902 resultados para Simulation with multiple Consumers Profiles
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In this paper we summarise some of our recent work on consumer behaviour, drawing on recent developments in behavioural economics, in which consumers are embedded in a social context, so their behaviour is shaped by their interactions with other consumers. For the purpose of this paper we also allow consumption to cause environmental damage. Analysing the social context of consumption naturally lends itself to the use of game theoretic tools, and indicates that we seek to develop links between economics and sociology rather than economics and psychology, which has been the more predominant field for work in behavioural economics. We shall be concerned with three sets of issues: conspicuous consumption, consumption norms and altruistic behaviour. Our aim is to show that building links between sociological and economic approaches to the study of consumer behaviour can lead to significant and surprising implications for conventional economic policy prescriptions, especially with respect to environmental policy.
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Abstract. Given a model that can be simulated, conditional moments at a trial parameter value can be calculated with high accuracy by applying kernel smoothing methods to a long simulation. With such conditional moments in hand, standard method of moments techniques can be used to estimate the parameter. Because conditional moments are calculated using kernel smoothing rather than simple averaging, it is not necessary that the model be simulable subject to the conditioning information that is used to define the moment conditions. For this reason, the proposed estimator is applicable to general dynamic latent variable models. It is shown that as the number of simulations diverges, the estimator is consistent and a higher-order expansion reveals the stochastic difference between the infeasible GMM estimator based on the same moment conditions and the simulated version. In particular, we show how to adjust standard errors to account for the simulations. Monte Carlo results show how the estimator may be applied to a range of dynamic latent variable (DLV) models, and that it performs well in comparison to several other estimators that have been proposed for DLV models.
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Introduction: Compressive epidural haematomas occurring following spine surgery are very rare but can potentially lead to irreversible damage. The evacuation of the haematoma as an emergency procedure remains the only effective treatment providing though alerting signs are detected on time. Few studies exist on this subject probably due to its rarity. The etiological factors as well as the place of imaging studies prior to urgent haematoma evacuation remain controversial. Two cases of delayed post-operative compressive epidural haematomas following lumbar-spine surgery were detected in our unit between April 2003 and January 2009. In both cases new onset of pain, aggravation of existing neurological deficit or development of new deficit along with worsening of pre-existing walking difficulties were noted. Emergency computer tomography (CT) could not exclude compression in both cases due to important artefacts. Emergency surgery was performed confirming the presence of haematoma in both cases and leading to a complete neurological recovery following its evacuation. As only risk factors common to both cases we identified drain removal and resuming of thromboprophylaxis. Conclusion: Obstacles in early detection of post-operative compressive epidural haematomas occurring following spine surgery are patients presenting with multiple complaints as well as shift work pattern of staff who might not always be trained in detecting early changes in neurological status. We therefore established a checklist for post-operative neurological observations to be carried out on spine surgery patients during the postoperative period. We describe our adopted attitude considering the etiological factors observed in our unit. Further studies including in a multi centre setting would be necessary in order to ascertain our observations.
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INTRODUCTION: Intravoxel incoherent motion (IVIM) imaging is an MRI perfusion technique that uses a diffusion-weighted sequence with multiple b values and a bi-compartmental signal model to measure the so-called pseudo-diffusion of blood caused by its passage through the microvascular network. The goal of the current study was to assess the feasibility of IVIM perfusion fraction imaging in patients with acute stroke. METHODS: Images were collected in 17 patients with acute stroke. Exclusion criteria were onset of symptoms to imaging >5 days, hemorrhagic transformation, infratentorial lesions, small lesions <0.5 cm in minimal diameter and hemodynamic instability. IVIM imaging was performed at 3 T, using a standard spin-echo Stejskal-Tanner pulsed gradients diffusion-weighted sequence, using 16 b values from 0 to 900 s/mm(2). Image quality was assessed by two radiologists, and quantitative analysis was performed in regions of interest placed in the stroke area, defined by thresholding the apparent diffusion coefficient maps, as well as in the contralateral region. RESULTS: IVIM perfusion fraction maps showed an area of decreased perfusion fraction f in the region of decreased apparent diffusion coefficient. Quantitative analysis showed a statistically significant decrease in both IVIM perfusion fraction f (0.026 ± 0.019 vs. 0.056 ± 0.025, p = 2.2 · 10(-6)) and diffusion coefficient D compared with the contralateral side (3.9 ± 0.79 · 10(-4) vs. 7.5 ± 0.86 · 10(-4) mm(2)/s, p = 1.3 · 10(-20)). CONCLUSION: IVIM perfusion fraction imaging is feasible in acute stroke. IVIM perfusion fraction is significantly reduced in the visible infarct. Further studies should evaluate the potential for IVIM to predict clinical outcome and treatment response.
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We analyze the transitional dynamics of a model with heterogeneous consumption goods. In this model, convergence is driven by two different forces: the typical diminishing returns to capital and the sectoral change inducing the variation in relative prices. We show that this second force affects the growth rate if the two consumption goods are not Edgeworth independent and if these two goods are produced with technologies exhibiting different capital intensities. Because the afore mentioned dynamic sectoral change arises only under heterogeneous consumption goods, the transitional dynamics of this model exhibits striking differences with the growth model with a single consumption good. We also show that these differences in the transitional dynamics can give raise to large discrepancies in the welfare cost of shocks between the economy with a unique consumption good and the economy with multiple consumption goods.
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Abstract: We analyze the realized stock-bond correlation. Gradual transitions between negative and positive stock-bond correlation is accommodated by the smooth transition regression (STR) model. The changes in regime are de ned by economic and financial transition variables. Both in sample and out-of- sample results document that STR models with multiple transition variables outperform STR models with a single transition variable. The most important transition variables are the short rate, the yield spread, and the VIX volatility index. Keywords: realized correlation; smooth transition regressions; stock-bond correlation; VIX index JEL Classifi cations: C22; G11; G12; G17
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IPH welcomes the Regulator’s Social Action Plan as one of a range of policy measures needed to tackle escalating fuel poverty in Northern Ireland. The Social Action Plan relates to how energy suppliers and networks respond to the needs of vulnerable customers. The submission discusses the definition of vulnerable customers used by energy suppliers and calls for special consideration of householders with multiple vulnerabilities. IPH also calls for special attention to be paid to the development of appropriate social tarrifs and supports for debt management. Key messages • The Institute of Public Health in Ireland (IPH) views this social action plan as a welcome contribution to the range of policy measures needed to tackle escalating fuel poverty in Northern Ireland. • The activities and ethos of energy suppliers plays a significant role in alleviating fuel poverty and the threats posed to health when living in a cold, damp and energy inefficient home. • IPH shares the view of the World Health Organisation that more evidence is needed to demonstrate the real impact of corporate social responsibility in the provision of goods and services vital to health and well-being, such as fuel and water.
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We recently reported on the deficiency of carbohydrate sulfotransferase 3 (CHST3; chondroitin-6-sulfotransferase) in six subjects diagnosed with recessive Larsen syndrome or humero-spinal dysostosis [Hermanns et al. (2008); Am J Hum Genet 82:1368-1374]. Since then, we have identified 17 additional families with CHST3 mutations and we report here on a series of 24 patients in 23 families. The diagnostic hypothesis prior to molecular analysis had been: Larsen syndrome (15 families), humero-spinal dysostosis (four cases), chondrodysplasia with multiple dislocations (CDMD "Megarbane type"; two cases), Desbuquois syndrome (one case), and spondylo-epiphyseal dysplasia (one case). In spite of the different diagnostic labels, the clinical features in these patients were similar and included dislocation of the knees and/or hips at birth, clubfoot, elbow joint dysplasia with subluxation and limited extension, short stature, and progressive kyphosis developing in late childhood. The most useful radiographic clues were the changes of the lumbar vertebrae. Twenty-four different CHST3 mutations were identified; 16 patients had homozygous mutations. We conclude that CHST3 deficiency presents at birth with congenital dislocations of knees, hips, and elbows, and is often diagnosed initially as Larsen syndrome, humero-spinal dysostosis, or chondrodysplasia with dislocations. The incidence of CHST3 deficiency seems to be higher than assumed so far. The clinical and radiographic pattern (joint dislocations, vertebral changes, normal carpal age, lack of facial flattening, and recessive inheritance) is characteristic and distinguishes CHST3 deficiency from other disorders with congenital dislocations such as filamin B-associated dominant Larsen syndrome and Desbuquois syndrome.
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Natural Orifice Transluminal Endoscopic Surgery (NOTES) is a novel, potentially less invasive alternative to laparoscopic surgery. However, the problems of transluminal access and closure represent significant obstacles to its successful introduction in humans. Objective: to evaluate the feasibility and safety of a novel device designed for transluminal access and closure in a survival porcine model. Subjects: Four adult female Yorkshire pigs were used in the study. Interventions: While under general anesthesia, the animals were prepared with multiple tap water enemas followed by instillation of an antibiotic suspension and povidone-iodine lavage. At a distance of 15 to 20 cm from the anus, the prototype device (LSI Solutions, Victor, NY, USA) deployed a circumscribing purse-string suture around the planned incision site and subsequently used a blade mechanism to create a 2.5-cm linear incision. The transcolonic incision was then closed by cinching and securing the purse-string suture with a titanium knot by use of a separate hand-activated suture-locking device. Main Outcome Measurements: The animals were monitored daily for signs of peritonitis and sepsis and were survived for 14 days. The peritoneal cavity was examined for peritonitis, and the colonic incision site was examined for wound dehiscence, pericolic abscess formation, and gross adhesions. Tissue samples from both incisional and random peritoneal sites were obtained for histologic examination. Results: Transcolonic incision and closure were successful in all 4 animals. The device performed in a rapid and reproducible fashion. All animals recovered without septic complications. At necropsy, there was no evidence of peritonitis, abscesses, or wound dehiscence. Salpingocolonic and colovesicular adhesions were noted in 3 of 4 animals. Histologic examination revealed microabscesses at the incision site in all animals. Conclusions: The prototype incision and closure device represents a promising solution to the problems of transluminal access for NOTES. The presence of incision-related adhesions and microabscesses signal the need for further refinement in aseptic technique.
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Hypereosinophilic syndrome (HES) is a myeloproliferative disorder characterised by persistent eosinophilia associated with multiple organ damage. The three criteria required for the diagnosis of the disease are: a sustained absolute eosinophilic count in the serum greater than 1500/μl present for longer than 6 months, no aetiology for secondary eosinophilia present and identification of signs and symptoms of end-organ involvement [1][2]. Despite significant progress in our understanding of the pathogenesis of some forms of hypereosinophilic syndrome, the current state of knowledge is still insufficient to formulate a new comprehensive etiologic definition of HES [3]. Very few reports can be retrieved describing ocular involvement in HES. Retinal arteriolar occlusions were observed in the pre-equatorial region and documented by angiography in one report [4], while the principal defects noted in a second report were occlusions of major retinal vessels, choroidal infarct, and patchy or delayed choroidal filling [5]. We present a case of extensive bilateral choroidal infiltrates in a patient suffering from idiopathic hypereosinophilia, potentially attributable to her disease.
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Previous investigations of sensory systems in opecoelid cercariae have focused on chaetotaxy and ultrastructure of sensory receptors. They revealed chaetotaxic patterns within family, genus, and species as well as different receptors. Chaetotaxic and ultrastructural observations have rarely been combined. We investigated the ultrastructure of cercarial sensory receptors in conjunction with chaetotaxy and neuromorphology in a species of Allopodocotyle. Cercariae were treated with acetylthiocholine iodide and silver nitrate, and some were processed for light, scanning (SEM), and transmission (TEM) electron microscopy. Five nerve regions were distinguished. Chaetotaxy was consistent with that of other opecoelids. Five types of receptors were distinguished with SEM. Types differed in number of cilium-like structures (one or more), length of cilium-like structure (short, moderately long, or long), presence or absence of a tegumentary collar, and length of tegumentary collar (low, moderately low, or very high). Internal ultrastructure of some types revealed unsheathed cilium-like structures, basal body, and thickened nerve collars. Possible subtegumentary and sheathed receptors are introduced. Some receptor types were site-specific. For example, receptors with multiple cilium-like structures were concentrated on cephalic region whereas receptors with short cilium-like structure were widespread throughout most regions. Ultrastructure and site-specificity observations suggest that most receptors are mechanoreceptors.
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Clostridium difficile infections: update on new European recommandations While metronidazole and vancomycin have been the only drug options to date for the treatment of C. difficile infection, new therapeutic approaches with promising results have recently emerged for the treatment of the first episode and relapses. Fidaxomicin is a new macrocyclic antibiotic more active against C. difficile and with a narrow spectrum allowing preservation of the intestinal microbiota. While having the same efficacy as vancomycin for the treatment of the first episode, this agent is associated with a lower rate of relapse. The highest relapse-free cure rate is achieved through fecal microbiota transplantation, which should be considered for patients with multiple relapses.
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Why generalist and specialist species coexist in nature is a question that has interested evolutionary biologists for a long time. While the coexistence of specialists and generalists exploiting resources on a single ecological dimension has been theoretically and empirically explored, biological systems with multiple resource dimensions (e.g. trophic, ecological) are less well understood. Yet, such systems may provide an alternative to the classical theory of stable evolutionary coexistence of generalist and specialist species on a single resource dimension. We explore such systems and the potential trade-offs between different resource dimensions in clownfishes. All species of this iconic clade are obligate mutualists with sea anemones yet show interspecific variation in anemone host specificity. Moreover, clownfishes developed variable environmental specialization across their distribution. In this study, we test for the existence of a relationship between host-specificity (number of anemones associated with a clownfish species) and environmental-specificity (expressed as the size of the ecological niche breadth across climatic gradients). We find a negative correlation between host range and environmental specificities in temperature, salinity and pH, probably indicating a trade-off between both types of specialization forcing species to specialize only in a single direction. Trade-offs in a multi-dimensional resource space could be a novel way of explaining the coexistence of generalist and specialists.
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Résumé Les agents pathogènes responsables d'infection entraînent chez l'hôte deux types de réponses immunes, la première, non spécifique, dite immunité innée, la seconde, spécifique à l'agent concerné, dite immunité adaptative. L'immunité innée, qui représente la première ligne de défense contre les pathogènes, est liée à la reconnaissance par les cellules de l'hôte de structures moléculaires propres aux micro-organismes (« Pathogen-Associated Molecular Patterns », PAMPs), grâce à des récepteurs membranaires et cytoplasmiques (« Pattern Recognition Receptors », PRRs) identifiant de manière spécifique ces motifs moléculaires. Les récepteurs membranaires impliqués dans ce processus sont dénommés toll-like récepteurs, ou TLRS. Lorsqu'ils sont activés par leur ligand spécifique, ces récepteurs activent des voies de signalisation intracellulaires initiant la réponse inflammatoire non spécifique et visant à éradiquer l'agent pathogène. Les deux voies de signalisation impliquées dans ce processus sont la voie des « Mitogen-Activated Protein Kinases » (MAPKs) et celle du « Nuclear Factor kappaB » (NF-κB), dont l'activation entraîne in fine l'expression de protéines de l'inflammation dénommées cytokines, ainsi que certaines enzymes produisant divers autres médiateurs inflammatoires. Dans certaines situations, cette réponse immune peut être amplifiée de manière inadéquate, entraînant chez l'hôte une réaction inflammatoire systémique exagérée, appelée sepsis. Le sepsis peut se compliquer de dysfonctions d'organes multiples (sepsis sévère), et dans sa forme la plus grave, d'un collapsus cardiovasculaire, définissant le choc septique. La défaillance circulatoire du choc septique touche les vaisseaux sanguins d'une part, le coeur d'autre part, réalisant un tableau de «dysfonction cardiaque septique », dont on connaît mal les mécanismes pathogéniques. Les bactéries à Gram négatif peuvent déclencher de tels phénomènes, notamment en libérant de l'endotoxine, qui active les voies de l'immunité innée par son interaction avec un toll récepteur, le TLR4. Outre l'endotoxine, la plupart des bactéries à Gram négatif relâchent également dans leur environnement une protéine, la flagelline, qui est le constituant majeur du flagelle bactérien, organelle assurant la mobilité de ces micro-organismes. Des données récentes ont indiqué que la flagelline active, dans certaines cellules, les voies de l'immunité innée en se liant au récepteur TLRS. On ne connaît toutefois pas les conséquences de l'interaction flagelline-TLRS sur le développement de l'inflammation et des dysfonctions d'organes au cours du sepsis. Nous avons par conséquent élaboré le présent travail en formulant l'hypothèse que la flagelline pourrait déclencher une telle inflammation et représenter ainsi un médiateur potentiel de la dysfonction d'organes au cours du sepsis à Gram négatif, en nous intéressant plus particulièrement àl'inflammation et à la dysfonction cardiaque. Dans la première partie de ce travail, nous avons étudié les effets de la flagelline sur l'activation du NF-κB et des MAPKs, et sur l'expression de cytokines inflammatoires au niveau du myocarde in vitro (cardiomyocytes en culture) et in vivo (injection de flagelline recombinante à des souris). Nous avons observé tout d'abord que le récepteur TLRS est fortement exprimé au niveau du myocarde. Nous avons ensuite démontré que la flagelline active la voie du NF-κB et des MAP kinases (p38 et JNK), stimule la production de cytokines et de chemokines inflammatoires in vitro et in vivo, et entraîne l'activation de polynucléaires neutrophiles dans le tissu cardiaque in vivo. Finalement, au plan fonctionnel, nous avons pu montrer que la flagelline entraîne une dilatation et une réduction aiguë de la contractilité du ventricule gauche chez la souris, reproduisant les caractéristiques de la dysfonction cardiaque septique. Dans la deuxième partie, nous avons déterminé la distribution du récepteur TLRS dans les autres organes majeurs de la souris (poumon, foie, intestin et rein}, et avons caractérisé dans ces organes l'effet de la flagelline sur l'activation du NF-κB et des MAPKs, l'expression de cytokines, et l'induction de l'apoptose. Nous avons démontré que le TLRS est exprimé de façon constitutive dans ces organes, et que l'injection de flagelline y déclenche les cascades de l'immunité innée et de processus apoptotiques. Finalement, nous avons également déterminé que la flagelline entraîne une augmentation significative de multiples cytokines dans le plasma une à six heures après son injection. En résumé, nos données démontrent que la flagelline bactérienne (a) entraîne une inflammation et une dysfonction importantes du myocarde et (b) active de manière très significative les mécanismes d'immunité innée dans les principaux organes et entraîne une réponse inflammatoire systémique. Par conséquent, la flagelline peut représenter un médiateur puissant de l'inflammation et de la dysfonction d'organes, notamment du coeur, au cours du choc septique déclenché par les bactéries à Gram négatif. Summary Pathogenic microorganisms trigger two kinds of immune responses in the host. The first one is immediate and non-specific and is termed innate immunity, whereas the second one, specifically targeted at the invading agent, is termed adaptative immunity. Innate immunity, which represents the first line of defense against invading pathogens, confers the host the ability to recognize molecular structures common to many microbial pathogens, ("Pathogen-Associated Molecular Patterns", PAMPs), through cytosolic or membrane-associated receptors ("Pattern Recognition Receptors", PRRs), the latter being represented by a family of receptors termed "toll-like receptors or TLRs". Once activated by the binding of their specific ligand, these receptors activate intracellular signaling pathways, which initiate the non-specific inflammatory response aimed at eradicating the pathogens. The two pathways implicated in this process are the mitogen-activated protein kinases (MAPK) and the nuclear factor kappa B (NF-κB) signaling pathways, whose activation elicit in fine the expression of inflammatory proteins termed cytokines, as well as various enzymes producing a wealth of additional inflammatory mediators. In some circumstances, the innate immune response can become amplified and dysregulated, triggering an overwhelming systemic inflammatory response in the host, identified as sepsis. Sepsis can be associated with multiple organ dysfunction (severe sepsis), and in its most severe form, with cardiovascular collapse, defming septic shock. The cardiovascular failure associated with septic shock affects blood vessels as well as the heart, resulting in a particular form of acute heart failure termed "septic cardiac dysfunction ", whose pathogenic mechanisms remain partly undefined. Gram-negative bacteria can initiate such phenomena, notably by releasing lipopolysaccharide (LPS), which activates innate immune signaling by interacting with its specific toll receptor, the TLR4. Besides LPS, most Gram-negative bacteria also release flagellin into their environment, which is the main structural protein of the bacterial flagellum, an appendage extending from the outer bacterial membrane, responsible for the motility of the microorganism. Recent data indicated that flagellin activate immune responses upon binding to its receptor, TLRS, in various cell types. However, the role of flagellin/TLRS interaction in the development of inflammation and organ dysfunction during sepsis is not known. Therefore, we designed the present work to address the hypothesis that flagellin might trigger such inflammatory responses and thus represent a potential mediator of organ dysfunction during Gram-negative sepsis, with a particular emphasis on cardiac inflammation and contractile dysfunction. In the first part of this work, we investigated the effects of flagellin on NF-κB and MAPK activation and the generation of pro-inflammatory mediators within the heart in vitro (cultured cardiomyocytes) and in vivo (injection of recombinant flagellin into mice). We first observed that TLRS protein is strongly expressed by the myocardium. We then demonstrated that flagellin activates NF-κB and MAP kinases (p38 and JNK), upregulates the transcription of pro-inflammatory cytokines and chemokines in vitro and in vivo, and stimulates the activation of polymorphonuclear neutrophils within the heart in vivo. Finally, we demonstrated that flagellin triggers acute cardiac dilation, and a significant reduction of left ventricular contractility, mimicking characteristics of clinical septic cardiac dysfunction. In the second part, we determined the TLRS distribution in other mice major organs (lung, liver, gut and kidney) and we characterized in these organs the effects of flagellin on NF-κB and MAPK activation, on the expression of pro-inflammatory çytokines, and on the induction of apoptosis. We demonstrated that TLRS protein is constitutively expressed and that flagellin activates prototypical innate immune responses and pro-apoptotic pathways in all these organs. Finally, we also observed that flagellin induces a significant increase of multiple cytokines in the plasma from 1 to 6 hours after its intravenous administration. Altogether, these data provide evidence that bacterial flagellin (a) triggers an important inflammatory response and an acute dysfunction of the myocardium, and (b) significantly activates the mechanisms of innate immunity in most major organs and elicits a systemic inflammatory response. In consequence, flagellin may represent a potent mediator of inflammation and multiple organ failure, notably cardiac dysfunction, during Gram-negative septic shock.
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A total of 190 research documents were identified in line with the criteria agreed between the researchers and the CAAB, and are included in the audit. The key findings from the analysis of the audit are as follows:Â Â - Research identified in the audit has tended to focus on child protection and the child protection system generally, as well as sexual abuse. This research has primarily been undertaken by clinicians and academics, and spans across sectors. Â - Over half, (110 or 58%) of the research falls under the heading of policy/practice reviews/analysis. This is further reflected in the fact that the research most commonly focused on operating procedures, followed by practice issues and the policy framework, both in studies with a single focus and those with multiple foci. Â - The most common type of publication was peer reviewed article (74 or 39%), with commissioned research accounting for just 7% (13). This is in line with the findings that 68% (128) of commissioning/publishing bodies and 74% (139) of research bodies were in the academic sector. Â - The research published and/or commissioned by the statutory sector follows the pattern found in the audit generally, with the most common type of study being policy/practice review/analysis (27 or 48%) and the most common focus being operating procedures (22 or 39%). Â - Information sources rarely incorporated primary research with children, with only 14 studies (8%) citing direct contact with children and young people. Information on children was more commonly gathered from case files, professionals and family members. Â - The topics covered in the identified research were very wide-ranging but closely related to the primary subject area (type of abuse) and the sector in which the research was located. Â One conclusion stated that: There is a shortage of child protection-focused research on the factors that cause and perpetuate child abuse, such as homelessness, addiction, parental mental illness and domestic violence. The need for material on these areas is demonstrated by the nature and scale of reports to the child protection system and the removal of some children from their families into out of home care as a result of the above mentioned adversities.This resource was contributed by The National Documentation Centre on Drug Use.