996 resultados para risk analyse
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INTRODUCTION: Visceral leishmaniasis (VL) is an important zoonosis in relation to public health systems. Dogs are the main domestic reservoir. This study aimed to investigate occurrences of canine VL in Dias D'Ávila, State of Bahia, Brazil. METHODS: The prevalence was evaluated by means of clinical and laboratory tests on a population of 312 domestic dogs from 23 localities in this municipality, using indirect immunofluorescence and immunoenzymatic assays. RESULTS: Among the animals examined, 3.2% and 6.7% showed signs of VL, confirmed by indirect immunofluorescence and immunoenzymatic assays, respectively, with a distribution of 29.9% (24 dogs) in the rural zone and 4.9% (288 dogs) in the urban zone (p = 0.001). The clinical evaluation on seropositive dogs showed both asymptomatic animals (2.4%) and symptomatic animals (47.6%), along with other abnormalities (e.g. normocytic and normochromic anemia, with leukocytosis and thrombocytopenia). Observations relating to phenotypic characteristics (e.g. sex, age, breed and hair) did not present statistical significance, although high seropositivity among male, short-haired and mixed-breed dogs was observed. CONCLUSIONS: The findings showed that VL was a predominantly rural zoonosis and that close contact between poultry and domestic dogs significantly increased the risk of canine infection in this region.
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The purpose of this paper is to conduct a methodical drawback analysis of a financial supplier risk management approach which is currently implemented in the automotive industry. Based on identified methodical flaws, the risk assessment model is further developed by introducing a malus system which incorporates hidden risks into the model and by revising the derivation of the most central risk measure in the current model. Both methodical changes lead to significant enhancements in terms of risk assessment accuracy, supplier identification and workload efficiency.
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INTRODUCTION: Goats are considered very susceptible to infection by Toxoplasma gondii and when this occurs during pregnancy, it may cause fetal death with subsequent fetal resorption, abortion, mummification, stillborn or the birth of weak goats. The objective of this work was to determine the occurrence of and identify risk factors for T. gondii infection in goats in different mesoregions in the State of Alagoas. METHODS: The research was conducted on 24 goat breeding farms in 10 municipalities. A total of 454 blood samples were examined for anti-T. gondii antibodies by indirect immunofluorescence antibody test. To evaluate the risk factors of toxoplasmosis in goats, questionnaires were applied analyzing the farm's production system and nutritional, reproductive and sanitary management. RESULTS: Disease occurrence was 39% with 95.8% of farms presenting seropositive animals. Significant associations were observed for mesoregion (OR = 0.23; 95%CI = 0.09 - 0.57), age (OR = 0.36; 95%CI = 0.20 - 0.64), semi-intensive herd management (OR = 8.70; 95%CI = 1.87 - 40.43), access of cats to water provided for goats (OR = 3.38; 95%CI = 1.89-6.02) and cats feeding on placental remnants (OR = 2.73; 95%CI = 1.38 - 5.40). CONCLUSIONS: Toxoplasma gondii infection is disseminated in the State of Alagoas and the adoption of a program that monitors infection foci is required to reduce the risk factors identified in the present study.
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INTRODUCTION: The situation of tuberculosis (TB) is being modified by the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), which is increasing the occurrence of new cases and the generation of drug resistant strains, affecting not only the people infected with HIV, but also their close contacts and the general population, conforming a serious public health concern. However, the magnitudes of the factors associated to this co-infection differ considerably in relation to the population groups and geographical areas. METHODS: In order to evaluate the prevalence and risk factors for the co-infection of tuberculosis (TB) in a population with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV+) in the Southeast of Mexico, we made the analysis of clinical and epidemiological variables and the diagnosis of tuberculosis by isolation of mycobacteria from respiratory samples. RESULTS: From the 147 HIV+ individuals analyzed, 12 were culture positive; this shows a prevalence of 8% for the co-infection. The only variable found with statistical significance for the co-infection was the number of CD4-T < 200 cells/mm³, OR 13 (95%, CI 2-106 vs 12-109). CONCLUSIONS: To our knowledge this is the first report describing the factors associated with tuberculosis co -infection with HIV in a population from Southern Mexico. The low number of CD4 T-cells was the only variable associated with the TB co-infection and the rest of the variables provide scenarios that require specific and particular interventions for this population group.
Dengue: clinical forms and risk groups in a high incidence city in the southeastern region of Brazil
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INTRODUCTION: The article describes the epidemiologic profile of dengue cases in Vitória, the capital of Espírito Santo, Brazil, from 2000 to 2009, aimed at identifying risk groups regarding the incidence and severity of the disease. METHODS: Confirmed cases of dengue among city residents during ten years were classified as dengue fever, dengue hemorrhagic fever, dengue shock syndrome and dengue with complications, and analyzed according to sex, age, race-color and education. RESULTS: The proportion of dengue cases was highest among women aged 20 to 29 years-old and similar between whites and blacks. A gradual decrease occurred in the percentage of dengue cases in the population aged 15 years-old or more, in the historical series of 10 years, and a growing increase in individuals less than 15 years-old, showing statistical significance. The fatality rate ranged from zero to 0.3% for all forms of dengue and from 0.2% to 18.2% for severe forms. CONCLUSIONS: The profile of those affected by the disease in the municipality is similar to those affected in Brazil. The increasing number of cases in individuals under 15 years-old corroborates the results of recent studies in other Brazilian municipalities.
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INTRODUCTION: This work was an epidemiological investigation of the risk of Trypanosoma cruzi transmission in the rural Quilombola community of Furnas do Dionízio, State of Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil. METHODS: Of the 71 animals examined, seven were captured (two opossums, Didelphis albiventris; four rats, Rattus rattus; and one nine-banded armadillo, Dasypus novemcinctus) and 64 were domestic (one canine, Canis familiaris; five pigs, Sus scrofa; two bovines, Bos taurus; five caprines, Capra sp.; and 51 ovines, Ovis aries). Parasitological tests were performed to detect parasites in the blood and to identify the morphology of flagellates. These methods included fresh examinations, buffy coat tests and blood cultures. Molecular analysis of DNA for identification of trypanosomatids was performed by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) with primers S35 and S36. RESULTS: The parasitological tests showed flagellates in an opossum and two cattle. The molecular tests showed DNA from T. cruzi in an opossum and a pig. Triatoma sordida was the only triatomine species found in the community, and it colonized households (four specimens) and the surrounding areas (124 specimens). Twenty-three specimens tested positive for flagellates, which were subsequently identified as T. cruzi by PCR. CONCLUSIONS: Data analysis demonstrated that T. cruzi has a peridomestic life cycle that involves both domestic and wild mammals.
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A foremost dispute that persists on the contemporary world’s agenda is change. The on-going social/technological/economic changes create a competitive and challenging environment for companies to endure. To benefit from these changes, world economies partially depend on emerging Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) and their adaptability skills, and subsequently the development of an integrated capability to innovate has become the prime strategy for most of SMEs to subsist and grow. However, innovation and change are always somewhat bonded to an inherent risk development, which subsequently brings on the necessity of a revision of risk management approaches in innovative processes, whose importance SMEs tend to disregard. Additionally, little efforts have been made to improve and create empirical models, metrics and tools to assist SMEs managing latent risks in their innovative projects. This work seeks to present and discuss a solution to support SMEs in engaging on systematic risk management practices, which consists on an integrated risk assessment and response support web-based tool - Spotrisk® - designed for SMEs. On the other hand, an inherent subjectivity is linked with risk management and identification processes, due to uncertainty trait of its nature, for each individual perceives situations according to his own idiosyncrasy, which brings complications in normalizing risk profiles and procedures. This essay aims to bring insights concerning the support in decision-making processes under uncertainty, by addressing issues related with the risk behavior character among individuals. To address such issues, subjects of neuroscience or psychology are explored and models to identify such character are proposed, as well as models to improve presented tool. This work attempts to go beyond the restrictive aim of endeavoring on technical improvement dissertation, and in embraces an exploratory conceptualization concerning micro, small and medium businesses’ traits regarding risk characters and project risk assessment tools.
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INTRODUCTION: Infection with Leishmania chagasi is the most common clinical presentation for visceral leishmaniaisis in endemic areas. The municipality of Raposa is an endemic area in State of Maranhão, Brazil, and have had registration cases of visceral leishmaniasis disease. For this reason, a cross- sectional study was conducted to evaluate the risk factors for infection with L. chagasi detected by Montenegro skin test. METHODS: The sample comprised 96% of the inhabitants of the villages of Maresia, Pantoja, and Marisol located in the municipality of Raposa, corresponding to 1,359 subjects. Data were collected using a questionnaire. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were applied to evaluate the association between the variables studied and infection of L. chagasi. RESULTS: The variables associated with infection upon nonadjusted analysis were a straw roof, mud walls, floors of beaten earth, presence of sand flies inside or outside of the dwelling, and bathing outdoors. Adjusted analysis showed that the presence of sand flies inside/outside the dwelling was a risk factor, and age younger than 10 years was a protective factor against asymptomatic infection. CONCLUSIONS: The results highlight the extent to which precarious living conditions of the population strengthen the epidemiological chain of visceral leishmaniasis.
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Double Degree. A Work Project presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Management from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics and a Masters Degree in Finance from Louvain School of Management
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This paper studies the performance of two different Risk Parity strategies, one from Maillard (2008) and a “naïve” that was already used by market practitioners, against traditional strategies. The tests will compare different regions (US, UK, Germany and Japan) since 1991 to 2013, and will use different ways of volatility. The main findings are that Risk Parity outperforms any traditional strategy, and the “true” (by Maillard) has considerable better results than the “naïve” when using historical volatility, while using EWMA there are significant differences.
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INTRODUCTION: Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) is spread out in hospitals across different regions of the world and is regarded as the major agent of nosocomial infections, causing infections such as skin and soft tissue pneumonia and sepsis. The aim of this study was to identify risk factors for methicillin-resistance in Staphylococcus aureus bloodstream infection (BSI) and the predictive factors for death. METHODS: A retrospective cohort of fifty-one patients presenting bacteraemia due to S. aureus between September 2006 and September 2008 was analysed. Staphylococcu aureus samples were obtained from blood cultures performed by clinical hospital microbiology laboratory from the Uberlândia Federal University. Methicillinresistance was determined by growth on oxacillin screen agar and antimicrobial susceptibility by means of the disk diffusion method. RESULTS: We found similar numbers of MRSA (56.8%) and methicillin-susceptible Staphylococcus aureus (MSSA) (43.2%) infections, and the overall hospital mortality ratio was 47%, predominantly in MRSA group (70.8% vs. 29.2%) (p=0.05). Age (p=0.02) was significantly higher in MRSA patients as also was the use of central venous catheter (p=0.02). The use of two or more antimicrobial agents (p=0.03) and the length of hospital stay prior to bacteraemia superior to seven days (p=0.006) were associated with mortality. High odds ratio value was observed in cardiopathy as comorbidity. CONCLUSIONS: Despite several risk factors associated with MRSA and MSSA infection, the use of two or more antimicrobial agents was the unique independent variable associated with mortality.
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Double Degree Masters in Economics Program from Insper and NOVA School of Business and Economics
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RESUMO: Este trabalho tentou contribuir para a caracterização da fisiopatologia da microcirculação coronária em diferentes formas de patologia com o auxílio da ecocardiografia transtorácica. Com a aplicação da ecocardiografia Doppler transtorácica foi efectuado o estudo da reserva coronária da artéria descendente anterior e com a ecocardiografia de contraste do miocárdio foram analisados parâmetros de perfusão do miocárdio como a velocidade da microcirculação coronária, o volume de sangue miocárdico e a reserva de fluxo miocárdico. Estas técnicas foram utilizadas em diferentes situações fisiopatológicas com particular interesse na hipertrofia ventricular esquerda de diferentes etiologias como a hipertensão arterial, estenose aórtica e cardiomiopatia hipertrófica. Também na diabetes mellitus tipo 2 e na doença coronária aterosclerótica, estudámos as alterações da microcirculação coronária. Com a mesma técnica de ecocardiografia de contraste do miocárdio foi analisada a perfusão do miocárdio num modelo experimental animal sujeito a uma dieta aterogénica. Além das conclusões específicas em relação a cada um dos trabalhos efectuados há a referir como conclusões gerais a sua fácil aplicabilidade e exequibilidade em âmbito clínico, a sua reprodutibilidade e precisão. Quando comparadas com técnicas consideradas de referência mostraram resultados com significativa correlação estatística. Em todos os doentes e nos grupos controle foi possível comprovar e quantificar o gradiente de perfusão transmural em repouso e durante a acção de stress vasodilatador, relevando a importância da perfusão sub-endocárdica na função do ventrículo esquerdo. O estudo da microcirculação coronária no grupo de doentes com hipertrofia ventricular esquerda revelou que no grupo com hipertensão arterial existe disfunção da microcirculação coronária ainda antes de se observar aumento de massa do ventrículo esquerdo, e que esta disfunção é diferente em função da geometria ventricular. Nos doentes com estenose aórtica foi demonstrado que além da disfunção da microcirculação coronária, explicada pelo fenómeno de hipertrofia, existe outro componente extrínseco que depois de corrigido através de cirurgia de substituição valvular, conduziu a uma parcial normalização dos valores de reserva coronária. Na cardiomiopatia hipertrófica observou-se uma grande heterogeneidade de perfusão transmural e foi documentado, em imagens de ecocardiografia de contraste do miocárdio e após análise paramétrica, a ausência de perfusão do miocárdio na região sub-endocárdica durante o stress vasodilatador de reserva coronária diminuídos em fases precoces de evolução da doença. Foi demonstrado que a reserva coronária na DM2 em fases mais avançadas estava significativamente diminuída. Descrevemos também em doentes com DM2 e sem doença coronária angiográfica a existência de disfunção da microcirculação coronária. Durante o stress vasodilatador, observámos e documentámos neste grupo de doentes, a existência de defeitos de perfusão transitórios ou de diminuição da velocidade da microcirculação coronária. No grupo de doentes com doença coronária confirmámos o interesse da avaliação da reserva coronária após intervenção percutânea na definição de prognóstico pós EAM, em termos de recuperação funcional do ventrículo esquerdo. Em doentes com BCRE e de difícil estratificação de risco, foi possível calcular o valor de reserva coronária e estratificar o risco de doença coronária. Num modelo experimental animal demonstrámos a exequibilidade da técnica de ECM, e verificámos que nessas condições experimentais, uma sobrecarga aterogénica na dieta, ao fim de 6 semanas, comprometia severamente a reserva coronária. Estes resultados foram parcialmente reversíveis quando à dieta foi adicionada uma estatina. Estas técnicas pela sua não invasibilidade, fácil acesso, repetibilidade e inocuidade perspectivam-se de grande utilidade na caracterização de doentes com disfunção da microcirculação coronária, nas diferentes áreas de diagnóstico, terapêutica e prevenção. A possibilidade de adaptar a técnica em modelos experimentais animais também nos parece poder vir a ter grande utilidade em investigação.----------------ABSTRACT: This work is intended to be a contribution to the study of coronary microcirculation applying new echocardiographic techniques as transthoracic Doppler echocardiography of coronary arteries and myocardial contrast echocardiography. Coronary flow reserve may be assessed by transthoracic Doppler echocardiography, and important functional microcirculation parameters as microcirculation flow velocity, myocardial blood volume and myocardial flow reserve may be evaluated through myocardial contrast echocardiography. Microcirculation was analysed in different pathophysiological settings. We addressed situations with increased left ventricular mass as systemic arterial hypertension, aortic stenosis and hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. Also coronary microcirculation was studied in type 2 Diabetes and in different clinical forms of atherosclerotic coronary artery disease. Specific and detailed conclusions were withdrawn from each experimental work. In the overall it was concluded that these two techniques were important tools to easily assess specific pathophysiological information about coronary microcirculation at bed side which would be difficult to get through other techniques. When compared with gold standard techniques, similar sensibility and specificity was found. Because of their better temporal and spatial resolution it was possible to analyse the importance of transmural perfusion gradients, both in basal and during vasodilatation, and their relation to ischemia, and mechanical wall kinetics, as wall thickening and motion. Coronary microcirculation dysfunction was found in systemic arterial hypertension early evolution stages, also related to different left ventricular geometric patterns. Different etiopathogenical explanations for aortic stenosis coronary microcirculation dysfunction were analysed and compared after aortic valve replacement. Transmural myocardial perfusion heterogeneity pattern was observed in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy which was aggravated during adenosine challenge. Coronary microcirculation dysfunction was diagnosed in type 2 diabetes both with coronary artery disease and with normal angiographic coronary arteries. Dynamic transitory subendocardial perfusion defects with adenosine vasodilatation were visualized in these patients.In patients with left branch block, transthoracic Doppler echocardiography was able to suggest a coronary reserve cut-off value for risk stratification. Also it was possible with this technique to calculate coronary flow reserve and predict restenosis after PTCA Again, in an experimental animal model, applying myocardial contrast echocardiography technique it was possible to study the consequences of an atherogenic diet and statins action on the coronary microcirculation function. Because these techniques are easily performed at bed side, are harmless, use no ionizing radiation and because of their repeatability, reproducibility and accuracythey are promissory tools to assess coronary microcirculation. Both in clinic and research areas these techniques will probably have a role in clinical diagnosis, prevention and therapeutically decision.
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The conflicts currently taking place around the world demand that the international intervention fits the intensity and extent of the threat. This is particularly important in post-conflict scenarios, leading to a greater participation of the Security Forces in those scenarios, in order to foster lasting peace, enforce the order and improve law enforcement services in those regions. The transition from armed conflict to peacekeeping may entail high risk situations and greater instability periods, so-called “intermediate situations”. Accordingly, in the face of persisting high volatility, a robust response is still required post-conflict. Therefore, it is appropriate to deploy Security Forces with military nature and status, the gendarmeries, which have training and response capabilities similar to Armed Forces in peacekeeping operations. Their double facet as police and military forces enables them to perform police duties in high risk and unsafe environments. In light of these features, the Portuguese gendarmerie, Guarda Nacional Republicana (GNR), is able to carry out tasks in these scenarios, which it has been doing through individual operatives or larger units. This dissertation focuses on the use of Security Forces of military nature in peacekeeping missions, in particular the Portuguese GNR, relying mostly on the inductive approach and using literature research, document analysis, interviews and statistics. After a brief description of international peacekeeping missions, we describe the contribution of Security Forces of a military nature in such operations. Then we introduce and analyse the GNR, focusing on its deployment in different kinds of peacekeeping operations, from its first participation in 1995 until today. We also report some reactions to the performance of GNR. Finally, we discuss whether there is indeed a unique role for this type of forces in international peacekeeping missions.
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Porphyria cutanea tarda (PCT) is caused by inherited or acquired partial deficiency of the uroporphyrinogen-decarboxylase (Uro-D) enzyme activity. It is the most common form of porphyria. The main triggering factors to the development of porphyria cutanea tarda are alcohol, hepatitis C virus and human immunodeficiency virus. There are several reports of PCT associated with drugs, among them, antiretroviral therapy. We describe three HIV-positive patients, which showed photosensitivity as well as the emergence of tense blisters on sun-exposed areas during the use of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) and discuss the possibility of PCT after the use of these drugs by those patients.