Gestão da cadeia de abastecimento de bens de consumo baseada em modelos de previsão lineares

Dissertação apresentada ao Instituto Politécnico do Porto para obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Logística

A Hipoteca: caracterização, vicissitudes e vulnerabilidades

Dissertação de Mestrado em Solicitadoria

Using data mining techniques to support breast cancer diagnosis

More than ever, there is an increase of the number of decision support methods and computer aided diagnostic systems applied to various areas of medicine. In breast cancer research, many works have been done in order to reduce false-positives when used as a double reading method. In this study, we aimed to present a set of data mining techniques that were applied to approach a decision support system in the area of breast cancer diagnosis. This method is geared to assist clinical practice in identifying mammographic findings such as microcalcifications, masses and even normal tissues, in order to avoid misdiagnosis. In this work a reliable database was used, with 410 images from about 115 patients, containing previous reviews performed by radiologists as microcalcifications, masses and also normal tissue findings. Throughout this work, two feature extraction techniques were used: the gray level co-occurrence matrix and the gray level run length matrix. For classification purposes, we considered various scenarios according to different distinct patterns of injuries and several classifiers in order to distinguish the best performance in each case described. The many classifiers used were Naïve Bayes, Support Vector Machines, k-nearest Neighbors and Decision Trees (J48 and Random Forests). The results in distinguishing mammographic findings revealed great percentages of PPV and very good accuracy values. Furthermore, it also presented other related results of classification of breast density and BI-RADS® scale. The best predictive method found for all tested groups was the Random Forest classifier, and the best performance has been achieved through the distinction of microcalcifications. The conclusions based on the several tested scenarios represent a new perspective in breast cancer diagnosis using data mining techniques.

Topics regarding access to european information institutions: European Union so close and yet so far

From the 1990s, the Parliament, the Council and the European Commission adopted a new approach to disclosure of their working papers. Legal instruments to regulate and allow a fairly broad access to internal working documents of these institutions were created. European institutions also exploited the potential of Information and Communication Technologies, developing new instruments to register the documents produced and make them accessible to the public. The commitment to transparency sought to shows a more credible European government, and reduces the democratic deficit. However, the data analysis regarding access to EU institutions documents shows that general public is still far from direct contact with European bodies.

A longitudinal study of enterobiasis in three day care centers of Havana City

Pinworm infection was prospectively studied during one year in 469 children attending three day care centers. Each child was examined at six months intervals using up to three perianal swabs with adhesive tape. Those found infected were treated with mebendazole. At the beginning of the study we found a prevalence of 28% that dropped to 13% and 12% in the following study periods. The reinfection rate was twice the incidence rate in both study periods. We also found a small percentage (10%) of the children reinfected in most or all study periods. There was a high correlation between reinfection and perianal itching. Our results add further knowledge to the epidemiology of intestinal parasites in day care centers.

Short-term Wind Speed Forecasting using Support Vector Machines

Wind speed forecasting has been becoming an important field of research to support the electricity industry mainly due to the increasing use of distributed energy sources, largely based on renewable sources. This type of electricity generation is highly dependent on the weather conditions variability, particularly the variability of the wind speed. Therefore, accurate wind power forecasting models are required to the operation and planning of wind plants and power systems. A Support Vector Machines (SVM) model for short-term wind speed is proposed and its performance is evaluated and compared with several artificial neural network (ANN) based approaches. A case study based on a real database regarding 3 years for predicting wind speed at 5 minutes intervals is presented.

IgM and IgA Antibody Responses in 12 Cases of Human Acquired Toxoplasmosis

The persistence, in some subjects, of specific IgM antibodies to Toxoplasma gondii for several months after the acute phase of infection has complicated the interpretation of serological test results for toxoplasmosis. Several reports have emphasized the value of the detection of Toxoplasma-specific IgA antibodies for the diagnosis of acute toxoplasmosis. In this article, we report the follow-up profiles of Toxoplasma-specific IgM and IgA antibodies in serum samples obtained from 12 patients at various intervals after the onset of the clinical manifestations of infection. IgM antibodies were detected by the indirect immunofluorescence (IIF) test, antibody capture enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (cELISA) and enzyme-mediated chemilluminescent technique (CmL). IgA antibodies were quantified by the direct ELISA (dELISA) and cELISA procedures. As defined by the manufacturer of the cELISA test for IgA used, most patients with acute toxoplasmosis have antibody levels > 40 arbritary units per ml (AU/ml). At values > 40 AU/ml, the cELISA for IgA detected significant antibody levels for a shorter time than the other techniques used for IgM and IgA detection. However, IgA levels £ 40 AU/ml do not exclude the possibility of acute toxoplasmosis since such levels can be reached very soon after infection with T. gondii. The results obtained in the present study show that the serological diagnosis of acute toxoplasmosis may not be such an easy task. Our data suggest that use of the IgA-cELISA concomitantly with IgM antibody screening could permit, in some circumstances, a more efficient diagnosis of acute acquired toxoplasmosis

Shoulder Kinematics Is Not Influenced by External Load During Elevation in the Scapular Plane

The current study aimed to compare the shoulder kinematics (3D scapular orientation, scapular angular displacement and scapulohumeral rhythm) of asymptomatic participants under unloaded and loaded conditions during unilateral shoulder elevation in the scapular plane. We used a repeated-measures design with a convenience sample. Eleven male participants with an age range of 21–28 years with no recent history of shoulder injury participated in the study. The participants performed isometric shoulder elevation from a neutral position to approximately 150 degrees of elevation in the scapular plane in intervals of approximately 30 degrees during unloaded and loaded conditions. Shoulder kinematic data were obtained with videogrammetry. During shoulder elevation, the scapula rotated upwardly and externally, and tilted posteriorly. The addition of an external load did not affect 3D scapular orientation, scapular angular displacement, or scapulohumeral rhythm throughout shoulder elevation (P > .05). In clinical practice, clinicians should expect to observe upward and external rotation and posterior tilt of the scapula during their assessments of shoulder elevation. Such behavior was not influenced by an external load normalized to 5% of body weight when performed in an asymptomatic population.

DETECTION OF IgM ANTIBODIES TO Schistosoma mansoni GUT-ASSOCIATED ANTIGENS FOR THE STUDY OF THE DYNAMICS OF SCHISTOSOMIASIS TRANSMISSION IN AN ENDEMIC AREA WITH LOW WORM BURDEN

For a period of 2 years, five follow-up measures of prevalence and incidence rates were estimated in a prospective study of S. mansoni infection in a group of schoolchildren who were living in a rural area of the Municipality of Itariri (São Paulo, Brazil), where schistosomiasis is transmitted by Biomphalaria tenagophila. Infection was determined by the examination of three Kato-Katz stool slides, and the parasitological findings were analyzed in comparison to serological data. In the five surveys, carried out at 6-month intervals (March-April and September-October), the prevalences were, respectively, 8.6, 6.8, 9.9, 5.8 and 17.2% by the Kato-Katz, and 56.5, 52.6, 60.8, 53.5 and 70.1% by the immunofluorescence test (IFT). Geometric mean egg counts were low: 57.8, 33.0, 35.6, 47.3 and 40.9 eggs per gram of feces, respectively. Of the total of 299 schoolchildren, who submitted five blood samples at 6-month intervals, one for each survey, 40% were IFT-positive throughout the study, and 22% were IFT-negative in all five surveys. Seroconversion from IFT negative to positive, indicating newly acquired S. mansoni infection, was observed more frequently in surveys carried out during March-April (after Summer holidays), than during September-October. Seasonal trends were not statistically significant for detection of S. mansoni eggs in stool. The results indicate that the use of IgM-IFT is superior to parasitological methods for detection of incidence of S. mansoni infection in areas with low worm burden.

VALIDATION OF 14C-UREA BREATH TEST FOR DIAGNOSIS OF Helicobacter pylori

The aim of this study was to validate the 14C-urea breath test for use in diagnosis of Helicobacter pylori infection. Thirty H. pylori positive patients, based on histologic test and thirty H. pylori negative patients by histology and anti-H. pylori IgG entered the study. Fasting patients drank 5 uCi of 14C-urea in 20 ml of water. Breath samples were collected at 0, 5, 10, 15, 20 and 30 min. The difference of cpm values between the two groups was significant at all the time intervals, besides time 0 (p<0.0001). At 20 min, the test gave 100% sensitivity and specificity with a cut-off value of 562 cpm. Females were higher expirers than males (p=0.005). 14C-urea breath test is highly accurate for Helicobacter pylori diagnosis. It is fast, simple and should be the non-invasive test used after treating Helicobacter pylori infection.

Distribuições de eventos extremos e telecomunicações

As distribuições de Lei de Potência (PL Power Laws), tais como a lei de Pareto e a lei de Zipf são distribuições estatísticas cujos tamanhos dos eventos são inversamente proporcionais à sua frequência. Estas leis de potência são caracterizadas pelas suas longas caudas. Segundo Vilfredo Pareto (1896), engenheiro, cientista, sociólogo e economista italiano, autor da Lei de Pareto, 80% das consequências advêm de 20% das causas. Segundo o mesmo, grande parte da economia mundial segue uma determinada distribuição, onde 80% da riqueza mundial é detida por 20% da população ou 80% da poluição mundial é feita por 20% dos países. Estas percentagens podem oscilar nos intervalos [75-85] e [15-25]. A mesma percentagem poderá ser aplicada à gestão de tempo, onde apenas 20% do tempo dedicado a determinado assunto produzirá cerca de 80% dos resultados obtidos. A lei de Pareto, também designada de regra 80/20, tem aplicações nas várias ciências e no mundo físico, nomeadamente na biodiversidade. O número de ocorrências de fenómenos extremos, aliados ao impacto nas redes de telecomunicações nas situações de catástrofe, no apoio imediato às populações e numa fase posterior de reconstrução, têm preocupado cada vez mais as autoridades oficiais de protecção civil e as operadoras de telecomunicações. O objectivo é o de preparar e adaptarem as suas estruturas para proporcionar uma resposta eficaz a estes episódios. Neste trabalho estuda-se o comportamento de vários fenómenos extremos (eventos críticos) e aproximam-se os dados por uma distribuição de Pareto (Lei de Pareto) ou lei de potência. No final, especula-se sobre a influência dos eventos críticos na utilização das redes móveis. É fundamental que as redes móveis estejam preparadas para lidar com as repercussões de fenómenos deste tipo.

Identification of risk factors for death from tetanus in Pernambuco, Brazil: a case-control study

A case-control study was conducted to identify risk factors for death from tetanus in the State of Pernambuco, Brazil. Information was obtained from medical records of 152 cases and 152 controls, admitted to the tetanus unit in the State University Hospital, in Recife, from 1990 to 1995. Variables were grouped in three different sets. Crude and adjusted odds ratios, p-values and 95% confidence intervals were estimated. Variables selected in the multivariate analysis in each set were controlled for the effect of those selected in the others. All factors related to the disease progression - incubation period, time elapsed between the occurrence of the first tetanus symptom and admission, and period of onset - showed a statistically significant association with death from tetanus. Similarly, signs and/or symptoms occurring on admission or in the following 24 hours (second set): reflex spasms, neck stiffness, respiratory signs/symptoms and respiratory failure requiring artificial ventilation (third set) were associated with death from tetanus even when adjusted for the effect of the others.

Association between human parvovirus B19 and arthropathy in Belém, Pará, north Brazil

A total of 220 patients with arthropathy were selected in Belém, Pará between January 1994 and December 2000, and screened for the presence of human parvovirus B19 IgM and IgG antibodies by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). A subgroup (n = 132) of patients with high levels of antibodies (either IgM+/IgG+ or IgM-/IgG+) were examined for the presence of DNA by polymerase chain reaction/nested PCR. Recent/active infection (detection of IgM and/or IgG-specific antibodies and presence of viral DNA) was identified in 47.7% of the 132 individuals with arthropathy. In our study, women were significantly more affected (59.7%) than men (35.4%) (P = 0.0006). The age group of 11-20 years (84.6%), among female patients, and 21-30 years (42.1%), among male, were those with the highest incidence rates. The analysis of the temporal distribution of B19-associated arthropaties showed a cyclic pattern, with peak incidence rates occuring at 3-5 year intervals. Significant diference (P = 0.01) was observed when comparing both the highest (39.0%) and the lowest (11.0%) seropositivity rates for the years of 1995 and 2000, respectively. The interfalangial joints of hands and feet were mostly affected, with 50.0% and 48.0% of cases among both women and men, respectively. In a smaller proportion, other joints such as those of knee, ankle, pulse and shoulder were affected. As for the duration, symptoms lasted 1 to 5 days in 54.0% of the individuals, whereas in 46.0% of them the disease lasted 6-10 days, if considered the subgroup (n = 63) of patients with recent/active infection by parvovirus B19. In our study, joint clinical manifestations occurred symmetrically. Our results indicate that B19 may be an important agent of arthropathies in our region, and this underscores the need for specific laboratory diagnosis when treating patients suffering from acute arthropathy, mainly pregnant women.

Evidence of spotted fever group rickettsiae in state of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Ticks were obtained from dogs from February to September of 1999 at weekly intervals, in the County of Piraí, State of Rio de Janeiro. Four hundred seventy four ixodids were taxonomically identified, 103 Amblyomma cajennense, seven Amblyomma ovale, 209 Rhipicephalus sanguineus, and 155 Amblyomma sp. An hemolymph test associated with Giemsa's stain revealed two specimens in 163 ticks tested (R. sanguineus and Amblyomma sp), containing rickettsia-like organisms. Direct immunofluorescence verified the presence of spotted fever group rickettsia in one specimen of R. sanguineus. Considering the limited information on rickettsiosis in Brazil, principally in relation to the vectors involved in perpetuating it in foci, these preliminary results give us an idea on the importance of infection in ticks, allowing to expand our knowledge on this zoonosis.

Implementação de alertas de interações medicamentosas na construção de uma farmácia online

Os sistemas de apoio à decisão clinica têm-se revelado essenciais no dia-a-dia da população, nomeadamente dos profissionais e dos pacientes. Estes sistemas podem ser aplicados com diferentes objetivos: como sistemas de alerta; de prevenção de doenças; sistemas para dosagem de medicação e prescrição; entre outras. Atualmente é notório o aumento de interesse por parte da população em entender e em possuir um papel ativo nas decisões médicas. Para conseguirem fazê-lo necessitam de procurar informação. O meio mais utilizado para obter essa informação é a internet, onde a informação se encontra em grande quantidade e muito dispersa. Para além da quantidade é imprescindível encontrar informação credível, para que não haja indução da pessoa em erro. Para ajudar a solucionar estes problemas surgiram os sistemas de recomendação na saúde. Estes sistemas foram idealizados para fornecer informações às quais os utilizadores podem recorrer para tomar decisões conscientes e seguras sobre a sua saúde. Também os sistemas de alerta se têm revelado importantes na área da saúde. Estes sistemas podem ser usados em diferentes contextos e sobre diferentes assuntos, como por exemplo, a alteração do estado clínico de um paciente monitorizado, em tempo real, ou em interações medicamentosas. As interações medicamentosas podem advir da automedicação do utente ou da larga quantidade de medicação que, a partir de determinada idade, os utentes ingerem. Pode ter como causa medicação que administrem regularmente, ou até mesmo diariamente, ou doenças/estados que o utente possua que, em simultâneo com determinada medicação pode causar reações adversas. Neste trabalho foi desenvolvido um protótipo de uma farmácia online (FoAM) que fornece, ao utilizador, alertas quando há possibilidade de interações. As causas de interações consideradas foram os medicamentos que o utilizador consuma e/ou doenças/estados que possua. O objetivo é alertar para o caso das causas que o utilizador possui interagirem com o(s) medicamento(s) que este deseja adquirir. Para alcançar esse objetivo foi necessário selecionar os medicamentos a disponibilizar assim como as suas interações. Essa seleção foi baseada no prontuário terapêutico 2013 disponibilizado pelo INFARMED. Depois de recolhida e analisada a informação, foi possível compreender que informações clínicas o sistema necessita para que consiga identificar os medicamentos que não são aconselháveis adquirir. Para isso, é necessário que o utilizador forneça essas informações clínicas pessoais, necessidade que vai de encontro à posição defendida por diversos autores que apontam o uso de registos eletrónicos de saúde muito benéfico para conseguir alertas mais personalizados suprindo assim as necessidades do utilizador. É também preponderante que o utilizador perceba o porquê de determinado medicamento não ser aconselhável, por isso, ao ser emitido o alerta é também apresentada a justificação do mesmo, ou seja, é disponibilizado ao utilizador qual a causa que indicou no formulário responsável pela interação.