour les régulateurs de comprendre ces interactions et de coordonner décisions à fin de pouvoir profiter de l'interconnexion sans mettre en danger la sécurité d'approvisionnement. Mais il faut être conscients que même quand l'intégration amène de bénéfices pour la région, certains participants au marché sont perdants et pourraient essayer de bloquer le processus d'intégration.

World temperate fruit production: characteristics and challenges

In the last 30 years world population has increased 70% but per capita global fruit consumption is only 20% higher. Even though tropical and temperate fruit have similar contributions to the 50 kg/person/year of US consumption of fresh fruit, in the last 30 years this has been slightly greater for temperate fruit. Within fruit consumption, the largest expansion has been for organic fruit which increased more than 50% in the 2002-2006 period. The largest expansion of area planted in the 1996-2006 has been for kiwi (29%) and blueberries (20%), while apples (-24%) and sour cherries (-13%) have had the largest reductions. Nearly 50% of the total global volume of fruit is produced by 5 countries: China, USA, Brazil, Italy and Spain. The main producer (China) accounts for 23% of the total. While the main exporters are Spain, USA and Italy, the main importers are Germany, Russia and UK. Demands for the industry have evolved towards quality, food safety and traceability. The industry faces higher productions costs (labor, energy, agrichemicals). The retailers are moving towards consolidation while the customers are changing preferences (food for health). In this context there is greater pressure on growers, processors and retailers. Emerging issues are labor supply, climate change, water availability and sustainability. Recent developments in precision agriculture, molecular biology, phenomics, crop modelling and post harvest physiology should increase yields and quality, and reduce costs for temperate fruit production around the world.

Contribution of Intronic miR-338-3p and Its Hosting Gene AATK to Compensatory β-Cell Mass Expansion.

The elucidation of the mechanisms directing β-cell mass regeneration and maintenance is of interest, because the deficit of β-cell mass contributes to diabetes onset and progression. We previously found that the level of the microRNA (miRNA) miR-338-3p is decreased in pancreatic islets from rodent models displaying insulin resistance and compensatory β-cell mass expansion, including pregnant rats, diet-induced obese mice, and db/db mice. Transfection of rat islet cells with oligonucleotides that specifically block miR-338-3p activity increased the fraction of proliferating β-cells in vitro and promoted survival under proapoptotic conditions without affecting the capacity of β-cells to release insulin in response to glucose. Here, we evaluated the role of miR-338-3p in vivo by injecting mice with an adeno-associated viral vector permitting specific sequestration of this miRNA in β-cells. We found that the adeno-associated viral construct increased the fraction of proliferating β-cells confirming the data obtained in vitro. miR-338-3p is generated from an intron of the gene coding for apoptosis-associated tyrosine kinase (AATK). Similarly to miR-338-3p, we found that AATK is down-regulated in rat and human islets and INS832/13 β-cells in the presence of the cAMP-raising agents exendin-4, estradiol, and a G-protein-coupled Receptor 30 agonist. Moreover, AATK expression is reduced in islets of insulin resistant animal models and selective silencing of AATK in INS832/13 cells by RNA interference promoted β-cell proliferation. The results point to a coordinated reduction of miR-338-3p and AATK under insulin resistance conditions and provide evidence for a cooperative action of the miRNA and its hosting gene in compensatory β-cell mass expansion.

Self-Renewing Human Bone Marrow Mesenspheres Promote Hematopoietic Stem Cell Expansion.

Strategies for expanding hematopoietic stem cells (HSCs) include coculture with cells that recapitulate their natural microenvironment, such as bone marrow stromal stem/progenitor cells (BMSCs). Plastic-adherent BMSCs may be insufficient to preserve primitive HSCs. Here, we describe a method of isolating and culturing human BMSCs as nonadherent mesenchymal spheres. Human mesenspheres were derived from CD45- CD31- CD71- CD146+ CD105+ nestin+ cells but could also be simply grown from fetal and adult BM CD45--enriched cells. Human mesenspheres robustly differentiated into mesenchymal lineages. In culture conditions where they displayed a relatively undifferentiated phenotype, with decreased adherence to plastic and increased self-renewal, they promoted enhanced expansion of cord blood CD34+ cells through secreted soluble factors. Expanded HSCs were serially transplantable in immunodeficient mice and significantly increased long-term human hematopoietic engraftment. These results pave the way for culture techniques that preserve the self-renewal of human BMSCs and their ability to support functional HSCs.

Single breath-hold 3D measurement of left atrial volume using compressed sensing cardiovascular magnetic resonance and a non-model-based reconstruction approach.

BACKGROUND: Left atrial (LA) dilatation is associated with a large variety of cardiac diseases. Current cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) strategies to measure LA volumes are based on multi-breath-hold multi-slice acquisitions, which are time-consuming and susceptible to misregistration. AIM: To develop a time-efficient single breath-hold 3D CMR acquisition and reconstruction method to precisely measure LA volumes and function. METHODS: A highly accelerated compressed-sensing multi-slice cine sequence (CS-cineCMR) was combined with a non-model-based 3D reconstruction method to measure LA volumes with high temporal and spatial resolution during a single breath-hold. This approach was validated in LA phantoms of different shapes and applied in 3 patients. In addition, the influence of slice orientations on accuracy was evaluated in the LA phantoms for the new approach in comparison with a conventional model-based biplane area-length reconstruction. As a reference in patients, a self-navigated high-resolution whole-heart 3D dataset (3D-HR-CMR) was acquired during mid-diastole to yield accurate LA volumes. RESULTS: Phantom studies. LA volumes were accurately measured by CS-cineCMR with a mean difference of -4.73 ± 1.75 ml (-8.67 ± 3.54%, r2 = 0.94). For the new method the calculated volumes were not significantly different when different orientations of the CS-cineCMR slices were applied to cover the LA phantoms. Long-axis "aligned" vs "not aligned" with the phantom long-axis yielded similar differences vs the reference volume (-4.87 ± 1.73 ml vs. -4.45 ± 1.97 ml, p = 0.67) and short-axis "perpendicular" vs. "not-perpendicular" with the LA long-axis (-4.72 ± 1.66 ml vs. -4.75 ± 2.13 ml; p = 0.98). The conventional bi-plane area-length method was susceptible for slice orientations (p = 0.0085 for the interaction of "slice orientation" and "reconstruction technique", 2-way ANOVA for repeated measures). To use the 3D-HR-CMR as the reference for LA volumes in patients, it was validated in the LA phantoms (mean difference: -1.37 ± 1.35 ml, -2.38 ± 2.44%, r2 = 0.97). Patient study: The CS-cineCMR LA volumes of the mid-diastolic frame matched closely with the reference LA volume (measured by 3D-HR-CMR) with a difference of -2.66 ± 6.5 ml (3.0% underestimation; true LA volumes: 63 ml, 62 ml, and 395 ml). Finally, a high intra- and inter-observer agreement for maximal and minimal LA volume measurement is also shown. CONCLUSIONS: The proposed method combines a highly accelerated single-breathhold compressed-sensing multi-slice CMR technique with a non-model-based 3D reconstruction to accurately and reproducibly measure LA volumes and function.

Wood Volume Measurement Using Color Images

Tämä työ käsittelee puutukkien tilavuuden mittaamista värikonenäön avulla. Värikuvat on saatu Simpeleellä olevan metsäteollisuusyrityksen hiomosta. Työssä esitetään perusteellisesti matemaattinen teoria, joka liittyy käytettyihin kuvankäsittelymenetelmiin, kuten luokitteluun, kohinan poistoon ja tukkien segmentointiin. Esitetyt menetelmät implementointiin käytännössä ja eri menetelmillä saatuja tuloksia vertailtiin keskenään. Kuvankäsittelyalgoritmit on implementoitu Matlab 6.0:n avulla. Pääasiassa käytettiin uusinta Image Processing Toolboxia, joka on versio 3.0. Tämä työn näkökulma on pääasiassa käytäntöön soveltava, koska metsäteollsuus on korkealla tasolla Suomessa ja siellä on paljon alan yrityksiä, joissa tässä työssä kehitettyä menetelmää voidaan hyödyntää.

International Expansion, Diversification and Regulated Firm Nonmarket Strategy

Previous studies have shown that regulated firms diversify for reasons that are different than for unregulated firms. We explore some of these differences by providing a theoretical model that starts by considering the firm-regulator relationship as an incomplete information issue, in which a regulated incumbent has knowledge that the regulator does not have, but the firm cannot convey hard information about this knowledge. The incumbent faces both market and nonmarket competition from a new entrant. In that context, we show that when the firm faces tough nonmarket competition domestically, going abroad can create a mechanism that makes information transmission to the regulator more credible. International expansion can thus be a way to solve domestic nonmarket issues in addition to being a catalyst for growth.

COMPORTAMENTO ESPACIAL DAS VARIÁVEIS PRODUÇÃO, VOLUME DE COPA E DIÂMETRO DE CAULE DA VARIEDADE MAXI GALA COM A UTILIZAÇÃO DA TÉCNICA DE COKRIGAGEM SOBRE POMAR COMERCIAL EM VACARIA-RS

A Agricultura de Precisão (AP) permite a utilização de diferentes ferramentas na obtenção de informações, e estas otimizam a tomada de decisão por parte do produtor, impactando positivamente na receita final. O objetivo do trabalho foi verificar o comportamento das variáveis produção (PROD), volume de copa (VC) e diâmetro de caule (DC) da variedade Maxi Gala com a utilização da técnica da cokrigagem. O experimento foi conduzido em uma área de 0,90 hectare de produção comercial da variedade Maxi Gala, na Fazenda São Paulino, da empresa RASIP, em Vacaria-RS, apresentando como coordenadas geográficas 28º31’17” de latitude sul e 50º49’17” de longitude oeste, durante as safras de 2010/2011 e 2011/2012. Coletaram-se 75 amostras para cada variável, em uma malha de 12 m na entrelinha e 10 m na linha. As variáveis avaliadas foram produção por planta , volume de copa e diâmetro de caule. Foram feitas a análise estatística descritiva dos dados e a análise espacial através dos semivariogramas. De posse dos modelos ajustados, realizou-se a interpolação pelo método da krigagem. Após, foi realizada a correlação simples dos parâmetros e elaborado os semivariogramas cruzados para interpolação, pela técnica da cokrigagem. Os parâmetros PROD versus DCapresentaram média correlação na variedade Maxi Gala, na safra de 2011. Nas safras de 2011 e 2012, os parâmetros VC versus DC também apresentaram média correlação. A técnica da cokrigagem pode ser uma ferramenta daAP a ser utilizada pela cultura da macieira no levantamento de informações.Verificou-se que houve resposta e redução na coleta de amostras das variáveis mais difíceis; na safra de 2011, reduziu-se a coleta de 15 amostras da PROD, e na safra de 2012, reduziu-se a coleta de 20 amostras do VC.

Reaction time asymmetries between expansion and contraction

Different asymmetries between expansion and contraction (radial motions) have been reported in the literature. Often these patterns have been regarded as implying different channels for each type of radial direction (outward versus inwards) operating at a higher level of visual motion processing. In two experiments (detection and discrimination tasks) we report reaction time asymmetries between expansion and contraction. Power functions were fitted to the data. While an exponent of 0.5 accounted for the expansion data better, a value of unity yielded the best fit for the contraction data. Instead of interpreting these differences as corresponding to different higher order motion detectors, we regard these findings as reflecting the fact that expansion and contraction tap two distinct psychophysical input channels underlying the processing of fast and slow velocities respectively.

Liiketoiminnan ohjausraportoinnin kehittäminen

Tämän tutkimuksen tavoitteena oli määritellä kohdeyrityksen, Paroc Oy Ab:n, liiketoimintaprosessiin liittyvät keskeiset alueet ja mahdolliset ongelmakohdat sekä kehittää ennakointia mahdollistavaa raportointia. Päätavoite jaettiin kolmeen keskeiseen aihealueeseen. Ensimmäinen aihealue käsitti kokonaistoimintaprosessin kuvauksen ohjattavuuden näkökulmasta, liiketoimintaprosessissa toiminnan sujumiseen keskeisimmin vaikuttavien kohtien kuvauksen ja raportoinnin kytkeytymisen näihin kohtiin. Toinen aihealue käsitti Rakennuseristeiden kotimaan myynnin raportoinnin ja kolmas aihealue raporttikartan ja sen kehittämisen. Tutkimus toteutettiin pääosin konstruktiivisella tutkimusotteella, vaikka alussa tehtiinkin käsitemäärittelyjä työn vaatimassa laajuudessa. Tutkimukseen liittyy osittain toiminta-analyyttisen tutkimusotteen piirteitä.Työn teoreettinen osa tehtiin kirjallisuustutkimuksena. Teoreettisessa osassa käytiin työhön liittyen läpi seuraavat käsitteet: liiketoimintaprosessi, logistiikka, ohjaus, raportointi ja kannattavuus. Teoreettisessa osassa luodun viitekehyksen tarkoitus oli tukea tutkimuksen empiiristä osaa.Empiirinen osa toteutettiin case-tutkimuksena. Sen yhteydessä käytiin kohdeyrityksen sisäiseen ja ulkoiseen käyttöön tarkoitettua materiaalia läpi sekä tehtiin kysely Rakennuseristeiden eri toiminnoissa työskenteleville henkilöille. Kyselyn avulla tutkittiin päätöksentekotilanteita ja tiedontarvetta, ongelmatilanteita, raportointia sekä mahdollisia puutteita.Tutkimuksessa on tarkasteltu kohdeyrityksen liiketoimintaprosessiin liittyviä toimintoja ja tietojärjestelmiä sekä budjetointiprosessia. Rakennuseristeiden kotimaan myynnin raportoinnin osalta on tutkittu teknistä toteutusta, raporttien hyväksikäyttöä, poikkeamien analysointia ja myynnin tasoon vaikuttavia tekijöitä. Raporttikartan kehittämisen yhteydessä on tutkittu päätöksentekoon liittyvää tiedon tarvetta sekä raportointia. Näiden perusteella on esitetty kehittämiskohteita ja mahdollisia jatkotutkimuksen aiheita.Keskeisimmiksi kehittämiskohteiksi nostettiin myynnin perusraportoinnin laajentaminen, tietojärjestelmien välisen tiedon kulun parantaminen ja tietojärjestelmiä koskevan integraation kehittäminen sekä eri toiminnoissa työskentelevien henkilöiden välisen yhteistyön parantaminen. Näitä kehittämällä parannetaan ennakointia mahdollistavaa ohjausraportointia johdon päätöksenteon tueksi.