A new method for analysing the equilibrium and time-dependent behaviour of Markovian models

Many large-scale stochastic systems, such as telecommunications networks, can be modelled using a continuous-time Markov chain. However, it is frequently the case that a satisfactory analysis of their time-dependent, or even equilibrium, behaviour is impossible. In this paper, we propose a new method of analyzing Markovian models, whereby the existing transition structure is replaced by a more amenable one. Using rates of transition given by the equilibrium expected rates of the corresponding transitions of the original chain, we are able to approximate its behaviour. We present two formulations of the idea of expected rates. The first provides a method for analysing time-dependent behaviour, while the second provides a highly accurate means of analysing equilibrium behaviour. We shall illustrate our approach with reference to a variety of models, giving particular attention to queueing and loss networks. (C) 2003 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Chapter 16: Prophylactic Human Papillomavirus Vaccines

Candidate prophylactic vaccines based on papillomavirus L1 virus-like particles (VLPs) are currently in human clinical trials. The main long-term goal of the vaccine is to reduce the incidence of cervical cancer and its precursors. In animal papillomavirus models, systemic immunization with L1 VLPs can induce high titers of neutralizing antibodies that confer protection against high-dose experimental papillomavirus challenge. In humans, systemic vaccination with L1 VLPs has been well tolerated and induced high serum antibody titers (at least 40 times higher than titers seen following natural infection). A recent proof of principle HPV16 L1 VLP efficacy trial has shown excellent protection against persistent HPV16 infection and associated cytological abnormalities. Large scale efficacy trials of L1 VLPs from HPV16 and 18 (the HPV types found most frequently in cervical cancer), with or without HPV6 and 11 (the HPV types responsible for most genital warts), are planned. If the results of these large trials support the encouraging results of the early trials, they should lead to a commercial prophylactic HPV vaccine. Implementation issues may include how to make the vaccine available in the developing world, where the majority of cervical cancer cases occur, the appropriate age of vaccination, and the role of male vaccination. Because a VLP vaccine is likely to provide type-specific protection, increasing the number of cancer-associated HPV types in the vaccine is a likely approach to broadening the protection to additional types. There will probably also be efforts to develop alternative vaccine formulations better suited to implementation in developing countries as well as attempts to develop vaccines with a therapeutic activity against established HPV infection because a combined prophylactic/therapeutic vaccine may be expected to have an even greater impact than a purely prophylactic vaccine on HPV induced disease.

Quality of Life and Colorectal Cancer: a Review

Objectives: To describe what is known of quality of life for colorectal cancer patients, to review what has been done in the Australian setting and to identify emerging directions for future research to address current gaps in knowledge. Method: A literature search (using Medline, PsychInfo, CINAHL and Sociological Abstracts) was conducted and 41 articles identified for review. Results: Three key areas relating to quality of life in colorectal cancer patients emerged from the literature review: the definition and measurement of quality of life; predictors of quality of life; and the relationship of quality of life to survival. Results of existing studies are inconsistent in relation to quality of life over time and its relationship to survival. Small sample sizes and methodological limitations make interpretation difficult. Conclusions: There is a need for large-scale, longitudinal, population-based studies describing the quality of life experienced by colorectal cancer patients and its determinants. Measurement and simultaneous adjustment for potential confounding factors would productively advance knowledge in this area, as would an analysis of the economic cost of morbidity to the community and an assessment of the cost effectiveness of proposed interventions. Implications: As the Australian population ages, the prevalence of colorectal cancer within the community will increase. This burden of disease presents as a priority area for public health research. An improved understanding of quality of life and its predictors will inform the development and design of supportive interventions for those affected by the disease.

Climate change and biotic invasions: a case history of a tropical woody vine

The impacts of climate change in the potential distribution and relative abundance of a C3 shrubby vine, Cryptostegia grandiflora, were investigated using the CLIMEX modelling package. Based upon its current naturalised distribution, C. grandiflora appears to occupy only a small fraction of its potential distribution in Australia under current climatic conditions; mostly in apparently sub-optimal habitat. The potential distribution of C. grandiflora is sensitive towards changes in climate and atmospheric chemistry in the expected range of this century, particularly those that result in increased temperature and water use efficiency. Climate change is likely to increase the potential distribution and abundance of the plant, further increasing the area at risk of invasion, and threatening the viability of current control strategies markedly. By identifying areas at risk of invasion, and vulnerabilities of control strategies, this analysis demonstrates the utility of climate models for providing information suitable to help formulate large-scale, long-term strategic plans for controlling biotic invasions. The effects of climate change upon the potential distribution of C. grandiflora are sufficiently great that strategic control plans for biotic invasions should routinely include their consideration. Whilst the effect of climate change upon the efficacy of introduced biological control agents remain unknown, their possible effect in the potential distribution of C. grandiflora will likely depend not only upon their effects on the population dynamics of C. grandiflora, but also on the gradient of climatic suitability adjacent to each segment of the range boundary.

Effect of time of harvest of budded virus on the selection of baculovirus FP mutants in cell culture

Rapid formation and selection of FP (few polyhedra) mutants occurs during serial passaging of Helicoverpa armigera nucleopolyhedrovirus (HaSNPV) in insect cell culture. The production of HaSNPV for use as biopesticides requires the passaging of the virus over a number of passages to produce enough virus inoculum for large-scale fermentation. During serial passaging in cell culture, FP mutants were rapidly selected, resulting in declined productivity and reduced potency of virus. Budded virus (BV) is usually harvested between 72 and 96 h postinfection (hpi) in order to obtain a high titer virus stock. In this study, the effect of tine of harvest (TOH) for BV on the selection rate of HaSNPV FP mutants during serial passaging was investigated. BV were harvested at different times postinfection, and each series was serially passaged for six passages. The productivity and percentage of FP mutants at each passage were determined. It was found that the selection of FP mutants can he reduced by employing an earlier TOH for BV. Serial passaging with BV harvested at 48 hpi showed a slower accumulation of FP mutants compared to that of BV harvested after 48 hpi. Higher cell specific yields were also maintained when BV were harvested at 48 hpi. When BV that were formed between 48 and 96 hpi were harvested and serially passaged, FP mutants quickly dominated the virus population. This suggests that the V formed and released between 48 and 96 hpi are most likely from FP mutant infected cells.

Estudo do processo de secagem em leito de espuma de cenoura, tomate, beterraba e morango

Em geral, produtos agrícolas são produzidos em larga escala e essa produtividade cresce proporcionalmente ao seu consumo. Entretanto, outro fator também cresce de forma proporcional, as perdas pós-colheita, o que sugere a utilização de tecnologias para aumentar a utilização desses produtos mitigando o desperdício e aumentando sua a vida de prateleira. Além disso, oferecer o produto durante o período de entressafra. No presente trabalho, foi utilizado à tecnologia de secagem em leito de espuma aplicada a cenoura, beterraba, tomate e morango, produtos amplamente produzidos e consumidos no Brasil. Neste trabalho, os quatros produtos foram submetidos à secagem em leito de espuma em secador com ar circulado em temperaturas controladas de 40, 50, 60, 70 e 80 °C. A descrição da cinética de secagem foi realizada pelo ajuste de modelos matemáticos para cada temperatura do ar de secagem. Além disso, foi proposto um modelo matemático generalizado ajustado por regressão não linear. O modelo de Page obteve o melhor ajuste sobre os dados de secagem em todos os produtos testados, com um coeficiente de determinação (R²) superior a 98% em todas as temperaturas avaliadas. Além disso, foi possível modelar a influência da temperatura do ar sobre o parâmetro k do modelo de Page através da utilização de um modelo exponencial. O coeficiente de difusão efetiva aumentou com a elevação da temperatura, apresentando valores entre 10-8e 10-7 m².s-¹ para as temperaturas de processo. A relação entre o coeficiente de difusão efetiva e a temperatura de secagem pôde ser descrita pela equação de Arrhenius.

Efeitos da depleção de nitrogênio sobre a biomassa e produção lipídica lipídica de três espécies de microalgas fitoplânticas

O uso de lipídios obtidos a partir da biomassa de microalgas tem sido descrito como uma alternativa promissora para a indústria petro-diesel e envolve etapas como o cultivo de microalgas, separação da biomassa e extração de lipídios. Para viabilizar a produção em larga escala, é necessário selecionar as espécies mais produtivas, diminuir os custos de produção e determinar as condições ideais de cultivo. Os gêneros Chlorella, Desmodesmus e Ankistrodesmus apresentam características favoráveis à produção comercial, tendo sido então selecionada uma espécie de cada no presente trabalho. O objetivo do estudo foi avaliar diferentes condições de cultivo de Ankistrodesmus fusiformis, Chlorella vulgaris e Desmodesmus spinosus visando o aumento da produtividade em biomassa e lipídios totais. As algas foram identificadas e cultivadas em laboratório, em condições controladas de temperatura a 26ºC (±1), aeração por borbulhamento à pressão ambiente e luminosidade fornecida por lâmpadas fluorescentes, com intensidade de 47,25 μmol de fótons m-2.s-1 (3500 lux), fotoperiodo de 12h e pH 7, sob duas concentrações estressantes de nitrato de sódio (0,10 g/L e 0,05g/L). Os cultivos duraram em média 16 dias, sendo as curvas de crescimento construídas com dados de espectrofotometria óptica coletados a cada 48h, e a biomassa obtida ao final do cultivo por centrifugação e liofilização de cada unidade experimental. Para extração dos lipídios totais, foi utilizada a mistura de clorofórmio: metanol (1:2), segundo a metodologia de Bligh & Dyer (1959). Os tratamentos de estresse em D.spinosus resultaram em maior acúmulo lipídico, com aumento de até 149,7%, porém com drástica diminuição do crescimento e biomassa. Em C. vulgaris, nos tratamentos de estresse, verificou-se apenas ligeiro aumento do peso seco e teor de lipídios, não havendo diferença significativa entre os tratamentos e o controle. Da mesma forma, A.fusiformis não mostrou respostas significativas ao estresse pela redução de nitrato de sódio do meio, havendo ligeira diminuição do conteúdo lipídico e aumento do crescimento e biomassa. Com respostas diferentes para cada espécie estudada, evidencia-se a necessidade do conhecimento da fisiologia e autoecologia da cepa a ser cultivada em escala comercial visando à produção de ácidos graxos para fins de biodiesel.

Cultivo in vitro de Crambe abyssinica Hochst. : germinação, micropropagação, estabilidade genética e anatomia foliar

Crambe (Crambe abyssinica) pertence à família Brassicaceae, originário da Etiópia e principalmente destinado à produção de forragem (30 a 32% de proteína bruta). Atualmente, tem sido bastante cultivado visando à extração de óleo vegetal. Com os atuais incentivos à busca de fontes de energias renováveis, o cultivo de crambe vem ganhando papel de destaque na produção de biodiesel por suas diversas vantagens, como: (a) rápido ciclo de vida (colhida em torno de 90 dias); (b) alta produção de biomassa; (c) alta produtividade de sementes (1000 e 1500 kg ha-1); (d) menor custo de produção em relação a outras fontes oleaginosas, como, canola, girassol e soja; (e) um percentual de óleo total na semente entre 32 e 38%, superando, por exemplo, a soja; (f) potencial de fitorremediação, eficiente na descontaminação de arsênio, cromo e outros metais pesados; e (g) elevado percentual de ácido erúcico (50 a 60%) sendo útil na indústria de plástico e lubrificante. Devido aos poucos trabalhos realizados com crambe, abre-se um vasto campo de investigações científicas que tenham como objetivo desenvolver as potencialidades dessa cultura e, consequentemente, melhorar os aspectos agronômicos e tecnológicos para seu emprego na indústria de biodiesel. Nesse contexto, as técnicas de cultivo in vitro foram importantes tanto para a propagação massal, quanto como ferramenta para uma possível aplicação de outras técnicas biotecnológicas, contribuindo para uma produção homogênea, fiel e em larga escala. Portanto, este trabalho teve como objetivo geral avaliar as condições mais favoráveis à germinação, estabelecimento in vitro e micropropagação de Crambe abyssinica Hochst., além de verificar possíveis alterações genéticas e anatômicas, possibilitando a regeneração e produção de plântulas viáveis. Para a germinação e estabecimento in vitro de crambe, as condições mais favoráveis foram em meio B5 ou WPM, na presença ou ausência de pericarpo e na presença de luz. Na micropropagação dessa espécie, uma frequência satisfatória de regeneração de brotos foi obtida a partir de segmentos apicais utilizados como explante em meio contendo 5 μM de BAP (6- benzilaminopurina), e o alongamento foi satisfatório com 1 μM de GA3 (ácido giberélico). Os marcadores moleculares ISSR (Inter-Simples Sequence Repeats) utilizados para a análise da estabilidade genética indicaram que o segmento apical de crambe é um explante confiável para a micropropagação de plantas geneticamente verdadeiras (true-to-tipe), ou seja, mantém a estabilidade genética. As diversas fontes de citocininas e concentrações utilizadas neste trabalho não promoveram mudanças, no sentido de alterar a organização e/ou a espessura em relação ao controle, e as alterações observadas na estrutura e espessura das folhas dos tratamentos de aclimatização prejudicaram o processo de estabelecimento da plântula ex vitro. Contudo, existe a necessidade de um enraizamento e aclimatização eficiente para completa propagação in vitro de crambe. Portanto, este protocolo de regeneração de plantas in vitro de crambe pode ser útil no processo de criação e desenvolvimento de novas cultivares em um tempo mais curto e no melhoramento genético usando explantes apicais.

The European Union and the Member States: two different perceptions of border

Abstract In this article we analyze two different perceptions of border inside Europe. On the one hand, we have the perception idealized by the European Union as an international organization, which believes that states benefit more from cooperation and dilution of borders in a common space than from keeping its borders as a symbol of its sovereignty. On the other hand, we have the European member states, taken individually, with particular interests and goals that, given the threat of illegal immigration, which is currently felt in the large-scale Europe, adopt a realistic perception of the border, and look at each territory as a space that needs protection from external threats. Following this argument, we reason that the current construction of walls in several European countries reflects the rebirth of a realistic perception of the border, and this is one more challenge for Europe regarding its unity and solidarity. Is this the end of the Schengen Agreement? What is going to happen to the European project if each state unilaterally adopts a strategy to deal with illegal immigration and refugees that are coming to Europe? Can immigration lead to a retrocession of the EU idealist significance of border?

Ambient assisted living technology: comparative perspectives of users and caregivers

Developed societies are currently facing severe demographic changes: the world population is ageing at an unprecedented rate. This demographic trend will be also followed by an increase of people with physical limitations. New challenges are being raised to the traditional health care systems, not only in Portugal, but also in all other European states. There is an urgent need to find solutions that allow extending the time people can live in their preferred environment by increasing their autonomy, self-confidence and mobility. AAL4ALL is a project currently being developed in cooperation with 34 Portuguese interdisciplinary partners, from industry to academia, R&D and social disciplines, which employs a novel conceptual approach through the development of an ecosystem of products and services for Ambient Assisted Living (AAL) associated to a business model and validated through large scale trial. This paper presents a comparative perspective of the needs and attitudes towards technology of the AAL users and caregivers identified in the analysis of a set of three different surveys: a users survey targeted at the Portuguese seniors and pre-seniors; an informal caregivers survey targeted at the family, friends and neighbours who provide care without any financial compensation; and a formal caregivers survey targeted at physicians, nurses,psychologists, social workers, and direct-care workers providing care to elders. The first results indicate that AAL solutions must be affordable,user friendly and have a true perceived benefit to their users.

An ecosystem of products and systems for ambient intelligence – the AAL4ALL users perspective

Developed societies are currently facing severe demographic changes: the world is getting older at an unprecedented rate. In 2000, about 420 million people, or approximately 7 percent of the world population, were aged 65 or older. By 2050, that number will be nearly 1.5 billion people, about 16 percent of the world population. This demographic trend will be also followed by an increase of people with physical limitations. New challenges will be raised to the traditional health care systems, not only in Portugal, but also in all other European states. There is an urgent need to find solutions that allow extending the time people can live in their preferred environment by increasing their autonomy, self-confidence and mobility. AAL4ALL presents an idea for an answer through the development of an ecosystem of products and services for Ambient Assisted Living (AAL) associated to a business model and validated through large scale trial. This paper presents the results of the first survey developed within the AAL4ALL project: the users’ survey targeted at the Portuguese seniors and pre-seniors. This paper is, thus, about the lives of the Portuguese population aged 50 and over.

Biochemical and morpho-anatomical analyses of strawberry vitroplants hyperhydric tissues affected by BA and gelling agents

In vitro propagation has become an effective practice for large-scale production of strawberry plants. The objective of this study was to evaluate the hyperhydricity and the multiplication capacity of two strawberry varieties (Fragaria x ananassa Duch. 'Dover' and 'Burkley') propagated in vitro. Plants maintained in MS medium supplemented with 1.0 mg L-1 BA were individualized and transferred to the same medium solidified with Agar (6.5 g L-1) or Phytagel® (2.5 g L-1) and BA at different concentrations (0; 0.5; 1.0; 2.0 and 3.0 mg L-1). Biochemical and anatomical analyses were carried out, as well as the analysis of the morphological hyperhydricity characteristics. The analysis of data showed: a) the increase in cytokinin concentration increased hyperhydricity frequency in both varieties; b) at concentrations up to 2.0 mg L-1 BA, the replacement of Agar by Phytagel® induced a higher formation of hyperhydric shoots; and c) the addition of BA induced oxidative stress, which is characterized by increased antioxidant activity and lipid peroxidation, as well as alterations at the cellular level, such as malformation of stomata and epidermal cells. In conclusion, the culture medium containing 0.5 mg L-1 BA solidified with Agar provided lower hyperhydricity percentages in association with higher rates of shoot proliferation in strawberry.

Error bounds for low-rank approximations of the first exponential integral kernel

A hierarchical matrix is an efficient data-sparse representation of a matrix, especially useful for large dimensional problems. It consists of low-rank subblocks leading to low memory requirements as well as inexpensive computational costs. In this work, we discuss the use of the hierarchical matrix technique in the numerical solution of a large scale eigenvalue problem arising from a finite rank discretization of an integral operator. The operator is of convolution type, it is defined through the first exponential-integral function and, hence, it is weakly singular. We develop analytical expressions for the approximate degenerate kernels and deduce error upper bounds for these approximations. Some computational results illustrating the efficiency and robustness of the approach are presented.

Effect of biostimulant application on production and flavonoid content of marigold (Calendula officinalis L.)

The production of medicinal plants as raw material for industry must associate quality with biomass formation and, with this purpose, the application of plant growth regulators has been studied in these crops. The objective of this study was to evaluate the effect of a biostimulant on growth, inflorescence production and flavonoid content in marigold. The experiment was conducted in a greenhouse and the treatments consisted of increasing doses of the biostimulant (0, 3, 6, 9, 12 and 15 mL L-1) applied by foliar spraying in ten consecutive applications. The experiment was arranged in a completely randomized design, with six treatments and ten repetitions. The number of leaves and flowerheads and dry matter of roots increased linearly with increasing doses of the growth promoter, with 20%, 36.97% and 97.28% increases, respectively, compared with the control. The total dry mass and shoot dry mass showed maximum values at the highest dose tested of 15 mL L-1 (with increases of 40.09% and 46.30%, respectively). Plant height and flavonoid content reached the highest values at a dose of 6 mL L-1. The biostimulant promoted the development of marigold and positively influenced the synthesis of the secondary compound of medicinal interest. Among the tested doses, the application of rates between 6 and 9 mL L-1 of the biostimulant is recommended for more efficient large-scale production of marigold.

Innovation and adoption of mobile technology in public organizations: the IBGE case

The use of Mobile and Wireless Information Technologies (MWIT) for provisioning public services by a government is a relatively recent phenomenon. This paper evaluates the results of MWIT adoption by IBGE (The Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics) through a case study. In 2007, IBGE applied 82,000 mobile devices (PDAs) for data gathering in a census operation in Brazil. A set of challenges for a large scale application of MWIT required intensive work involving innovative working practices and service goals. The case reveals a set of outputs of this process, such as time and cost reductions in service provision, improved information quality, staff training and increased organizational effectiveness and agility.