Mortality trends among people with type 1 and type 2 diabetes in Australia: 1997-2010

OBJECTIVE: With improvements in cardiovascular disease (CVD) rates among people with diabetes, mortality rates may also be changing. However, these trends may be influenced by coding practices of CVD-related deaths on death certificates. We analyzed trends of mortality over 13 years in people with diabetes and quantified the potential misclassification of CVD mortality according to current coding methods. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A total of 1,136,617 Australians with diabetes registered on the National Diabetes Services Scheme between 1997 and 2010 were linked to the National Death Index. Excess mortality relative to the Australian population was reported as standardized mortality ratios (SMRs). Potential misclassification of CVD mortality was determined by coding CVD according to underlying cause of death (COD) and then after consideration of both the underlying and other causes listed in part I of the death certificate. RESULTS: For type 1 diabetes, the SMR decreased in males from 4.20 in 1997 to 3.08 in 2010 (Ptrend < 0.001) and from 3.92 to 3.46 in females (Ptrend < 0.01). For type 2 diabetes, the SMR decreased in males from 1.40 to 1.21 (Ptrend < 0.001) and from 1.56 to 1.22 in females (Ptrend < 0.001). CVD deaths decreased from 35.6 to 31.2% and from 31.5 to 27.2% in males and females with type 1 diabetes, respectively (Ptrend < 0.001 for both sexes). For type 2 diabetes, CVD decreased from 44.5 to 29.2% in males and from 45.5 to 31.6% in females (Ptrend < 0.001 for both sexes). Using traditional coding methods, ∼38 and 26% of CVD deaths are underestimated in type 1 diabetes and type 2 diabetes, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: All-cause and CVD mortality has decreased in diabetes. However, the total CVD mortality burden is underestimated when only underlying COD is considered. This has important ramifications for understanding mortality patterns in diabetes.

Gender differences in presentation, coronary intervention, and outcomes of 28,985 acute coronary syndrome patients in Victoria, Australia

BACKGROUND: Differences in demographics, presenting characteristics, and treatment of heart disease in women may contribute to adverse outcomes. The purpose of this paper was to describe gender differences in the epidemiology, treatment, and outcomes of all admissions for acute coronary syndrome (ACS) in Victoria that occurred between June 2007 and July 2009. METHODS: We undertook a retrospective cohort study of all patients admitted to Victorian hospitals with a first time diagnosis of ACS. Use of angiograms, percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), coronary artery bypass graft (CABG), and adverse outcomes (death and/or unplanned readmission) were compared by gender and hierarchical logistic regression models were used to account for confounding variables. RESULTS: Of a total of 28,985 ACS patients, 10,455 (36%) were women. Compared with men, women were older (aged ≥75 years: 54% vs 31%; p < .001), more likely to present with multiple comorbidities (>1 comorbidity: 53% vs 46%; p < .001), and more likely to be diagnosed with non-ST-segment elevation ACS (86% vs 80%; p < .001). Women were less likely to receive coronary interventions (angiogram: adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.71; 95% CI, 0.66-0.75; PCI: aOR, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.66-0.80; CABG: aOR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.53-0.64). Adverse outcomes were similar in women and men after accounting for confounding variables. CONCLUSIONS: Our results show that women in Victoria were less likely to receive coronary interventions after an admission for ACS. Clinicians should be wary of inherent gender bias in decisions to refer patients for angiography.

Regional drivers of clutch loss reveal important trade-offs for beach-nesting birds

Coastal birds are critical ecosystem constituents on sandy shores, yet are threatened by depressed reproductive success resulting from direct and indirect anthropogenic and natural pressures. Few studies examine clutch fate across the wide range of environments experienced by birds; instead, most focus at the small site scale. We examine survival of model shorebird clutches as an index of true clutch survival at a regional scale (∼200 km), encompassing a variety of geomorphologies, predator communities, and human use regimes in southeast Queensland, Australia. Of the 132 model nests deployed and monitored with cameras, 45 (34%) survived the experimental exposure period. Thirty-five (27%) were lost to flooding, 32 (24%) were depredated, nine (7%) buried by sand, seven (5%) destroyed by people, three (2%) failed by unknown causes, and one (1%) was destroyed by a dog. Clutch fate differed substantially among regions, particularly with respect to losses from flooding and predation. ‘Topographic’ exposure was the main driver of mortality of nests placed close to the drift line near the base of dunes, which were lost to waves (particularly during storms) and to a lesser extent depredation. Predators determined the fate of clutches not lost to waves, with the depredation probability largely influenced by region. Depredation probability declined as nests were backed by higher dunes and were placed closer to vegetation. This study emphasizes the scale at which clutch fate and survival varies within a regional context, the prominence of corvids as egg predators, the significant role of flooding as a source of nest loss, and the multiple trade-offs faced by beach-nesting birds and those that manage them.

Three Essays on a Longitudinal Analysis of Business Start-ups using the Kauffman Firm Survey

This dissertation focused on the longitudinal analysis of business start-ups using three waves of data from the Kauffman Firm Survey. The first essay used the data from years 2004-2008, and examined the simultaneous relationship between a firm’s capital structure, human resource policies, and its impact on the level of innovation. The firm leverage was calculated as, debt divided by total financial resources. Index of employee well-being was determined by a set of nine dichotomous questions asked in the survey. A negative binomial fixed effects model was used to analyze the effect of employee well-being and leverage on the count data of patents and copyrights, which were used as a proxy for innovation. The paper demonstrated that employee well-being positively affects the firm's innovation, while a higher leverage ratio had a negative impact on the innovation. No significant relation was found between leverage and employee well-being. The second essay used the data from years 2004-2009, and inquired whether a higher entrepreneurial speed of learning is desirable, and whether there is a linkage between the speed of learning and growth rate of the firm. The change in the speed of learning was measured using a pooled OLS estimator in repeated cross-sections. There was evidence of a declining speed of learning over time, and it was concluded that a higher speed of learning is not necessarily a good thing, because speed of learning is contingent on the entrepreneur's initial knowledge, and the precision of the signals he receives from the market. Also, there was no reason to expect speed of learning to be related to the growth of the firm in one direction over another. The third essay used the data from years 2004-2010, and determined the timing of diversification activities by the business start-ups. It captured when a start-up diversified for the first time, and explored the association between an early diversification strategy adopted by a firm, and its survival rate. A semi-parametric Cox proportional hazard model was used to examine the survival pattern. The results demonstrated that firms diversifying at an early stage in their lives show a higher survival rate; however, this effect fades over time.

What Is a Firm’s Life Expectancy? Empirical Evidence in the Context of Portuguese Companies

It is a fact that the uncertainty about a firm’s future has to be measured and incorporated into a company’s valuation throughout the explicit analysis period – in the continuing or terminal value within valuation models. One of the concerns that can influence the continuing value of enterprises, which is not explicitly considered in traditional valuation models, is a firm’s average life expectancy. Although the literature has studied the life cycle of a firm, there is still a considerable lack of references on this topic. If we ignore the period during which a company has the ability to produce future cash flows, the valuations can fall into irreversible errors, leading to results markedly different from market values. This paper aims to provide a contribution in this area. Its main objective is to construct a mortality table for non-listed Portuguese enterprises, showing that the use of a terminal value through a mathematical expression of perpetuity of free cash flows is not adequate. We provide the use of an appropriate coefficient to perceive the number of years in which the company will continue to operate until its theoretical extinction. If well addressed regarding valuation models, this issue can be used to reduce or even to eliminate one of the main problems that cause distortions in contemporary enterprise valuation models: the premise of an enterprise’s unlimited existence in time. Besides studying the companies involved in it, from their existence to their demise, our study intends to push knowledge forward by providing a consistent life and mortality expectancy table for each age of the company, presenting models with an explicitly and different survival rate for each year. Moreover, we show that, after reaching a certain age, firms can reinvent their business, acquiring maturity and consequently postponing their mortality through an additional life period.

Occurrence of OsHV-1 in Crassostrea gigas cultured in Ireland during an exceptionally warm summer. Selection of less susceptible oysters

The occurrence of OsHV-1, a herpes virus causing mass mortality in the Pacific oyster Crassostrea gigas was investigated with the aim to select individuals with different susceptibility to the infection. Naïve spat transferred to infected areas and juveniles currently being grown at those sites were analyzed using molecular and histology approaches. The survey period distinguishes itself by very warm temperatures reaching up to 3.5°C above the average. The virus was not detected in the virus free area although a spread of the disease could be expected due to high temperatures. Overall mortality, prevalence of infection and viral load was higher in spat confirming the higher susceptibility in early life stages. OsHV-1 and oyster mortality were detected in naïve spat after 15 days of cohabitation with infected animals. Although, infection was associated with mortality in spat, the high seawater temperatures could also be the direct cause of mortality at the warmest site. One stock of juveniles suffered an event of abnormal mortality that was significantly associated with OsHV-1 infection. Those animals were infected with a previously undescribed microvariant whereas the other stocks were infected with OsHV-1 μVar. Cell lesions due to the infection were observed by histology and true infections were corroborated by in situ hybridization. Survivors from the natural outbreak were exposed to OsHV-1 μVar by intramuscular injection and were compared to naïve animals. The survival rate in previously exposed animals was significantly higher than in naïve oysters. Results derived from this study allowed the selection of animals that might possess interesting characteristics for future analysis on OsHV-1 resistance.

Avaliação do nível de conhecimento geral e grau de alerta sobre cancro oral numa população do nordeste transmontano

O cancro é um dos principais causadores de milhões de mortes em todo o mundo e sendo o cancro oral, especificamente, a sexta neoplasia mais frequente a nível mundial. Todos os anos são diagnosticados mais de 500 mil novos casos, sendo que as altas taxas de mortalidade e mortalidade não se têm alterado ao longo dos anos. A maior incidência de cancro oral encontra-se na Ásia e na Europa do Sul. Em Portugal, mais precisamente em 2012, foram diagnosticados cerca de 1924 novos casos de cancro oral, dos quais 967 ocorreram em homens. O carcinoma espinocelular é o tipo histológico mais comum, sendo que 90% dos casos de cancro oral são deste tipo. Sabe-se também que esta variante é mais frequente no sexo masculino entre a 5ª e 6 ª década de vida apesar de, a incidência no sexo feminino, ter vindo a aumentar, devido à contínua exposição ao tabaco, álcool e a outros factores de risco. Como foi dito anteriormente, o cancro oral tem uma alta taxa de mortalidade e de morbilidade e, apesar dos avanços no diagnóstico, no tratamento e no conhecimento de quais os factores de risco desta patologia, a taxa de sobrevivência ainda é inferior a 50% o que revela que, o grande problema, passa pelo diagnóstico do cancro em estádios avançados. Assume-se então que, grande parte dos casos de cancro oral, poderiam ter sido evitados se houvesse maior conhecimento e grau de alerta sobre a doença o que tendencialmente, levaria a diagnósticos mais precoces. Neste sentido, este estudo tem como propósito a avaliação do nível de conhecimento geral e do grau de alerta de uma população do interior do país, mais precisamente do Nordeste Transmontano, bem como, efectuar o registo da percepção dos inquiridos relativamente a esta patologia, passando pelo reconhecimento da doença, pelo conhecimento epidemiológico e etiológico, e pela melhor percepção a nível de sinais e sintomas clínicos próprios desta patologia.

Reforestation challenges in Scandinavia

In the keynote, major reforestation challenges in Scandinavia will be highlighted. The following countries make up Scandinavia: Iceland, Norway, Sweden, Finland and Denmark. For Iceland, with only a forest cover of 2%, a major reforestation challenge is the deforestation and overgrazing in combination with land degradation and extensive soil erosion. The challenges include the conflicts with livestock farmers. For centuries the commons were used for sheep and horse grazing. However, more and more of farmer grazing land have been fenced up, allowing the regeneration of birch and plantations of other species to increase. With a forest cover of 37% and 69% respectively, for decades a major reforestation challenge in Norway and Sweden has been the risk of seedling damages from the pine weevil. Unprotected seedlings can have a survival rate of less than 25% after being planted. Pine weevils feed on the bark of planted young seedlings at regeneration sites. If the seedling is girdled, it will not survive. In Sweden, and soon in Norway, pesticides have been forbidden. In the keynote, new methods and technology will be presented based on non-chemical protection. In Finland, with a forest cover of 75%, a major reforestation challenge is linked to the forest structure. The structure of Finnish forestry includes many private forests in combination with small regeneration sites. This implies a situation where logistics and methods for lifting and field storage provide a major challenge in order to preserve seedling quality until the planting date. Due to this situation, new logistic systems and technologies are being developed in Finland, including new seedling cultivation programs (including cultivation under Light Emitting Diodes (LEDs)) to match the access of fresh planting stock to different planting dates. In Denmark, with a forest cover of 13%, a major reforestation challenge is the possibility of future plantations based on a wide range of relevant species. For this to become a realistic option, new methods and technology have to be developed in reforestation activities that support this possibility. These methods and technology should make it possible to not be limited to certain species due to problems and restrictions during field establishment. This due to the prospect of establishing stable, healthy, and productive stands of various forest species that can be adapted to future climate change.

Temozolomide in pediatric low-grade glioma

BACKGROUND: We describe a retrospective series of children with low-grade glioma who received temozolomide. PROCEDURE: Eligible patients had had a diagnosis of low-grade glioma with or without histological confirmation. Temozolomide was administered at a dose of 200 mg/m(2) daily for 5 days, in a 4-week cycle. Therapy was stopped on completion of the targeted 12 cycles of chemotherapy or on evidence of tumor progression. RESULTS: Thirteen eligible patients were identified, eight male and five female. Median age at diagnosis was 5.5 years (range 2.6-15.0 years) and at commencement of temozolomide treatment was 9.0 years (range 3.8-15.2 years). Nine patients had a histological diagnosis of pilocytic astrocytoma. Twelve patients had received carboplatin prior to temozolomide, including three in combination with vincristine. A total of 111 cycles of therapy have been administered. Hematological toxicity and nausea were the most common adverse effects. Median time to progression was 6.7 months (range 1.5-41.8 months). Event-free survival rate at 3 years was 57%. Twelve of 13 patients remain alive at the time of report. Eleven have stable disease (SD). CONCLUSION: Temozolomide appears to be active in pediatric low-grade glioma, with the advantage of oral administration and excellent tolerability.

Mating success and body condition not related to foraging specializations in male fur seals

Individual specialization is widespread among wild populations. While its fitness consequences are central in predicting the ecological and evolutionary trajectories of populations, they remain poorly understood. Long-term individual foraging specializations occur in male Antarctic (Arctocephalus gazella) and Australian (A. pusillus doriferus) fur seals. Strong selective pressure is expected in these highly dimorphic and polygynous species, raising the question of the fitness payoffs associated with different foraging strategies. We investigated the relationship between individual isotopic niche (a proxy of foraging specialization), body size and condition, and an index of reproductive success (harem size) in territorial males. Individuals varied greatly in their skin and fur isotopic values reflecting a range of foraging strategies within the two populations. However, in both species, isotopic niche was not correlated to body size, condition or mating success (R (2)/ρ < 0.06). Furthermore, no foraging niche was predominant in either species, which would have indicated a substantial long-term fitness benefit of a particular strategy via a higher survival rate. These results suggest that the fitness consequences of a foraging strategy depend not only on the quality of prey and feeding habitat but also on an individual's hunting efficiency and skills.

Evaluación de tres microdietas en el destete de Lenguado Paralichthys adspersus (Steindachner, 1867) paralichthyidae, en condiciones de laboratorio

El lenguado peruano Paralichthys adspersus es una especie que presenta gran calidad nutricional y alto valor económico, Se distribuye desde Paita (norte de Perú) hasta el golfo de Arauco (Chile). En el Perú el cultivo de lenguado se desarrolla a nivel experimental y comercial (pequeña escala), sin embargo la investigación realizada es escasa. Durante el proceso de producción de semilla, el periodo de destete, etapa durante la cual el alimento vivo es sustituido por microdietas balanceadas, resulta ser un punto crítico debido a la alta mortalidad que genera en comparación a otras etapas del cultivo. El objetivo del presente estudio es evaluar el efecto del uso de 3 microdietas (dos experimentales y una comercial) en el destete de Paralichthys adspersus, evaluando el crecimiento (longitud y peso) y la supervivencia. En el ensayo se utilizó la dieta comercial Otohime, y las experimentales, elaboradas con procesos diferentes, MEM (Micro-Extrusion Marumerization) y PARA (Particle Assisted Rotational Agglomeration) desarrolladas en el Servicio de Investigación Agrícola (ARS) del departamento de Agricultura de los Estados Unidos (USDA) -Fish Technology Center. El ensayo inició con peces de 35 días de edad con un peso seco promedio de 0,96±0,52 mg y una talla promedio de 9,55±0,84 mm, los cuales se distribuyeron en nueve tanques de 150L a razón de 400 individuos T-1. Se seleccionaron al alzar tres tanques por cada tratamiento. Estos se denominaron T1, T2 y T3, en cada uno se utilizó una microdieta (Otohime, MEM y PARA respectivamente) para realizar el destete. Los resultados muestran que para los tratamientos T1, T2 y T3 la longitud promedio final alcanzada fue de 15,9 ± 3,2, 14,3 ± 1,72 y 14,4 ± 2,28 mm y el peso seco promedio alcanzado fue de 8,83 ± 5,37, 5,53 ± 2,85 y 7,10 ± 3,56 mg existiendo diferencias significativas solo entre los tratamientos T1 y T2 (p<0,05). La supervivencia media fue de 18,1, 16,3 y 15,2 % (Tratamientos T1, T2 y T3 respectivamente). Además se evaluó el efecto de las dietas sobre los procesos de pigmentación y metamorfosis, cuantificando para cada caso la cantidad de peces que presentan pigmentación normal y la cantidad de los que alcanzaron a completar la metamorfosis, resultando que no existen diferencias significativas entre los tratamientos (p>0,05).

Determinación de temperatura y densidad óptima en cultivo larval de lenguado Paralichthys adspersus (Steinda Chner, 1867) en condiciones de laboratorio

La presente tesis tiene como objetivo determinar la temperatura y densidad óptimas del cultivo larval de lenguado Paralichthys adspersus bajo condiciones controladas de laboratorio. Para el experimento de temperatura se usaron larvas de 2 días después de eclosión (DDE) hasta el día 46 DDE a una densidad de 10 larvas /litro, donde las temperaturas evaluadas fueron 16°, 18°, 20° y 22° con tres repeticiones por tratamientos. Para el experimento de densidad se usaron larvas de 5 DDE hasta el día 35 DDE, con una temperatura promedio de 19°, donde las densidades evaluadas fueron de 10larvas/litro, 20larvas/litro y 30 larvas/litro con tres repeticiones por tratamiento. Para ambos ensayos se realizó la evaluación de la longitud total (mm) y sobrevivencia; para el ensayo de temperatura de larvas de P. adspersus se obtuvo la más alta sobrevivencia a 18° C con 17 ±0,05% y una longitud de 12,25 ±1,06 mm. Para el ensayo de densidad de larvas de P. adspersus, se obtuvo la más alta sobrevivencia en el tratamiento de 10 larvas /litro con 10 ±3,72% y una longitud de 9,35 ±0,48 mm.

An investigation of the relationship between the components of tumour microenvironment, signal transduction pathways and outcome in breast cancer

Breast cancer, the most commonly diagnosed type of cancer in women, is a major cause of morbidity and mortality in the western world. Well-established risk factors of breast cancer are mostly related to women’s reproductive history, such as early menarche, late first pregnancy and late menopause. Survival rates have improved due to a combination of factors, including better health education, early detection with large-scale use of screening mammogram, improved surgical techniques, as well as widespread use of adjuvant therapy. At initial presentation, clinicopathological features of breast cancer such as age, nodal status, tumour size, tumour grade, and hormonal receptor status are considered to be the standard prognostic and predictive markers of patient survival, and are used to guide appropriate treatment strategies. Lymphovascular invasion (LBVI), including lymphatic (LVI) and blood (BVI) vessel invasion, has been reported to be prognostic and merit accurate evaluation, particularly in patients with node negative tumours who might benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy. There is a lack of standard assessment and agreement on distinguishing LVI from BVI despite the major challenges in the field. A systematic review of the literatures, examining methods of detection and the prognostic significance of LBVI, LVI and BVI, was carried out. The majority of studies used haematoxylin and eosin (H&E) and classical histochemistry to identify LVI and BVI. Only few recent studies used immunohistochemistry (IHC) staining of the endothelium lining lymphatic and blood vessels, and were able to show clear differences between LVI and BVI. The prognostic significance of LBVI and LVI was well-documented and strongly associated with aggressive features of breast tumours, while the prognostic value and the optimal detection method of BVI were unclear. Assessment and prognostic value of LBVI on H&E sections (LBVIH&E) was examined and compared to that of LVI and BVI detected using IHC with D2-40 for LVI (LVID2–40) and Factor VIII for BVI (BVIFVIII) in patients with breast cancer including node negative and triple negative patients (n=360). LBVIH&E, LVID2–40 and BVIFVIII were present in 102 (28%), 127 (35%) and 59 (16%) patients respectively. In node negative patients (206), LBVIH&E, LVID2–40 and BVIFVIII were present in 41 (20%), 53 (26%) and 21 (10%) respectively. In triple negative patients (102), LBVIH&E, LVID2–40 and BVIFVIII were present in 35 (29%), 36 (35%) and 14 (14%) respectively. LBVIH&E, LVID2–40 and BVIFVIII were all significantly associated with tumour recurrence in all cohorts. On multivariate survival analysis, only LVID2–40 and BVIFVIII were independent predictors of cancer specific survival (CSS) in the whole cohort (P=0.022 and P<0.001 respectively), node negative (P=0.008 and P=0.001 respectively) and triple negative patients (P=0.014 and P<0.001 respectively). Assessment of LVI and BVI by IHC, using D2-40 and Factor VIII, improves prediction of outcome in patients with node negative and triple negative breast cancer and was superior to the conventional detection method. Breast cancer is recognised as a complex molecular disease and histologically identical tumours may have highly variable outcomes, including different responses to therapy. Therefore, there is a compelling need for new prognostic and predictive markers helpful of selecting patients at risk and patients with aggressive diseases who might benefit from adjuvant and targeted therapy. It is increasingly recognised that the development and progression of human breast cancer is not only determined by genetically abnormal cells, but also dependent on complex interactions between malignant cells and the surrounding microenvironment. This has led to reconsider the features of tumour microenvironment as potential predictive and prognostic markers. Among these markers, tumour stroma percentage (TSP) and tumour budding, as well as local tumour inflammatory infiltrate have received recent attention. In particular, the local environment of cytokines, proteases, angiogenic and growth factors secreted by inflammatory cells and stromal fibroblasts has identified crucial roles in facilitating tumour growth, and metastasis of cancer cells through lymphatic and/or blood vessel invasion. This might help understand the underlying process promoting tumour invasion into these vessels. An increase in the proportion of tumour stroma and an increase in the dissociation of tumour cells have been associated with poorer survival in a number of solid tumours, including breast cancer. However, the interrelationship between these variables and other features of the tumour microenvironment in different subgroups of breast cancer are not clear. Also, whether their prognostic values are independent of other components of the tumour microenvironment have yet to be identified. Therefore, the relationship between TSP, clinicopathological characteristics and outcome in patients with invasive ductal breast cancer, in particular node negative and triple negative disease was examined in patients with invasive ductal breast cancer (n=361). The TSP was assessed on the haematoxylin and eosin-stained tissue sections. With a cut-off value of 50% TSP, patients with ≤50% stroma were classified as the low-TSP group and those with >50% stroma were classified as the high-TSP group. A total of 109 (30%) patients had high TSP. Patients with high TSP were old age (P=0.035), had involved lymph node (P=0.049), Her-2 positive tumours (P=0.029), low-grade peri-tumoural inflammatory infiltrate (P=0.034), low CD68+ macrophage infiltrate (P<0.001), low CD4+ (P=0.023) and low CD8+ T-lymphocytes infiltrate (P=0.017), tumour recurrence (P=0.015) and shorter CSS (P<0.001). In node negative patients (n=207), high TSP was associated with low CD68+ macrophage infiltrate (P=0.001), low CD4+ (P=0.040) and low CD8+ T-lymphocytes infiltrate (P=0.016) and shorter CSS (P=0.005). In triple negative patients (n=103), high TSP was associated with increased tumour size (P=0.017) high tumour grade (P=0.014), low CD8+ T-lymphocytes infiltrate (P=0.048) and shorter CSS (P=0.041). The 15-year cancer specific survival rate was 79% vs 21% in the low-TSP group vs high-TSP group. On multivariate survival analysis, a high TSP was associated with reduced CSS in the whole cohort (P=0.007), node negative patients (P=0.005) and those who received systemic adjuvant therapy (P=0.016), independent of other pathological characteristics including local host inflammatory responses. Therefore, a high TSP in invasive ductal breast cancer was associated with recurrence and poorer long-term survival. The inverse relation with the tumour inflammatory infiltrate highlights the importance of the amount of tumour stroma on immunological response in patients with invasive ductal breast cancer. Implementing this simple and reproducible parameter in routine pathological examination may help optimise risk stratification in patients with breast cancer. Similarly, the relationship between tumour budding, clinicopathological characteristics and outcome was examined in patients with invasive ductal breast cancer (n=474), using routine pathological sections. Tumour budding was associated with several adverse pathological characteristics, including positive lymph node (P=0.009), presence of LVI (P<0.001), and high TSP (P=0.001) and low-grade general peri-tumural inflammatory infiltrative (P=0.002). In node negative patients, a high tumour budding was associated with presence of LVI (P<0.001) and low-grade general peri-tumural inflammatory infiltrative (P=0.038). On multivariate survival analysis, tumour budding was associated with reduced CSS (P=0.001), independent of nodal status, tumour necrosis, CD8+ and CD138+ inflammatory cells infiltrate, LVI, BVI and TSP. Furthermore, tumour budding was independently associated with reduced CSS in node negative patients (P=0.004) and in those who have low TSP (P=0.003) and high-grade peri-tumoural inflammatory infiltrative (P=0.012). A high tumour budding was significantly associated with shorter CSS in luminal B and triple negative breast cancer subtypes (all P<0.001). Therefore, tumour budding was a significant predictor of poor survival in patients with invasive ductal breast cancer, independent of adverse pathological characteristics and components of tumour microenvironment. These results suggest that tumour budding may promote disease progression through a direct effect on local and distant invasion into lymph nodes and lymphatic vessels. Therefore, detection of tumour buds at the stroma invasive front might therefore represent a morphologic link between tumour progression, lymphatic invasion, spread of tumour cells to regional lymph nodes, and the establishment of metastatic dissemination. Given the potential importance of the tumour microenvironment, the characterisation of intracellular signalling pathways is important in the tumour microenvironment and is of considerable interest. One plausible signalling molecule that links tumour stroma, inflammatory cell infiltrate and tumour budding is the signal transducer and activator of transcription (STAT). The relationship between total and phosphorylated STAT1 (ph-STAT1), and total and ph-STAT3 tumour cell expression, components of tumour microenvironment and survival in patients with invasive ductal breast cancer was examined. IHC of total and ph-STAT1/STAT3 was performed on tissue microarray of 384 breast cancer specimens. Cellular STAT1 and cellular STAT3 expression at both cytoplasmic and nuclear locations were combined and identified as STAT1/STAT3 tumour cell expression. These results were then related to CSS and phenotypic features of the tumour and host. A high ph-STAT1 and a high ph-STAT3 tumour cell expression was associated with increased ER (P=0.001 and P<0.001 respectively) and PR (all P<0.05), reduced tumour grade (P=0.015 and P<0.001 respectively) and necrosis (all P=0.001). Ph-STAT1 was associated with increased general peri-tumoural inflammatory infiltrate (P=0.007) and ph-STAT3 was associated with lower CD4+ T-lymphocyte infiltrate (P=0.024). On multivariate survival analysis, including both ph-STAT1 and ph-STAT3 tumour cell expression, only high ph-STAT3 tumour cell expression was significantly associated with improved CSS (P=0.010) independent of other tumour and host-based factors. In patients with high necrosis grade, high ph-STAT3 tumour cell expression was independent predictor of improved CSS (P=0.021). Ph-STAT1 and ph-STAT3 were also significantly associated with improved cancer specific survival in luminal A and B subtypes. STAT1 and STAT3 tumour cell expression appeared to be an important determinant of favourable outcome in patients with invasive ductal breast cancer. The present results suggest that STATs may affect disease outcome through direct impact on tumour cells, and the surrounding microenvironment. The above observations of the present thesis point to the importance of the tumour microenvironment in promoting tumour budding, LVI and BVI. The observations from STATs work may suggest that an important driving mechanism for the above associations is the presence of tumour necrosis, probably secondary to hypoxia. Further work is needed to examine the interaction of other molecular pathways involved in the tumour microenvironment, such as HIF and NFkB in patients with invasive ductal breast cancer.

Impact on hip fracture mortality after the establishment of an orthogeriatric care program in a colombian hospital

El objetivo del estudio es evaluar la mortalidad a un año en pacientes con fractura de cadera, mayores de 65 años tratados en un programa establecido de orto-geriatría. 298 se trataron de acuerdo al protocolo de orto-geriatría, se calculo la mortalidad a un año, se establecieron los predictores de mortalidad orto-geriátrico. La sobrevida anual se incremento de 80% a 89% (p = .039) durante los cuatro años de seguimiento del programa y disminuyo el riesgo de mortalidad anual postoperatorio (Hazard Ratio = 0.54, p = .049). La enfermedad cardiaca y la edad maor a 85 años fueron predictores positivos para mortalidad.

Factores asociados a la mortalidad en el síndrome de Sjögren

Antecedentes: El síndrome de Sjögren (SS) es una patología crónica, autoinmune, de características multifactoriales en su etiología. También es conocida como una epitelitis autoinmune, caracterizada por síntomas secos como xeroftalmia y xerostomía, pero que también puede tener compromiso sistémico, dado por manifestaciones extra-glandulares. En la actualidad es poco reconocida como tal, y por lo tanto, la tasa de sobrevida en estos pacientes se encuentra disminuida pero poco tenida en cuenta a la hora de la valoración de ellos. Este trabajo describe la evidencia encontrada acerca de las causas de mortalidad y sus factores asociados luego de realizar una revisión sistemática de la literatura. Objetivos: El objetivo de este estudio fue reunir de forma exhaustiva y sistemática toda la evidencia empírica, publicada o no, que cumpla los criterios de búsqueda y elegibilidad sobre factores asociados al incremento de la mortalidad o disminución en la sobrevida de los pacientes con diagnóstico de SS. Métodos: Se realizó una revisión sistemática de la literatura mediante una búsqueda exhaustiva de todos los estudios publicados en las bases de datos electrónicas preestablecidas, hasta abril de 2015, con el fin de determinar las causas más frecuentes de mortalidad en pacientes con SS y los factores asociados a ella. Resultados: Se encontraron 4,654 resultados que coincidían con los criterios de búsqueda establecidos; de estos, 33 cumplieron con los criterios de inclusión y se distribuyeron de la siguiente forma: el 66.6% (22/33) correspondieron a estudios de corte cohorte, 30.3% (10/33) a estudios de corte transversal y el 3.03% (1/33) a estudios casos y controles. Se obtuvieron resultados en cuanto a frecuencias de mortalidad, razón estandarizada de mortalidad, tasas de supervivencia, causas más frecuentes de mortalidad y sus factores asociados. Conclusiones: La mortalidad reportada en los diferentes estudios fue entre el 1.2% hasta el 30%. Aquellos estudios que reportaron una tasa de mortalidad inferior al 5%, tuvieron un tiempo de seguimiento menor 8 años [1,7,33,60,64,86]. La mayoría de los casos sigue un curso relativamente estable, pero hay un porcentaje importante que presenta otras manifestaciones sistémicas con mayor frecuencia de complicaciones durante la evolución del SS. Por tanto, son los que requieren un seguimiento más estrecho, debido a una mayor necesidad de tratamiento sistémico y al mayor riesgo de ingreso hospitalario y de mortalidad, especialmente por el desarrollo de procesos linfoproliferativos B. La presencia de factores pronósticos en el paciente con SS obligará a realizar un seguimiento clínico e inmunológico mucho más estrecho, lo cual permitirá identificar lo antes posible las complicaciones que puedan aparecer e instaurar las correspondientes medidas terapéuticas, para aumentar las tasas de supervivencia.