Simulit, un modèle de simulation pour la planification hospitalière. [Simulit, a simulation model for hospital planning].

The aim of this computerized simulation model is to provide an estimate of the number of beds used by a population, taking into accounts important determining factors. These factors are demographic data of the deserved population, hospitalization rates, hospital case-mix and length of stay; these parameters can be taken either from observed data or from scenarii. As an example, the projected evolution of the number of beds in Canton Vaud for the period 1893-2010 is presented.

Unplanned nursing home short stay : elderly patients characteristics and 3-month outcomes.

Background: Nursing home short stays (NHSS) in the canton of Vaud have been introduced for respite care purpose. However, a growing number of older patients are urgently admitted from home (within 24h) or directly after hospital discharge (58% of all admissions in 2010). NHSS appears therefore as an increasingly important component of the health care system, but the characteristics of admitted patients have not been previously described. A better knowledge would contribute to identify specific care needs and enhance their care. Objectives: 1) To describe the characteristics of patients admitted in unplanned NHSS ( after hospital stay or urgently from home); 2) To determine living disposition 3-month after NHSS discharge. Method: Over a 18-month period, elderly patients with unplanned NHSS admission to 2 facilities in Lausanne were identified. Demographic, social, health, and functional data, as well as main reason for admission were collected. Death and place of living at 3-months were collected using the administrative database. Results: Overall, 114 patients (mean age 83.1 ± 6.2 years, 77% women, 84% living alone) were assessed, 80% being admitted from hospital. Mean score in Lawton's instrumental ADL before NHSS admission was 4.6 ± 2.5 and 69% of the patients were home care recipients (median number of weekly visits: 5 ± 3). Patients reported going out 4.2 ± 1.3 times/week and 56% reported at least one fall over the past year. Among the 91 patients coming from the hospital, main reason for admission was injury/limb immobilization (58%), recuperation (13%) and functional impairment in basic ADL (10%). Mean score at Katz's Basic ADL at admission was 3.7 ± 1.9. Overall, 90% of patients were identified with gait and balance impairment, 78% with cognitive impairment and 70% with polypharmacy (>6 different drugs). At 3-month after NHSS discharge (N = 92), 72% patients were living at home, 16% had been admitted to long term care, and 6% died. Among patients living at home at follow-up, 11% had been readmitted to hospital during the follow-up period. Conclusion: Older patients with unplanned NHSS admission show a high prevalence of functional, mobility, and cognitive impairments, as well as other geriatric syndromes. Specific measures should be considered during these stays to prevent further functional decline and, possibly, hospital readmission. Patients admitted with basic ADLs impairment might be candidate for higher levels of care (rehabilitation).

Un peuple réfractaire à l'industrie ?: fabriques et ouvriers dans les montagnes valaisannes

L'image que l'on associe traditionnellement au Valais ressort plutôt de ses paysages alpins ou de ses agriculteurs de montagne que de ses industries. Celles-ci forment pourtant un maillon essentiel dans l'histoire du développement du canton.Au Moyen Age déjà, la prospection du fer, du plomb et surtout de l'argent donnait lieu a de sévères concurrences. Mais c'est l'arrivée des grandes industries chimiques et métallurgiques, vers 1900, qui a provoqué la reconversion en masse de centaines de paysans en ouvriers d'usines.Dans la complexité d'un marché devenu mondial, ces industries ont dû évoluer, certaines ont disparu, d'autres sont en passe de l'être.C'est ce regard sur un Valais méconnu qu'une dizaine d'historiens, avec l'oeil complice de plusieurs photographes, proposent à votre lecture.

Second neoplasms after invasive and borderline ovarian cancer.

Excess risk of subsequent cancers has been documented in women diagnosed with ovarian cancer. We updated to 2006 data on second cancers in women diagnosed with invasive and borderline ovarian cancer in the Swiss canton of Vaud. Between 1974 and 2006, 304 borderline and 1530 invasive first ovarian tumours were abstracted from the Vaud Cancer Registry database and followed up till the end of 2006. Calculation of expected numbers of tumours in the cohorts was based on site-specific, age-specific and calendar-year-specific incidence rates. We computed the standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) of second cancers, and the corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI). There was no change in the incidence of malignant cancers, but that of borderline tumours increased over more recent years. Overall, 110 second neoplasms were observed versus 49.7 expected after invasive ovarian cancer (SIR 2.21; 95% CI: 1.82-2.67). Significant excess risks were observed for cancers of the breast, corpus uteri and leukaemias. When synchronous cancers were excluded, the overall SIR for all sites declined to 1.05. Thirty-one second neoplasms were observed after borderline tumours compared with 21.1 expected (SIR=1.47; 95% CI: 1.00-2.09). SIRs were above unity for ovary, colorectum and uterus. After exclusion of synchronous neoplasms, SIR for all neoplasms declined to 1.09, and remained significant only for second ovarian cancers (SIR=4.93). The present record linkage cohort study shows an excess risk for selected synchronous neoplasms in women diagnosed with both borderline and invasive ovarian cancer, likely because of shared genetic and perhaps environmental factors.

Le rôle des professionnel-le-s de l'action médico-sociale dans la prévention de la violence conjugale

[Introduction] Si la violence conjugale est désormais déclarée par les médias .problème de santé publique», la responsabilité et la fonctiondes professionnel.le.sdel'action médico-sociale dans sa prévention reste encore à développer. Cetarticle souhaite stimuler la réflexion et l'action dans ce domaine, en se fondant sur l'expérience d'un programme Interdisciplinaire de prévention de la violence mené depuis janvier 2000 dans le canton de Vaud.

Effects of usual nutrient intake and vitamin D status on markers of bone turnover in Swiss adolescents.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effects of nutrient intake and vitamin D status on markers of type I collagen formation and degradation in adolescent boys and girls. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study. SETTING: Canton of Vaud, West Switzerland. SUBJECTS: A total of 92 boys and 104 girls, aged 11-16 y. Data were collected on height, weight, pubertal status (self-assessment of Tanner stage), nutrient intake (3-day dietary record) and fasting serum concentration of 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25OHD), and markers of collagen formation (P1NP) and degradation (serum C-terminal telopeptides: S-CTX). RESULTS: Tanner stage was a significant determinant of P1NP in boys and girls and S-CTX in girls. Of the nutrients examined, only the ratio of calcium to phosphorus (Ca/P) was positively associated with P1NP in boys, after adjustment for pubertal status. 25OHD decreased significantly at each Tanner stage in boys. Overall, 15% of boys and 17% of girls were identified as being vitamin D insufficient (serum 25OHD <30 nmol/l), with the highest proportion of insufficiency at Tanner stage 4-5 (29%) in boys and at Tanner stage 3 (24%) in girls. A significant association was not found between 25OHD and either bone turnover marker, nor was 25OHD insufficiency associated with higher concentrations of the bone turnover markers. CONCLUSIONS: The marked effects of puberty on bone metabolism may have obscured any possible effects of diet and vitamin D status on markers of bone metabolism. The mechanistic basis for the positive association between dietary Ca/P ratio and P1NP in boys is not clear and may be attributable to a higher Ca intake per se, a critical balance between Ca and P intake or higher dairy product consumption. A higher incidence of vitamin D insufficiency in older adolescents may reflect a more sedentary lifestyle or increased utilisation of 25OHD, and suggests that further research is needed to define their requirements. SPONSORSHIP: Nestec Ltd and The Swiss Foundation for Research in Osteoporosis.

Hospital transfers between Swiss cantons: a first look

Objective: To assess the importance of hospital transfers between Swiss cantons and the factors associated with them. Methods: Hospital discharge data, mean number of hospitals, hospital beds and corresponding density per 100.000 inhabitants for period 1998-2008 were provided by the Federal Office of Statistics. Inclusion criteria were: >=18 years; transferred from one hospital to another and living in a canton different from the one they were transferred to. Cumulative data for the study period was used. Results: Between 1998 and 2008, 247.355 hospital transfers occurred between cantons, representing 17.7% of all hospital transfers. This value ranged between 2.7% (Geneva) and 81.6% (Appenzell Innerrhoden). The main diagnoses were: circulatory system (20.1%); musculoskeletal system (9.3%); mental and behavioural disorders (6.5%); oncology (4.6%) and repertories diseases (2.6%). Factors influencing health status (28.7%) and injuries and external causes (12%) were not included in the analysis. Cantons with a university hospital received more patients than they transferred to other cantons. The other cantons were either "senders" or "receivers" according to the disease considered. German-speaking cantons transferred patients more easily than the others. Most transfers were made between geographically or linguistically close cantons. The number of patients received was associated with the number of hospitals (r = 0.82, p <0.001) or beds (r = 0.85, p <0.001)in the canton; bed density (r = 0.51, p <0.01), but not with hospital density(r = 0.08, p <0.7). Conclusions: in Switzerland, over one-sixth of hospital transfers occur between cantons. Several cantons are dependent of others for the treatment of specific diseases. Cantons with a university hospital attract more patients, suggesting an optimisation of health resources.

The night: a dangerous time to be born?

An analysis of perinatal mortality by hour of birth among 10,059 births in Canton Ticino (Switzerland) during the years 1979-1982 showed that fewer births occurred at night than during the day. The variations in number of births by hour of birth were attributed to obstetric practices. The perinatal mortality rate for night-time births was more than twice as high as that for the daytime births (+127%, P less than 0.001) and the rates for night-time births exceeded those for daytime births for 13 of the 19 causes of death examined. A higher proportion of the low and very-low-birthweight babies (less than 2500 g and less than 1500 g) were born at night between 19.00 and 06.59 hours.

Is Internet use unhealthy? A cross-sectional study of adolescent Internet overuse.

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether problematic internet use is associated with somatic complaints and whether this association remains when checking for internet activity among a random sample of adolescents living in the canton of Vaud, Switzerland. METHODS: Cross-sectional survey of 3,067 8th graders (50.3% females) divided into average (n = 2,708) and problematic (n = 359) Internet users and compared for somatic complaints (backache, overweight, headaches, musculoskeletal pain, sleep problems and sight problems) controlling for sociodemographic and internet-related variables. Logistic regressions were performed for each complaint and for all of them simultaneously controlling variables significant at the bivariate level. RESULTS: At the multivariate level, when taken separately, problematic internet users were more likely to have a chronic condition (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] with 95% CI: 1.58 [1.11:2.23]) and to report back pain (aOR: 1.46 [1.04:2.05]), overweight (aOR: 1.74 [1.03:2.93]), musculoskeletal pain (aOR: 1.36 [1.00:1.84]) and sleep problems (aOR: 2.16 [1.62:2.88]). When considered in the full model, only sleep problems remained significant (aOR: 2.03 [1.50:2.74]). CONCLUSIONS: Our results confirm that problematic internet users report health problems more frequently, with lack of sleep being the most strongly associated and seeming to act as mediator regarding the other ones. Clinicians should remember to screen for excessive internet use their patients complaining of sleep-related problems, back or musculoskeletal pain or overweight. Clinicians should advise parents to limit the amount of time their adolescent children can spend online for leisure activities. Furthermore, limiting the number of devices used to connect to the internet could help warrant enough sleeping time.

Dynamic Modelling of Material Flows and Sustainable Resource Use: Case Studies in Regional Metabolism and Space Life Support Systems

Sustainable resource use is one of the most important environmental issues of our times. It is closely related to discussions on the 'peaking' of various natural resources serving as energy sources, agricultural nutrients, or metals indispensable in high-technology applications. Although the peaking theory remains controversial, it is commonly recognized that a more sustainable use of resources would alleviate negative environmental impacts related to resource use. In this thesis, sustainable resource use is analysed from a practical standpoint, through several different case studies. Four of these case studies relate to resource metabolism in the Canton of Geneva in Switzerland: the aim was to model the evolution of chosen resource stocks and flows in the coming decades. The studied resources were copper (a bulk metal), phosphorus (a vital agricultural nutrient), and wood (a renewable resource). In addition, the case of lithium (a critical metal) was analysed briefly in a qualitative manner and in an electric mobility perspective. In addition to the Geneva case studies, this thesis includes a case study on the sustainability of space life support systems. Space life support systems are systems whose aim is to provide the crew of a spacecraft with the necessary metabolic consumables over the course of a mission. Sustainability was again analysed from a resource use perspective. In this case study, the functioning of two different types of life support systems, ARES and BIORAT, were evaluated and compared; these systems represent, respectively, physico-chemical and biological life support systems. Space life support systems could in fact be used as a kind of 'laboratory of sustainability' given that they represent closed and relatively simple systems compared to complex and open terrestrial systems such as the Canton of Geneva. The chosen analysis method used in the Geneva case studies was dynamic material flow analysis: dynamic material flow models were constructed for the resources copper, phosphorus, and wood. Besides a baseline scenario, various alternative scenarios (notably involving increased recycling) were also examined. In the case of space life support systems, the methodology of material flow analysis was also employed, but as the data available on the dynamic behaviour of the systems was insufficient, only static simulations could be performed. The results of the case studies in the Canton of Geneva show the following: were resource use to follow population growth, resource consumption would be multiplied by nearly 1.2 by 2030 and by 1.5 by 2080. A complete transition to electric mobility would be expected to only slightly (+5%) increase the copper consumption per capita while the lithium demand in cars would increase 350 fold. For example, phosphorus imports could be decreased by recycling sewage sludge or human urine; however, the health and environmental impacts of these options have yet to be studied. Increasing the wood production in the Canton would not significantly decrease the dependence on wood imports as the Canton's production represents only 5% of total consumption. In the comparison of space life support systems ARES and BIORAT, BIORAT outperforms ARES in resource use but not in energy use. However, as the systems are dimensioned very differently, it remains questionable whether they can be compared outright. In conclusion, the use of dynamic material flow analysis can provide useful information for policy makers and strategic decision-making; however, uncertainty in reference data greatly influences the precision of the results. Space life support systems constitute an extreme case of resource-using systems; nevertheless, it is not clear how their example could be of immediate use to terrestrial systems.