Seasonality and temporal structuration of Alticini community (Coleoptera, Chrysomelidae, Galerucinae) in the Araucaria Forest of Parana, Brazil

Seasonality was studied for Alticini trapped with malaise over a period of two years in the Vila Velha State Park, Parana, Brazil. Coleoptera, Chrysomelidae and Alticini showed seasonal distribution, with the highest abundance during spring and summer months. The abundance peaks of these groups were not synchronized. Of all environmental variables tested, photoperiod had the larger effect on the distributional patterns of Coleoptera, Chrysomelidae and Alticini. Also, Chrysomelidae and Alticini probably are related to the quality and availability of host-plants. When richness was high there was a greater similarity among seasons of different years. However, when richness was not pronounced, seasons showed more similarity within the same year than between years. The Alticini community was seasonally structured and a possible mechanism underlying this pattern is asymmetric competition. Nevertheless, it is necessary to account for indirect interactions (plant-enemy mediated) to better understand how Alticini community is structured.

Dynamic adverse selection and debt

This paper argues that the strategic use of debt favours the revelationof information in dynamic adverse selection problems. Our argument is basedon the idea that debt is a credible commitment to end long term relationships.Consequently, debt encourages a privately informed party to disclose itsinformation at early stages of a relationship. We illustrate our pointwith the financing decision of a monopolist selling a good to a buyerwhose valuation is private information. A high level of (renegotiable)debt, by increasing the scope for liquidation, may induce the highvaluation buyer to buy early at a high price and thus increase themonopolist's expected payoff. By affecting the buyer's strategy, it mayreduce the probability of excessive liquidation. We investigate theconsequences of good durability and we examine the way debt mayalleviate the ratchet effect.

Geoquímica das rochas magmáticas da Ilha Brava:implicações para a origem e variabilidade espaço-temporal do ponto quente de Cabo Verde

A Ilha Brava (64 km2) localiza-se no extremo oeste do alinhamento meridional do arquipélago de Cabo Verde, sendo constituída por três unidades vulcanoestratigráficas que testemunham uma história vulcânica de cerca de 3 Ma. Foi escolhida como objecto de estudo na tentativa de contribuir para a melhor compreensão da origem e local de residência de alguns dos componentes mantélicos, das relações genéticas entre magmas silicatados e carbonatíticos, dos processos de desgaseificação de magmas carbonatíticos e da origem do carbono neles contido, da variabilidade geoquímica espaço-temporal do ponto quente de Cabo Verde, e da profundidade de enraizamento da sua pluma mantélica. A Brava contrasta com as outras ilhas do arquipélago por definir dois grupos geoquímicos distintos. As amostras do Complexo Basal, sendo menos radiogénicas Sr e He e mais em Nd e Pb que a unidade mais recente, são idênticas às ilhas do norte e explicáveis pela mistura de um componente do tipo HIMU (crosta oceânica reciclada com 1.3 Ga) e manto inferior (3He/4He até 12.85 Ra), carreados para a “superfície” pela pluma mantélica. Tal como é usual nas ilhas do sul, a Unidade Superior sugere, em adição, o envolvimento de um componente com afinidade EM-1, aqui considerado representativo de fragmentos de litosfera subcontinental dispersos na astenosfera. Os carbonatitos definem dois grupos com assinaturas isotópicas semelhantes às das rochas silicatadas contemporâneas. Os calciocarbonatitos resultaram de imiscibilidade líquida produzindo magmas nefeliníticos e carbonatíticos, enquanto os magnesiocarbonatitos representam líquidos residuais após a fraccionação de calcite a partir de um magma carbonatítico. As muito baixas razões 4He/40Ar* (≈ 0.25) que caracterizam a fonte dos carbonatitos do Complexo Basal indicam uma evolução a partir de razões K/U muito mais elevadas que o conjunto dos reservatórios silicatados da Terra. Sendo estes valores, também incompatíveis com a reciclagem de componentes crostais, foram aqui interpretados como podendo reflectir a contribuição do “missing Ar reservoir” para a fonte mantélica dos carbonatitos.

Spatio-temporal dynamics of Alticini (Coleoptera, Chrysomelidae) in a fragment of Araucaria Forest in the state of Parana, Brazil

Alticini fauna from five areas, two with different types of management (Borda and Araucaria) and three with different levels of conservation (Fase 1, Fase 2 and Fase 3), in the Araucaria Forest of the Parana was captured with malaise traps. The material was collected weekly, from September/1999 to August/2001, in the Parque Estadual of Vila Velha, Ponta Grossa. 1,891 individuals of 106 Alticini species were collected with only seven species common to all areas. Despite the proximity between sampling areas, the number of species shared between pairs of areas was low, not reaching 40%, with the Araucaria and Fase 1 areas being the most similar. The community structure of the areas Fase 1 and Fase 2 were most related. Fase 1, in initial stage of succession, showed the largert variation in the abundance and richness from one year to another.

Dynamic graphics of parametrically linked multivariate methods used in compositional data analysis

Many multivariate methods that are apparently distinct can be linked by introducing oneor more parameters in their definition. Methods that can be linked in this way arecorrespondence analysis, unweighted or weighted logratio analysis (the latter alsoknown as "spectral mapping"), nonsymmetric correspondence analysis, principalcomponent analysis (with and without logarithmic transformation of the data) andmultidimensional scaling. In this presentation I will show how several of thesemethods, which are frequently used in compositional data analysis, may be linkedthrough parametrizations such as power transformations, linear transformations andconvex linear combinations. Since the methods of interest here all lead to visual mapsof data, a "movie" can be made where where the linking parameter is allowed to vary insmall steps: the results are recalculated "frame by frame" and one can see the smoothchange from one method to another. Several of these "movies" will be shown, giving adeeper insight into the similarities and differences between these methods.

Implications of dynamic trading for insurance markets

We study the interaction between insurance and capital markets within singlebut general framework.We show that capital markets greatly enhance the risksharing capacity of insurance markets and the scope of risks that areinsurable because efficiency does not depend on the number of agents atrisk, nor on risks being independent, nor on the preferences and endowmentsof agents at risk being the same. We show that agents share risks by buyingfull coverage for their individual risks and provide insurance capitalthrough stock markets.We show that aggregate risk enters private insuranceas positive loading on insurance prices and despite that agents will buyfull coverage. The loading is determined by the risk premium of investorsin the stock market and hence does not depend on the agent s willingnessto pay. Agents provide insurance capital by trading an equally weightedportfolio of insurance company shares and riskless asset. We are able toconstruct agents optimal trading strategies explicitly and for verygeneral preferences.

Fluctuación y distribución espacio-temporal de Tuthillia cognata (Hemiptera, Psyllidae) y de Ocyptamus persimilis (Diptera, Syrphidae) en el cultivo de camu-camu Myrciaria dubia (Myrtaceae) en Ucayali, Perú

Tuthillia cognata Hodkinson, Brown & Burckhardt, 1986 (Hemiptera, Psyllidae) es una plaga importante en el cultivo de camu-camu, Myrciaria dubia H.B.K. Mc Vaugh (Myrtaceae) en la Amazonía Peruana. El objetivo del presente estudio fue determinar la fluctuación y la distribución espacio-temporal de T. cognata y de su controlador biológico Ocyptamus persimilis (Curran, 1930) (Diptera, Syrphidae), entre enero a noviembre del 2004 en los caseríos San Juan y Padre Bernardo, Pucallpa, Ucayali, Perú. El número de ninfas y adultos de T. cognata fue mayor en la época lluviosa que en la seca, pero no en el número de huevos, ni en el número de colonias. Los huevos, ninfas y adultos prefirieron el tercio superior de la planta en comparación con el tercio medio e inferior en ambos caseríos. La excepción fue la presencia de huevos en el caserío San Juan que no mostró preferencias por ninguno de los tercios. No se observaron diferencias en el porcentaje de infestación por T. cognata entre ambos caseríos y entre la época seca y lluviosa. En O. persimilis, no se encontró diferencias en el número de huevos, larvas y pupas entre la época seca y lluviosa. Se observó que los huevos, larvas y pupas prefirieron el tercio superior de la planta en comparación con el tercio medio e inferior en ambos caseríos. Ambas especies, T. cognata y O. persimilis presentaron un patrón de distribución espacial - temporal agregado. Se encontró una relación directa entre el número de colonias de T. cognata y O. persimilis. Sin embargo, el número de huevos, ninfas y adultos de T. cognata no se encontraron correlacionados con el número de huevos, larvas y pupas de O. persimilis.

Dynamic higher order expectations

In models where privately informed agents interact, agents may need to formhigher order expectations, i.e. expectations of other agents' expectations. This paper develops a tractable framework for solving and analyzing linear dynamic rational expectationsmodels in which privately informed agents form higher order expectations. The frameworkis used to demonstrate that the well-known problem of the infinite regress of expectationsidentified by Townsend (1983) can be approximated to an arbitrary accuracy with a finitedimensional representation under quite general conditions. The paper is constructive andpresents a fixed point algorithm for finding an accurate solution and provides weak conditions that ensure that a fixed point exists. To help intuition, Singleton's (1987) asset pricingmodel with disparately informed traders is used as a vehicle for the paper.

Variabilidad espacio-temporal de clorofila, producción primaria y nutrientes frente a la costa peruana

La serie de datos sobre clorófila, producción primaria y nutrientes de la costa pe­ ruana (4º -18º S) reunidos por el IMARPE a través de varios años ha permitido establecer los patrones promedio de su distribución en la superficial del mar. El principal objetivo del presente estudio fue la variabilidad a toda escala incluyendo "El Niño". Las fluctuaciones a corto plazo fueron evidentes dentro del periodo 1964-1978 pero no lograron alterar una distribución característica para todo el periodo. La intensidad estacional del afloramiento en el norte y sur (otoño e invierno) estuvo relacionada a la distribución de nutrientes, clorofila y productividad del fitoplancton cuya ocurrencia en ''patches" y lenguas reflejó la dinámica que gobierna la región costera de Perú como resultado del flujo de aguas oceánicas hacia la costa y del flujo de aguas afloradas Juera de la costa. El ciclo estacional de fitoplancton medido en base a su biomasa comienza en primavera cuando el régimen local de luz mejora, las concentraciones de clorófila alcanzan su máximo a mediados de verano y comienzos de otoño decreciendo en invierno; de esta variabilidad en la abundancia resulta una correlación estacional negativa con los nutrientes en verano e invierno. Similar tendencia mostró la distribución de producción primaria cuyas máximas estuvieron relacionadas con las aguas frías a lo largo de la costa. La distribución latitudinal de clorófila en la costa peruana durante los años de ocurrencia de El Niño mostró características diferentes del patrón normal especialmente en 1976. Las concentraciones se hallaron muy pegadas a la costa, una excepción fueron. las áreas donde dominó el dinoflagelado Gymnodinium splendens con una distribución más alejada de la costa. Los años cálidos se caracterizaron por una baja biomasa del fitoplancton en relación a la media de 1966 considerado como un año de condiciones promedio. El rango anual de la concentración de nutrientes encontrado a una temperatura dada mostró límites definidos para las diferentes estaciones del año. En respuesta al incremento de la temperatura Juera de la costa (norte y oeste) las variables químicas y biológicas decrecieron.

Temporal distribution of Aedes aegypti Linnaeus (Diptera, Culicidae), in a Hospital in Cuiabá, State of Mato Grosso, Brazil

This study aimed at registering and monitoring the presence of Aedes aegypti in the University Hospital Júlio Muller, Cuiabá-MT, as well as investigating the influence of temperature and rainfall on its temporal distribution and egg densities in ovitraps. The study was performed from April/2007 to March/2008, utilizing ovitraps with 10% of hay infusion and a wood paddle as an oviposition substrate. For surveillance, one ovitrap was placed in each of the 12 points distributed throughout the hospital. Ovitraps were collected monthly at the end of a 5-day installation period. After egg counting, wood paddles were immersed in water to allow larval eclosion for species identification through optical microscopy. Egg Density Index (EDI), Positive Ovitraps Index (POI), and Mean Number of Eggs (MNE) were used for data analysis. The presence of A. aegypti in the hospital was registered throughout the study period, except in July. The MNE was proportionally higher in the internal area (n= 8.47 eggs/paddle) when compared to the external area (n= 5.46 eggs/paddle), and was higher in September/October 2007 and January/February 2008. A significant increase in EDI, POI and MNE was registered in periods where the average temperature was higher, and the increase in POI was also concomitant with an increase in rainfall. The continuous presence of A. aegypti in the hospital throughout the study period, points out the need of including this mosquito in the arthropod control list in this environment. This is particularly important, considering that A. aegypti is an important vector of several arboviroses.

Variación espacio-temporal del fitoplancton frente a Callao, Perú, en 1986

Entre enero y noviembre de 1986, se colectaron un total de 216 muestras de fitoplancton en siete estaciones frente al Callao, Perú y 200 millas náuticas de distancia a la costa en profundidades de 0-50 m. Se determinaron las composiciones especiológicas y las densidades en relación a los factores ambientales.

Emergence of Cooperation on Static and Dynamic Networks

Game theory is a branch of applied mathematics used to analyze situation where two or more agents are interacting. Originally it was developed as a model for conflicts and collaborations between rational and intelligent individuals. Now it finds applications in social sciences, eco- nomics, biology (particularly evolutionary biology and ecology), engineering, political science, international relations, computer science, and philosophy. Networks are an abstract representation of interactions, dependencies or relationships. Net- works are extensively used in all the fields mentioned above and in many more. Many useful informations about a system can be discovered by analyzing the current state of a network representation of such system. In this work we will apply some of the methods of game theory to populations of agents that are interconnected. A population is in fact represented by a network of players where one can only interact with another if there is a connection between them. In the first part of this work we will show that the structure of the underlying network has a strong influence on the strategies that the players will decide to adopt to maximize their utility. We will then introduce a supplementary degree of freedom by allowing the structure of the population to be modified along the simulations. This modification allows the players to modify the structure of their environment to optimize the utility that they can obtain.

Spatial and temporal variability of chlorophyll distributions and geostrophic estimates on the Peru shelf at 9°S

Estudio del perfil de la plataforma del Peru a los 9°S. Datos colectados mediante Batfish en zig zag

Insurance with frequent trading: A dynamic analysis of efficient insurance markets

This paper extends existing insurance results on the type of insurance contracts needed for insurance market efficiency toa dynamic setting. It introduces continuosly open markets that allow for more efficient asset allocation. It alsoeliminates the role of preferences and endowments in the classification of risks, which is done primarily in terms of the actuarial properties of the underlying riskprocess. The paper further extends insurability to include correlated and catstrophic events. Under these very general conditions the paper defines a condition that determines whether a small number of standard insurance contracts (together with aggregate assets) suffice to complete markets or one needs to introduce such assets as mutual insurance.